NPR

Why You Shouldn't Count On The Promised $4,000 'Raise' From GOP Tax Plan

The White House's estimate of gains for the average American family rests on a lot of assumptions and is disputed by economists on the right and left alike.
White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders has helped pitch the idea that the Republican tax overhaul plan would generate a "raise" for the average American family, though that is disputed. / Mark Wilson / Getty Images

This week, Sarah Huckabee Sanders promoted one of the White House's chief selling points about the Republican tax plan. The pitch: American households will get an additional $4,000 as a result of the tax overhaul proposed in September.

The number comes from an estimate produced by the Council of Economic Advisers earlier this month.

And while it's impossible to do a flat-out true-or-false fact check on an estimate, this figure is likely to be repeated as the White House pushes tax overhaul, and there is reason to doubt that your household will get $4,000 — or even anything close to it.

What the White House claims

To be clear, this isn't the White House claiming that the average household would get a $4,000 tax cut as a result of the tax plan altogether. Indeed, depending on a variety of things that are still not laid

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