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DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY
IN
COMMERCE
By
MR. SARBESH MISHRA
UTKAL UNIVERSITY
Bhubaneswar
2008
Department of Commerce
Utkal University,
Bhubaneswar.
DECLARATION
I hereby declare that this thesis entitled “Power Sector Reforms in India: A
Critical Appraisal of Orissa’s Reforms Experience” submitted to the Utkal
University in fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the Degree of
Doctor of Philosophy in Commerce is a bonafide record of original research
work done by me under the supervision and guidance of Professor Ambika
Prasad Dash and Dr. Malay Kumar Mohanty and the thesis has not been
submitted to any other University or Institution for the award of any degree or
diploma.
2
Prof. Ambika Prasad Dash Dr. Malay Kumar Mohanty
Power Management Institute Ravenshaw University
NOIDA – 201306 (U.P) Department of Commerce
Cuttack – 753003, Orissa.
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that the thesis titled “Power Sector Reforms in India: A critical
done by Mr. Sarbesh Mishra, under our supervision and guidance and this thesis has
not been submitted to any other University or Institution for the award of any
degree.
3
Prof. Ambika Prasad Dash Dr. Malay Kumar Mohanty
Power Management Institute Ravenshaw University
NOIDA – 201306 (U.P) Department of Commerce
Cuttack – 753003, Orissa.
AREA CERTIFICATE
The work done by the candidate is original and within the area of registration for
4
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
5
I cannot express my gratitude in words to my late father Shri Indramadhab
Mishra, whose blessings have always been with me throughout this work along with
the best wishes from my family members, mother Ms. Puspalata Mishra, my elder
brother Mr. Abesh Mishra, my brother-in-law Mr. B P Dwivedi, my sister Ms.
Ajanta Dwivedi and my sister-in-law Ms. Saswati Mishra . It’s needless to mention
about my wife Sushree’s contribution, in each and every step of this research work
she has willingly extended her cooperation
My special thanks must go to my guide’s family for their timely help and
constant inspiration. My sincere regards and thanks to Prof. Suman Mahapatra,
Dean, School of Languages, Ravenshaw University for his painstaking effort of
correcting my thesis meticulously and also to Mr. K. Anand, Acquisition Editor,
Vikas Publishing House for undertaking to publish my thesis after its
acknowledgement.
(Sarbesh Mishra)
6
LIST OF TABLE
Page No.
1. Table 1: Power Sector Performance: Gaps between
Targets and Realities on Key Indicators in a sampling 17
of regions and Countries.
7
19. Table 19: Cash P\L 173
22. Table 22: Profit / (Loss) Comparison Over The Years 181
24. Table 24: Statement Of Power Purchase, Sale, T& D Loss 183
Billing Collection, etc
38. Table 5.9: Billing efficiency in rural and urban areas 230
8
39. Table 5.10: Consumer perceptions on power supply 231
in the reform period
40. Table 5.11: Duration of Power Failure in pre-reform 232
and reform periods
41. Table 5.12: Duration of power cut during pre reform 234
And reform periods
42. Table 5.13: Alternative sources of lighting used by 235
consumers during power cut/failure
43. Table 5.14: Consumer perceptions on voltage 236
quality in reform period
44. Table 5.15: Difficulties reported due to voltage 237
problem in the reform period
10
CONTENTS
Page No.
Declaration ii
Certificate iii
Area Certificate iv
Acknowledgements v
List of Table vii
List of Charts x
CHAPTERS
1. INTRODUCTION
I. Backdrop of Power Sector Reforms 1
II. Review of Literature 2
III. Significance of Study 10
IV. Objective of the Study 11
V. Hypotheses of the Study 12
VI. Scope and Limitations of the Study 12
VII. Methodology of the Study 13
VIII. Organisation of the Study 14
2. POWER SECTOR REFORMS: A CONCEPTUAL
FRAMEWORK
i. Introduction 15
ii. What is Reforms 17
iii. Role of Power Sector in Indian Perspective 19
iv. Power Sector in Pre-reform Period (1961 – 90) 26
v. Indian Economy: Growth of Power Sector 26
vi. Power Sector during Reforms period (1992 – 2002) 29
vii. Original Electricity Bill 2001 35
viii. Private Sector Participation in Generation 37
11
III. GROWTH OF POWER SECTOR
i. International Scenario of Power Sector 39
United Kingdom (UK) 39
United State of America (USA) 44
Brazil 52
Argentina 56
iii. Indian State’s Experiences 60
Andhra Pradesh Reforms 62
Delhi Reforms 79
IV. POWER SECTOR REFORMS
i. Electricity Act. 2003 97
ii. Single Buyer Vs. Multi buyer Model in Distribution 105
iii. World Bank Models on Unbundling of PSUs 109
iv. Reforms in Electricity Tariffs 110
v. Availability Based Tariff 122
vi. Methods of Calculation of Cross Subsidy 132
vii. High Transmission Energy Audit 138
V. RESTRUCTURING INITIATIVES IN ORISSA’S POWER SECTOR
i. Introduction 158
ii. First Phase of Reforms 159
iii. Second Phase of Reforms 164
iv. Restructuring of GRIDCO 166
v. Sequence of events of reforms 170
vi. Benefits of Reforms 172
vii. Analysis of Fault lines – 186
Kanungo Committee’s Findings
viii. Turnaround of GRIDCO – A Case Study 202
ix. Comparison of Financial Performance: 211
Orissa Vis-à-vis Andhra Pradesh
12
VI. SOCIO ECONOMIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF POWER
SECTOR REFORMS
i. Introduction 213
ii. Micro level data source: Sampling framework 214
iii. Analysis of household data 216
iv. Uses of Electricity 223
v. Electricity Tariff 226
vi. Problems in supply of Power 230
vii. Socio economic impact of reform on education 238
viii. Socio-economic impact of reforms on Health 241
ix. Socio economic impact of reforms on women 242
x. Impact of power sector reform on livelihood 244
xi. Consumer’s willingness to pay at hiked rate 247
VII. CONCLUSION
• Summary 252
• Findings 256
• Suggestions 266
• Scope for further research 268
13
Backdrop of Power Sector Reforms
The Indian constitution has included power in concurrent list, which means
both the centre and state share the responsibility for this sector. Article 246 of
the constitution vests the parliament as well as the state legislature with the
power to frame laws. The Electricity Supplies Act. 1948 was amended in
1991 to permit private sector participation in generation. Many Independent
Power Producers (IPPs) came with their proposals but very few could get the
financial closure and commissioning of power plants in 10 years. The most
important factor was that most of the state electricity boards were fast moving
towards bankruptcy. The reforms carried out in 1991 in the area of power
generation made us realize that reform has to begin from distribution end for
sustainable development of power. The process of distribution reform started
with the enactment of regulatory Act. In 1998 to minimize the political
interference in power sector and rationalize the tariff. In pursuance to reforms,
states started unbundling the vertically integrated structure of state electricity
boards (SEBs) into three separate corporate identities of Generation,
Transmission and Distribution as a precursor to the participation of private
sector in distribution.
Learning from the Orissa experience, the main metric for choosing companies
was not based on valuation, but on performance improvement goals. In order
to promote competition in the electric power sector, the Electricity Act 2003
(E. Act) mandates open access to the transmission and distribution network
for any supplier of electricity. Successful implementation of structural reform
requires both the hardware of technological advances in the power system and
the software of workable contractual relationships. Utilities need to make
efforts to identify such links / areas of high losses; there is still significant
uncertainty and differences over the real level of total as well as Transmission
and HT losses. Even two to three years after the establishment of the SERCs
14
and the reforms process, there is still ambiguity over the real level of T&D
losses.
Review of Literature:-
Industry and Energy Department, World Bank (1996) in its research paper
“Power Sector Reforms in Developing Countries and Role of World bank”
discusses the experience of the Bank with the sector and the main drivers for
sector reform, the expected benefits of reform, the formulation of the Bank's
policy in this area, the principles and elements of reform, and the
methodologies of bringing about reform. The key message with regard to the
last point is that selection and design of the reform process and final sector
structure must be adapted to each country. Hence, the country's authorities
must make judicious choices among the many power sector restructuring
models and concomitant regulatory frameworks. The paper also discusses
issues of implementation lessons of experience, and the role of the Bank in
the reform process.
The precise dimensions of the governmental and sectoral reform may vary,
but in each case the reform effort needs to be governed by a set of clear
objectives. These are to (a) increase efficiency in generation through
competition, whenever possible, or through regulation based on efficient
enterprises and energy and other measures; (b) maintain service reliability by
setting strict rules to supply and variations from the technical standards (e.g.,
in voltage and frequency levels); (c) increase the security of supply in terms
of numbers of suppliers and types of energy resources; (d) improve
environmental protection by establishing clear rules in the construction and
operation of energy facilities, coupled with enforcement mechanisms and the
requisite penalties or incentives; (e) attract capital, domestic or foreign, by
establishing clear and stable" rules of the game" that relieve the government's
burden of funding the sector; and develop competition in the electricity
15
services to customers, where viable, as a means of increasing the economic
efficiency of the sector.
To reiterate, the replicability of the Orissa experience lies in ensuring that the
private sector is able to run the privatised entities, i.e., they are fundamentally
commercially viable. Doing this will require structuring distribution zones
properly and ensuring adequate financial support for the reforming entity, i.e.
the DISCOMs, during the transition process, so that it does not end up with an
unhealthy balance sheet, even when it is operationally efficient. It is also
essential to remember that people are as important as structure. To that end,
the selection and continuance of persons in charge of the process is of utmost
importance, as is the composition of the regulatory body. Subject to these
safeguards, which appear relatively easy to implement, it should be very
much possible to transfer the electricity reform process well beyond Orissa.
Asian Development Bank (ADB), 2001-02 in its research paper which acted
as Blue Print for “Power Sector Development” has identified the fault lines
and has found out the probable reasons which have emanated from:
• inadequate power generation capacity;
• lack of optimum utilisation of the existing generation
• capacity;
16
• inadequate inter-regional transmission links;
• inadequate and ageing sub-transmission & distribution
network leading to power cuts and local failures/faults;
• large scale theft and skewed tariff structure;
• slow pace of rural electrification;
• inefficient use of electricity by the end consumer;
• lack of grid discipline
In view of the fact that addition of new capacity takes relatively longer time,
strategies have also been formulated to augment power supply in
short/medium run. These are:
• Increased generation through Renovation and Modernization (R&M)
of old stations.
• Utilisation of the surplus capacity of the captive power plants into the
grid
• Demand Side Management (DSM) to flatten the demand curves
(introducing time of day tariffs and metering).
• Introduction of a new system of matching time and load profiles for
different zones in the country.
• Energy Conservation (The Ministry is piloting the Energy
Conservation Bill, which, when enacted, will provide necessary legal
framework for promoting conservation and efficiency).
• Evacuation of power from the power surplus eastern region.
17
distribution; the inability to find a solution to the problem of subsidised
supply of power to agriculturists; the chaotic condition of governance of LT
distribution with, inter alia, the level of T&D losses remaining undetermined
and the annual loss reduction in the system being very slow; the
rationalisation or rebalancing of tariffs becoming a losing game because the
average cost of supply increases faster than the possible rates of increase of
tariffs; and the deficits accumulated over the years imposing an unbearable
interest burden limiting the capacity to raise funds in the commercial market.
He has also attempted to find out the followings:
• Who should pay the subsidy -- other users of power or all taxpayers
through the state government?
Declaration that all new generating capacity would serve the consumers or
DISCOMs directly, abandoning the single-buyer model.
18
Agricultural pumpsets and small households, which on socio-political
considerations have to be provided electricity at below the average cost,
should be supplied by an earmarked allocation from the generating plants
with the lowest generating costs. The quantity supplied thus as an
‘‘entitlement’’ should be specified by the government.
Regulators should settle within one year the issues of relevance for long-
term multi-year tariff fixation, with explicit targets for T&D loss reduction
and for various other parameters.
19
• Poor collection of revenue
• Dissatisfactory management practices and extreme consumer
dissatisfaction and more particularly the situation is acute in rural
areas.
The budgetary provisions of the state governments were reducing and the gap
between demand and supply was ever increasing and the gap between cost of
supply and tariff was widening. He stressed on the need for a comprehensive
accelerated reforms basing on the global experiences particularly from South
American Nations and USA, UK, Canada, etc.
He has impressed on the need of choosing right kind of reforms model among
the laid down models. The pre-requisites for carrying out such reforms and
privatization and the road map ahead for bringing the reforms to their logical
conclusion, so that a healthy and viable power sector can be created to
contribute substantially to the alround growth of our economy.
Tongia, Rahul (2003), in his Stanford – CMU Indian Power Sector Reforms
Studies has analysed the following things: -
• Will reforms lead to economic viability of the system? Will this come
through tariff increase or cost control (or both)?
• What is the best role for the regulator, and are they equipped to be fair,
transparent, and independent regulators?
20
• If we open the sector up to privatization (distinct from retail
competition), who will come in? Are there enough players? What
returns do they want or expect?
The analysis indicates several important ingredients for successful reform. For
starters, initial assumptions must be realistic and accurate, as must targets for
the participants. This was one of the major failures in Orissa, where the losses
were significantly higher than thought, and the growth of paying customers
did not materialize.
At the end of the day, India’s reforms have thus far gone a fair ways towards
the ingredients necessary to reaching the goals of increased access, efficiency,
and viability, but they have not yet directly done so. These reforms, necessary
but perhaps not sufficient, will be the focus of enormous effort and
expenditure by the government, funding agencies, and companies in the
coming decade.
21
Ranganathan, V and D, Rao Narasimha (2004), IIMB in their research
paper on “Power Sector Reforms in India” have analysed the progress of the
reforms in India which formally started along-with economic liberalization in
1991-92, though the impetus for private sector participation in the power
sector predates this. Despite aggressive reform policies in the 90s, private
sector participation was moderate at best, and the financial losses and cash
flows of State Electricity Boards (SEBs) reached crisis proportions.
They have outlined the stages of power sector reform, placing the
development of markets in context. They warn that in a situation of supply
scarcity, competitive markets – namely spot markets – can lead to price
increases and volatility, which will be slow to change due to short-term
supply inelasticity. More important is the need for bilateral trade under open
access to better exploit cheap, remote hydro and coal fuel resources in
northern India. They envision an environment of managed competition in a
bilateral market with regulated (capped) contract prices.
The present work aims to highlight the extent of reforms in power sector
commenced since Sept. 1991 to till date. It shows the comparative study of
rate of growth in generation, distribution and per capita consumption of power
along with several developed nations.
23
Objective: -
Orissa is the first state in India to initiate reforms in the Power Sector. It has
left a benchmark for the whole of country and for a good experimentation.
Again in this backdrop, the objective of the project would be to study the
impact of reforms in the development of Generation, Transmission and
above all in the Distribution end. A concerted effort would be made to
have comparative analysis among different states that adopted reforms.
24
Hypotheses: -
Scope: -
The scope of present study has been with an eye on the process of power
sector reforms in India that was initiated in early 90’s. The present study is
restricted to few aspects i.e. a conceptual background on legislative aspect of
Indian Electricity Act. 1910 and Electricity Supplies Act.1948 and its reforms
that was initiated by amending them in 1991 and subsequent in Electricity Bill
2003.
The compilation and execution of the present study have to pass through
several constraints due to unavailability of adequate primary data. The
available data is very unsystematic which discouraged the systematic
25
treatment of data. Hence the study would have been more systematic if
detailed data would have been available.
Methodology: -
The present study is carried out by using some primary data and rest on
secondary statistical data. The data has primarily been obtained from Power
Management Institute, NTPC Ltd. POWERGRID, University Library -
University of Delhi, Corporate Office-GRIDCO/OPTCL and from several sub
divisional offices across India. Apart from this, several published journal viz.
TERI, Energy Watch, powerline, ADB Review and by interviewing some
senior personnel of different areas related to power industry. The method of
study includes the following:
26
Organisation of the study
I. INTRODUCTION
VII. CONCLUSION
• Summary
• Findings
• Suggestions
• Scope for further research
27
POWER SECTOR REFORMS: A CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
Introduction
Electricity was entirely under the provision of the states as per the
Government of India Act 1936 but it was because of Dr. Ambedkar, who
was a member of the executive council for Power during 1942-46, Power was
included in the Concurrent List, Schedule VII of the constitution.
Recognizing the potential for the growth of power at that time, Dr. Ambedkar
felt the development of electricity in the whole country which cannot be left
to the provinces alone. According to Article 246 of the constitution,
parliament as well as the state legislatures has the concurrent powers to make
laws with respect to electricity. Whenever there is any conflict in the laws, the
central law shall prevail over the state laws. Dr. Ambedkar’s philosophy for
jurisdiction of central govt. over the electricity had withstood the test of time.
Although the World Bank experience has been mixed, the performance of its
client countries electric power utilities has generally been poor to dismal. The
sub standard performance is usually reflected in low plant availability and
productivity, poor service to customers (Characterized mainly by energy
shortages leading to frequent blackouts and substandard system frequency)
28
and poor financial returns. The proximate causes of these problems are, on the
physical plant level, lack of readily available spare parts, scarcity or poor
quality of operating materials viz. lubricants, chemicals etc, poor maintenance
practices, inadequate training of operation and maintenance personnel and
lack of investment in necessary upgrading.
On financial front, government policies that have kept electricity tariffs well
below the cost of supply, combined with weak collection efforts by utilities,
have drained government budget resources instead of contributing positively.
It has thus been common for World Bank borrowers to request financing of
new plant at the same time as they maintain existing plant availabilities of less
than 50 percent.
A final problem for the power sector is on the institutional side, where
governments have controlled their power utilities as if they were departments
of the state and have used this control to pursue populist politics and social
policies that are incompatible with the commercial objectives. Governments’
inability to continue large subsidies to these utilities for operating purposes
and to mobilize funding for large investments needed for new plant to satisfy
the growing demand, with the private sector’s reluctance to invest in such
poor risk ventures, are leading to further deterioration in the performance of
electric utilities.
29
Table 1: Power Sector Performance: Gaps between Targets
and Realities on Key Indicators in a sampling of regions
and Countries
Utility management
• Customers per employee 150-250 42 Bangladesh
• Blackouts (hrs. / Yr.) 7 750 Philippines
• Load Factor 70% 46% Nepal
• System Losses 10-12% 35% Bangladesh
Commercial Performance
• Accounts receivable 30-45 462 Nigeria
(days)
What is Reform?
Power sector reform consists of process of changes along four different but
inter-dependent axes: management, ownership, structure and regulation. The
structural change begins with the realization that a monolithic structure, often
established as part of a centrally planned or command economy is too
inflexible to respond to market forces and to provide appropriate incentives
for such responses. The government functions need to be broken into
30
b. Those that are subsidiary to the role of government and that can be
transferred, wholly or partially, to the private sector, such as
ownership, operation and management of energy facilities.
c. Those are not the core functions of the sector & that can be transferred
to other sectors such as research & development and construction and
manufacturing services.
Thus, the process of reform moves along two intertwined paths, one relating
to the other government actions and one relating to sector & enterprise
restructuring. The first path involves legal and institutional framework;
second involves commercialization and corporatisation of enterprises. It is
clear that the type of the regulatory framework and sector structure are closely
interconnected. The precise dimension of governmental and sectoral reform
may vary, but in each case the reform effort needs to be governed by a set of
clear objectives. These are to
31
c. increase the security of supply in terms of numbers of suppliers and
types of energy resources
d. improve environmental protection by establishing clear rules in the
construction & operation of energy facilities, coupled with
enforcement mechanisms and the requisite penalties or incentives
e. attract capital, domestic or foreign, by establishing clear and stable
“Rules of the Game” that relieves government’s burden of funding the
sector
f. develop competition in the supply of electricity services to customers,
where viable, a means for increasing the economic efficiency of the sector.
The power generation grew from one MW in 1900 to 1363 MW during the
independence. After independence, the need for wide spread availability of
power was felt. Thus Electricity (Supply) Act, 1948 was enacted with an
intention to rationalize generation, transmission and distribution of electricity
in the country. The state electricity boards (SEBs) were allowed to start their
32
own generating stations except the nuclear power stations. To meet the
growing demand of power centrally sponsored Public Sector Enterprises like
National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) & National Hydro Power
Corporation (NHPC) were formed in 1975. Earlier being entrusted with
generation of power from coal and gas whereas later was asked to look after
the hydro based power generation. Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd.
(POWERGRID) was formed in 1989, to look after transmission of power and
to develop the interconnected grid system across the country.
NTPC was set up in 1975 with a view to promote and develop thermal power
in India. The corporation has grown geometrically in terms of both production
and quality power supply, within the country. The corporation has 13 coal
based thermal power projects and 7 gas / liquid fuels based combined cycle
projects. NTPC has adopted multi pronged growth strategy to become 40,000
MW plus company by the end of 2012. It has also acquired 314 MW of
captive power plant of SAIL through formation of joint venture with SAIL.
Of course, hydro projects are attractive since, once constructed, they have
very low marginal costs (no fuel costs), and they offer reasonably high levels
of load control and quick start capabilities (subject to water availability).
However, Indian dispatch mechanisms do not fully account for marginal
cost pricing. While the ash content is high, the sulphur content is quite low,
reducing the need for clean-up technologies. No Indian coal plant today
incorporates Flue Gas Desulphurization (FGD) technology.
33
Nuclear power generation in India is in its infancy. It hardly meets 2.5% of
total generation. So Thorium, like Uranium 238 is the primary raw material
whose isotopes are available. (The primary form, or isotope, of natural
uranium, is fertile.
It can not undergo a fission reaction until converted into another element
through a nuclear reaction, such as in a Fast Breeder Reactor). Breeding is the
process of producing more fissile material from fertile than consumed to
sustain the reaction. India has the largest thorium reserves in the world, which
if converted to fissile material, could provide hundreds of thousands of
megawatts of power, for many, many centuries.
(Chidambaram, R. and C. Ganguly (1996). "Plutonium and Thorium in the Indian
Nuclear Programme)
34
Table 2: Generation of Power – Sector wise & Compositions
CENTRAL SECTOR
• Ministry of Power 23,000 23,500. 46,500
• Ministry of Coal 210 1,500 1,710
• Department of Atomic 1,220 5,160 6,380
Energy 4,055 6,625 10,680
• Ministry of Non-
conventional Energy
Sources
35
Table 3: Hydel Potential – Global Scenario
36
Table 5: Inter-regional Links under Operation
HVDC Links
AC Links
Total 4850
37
Chart 2: Constituents of Financial Parameter
Negative Returns on
investments
Average cost of power Low PLF High T &D losses High Accounts
Average Revenue Receivables
38
Power Sector in Pre-reform Period (1961-90)
39
Table 6: Plan Outlay On power Sector (1961-90)
Centre States & UTs Total
Outlay % of Outlay % of Outlay % of
(Rs. Plan (Rs. Cr.) Plan (Rs. Cr.) Plan
Cr.) outlay Outlay Outlay
Third Plan 109 3.0 903 23.1 1012 13.5
(1961-66)
Fourth Plan 447 5.0 2001 28.5 2448 15.4
(1969-74)
Fifth Plan 825 4.1 6469 33.4 7294 18.6
(1974-79)
Sixth Plan ( 4725 10.0 14,540 28.9 19265 19.8
1980-85)
Seventh Plan 11,051 11.6 23,222 27.5 34,272 19.0
(1985-90)
Source: Planning Commission – respective plan documents
40
Table 9: Physical Performance (At the All India Level)
41
Power Sector during Reforms Period (1992-2002)
The government realised that the gap between demand and supply of power
was widening and requirements of future expansion and improvement of
power sector cannot be fully achieved through Public resources alone which
augmented the need for encouragement of private players in generation,
transmission and distribution of power. The most important factor was that
the state electricity boards were fast moving towards bankruptcy. In the
Common Minimum National Action Plan for Power (CMNPP), this was
approved by chief ministers in the conference convened by Prime Minister in
1996 which ushered in the comprehensive reform programme for power
sector, including reforms in the distribution sector. The resolution passed in
the CMNPP includes:
42
8. Compulsory energy audit for all consumers.
9. Evolvement of a national policy on hydro power development
10. Encouragement for co-generation and captive generation.
At the time of approval of CMNPP, the power sector was full of hopes as
country was expected to add about 10,000 MW of generation capacity every
year and 50,000 MW in next five years out of which three fourth would be
coming from the private sector.
Due to ailing state finances, state governments did not show any willingness
to stand guarantee for payment for power purchased by the SEBs. In 1992, the
government of India offered counter guarantee to few fast track projects but
none of these could reach financial closure. Investors had to face formidable
procedural hurdles; negotiations had to be carried out with numerous agencies
both at centre and state level. Since the raw material for thermal power being
43
coal, so IPPs wanted to ensure the smooth and timely supply of coal. But both
coal companies and railways, which transport the coal, expressed their
unwillingness to enter in to any legally enforceable fuel supply agreements.
The public perception was that power supply from IPP is costlier than from a
similar publicly owned generating station which led to the reopening of the
Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). Added to this was the bureaucratic
delay. Single window mechanisms proved to be ineffective. This was not
conducive in attracting the private investment in the power sector. The
questions were raised about the Government commitment to power sector
reform especially for the private players.
Private players did not show any interest in power transmission. The scope
available for the owner of a transmission line to cut costs or maximize
revenue is remote because the owner has no control over the flow of power in
his line. In developed countries also investors did not show much interest in
erecting transmission line.
The private sector has to play an important role in power distribution. The
sizeable backlog of investment required to reduce technical and commercial
loss and keep pace with load growth. More importantly improvement in
operational efficiency and quality of service, proper billing and collection
mechanism, greater responsiveness to consumer needs will be the principal
gains from private ownership and management of distribution network. A
successful distribution reform holds the key to success in restructuring of
power sector.
44
Table 10: Public Sector Investment In power 1992-2002
Source: Planning Commission, Ninth Plan, Vol II, Chapter 6, Table 14 and Draft Tenth
Plan, Vol 2, Table 8.2.2
45
From the above two figures namely Public Sector Investment in Power and
capacity addition during the ten year period led us to this conclusions-
1. The central government started spending more money on power in
comparison to previous years and a substantial hike in central outlay in
ninth plan can be seen.
2. Actual capacity addition fell seriously short of target in both Eighth
and Ninth Plan.
3. Private sector participation in capacity addition was worse among these
three. In eighth plan actual capacity addition almost 50% of the target
set but in ninth plan it was even less than 30% of the target set.
4. Capacity addition of hydro power in state sector was steadily
increasing & phenomenal rise can be observed in ninth plan.
5. Actual capacity addition fell seriously short of target both in Eighth
and Ninth Plan periods.
In short, the post reform performance shows that far from any improvement in
power situation, this sector suffered severe setback.
While many Plan documents claim growth targets of 40-60,000 MW for the
coming 5 Year Plans, and even segment these into state, central, and private,
it is unclear how such growth will be financed or sustained in the current
46
operating environment. Assuming a target of 100,000 MW expansion, which
would less than double the per capita consumption given the increase in
population over 10 years, the estimated investment would be 150 billion US$,
using the rule of thumb (coal-centric) that 1 MW of capacity addition requires
1 billion dollars investment for generation, and half that more for T&D. 15
billion dollars per annum is almost 4% of the GDP, a number too high for
domestic savings rates and budgets alone. This was one of the prime reasons
that the government wanted foreign investment in the power sector, making
this a central feature of the 1991 reforms.
47
Electricity Bill 2001(Power for all by 2012)
There is a major revamping of India’s power sector planned via the Electricity
Bill 2001, which is in Parliament but has not yet been passed. This legislation
was originally planned for 2000, and was renamed for 2001, but the act was
ratified by the parliament only 2003, referred as Electricity Act. 2003.
This would be a major bill, revamping the 1910 and 1948 Laws, and
extending reforms further. Fundamentally, it moves the country towards
power markets, but it provides very little detail on the operations of such a
system, e.g., the role of any Independent System Operator (ISO). It states that
Regional Load Dispatch Centres will be responsible for grid operations, and
failing their abilities or powers, the Central Transmission Unit (i.e., Power
Grid) will take over this role. The Electricity Grid Code referred to in the bill,
as formulated today (Power Grid 2002), states that these entities will not trade
power, but only facilitate power transactions. The Power Trading
Corporation, though designed to trade power, is not set up as an ISO. Both the
Bill and the Code indicate Regional as well as State Load Dispatch Centres.
48
This appears to be a poor design, as the synchronous grid should not operate
with such granularity.
The Electricity Bill 2001 has a strong focus on bulk (High Tension)
consumers, who can get open access to generators (captive or IPPs).
However, it doesn’t indicate how much surcharge the utilities can pose, for
the losses they incur (loss of paying customer) (Mahalingam 2002). This
tension, over paying customers that sustain the cross-subsidies of today, is
one of the major issues facing the Indian power system.
Table 13: Financing Pattern of Central Sector outlay in Tenth Plan (Rs. Crore at
2001-02 prices)
Note: 1.The outlay under Atomic Energy covers both power and R&D programmes. In the
Tenth plan Rs. 25577 are for power 2. The budgetary support for coal includes Rs. 1257.4
cr. And Rs. 8007.6 cr. Under ‘Ninth Plan Realisation’ and ‘Tenth Plan Projections’
respectively for power. (Neyveli Lignite Corporation).
Source: Planning Commission, Draft Tenth Plan, Vol 1, Annexure 3-B.
49
Private Sector Participation in Generation
1. The tariff would constitute two parts- a fixed part comprising return
on equity (RoE), interest on loan capital, depreciation, operations
and maintenance costs (O&M); and a variable part comprising fuel
costs.
50
Clearance & Approvals
In order to clear a thermal project, the CEA requires an approval from the
state government and electricity board concerned, clearance of water
availability, and fuel linkage approval from the petroleum and natural gas
ministry or from the coal ministry. Projects also require environment
clearance and chimney height clearance from the National Airport Authority
of India.
Fuel supply and Transportation: Fuel supply has become a contentious issue
as the supply of coal, naphtha and natural gas is controlled by public sector
units (PSUs). The PSUs are not willing to enter into agreements for assured
supply, mainly due to the lack of experience with such contracts, particularly
with regard to the evaluation and quantification of the associated risk and
premium. Further the Indian Railways, the principal carrier of fuel, is
unwilling to assure uninterrupted supply. The IPPs insist that the penalty for
supply interruptions should cover the loss of revenue (Fixed cost component
of tariff) attributable to the default in fuel supply; some of them suggest that
the penalty could be on the basis of the additional cost incurred in procuring
fuel from alternate sources. PSUs and Railways however contend that it
should be related to the value of the fuel not supplied. In the absence of any
satisfactory resolution to this problem, financial closure is getting delayed
because the lending institutions, understandably, are reluctant to bank on risky
fuel supply agreement (FSA).
51
III. Growth of Power Sector
Global Perspective
Many countries have started reforms in the power sector before India
embarked on reforms. Notable among them were UK, USA, and Latin
American countries like Chile, Argentina, Peru, Columbia, EU Nations and
Australia. Their reforms programs were based on country’s governmental
structure, demographics, socio-economic and political environments and
resource availability. But it was amply clear that those countries had
undertaken restructuring electric utilities were for improving the efficiency,
reducing tariff and to provide better quality of service to consumers, through
competition and consumers would gain from efficiency gains in generation,
transmission and distribution. Restructuring also led to the removal of certain
problems like load shedding, blackouts, and high degree of T&D losses which
includes theft of energy, etc. The private investment has become essential to
pump in additional generation, improvement in transmission and distribution
improvements.
1. United Kingdom
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Privatization of Power Industry
The electricity industry was under public ownership from 1948 to 1990. The
Central Electricity & Generating Board was in charge of generation and
transmission. The Board was engaged in selling the bulk electricity to 12 area
distribution boards. This monopoly resulted in excessive capital costs, over
dependence on high-cost indigenous coal, low productivity growth, low return
on assets and inefficient consumer redressal. The Electricity Act 1989 paved
the way for privatization of electricity industry in UK. The industry was
segregated in to four functions namely Generation, Supply, Transmission &
Distribution. Open access was thus introduced. The basic underlying
objective was to foster retail competition by allowing increasing number of
consumers to shop around for the best service.
The initiatives in this regard were taken as early as 1980s, which were
comprised
1. Generation and Transmission was segregated and all the generating
stations were made in to separate companies.
2. Two generation companies and regional distribution, which was owned
by distributors, were floated on the stock market.
3. A centrally co-ordinated power pool, which acts as a spot market was
created.
4. Generators compete to dispatch to the power pool as well as to enter in
to bilateral contracts with distributors/retailers and end users.
5. Retail competition was allowed for large users.
6. All generators had the open access to the transmission network to
ensure retail competition.
53
even to enter bilateral contracts with distribution companies as well as large
end users. The principle of competition was introduced at every stage and
open access was created for transmission network on payment of wheeling
charges which also allowed retail competition.
Labour productivity doubled in the first six years. There was a market shift in
consumption from coal to natural gas. The prices of coal delivered to power
fell by 20 percent in real term and unit costs fell by about 50 percent.
Privatization resulted in a cost reduction of about 5 to 7.5 percent of prices or
an extra 40 percent return on assets. The price of power fell almost by 20
percent in real terms and unit cost fell by about 50 per cent. Privatization
resulted in a cost reduction of about 5 to 7.5 percent of prices or an extra 40
percent return on assets. The price of power fell by about 20 percent.
54
The Pool
The most innovative reform was the pricing of power sold by the generation
to the Regional Electricity Companies (REC), who are the distributors or
bulk users. In UK, all generators sold power to a pool operated by the national
grid company. The generators would bid to supply power in half hour slots
during a day. The dispatch was done on the basis of merit order of these bids,
as per the demand. The main reasons for establishing the pool were:
55
markets are legally binding arrangements between a buyer and a seller to
deliver and take delivery on a specified future date a quantity of electricity at
a price agreed today on the day of the contract. A short-term spot market
where simple offers and bids for electricity, including demand side reductions
can be traded.
56
From UK experience it became clear that it is possible to introduce and foster
competition that permits consumers to buy directly from producers with
Transmission Company as just for fee, a carrier like road transport business.
In a federal country like USA the situation varies across states. The electricity
industry in the US comprised about 200 vertically integrated privately owned
utilities, over 4000 non-utility generators, about 3000 distribution utilities
including local city controlled utilities and rural electric cooperatives. The
existing legislative framework for regulating electric industries has Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) at the national level and separate
regulatory commission at state level. While most regulatory functions are
exercised at the state level, the federal agency is responsible for regulating
mainly the wholesale trade across the states.
In the US, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) is
promoting an agenda for open access to transmission, and a number of states
and utilities are considering restructuring the industry to set up power pools,
separate generation from other functions and provide better customer service.
Thirteen states in the US have already enacted electric industry restructuring
legislation, five have issued regulatory orders, and all the rest are considering
the issue.
57
with a reform that did not involve wholesale privatization of the electricity
supply industry in such a rich and sophisticated economy, what are the
implications for much less well-endowed countries embarking on the full
menu of reform including privatization?
When a power sector reform like California’s fails, political authorities are
inevitably under strong pressure to “do something” to solve the crisis. In a
special session of the California legislature called by the governor, legislators
introduced more than 75 bills intended to solve one or more aspects of the
crisis. Unfortunately, quick-fix “solutions” often lead to outcomes that can be
inconsistent with the original reform objectives and can produce outcomes
that are even worse than the conditions that triggered the reform. In 2001 the
California and federal governments had proposed or undertaken actions which
include the following:
Forced sales. The U.S. Secretary of Energy issued several orders that
required generators and natural gas suppliers to continue selling to non-
creditworthy California buyers.
Government energy trader. A new state law authorizes the state government
to spend up to $10 billion on the state’s credit to purchase wholesale
electricity that can be resold to the three large privately owned utilities.
“Nationalization” of the grid. The State of California may become the new
owner of the portion of the high-voltage transmission grid currently owned by
the three large privately owned utilities.
58
“Balkanization” of wholesale electricity trade. The state’s Assembly has
passed a bill that would make it difficult to export electricity produced from
new generating plants located in California to buyers outside the state.
Following the overview, the main text is divided into two parts. Part I
discusses in depth the lessons learned, which concern mainly the
establishment and regulation of a mandatory, wholesale power market based
59
on spot pricing. Since this is not a near-term option for many developing
countries, the paper also describes other, more-limited forms of competition
that may suit their situations. Although privatization was not an element of
California’s reform, the state’s experience does indirectly provide important
lessons for the privatization and regulation of distribution enterprises and new
market entities in developing countries.
Part II details the specific reforms initiated in California, reviews the factors
that led to the crisis, and examines whether the crisis could have been avoided
through better market design and management. The paper draws on numerous
sources such as published articles, reports and websites, as well as the
working experience of World Bank staff in numerous countries.
Key Features
• The three privately owned utilities were “encouraged” to sell off their
generating plants but without any vesting contracts to buy back the
output of plants.
• Both the Cal ISO and Cal PX were governed by large boards, each of
which was made up of more than 30 stakeholder and non-stakeholder
members.
61
How the California Reform Differs from Other Power Sector Reforms
• Distribution companies and others who serve retail customers were not
required to own or have under contract sufficient generation capacity
to meet their peak demands.
62
The Crisis
63
Even more widespread blackouts are expected in the upcoming
summer.
• The Cal PX ceased to operate its two markets on January 31, 2001.
The Lessons
64
entities in developing countries, even though privatization was not an
element of California’s reform.
Almost two decades after the beginning of the UK experiment in the power
sector reforms and privatization, many other countries have either adopted or
are adopting a model that promotes competition in the power market to
achieve economic efficiency and higher quality services, as well as lower
consumer prices for electricity.
A. Brazil
Brazil started its power sector reform in the mid nineties implementing
changes in the management, organization, ownership and decision-making of
its electricity sector. Privatization was one of the initial steps of the process
which aimed to attract private investments and create competition within the
industry. As these changes have taken place it was observed that public
interest activities related to energy efficiency and R&D undertaken in the past
by state-owned utilities also changed.
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centralised planning ended. Centralised government planning previously
required that ELETROBRÁS, the state national holding electrical utility,
organised, planned, financed, built, and operated the entire electrical power
system. The 2015 Power Sector Plan (ELETROBRÁS 1994) was the last
edition of a periodically updated document that served in the past to focus
ELETROBRÁS’ resources and those of its subsidiaries. Now, however, the
Plan is only indicative of the course that overall system expansion may
follow, not a plan for which ELETROBRÁS is directly responsible for the
implementation. The new system is based on the premises that it should foster
competition where possible (generation and commercialisation of electricity)
and regulate where necessary (transmission and distribution – monopolies
with open access). The restructuring process started with de-verticalisation
and the privatisation of distributing utilities. By 2001 more than 80% of the
electricity sold in the country is done by privatised distributing companies.
This contrasts with the situation found in the generating side, which is still
dominated by state owned companies and only 30% of generating capacity is
done by private enterprises. The new system re-defined the role of the public
sector which is no longer the main financial agent, planner, but now
responsible for the indicative planning for generation and normative for
transmission and regulator.
Reforms included the creation of the National Energy Policy Council (NEPC)
which is designed to be the most important body to determine overall energy
policies that can shape the future development of the sector and its
commitments towards sustainability. However, although created in 1997,
NEPC only had its first meeting in year 2000, and has met only to decide on
specific actions since then. It has not set out a national energy policy that
should guide long term actions for the sector. NEPC is responsible for macro-
energy policies, including division of federal/state responsibilities. The
committee includes a wide range of ministries representatives and is chaired
by the Minister of Mines and Energy.
66
In late December 1996 the Brazilian Congress passed a law creating the
Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica (ANEEL). Until then all utilities being
privatized were regulated only by the terms of the contract at the time of the
sale of assets by the public utility. This new agency has been entrusted with
regulatory oversight of the restructured Brazilian electric industry. Initially
ANEEL relied on the structure of the previous DNAEE, or National
Department of Electric Energy, a now-extinct MME department, and started
to function only in December 1997. ANEEL is responsible for setting up the
regulatory regime necessary to provide the right signals to the market and
other measures in accordance with national energy policies that should be
promulgated by NEPC. ANEEL regulates the power sector, sets guidelines for
tariffs and rate-making, approves tariffs, and has the authority to grant
concessions to service providers.
After six years of the first privatised utility Brazil faced a severe electricity
shortage and had to implement a rationing plan during June /2001-
February/2002 (Table 1). This crisis resulted largely due to the absence of
national energy planning and energy policy guidelines that should shape clear
regulation which are needed for private investors to assess their risks and
returns on investments. The end result was the lack of investments in
67
generation and transmission lines that have not come in the expected speed
and amount.
Lessons learned
It is very unlikely that initiatives in energy efficiency and R&D would have
taken place without the regulators’ enforcement in 1998 and later with the
implementation of Bill 9.991/00 by the National Congress. Power sector
reforms in Brazil provided the opportunity to enhance support and in fact
increase significantly the level of funding in these areas. However, provisions
in legislation alone are not sufficient condition to ensure that resources are
being used efficiently to maximize the public interest of energy-related
services. Analysing the country’s experience since 1998, it was observer an
important learning process within the regulator and also amongst the utilities.
Some utilities are perceiving the strategic importance of pursuing activities in
R&D, such as the technical improvement of their own staff, some small
companies are appearing as results of some more successful projects and a
better relationship between research centres and universities is being
developed (ABRADEE, 2003). This is a significant change in the relationship
with utilities and research establishments in the country. It also helped to
promote interesting spill over effects inducing the creating of new businesses
represented by small consulting firms and ESCOs. The experience with the
68
public benefit fund CTEnerg is more recent. However it is illustrative that it
has invested much less than the amounts invested under the regulated utilities
efficiency and R&D programmes. The federal government has limited annual
spending in order to comply with macro-economic targets for public spending
and CTEnerg has been affected by these types of interventions.
B. Argentina
69
losses due to theft and non-payment and periodic threats of blackouts,
aggravated in times of low rainfall by a large dependence on power from
hydroelectric stations.
The goal of the reform process was to have an electricity industry that was
capable of ensuring sufficient energy to the economy at the best price which
reflected the economic costs of maintaining and expanding the activity. It was
also driven by the increasing inability of the government to service the public
debt and the need to attract private investment into the sector.
In January 1992, the electricity privatisation law was passed. The reform was
based on the principle of open access to the wholesale capacity, energy pool
for generating facility & least cost dispatch. A national regulatory body,
ENRE (Ente Nacional Regulador de la Electricidad) and a national wholesale
market for electricity (CAMMESA) were established. Transmission and
dispatch were mandatorily separated from generation and distribution and no
generator was allowed to control more than 10% of the system’s capacity.
70
success of the privatisation depended to a great extent on the regulatory and
commercial environment as determined by ENRE and CAMMESA.
Demand and supply determine energy prices. The supply side of the
wholesale market is composed of independent power producers, privatised
generators, publicly owned generators, and imported electricity. The demand
side of the market is made up of private and public distribution companies,
large users (currently more than 100kWh annually) and foreign consumers.
There are three main types of prices: contractual, seasonal and spot.
Transmission and distribution prices (for supplies through distribution
companies) are regulated.
Effect of reforms
1. Low prices & higher reliability- Following the reform process, electricity
prices fell sharply. After a period of turbulence, they stabilised at around half
the pre privatisation levels (See Figure 4). The extent of outages also reduced
considerably (See Figure 5). In EDENOR’s distribution areas, outages fell
from over 20 hours to around 5 hours a year. Generators were fitted with
71
power system stabilisers, which permitted minimal disconnection of
generating capacity while addressing transmission faults.
Conclusion
The Argentine experience demonstrates that it is possible to effect measurable
changes in a state-owned electricity sector suffering from lack of funds and
inefficient management, within a reasonably short time frame. A number of
problems that plagued Argentina, such as high distribution losses, low
generator availability are similar to what India faces today. The Argentine
power system is much smaller, and has a better hydro thermal mix when
compared to Indian power system as a whole, but it may prove profitable to
examine the Argentine experience to see whether it would help with the
design of reform in India.
The majority of states in India have started the reforms process, mostly in the last
few years. Even before official reforms, Karnataka had the first semi-unbundled
power sector in the country, with a separate PSU in charge of generation,
72
Karnataka Power Company Limited (KPC), established in 1970. However, there
was still some capacity with the SEB, and true unbundling didn’t begin in India
until 1995-96, with Orissa’s reforms. Even Orissa had a PSU for generating
thermal capacity, but this was not considered an unbundled sector, with some
capacity remaining with the Orissa SEB. We present below some details on the
restructuring of various states, focusing on Orissa, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra
and New Delhi.
Orissa was not only a forerunner, but its reforms were under the aegis of the World
Bank. Andhra Pradesh has also been ahead in reforms, and has received extensive
World Bank funding for its reforms. Delhi, the capital, was unique in that its
utility had extremely high losses (40+ %), despite virtually no agriculture. This
very recently underwent full reforms with privatization of distribution, only the
second in India after Orissa. There are indications that Delhi’s reforms incorporate
lessons learned from the mistakes of Orissa.
Modes of Reform
While Orissa’s reform done with privatization, most of the subsequent states,
up until Delhi in 2002, reformed with corporatisation (unbundling) of the
SEBs across segments. Even when different distribution companies were set
up, these were on a geographic basis, 57 with no competition for retail
customers. Given the nature of the industry, institutionally there are no
structural barriers to competition in the generation sector. GENCOs already
share the market with Central PSUs and IPPs (it is a different matter that the
dispatch norms and tariff agreements don’t lead to real competition).
India appears to be relying on the single buyer model for now (making the
role of TRANSCO special – monopoly seller to DISTCOs, and monopsony
buyer from the GENCOs). While there is recognition of the pros and cons of a
single-buyer model, the government hopes this is a transitional solution,
73
leading to open access to the wires (Deepak Parekh Expert Committee on
State Specific Reforms 2002). Instead of the transmission companies,
privatizing the handful of DISCOMs per state appears to be the thrust of the
government. However, a large number of options were considered by the
government, as indicated in Figure 7.
After the March 2001 Chief Minister’s conference, there was a consensus to
find a solution to the outstanding SEB dues (to PSUs), then about 41 thousand
crore Rupees (of which interest/surcharge was almost 16 thousand crore).
Under the Chairmanship of Montek Singh Ahluwalia, former Finance
Secretary, the Expert Group on Settlement of SEB Dues submitted its report
in May 2001. The aim was to come up with a one-time settlement scheme to
ensure timely payments in future. The report suggests reducing the surcharges
by 50%, and securitizing the remaining dues through the issuance of bonds by
the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). If the SEBs fails to pay for their fuel/power
in the future, this would impact their central assistance and access to coal
supplies. The report also recommended incentivizing states to undergo
reforms (Ahluwalia 2001), including establishing State Electricity Regulatory
Commissions, and metering distribution transformers. It is important to
recognize, as indicated in the Report, that the main challenge is the ongoing
(future) financial viability of the power sector, and clearing off the debts will
not solve that. SEBs complains that their finances consist largely of loans, and
conversion to equity would improve their finances significantly. However, it
remains unclear how much such a one-time solution would cater to solvency
improvement, instead of mere liquidity improvement, that is, unless, their
debt be wiped off, and the equity is allowed to operate with no minimum
returns requirement? In such a case, the State balance sheets would take a hit.
Overall, states find it easier to access funds after undergoing reforms,
74
especially corporatization. These entities can access state, central government,
and even international (multi-lateral agency) funding.
75
The overall financial position of APSEB deteriorated and the SEB started
incurring losses, which resulted in greater dependence on the state
government. The accumulated losses of APSEB as on Mar 31, 1998 were
estimated to be Rs. 41 billion (excluding subsidy from the state government).
The poor financial viability came in the way of APSEB’s ability to further
develop the power sector.
But this lofty promise made them a political target, and power sector reform
promises to be one of the largest election issues in the state. As mentioned
before, protests against tariff hikes in 2000 turned violent, but the AP
government still vowed to proceed with reforms. When considering the
success of AP’s reforms, political will is possibly the most important factor,
coupled with the efforts of management at the utilities. The key has been not
only efforts at policy, but execution.
In looking at the reforms, the first step was likely the 1995 high level
committee, chaired by Hiten Bhaya, to suggest reforms to be introduced in
the power sector (Reddy 2000). While focusing on unbundling APSEB and
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operating on commercial lines, as well as tariff rationalization, the World
Bank commented that the Hiten Bhaya Report didn’t go far enough with the
reforms process. The regulatory commission should focus on all tariffs, and
full unbundling, without holding companies, should be the way forward. The
World Bank also advocated a minimum 50 ps/kWh for agriculture. While the
AP government stated the WB role was only advisory, studying the reform
paper showed nearly full correlation with such recommendations (Reddy
2000). Driving ahead with reforms, the government pushed the Andhra
Pradesh Electricity Reforms Act of 1998 through with stunning speed. The
Telugu Desam Party government introduced the Bill on April 27, 1998, which
was passed within one day. Helping ensure its smooth passage, the entire
opposition was suspended from the Assembly (Reddy 2000).
Because of its reform programs, AP was the beneficiary of the major portion
of World Bank funding in India, and it received 6,600 crore of loans towards
total reforms, two-thirds of which were for the Andhra Pradesh Power Sector
Restructuring Program. These loans were under the Adaptable Program Loan
(APL). Such disbursements were despite sanctions imposed on India after its
May 1998 nuclear tests.
Implementation of Reforms
77
sector was primarily aimed to increase operational efficiencies and to allow
these entities to function independently and put them in decision taking mode.
More than 90% of the employees were allotted to the company of their
choice. The new power generation projects would be mainly developed by the
Independent Power Producers (IPPs) selected through International
Competitive Bidding (ICB) and joint venture companies of APGENCO with
private parties, other states or central undertakings.
Power Transmission
The power transmission network from 132KV and above including O&M of
interstate tie lines in the state, have been entrusted to APTRANSCO. It is
responsible for purchase of power from all purchasing sources under a
competitive and transparent power purchase process and dispatch power on
merit order basis, so as to avail the least cost power available in the grid. The
pooled power is being supplied to the different distribution companies. It is
also responsible for grid operations. The private sector may also be allowed in
developing power transmission networks, in future, keeping in view the
national policy.
Power Distribution
78
government and the new companies signed corporatization Agreements to
specify the role, rights and obligations of the state government as owner and
give managerial, operational and financial autonomy to the companies to
perform.
Regulations of the Power Sector
Andhra Pradesh has followed the Orissa model. It is expected that the
progress would be rapid as compared to Orissa as the state had demonstrated
strong political will to improve the infrastructure and to attract private
investment in to various sectors of the economy.
Business Plan
While approving the original plan, the state government has agreed to provide
financial assistance to the sector during the transition period till the sector
achieves a turn around and ceases to be a burden on state government
finances.
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Demand Side Management (DSM)
The power sector reforms will also tackle issues such as energy efficiency and
demand side management to improve efficiency in supply and end-use of
electricity, introduction of tariff linked DSM; time-of-day tariffs for certain
categories of customers to flatten load curve and to meet the peak demand,
improvement of efficiency of agriculture pumps, installation of capacitors and
installation of meters on all unmetered supplies and conservation of energy
with incentives and disincentives. Awareness campaigns will be launched to
promote energy conservation. All resources of energy will be encouraged and
various options to bring in demand-side-management measures will be
explored.
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also providing $2.7 million as technical assistance grant to the
power sector.
• PFC is extending support to the tune of Rs. 275 crores out of which
Rs. 113 crores towards counterpart funding for the projects funded
by World Bank and OECF. PFC also sanctioned a loan of Rs. 240
crores for transmission and distribution schemes.
The APERC is considered independent, and has a retired Civil Servant as its
Chairman, a tax official as its member and former APSEB officers. It has a
strength of 60 staff members (high for SERCs in India), and has issued some
unique pronouncements in terms of power. They have published a “cost to
serve” model, whereby the different classes of consumers have different costs
explicitly calculated on economic grounds. They have also issued an order to
the utilities to meter all consumers within 3 years. The APERC tariff orders
have been challenged in the courts, but the Tariff Order for 2000-01 was
upheld in the Supreme Court in March 2002. Many more cases were ongoing
81
in the Supreme Court (6 cases) and the High Court (nearly 100 cases) in 2001
(Prayas 2001).
This is the third tariff order promulgated by APERC, and follows the model
whereby tariffs are determined by the APERC, and utilities must follow the
pricing models. An Annual Revenue Requirement (ARR) analysis leads to the
costs that each utility would face, and any shortfall from the revenues must be
borne by the State. APERC allowed explicit subsidy by the state, which had
to be paid to the DISTCOs. APERC announced Bulk Supply Tariffs (BST)
that the Transco would charge the DISTCOs (aka Discom). In arriving at its
calculations, APERC invited petitions and presentations from various parties,
not only the utilities and the State, but also consumers. Notable among the
challenges to submitted information were the transmission losses claimed by
APTRANSCO, and the amount of consumption by agriculture (submitted by
the DISTCOs). As per APERC, “The tariff design was further rationalized to
achieve the objectives set forth in the Reform Act of 1998. Attention was on
i) rationalization of categories; ii) rationalization of tariffs and iii) incentives
for incremental consumption by HT consumers.”
The tariff order modified the slabs as well as the tariffs for many consumers,
and introduced an optional metered tariff for agriculture. Any takers-up could
find lower tariffs than the flat-rate tariff, assuming low to normal
consumption. There were also incentives to consumer more electricity for
bulk consumers (industry), with rebates given for higher usage.
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Enactment of “Anti Pilferage Legislation” in July 2000 providing for
very stiff penalty including mandatory imprisonment for a minimum
period of 3 months and a maximum of 5 years in addition to a penalty
varying from Rs. 5,000 to Rs. 50,000. The Act also provides for
denying electricity supply for 2 years to the premises where the offense
is committed and proved. Special Courts have been set up for speedy
trial of these offences. The tempo of inspections is being maintained
and all out efforts are being made to curb the menace of theft of energy
in the state. Consumer Analysis Tool (CAT) facilitates organizing raids
for detection of pilferage of energy. This has also helped in bringing
down the T&D losses. The T&D losses have come down from 38 per
cent in 1998-99 to 24.8 per cent in 2002-03 which was possible due to
introduction of metering at all interface points coupled with
enforcement of the Anti Theft Act.
The utilities have provided tamper-proof high accuracy meters for high
value services and installed 21,000 energy meters on low voltage side
of transformers exclusively feeding agricultural consumption in the
state. A massive metering plan is being implemented in the state, 2.8
million energy meters are already installed. The programme envisaged
fixing of HT & LT electronic meters on industrial services and
providing one lakh LT 3 Phase electronic meters on High Value
services and three lakhs single phase electronic meters for replacing
defective meters. The utilities have also provided exclusive express
feeders to high revenue yielding industrial services by bifurcating 702
existing mixed feeders in an effort to improve the reliability of supply
to industrial consumers which would result in better revenue.
83
The introduction of electronic spot billing system in all the towns using
a handheld computer has facilitated the issue of bills on the spot, which
has facilitated the issue of bills on the spot, which has also reduced the
number of complaints relating to the wrong meter reading, wrong
billing etc.
These efforts have helped in bringing down T&D losses from 38 per cent to
24.8 per cent i.e. a ten per cent reduction within 03 years. The revenues have
increased from Rs. 4,484 cr. To Rs. 7,238 cr. (2002-03) in the last 03 years
period, especially against revenue demand of Rs. 6,434 cr. The percentage of
collection of revenue has increased substantially. Realisation of cost per unit
has increased from 57 per cent to 82.5 per cent. Percentage of transformer
failures has come down from 28 per cent to 18 per cent. This has been
possible due to introduction of technology to reduce human intervention.
84
CRISIL Rated Andhra Pradesh as the Best Utility in Implementing
Reforms
The power sector in Andhra Pradesh has been making steady progress in
achieving its cherished objectives while adopting the reform path. There is,
undoubtedly, a significant improvement in technical, financial and
commercial operations of the companies. Significant improvements are also
seen in metering, billing, revenue collection and reduction of losses especially
through the control of theft energy by implementing stringent punitive
measures. There has been marked improvement in consumer related services.
Several states are evincing keen interest in the progress made by A.P power
sector.
The CRISIL and ICRA have undertaken the performance analysis of all the
SEBs across the country to assess the commitment of the state governments
for reforms, performance of SERC’s and utilities. The state governments were
evaluated on their commitment on subsidy payments, outlook on tariff
reforms and enabling legislation, and operational support extended to the
utilities to tone up their functioning and implement the reform agenda. The
SERCs were evaluated on their tariff philosophy, efficiency norms,
implementation of tariff orders, while ensuring commercial operations and
protection of interest of consumers, utilities, investor and lenders. The utilities
were assessed on performance of generation and T&D related parameters. The
financial performance was measured on cost-revenue analysis, level of
receivables and liabilities.
Andhra Pradesh stood first among the states in three of the four sub-
parameters viz. payment of subsidy, and commitment for reforms, role of
SERC and the performance of successor utilities to SEB. However it occupied
third position after Karnataka and Maharashtra in respect of financial risk
85
analysis. It has however pointed out that further focus is needed to further
improve operational and commercial efficiency as well as improve customer
service. The utilities in A.P have planned several initiatives in operational,
commercial and consumer service, to show better results in the near future.
While there is no doubt about the existence of considerable scope for further
improving the technical, financial and commercial parameter, the A.P
experience demonstrated that improvement can be achieved by the utilities
given the will and the support by the government and the SERC, even without
privatization.
86
only by restructuring and reforming the power sector. While the farmer
certainly needs relief during the periods of drought as it is during 2003-
04, there should be gradual increase in tariffs to cover sizable portion
of cost of supply. It is therefore imperative that there’s a need to build
up consensus among the major national political parties on the need to
reform the electricity sector especially in respect of agricultural tariffs.
The state government should take the lead in building up such
consensus in the overall national interest.
87
It appears that the government owned utilities in Andhra Pradesh have
not been able to use this forum to present a true picture of the costs and
performance levels to improve their commercial viability. The tariff
proposals received from the utilities do not seem to reflect the
economic costs of the supply. The utilities have been optimistic in
forecasting higher percentages of sales to subsidizing categories of
industrial and commercial sectors than subsidized categories of
agricultural and domestic consumers with a view to preventing fixation
of realistic tariffs and making the regulator to enhance the tariffs,
though have not been projected by the utilities themselves to ensure
their financial viability.
88
operations, the licensees’ supplies to agriculture are dictated by the
government rather than any financial or other guiding principle. It is
necessary to make realistic estimates about agriculture consumption
and encourage growing of less water intensive crops.
89
points, regularization of the unauthorized consumers, metering of all
services, proper recovery of dues, etc. The commission is forced to go
in for alternatives like distribution transformer level metering to
estimate the quantum of agricultural consumption in the state which
does not give accurate picture about T & D losses.
While the revenue gaps faced by the licensees have been stabilized
around Rs. 3,000 crores per year, they being Rs. 3,064 crore for 1999-
2000, Rs. 2,872 crore for 2000-01 and Rs. 2,942 crores for 2001-02
supported by subsidies by the Government, any such support is also
affected by other factors like additional support for debt repayment for
the licensees, Government of Andhra Pradesh support for capital
investment plans, electricity duty, water royalty, interstate power
purchase, guarantee commission, interest of repayment of Government
of Andhra Pradesh loans etc. The net input from Government for 2001-
02 is reduced to Rs. 2,378 crores which is a positive signal. It is also
noticed that the cross subsidy from other consumers to agricultural
consumers continue to be over a Rs. 1,000 crores or even more. The
Government of Andhra Pradesh still continues to pay substantial
amount towards power subsidy, thereby not allowing the tariffs to be
fixed on cost related basis which obviously deprives the other socio
90
economic and infrastructure sectors their rightful claims. While the
cost of supply is steadily increasing year after year, the government
prefers to extend subsidies to the various segments, instead of bridging
the gap between cost of supply and average tariff.
The current electricity sector reform programme has not yet reached its
logical conclusion. The introduction of private entities and competition
for market is still to be attempted. Regarding APERC’s efforts towards
making the distribution domain investor-friendly, the APERC have
recently enunciated the draft for the Long Term Tariff Principles, the
first of its kind of document in India. These principles will help the
investor in determining his revenue requirements over a period and
result in tightening of efficiencies so as to ensure that the customers are
benefited over the long run. These will be crucial in the privatization
process in AP. The Government of Andhra Pradesh should go in for
privatization in joint sector mode at least in one or two distribution
companies, which would demonstrate to all the stake holders,
especially to the consumers the benefits of privatization. It is necessary
to fulfil certain prerequisites by the government before any private
investor would be willing to take on the distribution business. All these
measures are required to be undertaken expeditiously to take reform to
its logical conclusion.
91
Reforms in Delhi
Delhi, the state that includes the capital, New Delhi, used to have its power
supplied by the Delhi Vidyut Board (DVB). DVB, itself the reincarnation of
the Delhi Electric Supply Undertaking (DESU), was in the extreme position
of having very little generating assets, some 300 MW, relying on outside
(largely central) generators for its power (peak loads are over 3,000 MW).
Despite being an urban area, and hence, almost no agriculture, the theft
and losses were very high, estimated at 45+%.
While most other states underwent or are undergoing reforms in stages, Delhi
underwent reforms with a bang, though the initial reforms came under the
central government ERC Act of 1998, creating the Delhi ERC in 1999. The
Delhi Electricity Reform Ordinance was promulgated in October 2000 and
was replaced by the Delhi Electricity Reform Act, 2000. It’s worth noting that
the Delhi ERC is understaffed, in fact lacking 2 Commissioners (it only has
one Member, the Chairman). Subsequent reforms were undertaken in 2002,
when it unbundled its utility (into 3 zones) and privatized them at once (June
27, 2002).
Learning from the Orissa experience, the main metric for choosing companies
was not based on valuation, but on performance improvement goals. The
DISTCOs annual revenue requirements are calculated based on their
expenditure, performance (targets), and return on equity (16%). They pay the
Transco, a government company, a realistic lower amount, based on the
collection. Over time (5 years), this amount would match up to the full costs.
In the interim, the Transco will receive Rs, 3,250 crore as subsidy to cover its
costs to generators vis-à-vis the lower amount of money the DISTCOs would
be paying. One other feature is the retail tariffs are known to the DISTCOs in
advance, and were fixed by the ERC. The Delhi ERC also announced the total
losses in the 3 circles, averaging 50.7%!
92
Details of the process of choosing the companies are given below, based on
the Distribution Policy Committee Report (Ministry of Power 2002) and
discussions with Government of India and DISTCOs officials.
93
• Baseline data: The Bulk Supply Tariff Order has been released by the
Regulatory Commission in response to the filing by DVB before
bidding closed.
The stated losses (subsidy requirement) for the 5 year period (covered by
support to the TRANSCO) will be Rs. 3, 250 crore. These are reported to be
in the form of a loan, under terms to be worked out subsequently. It would be
important to consider various exit strategies, in case the TRANSCO is unable
to repay the loan. In comparison, just before the reforms, from 2.4 million
customers, and 19 billion kWh of sales, an annual revenue of 5,400 crore was
required, with a gap of 1,100 crore rupees. The bidding processing revealed
the issue of limited players, as initial interest was shown only by 6 parties.
Only Tatas and BSES submitted final bids, and only BSES submitted bids for
all the 3 zones. Tatas won the North West Delhi Distribution Company, while
BSES took the South West and Central East Companies.
The main risks they face are that they either fail to meet the loss reduction
performance targets, or they fail to collect from consumers. They state the
government has been quite supportive, including by passing an anti-theft law,
making electricity theft a cognizable offense. It also gives them power to
disconnect non-paying users, even government users. While the DISTCOs
mention they worry about the accuracy of data, fearing Orissa-like effects, the
reverse is true from the consumer and system perspective. Without accurate
benchmarking, the DISTCOs might have an incentive to petition the ERC that
the initial losses are actually higher than they truly are.
94
BSES states that labour is a non-trivial issue, as the workforce was handed
down as part of the privatization process. Nonetheless, they say the bigger
cost is infrastructure upgrading, to improve operations, metering, and
collection. Some of the recent ERC orders they must comply with are the
installation of electronic (solid state) meters, and metering on all the
distribution transformers.
TRANSCO Owns the transmission network of DVB and also acts as a bulk
buyer from generating stations and the bulk supplier to the
DISCOMS
95
The Reform Process
Privatization of Distribution
iii. 51 per cent equity shares shall be offered at face value to the winning
bidder.
96
iv. The retail tariffs for three distribution licensees shall be identical till
the end of 2006-07.
v. Till the end of 2006-07, tariffs shall be determined in such a way that
the distribution licensees earn, at least 16 per cent return on the issued
and paid up capital and free reserves.
The financial restructuring was needed to ensure that the balance sheet of
DVB’s successor entities carried liabilities which were serviceable and
sustainable.
• Analysis of Liabilities
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• Power and Fuel Purchase Liability
DVB has not been able to pay for its power and fuel purchase dues
from the Badarpur Power Station (BTPS) and central PSUs and all
such dues of DVB, prior to its constitution in February 1997 were left
with the Government. These dues could then be converted into long
term bonds thereby reducing the upfront cash burden on the
government.
In the initial years, the DISCOMS would in all likelihood suffer losses,
inter alia, due to high T & D losses. The DVB was not the only SEB
which was incurring losses and all the SEBs in view of their poor
physical, financial and commercial operations are expected to incur
losses in the initial years after reforms are initiated. Unless these losses
98
are funded by the Government, it will be difficult to attract private
sector in the distribution business. The methods which could be used
for funding losses are tariff increases, subsidy from the state
government, rising of debt funds from the market, deferred payments
due to TRANSCO and special debt liability in the opening balance
sheet. Even after considering reasonable tariff increases, the
DISCOMS are likely to incur losses as large increase in tariffs,
immediately after reforms, would create strong public resentment,
which needs to be avoided. It was also necessary to recognise, the
payment of large amount of subsidy would be a significant burden on
the finances of Government, which are none too satisfactory. The debt
funds would have only helped the DISCOMs in wiping out cash losses.
The deferred payment terms for payments due to TRANSCO has been
used by Orissa in privatization of distribution. However, to prevent
TRANSCO from defaulting on its own power purchase commitments
to the generation companies, the government had to infuse debt
funds into TRANSCO equal to the amount on which moratorium
was being allowed to the DISCOMS. Although the above structure
takes care of the cash losses, the losses in the profit and loss account
are not affected by this structure. Under special debt liability in the
opening balance sheet of the DISCOMS, debt funds were to be raised
from the financial markets backed by Government guarantee to take
care of cash losses. The losses in the profit and loss account were taken
care of by creating a special debt liability in favour of Government in
the opening balance sheet of the DISCOMS; this special debt liability
shall be written off in the first three years. This appears to be a
preferred option.
99
• Unique Bidding Selection
100
bid gave the highest net present value became the highest bidder.
In order to encourage and motivate the bidders, it was also laid down
that successful bidder can retain 50 per cent of the additional revenue
recovered over and above the minimum target fixed by the government
and the balance 50 per cent of any excess efficiency gain shall be
passed on to the consumers. Since, the government holds the 49 per
cent of the equity of the companies, effectively only about 25 per cent
of the additional revenue will accrue to the private sector and 75 per
cent to the government and consumer.
In Delhi, efficiency improvement targets for five years have been set in
advance during the bidding process, which also gives legitimacy to the
targets and the private companies are fully aware of the improvements
required to be carried by them well in advance. The Government of
Delhi have given the regulatory policy directions whereby the regulator
will set the tariffs for five years based on the efficiency improvements
bid. In Orissa, the distribution companies did not know what the
regulator would decide next year on efficiency improvements. The
Delhi Government has given loan assistance to the TRANSCO to
keep the bulk supply tariff at a reasonable level and this was
basically done to avoid a tariff shock to the consumers. In Orissa,
the entire burden was borne by the consumers.
101
reforms. It may be noted that Delhi approach of taking AT&C loss
as the base for efficiency monitoring, appears to be a better step
than the usual practice of taking the T&D losses which have not
been scientifically assessed. The investors were made to bid on the
loss reduction targets over the reopening losses determined by DERC
for first five years and on the efficiency, in sharp contrast to Orissa,
where the bidding was done on the value of the assets. During the
regulatory proceedings, the Government clarified that prior to the
bidding it shall stipulate the minimum loss reductions to be achieved
each year for the next five years, so as to make the sector self
sustaining within a period of five years. If the distribution company
achieves the loss reduction as per their bid, they would be able to
earn 16 per cent return on the issued and paid up capital and free
reserves till the end of 2006-07 subject to recovery of all expenses as
permitted by DERC. The incentive would be awarded only if the loss
reduction is higher than the level proposed by the investor.
1. Holding Company
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2. Baseline Data on Losses
4. Bidding Process
There was a major difference in the criteria for bidder selection even
though Delhi also went through competitive bidding process. The
bidder was selected in Orissa on the basis of highest offer for
acquiring 51 per cent of the shares, the criteria for selection in Delhi
was based on maximum reduction in AT&C losses over a five year
103
period and excess reduction, over the level mutually agreed, the
licensees would retain 50 per cent of the revenue thud recovered,
which would be shared between the joint venture partners and the
remaining 50 per cent shall be passed on to the consumers.
5. Government Support
If actual AT&C loss reduction is less than the target for that year, the entire
shortfall in revenue because of the same shall be borne by the distribution
licensee. The tariffs till the end of 2006-07, subject to that all expenses shall
be permitted by the DERC, be determined in such a way that the distribution
licensees earn at least 16 per cent return on the issued and paid up capital and
free reserves subject to approval of SERC. The retail tariffs for the three
distribution licensees shall be identical till the end of 2006-07.
104
The Government of NCT of Delhi will provide Rs. 3,450 crore as loan
(Initially Rs. 2,600 crores) during the transition period of five years to the
TRANSCO. The Government’s decision to provide a loan of Rs. 3,450 crores
to TRANSCO for five years, which would help to keep down the tariffs and
help the consumers, is an improvement over Orissa experiment. Similarly
incentives provided for better performance in respect of AT&C, is also a step
in the right direction.
Another area of criticism has been the single buyer model adopted by Delhi,
which makes mandatory for all the DISCOMs to buy power through
TRANSCO and sell only through TRANSCO. It appears the present
arrangement of TRANSCO selling power to these companies is only an
interim arrangement and thereafter, the DISCOMs would have the
flexibility to buy power from anyone. While in the long run, it is desirable to
encourage competition among the buyers and sellers of power, presently this
arrangement would help these two companies to concentrate on
improvements in power distribution as both the companies will have their
hands full in managing the power distribution. The two private companies
would have to make special efforts to bring about improvements in customer
services, metering, billing, collection of revenue and control on theft.
105
The state Government should continue to support the private companies, till
the operations are stabilized and by legislating anti-theft laws, which would
go a long way in curbing T&D losses.
The DISCOMs can anvil financial support under the Accelerated Power
Development and Reforms Programme. The government has not yet enacted
Anti Theft Act, which it is hoped would be done sooner than later.
Keeping in mind the precarious state of the power sector in Delhi, both
TATAs and BSES have formulated a multi-pronged strategy to battle tough
times ahead by conducting energy audits, audits at the distribution
transformer level, cutting down AT&C losses, enhancing reliability,
improving collections and fostering employee efficiency. The private
companies are having massive programmes to install new meters and replace
the old meters in a time bound programme, as they attach considerable
importance to these from commercial point of view. Both the companies have
stepped up anti-theft drive. To enhance revenue stream, the billing and
collection system have been streamlined. As on line computerized billing
system has been put in place. To improve system reliability, the distribution
system including HT and LT network are being augmented and strengthened
repairs, replacements and life extensions of equipment is being done.
Maintenance programmes are given prominence. Massive programme for
installation/repair of capacitors is undertaken to reduce the reactive power so
as to improve the voltage. The DISCOMs have also started outsourcing
critical commercial activities like consumer survey route sequencing, meter
reading, billing etc. Intensive training programme of employee has been
undertaken. The results of all these initiatives have started showing in the
increased operational efficiency, in reduction of AT&C losses, improvements
in the revenue collections, decline in failure of transformers. While it is too
106
early to comment on the results of privatization, it is hoped that the overall
power situation will be better than what it had been during DVB period. It
needs to be realised that the problems of the power sector have been
accumulated over a period of 50 years. There are no easy solutions and instant
cure for Delhi’s growing power problems. The change of mindset, perception
and attitudes of the employees, bureaucracy, public, consumers, elected
representatives and the Government is an essential pre-requisite to make
privatization of power distribution a success. The successes of DISCOMs are
critical for the future application of the Delhi distribution model to other
states.
One of the major constraints faced in Delhi is its almost total dependence on
the generation from central units for its power supply, as its demand is far
more than the ramshackle power stations, within the capital, can cope with.
DVB has an installed capacity of 694 MW but normal generation is about 350
MW. Delhi’s power generation capacity has not been augmented. The thermal
plants are all of obsolete technology. Over-dependence on Northern grid has
also its limitations, due to competing demands on the system. The power from
all sources put together is always less than the demand at peak hours and the
problems get compounded during summer and winter, Delhi is forced to buy
power not only from Northern Grid but also from far flung areas. In contrast,
the relatively uninterrupted power supply in Mumbai is due to TATA and
BSES, who together have an installed capacity of 2,300 MW and which is
further supplemented by MSEB. This generation capacity is further
strengthened by 400 KV ring main sub-stations with islanding facilities, so
that whenever there are system disturbances either in MSEB grid and/or
western grid, Mumbai system isolates itself, as happened even on 1st of
107
August 2002 thereby providing bare minimum power supply, at least, to run
the essential services like Railways, transport, health and water supply.
The DVB was undoubtedly India’s largest urban power utility. The peak
demand for power is already in the horizon of 5,500 MW and energy
requirement will be over 20 billion units and peak demand is growing almost
at 10 per cent a year. The per capita consumption of power is almost three
times higher than the all India average. While demand is galloping, hardly any
new generation capacity has been added in the recent times.
b) Augmentation of Transmission
108
The power crisis in Delhi is further compounded by the excessive dependence
on Northern Grid, as the constituent states themselves have not created
adequate generation capacity, leading to overdrawl beyond allocation and
have not taken adequate steps to maintain required voltage profile and also to
maintain grid discipline. This leaves no option to Delhi but to resort to
unscheduled load-shedding resulting in public outcry. In times of power
shortage in the region, Delhi also gets equally affected. In order to ensure
adequate availability and reliable supply to meet the growing demand for
power, it should be able to island itself in times of crisis in the Northern
Region and maintain un-interrupted supply of power at least to its essential
consumers such as Water Supply, Hospitals, and Railways, etc. Unless
generation and transmission capacity is augmented substantially, Delhi will
not realize completely the benefits of reforms in the sector and consumers will
continue to face blackouts, brown outs, load-shedding and shortages.
Conclusion
109
reductions. In fact the opening level of AT&C losses, as determined by the
regulator, is itself based on certain assumptions and projections. Similarly the
liabilities of the DVB were not based on up-to-dated audited reports and a
conclusion on the basis of such information is highly subjective. It is quite
likely that the budgeted amount of Rs. 3,450 crores as transition support may
not be adequate and the matter needs to be closely monitored and additional
provisions made whenever needed.
Another apprehension about the reforms is that given the problems in the
sector and the lack of reliable data, the contracts with private companies are
likely to be severely incomplete and unenforceable which may result in
serious legal problems. Perhaps the transition phase reforms needs to be
preceded by a ‘pre transition’ no privatization phase during which the State
Electricity Boards undertakes fundamental risk mitigating actions.
Meaningful privatization is possible only in case durable progress is made by
undertaking close to 100 per cent metering, billing and collection, proper
determination of assets and liabilities of the successor companies is done;
disconnections of illegal connections and progressive reduction in subsidies /
or cross subsides in tariffs.
The Government of Delhi deserves all the credit for improving on the
experience from Orissa reforms and showing the way to other reforming
states.
The Electricity Act 2003 (except section 121) has come in to force with effect
from 10th. June 2003 vide Notification No. SO.669 (E) dated 10th June 2003
issued by Ministry of Power, Govt. of India. The act aims to consolidate the
laws relating to generation, transmission, distribution trading and use of
electricity and generally for taking measures conducive to development of
Electricity industry, promoting competition therein, protecting interest of
110
consumers and supply of electricity to all areas, rationalization of electricity
tariff, ensuring transparent policies regarding subsidies, promotion of efficient
and environment benign policies, constitution of central electricity authority,
regulatory commissions and establishment of Appellate Tribunal and for
matters connected therewith or incidental thereto.
The Act 2003 has repealed the Indian Electricity Act. 1910, Electricity Supply
Act 1948 and the Electricity Regulatory Commission Act 1998, but has saved
certain provisions of the Indian Electricity Act and Electricity Supply Act as
contained in Section 185 of the Electricity Act 2003. The Electricity Act 2003
provides that the provisions of the enactment specified in the schedule (which
include OER Act 1995) which are not inconsistent with the provisions of the
Electricity Act. 2003 shall apply to the states in which enactments are
applicable.
111
transmission facility. Captive power plant has been removed from the
ambit of license and other permissions.
112
10. Distribution License shall be free to undertake generation and
generating company would be free to take up distribution license.
11. For Rural Areas, stand alone systems for generation and distribution of
electricity shall be permitted without any license.
12. Appropriate Commission may grant license to two or more persons for
distribution of electricity within the same area.
15. The state commission shall introduce open access in phases and subject
to such conditions within one year. Such open access will be available
on payment of transmission charges and a surcharge and the surcharge
will be utilised to meet the current level of cross subsidy.
113
18. Generation Tariff shall be subject to determination by the appropriate
commission.
20. Where state government requires grant of any subsidy to any consumer
or class of consumers, the amount to be compensated to the person
affected by the grant of subsidy. The subsidized tariff shall be
applicable on payment of the subsidy by the state government.
21. Metering of all electricity Supply have been made mandatory within
two years or within such extended period as may be allowed by the
commission to complete metering.
114
26. The act provides re-organisation of State Electricity Board with an
objective of corporatising the generation, transmission, distribution and
trading functions.
The Expert Group has submitted its report to the Ministry of Power on Part
(a) above in May 2001. As per the report, as on 28.02.2001, the SEBs owed
about Rs. 41,473 Crore to various CPSUs and Railways. This amount
consisted of Rs. 25,727 crore of principal payment and Rs. 15,746 Crore by
way of surcharge / interest on delayed payments. The Group deliberated on
whether the settlement should be attempted independently or as a part of the
reform process. They however felt that although both are interlinked, it would
be prohibitively difficult for the SEBs to reform if they have to carry the huge
financial burden of outstanding dues. The Group therefore recommended that
this financial liability should be taken over by their States and the CPSUs
should also share this burden by waiving off part of their debt.
115
The main features of proposed scheme for one time Settlement are:
• The bonds should be issued through the RBI at a taxfree interest rate of
8.5% per annum with terms such that entire principal is repaid between
6th and 15th years and with lock-in restrictions allowing release of
only 10% bonds each year in secondary market.
• Scheme to be effective only after half of the States with Annual Billing
of over Rs.500 crores from CPSUs give their consent.
Incentives
116
• If SEBs open and maintain LCs by Dec 2001, CPSUs should pay them
one time cash incentive equal to 2% of value of bonds.
Disincentives
• Where defaults exceed 90 days from the date of billing, GOI to recover
through adjustment against Central Plan Assistance and other
devolutions from the Centre.
(b) Incentives for a period of 4 years @ 4% of the face value of the bonds for
achievement of performance milestones by the SEBs shall be increased to 6%
in the first year and 5% in the second year.
117
Single Buyer vs. Multi Buyer Model in Distribution
Ten distinct models of power structure reform can be found in the literature,
but most countries believe that four generic models are adequate to represent
the available structural options. These are shown in Figure 3. It should be
noted that these models should not be interpreted as rigid presentations of
reality but as a basis for conceptual analysis and discussion.
118
This is still a full monopoly model but it may be considered as a step
towards decentralization & eventual competition.
Model 4- This involves central transmission with open access for retail
sales. Competition exists in generation, with customers or retailers having a
choice of supplier, possibly buying and selling through the power pool.
The countries that the World Bank serves have adopted various models of
reform in their power sectors, each of which merits separate discussion and
analysis. The general conclusions from the World Bank's experience in sector
restructuring are as follows:
119
o Generation is the first core power activity that can be separated and
made competitive. Decentralizing the sector by introducing additional
players such as IPPs is the first step toward making generation a
competitive activity.
120
Table 15: Comparative statement of sops extended by different
countries
CHINA INDIA
PAKISTAN PHILIPPINES
121
122
Electricity Tariff
This chapter traces the changes in the legal provisions governing electricity
power tariffs and discusses the processes and methodologies adopted over
time for tariff setting till the formulation under Section 178 of the Electricity
Act, 2003, which may be called the Central Electricity Regulatory
Commission (Terms and Conditions of Tariff) Regulations, 2004.
The legal provisions for the regulation of tariffs of power utilities can be
traced back to the Indian Electricity Act 1910 (IE Act). However in keeping
with the perceptions of the times there was no attempt at being prescriptive by
specifying either the principles or the methodology to be followed for tariff
setting enjoining that tariffs must be non-discriminatory and allow a
reasonable return to the licensee.
123
Short Title & Commencement
1. These regulations may be called the Central Electricity Regulatory
Commission (Terms and Conditions of Tariff) Regulations, 2004.
These regulations shall come into force on 1.4.2004, and unless
reviewed earlier or extended by the Commission, shall remain in force
for a period of 5 years.
Tariff determination
• Tariff in respect of a generating station under these regulations shall be
determined stage-wise, unit-wise or for the whole generating station
and tariff for the transmission system shall be determined line-wise,
sub-station-wise and system-wise, as the case may be, and aggregated
to regional tariff.
124
• For the purpose of tariff, the capital cost of the project shall be broken
up into stages and by distinct units forming part of the project. Where
the stage-wise, unit-wise, line-wise or sub-station-wise break up of the
capital cost of the project is not available and in case of on-going
projects, the common facilities shall be apportioned on the basis of the
installed capacity of the units and lines or sub-stations. In relation to
multipurpose hydro electric projects, with irrigation, flood control and
power components, the capital cost chargeable to the power component
of the project only shall be considered for determination of tariff.
Explanation
For the purpose of this chapter, 'project' includes a generating station
and the transmission system.
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1. A generating company or a transmission licensee may make an
application as per Appendix I to these regulations, for
determination of provisional tariff in advance of the anticipated
date of completion of the project based on the capital
expenditure actually incurred up to the date of making of the
application or a date prior to making of the application, duly
audited and certified by the statutory auditors, and the
provisional tariff shall be charged from the date of commercial
operation of the respective unit of the generating station or the
line or sub-station of the transmission system;
Core Business
For the purpose of these regulations, core business means the regulated
activities of generation or transmission of electricity and does not
include any other business or activity, like consultancy,
telecommunication, of the generating company or the transmission
licensee.
Tax on Income
• Tax on the income streams of the generating company or the
transmission licensee, as the case may be, from its core business, shall
be computed as an expense and shall be recovered from the
beneficiaries.
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• Any under-recoveries or over-recoveries of tax on income shall be
adjusted every year on the basis of income-tax assessment under the
Income-Tax Act, 1961, as certified by the statutory auditors.
1. Provided that tax on any income stream other than the core
business shall not constitute a pass through component in tariff
and tax on such other income shall be payable by the generating
company or transmission licensee, as the case may be.
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and in case of interstate transmission, the sharing of income-tax
shall be in the same proportion as annual transmission charges.
• The refunds, if any, shall not be paid back to the beneficiaries and
shall be adjusted in the escrow account. Any balance due or
returnable shall be rolled over to the next year.
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• The overall per unit tariff of electricity over the entire life of the asset,
calculated on the basis of the norms in deviation does not exceed the
per unit tariff calculated on the basis of the norms specified in these
regulations; and
• Any such deviation shall come into effect only after approval by the
Commission.
In case of the existing generating stations, TPS-I and TPS-II (Stage I & II) of
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, whose tariff was initially determined by
following Net Fixed Assets approach based on mutual agreement between
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd and the beneficiaries, tariff shall continue to
be determined by adopting Net Fixed Assets approach.
Power to Relax
The Commission, for reasons to be recorded in writing, may vary any of the
provisions of these regulations on its own motion or on an application made
before it by an interested person.
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Determination of Tariff (under Electricity Act. 2003)
62. (i) The Appropriate Commission shall determine the tariff in accordance
with provisions of this Act for –
(a) Supply of electricity by a generating company to a distribution
licensee:
iii. The Appropriate Commission shall not, while determining the tariff
under this Act, show undue preference to any consumer of electricity but
may differentiate according to the consumer's load factor, power factor,
voltage, total consumption of electricity during any specified period or
the time at which the supply is required or the geographical position of
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any area, the nature of supply and the purpose for which the supply is
required.
iv. No tariff or part of any tariff may ordinarily be amended more frequently
than once in any financial year, except in respect of any changes
expressly permitted under the terms of any fuel surcharge formula as
may be specified.
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(2) Every applicant shall publish the application, in such abridged form and
manner, as may be specified by the Appropriate Commission.
(3) The Appropriate Commission shall, within one hundred and twenty days
from receipt of an application under sub-section (1) and after considering all
suggestions and objections received from the public,-
(4) The Appropriate Commission shall, within seven days of making the
order, send a copy of the order to the Appropriate Government, the Authority,
and the concerned licensees and to the person concerned.
(5) Notwithstanding anything contained in Part X, the tariff for any inter-State
supply, transmission or wheeling of electricity, as the case may be, involving
the territories of two States may, upon application made to it by the parties
intending to undertake such supply, transmission or wheeling, be determined
under this section by the State Commission having jurisdiction in respect of
the licensee who intends to distribute electricity and make payment therefore:
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(6) A tariff order shall, unless amended or revoked, shall continue to be in
force for such period as may be specified in the tariff order.
65. If the State Government requires the grant of any subsidy to any consumer
or class of consumers in the tariff determined by the State Commission under
section 62, the State Government shall, notwithstanding any direction which
may be given under section 108, pay, within in advance in the manner as may
be specified, by the State Commission the amount to compensate the person
affected by the grant of subsidy in the manner the State Commission may
direct, as a condition for the license or any other person concerned to
implement the subsidy provided for by the State Government:
Development of Market
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AVAILABILITY BASED TARIFF (ABT)
ABT has been under discussion since 1994 when M/s ECC, an ADB
consultant, first supported it. GOI constituted a National Task Force in
February 1995. It had ten meetings till end 1998 where all the related issues
were discussed. A draft notification was prepared for issue by government.
With effect from May 15, 1999 the jurisdiction was vested in the CERC.
Papers were sent to the Commission in June 1999 by the MoP. The
proceedings were held in the Commission from July 26 to 28, 1999. The ABT
order dated January 4, 2000 of the Commission departs significantly from the
draft notification as also from the prevailing tariff design.
Why ABT?
1. India plans to have an integrated National Grid. This will assist in meeting
demand with the least cost supply. Five Regional grids already exist. Some
linkages between Regions are also in place.
2. Chronic surpluses in the East and shortages in the South, have resulted in
sustained functioning of these grids at frequencies which are far beyond even
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the normal band, liberally defined by the IEGC as frequency variation within
49.5 to 50.3 Hz
1. The two-part tariff of the ABT by making the payment of fixed cost a
fixed liability of the states converts it into a sunk cost thereby levelling
the playing field between central generators and state level plants.
5. Currently beneficiaries are not liable for payment of the fixed cost
associated with the share of capacity allocated to them. If a beneficiary
decides not to draw any energy he can escape payment of the fixed charge,
which then gets paid by the person drawing energy. This is unfair since it
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increases the cost of energy even for those beneficiaries who may be drawing
energy within their entitlements.
1. The two-part tariff of the ABT assures that each beneficiary will be
liable for payment of the fixed cost associated with its share of
allocated generation capacity.
What Is ABT?
- In the case of hydro stations it will be the residual cost after deducting the
variable cost calculated as being 90% of the lowest variable cost of thermal
stations in a region.
- An energy charge (defined as per the prevailing operational cost norms) per
Kwh of energy supplied as per a pre-committed schedule of supply drawn
upon a daily basis.
- A charge for Unscheduled Interchange (UI charge) for the supply and
consumption of energy in variation from the pre-committed daily schedule.
This charge varies inversely with the system frequency prevailing at the time
of supply/consumption. Hence it reflects the marginal value of energy at the
time of supply.
1. The ABT proceeding has not attempted to consider most of the cost drivers
like ROE, Operational Costs, depreciation rate, composition of the Rate Base,
capital structure etc. Proceedings to redefine these norms are being held
separately. Hence the ABT proceedings have been concerned more with tariff
design rather than definition of tariff norms or determination of tariff levels.
2. Its incidence is a function not only of the behaviour of a generator but also
of the behaviour of a beneficiary. Disciplined beneficiaries and generators
stand to gain. Undisciplined beneficiaries and generators stand to lose.
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Broad features of ABT design
1. It implements the long held view that electricity tariffs should be two-
part comprising a fixed charge and a separate energy charge.
5. The draft notification had provided for payment of capacity charges for
prolonged outages. This order disallows such payments.
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8. It increases the minimum performance criterion for the earning of an
incentive from 68.5% deemed PLF at present to 80% (85% after one
year) for all thermal stations, 85% for Hydro and 77% (82% after one
year) for NLC.
10. The order permits market pricing for the trading of surplus energy by
beneficiaries and generators.
11. The order urges the GOI to allocate the unallocated capacity a month
in advance so that beneficiaries know their exact share in capacity in
advance and can take steps to trade surplus power.
12. It will be implemented in stages from April 1, 2000 starting from the
South. The new norm for incentive will however be applicable from
this date for all central stations. In the case of NPC, GOI to decide
applicability of the order.
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COMPARISON OF EXISTING TARIFF SYSTEM AND
AVAILABILITY BASED TARIFF
142
11. Splitting up Capacity Capacity Till such commission
of capacity charge charge notifies peak and off-
and energy covered covered peak energy rates for
charge for depreciation depreciation
hydro-stations,
hydro and interest on and interest
primary energy
stations. loan. Energy on loan.
charge would be
covered ROE, Energy taken as 90% of the
income tax, covered lowest variable
O&M and ROE, charge of the thermal
interest on income tax,
power station in the
working O&M and concerned region.
capital. interest on
The balance of total
working charges would be
capital. recovered as capacity
charges.
12. Payment of As per As per As per orders of the
dues to agreements agreements commission
generators
13. Applicability All central All central i) ABT
generating generating implementation is
stations stations staggered region wise
staggered ii) Fixed charge
region wise recovery and basis for
incentive payments
revised from 1st April,
2000. iii) GOI to
decide about ABT for
automatic power
stations.
14. PLF for Not applicable Not Till the introduction
incentives specified of ABT in other
during regions and after
interim 1.4.2000, the actual
period PLF for incentive
purposes for NTPC
shall be 80% instead
of deemed PLF of
68.49%. The PLF in
the first year for
incentive purposes for
NHPC shall be 85%.
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Open Access: Methods for Calculation of Cross-Subsidy Surcharge and
Assessment of the Financial Impacts on Utilities
Introduction
144
We’ve discussed the conflicting requirements for making open access
economically attractive and protecting the financial health of utilities. We
conclude with suggestions on other factors that need to be considered to make
the transition to competition a little smoother.
The EAct allows open access before cross-subsidies are eliminated through
the payment of a surcharge but requires that the subsidies be progressively
reduced in a manner determined by the State Commission. Clarifying the
purpose of the surcharge, the Act states that the surcharge is to “meet the
requirements of current level of cross subsidy within the area of supply of the
distribution licensee.” While the Act is silent on the method to be used to
calculate the cross-subsidy surcharge, it clearly states that the State
Commission will determine the cross-subsidy surcharge and the manner in
which it will be progressively reduced. However, the EAct requires that the
State Commissions be guided by the National Electricity Policy, National
Electricity Plan, and Tariff Policy which are to be notified by the Ministry of
Power (MoP). Thus these policies will also have an influence on the
calculation of the cross-subsidy surcharge to be decided by the State
Commissions.
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interpretation/ extension of the EAct, because the EAct does not mention any
sharing of the cross-subsidy but simply states “…such surcharge shall be
utilised to meet the requirements of current level of cross subsidy…”
The Report of the Task Force on Power Sector Investments and Reforms
dated February 2004 included a draft tariff policy in which it recommended
that the cross-subsidy surcharge for open access be computed based on the
Long Run Incremental Costs (LRIC).
In its recommendations, the Task Force said that the cross subsidy surcharge
should represent the difference between the actual tariffs and LRIC. The
Report went on to say that the appropriate Commission should conduct the
necessary studies to determine LRIC or have the studies carried out by the
licensees. It suggested that in the interim the costs of the most expensive
generating unit (based on both fixed and variable costs) be used as a proxy for
LRIC. In October 2004, the Ministry of Power (MoP) recommended to the
Planning Commission that it take note of these recommendations of the Task
Force while formulating policy on the cross-subsidy surcharge.
Other Recommendations
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Electricity Policy or the Tariff Policy should define the cross subsidy paid by
a consumer class as the difference between the tariff for that consumer class
and the average cost of supply. He further recommends that the surcharge be
only a fraction, say 50 percent, of the present level of cross-subsidy. He
considers it reasonable to fix the surcharge at a fraction of the cross-subsidy
because according to him the consumer opting for open access is taking a
greater risk than one that stays with the utility. Furthermore, he says that to
make open access meaningful, the cost of supply from open access including
the surcharge should be less than the grid tariff. As an alternative, Mr. Sankar
suggests that the marginal cost of power purchase be used as the cost to serve
in calculating the surcharge.
“As an alternative formulation” the paper recommends that the surcharge not
be greater than 20 percent of the average price of power procured by the
DISTCOs in the preceding financial year. In most cases, the alternate
formulation would result in a much lower surcharge.
The Task Force Report does not give a reason for recommending that the
difference between the actual tariffs and LRIC (Long Run Incremental Cost)
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be used for calculating the cross-subsidy surcharge. Clearly, the LRIC do not
represent the current cost to serve the existing customer, but could be seen as
a proxy for the costs that will be avoided by the utility.
Furthermore, if HT load leaves the system much faster than the expected load
growth, then capacity additions will not be required for some time but instead
the utility may have to pay for existing fixed costs that cannot be avoided. In
that case, the avoided costs will be zero, and instead, there will be stranded
costs. Thus we see that for cases of rapid departure of HT load, the use of
LRIC (based on capacity additions) will significantly overstate the avoided
costs and understate the surcharge required*.
*- Long Run Incremental Cost
*- Another issue with the use of LRIC is that estimating LRIC can be difficult
because these are forward looking costs which are based on forecasts. There
can be great variations in the forecasts made by different parties and the
regulatory agency must decide whose forecast is the most reliable. This is
often not easy.
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Issues with the Use of Marginal Unit Cost (MUC)
We have several concerns with the use of MUC to calculate the surcharge.
First, MUC do not represent avoidable costs. Generally, the fixed costs of the
marginal unit are not avoidable. If the licensee’s load is reduced because of
the departure of some customers, at best the licensee will avoid the highest
variable cost of either its own plants or the plants from which it purchases
power. In those cases where the marginal unit for a utility may be an
unplanned purchase from a surplus area or the unallocated portion of a
Central Generating Station (CGS), the utility may be able to avoid both the
fixed and variable costs of the contract.
The third problem with the use of MUC to calculate the surcharge is that the
highest cost unit is not applicable to the entire decrement of load. The use of a
single unit (the highest cost unit) to represent avoidable costs for all the load
that would go out due to open access is likely to be incorrect. As an example,
consider that 1000MW of industrial load is expected to leave the licensee and
get electricity from alternative suppliers. If the capacity of the highest cost
generating resource is only 200 MW, then clearly it would be incorrect to
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assume that the costs per kWh of the 200 MW units would be applicable to
the entire 1000 MW load block. The avoidable costs for the remaining 800
MW would be lower. Therefore, the size of the decrement of load for
calculating the avoidable costs must match the expected decrement in load
due to open access. The avoidable cost would then be the weighted average of
the costs of the generating units that would no longer be required.
These concerns with the use of MUC to calculate the surcharge are best
illustrated by calculating the surcharge for different states by strictly
following the recommendations for the use of MUC. For AP and
Maharashtra, the total costs (fixed plus variable) of the marginal generating
unit per kWh are higher than the tariff for HT industrial consumers.
Therefore, if the recommendations for the use of MUC are strictly followed,
we get a negative cross-subsidy surcharge. The main reason for this
anomalous result is that the marginal unit operates for a very short time in the
year and it is incorrect to apply its costs to a load decrement that covers most
of the hours of the year.
If the average cost of supply is used to calculate the surcharge, then the
resulting revenues will not completely compensate the licensee for the loss of
cross-subsidizing revenues. This can be seen from the following calculation:
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Therefore, the revenue deficit due to the use of average cost of supply is given
by the following equation:
How large would be this deficit due to the use of average cost of supply
instead of cost to serve? We consider the case of AP, where the HT tariff is
4.11 Rs/kWh; the average cost of supply is 2.82Rs/kWh, and the cost to serve
HT consumers is 2.61 Rs/kWh. Using the equations given above, we see that
the revenue deficit would be Rs 0.21 per kWh. The total HT sales for
Category I and II consumers for the year are projected to be 7297 MU, so if
half the HT load opts for open access, then the revenue deficit will be Rs. 77
crores per year. If, for calculating the surcharge, the average cost of supply is
reduced by 50% as suggested, then the loss will be Rs. 312 crores per year.
HT Energy Audit: The Crucial Starting Point for Curbing Revenue Loss
Introduction
For the last two decades, the financial crisis besetting the Indian power sector
has been an issue of great concern for the planners and experts. In 1990s, the
discussion on this crisis was focused on the large subsidies for agricultural
consumers and the rapid growth in agricultural power consumption. It is
worth noting that this preoccupation with agricultural tariff and subsidy
persisted in spite of efforts on the part of some researchers to point out
another crucial causative factor. These researchers had been pointing out that
excessive transmission and distribution (T&D) losses, hidden under the garb
of agricultural consumption, had been a major cause for the poor financial
health of utilities (Roy 1996, Reddy and Sumithra 1997, Dixit and Sant 1997).
However, most experts and leaders of the sector continued with their
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preoccupation with the agricultural subsidy without serious investigation into
this crucial factor.
In the last few years, especially after establishment of the independent state
electricity regulatory commissions (SERCs), many state utilities are revising
their T&D loss estimates from the earlier lower figures of around 18-20% to
anything in the range of 35% to 50%. With this, it is now being widely
accepted that reduction in T&D losses to a reasonable level is essential for
restoring financial viability of the utilities*.
* A calculation for Maharashtra state utility indicates that financial loss due to
excessive T&D loss (defined as that above 25%) is about Rs 2,500 crores p.a.
And, this is more than the agricultural subsidy that is claimed to be\ Rs. 2,100
crores p.a.
This section highlights the large swings that have been occurring in the
estimation of T&D losses in various states as well as the prevailing
uncertainty in estimation of even transmission losses and HT-level losses.
Based on experiences from the states such as Haryana, Maharashtra and
Andhra Pradesh, the third section highlights unwillingness on the part of
utilities to carry out effective metering even at the HT level. The fourth
section points out that commercial loss even at the HT-level might be
significant in terms of revenue lost per customer as well as of the total
revenue loss. The fifth section discusses various advantages of focusing on
HT-level energy audit for increase in utilities revenue. The sixth section
argues that the approaches of “100% Metering” and “Total Energy Audit”
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(including LT energy audit) though essential, would, at best, yield
significant benefits only in the long term. The last section presents the
conclusions of this analysis.
The first step in the efforts for reducing excessive T&D losses is to properly
estimate T&D losses. The next and probably more important step in these
efforts is to identify various links or geographical areas in the network that
have excessive losses. It is possible that losses in some of these areas or links
could be easier to curb as compared to losses in other links/areas.
Identification of such links / areas makes it possible to focus initial efforts for
reduction in T & D losses on these areas or links. The next two sub-sections
demonstrate that, though SERCs and
Chart 5: T& D Loss determination between four states
Figure highlights changes in the estimated T&D losses in various states. The state utilities
have attempted a more realistic estimation of T&D losses during the regulatory process. In
states such as Maharashtra and Haryana, the upward revision of loss estimates has been
much higher than the RC targeted loss reduction. The bar sequence for Karnataka has been
changed as Karnataka utility did two substantial revisions in the loss estimate before the
KERC—s first tariff order.
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Utilities are making efforts to identify such links / areas of high losses; there
is still significant uncertainty and differences over the real level of total as
well as Transmission and HT losses.
*Though the MERC order does not explicitly state the approved loss level, it
is back calculated based on the loss level projected by MSEB and additional
revenue from commercial loss reduction as directed by MERC.
For explaining these upward changes in the T&D loss estimates, the utilities
cite some typical reasons such as (a) increased (and hence ’better—) sample
of agricultural consumers used for estimation of their average hours of
consumption and (b) changes in assumed usage level (i.e. load factor) of the
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un-metered domestic or commercial consumers. Additionally, the utilities
have argued that it is impossible to reduce T&D losses to the levels envisaged
and desired by the SERCs in a period of four to five years. The state utility in
Delhi (viz., Delhi Vidyut Board) has produced evidence of international
experience in support of this argument. Some utilities have also argued that,
in order to achieve the significant reduction in T&D losses, they will have to
police the entire state to curb the rampart power theft. Unfortunately, none of
the utilities in the country, whether private or public, has been able to reduce
the T&D losses to the level mandated by the SERCs.
As a result, one would expect that making correct measurement (or at least
estimation) of losses in the HT system would be easier and less prone to large
swings.
Unfortunately, most Indian utilities fall short even on this count. Let us
review the situation in this regard in the three- considered to be relatively
better managed- states of Maharashtra, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh.
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Maharashtra
In its tariff proposal presented before the SERC in March 2000, Maharashtra
State Electricity Board (or MSEB) claimed that losses in its Extra HT (EHT)
network for the three previous years had been in the range of 3.8 % to 4.2%
(MSEB 2000). These estimates were based on the ’load-flow studies—
carried out by MSEB. As against this, MSEB, in its tariff proposal submitted
in August 2001, claimed that average EHT losses for the preceding six
months were 6.7% (starting with 8.4% and coming down to 4.8% in the last
month). This implied an upward revision by 2.7 %! (MSEB 2001). This
recent estimate seems to be based on the meter readings, but MSEB has not
provided estimate of technical losses (i.e., results of load-flow study) for this
period.
Karnataka
Andhra Pradesh
The case of Andhra Pradesh (AP) is more revealing. In the first tariff proposal
before the Andhra Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Commission (APERC), the
state utility had claimed the transmission losses to be 4.6%. But, in the second
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tariff proposal, the utility claimed transmission (up to 132 kV level) loss level
to be 8.7%! The utility explained this upward revision in transmission losses
by saying that the earlier estimates had been based on load-flow studies,
whereas the revised losses were based on actual meter readings. As per the
utility—s claim, metered data in the period of the four months showed actual
transmission losses at the level of 9.6%, and after making certain adjustments
for ”metering accuracy and meter reading cycle time‘ etc. the utility estimated
the annual loss level to be at 8.7%. During the process of the review of the
‘Revenue Requirement’ APERC asked the utility to carry out a load-flow
study. Surprisingly, the utility was prompt in carrying out the load-flow study
and came out with an estimate of technical transmission losses to be 8.7%!
(APERC 2001). It is not a surprise, however, that there are serious lacunae in
the calculations in the load-flow study submitted by the utility.
To summarize, the above discussion indicates that even after a few years of
regulatory process, accurate estimation of ETH or HT losses is proving to be a
difficult task. To overcome this shortcoming, several SERCs have initiated
detailed technical studies with the help of external consultants to clearly
establish the technical losses at transmission / HT level. As discussed later,
estimation of technical losses at the HT level (through load-flow studies)
coupled with calculation of actual losses on the basis of energy audit would
lead to identification of commercial losses.
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Maharashtra
However, this time, MSEB could actually make available the data compiled
from energy meters installed on about 220 ‘Express Feeders’ for the period of
six months. Out of the total 1320 data points (i.e., 6 months multiplied by 220
feeders), nearly 45% of these data points indicate loss figures that are either
less than -0.5% or greater than +5%! (Prayas 2001). This is striking because,
usually, the technical losses on such type of feeders should lie in the range of
1% to 2%. This implies that about half of the data points are indicating either
ineffective metering, commercial losses, or excessive technical losses. This is
a clear indication of MSEB—s failure to carry out effective metering even for
these 220 ’Express Feeders—. It is worthwhile to note that the energy
supplied through these 220 ‘Express Feeders’ account for nearly 20% of
MSEB’s yearly revenue (considering average HT industrial tariff of Rs
4.2/unit).
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Andhra Pradesh
The case of AP is more serious. In its tariff order dated 27 May 2000, APERC
directed the utility to install high-accuracy (i.e., the 0.2% accuracy class)
meters at all interface points (where the ownership of power changes from
one utility to other, i.e., from either generation to TRANSCO or from
TRANSCO to DISCO) and file a compliance report within one month, i.e., by
June 2000. Ten months later, in the subsequent tariff order dated 24th March
2001, APERC mentioned that the utility could implement this directive only
for 3% of the total interface points. Moreover, this order also reported that the
utility is demanding another full year to implement the directive! There is no
other way to term this delay as ridiculous, when one realizes that, in order to
comply with this directive, the utility had to install, in all, only 460 meters.
Haryana
The status of HT-level metering seems even more serious in the case of
Haryana. Haryana Electricity Regulatory Commission (HERC), in its tariff
order dated 26th November 1999, categorically mentioned that all interface
metering (where the ownership of power changes) should be completed latest
by 31st March 2000, i.e., within the period of four months. It went to the
extent of mentioning that “All metering would be completed by 31 March
2000 for all purposes including transmission and bulk supply tariff
application by the licensee. The Commission would not like to be presented
again with the plea of nonmetering for any purposes whatsoever after 31
March 2000” (emphasis original).
The utility failed to comply with this directive but went ahead and filed
another tariff revision application. In its subsequent tariff order in December
2000, HERC said, The Commission reiterates that this work should be given
high priority and no slippages beyond the targeted completion date of July
2001 will be allowed“(emphasis original) (p. 56, para 5.1.2.2). One would
expect that the utility would have followed this simple directive at least by the
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extended target date. But the scene repeated after few months. The subsequent
tariff order by HERC dated 6th August 2001 (Annex 3) also mentioned that,
till the date, the utility had failed to introduce interface meters as directed and
has, in fact, requested waiver of this directive! In the case of Haryana, the
total number of meters to be installed under this directive was about 300. This
failure of utility forced the SERC to estimate transmission losses on the basis
of data from other agencies such as regional electricity board and power grid.
To summarize, it is serious that utilities are taking SERCs for granted by not
implementing even such simple but crucial directives. Moreover, it goes
without saying, that the suggested prescription of T&D loss reduction through
‘100% Metering’ approach would be a non-starter if the utilities are unwilling
and / or unable to carry out metering and data-gathering tasks even at the
small number of locations, despite the full-knowledge of the high-stakes
involved in the energy flowing through these points.
Andhra Pradesh
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at the estimate of technical losses as 8.7%. This calculation for technical
losses is flawed because the ’Load Factor— (i.e., average load divided by
peak load) for the utility was about 70% and not 90%. Using correct load
factor indicates technical losses of 6.7% i.e. around 2% less than losses
indicated by metered data. The APERC has recently engaged the CPRI
(Central Power Research Institute) for estimation of technical transmission
losses.
Maharashtra
Madhya Pradesh
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Table 16: Estimated Break-up of T& D losses in M.P
HT Industry 5.4%
LT Industry 6.5%
Household 13.0%
LT Commercial 3.0%
The above two sections clearly demonstrate that: (i) the state utilities are
unwilling to establish proper metering even at the HT level, and (ii) there is a
strong evidence to indicate that all losses at HT-level may not be technical
and may include substantial commercial losses. This needs to be viewed in
combination with the facts that in most states, (i) HT consumption is in the
range of 20% - 30% of total sales, and (ii) HT sales account for nearly 50% -
60% of the total revenue. If we take into consideration all these facts it is clear
that even a small commercial loss in the HT-section has significant impact on
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revenue of the utilities. With the HT tariff being twice that of the LT tariff and
the number of HT consumers being less than 0.1% of the LT consumers; it is
obvious that the first point of attack has to be the HT sector. As such, the first
priority in the efforts towards T&D loss reduction should be to establish an
effective metering and audit regime at the HT level to curb revenue loss at
this level.
Energy Loss (HT level) =Energy generated (net) (A) + Energy Purchased (B)
- Energy Consumed by HT consumers (C) - Energy transformed to LT (i.e.
440 V) (D)
In the above equation, A and B are metered points and these data are readily
available with all utilities. Part D, i.e., energy transformed to LT side is
difficult to measure and may involve sizable investment as well as number of
metering points. For example, in the case of Maharashtra, accurate
163
measurement of Part D would imply metering of 180,000 distribution
transformers (DT) on LT side. This implies an investment of around Rs 150
crore (about 1.5% of utility revenue) for metering. In addition to HT energy
audit, this approach will allow us to zoom onto the DT level losses and,
hence, would be far effective in localizing high theft points. But its
implementation - in terms of installation of meters, proper maintenance,
reading, and data analysis in a routine and consistent manner - could take
substantial time. Hence, as an intermediate option, some approximations
could be considered. These are discussed below.
164
less. As a last resort, one could install a check meter for each HT consumer on
such mixed feeders. Investment required for such additional metering need
not be a deterrent for its implementation. For example, Maharashtra has
around 10,000 HT consumers, which give revenue of around Rs. 6,000 crores
p.a. Assuming additional metering at all of these 10,000 points (check meters
for each consumer) at a cost of Rs. 50,000 per metering point, the one time
investment would be Rs. 50 crores. This ONE TIME investment would be
less than 0.5% of the utility’s yearly revenue (or 1% of HT revenue). Such
check meters can help identify the problematic consumers / areas, where
difference in check meter and consumer meter readings falls outside the range
+/- 1% or either of the meter reading is unavailable. This can also become a
concrete performance indicator for the staff.
Depending on the state of the HT metering and capabilities of the utility, the
manner and the speed of the action-plan may vary. However, there is no
barrier to achieving the minimum target of ‘Energy Audit’ up to the 33 kV in
a short time of say, one year. This audit should give an energy balance right
from the generation (or power purchase) points up to the HT consumers.
Difference in such audited loss figures and the estimated technical losses
(based on the load-flow study) could be a concrete indicator of commercial
losses.
Such an approach involving tight and complete energy audit at the HT level is
desirable for several reasons discussed below.
Relative Ease of Implementation
165
Low Investment and High Returns
“A No-Regrets” Strategy
166
6. The “100% Metering” Approach: A Long- term Solution
The approaches of “100% Metering” and “Total Energy Audit” are essential
for achieving several objectives such as:
a. tariff regime based on the principle of “pay as per-use”
b. better targeting of subsidy,
c. identification of some of the 11/ 22 kV mixed feeders that have
excessive technical or commercial loss, and, finally
d. establishing accountability up to the level of linesmen of the
utility.
But, it needs to be considered that this requires not only large investments but
also immense efforts involved in installation and regular reading of millions
of meters (in each state) as well as in billing equally large number of
consumers. In the case of millions of “single bulb houses” innovative
approaches such as load limiters and efficient bulbs would be far more
prudent than blanket metering in the medium term.
Another aspect relates to integrity of the audit. Unless the billed energy is
traced back to the supplied energy up to the point at which energy is fed into
the system, the utility of the whole exercise could be greatly reduced. The
167
whole exercise can be rendered ineffective by tampering (or making
dysfunctional or not reading) just a few key meters.
These will certainly act as major hurdles in implementing and effective use of
“100% Metering” towards the goal of complete LT level energy audit.
Conclusion
168
with limited managerial efforts. This understanding coupled with the recent
evidence of poor HT-level metering and possibilities of significant
commercial losses at the HT level, necessitates that the approach of stringent
HT-level energy audit be made the foremost priority. This crucial as well as
urgent measure should not be put on the backburner in our zeal to ensure
“100% Metering” and “Total Energy Audit” at the LT level.
169
help in ensuring more stringent public scrutiny of performance of utilities on
this account.
Simply carrying out stringent HT level energy audit and curbing HT theft
would, by no means, be sufficient to make utilities financially viable.
Reduction of high technical losses, LT level theft, and other efficiency
improvement measures are also essential. But curbing HT theft with iron hand
would, on one hand, give the utilities much needed cash and, on the other
hand, would give a clear signal to corrupt utility staff and consumers that the
party is over. Such a signal is also critical for the success of measures such as
“Total Energy Audit” and “100% metering”.
170
Reforms and Restructuring Initiatives in Orissa’s Power Sector
In 1994, the government of Orissa initiated power sector reforms and its
restructuring. The reform programme resulted in the vertical unbundling of
the state owned integrated utility, corporatisation of resultant entities and
constitution of an autonomous regulatory commission for power sector
regulation in the state. One of the key features of the reform programme
was the privatization of distribution activity. To make the process successful
and obtain more revenues, there was need for the distribution entities to
change the existing culture and approach to management. The state
government undertook a process of organizational strengthening to develop
appropriate organizational structure, systems and business process suitable
to the new environment.
171
d. To improve the quality of the service to the consumer.
All the major steps in the restructuring process have since been taken as
envisaged under the reform scheme:
172
• Orissa Power Generation Corporation (OPGC) was privatized with
divestment of 49% stake and transfer of management control to a
private operator, AES in January 1999.
Since the existing legal provisions were not adequate to provide necessary
managerial and financial autonomy to the power sector, it was necessary to
draft the Orissa Electricity Reform Bill, 1995 with provision to establish an
independent and transparent regulatory commission and thereby attract
private investment in to the state power sector. The assets and personnel were
also transferred to the newly created entities such as the GRIDCO and OHPC
with effect from the first of April 1996 on provisional basis. The transfer
became absolute with effect from 1st April 1997.
173
Chart 6: Relationship between different party
Background of OSEB
Established in 1961, OSEB was the main body responsible for power sector
development in the state. OSEB was vested with the responsibility of public
power supply in the entire state as well as for related state level regulation.
OSEB obtained the required power for distribution either from its own
generating stations or by purchasing from other generating utilities. By using
its transmission and distribution network, it applied power to the end
consumers.
OSEB was owned by the Government of Orissa and was governed by the
provisions of The Electricity (Supply) Act. 1948. The 1948 Act explicitly
required the SEBs to operate and adjust their tariffs to achieve a minimum
return after interest of 3 percent on net fixed assets in operation. According to
the provisions of Electricity (Supply) Act, 1948, state governments were
required to provide subsidies to help the SEBs meet their minimum return
requirements by compensating for the low tariffs charged for residential and
agricultural consumers.
174
Performance of OSEB
In 1993-94, the ratio of customers served to the employees of OSEB was 29,
whereas the all India average was around 80 (Comparison of performance of
Electricity Boards and Electricity payments, Planning Commission,
Government of India, 1994). The billing and collection of OSEB had been
poor because a large portion of the billing was not done on the basis metre
reading but on average consumption or on load factors, which resulted in
lower collection revenues. Figures available for 1996-97 indicated that only
12.19% of the total bills were based on metre reading.
175
In spite of an annual average growth of about 19% in sales revenue, OSEB
had not been able to earn the statutory rate of return of 3 percent on net fixed
assets without subsidy from the Government of Orissa because of its very low
level of tariffs. In spite of the sales revenue not being able to meet the
operating costs, there was no tariff increase from 1990 to 1992.
176
Orissa Achievement in Distribution Sector
A. Operational Improvements :
(i) Improve quality of service to consumers
(ii) Improve operational efficiencies and reduce losses.
B. Financial Benefits :
(i) Attract private investment to the distribution business
(ii) Reduce the need for government funding of the electricity
sector
(iii) Contribute to increased economic growth in Orissa.
C. Employee Considerations :
(i) Create opportunities for secure and increasingly rewarding
employment for the qualified personnel
(ii) Provide a stable environment for employees
177
In keeping with the objectives of power sector reform and the commitments
given to the World Bank by the state government, the distribution function
was required to be privatized. After considerations of various options
available for privatization, the corporation decided to adopt the best mode of
Joint sector/ Joint venture route. The sequence agreed was that the four
distribution zones which were functioning under the corporation will be
converted into four distribution companies as its wholly owned subsidiary.
It may be mentioned here that no asset sale has taken place. Assets have been
assigned to respective companies. Only the business has been sold with a
178
premium although all the 4(Four) companies are loss making and bore a part
of the loans and liabilities.
RESTRUCTURING OF GRIDCO
Under the provisions of the Electricity Act, 2003, trading in electricity has
been recognised as a distinct activity which can only be undertaken with a
license to be granted by the appropriate commission. Trading has been
defined under the new act as purchase of electricity for resale thereof and,
therefore, the bulk supply of the electricity becomes a licensed activity being
179
covered under trading. Transmission of electricity has also been recognised as
an independent activity to be carried on under a license from the appropriate
commission.
The matter is now under consideration and the following course of action is
being contemplated.
180
transmission and SLDC undertakings shall comprise all properties,
rights, liabilities, etc., pertaining to Transmission/STU function and
SLDC functions along with personnel and the transfer shall be affected
through a Statutory Transfer Scheme to be notified by Govt. of Orissa
u/s 39 read with section 131 of the Electricity Act, 2003. The said
transfer Scheme shall be effective from 01.04.2004 so that the newly
incorporated (Transferee Company) starts functioning w.e.f
01.04.2004.
181
Chart 7: GRIDCO STRUCTURE
182
Sequence of Events of Reforms
The blueprint and milestones for the reforms were drawn up via the World
Bank’s Staff Appraisal Report (SAR), and the reform experiment was ready
by 1995. The process was as follows:
1996 Orissa Electricity Reform Act took effect on April 1, 1996. OSEB was
divided into the Orissa Hydro Power Corporation (OHPC) for all hydel
capacity and GRIDCO. GRIDCO inherited the transmission and distribution
infrastructure, as well as the liabilities of the SEB. The already existing Orissa
Power Generation Corporation (for thermal power) continued, but future
generation capacity was to come from IPPs. Orissa Electricity Regulatory
Commission (OERC) was also established.
No budgetary support was envisaged for any of the bodies, except the
regulatory body. But, to help out the enterprises, their accumulated losses
were to be written off, their assets revalued, and their liabilities readjusted.
Based on the recommendations of various consultants, a depreciated
replacement model was chosen to revalue the assets of OHPC and GRIDCO.
The assets of GRIDCO increased from a book value of Rs. 1,183 Crore to Rs.
2,395.8crore. There were also various liabilities, including to NTPC, and
these were converted to a term loan of Rs. 1,148.9crore, plus some significant
short-term liabilities (Mahalingam 1997). The total capacity was 2,120 MW
within these units.
183
1997 OERC issues first tariff orders.
2000 GRIDCO’s financials worsen, and debt levels of the companies rise.
That reforms are not straightforward, nor can private operator easily succeed
is illustrated by the attempt in September 1996 to hand over one section of
distribution (the central zone, which included cities like Cuttack and
184
Bhubaneswar) to BSES for operation, under a management contract. After the
first 6 month review found negative performance, the management contract
was terminated in April 1997. In response, BSES stated it was not given
enough time to effect change, disputed the baseline numbers, and said that it
never really had control over the staff (Mahalingam 1997), a concern for any
reform mechanism based on outsourcing.
BENEFITS OF REFORMS
185
5. Each year Government was to give a subsidy of Rs. 340 Crore. This
has been stopped since 01.04.96.
6. OHPC & OPGC, which are exclusively looking after hydro and
thermal generation of power respectively, are now profit making
corporations of the state.
7. In a sharp turn around now Power Sector is not loss making (See
table).
The reforms were supposed to improve the power position in Orissa, but peak
shortages continue. The finances of the companies have worsened to some
extent, and the losses continue to mount (financial as well as technical).
GRIDCO failed to pay generators what it owes, citing failure of receiving
payments from the DISTCOs. Had they received their money, the generators
186
(OHPC and OPGC) have a book profit of Rs. 768 crores between April 1,
1996 and March 31, 2001 (OERC 2002).
The WB-SAR (Staff Appraisal Report) based report called for a number of
milestones, details on which can be found in Prayas (2001). Most of these
were based on structural changes, like setting up the distribution zones,
having OERC issue tariff orders, etc. However, some of these had negative
operational effects as well. The goal of 16% return for OHPC along with its
valuation hiked the costs to GRIDCO significantly, by hundreds of percent.
This is an indication that reforms process, as profitable companies come up
along the power sector (generation, transmission, and distribution), this will
raise the average cost of power compared to today’s loss-making utility.
The main problem with the operations of the sector was relating to cash flows.
OERC limited the increase in tariffs (citing that not all costs could just be
passed on to the consumers – e.g., for bad performance – unlike the pre-
reform days). This created losses for the DISTCOs, who also had deferred
187
payment agreements with GRIDCO. GRIDCO, owned by the Govt. of Orissa,
was caught between the increasingly expensive generators and non-paying
DISTCOs, who were unable to improve performance as expected. While the
exact numbers have varied over time, some details are as follows (Prayas
2001): GRIDCO was owed over 7.7 billion rupees by the 4 DISTCOs as of
March 31, 2000. Of this, CESCO (the central zone operated and majority-
owned by AES) owed Rs. 1.6 billion. But, GRIDCO owed OPGC, of which
AES owned 49%, some Rs. 1.8 billion. AES shut down a power plant for a
week in protest, and the crisis escalated with the Govt. threatening prison time
for its officers (under the Essential Services Act). The compromise solution
involved the government promising to pay its dues in 15 days.
After the reforms, GRIDCO’s and DISTCOs finances went down because of a
number of factors (Prayas 2001; OERC 2002):
• The bulk of the liabilities went to GRIDCO, Rs. 16 billion vs. 6 billion for
all the DISTCOMs.
• OHPC’s tariffs were increased to meet the 16% returns. Overnight, the tariff
went from Rs. 0.1 to Rs 0.49/kWh in 1996. Even central station’s power was
expensive, and GRIDCO had to off take such power.
• There were unrealistic T&D losses estimated during the unbundling process.
This stresses the importance of accurate baseline information, and realistic
performance targets. The forecast for T&D reduction from 39.5% in 1996-97
to 22.7% 2000-01 wasn’t achieved. Even the initial assessment of 39.5% for
1996- 97 was grossly incorrect. A later audit showed this to be 49.4%.
• Tariff increases were lower than in the WB-SAR.
188
• There was no budgetary support via subsidies.
• The growth of load, especially profitable load, did not materialize. The WB-
SAR called for 7,009 million kWh for railways plus industrial high tension
(bulk) supply, while the actual sale in 2000-01 was 2,760 million kWh. This
affected not only the cross-subsidy potential, but the T&D losses as well.
• Poor collection rates from consumers. DISTCOs achieved only 75 and 76%
collection in 1999-2000 and 2000-01, respectively.
In addition to these issues, we find several other factors at play. Not enough
was invested in this sector towards the reforms. Less than half the money just
from World Bank was spent, making the total fraction utilized based on the
billion dollar estimate even lower (Kanungo Committee 2001). Critics will
point out that a significant fraction went to consultants, 306.422 crores (but
the bulk of this came from DFID funds, and none came from consumers).
There was also a cyclone that hit just after privatization, before proper
insurance was in place, causing not only a financial loss, but a major
operational challenge.
189
However, the biggest reasons for the poor performance appear to be the false
assumptions and expectations of the players, and the limited support provided
by the government, either for subsidies or to the companies who had liquidity
issues in addition to solvency issues. Money coming in from outside sources
was often diverted to state budget needs, and there remained significant
institutional lethargy and morass in the sector. The government failed to pay
its own dues for power, some Rs. 1.5 billion.
Some of the lessons from the Orissa experience, other than the obvious ones
include (IDFC 2000):
• Incomplete separation of transmission and distribution can cause problems.
• Regulators should give a clear picture of their tariff philosophy, rate base,
valuation methods, likely profile of prices and expected performance levels.
• There should be a structured, time-bound financial support mechanism, with
a fixed schedule for tapering off coupled with improvements in operating
parameters and collection.
• The single buyer model is necessarily not the best, and the Transco might be
better as just a wires company.
• Don’t tinker with valuations, especially just before privatization. This can
have a serious impact on tariffs, as Schedule VI of the Supply Act 1948 is
based on assets (and newer methods allow for 16% returns on equity).
190
Transfer of Assets
The restructuring was done in two steps through the instrumentality of
transfer scheme framed under the Orissa Electricity Reform Act, 1995. Under
the first transfer scheme (effective from April 1, 1996) the assets, liabilities,
proceedings and personnel of erstwhile OSEB were transferred to OHPC (for
hydel generation) and GRIDCO (Transmission & Distribution). The second
transfer scheme (effective from November, 1998) further transferred the
distribution related assets, liabilities, proceedings and personnel of GRIDCO
to four wholly owned companies of GRIDCO.
Table 20: Details of Revaluation
Details of Revaluation done in
Transfer Scheme dated April 1, Rs. in Crores
1996
191
RESTRUCTURING EXERCISE INVOLVED CERTAIN MEASURES,
WHICH CAST A HEAVY STRAIN ON THE FINANCES OF GRIDCO
Under the transfer Scheme of April’96, the state government took over the
Transmission and Distribution assets of OSEB (book value plus capitalized
expenses and interest at 1200 Cr.) and reinvested them in GRIDCO after
upvaluing by an additional Rs. 1194 cr. (additional 134%). Against this
upvalued amount of 1194 Cr, the state Govt. adjusted subsidies and electricity
charges payable to OSEB/GRIDCO totalling Rs.340 Cr. In addition GRIDCO
issued Rs. 253 Cr. Worth of shares and Rs. 400 Cr. Worth zero coupon bonds
to the state govt. This left GRIDCO with a serious cash shortage right from
day one and compelled it to default it to generating companies and other
suppliers. In addition Rs. 1146 Cr. of loan and liabilities were also assigned to
GRIDCO.
The impact of revaluation on the distribution companies has been lower than
that to GRIDCO as they were allocated only project specific liabilities
totalling Rs. 630 Cr. for all four distribution companies put together, while
GRIDCO retained in their books liabilities (including accumulated losses)
totalling about Rs. 1950 Cr. While the assets were upvalued, there was no
such upvaluation of the liabilities. Besides, as stated earlier, the distribution
192
companies were assigned only project related liabilities. The only component
of asset upvaluation which has a bearing on tariff depreciation, which stood at
Rs. 81.69 Cr. in FY96 on the eve of the upvaluation and was pegged at Rs.
128.02 Cr. for FY98 by OERC in their tariff order effective from April 1,
1997.
The difference of Rs. 46.33 Cr. (Rs. 128.02 Cr. – Rs. 81.69 Cr.) in the
depreciation (which also included depreciation of assets created during FY97)
formed only 3.2% of GRIDCO’s total revenue requirements of Rs. 1451 Cr.
allowed by OERC. Hence the impact of upvaluation on distribution tariff has
been estimated to be only about 2.5%. Further, it must be emphasized that it is
not the upvaluation exercise per-se that resulted in GRIDCO’s cash crunch;
the cause is rather the “adjustment” of the totality of its receivables from the
state government (about Rs. 340 Cr.) right from inception.
Power
Purchase 37,057 60,235 89,967 75,937 1,06,505 1,04,693 78,809 89,152
Liability
Power 159202 187723 236035 316188 361982 396429 433799 509945
Bills
Ratio* 4.88 5.46 6.14 6.90 7.42 8.12 8.83 10.34
193
Table 22: PROFIT / (LOSS) COMPARISON OVER THE YEARS
Rs. in Lakhs
1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03
Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited R Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited Provisional Provisional
Profit/
(LOSS) 2577 2594 2998 2490 2694 E (29,499) (31,912) (57,862) (1,373) (8,524) 2,214 (67,622)
After
subsidy
F
Revenue
subsidy 7627 11100 22603 16098 25762 O 1138 531 529 0 0 0 0
Received
R
Profit/
(LOSS) (5050) (8506) (19605) (13608) (23068) M (30637) (32443) (58391) 1373 (8524) 2214 (67622)
before
subsidy
Note: Till FY-1995-96 the performance is of erstwhile OSEB and subsequent years of GRIDCO.
FY 1996-97 to 1998-99 includes performance of Transmission and distribution business and FY 1999-00 onwards include only Transmission
business after privatization of distribution business.
The huge loss in 2002-03 is due the unprecedented hydrology failure and consequent additional burden towards purchase of high cost EREB
thermal power.
Table 23: DETAILS OF LOANS
Rs. In
lakhs
As on 1.4.1996 1.4.1997 1.4.1998 1.4.1999 1.4.2000 1.4.2001 1.4.2002 1.4.2
Govt.
Loans
State govt.
cash loan 200 200 15371 16871 16871 16871 1687
Central
govt. 1126 1126 1126 1126 1126 1126 1126 1126
Zero
coupon 40000 40000 40000 40000 40000 40000 40000 4000
Bonds
IBRD 0 3363 8572 14913 38111 30992 3876
Sub-Total 41126 41326 44688 65069 72910 96108 88989 9676
Financial
Institutions
LIC 14356 14066 14066 14066 14066 14066 14066 1406
REC 25018 27070 29559 36767 42877 42784 41099 3691
PFC/ADB 13680 19460 21570 26696 30816 31899 30092 4354
Sub-Total 53055 60596 65195 77529 87759 88749 85257 9452
Bonds &
others
Pension 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 1500
Fund Bonds
Public 10991 8564 6584 5202 4377 3854 3476 2403
Bonds
Power
Bonds/loan - - 10948 66756 66756 77637 46256 9755
syndication
GoO Bonds - - - - - - 110288 1102
to NTPC
Others
(ICICI, 1973 2002 3653 10696 8675 10388 5724 4260
SPA etc.)
Sub Total 27964 25566 36185 97654 94808 106879 180744 2295
Total 122145 127488 146068 240252 255477 291736 354990 4207
The Loan outstanding figure given above does not include the overdue interest.
The IBRD loan has been considered as 70% loan and 30% grants from FY 2001-02
onwards.
Table 24: STATEMENT OF POWER PURCHASE, SALE, T& D LOSS
BILLING COLLECTION ETC
196
Table 25: Sources & Application of Funds
Sources of Funds
Rupees in Million Equivalent
US$ (Million)
Internal Resources 9,816 222
Grant
ODA grant towards State 2,260 63
govt. equity to GRIDCO
ODA grant transferred to 1,265 34
GRIDCO as GoO grant
Loans
World bank 14,419 350
State Government 960 26
ADB 2,025 57
Other Sources 10,605 246
Total of Loans 28,008 678
Grand Total 41,348 997
Application of Funds
Item Rupees (Million) US$ Million
Capital investment 35,370 840
Interest during 2,060 49
construction
Reform Expenses 2,754 74
Repair and maintenance 400 12
expenditure from ODA
grant
Increase in maintenance 765 22
inventory
Total Investment 41,348 997
Source: World Bank Staff Appraisal Report
197
Table 26: EXPENDITURE INCURRED ON CONSULTANCY
SERVICES
198
Kanungo Committee’s Findings and Recommendations
The OERC has done pioneering work in our country in the establishment of a
regulatory mechanism for the electricity industry. The reform Act, which has
given the commission a wide mandate, requires it to act effectively and
independently. The OERC’s working in the last few years, has not been free
from problems. To avoid these, the following recommendations have been
made.
199
1. To ensure that commission is fully functional at all times, the
government must appoint commissioners promptly. Action for filling
up vacancies should start early so that recommendations of the
selection committee are available to government at least two weeks
before the vacancy occurs. In the event an appointment or selection is
stayed by court, prompt action should be taken to have it vacated by
moving a higher court or a larger bench. Further nobody should be
considered for appointment unless there’s a clear possibility of his/her
serving for five years. To attract persons of ability, integrity, and
standing, wide publicity should be given while inviting nominations
for commissioners.
200
least once a year, taken at an appropriately high level to discuss and
settle matters involving important issues of policy.
201
health of the utilities. The DISTCOs & GRIDCO have been rendered
utterly unviable as a result of their inability to reduce T&D losses,
control rampant misuse, and theft of electricity and contain costs.
DISTCOs are unable to pay salaries to their employees without
defaulting on payment to GRIDCO towards the purchase of power.
GRIDCO also is unable to recover costs and is incurring heavy debts to
finance losses year after year. In this situation, the generating
companies are also facing inadequate cash realisation. The situation
has become so critical that the private sector partner in one of the
DISTCOs, AES, has abandoned the management of CESCO, which is
now being managed by a CEO appointed by regulatory authority. It is
recommended that the CEO of CESCO should be for full time.
8. The key to the revival of the sector lies in improving the efficiency and
bringing down the costs. By efficiency improvement not only can
customer services be geared up but T&D losses, currently at an
unacceptably high level, can also be brought down substantially. The
reform scheme sought to address the problem of T&D losses through
(a) capital investment to strengthen the T&D system so as to reduce
technical losses, and (b) privatisation of distribution to bring in better
management skills and practices for enforcement of accountability to
reduce commercial loss. Neither of these two has succeeded so far.
9. Large capital investments have been made but not a single project has
been completed despite considerable time overruns. The delays in most
cases for want of forest clearance, land availability or right of way.
Since none of the projects has been commissioned, no benefit has been
realized from the investments worth more than 6000 million rupees out
of funds borrowed from the World Bank carrying heavy debt-servicing
liabilities. Efforts need to be intensified to complete and commission
the ongoing works. No new work should be contracted until the
202
majority of the ongoing works is completed. With the commissioning
of these works, there should be a significant improvement in system
reliability and reduction of technical losses, which would benefit
impact on cost reduction.
(B) Should the DISTCOs wish police force escort for carrying out
special drives to prevent unauthorized use of electricity, over and
above the comfort of the chief secretary’s circular to DMs and SPs
asking for prompt intervention in the event of violence by antisocial
elements, the government should make available to the companies
the requisite support on payment of costs.
203
quantified for purpose of proper energy accounting, which is
practically missing.
11. A major cause of sharp increase in the cost of power was steep
upvaluation of assets at the time of transfer to GRIDCO. It called for
substantially higher provision for the depreciation as well as return on
capital. Neither these could be met because of short fall in revenue. In
these circumstances it would be worth while in keeping the revaluation
in abeyance till the system is brought to balance. In fact there’s a case
setting aside the revaluation of OHPC, which is expected to be
profitable in the years to come. In addition to this, state government
may agree to allow a moratorium on debt servicing to the state except
the amounts in respect of loans from the World Bank, which the state
government would need to pay to the centre. After applying these
correctives and also taking credit for T&D loss reduction at an average
rate of five percent per year, the revenue gap at the existing retail tariff
would show a decline but would still be substantial. The unavoidable
revenue gaps would need to be financed from the sources other than
debt. Since the state governments are themselves passing through
severe financial stress, it may not be realistic to ask them to make a
sacrifice over and above what has been suggested already.
12. An exercise has been carried out to estimate the annual shortfall on a
cash flow basis without tariff hike but assuming that collection
efficiency of the DISTCOs would progressively improve from the
present level of 76% to reach 95% by the year 2005/06 instead of
ending up with a collection efficiency of 84% proposed by them. With
a tariff hike of 18% in 2005, the entire cash deficit would disappear
and the year 2005/06 would witness both an operational profit as well
as marginal cash surplus. The sector as a whole would turn around in
2005/06. The consumers could be called upon to pay higher tariffs at
204
that stage because by then the utilities are expected to have shown
evidence of their concern for and efficiency in T & D loss reduction
and improvement of customer service; not otherwise.
13. To bring the reforms back on the rails, the World Bank and the DFID
who helped Orissa initially, and hopefully have retained their interest
in the reform, should come forward with a suitable package to fill the
revenue gap in the intervening years. Without this interim financing
(estimated at 32400 million rupees), there seems hardly any prospect of
the reform coming to fruition. The Government of India should not
only persuade them to do so but also extend a helping hand in sharing
the responsibility of interim financing of the revenue gap.
14. Once decision is taken on interim financing and its apportionment, the
DISTCOs and GRIDCO may be pinned down to specific performance
parameters by desegregating the proposed T&D loss reduction
DISTCO-wise.
15. In the prevailing run down state of GRIDCO and DISTCOs, no durable
rehabilitation is possible without interim financing of unavoidable
losses. However it needs to be emphasized that no amount of support
from outside would succeed unless the utilities conduct themselves
with greater sense of responsibility. Privatization was seen as a means
to improve the performance of DISTCOs. The private sector partners
need to bear in mind their crucial role, which cannot be performed
satisfactorily unless they face the task as a challenge and an
opportunity and take the industry forward in the true spirit of
partnership and for mutual benefit.
205
of working capital for companies, which were in dire need of capital,
working capital in particular. Instead of using the good offices of
BSES to secure working capital in terms of clause 8.1 of the
shareholders agreement for the three DISTCOs under their
management, the DISTCOs have persistently defaulted in payment to
GRIDCO towards purchase of power. The outstanding overdue of
GRIDCO as on 30 September 2001 against these three DISTCOs is
6807.2 million rupees including bonds issued by them in lieu of cash
payments. So far as the other distribution company CESCO is
concerned, the situation is worse. AES, the private partner, never
fulfilled its commitment to bring working capital. They were allowed
to pile up unpaid power purchase bills amounting to 4030 million
rupees by the time they walked away in August 2001. Now that the
AES have abandoned CESCO, GRIDCO seems to be left with hardly
any other option except exploring a legal remedy. As far as BSES-
managed DISTCOs are concerned, the attitude of deliberate default in
payment to GRIDCO must end. The BSES should make all efforts to
bring in working capital in terms of the shareholders agreement.
18. There is an urgent need to develop trust and goodwill between the
employees and the management. The vital role of the employees and
their associations in building up the industry needs to be taken more
206
seriously. While firm action against known miscreants is necessary to
enforce discipline and accountability this cannot be done without
skillful handling of situations and willingness to mitigate genuine
grievances. A specific matter in this connection relates to pensionary
benefits. Employees apparently have found that the pension scheme
preferred by them, and also adopted by the companies, has turned out
to be disadvantageous, particularly for those who came over from the
government in a higher age group. In a matter like this neither the
present employers nor the government should take any rigid stand. The
effort should be to find a solution, which may not even be difficult to
reach. Likewise, there is an apprehension the liabilities of
government/GRIDCO towards the Pension Trust may not have
assessed correctly. This is a matter of actuarial calculation, which may
affect the viability of the pension funds, so there should be no
reluctance to take a fresh look at the estimates.
19. Orissa is richly endowed with natural resources, and now has the
additional advantage of the surplus power. This combination needs to
be exploited to accelerate industrialization of the state through
vigorous marketing of power by offering more competitive rates. By
selling surplus power to industries, even at tariffs lower than prescribed
by the OERC, not only would the state benefit from industrialization,
but the DISTCOs themselves would also stand to gain as long as they
recovered costs at the margin. The tariffs fixed by the OERC should be
treated as the ceiling in each category, and utilities should have the
freedom to supply power at lower rates in exercise of their commercial
judgement.
20. With restructuring and privatization, there’s a much greater need now
for rigorous enforcement of safety norms in the electricity industry.
However, care needs to be taken to see that there’s no mindless
207
expansion of the Electrical Inspectorate. Services of chartered
engineers, under a strict system of empanelment and penalty in the
event of misconduct, may be utilised for the purpose of supplementing
human resources of a slim, well structured inspectorate.
208
necessary staff whose skills should be substantially honed and
upgraded by regular training.
• GRIDCO’s PMU (Project Management Unit) should take over the
responsibility of all capital works irrespective of the source of
funding. It should also monitor capital works executed by the
distribution companies in addition to managing and monitoring.
23. The entire power sector needs top management of a high calibre just as
it requires an efficient work force motivated to further the interest of
the industry. The task before the management is daunting.
Appointments to the boards of directors of all the utilities need to be
reviewed to ensure that professionals including administrators with
competence, vision and commitment may enrich the utilities at the top.
The prevailing system of part time appointments to key positions in the
sector, including the chief executive officer of the OHPC should end.
The chief executive officers of the DISTCOs should be stationed at
their respective head quarters.
24. The committee did not get the evidence of any innovative practice
introduced in the management of the privatized DISTCOs. However, in
some of the DISTCO areas, an experiment is in progress to involve
village communities in streamlining power supply in rural areas. While
the results seem to be encouraging, the exercise currently being
conducted by consultants can succeed in the long run and over large
areas only if the programme is implemented by DISTCO official
themselves.
25. It is recognised that regulatory commission need to lay down norms for
tariff determination, which would enable the utilities to have a clear
idea of the range in which tariffs may move over a reasonable period.
A multi-year tariff regime is therefore, being advocated by experts.
209
The OERC has also laid down norms in certain areas though much
more needs to be done. But no purposeful result can be achieved in the
matter of multi-year tariffs unless there is a reasonable financial
balance. Serious efforts are required to provide financial balance to the
sector before multi-year tariffs can become a reality.
210
them has not been paid for in spite of the fact that an amount of Rs. 23
Crore of capital subsidy due was certified by OERC several months
ago. No fresh scheme of rural electrification seems to have been posed
for funding support of agencies like REC, nor any scheme drawn up
for the purpose. Another regrettable feature is the utter lack of concern
for productive use of electricity for rural development through
agriculture pumping. In terms of agricultural demand for power among
states, Orissa is practically at the bottom. What is worse is that
agricultural demand for power in the state has gone down from a
meagre 6% in 1992-93 to a dismal 3% in 1999-00, compared with
national average of 30%. No single department of the state government
is entrusted with the administrative responsibility to plan, promote and
monitor growth and press for rural electrification for development of
irrigation pumping which is vital rural development. Under a high
priority national plan, all villages are required to be electrified by
March 2007. For a state like Orissa, with a 40% of the population from
weaker sections of scheduled castes and scheduled tribes living in
remote areas, the leeway to be made is large. Kutir Jyoti program
needs to be pursued with vigour. It must however be ensured that the
benefits of subsidised electricity supply under this program flow to the
targeted beneficiaries the goal is unlikely to be reached unless
determined efforts are made and an effective machinery is put in place
for planning, execution and monitoring of rural electrification projects.
The vacuum caused by abolition of the rural electrification wing of the
OSEB needs to be filled up and an alternative system created. The
following recommendations are made in this connection:
211
specific schemes, pose them to funding agencies and
over-see utilization of the funds procured.
b) REPO should have under it four Rural Electrification
Planning Units (REPU), each corresponding to a
DISTCO with which it would need to work in close
coordination. These units would draw up, detailed
schemes of rural electrification.
c) Prioritisation of villages for electrification should be
done by REPUs in consultation with the collector of the
concerned district.
d) Execution of the works would be the responsibility of
the concerned DISTCOs.
e) REPUs would need to monitor the execution and report
completion of schemes and the expenditures incurred
thereon to the Collector of the district and the State
REPO.
f) On the basis of the Collectors’ certificates of
satisfactory completion, the state Government should
promptly settle subsidy payments admissible to
DISTCOs.
g) Government would need to provide DISTCOs with
capital subsidy; revenue requirements would, in normal
course, be considered by OERC as a part of tariff
exercise.
212
towards putting back the reform on rails would succeed only if the
need for reform management is recognised and a system is put in place
by the government for regular monitoring, co-ordination and mid-
course correction. It is interesting to know that of all the major
parameters of reform laid down in the SAR; one of the few that proved
realistic was tariff. Retail tariff has been fairly close to the SAR
assumption in the first two years and substantially higher since 1998-
99. Thus, consumers have not failed to provide support; they have
made ample sacrifice in search of better quality of service which has
eluded them so far.
29. Power sector would succeed if the utilities bring in efficiency, cut
costs, reduce losses and ensure greater consumer satisfaction. It would
also require strong enforcement to ensure that consumers of electricity
pay for its use. All sections of the society, particularly those, who are
in a position to influence public opinion, have the responsibility to
provide the requisite support. Revival of the power sector would
depend to a large extent on how fast a consensus is built in this vital
area.
30. The state’s power sector is now on the brink of the crisis. It is high
time all agencies namely, the state government, the central
government, the world bank and the DFID, got together and took a
holistic view on what can be done by each to rescue the reform. If the
electricity reform fails in Orissa, it would have its inevitable adverse
impact on reform all over the country. What have taken place in the
electricity industry of Orissa is only restructuring, privatization and
establishment of a Regulatory Mechanism. The real reform, which
brings in its wake benefits to consumers, strength to the industry and
growth for the economy has yet to come.
213
Turnaround of GRIDCO / OPTCL - A Case Study
All the major steps in the restructuring process have since been taken as
envisaged under the reform scheme:
214
Transfer of Assets
Under the Transfer Scheme of April’96, the state government took over the
Transmission and Distribution assets of OSEB (book value plus capitalized
expenses and interest at 1200 Cr.) and reinvested them in GRIDCO after
upvaluing by an additional Rs. 1194 cr. (additional 134%). Against this
upvalued amount of 1194 Cr, the state Govt. adjusted subsidies and electricity
charges payable to OSEB/GRIDCO totalling Rs.340 Cr. In addition GRIDCO
issued Rs. 253 Cr. Worth of shares and Rs. 400 Cr. Worth zero-coupon bonds
to the state govt. This left GRIDCO with a serious cash shortage right from
day one and compelled it to default it to generating companies and other
suppliers. In addition Rs. 1146 Cr. of loan and liabilities were also assigned to
GRIDCO.
215
their business potential and replacement value, not their book value. The
revaluation exercise also enabled the cash strapped state govt. to “Adjust”
dues totalling Rs. 340 Cr. Payable to OSEB/GRIDCO against the
upvalued amount.
Table 27: Revaluation of Assets
216
The impact of revaluation on the distribution companies has been lower than
that to GRIDCO as they were allocated only project specific liabilities
totalling Rs. 630 Cr. for all four distribution companies put together, while
GRIDCO retained in their books liabilities (including accumulated losses)
totalling about Rs. 1950 Cr. While the assets were upvalued, there was no
such upvaluation of the liabilities. Besides, as stated earlier, the distribution
companies were assigned only project related liabilities. The only component
of asset upvaluation which has a bearing on tariff depreciation, which stood at
Rs. 81.69 Cr. in FY96 on the eve of the upvaluation and was pegged at Rs.
128.02 Cr. for FY98 by OERC in their tariff order effective from April 1,
1997.
The difference of Rs. 46.33 Cr. (Rs. 128.02 Cr. – Rs. 81.69 Cr.) in the
depreciation (which also included depreciation of assets created during FY97)
formed only 3.2% of GRIDCO’s total revenue requirements of Rs. 1451 Cr.
allowed by OERC. Hence the impact of upvaluation on distribution tariff has
been estimated to be only about 2.5%. Further, it must be emphasized that it is
not the upvaluation exercise per-se that resulted in GRIDCO’s cash crunch;
the cause is rather the “adjustment” of the totality of its receivables from the
state government (about Rs. 340 Cr.) right from inception.
217
Objectives of Privatization of Distribution Function:
A. Operational Improvements:
(i) Improve quality of service to consumers
(ii) Improve operational efficiencies & reduce losses.
B. Financial Benefits:
(iii) Attract private investment in to the distribution business
(iv) Reduce the need for government funding of the electricity
sector
(v) Contribute to increased economic growth in Orissa.
C. Employee Considerations:
(vi) Create opportunities for secure & increasingly rewarding
employment for the qualified personnel
(vii) Provide a stable environment for employees
D. Sale of all 4 Zones to promote competition
In keeping with the objectives of power sector reform and the commitments
given to the World Bank by the state government, the distribution function
was required to be privatized. After considerations of various options
available for privatization, the corporation decided to adopt the best mode of
Joint sector/ Joint venture route. The sequence agreed was that the four
distribution zones which were functioning under the corporation will be
converted in to four distribution companies as its wholly owned subsidiary.
218
visible now with increase in earnings and total turn around, with the GRIDCO
posted a net profit in FY 2004-05. The highlights of the results as follows:
During November, 2004 the peak export is 557 MW, off-peak export is
427 MW and the average export is 460MW.
2. T & D losses, which were excessively high and were targeted for
substantial reduction, could be brought down gradually. Billing and
collection efficiency under the privatized distribution companies
(DISTCOs) started improving, theft cases of electricity started falling
and due to the introduction of one time settlement of theft and irregular
connection cases, many new customers were created over the years and
receivable collection started increasing.
Steps taken in this regard to reduce T&D losses are through (a) capital
investment to strengthen the T&D system so as to reduce technical
219
losses, and (b) privatisation of distribution to bring in better
management skills and practices for enforcement of accountability to
reduce commercial loss (D) Hundred percent consumers metering
within a year and immediate metering at the low voltage terminals of
the step-down transformers were provided so that supplies in to HT &
LT systems can be quantified for purpose of proper energy accounting.
With a tariff hike of 18% in 2005, the entire cash deficit would
disappear and the year 2005/06 would witness both an operational
profit as well as marginal cash surplus. The sector as a whole would
turn around in 2005/06, which includes the distribution companies
also.
The consumers could be called upon to pay higher tariffs at that stage
because by then the utilities are expected to have shown evidence of
their concern for and efficiency in T & D loss reduction and
improvement of customer service; not otherwise.
220
4. To bring the reforms back on the rails, the World Bank and the DFID
who helped Orissa initially came forward with a suitable package to
fill the revenue gap in the intervening years. Without this interim
financing (estimated at 32400 million rupees), this gradual turnaround
in GRIDCO’s fiscals were unlikely and hardly there was any prospect
of the reform coming to fruition.
221
7. To ensure that commission (OERC) is fully functional at all times, the
government started appointing commissioners promptly because
OERC has done pioneering work in our country in the establishment of
a regulatory mechanism for the electricity industry. Commission
started instituting regular systems of monitoring to ensure that the
prescribed standards of performance are actually adhered to in the
industry.
222
Comparison of Financial Performance – Orissa Vis-à-vis
Andhra Pradesh
223
Table 29: Financial Result Analysis of Orissa
224
SOCIO ECONOMIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF POWER SECTOR
REFORMS: A MICRO LEVEL ANALYSIS
V.1 Introduction
5.2 These disaggregated data are collected from different sources and from
different districts of the state of Orissa. The sources are:
a) households,
b) commercial and small industrial establishments,
c) principal informants including key power sector
functionaries, high-level officials of the Government of
Orissa and user group representatives and
d) the Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) in the selected sites.
225
members of the study team conducted some of the FGDs and principal
informant interviews themselves in two installments.
226
Design of the Sampling Frame for Collection of Primary Data
Nandapur (LE)
Khurda (HD)
Bajapur (HE)
Eastern Zone
Bhubaneshwar (Town / City) Bhubaneshwar
Sanagarh (LE)
O Ranapur (HD)
Gopalpur (HE)
Salgadia (LE)
Banarpal (HD)
S Santuri (HE)
Rajpur (LE)
Digapahandi (HD)
Padmanavapur (HE)
Ganjam (HD)
Lunghuri (LE)
Ganjam (LD)
Southern Zone
Damodarpur (HE)
S
Berhampur (Town / City) Berhampur
Badagatiguda (LE)
Bissam Cuttack (HD)
T Chatikana (HE)
Somapur (LE)
Chandabali (HD)
T Baligan (HE)
Machhala (LE)
Ghasipura (HD)
Deogaon (HE)
227
V.3 Analysis of Household Data
*
On an average, the extent of non-response on different aspects ranges between 2 and 20 % of the
total sample size.
228
rural households belong to less privileged castes, about 67 % of the urban
households belong to the privileged category. The sex ratio (number of
females per 1000 males) in rural areas is 826 while the same is 859 in urban
areas. The sex ratio among upper caste is in favour of females in both rural
and urban areas. Expectedly, the urban literacy rate comes out much higher
than the rural literacy rate, particularly for education at the secondary level
and beyond 2. Thus, while for the rural sample the literacy rate at secondary
level and beyond is estimated to be about 47% of the total number of persons
in the sample, the same is close to 60% for all persons in the urban sample.
Across the different caste groups it is found that the less privileged categories
are always behind the privileged category as one move towards higher and
higher levels of education. Irrespective of the social category, female literacy
rate at all levels of education is always behind the corresponding male literacy
rate.
Access to Electricity
5.6 “Kutir Jyoti” Scheme: The government of Orissa has a special scheme
named ‘Kutir Jyoti’ that is intended to improve the access to and use of
electricity among the rural SC, ST and OBC households living below poverty
line (BPL). The survey data relating to the sample households shows a
significant number of forward caste households (about 14%) coming under
this scheme (Chart-5.1). This gives an impression that, like any other scheme
for the rural poor, the benefits of this scheme are also enjoyed by the
privileged category. About 29 % SC and 39 % ST households are covered
under ‘Kutir Jyoti’ scheme. The relatively low targeting of the scheme among
the sample households may also be due to the high illiteracy rate of the SC
and ST population and their ignorance of the schemes meant for their welfare.
2
The focus on secondary level of education and beyond it is based on the assumption that awareness
about power sector reform is likely to be more crystallized at this level.
229
Chart 5.1: Composition of Kutir Jyoti Households
Forward
Caste SC
OBC 14% 29%
19%
ST
38%
230
Table 5.1: Indicators of Access to Electricity by Sample
Households
Pre-
reform Reform
Information on period period
Percentage of sample households that
85.0 15.0
received connection
Connected Load (in kwh) 1.4 1.4
Distance from the pole (in meters) 19.9 27.6
Amount spent in connection (in Rs) 854.7 1521.9
Time taken for getting connection in
- 21
days (CMDR study)
XAVIER study: % of HH got
29 -
connection in <30 days
231
5.10 Frequency of Meter Reading: The irregularity in meter reading has
declined from 26 % (Xavier study) in the pre reform period to about 8 %
(CMDR study) in the reform period. There is a significant improvement in
the frequency of meter reading (every 2 months) in rural areas during the
reform period (as reported by 74% of sample households in reform period
compared to 48 % in the pre reform period). Similarly, for the urban areas the
monthly reading of meter is reported to be more frequent during the reform
period by 66% of urban households, compared to 44 % in the pre reform
period (Table 5.2).
5.11 Complaints about Meters: More than 80 % of the rural households and
more than 90 % in urban areas did not lodge any complaint in case of non
working of the meters in the pre reform period. In comparison, during the
reform period this increased to 98 % and 96 %, respectively, of households in
rural and urban areas. It is significant to note that the proportion of
households going for lodging any complaint in case of defective meters
declined sharply (from 18 percent to 2 percent) during the reform period,
particularly in rural areas (Table 5.2). It is possible that there is less cause
for complaint as far as the working of meters is concerned in the reform
period and this is definitely an indicator of improving system efficiency in
energy accounting by the DISCOMs. There is an alternative viewpoint on
this aspect of metering and it is based on the widely reported dissatisfaction
about the customer care services of the DISCOMs. Thus, if the public
perception is that complaints lodged by them are less likely to receive
timely and satisfactory attention, there would be a clear disinclination to
access the existing grievance redressal system. However, the latter
viewpoint seems unlikely considering that the next two indicators relating to
customer care (for meter related problems) give a positive impression of
the reform impact.
232
5.12 Time taken for Repairing of Meters: As per the norm, in case of non-
working of meters, the concerned DISTCOM is required to attend to it within a
maximum period of 22 days from the day of complaint lodged by the consumer
household. For the sample households it is found that the number of days taken in
correcting/repairing the meter has been reduced on an average from 29 days in the
pre reform period to 17 days in the reform period in rural areas while the
corresponding decline in urban areas has been from 25 to 15 days. It seems that
reform has been successful in this respect, irrespective of whether the consumer
is from rural or urban area (Table 5.2). This again is an indicator of greater
responsiveness of the DISCOMs in attending to consumer complaints as far as
the grievance relates to the functioning of meters. 5.13 Payment for Repairing
the Meters: As per rules, if the officially supplied meter goes out of order due
to some inherent defect, it will be replaced/repaired without any charge from
the consumers. But if the consumer damages the same, a penalty has to be paid
by the consumer. It is observed that in the pre reform period the payment
made by the consumers, on an average, towards repairing/replacing the meter
was higher when compared to the amount of payment made during reform
period (Table 5.2). This is possibly an indirect corroboration of the idea that
perhaps during the pre reform period more meters were damaged by the
households (either by tampering or any other way) for which they had to pay
very high price towards repairing/replacing the meters. During the reform
period the payment made by the households has significantly reduced. It is
likely that the vigilance system instituted by the DISCOMs in the reform period has
been largely effective in reducing the incidence of tampering/damage of the meters
by domestic consumers in both rural and urban areas.
233
Table 5.2: Metering of Households in Rural and Urban areas
234
Uses of Electricity
5.14 Type of Use: The domestic consumers use electricity largely for the
purposes of lighting, cooking, washing, entertainment, refrigeration,
education, health and hygiene, etc. For the sample households it is observed
that during the reform period there has been a definite shift in the pattern of
use of electricity in case of both rural and urban area consumer households.
While the traditional use of electrical appliances for lighting and cooking
purposes appears to have declined (possibly due to greater economy of use
and better availability of alternative sources of energy, such as LPG), there is
relatively greater reporting of the application of electricity for non-
conventional purposes like domestic chores, education, entertainment,
health and hygiene among both rural and urban area consumers, and
more so in the case of the latter (Table5.3).
235
women in the rural areas and 70 % women in the urban areas that are found in
the pre reform period to be more conscious about economy measures in the
use of electricity, these percentages has increased significantly in the reform
period as more than 70 % women in rural and 80 - 90 % women in urban
areas are found to be practicing economy measures (Table 5.4). This
gender aspect about the consumers’ response to the power sector reform
needs to be noted as this brings out the crucial role that women can play in
matters of socio economic importance to the family and the economy as a
whole.
5.16 Reasons for economy in use: The information gathered from the
households reveals that when asked to prioritize the reasons for practicing
economy measures in the use of electricity, 70 to more than 80 % of the
sample households give minimization of the electricity bill as the most
important factor. This evidence of a price impact is in accordance with the
expectation from reform. Energy saving gets the second priority among the
reasons stated by the households (Table 5.5). Chart 5.2 and 5.3 provide a
clearer picture of the reasons for the economy in use of electricity.
236
Table 5.5: Reasons for Economy in Use by Households in reform period and
Figures in % of responding households
Rural Urban
22
12
1
2
77
87
237
Electricity Tariff
5.18 Collusion: An attempt has been made on the basis of the reported
information to relate the extent of use of electricity by a household
with the amount of payment for the same. It is assumed that the
number of power points in the households is a more accurate indicator
of actual/potential consumption of electricity than the units billed,
since there is a chance that tampering of meters by the consuming
household contaminates the latter figure. The expectation is that
238
households with 15 ampere points would be at the high end of
domestic users and accordingly would be paying on an average higher
electricity charges. It is rather interesting to notice that the rural
households using 15 ampere points reported on an average lesser
amounts of electricity charges than the households using 5 ampere
points (not shown in Table). While it is possible that the high end
users in the rural domestic segment are more economical in their
actual use of electricity, nevertheless the possibility of collusion,
either in meter reading or in billing, cannot be entirely ruled out.
Box-5.1 gives the case of one of the sample villages where such
collusive activity still exists despite reform.
239
Table 5.7: Billing frequency as reported by the households
Figures in % of responding households
Rural Urban Total
Billing Frequency Pre-reform Reform Pre-reform Reform Pre-reform Reform
(Xavier (CMDR (Xavier (CMDR (Xavier (CMDR
Study) Study) Study) Study) Study) Study)
No Billing 2.86 5.1 Nil 2.3 1.4 1.3
Monthly 16.4 14.1 26.4 68.5 21.5 43.4
Bimonthly 40.0 72.4 46.6 24.1 43.4 45.1
More than
Bimonthly 40.7 8.4 27.0 5.1 33.7 10.2
Total 100.0 100 100.0 100 100.0 100.0
240
5.21 Billing efficiency and consumer perceptions: In order to determine
the efficiency in the reform period billing system, the perceptions of the
people on 5 indicators were collected: correctness in billing, clarity in
billing, ease of payment, timely complaint redressal and satisfactory
solution of the complaint. Table-5.9 gives the extent of incidence of the
perceptions among the households according to 3 possibilities: ‘improved’,
‘deteriorated’ and ‘no change’. The perceptions of people are found to be the
most favourable regarding the payment procedure of the bill. Nearly 74 %
rural and 88 % urban households feel that there has been greater ease of
payment in the reform period. Correctness and clarity in billing comes next
in the ranking and get equal rank in both rural and urban areas, with the
backing of a little more than half of the sample households in both areas.
However, almost 2/3rd (72 %) of the sample households in rural areas
reported that they do not get satisfactory solution to their complaints. In
comparison, about 44 percent of the urban households reported their
satisfaction from the solution to their complaint. It is worth noting that only a
small minority (about 12%) of urban consumers feel that there has been
deterioration with regards to getting a satisfactory solution to their billing
complaints. What comes out as certain is that customer care and grievance
redressal by the DISCOMs in case of complaints related to billing are
perceived to be the least satisfactory by the majority of households in rural
areas. This may be contrasted with the earlier discussion of people’s largely
favourable perceptions about the DISCOMs’ handling of metering-related
complaints. It appears that the reform period system for customer care and
grievance redressal is yet to be developed properly for the different areas of
interface between the consumers and suppliers, particularly in the rural
areas.
241
Table 5.9: Billing efficiency in rural and urban areas
Figures in % of responding households
Indicators of billing
No
efficiency Improved Rank Deteriorated Rank Rank
change
Rural
Correctness 51.87 2 17.4 3 30.73 4
Clarity 51.43 3 16.52 4 32.05 3
Ease in payment 73.75 1 5.16 5 21.09 5
Timely Complaint 27.97 4 25.55 2 46.47 2
Satisfactory solution 12.79 5 71.64 1 15.57 1
Urban
Correctness 66.55 2 14.83 2 18.92 3
Clarity 66.26 3 14.84 1 18.61 4
Ease in payment 87.67 1 3.84 5 8.49 5
Timely Complaint 49.59 4 10.84 4 39.57 2
Satisfactory solution 43.97 5 11.76 3 44.27 1
242
reform period. More than 80 % to about 90 % of the urban households feel
favorably about the power supply scenario in the reform period, while a
similar sentiment finds expression from 55 % to slightly more than 60 % of
the rural consumers (Table 5.10).
5.23 Power Failure: Power failure is different from power cut. Power
failure occurs due to the problems that are beyond the control of the
supply authorities, e.g. natural calamities (cyclone, flood etc.), over
loading from excess consumption of electricity, theft of electricity, etc.
During the reform period, as judged from the sample households
reporting its incidence, power failure of greater hourly duration
appears to have declined in both rural and urban areas (Table-5.11).
This improvement is more marked in case of the urban areas sampled.
Significantly, about 45% of the urban consumers say that they do not
suffer from power failure at all as against 5% in the pre-reform period
(Xavier Study). Only 13 % consumers in rural areas do not suffer from
power failure during reform period while the same was zero percent
(Xavier Study) during pre-reform period. Though the power supply
situation has improved during the reform period to a great extent,
the incidence of improvement is found to be higher in urban areas
than in the rural areas.
243
Table 5.11: Duration of Power Failure in pre-reform and reform periods
(Figures in % of sample households reporting for different durations of power failure)
Rural Urban
Duration of power
failure Pre Reform Reform Pre Reform
Period period Period Reform period
CMDR Study, 2003
< 1 hour 18.3 30.4 36.1 35.5
1 - 3 hours 35.4 26.5 32.5 10.5
> 3 hours 46.3 30.5 16.2 9.2
No Power Failure - 12.6 - 44.8
Xavier Study, 1996
No Power Failure 0 5
244
Table-5.11a: Performance of DISTCOMs in checking theft/misuse of power in Orissa during
the reform period
Performance Indicators 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
Number of transformers burnt 6341 6741 4936 4501
Cost involved (Rs. Crores) 17.85 18.95 13.96 4.75
Length of conductor stolen (Km) 1659.29 1760.26 968.05 423.61
Cost involved (Rs. Crores) 4.071 4.351 1.406 0.563
Number of hooks detected 83484 68192 309324 126383
Number of hooks repeated out of hooks detected 0 0 21701 156
Number of connections regularised 29345 75097 109479 54090
Number of disconnections made 77277 86572 216860 406702
Source: OERC's Review of Performance of DISTCOMs based on data submitted by the
companies to the Commission
The theft of power is still continuing almost everywhere which has been stated
by various key informants i.e. Sarapanch (Nayagarh), Sarapanch (Khurda), Councillor
(Bhadrak Municipality), Field Officer (Gramyabank, Khurda), Executive
officer(Keonjhar,NESCO), Advocate (Bar Association,Nayagarh), OIC Town Police
5.26 Power cut: Power cut is made deliberately by the authorities when
there is a shortage of supplies or need for repair and maintenance of
transformers, etc. As perceived by the sample households, there appears to
have occurred a marked decline in the duration of power cuts during
summer as well as rest of the year in the reform period for both rural
245
and urban areas. This has been a significant achievement of reform and is
commonly acknowledged. For the reform period, the most common duration
of power cut during summer as well as rest of the year is 1 to 3 hours daily in
rural areas and less than 1 hour in urban areas (Table-5.12).
Table 5.12: Duration of power cut during pre reform and reform periods
(Figures in % of sample households reporting for different durations of power cut)
< 1 Hour 1-3 Hour > 3 Hour Not at all Total
Season Pre Pre Pre Pre Pre
Reform Reform Reform Reform Reform Reform Reform Reform Reform Reform
Period Period Period Period Period Period Period Period Period Period
Summer
Rural 29.2 27.1 39.1 37.3 28.2 21.1 3.5 14.4 100 100
Urban 42.9 39.1 34.0 27.6 18.0 8.2 5.1 25.0 100 100
Total 32.2 35.7 37.1 33.2 23.6 14.2 7.1 16.9 100 100
Rest of the Year
Rural 16.0 24.4 51.5 39.6 25.4 18.9 7.1 17.1 100 100
Urban 38.3 35.7 33.9 20.3 16.8 8.0 11.0 36 100 100
Total 25.4 32.5 44.2 29.1 20.5 14.2 9.9 24.2 100 100
Table 5.12a: Most common duration (hours per day) of power cuts during
summer as well as rest of year
Research studies Rural Urban
246
of a trend that speaks of growing consumer preferences for better quality of
lighting and therefore betters quality of life, even in the rural areas of Orissa.
247
5.30 Difficulties caused on account of Voltage Problem: Comparatively a
greater proportion (51.4%) of urban consumers than those in rural
areas (37.1%) reported the absence of any type of voltage-related
difficulties in the reform period (Table 5.15). While looking at the
various types of difficulties reported by the consumers on account of
voltage fluctuation, the pattern comes out to be similar in both rural
and urban areas, with the majority complaint being linked to low
voltage in the evening time. The damage to electrical appliances due to
high voltage problem declined significantly from 23 percent in the pre-
reform period to 6 percent during the reform period both in rural and
urban areas. This of course is a healthy sign of the reform process.
Table 5.15: Difficulties reported due to voltage problem in the reform period
Figures in % of responding households
Type of difficulty reported by the household Rural Urban Total
CMDR Study (2003)
Tube lights not working in the evening 42.2 32.0 33.2
Electrical appliances not working at night 11.9 9.1 10.9
Damage to electrical appliances 6.9 5.2 5.9
Accidents caused by high voltage 1.9 2.3 2.1
No problem 37.1 51.4 47.9
Total 100 100 100
Xavier Study (1996)
Damage caused to electrical appliances NA NA 22.9
248
Table 5.16: Protective measures by households in case of voltage problem
Figures in % of responding households
Rural Urban Total
Pre
Items Reform Reform
Pre Pre Period Period
Reform Reform Reform Reform (Xavier (CMDR
Period Period Period Period Study) Study)
Use of Stabilizer 42.2 12.9 27.6 18.6 24 16.0
Use of Capacitor 1.4 1.3 1.6 2.9 NA 1.9
Use of alternative sources of energy 3.4 5.5 6.0 2.4 1 4.3
Non-use of equipment 48.2 48.2 46.6 55.4 19 51.1
No protective measure 4.8 32.0 18.1 20.6 56 26.7
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
249
V.4 Socio economic Impact of Power Sector Reform: Impact on
Education
Direct impacts
250
Indirect Impacts
251
Table-5.17: Consumer perceptions about reform’s impact on education of
children
Figures in % of responding households
Rural Urban
Less
Impact Indicators Privileged Privileged Less Privileged
Privileged
I D NC I D NC I D NC I D NC
Duration of Study
Hours (early
47 18 36 47 17 36 58 13 28 58 17 25
morning & evening
hours)
Access to
information and e-
education (TV, 10 0 90 4 0 96 45 5 50 32 8 60
Computer &
Internet)
Educational
performance of 28 9 63 26 14 60 37 13 49 35 15 50
children
Conduciveness of
situation for girls to
35 16 49 26 23 52 76 1 23 51 3 46
attend evening
classes
Note: (i) I = Improved; D = Deteriorated; NC = No Change
(ii) Figures may not add up horizontally to 100 for different social categories
because of rounding up
Direct impact
5.38 Health care of children and sick: Not only different diagnostic tests
but the health care of children and sick persons in the households are also
252
affected by the quality of power supply. (For instance, the sick persons, old
persons and persons with hypertension etc require continuous fans and AC
during summer, which require un-interrupted power supply.) It is found that
about 50 to 57 % of households in the total sample perceive that there has
been improvement in the health care status in households due to
improvement in power supply in the reform period. At the same time,
more than 40 % of the households do not feel any change in the situation.
Across social categories, it is observed that a relatively larger percentage of
privileged group households give a favorable opinion about the impact of
reform.
Indirect Impact
5.39 Health status of women: Women in general, and working women and
rural women in particular, get very little time to take care of their own health.
The use of electrical appliances in domestic chores is expected to reduce
drudgery and improve the health status of women along with the overall
quality of life enjoyed by them. Since the use of such appliances is linked to
the quality of power supply, the issue of the impact of reform in the power
sector again becomes relevant. Barring the urban households belonging to the
privileged category, the majority perception in all other categories is that there
has been no change in the health status of female members in the household
during the reform period. Nevertheless, it is encouraging to note that close
to one-third of sample households cutting across social categories as well
as the rural-urban division provides the perception that points to a likely
positive impact of reform on health status of women.
253
Table-5.18: Consumer perceptions about reform’s impact on health services
and health care in households (Figures in % of responding households)
Rural Urban
Less
Privileged Privileged Less Privileged
Impact Indicators Privileged
N N N
I D I D I D I D NC
C C C
Timely conduct of
53 8 39 50 7 43 87 1 12 71 2 27
diagnostic tests
Health care of
children and sick in 53 4 43 49 4 46 57 2 41 51 4 45
households
Health status of
women members in 34 19 47 32 13 54 42 20 38 37 17 46
households
Note: (i) I = Improved; D = Deteriorated; NC = No Change
V.6 Socio Economic Impact of Power Sector Reform: Impact on
Women
Direct impact
254
Indirect impact
255
V.7 Impact of power sector reform on livelihood
Rural
Male 45.8 5.6 48.6 52.3 5.5 42.2
Female 23.4 7.3 69.3 33.2 8.0 58.7
Total 35.0 6.5 58.5 43.4 5.1 51.5
Urban
Male 49.8 2.1 48.0 60.4 2.1 37.5
Female 43.3 5.5 51.2 54.2 4.4 41.4
Total 44.2 4.2 51.6 56.5 3.2 40.3
I=Increased, D-Decreased, NC-No Change
V.8. Impact of Power Sector Reform on Consumption Pattern of the
households
5.45 In view of the hike in tariff, it is expected that there may be a change in
the consumption pattern of the household and due to this change, there is
possibility of foregoing some of the family expenditures The majority of the
perceptions in respect of this aspect indicates that there is an increase in the
household spending on consumption but no expenditure is postponed due to
the hiked rate of tariff of electricity (Table 5.21). This provides a clear idea
256
that in view of the improved power supply the consumers are willing to pay
for electricity uses without distorting their consumption pattern.
5.47 Cold storage facility: Has the better power supply scenario in the
reform period induced addition to cold storage facility for agricultural
produce? The rural households surveyed almost near unanimous in their
opinion that there has been no change in the availability of cold storage
facility in the reform period. However, a small minority of 17 % of the
privileged urban households felt that there has been a reform-period
improvement in the storage situation in urban areas.
257
Summary statement of the perceptions of HHs on impact indicators
258
V.10 Consumers’ Willingness to Pay at a Hiked Rate
5.49 Willingness to Pay: The present tariff rate seems to put financial
burden on the consumers to such an extent that about 73 % rural and 51 %
urban households of the total sample are not willing to pay any extra rate for
electricity over and above the present tariff. However, it is interesting to note
that with a rise in the level of education consumer’s willingness to pay
increases. It seems higher level of education and urbanization enhance the
willingness of the consumers to pay more towards electricity charges if they
are assured of better and regular supply of electricity. This can be seen from
Table 5.22.
5.50 Sample profile: The survey of commercial and industrial units for the
present impact assessment study covered a total number of 212 units
belonging to the small-scale segment of the commercial and industrial
category of electricity consumers in Orissa. The number of units sampled in a
survey area was largely determined by the presence of such units in that
259
particular area and the variety. Selection of the sample units was largely
purposive with a view to capture as much as possible the different types of
commercial and industrial activities present in a location. For the 8 districts
sampled, with the exception of the Khurda district, each district has about 20
to 30 sample units belonging to the commercial and small-scale industrial
consumer categories. The size of the sample (62) for Khurda district is
relatively large because the State capital with a large number of commercial
enterprises falls in this district. Table-5.23 gives the district wise distribution
of the sample units along with their metering status.
260
Table 5.24: District wise status of Supply of Electricity to commercial and industrial users
Units
reporting Units reporting
adequate inadequate
Districts
supply of supply of
electricity (% electricity (% to
Total Units to total) total)
Keonjhar 24 29.2 70.8
Bhadrak 27 55.6 44.4
Sambalpur 21 61.9 38.1
Angul 20 85.0 15.0
Khurda 61 91.8 8.2
Nayagarh 20 75.0 25.0
Raydgada 20 65.0 35.0
Ganjam 19 68.4 31.6
212 70.3 29.7
261
indicators, there is a general feeling of discontent among the commercial
and industrial category of users about the adequate availability of quality
power, particularly among units located in the relatively backward
districts of the State.
262
Table 5.24 a: Alternative Sources of Power / Stand by Facilities and the
associated cost for commercial and industrial users of different capacity size
(KW terms)
5.54 Customer care and grievance redressal: With the exception of the
units coming under CESCO, the majority of the consumer units served by the
other 3 DISCOMs complain of poor customer care and un-satisfactory
solution to grievances. Again, the units coming under NESCO turn out to be
the worst sufferers. Most of the complaints of the industrial units relate to the
improper functioning of meters and the incorrect reading of meters.
263
CONCLUSION
SUMMARY
In the first two chapters of my thesis, I have discussed the theoretical
framework of reforms and its necessity for timely adoption. The main aim of
this thesis is to bring out an ideal framework for all those state utilities
aspiring to unbundle their vertically integrated utility. The earlier Electricity
Act. 1909 failed to deliver the results in terms of their financial viability.
Power sector investment has always been dependent on budgetary support and
external borrowings. Electricity Act. 2003 was enacted with a view to de-
regularizing the vertically integrated utilities, opening the field of generation
and distribution to private players and introduction of power trading system.
To achieve a robust GDP growth of 8 per cent per annum, the growth rate of
power sector is prescribed to grow over 10 per cent per annum. Initiatives
were taken in the chief minister’s conference on Common Minimum National
Action Plan for Power (CMNPP) convened by Prime Minister in 1996 which
ushered in the comprehensive reforms program for power sector including
reforms in distribution sector. The results were visible in the Ninth Plan (1997
– 02) with an addition of 19,015 MW from the preceding plan period. The
reform policy also allowed private sector to set up companies with 100%
foreign participation and with a maximum 4:1 debt equity ratio. The return on
foreign equity was protected in foreign currency and a number of tax
concessions were extended to woo the investors.
I have analyzed the growth of power sector in detail. The way the power
sector has performed in the past several years across several plan periods has
been supplemented with necessary tables and graphs. In spite of many
rewarding initiatives the participation from the private players has been
considerably low as compared to public sector participation. One of the
reasons may be attributed to the lack of comprehensive fuel supply agreement
264
(FSA). The IPPs insist that the penalty for supply interruptions should cover
the loss of revenue (Fixed cost component of tariff) attributable to the default
in fuel supply. Penalty could be on the basis of the additional cost incurred in
procuring fuel from alternate sources but railways contend that it should be on
the value of the fuel not on supplied.
Chapter IV deals with the enactment of a new Electricity Act. 2003 and
implementation of Montek Singh Ahluwalia Report recommended the ways
and means for one time settlement of outstanding dues of SEBs to CPSUs.
The World Bank’s model on structural reforms in power sector has been
discussed in detail. It is the prerogative of the different state governments to
adopt the most suitable one as per their viability and need. This chapter also
traces the changes in the legal provisions governing electricity power tariffs
and discusses the processes and methodologies adopted over time for tariff
setting till the formulation under Section 178 of the Electricity Act, 2003,
265
which may be called the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (Terms
and Conditions of Tariff) Regulations, 2004. A broad comparison has been
made over the existing tariff structure vis-a-vis availability based tariff
(ABT). An in-depth analysis has been made to find out the mechanism of
calculation of cross-subsidy put forth by different agencies working in this
area. The financial crisis besetting the Indian power sector has always been an
issue of great concern for the planners and experts but evolving an audit i.e.
Energy audit mechanism was never introduced to the system because it may
lead to some path breaking findings such as excessive estimation of T&D
losses, High Transmission (11KV & above) losses, unwillingness of utilities
for effective metering, indication of significant commercial losses in HT
level, etc.
Chapter V deals with the appraisal of Orissa’s reforms experience and its
failure to become a financially profitable organization as against predicted by
consultants who drew up this pragmatic reform model against a staggering
Rs.306.422 crores as consultancy fees from Britain's Department for
International Development (DFID). Consultants includes KPMG – Pre-reform
Consultancy, Credit Suisse First Boston – privatization consultancy, Merz
McLellan & Seaboard International – Project management consultancy, Price
Waterhouse Coopers – other consultancy, has raised many unanswered
questions on the efficacy and practicability of their consultancy. A detailed
study has been made after examining its fault lines, and suggestions have
been placed to improve its performance. During the course of my research,
GRIDCO witnessed its turnaround in the A.Y 2003 – 04 and predictions are
strong that complete turnaround after writing off previous losses will be
possible in the year 2008 – 09. A complete case study has been prepared in
this regard and it has received appreciation from several quarters after its
publication in the Journal of Power Professionals “HORIZON”, Oct – Dec,
2005 Vol. 7 No.1. An attempt has been made to compare the financial
performance of Orissa with Andhra Pradesh, though AP started its reforms
266
process much later than the state of Orissa. Orissa has become a model state
among its counterparts as far as power sector reform is concerned and its
successful turnaround under Mr. Suresh Chandra Mahapatra, IAS the then
CMD of GRIDCO has again reaffirmed the faith in a person with dedication
towards duty and transparent functioning.
In the course of my research there have been many changes in the regulatory
aspect and it has been done with a singular objective of facilitating the
reforms process. I’ve a strong belief that with the growth of power, India will
become resurgent India and the coming decade will be the decade for growth
of “Power” in India.
267
FINDINGS
Basing on these experiences and taking world bank model for structural
reforms on power sector India appears to be relying on the single buyer model
for now (making the role of TRANSCO special – monopoly seller to
DISTCOs, and monopsony buyer from the GENCOs). While there is
recognition of the pros and cons of a single-buyer model, the government
hopes this is a transitional solution, leading to open access to the wires
(Deepak Parekh Expert Committee on State Specific Reforms 2002). Instead
of the transmission companies, privatizing the handful of DISCOMs per state
appears to be the thrust of the government as of now. The states kicked off
their reform process notably among them were Andhra Pradesh, Delhi &
Orissa.
269
In Andhra Pradesh the unbundling of the sector was primarily aimed to
increase operational efficiencies and to allow these entities to function
independently and put them in decision taking mode. More than 90% of the
employees were allotted to the company of their choice. The new power
generation projects would be mainly developed by the Independent Power
Producers (IPPs) selected through International Competitive Bidding (ICB)
and joint venture companies of APGENCO with private parties, other states
or central undertakings. The achievements of Andhra Pradesh reforms
because of the fact that Andhra Pradesh has taken up full-fledged energy
auditing of 114 towns and the T&D loss levels in these towns have been
brought down to less than 10 per cent. CRISIL Rated Andhra Pradesh as
the Best Utility in Implementing Reform program in a calibrated way.
In Delhi the main metric for choosing companies was not based on valuation,
but on performance improvement goals. The DISTCOs annual revenue
requirements are calculated based on their expenditure, performance (targets),
and return on equity (16%). The process of choosing the companies were
• Valuation of assets
• Mitigating uncertainty
• Criteria for selection of successful investor
• Incentives for achieving higher efficiency gains
• Baseline data
• Treatment of receivables
It is clear from Delhi privatization process that there was a better recognition
of the need for government support during the transition period in the Delhi
privatization which was totally absent in Orissa reforms.
270
electricity industry. Though the purpose of the reform was pious but because
of the under mentioned reasons, it failed to make any impact operationally
and financially as well, namely
• The single buyer model is necessarily not the best, and the Transco
might be better as just a wires company.
However, the main reason for the poor performance appear to be the false
assumptions and expectations of the players, and the limited support provided
by the government, either for subsidies or to the companies who had liquidity
271
issues in addition to solvency issues. After examining the fault lines carefully
few steps were taken to improve the financials of new utility. It includes:-
• To bring the reforms back on the rails, the World Bank and the DFID
who helped Orissa initially came forward with a suitable package to fill
the revenue gap in the intervening years.
272
SUMMARY OF THE MAIN FINDINGS OF SOCIO ECONOMIC
IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF POWER SECTOR REFORMS
273
improved system efficiency in energy accounting by the DISCOMs at
the domestic users end.
274
5. Voltage quality: Slightly more than half (50.41%) of the
households in rural areas while more than 2/3 rd (72.74%) households in
urban areas have reported that they get adequate power supply with
normal voltage. In rural areas about 36 % of the households have
reported that they suffer from very low voltage. The damage to electrical
appliances and accidents due to voltage problem seems to be negligible
in both rural and urban areas, which of course seems to be a healthy sign
of the reform process. During the reform period the use of stabilizers has
been reduced to a large extent and the proportion of consumers not using
any protective measure for voltage problem has increased which gives a
clear impression that there has been a lot of improvement in the quality
of voltage during the reform period.
275
health care of the sick, old persons and children in the sample
households. A significant proportion of households perceived that the
health status of women has improved in the reform period on account of
reduced drudgery.
276
11. Willingness to pay: The present tariff rate seems to put
financial burden on the consumers to such an extent that about 73 % in
rural and 51 % in urban area consumers are not willing to pay any extra
rate for electricity over and above the present tariff. However, it would
be interesting to note that higher level of education and urbanization
enhance the willingness of the consumers to pay more towards electricity
charges if they are assured of better and regular supply of electricity.
SUGGESTIONS
3. Orissa was the first state which started the exercises of reforming its power
sector in early nineties. It is therefore very essential to draw upon the
experiences of this initiative.
4. Distribution is the cutting edge of the power industry and it needs to be set
right. Unless the electricity market allows itself to be put under competitive
pressure, performance improvement to the desired level might be difficult to
achieve.
277
5. To meet the resource requirements of expansion, we have to devise the
policies and programmes and revive this sector in a manner that it attracts
investments and also generate surplus to fund growth.
278
SCOPE FOR FURTHER RESEARCH
The state owned Single Buyer is often reluctant to take unpopular action
against delinquent distributor, who either overdraws power or most
importantly does not honour the payment schedule for the power purchased
by it. It affects the commercial viability of the transmission and distribution
company, which may not pay enough attention to disconnect power supply of
the defaulting consumers across the board vitiating the very purpose for
encouraging competition and privatization. The single buyer model retains the
role of the government in the power sector instead of distancing it. So the
research on Multi Buyer Model would be an ideal one at this juncture.
There has been an insignificant inflow of FDI in power sector. The time when
power sector growth was required, then corresponding liberalized policies
were announced, yet the response is not so encouraging. The different areas
where it has failed to attract the FDI must be analyzed and a comprehensive
roadmap needs to be prepared to woo the investors. So a comprehensive
research needs to be carried out to suggest the ways and means to encourage
the participation of private players in the power sector by the way of FDI.
279
THE SCHEDULE
ENACTMENTS
(See sub-Section (3) of Section 185)
1. The Orissa Electricity Reform Act, 1995 (Orissa Act no. 2 of 1996)
4. The Uttar Pradesh Electricity Reform Act, 1999 (Uttar Pradesh Act
no. 24 of 1999)
7. The Delhi Electricity Reforms Act, 2000 (Delhi Act No.2 of 2001)
280
ABBREVIATIONS
281
FDI – Foreign Direct Investment
GOI – Government of India
HVDC – High Voltage Direct Current
ICICI – Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India
IDBI – Industrial Development Bank of India
IGCC – Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle
IREDA – Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency
IIM – Indian Institute of Management
IAS – Indian Administrative Services
IPP – Independent Power Producer
KWh – Kilowatt –hour
LC – Letter of Credit
LT – Low Tension
MIS – Management of Information Systems
MoU – Memorandum of Understanding
MW – Megawatt
MNES – Ministry for Non-conventional Energy Sources
MoEF – Ministry of Environment and Forests
MU – Million Units
NTPC – National Thermal Power Corporation
NHPC – National Hydroelectric Power Corporation Ltd.
NIC – National Informatics Centre
NPC – National Productivity Council
NPTI – National Power Training Institute
NREB – Northern Region Electricity Board
NRLDC – Northern Region Load Despatch Centre
PIB – Public Investment Board
PMGY – Prime Minister Gramodaya Yojna
PSEB – Punjab State Electricity Board
PLF – Plant Load Factor
PPA – Power Purchase Agreement
282
Ps/kWh – Paise per kilowatt-hour (100 paise = 1 Rupee)
PSU – Public Sector Unit
RE – Revised Estimate
RLDC – Regional Load Dispatch Center
RoE – Return on Equity
RoR – Rate of Return
R&M – Renovation and Modernisation
RBI – Reserve Bank of India
REB – Regional Electricity Board
REC – Rural Electrification Corporation Ltd.
RIDF – Rural Infrastructure Development Fund
SEB – State Electricity Board
SERC – State Electricity Regulatory Commission
SBI Caps – State Bank of India Capitals Ltd.
SEZ – Special Economic Zone
TERI – Tata Energy Research Institute
T&D – Transmission & Distribution
TIFAC – Technology Information Forecasting and Assessment Council
UPPCL - Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation Ltd.
WB-SAR – World Bank - Staff Appraisal Report
WAN – Wide Area Network
WAPCOS – Water and Power Consultants
283
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284
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