GDPgowth(yoy,%)

NominalGDP,currentprices(trillionsRp)

2007

2008

2009

6.3

6.0

4.5

6.1

6.4

6.4

3,951

4,949

5,604

6,423

7,294

8,462

510.2

539.4

711.7

846.8

950.0

NominalGDP,currentprices(billionsUS$)

2010 2011* 2012*

GDPpercapita(currentprices,US$)

1,938

2,270

2,590

3,005

3,495

3,815

PopulaLon(mill)

225.6

228.5

231.4

237.6

242.3

249.0

Openunemploymentrate(%)

9.8

8.6

7.9

7.6

6.6

6.0

InaLonrate(%,yearend)

6.6

11.2

2.8

7.0

3.8

5.1

8.00

9.25

6.50

6.50

6.00

6.50

Fiscalbalance(%ofGDP)

1.3

0.1

1.6

1.0

1.2

1.5

Publicdebt(%ofGDP)

35.2

33.0

29.5

28.3

26.4

25.0

9,756 10,356

9,080

8,780

8,550

BIrate(%,yearend)

Currrency(Rp/US$,average)
Currentaccountbalance(%ofGDP)
Reserves(US$billions)
S&P'sRaLng

9,163
2.4

0.1

1.9

1.2

0.2

3.4

56.9

52.1

66.1

96.2

110.1

106.0

BB

BB

BB

BB

BB+

BBB

Indonesia

Jepang

6%

66%

28%

Sumber: http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart?page=1&fsrc=scn/fb/wl/bl/dailychartjan10 (20101120_WOC951)

Source: World Bank, Indonesia economic update: Near-term issues and looking ahead to 2012, March 2011.

Indonesiaislikelytogetoldbeforeitgetsrich
GDP per Capita when demographic bonus ends:

Real GDP per capita (constant 2000

US$)

20,000
18,000

17,475
16,298

16,000
14,000

12,855
11,347

12,000

Assuming
10% Growth

10,000
8,000

Assuming
6% Growth
3,583

6,000
4,000
2,000
0

1970
Japan

Source: World Bank.

2000
Korea Rep

1982
Hong Kong

7,243

1991

2030

2030

Singapore

Indonesia

Indonesia

PublicDebttoGDPraHos

Source: World Bank, Indonesia economic update: Near-term issues and looking ahead to 2012, March 2011.

1999

Source: ADB based on BPS.

2009

Class

Cuto

Percentofpopula4on

<$1.25
Low

Middle

High

2003

21.9%

2010
14.0%

62.2%

29.3% 43.2%

$1.25$2

40.3%

$2$4

32.1%

38.5%

$4$6

3.9%

11.7%
37.7%

5.0%

56.5%

$6$10

1.3%

$10$20

0.3%

1.3%

>$20

0.1% 0.1%

0.2% 0.2%

Note: Per capita expenditure per day is adjusted to the 2005 purchasing power parity terms.
Source: World Bank, March 2011, based on Susenas.

To a growing middle class

Source: World Bank, June 2012

Source: Nota Keuangan 2009.

Adecadeofrobustgrowth:
trailing only China and India

Source: World Bank, June 2012

Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/07/gdp-projections-china-us-uk-brazil based on PwC.

Source:

Untuk membangun Indonesia menjadi negara besar, negara kuat, negara makmur, negara damai yang merupakan
National Building bagi negara Indonesia, maka negara dapat menjadi kuat jika dapat menguasai lautan. Untuk
menguasai lautan kita harus menguasai armada yang seimbang.
(Ir. Soekarno dalam National Maritime Convention I (NMC), 1963)

Region

Rice Wheatour Sugar Cookingoil Salt

EastJawa

4,250

3,606

6,000

4,150 1,600

WestKalimantan

4,400

4,000

5,800

4,500 2,450

EastKalimantan

4,500

4,000

6,500

4,500 2,000

SouthSulawesa

4,400

3,500

6,500

4,500 2,000

EastNusaTenggara

4,200

4,500

5,800

6,300 2,000

Merauke

5,000

7,000

7,000

6,670 3,000

Nabire

6,000

10,000 11,000

11,000 4,000

Paniai

18,000

Source: Ministry of Trade.

7,500

8,000

7,000 8,000

Container Shipment cost:

Padang Jakarta
= US$ 600
Jakarta Singapore = US$185
It is cheaper to ship mandarins
to Jakarta from China than
from Pontianak
Cement in Papua is 20
times more expensive
than in Jakarta because
of shipping costs
Source: R.J. Linos presentatatiom, March 2011.

Source: R.J. Linos presentatatiom, March 2011.

Terima Kasih
Email: faisal.basri@gmail.com
Blog: http://kompasiana.com/faisalbasri