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2 2004

2004 28

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

........................................................................... 3
................................................................................................... 4
FIBO ................................................................................................................................. 6
ForexTrader ............................................................................................................ 10
................................................................................................. 15
AUDUSD - Silver-channel .......................................................... 18
GBPUSD 02.08.2004 ................................................................................................................. 20
..................................................................................................................................... 26
: ............................................................................................ 27
38 ........................................................................................... 30
.................................................................................. 31
......................................................................................................................... 33
.................................................................................................................................................. 37
2 ...................................................................................................... 38
.................................................................................................................................. 41
MQL 4: MQL II MQL 4. ............................................ 46

FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari-idc.ru
(095) 29-111-29

.
"FOREX MAGAZINE" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

FOREX Review

(msk)

02.08.2004

12

PMI .

54.5

55

54.8

54.5

0.30%

-0.20%

61.1

62

9.00%

9.00%

2.40%

2.40%

0.60%

0.20%

1.00%

0.00%

-1,000

-5,000

10.50%

10.50%

55.3

55.5

56.8

56.5

-1.30%

0.50%

.
02.08.2004

12.3

CIPS .
.

02.08.2004

18

02.08.2004

18

ISM .
.

03.08.2004

13

03.08.2004

13

PPI Y/Y
.

03.08.2004

16.3

M/M
.

03.08.2004

16.3

M/M
.

04.08.2004

11.55

M/M
.

04.08.2004

11.55

04.08.2004

12

PMI .
.

04.08.2004

12.3

CIPS .
.

04.08.2004

13

M/M

EC , , .
. , .
04.08.2004

13

Y/Y

-0.90%

0.00%

-0.30%

0.50%

59.9

62.5

0.50%

0.30%

. .
04.08.2004

18

. M/M
.

04.08.2004

18

ISM .
.

05.08.2004

12.3

M/M

,
. - ,
. ( ) .

05.08.2004

12.3

Y/Y

1.30%

1.50%

.
. , - .
05.08.2004

15

4.50%

4.75%

2.00%

2.00%

345,000

340,000

5.60%

5.60%

!
05.08.2004

15.45


. .

05.08.2004

16.3

- .-.
.

05.08.2004

16.3

06.08.2004

16.3

. , .
06.08.2004

16.3

M/M

0.10%

0.30%

33.6

33.8

.
06.08.2004

16.3

www.forexreview.ru
3

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004



. , , , .
, , . ,
.
.
106.1. ,
,
2002 . , . , 150 .

, ,
. , ,
.
.
2- 3.7%
3%, . - :
.
, , , .

2004 28

, . ,
. -,
, . ,
,

. , / /, ,
.
, .

96.7 ( 96.2),
PMI 64.7,
.
, ,
,
.
/ 1.2000. , /
1.2000 , .
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2 6

, -
. ISM.
, , ,
(),
,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

. ,
( 25 ), .
, ,
.
, , , ().
,
/ 1.1800. /,
113.50,

115.00.

ForexMagazine
http://www.fxclub.org

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

FIBO

FOREX FIBO

,
90.30.
, ,
. , , . - , . ,
, ..
,
. , 106.1, 96.7 , .
,
" " ,
PMI. 64.6
60.0 56.4 .
68.7 56.8 . ,

0.7%
, , .


. 3.0% ,
3.8%.
13.2% 8.9% ,
7.3% 4.2%.
,
3.9% 4.5%.
3.7%

3.2% .

1.0% .

. ,

10 .
, , ,
,
.
. ,
NASDAQ,
.

43.5 ,
.
,
.
89.50 .
90.30.

. - , , . .
89.30,
89.00 88.45 88.10,
90.30, 90.70 91.30 .
.
. 1.2190 EUR/USD
1.2000.
1.2000 .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

FIBO

2004 28

. , ,
, ,
, EUR/USD,

. EZ 5 ,
, , , .
2.4%.
2.0%, ,
. , , ,
-
,
.
- . ,
, EZ, .

,
9.9% 9.8 % .
EUR/USD
1.2100 .
EUR/USD 1.2000
1.1800 .
,

,
EZ.
EZ . ,
, .
,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

FIBO


EUR/USD.
1.2150, 1.2200/10 1.2270.
1.1955, 1.1800 1.1760.
. ,
, ,

, ,
.
, ,

. GBP/USD
1.8100,
1.8400.
, .
" ".
.
, ,
. 2.1% 20.3%
.
. . " , ,
,
, ", . -3 -4 .

, 124,00 114,000.
,
,
. ,
,

.

2004 28

, GBP/USD,

1.84400 .

, .
, GBP/USD
1.8315 1.8350.

,
1.8000. , GBP/USD .
GBP/USD 1.8100, 1.8000/15,
1.7800, ,
.
. USD/JPY
23 110.00,
112.40,
.
,
,
,
. USD/JPY

, , .

4.1% , , , .
5.7%
,
. ,
, , , 1,3%
, ,
2,5%. , 3,5%.
, .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

FIBO

(
)

0.4% , , , 46 , "" . . (
) 0,1%
, 0,1% ,
0,3% . , , 0,1%
0,1% , 58
.
. 1,3%
, , , , , 0,3%. ,
.

2004 28

.
, ,

,
.
, ,
, USD/JPY .

112.40, 115.00.
USD/JPY ,
. USD/
JPY 110.00, 109.30. 112.40
113.40.

FIBO
Forex Magazine
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

4,6%,
, .
370 ., .
, , 520 . .
, ,
, , ,
. , , ,

. -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

ForexTrader

", , !"
-
-
(www.forextrader.ru), ,

. -
, Forex.

, . ,
., .

110,30
. , . , , , ,
.
, , .
,

10

FOREX
26-30.07.2004


FOREX, MSK
10:30-15:00
16:00-20:00

12:00-15:00
16:00-20:00

10:00-15:00
18:00-22:00

09:00-21:00

09:00-15:00
16:00-23:00

. , , .
, ? , - . 20-
, . -
, ? , . .
, , - ,
, "pro" "contra" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

ForexTrader

EUR
:
, ,
,
, .
13
, , , 16-30
, , .
11-55 ,
. 18
, .
, .
,
. , 9-00 -
, 12-30 , 14-00 . ,
.
, - ,
180 ,
BoE ECB.
, - . 16-30 23-00
.
. ,
,
, ,
.

11

:
. 4 (1,1225-1,0270),
5 .
5 - 1.3930-1.5600.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

ForexTrader

2004 28

CHF

01.08.04
.

.
3 1,0427, -
0,6296, - 4 1.32451.5000. CHF 0,5083 - 5
.


3 1,3066, 4-
1,2600-1,2450, - 5-
1,3205-1,3577.

CHF 01.08.04
,
.

12

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

ForexTrader

GBP


, - 2,0300-2.2260.
4 , -
1.7159-1.6000.

" " -
2.0029-2.1630. , 4 1,7250-1,7000.

JPY

GBP 01.08.04
,
.

13

, 3
95,75, 114,58119,77, - 84,57-65,75.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

ForexTrader

,
114,48-118,97. -
110,50-109,17, - 123,22.

2004 28

JPY 01.08.04 ,
,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

- ,
FOREXTRADER http://www.forextrader.ru/ .

14

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004


.
,

$2.054 , 7 . 8 , 22
$1.92 ,

.
26
EIA


$1.910
, 3.71
.
,
, 0.8 $1.902 .

. , . 26 ,
.
,
. ,
, -

15

2004 28

. - 42% ,
1.1500 ,
.
, ,

.


"",

. 28

WTI,

NYMEX, $42.90
,
$42.33,
2
.
""
, ,

.
, , . ,
,
,
.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004


28
. EIA
1.2 .
300.5 . .
700000 , 207.7 .
.
, EIA API, ,
. API
, 23 , .

,
, ,
,

.

WTI
,


NYMEX
$43.80 , , $1.05, . $43.85 , 21 .
IPE "" 0.78
$40.03 , 14- $40.05 .

, . , , "", , , , , ,
, $1.8 .
$3.4.

16

2004 28

,
11.3 .
. ,
, ,
, 4 , , . ,
, , . ,
. . ,

. , 25

12-16
. ,
, ""
"" .
1 2004.

OPEC 500000 .
, , , .
.
. MACD .
, MACD ,
. " ",
$1.1750 ,
$1.1500.

.
WTI
MACD .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

, . , "" , ,
$8-$10 . "" , 39.00
, , , , .
, $42.00, , . , - , . $45.00 , $44.00 ,
.
150-200 - .
$45.00
.



Forex Magazine
www.alpari-idc.ru

17

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2004 28

Silver-channel. AUDUSD - .
Alex Silver.
VIAC.RU
Silver-channel.

Weekly
-,
. . .

Daily
, .
, ,
.
.

18

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2004 28

4-
4- . , ,
4- .
Sky-channel 0.7028
0,7251. , , . , ,
.

. ,
.

- ( ):
Silver-channel
!
Silver-channel 4-
AlexSilver
Silver-channel Daily
www.viac.ru
Silver-channel Weekly
CFD

-
Silver-channel , . . .

19

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

GBPUSD 02.08.2004

02 2004

1.8208 -113
, -0,62% .
2
2004 , 30 .
.
5 70 1,8230, . 1 15
(Michigan
Sentiment Index) , 96,7
.
15 20:00 ( )
(Chicago PMI) , 64,7
56,4. .
, , ,
.
, ,
.
, :
1. (GDP) 2004
+3.0% ( +3.8%, +3.9% +4.5%).
http://www.alpari.org/ru/analytics/forecast/2173.php
2. (Michigan sentiment
index) 96.7 ( 96.0, 96.0)
http://www.alpari.org/ru/analytics/forecast/2174.php
3. (Chicago PMI) 64.7
( 62.0, 56.4).
http://www.alpari.org/ru/analytics/forecast/2175.php

. +220/+112.
, ,
.
, 1,8208,
. , EURGBP
GBPCHF. .

20

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

GBPUSD 02.08.2004

2004 28

()

, :
I, II, III, IV, V, A, B, C
- [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [a], [b], [c]
(1), (2), (3), (4), (5), (a), (b), (c)
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, a, b, c,

1,2,3,4,5,a,b,
() 5 y ,
.
, ().
, ,
, 2 2004
.
3 , 1,7732. .
.

21

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

GBPUSD 02.08.2004

2004 28

1.7877-1.8539 (662 )
weekly Res: 1.8318 / 1.8403 / 1.8455 / 1.8539
weekly Sup: 1.8098 / 1.8013 / 1.7961 / 1.7877
weekly NZ 1.8182-1.8234 (52)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1.8032-1.8384 (352 )
intraday Res:...1.8267 / 1.8311 / 1.8339 / 1.8384
intraday Sup: ..1.8149 / 1.8105 / 1.8077 / 1.8032
day NZ 1.8194-1.8222 (28 )
NZ,
.
, .
, .
3 .
1
.
1 24 .

22

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

GBPUSD 02.08.2004

2004 28

, , - 20,3
.
, - ,
11, 21,41, 12, 14.
1. 12 02.04.2004 1.8601.
2. 12 04.09.2003 1.5609.
3. 12 08.06.2004 1.8474.
4. 12. -
5. 14 19.02.2004 1.9139.
6. 11 15.05.2004 1.7480.
7. 18 19.02.2004 1.9139.
8. 12 13.03.2004 1.7906.
, 2,
. .
3, .
1,8000,
.

23

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

GBPUSD 02.08.2004

2004 28

MA

,
.
( ) :
1. UP
LB 1.8164 U3 1.8352 (+188 ).
2. DOWN
LB 1.8164 D3 1.7976 (-188 )
3. U3 1,8352 U4 1,8464 (112 )
4. D3 1,7976 D4 1,7864 (112 )
. ,
( ).
, ,
LB 1,8280 1,7976.
1,8050.
, .
, . , ,
.

24

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

GBPUSD 02.08.2004

2004 28

Time Ellipse

, -,
. - ,
. .
,
. ,
. .

:
E-mail: a_vlad@viac.ru
www.viac.ru

25

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28


( )
. Forex Magazine 25,26,27
.
, , 1.2115 0.6, .
.
25 . 1.5 1.2045.
0.5 . , , ,
9 . , . 0.5
, . . 0.2 ,
, , 0.2, 0.1 . 1.2245-1.2300. , .
1.2160, .
, , ,
.

aKa Az aKa AZeroT.

26

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

:
www.ensignsoftware.com
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50, 75, 150 300 .
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

:
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2004 28

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

: "Qcharts", "TC2000" ,
"IQCharts" "QPlus" .
eSignal,

,
"Qcharts". "Ensign Windows".
"Ensign Windows"
eSignal
- .
: - ?
: :
1. .
2. . .
3. .
Forex Magazine
www.ensignsoftware.com

29

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

38

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www.commodities-futures.com/
1.
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28


www.hardrightedge.com
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

. , -
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(RSI)
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www.hardrightedge.com

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32

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28



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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

, , .
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2004 28


( )

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MACD ,
,
.

( ) . , MACD ,
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.

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34

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004


. ,
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MACD.

2004 28

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MACD , . , , . .

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

, , . ,
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Forex Magazine
www.ensignsoftware.com

36

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

, RSI DMI,
.
( "Parabolic
SAR" - ),
, -,
.
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.


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). .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

2
(AKA ANDREICH)
http://www.fxtrade.tomsk.ru

,
.

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..
,
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1 .


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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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2004 28



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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28


,
.
GBP/USD
1971 2004 .

- . 100 1971
. - http://
www.research.stlouisfed.org - http://
search.treasury.gov.uk

1993

705.9

302.3

1.4966

0.43

1.0839

1994

716.1

308.8

1.5839

0.43

1.0915

1995

736.9

314.9

1.5478

0.43

1.0815

1996

761.6

320.5

1.6251

0.42

1.0652

1997

781.1

324.8

1.6510

0.42

1.0524

1998

803.6

328.8

1.6379

0.41

1.0358

1999

821.2

334.7

1.5900

0.41

1.0318

2000

830.7

342.5

1.4484

0.41

1.0436

2001

851.8

349.7

1.4480

0.41

1.0393

2002

880.5

355.7

1.5920

0.40

1.0226

2003

905.1

362.3

1.7513

0.40

1.0131

GBP/USD ( ) .

,
.

GBP/USD ( )
3.0000

2.5000

2.0000

GBP/USD

. ,
1971 , ,
.

GBP/USD

1.5000

GBP/USD ()
Power (GBP/USD)
1.0000

0.5000

20
03

20
01

19
99

19
97

19
95

19
93

19
91

19
89

19
87

19
85

19
83

19
81

19
79

19
77

19
75

19
73

0.0000
19
71

Year

Year

GDP DEF (GB)

GDP DEF (USA)

GBP/USD

P* / P

GBP/USD ()

1971

100.0

100.0

2.5312

1.00

2.5312

1972

108.3

104.5

2.4451

0.96

2.4405

1973

115.9

112.1

2.3888

0.97

2.4470

1974

138.6

123.6

2.3436

0.89

2.2582

1975

173.7

132.5

1.9820

0.76

1.9309

1976

197.0

140.2

1.7057

0.71

1.8020

1977

223.8

149.5

1.8390

0.67

1.6902

1978

248.4

160.9

2.0254

0.65

1.6388

1979

290.3

175.0

2.2376

0.60

1.5262

1980

343.0

191.9

2.2708

0.56

1.4164

1981

375.6

206.7

1.8351

0.55

1.3930

1982

402.2

216.9

1.6071

0.54

1.3653

1983

420.6

224.9

1.4493

0.53

1.3537

1984

442.6

232.8

1.2218

0.53

1.3313

1985

466.5

238.5

1.4459

0.51

1.2942

1986

481.4

244.3

1.5236

0.51

1.2848

1987

508.3

251.6

1.7600

0.49

1.2529

1988

543.7

261.3

1.7089

0.48

1.2165

1989

582.1

270.8

1.6403

0.47

1.1778

1990

628.0

281.4

1.8444

0.45

1.1342

1991

665.8

289.4

1.7733

0.43

1.1000

1992

687.6

295.8

1.6116

0.43

1.0890

40

GBP/
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abuser1977@mail.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28



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41

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

" "
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42

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

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45

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

MQL 4: MQL II MQL 4.

2004 28

MQL II MQL 4.
(AKA HORN)
http://fxtrade.tomsk.ru
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 28

MQL 4: MQL II MQL 4.

MQL 4 MQL II -
"then".
2:
"and", "or" "not"
"&&", "||" "!" . -
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Variable: Var1(0);
Variables: Var2(0.), Var3(0.);
// ...
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If((Var1 < shift)And
((VAR2 = 0)Or(VAR2 = 0)))
then Begin
// -
End;
:

int Var1 = 0;
double Var2 = 0;
double Var3 = 0;
// ...
// -
// ...
if((Var1 < shift) &&
((Var2 == 0)||(Var2 == 0)))
{
// -
};

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

MQL 4: MQL II MQL 4.

2004 28

5:
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Forex Magazine

48

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004