30

16 2004

2004 30

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

. VII- . ........................................................................................ 3
........................................................................... 4
................................................................................................... 5
FIBO, TeleTRADE D.J, MaBiCo .................................................................................. 6
ForexTrader. , 13- ......................................... 15
.................................................................................................... 20
: " , , " ....................................... 22
................................................................................ 25
........................................................................................................................................... 27
5 ..................................................................................................................................... 30
........................................................................................................ 33
............................................................................................................................. 34
............................................................................................................................. 36
...................................................................................................................................... 38
......................................................................................................... 43
MQL 4: . 2. ............................................................... 47

FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari-idc.ru
(095) 29-111-29

.
"FOREX MAGAZINE" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

. VII- .

. VII- .
,
"".
. "FOREX MAGAZIN".

: "FOREX", "US Stocks", "Futures".
, $1000, $500 $300 .

,
.
http://www.alpari-idc.ru/ru/contest/rules.php.
, "FORD FOCUS",
,
1- 10 .
: FOREX,
.
5 000 .
:

"FOREX"

362818

Kedr

Russia, Vologda 37049.99 $1000

358287 Gagarin Russia, Moscow 36342.47 $500

357263 Slavyan

Russia, Parabel

29294.83 $300

. "" () .

" - US Stocks"

359210 Fisher Russia, Krasnodar 8373.34 $1000

361035 Potap

Russia, Klinci

8177.17 $500

360105 urman

Russia, Taganrog

7694.98 $300

" - Futures"
C

362018 N/A

Russia, Khabarovsk 11550.00 $1000

359550 Zmey Russia, Kaliningrad 10926.50 $500

361036 Potap

Russia, Klinci

10568.00 $300

. "" () .

""


8 .
, .

363344 363345 363346

IlIa

356956 356957 356958

Fed

361840 361841 361842

kupp

362662 362663 362664

Marry

356854 356855 356856

NPE

360527 360528 360529

colt77

361969 361971 361973

TTT

362057 362058 362059 MILLENIUM

360964 360965 360966

Keeper

10

357567 357568 357569

S.W.A.T.

,
Russia, Kazan

1.321922

Ukraine, Mukachevo 0.917552

Ukraine, Kiev

0.769823

Kazakhstan, Astana 0.638119

Russia, Korolev

0.594783

Russia, St-petersburg 0.544894

$1000
$500
$300
$200
$200
$200

Azerbaijan, Baku

0.538290

Russia, Tyumen

0.536601

$200

Ukraine, Chinadievo 0.530838

$200

Russia, Togliatti

0.516518

$200

$200

""
.


.
""
!
. (095) 29-111-29,
(095) 250-95-00 e-mail: info@alpari-idc.ru.
: www.alpari-idc.ru.
""

. "" () .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

FOREX Review

(msk)

16.08.2004

17

- .

+56.2 .

+65.0 .

, , ,
.
17/08/2004

13.00

M/M

+0.7 %

-0.7%

, .
- ,
. ( ) . , ,
.
17/08/2004

13.00

Y/Y

+3.9 %

+3.0 %

.
. , , , .
17/08/2004

13.00

. ZEW

48.4

48.0

1.802 .

1.900 .

1.945 .

1.950 .

+0.3 %

+0.1 %

+0.1 %

+0.2 %

-0.3 %

+0.5 %

.
17/08/2004

16.30

M/M

.
17/08/2004

16.30

M/M

.
17/08/2004

16.30

CPI M/M

.
17/08/2004

16.30

CPI . . M/M

.
17/08/2004

17.15

M/M

, .
, , .
17/08/2004

17.15

77.2 %

77.4 %

. , .
18/08/2004

12.30

BoE 4-5.08

+7.3 .

+9.0 .

+2.4 %

+2.4 %

+1.1 %

+0.3 %

.
18/08/2004

13.00

.
18/08/2004

13.00

HICP (.)**

.
19/08/2004

12.30

M/M

EC , , .
, .
19/08/2004

12.30

Y/Y

+7.2 %

+7.0 %

333,000

340,000

-0.2 %

-0.1 %

+36.1

+25.0

. .
19/08/2004

16.30

.
19/08/2004

18.00

M/M

.
19/08/2004

20.00

.
20/08/2004

www.forexreview.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

,
,
- .
50-80 ,

.
, , , (FOMC). , 25 , ,
, , FOMC
25

, . , 1%.
,
, .

, ,
.
, , , ,
. ,
, .

, .
, , . 55,82
46,88 , , 47,50 .
.
/ 1.2373,
1.8455 . / 110.50.

4%, 4.2%.
94.0, 97.2.
96.7.

, , , . , ,
55,82
, ,
,
.
, , , .
1.2450. 1.8450 1.86 . /
109.50.

ForexMagazine
http://www.fxclub.org

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

FIBO

FOREX FIBO

, 89.28. 25 1.50%.
, .

.

,
333,000 337,000. ,

200,000.
, , ,
.
0.7%, 1.2% ,
-1.1% -0.5%,

0.3% -0.2%.
.
2.9%, , 2.0%, 3.7% .
.
0.1%
, 44 .

.
,
55.8 .

47 . .
4.4%, -
. 316 .
346 . 33.76
33.12. ,

.

.
.
,

.
88.00.
,
.

, .
,

. ,
87.00,
84.60.
, ,
89.00.
. ,
1.2177.
EUR/USD -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

2004 30

EZ. , 0.8%,
14.8 .
. EZ
0.5%.

.
, EZ 7.85 . .


EUR/USD
, 1.2365. 1.2380, EUR/USD 1.2465.

.
,
, , " "
.

. .
,
,
.
. , , ,

.
, , .
EUR/USD, 1.2465
" " ,
.
.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

EUR/USD,
,
. ,
ZEW ,
EZ . 1.2400 1.2465 EUR/USD 1.2200
.
, .
EUR/USD 1.2550.
. ,
, .
13.9% 12.5% 1.4%
1.5% ,
0.3%. 5.0 . 4.82 .
. ,

1.5%. GBP/USD 1.8135 1.8456
.
,
,
( ).
,

. , GBP/USD 1.8550
1.8600 ,
, .

2004 30

GBP/USD, .

1.8350. GBP/USD ,
- ,

.
1.8300 GBP/USD.
,
. GBP/USD
1.8200-1.8500.

1.8090,
1.8600.
. ,
, ,

.
, ,
3,9% 10,4%
. ,
48,7 44,9 , ,
.
( )

" ".
,
.
0,4% ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 FIBO

.
1,6%,
. .
,

2004 31,9% 9,64
. , .
15,7% 1,28 .
, ,
, .
.
36,8%
1,34 . ,
. 19,7% 5,04 . ,
14,5% 3,69 .
. , ,
,
"" .
USD/JPY

110.15-111.45.

. 0.4% ,
1.7%. ,
, ,
: 1,0% 4,2%, .
.
,
( )
. ,
,
. ,
3,5%, 3,1%.

2004 30

"". ,
2,6% ,
25 , "" , ,
.
USD/JPY,
112.10.

.
6.27 . 5.52 .
USD/JPY 110.45.


.

. ,
USD/JPY
. -
, 46.70 , , .
, USD/JPY .
USD/JPY 112.00 . 112.40
USD/JPY
114.90. , ,
USD/JPY 110.00
109.30. USD/JPY

.

FIBO
Forex Magazine
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

TeleTRADE D.J.

TeleTRADE D.J.
-
, .

. / /
50-60 . .
PPI :
+0.6%, +0.1%.

. 50 1.8345.

- -
. - 0.25% -
1.5% , . FOMC
, ,
. .



,
-
, .
,
,

10

, , ,

.

.
0.7%, 1.2%.
(-0.5%).
, 0.2%
0.1%.
.
- 0.9%
0.6%. ,
. 50-100
.
/,
,
. ,

(Inflation report).

13.08 .

0.4%
, 1.5%. +1.0%. "" ,
130-150 .

.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 TeleTRADE D.J.

2004 30

,

.
$55.8 . ,
100-120 15
.
.
PPI 0.1%.
- ,
.
.
$45 , .
16.08-20.08
"" . ,
, ,
, . , ,
.
,
.
-
.
,
-

TeleTRADE D.J. Trust Com & Securities Ltd.

E-mail: analitics@trust-com.ru

11

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

MaBiCo

MaBiCo


.

(FOMC)
, .
- .
. ,
.
,
25
1,25 % .
,
, , 0,25%
0,5%.
, , .

,
, .
.
,
- 270
, .

12

. ,
- ,
4
7 .
(Nonfarm payrolls) +32000 ( +220000 ,
+112000 +78000). ? -
, ,
.

, , ,
, , , .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 MaBiCo

,
. - .

, - . .
10 , - 25 , 1,5% .
,

. ,
1 ,
- 2,9 % 2 3,7%
1 , 2% - .
50 %
.
,
.
. $ 69.16
. - $
61 .
- $ 54.24 . 10
, 30 395,78 ., .
2003 ,
$ 374.27 . .
.
- -

13

2004 30

$45 , 42 $ .
,

.
,
.
, , , ,
. ,
, .
,
, .
,
,
.
200
.
,
. . -
.
, , .


+84.7 +91.2 .
-
- , :
: , , -4.3% 92.8 . .
: , +3.3% 148.6 . .
, ,
- 0,6 % .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 MaBiCo

,



, 420,000 ,
.
3.5% ,

.
:

2004 30

.

, , . ,
"".
.
"MaBiCo"
Forex Magazine
http://www.mabico.ru

- , .
, .
,
3
1,237
1,196 -
, . , . ,

14

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

ForexTrader. , 13- .

", 13- .
, ."
-
-
(www.forextrader.ru), ,

. -
, Forex.
" , , ,
. , ."
. "" , ,
, .
FOMC 0,25%, , ,
. ,
. , 13-.
, . 13- . " " ,
( , ), 13- .
, , 4 , , , .
FOREXTRADER ( 11 ) : " - . 4 , - 5 (
1,2385-1,2487), - 5 ( 1,2450-1,2335)".
http://www.forextrader.ru/TradingSignals/
ARCHIVE/2004-Aug/DAF-130804.html
, ,
. , ,

15

FOREX
16-13.08.2004

FOREX, MSK

10:00-15:00
16:30-20:00

10:00-15:00
16:30-20:00

10:00-15:00
16:30-20:00

10:00-15:00
16:30-20:00

10:00-16:00

, , . .
,
, - .

- ,
$55.8 . $46.9 . . $47.5 .
: $48.1 .
$148.6 .,
$92,8 . , , ,
- . $15,3 .
$13 . . 3.5% 18.7 .
,
. /
$1.2363 $1.2200 .
. $ 1.2350.
.
. . , . 4 ,
.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

ForexTrader

EUR
:

5- ,
(TIC) . 39 . $, 56.4 .. , 55 . ?
16-30 ,
.
13-00 .
10-00 .
12-30 - - . 16-30 ,
.
. 13-00
. .

,
. , - . 4 (1,12171,0300), 5 . 5 - 1.3930-1.5600.

, , .

, ,
.

16

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 ForexTrader

2004 30

CHF

15.08.04.

, . .
3 1,0475,
- 0,6317, - 4
1.3277-1.5000. CHF 0,5077 - 5

- .

15.08.04.

17

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

ForexTrader

GBP

, - 2,0300-2.2280. , 4 , -
1.7185-1.5840.

JPY

15.08.04.

18

,
3 96,00 ( ,
), 114,83-118,60,
- 84,75-66,10.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 ForexTrader

JPY.

2004 30

JPY 15.08.04 .
,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

- ,
FOREXTRADER http://www.forextrader.ru/ .

19

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

OPEC
-
, - $45.00 , $46.58
. , $50.00
, .
OPEC , , 29.8 .
, 0.5 . b/d
, ,
0.5 . ,
,
.
,

,


.

, , , "".
. ,
2004. 7.89 . ,
720000 , 2003.
"", ,
, 135000 ,
105000 .

20

2004 30

9.36 .
, 765000 , .
"" 1.7 . ,
70% . ,
"" .
OPEC
- , ,


, 2005.
, , ,
.

,


. , , ,
2
. 2004 2005.
, ,
20.43 . , 1.9%
2003. , 57% ,
11.67 . .

OPEC. , ,
, OPEC 4 .
.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

,
15 132- OPEC .
, 15
, ,
. 14 ,
2.8 . OPEC .
. , 14 . ,
. ,
. , - ,
50% ,
.
, .
, ,
.
WTI
MACD. .

. $42.00 ,
. , $50.00 , ,
.


Forex Magazine
www.alpari-idc.ru

21

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 : " , , "

2004 30

" "
" " - "Forex Magazine"
www.fxmoney.ru

: " , , "
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.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 : " , , "

..: ?
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. , , , 2 . "" - , , - , . , ,
"",

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, ?
..: self-full-filled -
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23

2004 30

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 : " , , "

2004 30

. , , . -
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- ,
,
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" "
www.fxmoney.ru

24

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 30

www.businessweek.com

. : "
".

.
. , ,

. , , , " ", " ", "
". . , "
", , " ,
".

, ,
,
, ,
-. . ,
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, 2.500 " ", 2.100 .

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, ,
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, , "" , ,
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. " ", . ,
"Prudential Securities Inc.". , . ,
, ,

25

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.
, - -
.
. , " "
4%- . , , 6.2%.

,

.
, ,
, ,
,
. , ,
, .
,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

, , 5- 10- .

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,
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.
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,

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, " ",
,
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Markets".

2004 30

"
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Forex Magazine
www.businessweek.com

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, , . ,
, ,

26

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

,

, - . ,
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. , , , , , , . , (, )
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27

www.hardrightedge.com
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-,
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(Rhythm)
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

. , , ,
. ,
400 .
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. .
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, .
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2004 30

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

H -
.
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, :

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-

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. -

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2004 30

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" ", " ", .
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Forex Magazine
www.hardrightedge.com

- . 1/
4 1/2 . ,
"" , -

29

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

5

5
. , 5 .

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www.hardrightedge.com

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

, .
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

.
1
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Forex Magazine
www.hardrightedge.com

, 5 ,

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:
1

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, .

,
? 1/16 5-
-?

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1/8 .

32

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

2004 30

, , ,
.
(.
), "". . ""
. " ".

. ( )
(. 29).
:
=
1000 + (10% - 5%) - ((10 x 10%) + (20 x 5%))

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5% = 39- EMA ( - )
10% = 19- EMA ( - )
0
2000, . , -1000.
+1600 , .
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-1200 +2500.

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33

( ) NYSE.
-650 675, ,
.
. -,

. :
1. .
2. .
3. 1000. (
1000 )
.
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1000
.
Forex Magazine
www.stockcharts.com

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

 2004 30

,
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34

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

. , . , .

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004

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49

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004