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2005 50/1

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

........................................................................... 4
FIBO ................................................................................................................................. 5
: , ......................................................................... 10
EUR/USD 10.01.2005 ................................................................................................................ 15
AUDUSD - Silver-channel ......................................................... 19
.................................................................................. 21
USD/JPY ......................................................................................................... 23
USD/JPY: "" 105.00 ............................................................................................. 28
- .................................................................................................... 30
........................................................................................... 35
() .................................................................................................................... 36
.............................................................................................................................. 38
................................................................................................................ 40
...................................................................................................................... 42
MQL 4: . .......................... 47

FOREX MAGAZINE

www.alpari.org
(095) 29-111-29

.
"FOREX MAGAZINE" .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

"" 2005
, 2005 . ? ""
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50/1
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MetaTrader 4.
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2005 .
. , , " II".
"" (www.analitika.ru),
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, "",
250-95-00, 250-95-05 E-mail: info@alpari.org

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

"": www.alpari.org.
!

2005 50/1

FOREX Review

(msk)

10.01.2005

+1.1 %

+1.0 %

14.

15.0

.
10.01.2005

11.00

- .-.
.

10.01.2005

18.00

M/M

.
11.01.2005

13.00

. ZEW

. .
11.01.2005

14.00

M/M

+0.6 %

-0.5 %

, .
- , . ( )
.
11.01.2005

14.00

Y/Y

+1.9 %

+2.0 %

. .
12.01.2005

.30

-5.3 .

+0.3 %

.
12.01.2005

13.00

(.) Q/Q

3 .

+0.3 %

. .
12.01.2005

13.00

(.) Y/Y

3 .

+1.8 %

+1.8 %

. .
12.01.2005

16.30

-55.5 .

-54.5 .

-0.1 %

+0.5 %

.
13.01.2005

.30

M/M

, .
13.01.2005

.30

Y/Y

-2.0 %

-1.0%

4.75 %

4.75 %

2.00 %

2.00 %

+0.1 %

+0.7 %

.
13.01.2005

15.00

13.01.2005

15.45

13.01.2005

16.30

- .-.
.

13.01.2005

16.30

M/M

. .
13.01.2005

16.30

M/M

+0.5 %

+0.4 %

. .
13.01.2005

16.30

03.08.2001

364

335

+1.5 %

+1.5 %

.
14.01.2005

.30

. (.) M/M

. .
14.01.2005

8.00

. M/M

-3.1 %

+2.0 %

+0.2 %

+0.6 %

+0.5 %

-0.1 %

+0.2 %

+0.2 %

+0.3 %

+0.5 %

.
14.01.2005

16.30

M/M

.
14.01.2005

16.30

PPI M/M

.
14.01.2005

16.30

PPI . M/M

.
14.01.2005

17.15

M/M

. .
14.01.2005

17.15

78.7 %

78.8 %

. .

www.forexreview.ru
4

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

FIBO

FOREX FIBO

,
.

80.40, 83.22.
,

, 82.50. , , , ,
EZ . ,
, " " ,
.
ISM , .
58.6
57.8 , 63.1 61.3. ,
. , , - 3.25-3.5%.

, , , 3.5-4%.
,
, 157,000,
175,000.
,
137,00 , 112,000,
. 5.4%.


0.4% $1,013 . ,
10
. ,
,
0.4%, .

.
, ,

, ,

.
,
, ,
. , .
84.10, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
90.50 80.40.
86.00/30. /
. 82.50/60, 82.00/10, 81.60 10- 80.40.
. ,
2005 , .

EZ.

. PMI,
51.4

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

FIBO

14 50.4 . PMI

52.6.
, . EZ 21- 8.9%,
10.3% 10.8%.
DIW 2005 1.8%
2.0%. " - , ,
2004 ...
",-
. ,
2.5% 1.0% .
, ,
I 2005 .
,
. -4 -3 ,
100.3 100.9.

, , ,
. EZ
-13 , .

EZ
.
, +0.1%,
. , 2004
2.5% ,
, 2.1-2.2%.
. ,
, . , ,

2005 50/1

. EZ
. , ,
13 , ,
, .

.
1.3040 EUR/USD
1.3020,
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
1.1988 1.3667. EUR/USD

, 1.3460, . EUR/USD
1.3200
,
.
1.3000
.
EUR/USD

, EUR/USD 600
.
, EUR/USD.
EZ
, ,
,
. , ,
" " .
EZ
,
, , EZ
2004 . ,
, ,
ZEW.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

FIBO

2005 50/1

EUR/USD EZ . EUR/USD

1.3270 1.3340. 1.3500
1.3430. ,
, EUR/USD
34 ,
1.2250.
, ,
1.3000 .
. EZ ,
.
(PMI)
53.7 55.0 . ,
18-
, ,
. ,
PMI 54.2. ,
(PMI) 54.9 56.7
. , 21 , ,
. 56.5.
,
10 , .. . , , 6.458 .
6.925 . .
77,000
85,000 . ,
, , - "" 4.75%
2005 .

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

FIBO


,


- .
,

,
.
, , +33.
, +19.

, 2004
2001 .
Halifax,
.
,
HBOS PLC, 1.1%
15.1% 2003 .
.
Halifax
2005 .
1.9550 , 10
, , .
350 , , GBP/USD .
1.8640,
1.7746
1.9550.


,
" , .
,

2005 50/1


.


, " "
GBP/
USD, .
, , ,
900 .
,
, .. .
,
1.9000 GBP/USD .

.
,
4.75%
.

GBP/USD 1.8990/
900,
1.8860.
1.9100. GBP/USD 1.8600, 1.8500, 1.8430/50. GBP/USD
1.8500-1.8900.
.
.
USD/JPY
, . " "
,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

FIBO

.
, , ,
. . 105.10
102.50, ,
136.70 139.40.
, 30
,
.
USD/JPY 102.50,
, 105.00/106.00
. ,
, .

.
, -
,
2.0%, .
, ,
-

2005 50/1


, ..
.
, , , ,


.
USD/JPY
105.00
102.50-105.00.
-
.
, .
USD/JPY
105.60, 106.20 107.05.
103.80, 103.40 102.50 101.80.

FIBO
Forex Magazine
http://www.fibo-forex.ru

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

: ,

: ,

-
-
(www.forextrader.ru), ,

. -
, Forex.

FOREX
10-14.01.2005


FOREX, MSK

10:00-12:00
12:30-22:30

08:00-15:00
16:30-22:00

10:00-12:00
12:30-15:00
16:30-22:30

12:30-15:00
16:30-22:30

02:50-08:30
10:00-15:00
16:30-22:30

, 2005 , , " ".


, - . ,
, , , , ,
, , 1,3165-40,
. , , , ,
, , . , CAD - .
, , .
( ) 1,3000, 4
.

10

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

ForexTrader

2005 50/1

EUR
:
10 - , 12-30 .
, , , , , . 18 - ,
.
08-00 - .
10 14 - .
10-00 , 12-30
BoE,
.
,
, , , "" .
16-30 ,
" ". 22
- , , , . ,
1,3000 ( ,
).


: 1.2420-1,1695.
1,3790-1,4000 . 4 ,
5 . 5 - 1.55951.7545.

- 02-50 - (
), , . 1045-11-15 - , 12-30
. 15
- BoE,
. 16-30 -
( ).
- 02-50 08-00 .
16-30 18-00 -
, .
, .
.


4 1,2720-1,2415. - 5 1,4195-1,4855.

11

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

ForexTrader

2005 50/1

CHF


09.01.05.

4 1,27451,4135, - 5 0,3054.


4 1,2130-1,2250 -
5 1,0588-0,9859.

CHF 09.01.05.

12

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

ForexTrader

GBP


4 1.8245
-1.7465. - 5
2,1615-2,3755.

, , . 3
1,8225-1,7530.

JPY

GBP 09.01.05.

13

, , 3
, 96,25.
. 4 109,05-117,60.
- 5 89,45-77,87.

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

ForexTrader

JPY
-
106,65-108,50.
100,00-96,25,
.
, .

2005 50/1

JPY 09.01.05 .
,
FOREXTRADER.RU
E-mail: trader_karlo@mail.ru

- ,
FOREXTRADER http://www.forextrader.ru/ .

14

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

EUR/USD 10.01.2005

10 2005
(A_Vlad) www.viac.ru

( 1)

2005 , ,
. ,
. 1,5 .

15

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

EUR/USD 10.01.2005

2005 50/1

( 2)

1. UP
LB 1.3126 U3 1.3257
2. DOWN
LB 1.3126 D3 1.2994
3. U3 1,3257 U4 1,3338
4. D3 1,2994 D4 1,2913
, . ,
, , ,
, . ,
. - , ,
1,3075 D1. ,
1,3667.
,
. ,
, .. .
, ,
. , , , 01-02.02.05.
13.01.05.

16

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

EUR/USD 10.01.2005

2005 50/1

8 , ,
. , .
1,3450 ( 4)
1,3220 1 2. ,
2 1,3150, .
.
, ,
, . 1,3150,
4. ,
.
, .
3 4. , .
, , 1,5
1,3000 1,3200, .
1,3000 1,2900,
.

17

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

EUR/USD 10.01.2005

2005 50/1

( 3)

, ,
1,3075.
, ,
LB 1,3126.
1.3180 . ,
, ,
.
,
. NONFarmPayrolls ,
.


, www.viac.ru
. ,
A_Vlad, _Vlad,
.
,
e-mail: a_vlad@viac.ru

18

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2005 50/1

- Silver-channel.
. silver@viac.ru

19

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

AUDUSD - Silver-channel

2005 50/1

" 11 ,
"
Silver-channel
Silver-channel Daily
Silver-channel Weekly
CFD
Silver-channel
- " Silver-channel"
Silver-channel , .
. .

20

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1



.
. , , , . ,
.
.


,
, . , . 2004 ,
.
, .

, .
.

21

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1


? ,

.
415 .
,
.

414.80,
,
.

, , 414.50

!
:
E-mail: eduard@viac.ru
www.viac.ru

22

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

USD/JPY

2005 50/1

USD/JPY
USD/JPY
Crude Light, , , Dow Jones Nikkei. ,
. USD/JPY .
" USD/JPY"
FOREX MAGAZINE " - "
www.VIAC.ru.
- , .

USD/JPY:
Crude Light Oil USD/
JPY. , "" ,
.
USD/JPY, . : 46-47
105-106 , 40-41 102.00-102.50. .
.

23

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

USD/JPY

2005 50/1

"" USD/JPY , ?
, ( ) , , .
, 82.50 84-.
USD/JPY, 106.20 ,
105-. ,
. , - "" 107.00-108.00,
(. ). - USD/JPY , (
).

24

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

USD/JPY

25

2005 50/1

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

USD/JPY

2005 50/1

Nikkei Dow Jones USD/JPY ?


, - .
USD/JPY ( DowJones) ( Nikkei) .
Nikkei,
. ( ),
, .
, , .

- Dow Jones.
, . , USD/JPY 105-. ,
: 10600, 10400

26

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

USD/JPY

2005 50/1

FOREX MAGAZINE
:
VIAC.ru
http://www.viac.ru/
,
: vmn@viac.ru

27

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

USD/JPY: "" 105.00

USD/JPY: "" 105.00


USD/JPY. ,
, , .
" USD/JPY" FOREX MAGAZINE, " " www.VIAC.ru.
- , .

USD/JPY:
102.00-105.00, .
"" 105.20, - .
105.00-105.60 . 105.00 (
106.20) 105-, 105.60 , , 106.20, , 109.00-110.00 107.0030. 105- .
105.60 106.20
USD/JPY. 102.50-103.50, . , , 101.85 101.24
100.00.
,
- , -
.

105.20105.60
106.20

:

.
.

107.00-30

-.

109.00110.00


-;
3-

28

103.40104.00
101.85,
102.00-50
101.25
100.00,
96.00-97.00

.
2000,
( ).

-
1995

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

USD/JPY: "" 105.00

2005 50/1

FOREX MAGAZINE
:
VIAC.ru
http://www.viac.ru/
,
: vmn@viac.ru

29

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

www.forexnews.com
5 : 1) ; 2)
; 3) ; 4) ; 5) , .


,
, -
. - 6
32%, 18% 5% 2002., 2003.
2004. . 2004 3 : 11%-
,


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.

1.

2004., 5.7% .
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2002.,
80%. , ,
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2001.,
0.5% 0.2% . , 60 .
$ 2005. , , , 2%- 1%- ,
. ,
,
, , - .
2.
412.55 . $ 2004 377.14 . $ 2003 .


. -

30

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005


.
, . 3.6%
, 2004 , 1980-, 5% . ,
. ,
,
2 . $
10 , . , , 16% , 4 .
,
. : , ,
, , , , .
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31

2005 50/1

4.

.
10 2004 , 700
. $ 500 . $
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52 . $. 2004., - 55.5 . $
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1.00 $
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,
,
,
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.
,
-
.
2004 , "" 42%
,
0.42% . 12%-
38%- 2000 . (, , ) -

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1


, , .
5.
6 . , 125
, .

, , -
, ,
. 60 ,
2005. 3.40% 2.25%,
10-
5.10% 4.30%.
2.0%,
2.50%. ,
, 3.25-3.50% 10- 5.25-5.30%.

,
, -.

,
, 40-
2003.
- ,
, ,
. ""
, , -

32


2.0%.
EURUSD.
, ,
,
.
,
,
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.
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.
, , .
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.

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1.100 , 20.000 , .
, , .

, ,

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

, .
,
30 ,

, .

2004., , - ,
- 2004 . , 10% , ,
, . , - , , .
, ,
. , , , , , 1.3 $
107 . ,
, ,
, . .

.
4.75%,

33

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

5- . (
), ,
5.0%.
EURGBP, , EURUSD,
EURGBP 72.50
71 .
, ,
.
, 9-
.

.
,
, . , 1.6
. , 6 ,
.
9 .
1997. -
-
-97 .

2005 50/1

,
, , . ,
,
, ,
.
,
,
.
Forex Magazine
www.forexnews.com


0.9%, 1.6% 2.50%. ,
, 40$
,
1.50%,
3.00% - 3.25%.
,
1.17,
.
, 2005 - ( )
. ,

34

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1



. - , . -. .
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50
.
1.
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Forex Magazine
www.brettsteenbarger.com

5. ? ,
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35

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

()

2005 50/1

()
www.stockcharts.com
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. ,
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.

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4. : ,
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

()

2005 50/1

.
1.19 1.8 %.

,
.
, 54.50.

,
.
, 54.50 , , ( ). ,
-10%.

,
, .
, . :
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.
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,
.
, ,
.

9
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Forex Magazine
www.stockcharts.com

,
1998. 1999.

4 , ,
23. ,

37

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1



- , .
, ,
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,
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1970-. : " ". ( ..,
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www.esignal.com
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FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1

:
, , .
:
,

.
: " ",


.
.

,
. ( .
" " 32)
Forex Magazine
www.esignal.com

39

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1


www.hardrightedge.com
(, ) , . - .

.

,
.
.
,
.
. , ,

. , ,
.
, , .
, . , ,
.


. , . "Petroleum Development" (PETD) 500% ,

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.

40



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. , "Petroleum
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"Multimedia Games" (MGAM) , , .
ABC, C
, , B . ,
C , " " ( .
47).

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

-

.
"MedImmune"
(MEDI)

,

Chiron
(CHIR)
.
,
. ABC - ,
,
30$.
-
? .
,

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.


,

, . , "Cree" (CREE)
, . , . ,
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2005 50/1

.
,
. .

"XM Satellite
Radio" (XMSR)


32$,
:

OBV .

.
, ,
.

,
. ,

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.
Forex Magazine
www.hardrightedge.com

, .

41

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1


www.ensignsoftware.com


, , . , . , . , , ,
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. , ,
. .
: , .
, .
: / .


,
.
: .
: .
: .


, , "
". X-B
A-B X-A.
: ( - B) / ( - X) = 0.618

42

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1


,
. , .
,
, .
:
. ,
, X-B.


X-A-B , . B-C X-A. B-C
X-A. - 0.618, 1.000 1.618. .
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X-B A. A-C X-B X-B. A-C . " " "
".


X-A, , B.
.
: AB, - 0.214, 0.382, 0.50, 0.618, 0.7856
: , A-B.
: X-B, A.
X-B, X-A.

43

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1


, ,
, X-A-B. X, A B
. X
A-B. () B.
: ()
A-B, .. 0.125, 0.25, 0.375, 0.625, 0.75, 0.875.
:
, .. 0.214, 0.382, 0.618, 0.786.
: A-B, .


. ,
X-A X. ,
X-B.

( )
.
() X. ,
A-B. A-B
.

44

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1


. , ,
B, ,
X-A. , B X. A-B
0.382, 0.50, 0.618, 0.786.
: 1.272, 1.618,
2.00, ..
: A-B : 0.25, 0.375, 0.50, 0.625,
0.75, ..

( )
. , , A-B,
X A-B. , B X-A.
: A-B : 0.25, 0.375, 0.50, 0.625,
0.75, ..


, ... A-B ( ), X , A-B. ,
( ), X
.
,
A-B X-B. , ( A-B) ( X-B). ,
.
1x4 , 1 4
. 25% A-B. 1x2
A-B.

45

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

2005 50/1



. 3 2x1, 1x1, 1x2, .
: .
: ,
, .


.
, .
1x1
.
: " " . , .

" ".


, , . 2x1,
1x1, 1x2. 1x1 X-A, A.
: B,
X-A.
:
A-B.
: : 0.25, 0.375, 0.50, 0.625, 0.75, ..
Forex Magazine
www.ensignsoftware.com

46

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

MQL 4: . 2005 50/1

MQL 4:
.

http://www.fxtrade.tomsk.ru

MetaTrader'
.

- .

Open ... 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Low

... 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

High

... 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

Close ... 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Time ... 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Volume ... 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

MetaTrader EUR/USD


,

. , - MetaTrader' .
MetaTrader' ,
MQL-. , : Open, Low,
High, Close, Time Volume.


.
- . ,
, , Open[3].

.
: O[3]. : L
Low, H ~ High, C ~ Close, T ~ Time, V ~ Volume.
, .
.

, -

47

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

MQL 4: . 2005 50/1

MetaTrader'. , MQL "Bars".


, , , .
. , ;

, "".
,
.
,

, .

,
MQL 4.

MetaTrader
, MetaTrader', - .
, , , ExtMapBuffer1.
.
,
, MetaTrader'.
,
.
MetaTrader'

MQL-program

... 12 11 10 9

8 7

3 2

double

ExtMapBuffer1[];

... 12 11 10 9

8 7

3 2

double

ExtMapBuffer2[];

... 12 11 10 9

1 0

double

ExtMapBuffer3[];

7 6

5 4

MetaTrader EUR/USD
,
. , , MetaTrader ,
, ,
MetaTrader , .

indicator_buffers. , , ,
.

48

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

MQL 4: . 2005 50/1


.
, , .
,

MetaTradder'.

SetIndexBuffer.
, - , .
,
, :
SetIndexBuffer(0,ExtMapBuffer1);

ExtMapBuffer1 ( "0") , . ,
indicator_buffers ,
.

ExtMapBuffer2 ExtMapBuffer3, MetatRader' , .
. , , ,
MetaTrader' , :
SetIndexBuffer(1,ExtMapBuffer2);
SetIndexBuffer(2,ExtMapBuffer3);
,
,
.
, ,
start().

49

int start()
{
int counted_bars=IndicatorCounted();
//---- TODO: add your code here
//---return(0);
}
, ,
counted_bars.
IndicatorCounted(),
,
.
, ,

,
.
IndicatorCounted()
, ,
, ,
MetaTrader'
start(), .

, , , IndicatorCounted(), -
.
, , ,
start().
start().

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005

MQL 4: . 2005 50/1

, ,
MQL- IndicatorCounted() - . counted_bars , , ,
.

int start()
{
int limit = 0;
//
//
int counted_bars=IndicatorCounted();

start()
return. return ,
, , MetaTrader' ,
- .

// ,
if(counted_bars<0) return(-1);
//
//
if(counted_bars>0) counted_bars--;

,
:

//
// ?
limit=Bars-counted_bars;
//
//
for(int i=0; i<limit; i++) {
//
// i-
//
// MetaTrader .
// , ExtMapBuffer1[i]
}

,
,
, start();

, ( );


,

.

// 0,
//
return(0);

, ,
:

MQL
4, , ,

MetaTrader' .

Forex Magazine
fxtrade@tomsk.ru

50

FOREX MAGAZINE 2004-2005