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4. /
5. 2010 /

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CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

1.

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

:
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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt




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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

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CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt


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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

2.

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt



100 (10%) Fortune 1000 25%
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20

15
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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt


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150

175

200

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: The Impact of Catastrophes on Shareholder Value, Rory F. Knight & Deborah J. Pretty, Templeton College, University of Oxford,
p. 3.
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

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IV

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: Oliver Wyman
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

10

3.

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

11



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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

12




Fortune 1000
60

55
50

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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

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CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

13

60%

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: Adrian J. Slywotzky The Upside the 7 strategies for turning big threats into growth breakthroughs, 2007

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

14

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 20% 80% . 1%
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: Adrian J. Slywotzky The Upside the 7 strategies for turning big threats into growth breakthroughs, 2007

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

15

,

() 50

14

On-line

5,25

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5,25

3,5

: Adrian J. Slywotzky The Upside the 7 strategies for turning big threats into growth breakthroughs, 2007

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

16

Ford

1910x

US steel

1910x-1960x

Standard Oil

1930x

General Motors

1950x

IBM

1970x

Microsoft

1990x

Wal-Mart

1990x

Dell

1990x

Starbucks

1990x

Southwest Air

1990x

Tesco (UK groceries)

1990x

Google

2000x

2000x

2000

Apple / i-Phone

2000x


,
:
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: Adrian J. Slywotzky The Upside the 7 strategies for turning big threats into growth breakthroughs, 2007

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

17

: Sony Ford

C SONY
.

C FORD
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40.0
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16.4

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12.8
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10.8

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4.0
5.0

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2000 2001

2002

2003 2004

2005 2006

2000 2001

2002

2003 2004

2005 2006


: Interbrand
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

18

Samsung
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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

19

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: Adrian J. Slywotzky The Upside the 7 strategies for turning big threats into growth breakthroughs, 2007

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

20



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: Adrian J. Slywotzky The Upside the 7 strategies for turning big threats into growth breakthroughs, 2007

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

21

4.

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

22

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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

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CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

23

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: Oliver Wyman
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

24

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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

25

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Risk Description

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* : Oliver Wyman
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

26

-

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.

:
.

.
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: Oliver Wyman
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

27

/
.

P&C

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)
: Oliver Wyman
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

28

5.

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com



2010 /

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

29

Global Risks 2010 (WEF)


Global
risks
Top5

5 :





: Word Economic Forum, 2010
Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

30

2010 (WEF)
Top 5 : >20% $250 .

1.

20.

2.

21.

3.

22.

4. (<6%)

23. :

5. ( )

24. :

6.

25. :

7. ( )

26. :

8. (
)

27.

9. .

28.

10.


11.
12.
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14. -
15.
16.

29.
30.
31.
32.

33.

17. -

34.

18. -

35. ,

19.

36. /

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

31

5
Global Risks Report, 2006-10

2006

2007



(<6)



(<6)

2008

2009

2010


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,

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

32

Global Risks Report 2010:


,


2010

:



,

,
(CRO),
2007

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

33

2010

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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

34

, ,

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50

(TEEB), , ,
2007
$15 .


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(CII)


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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

35

-
, Global Risks Report 2010


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,

, ,



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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

36

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

37

Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC)


2008 . 11 . . 100 54.000

Marsh Inc.

Guy Carpenter

Oliver Wyman Oliver Wyman


Group (OWG) US$1.5 .

Kroll

Mercer

Oliver
Wyman

Oliver Wyman
Group

NERA

Lippincott


,

Oliver Wyman

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com








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CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

38

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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

39



, Corporate Executive Board
*
BCG

7.6

Oliver Wyman/Mercer

7.6

E&Y

7.2

KPMG

7.2

PwC

7.1

AT Kearney

7.1
7.0

IBM

6.9

Bain
Deloitte

6.8

Accenture

6.4

Booz

6.4
6.0

McKinsey
Bearing Point

5.3
1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

* 517 140 . , 10
2008 Corporate Executive Board.

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

40

, 109029,
, 29
(495) 787 7094 (495) 787 7071
. (903) 722 6779
andrey.shishakov@oliverwyman.com

Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

, 109029,
, 29
(495) 783 8527 (495) 787 7071
. (903) 961 4938
oleg.melezhnikov@oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

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Oliver Wyman  www.oliverwyman.com

CASECODE-FILENAME (YYYYMMDD Descriptor).ppt

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