1(114)
4 . 18-
(-)
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2013
3, 21, 35
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SUMMARY
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109012, , . , 17. . : (495) 229 3810
E-mail: direct@levada.ru
()
119571, , . , 82. .: (495) 564 8582
,
77981 10 2003 .
-, , 2008 ISSN 2070-5107
Analytic Centre
Yury Levada
(Levada-Centre)
The Interdisciplinary
Academic Centre for
Social Sciences
(InterCentre)
JanuaryMarch 2013
CONTENTS
MONITORING OF CHANGES: PRINCIPAL TRENDS
3, 21, 35
Members of
the Editorial Council
Tatyana Zaslavskaya
(Chair)
Abel Aganbeghian
Anatoly Vishnevsky
Leokadia Drobizheva
Natalia Rimashevskaya
Teodor Shanin
Vladimir Yadov
Yevgenii Yassin
Editorial Board
Lev Gudkov
(Editor-in-Chief)
Tatyana Vorozheikina
(Deputy Editor-in-Chief)
Alexei Grazhdankin
Ludmila Khakhulina
(Deputy Editor-in-Chief)
Marina Krasilnikova
Galina Sterlikova
Natalia Zorkaya
(Executive Secretary)
22
36
44
64
81
89
100
First graders and their parents: a new life with new rules
(by Elena Avramova)
110
115
SUMMARY
116
:
1.
,
?;
, ? ( %
)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
. 09
. 09
. 10
10
. 10
. 11
11
. 11
. 12
. 12
. 13
94
94
. 94
. 95
95
. 95
. 96
96
. 96
. 97
97
. 97
. 98
98
. 98
. 99
99
. 99
. 00
00
. 00
. 01
01
. 01
. 02
02
. 02
. 03
03
. 03
. 04
04
. 04
. 05
05
. 05
. 06
06
. 06
. 07
07
. 07
. 08
3. ( )
3,6
3,4
3,2
3
2,8
2,6
2,4
2,2
2
1,8
1,6
1,4
1,2
1
0,8
0,6
0,4
0,2
0
. 94
94
. 94
. 95
95
. 95
. 96
96
. 96
. 97
97
. 97
. 98
98
. 98
. 99
99
. 99
. 00
00
. 00
. 01
01
. 01
. 02
02
. 02
. 03
03
. 03
. 04
04
. 04
. 05
05
. 05
. 06
06
. 06
. 07
07
. 07
. 08
08
09
. 09
. 10
10
. 10
. 11
11
. 11
. 12
. 12
. 13
1 (114) 2013
3. . . ( %
, )
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
. 13
12
. 12
. 12
11
. 11
. 11
10
. 10
. 10
. 09
09
. 08
08
08
. 07
07
07
. 06
06
06
. 05
05
05
. 04
04
04
. 03
03
03
. 02
02
02
01
. 01
. 00
. 01
. 00
00
2008 . . , , ,
, ( 32%).
4. , , 56 ,
( % , ,
3%, )
I
.
1
.
3
. 10
.
14
.
9
.
23
.
1
.
2
.
2
.
3
.
39
.
5
.
4
.
.
65
.
.
4
.
2
.
17
8
,
10
2008
VI
1
3
7
6
9
13
1
3
4
4
40
3
3
55
4
2
16
14
XII
2
4
9
2
7
7
1
4
5
7
42
4
3
60
5
2
14
12
I
2
4
10
2
9
7
1
6
3
4
42
3
2
56
3
2
13
15
2009
VII
2
3
11
2
9
6
3
6
4
6
41
3
3
53
4
2
16
15
XII
4
4
11
2
10
4
3
6
4
7
43
5
5
55
5
2
17
13
I
2
4
9
2
8
3
2
4
2
3
39
4
4
48
3
1
13
17
2010
VII
2
4
10
3
9
6
3
6
2
3
39
3
3
48
4
1
15
16
XII
4
3
11
3
8
4
3
4
3
5
40
3
10
4
49
3
1
13
15
I
3
4
10
2
9
5
3
6
2
3
39
3
8
4
44
4
1
15
19
2011
VII
4
3
14
2
11
3
2
8
2
8
35
5
7
4
1
40
4
5
4
21
21
XII
2
3
16
2
15
2
6
4
2
5
31
10
6
4
5
41
6
4
3
12
15
I
2
3
12
2
12
3
5
5
1
5
28
8
7
4
8
41
4
3
2
11
17
III
1
1
9
1
14
1
3
4
2
4
28
6
5
3
8
44
3
2
1
9
15
2012
V
2
1
8
1
9
2
3
4
2
4
25
6
4
2
5
37
2
2
1
14
16
XII
1
2
8
0
8
2
2
3
2
4
19
3
3
2
4
34
2
3
2
14
21
I
1
2
10
1
11
3
2
4
2
4
21
4
5
2
6
38
5
3
2
18
19
2013
IV
<1
1
8
1
9
2
2
3
2
3
15
3
4
2
5
31
2
3
2
16
22
12
14
13
12
14
17
15
15
15
15
17
16
19
16
18
15
10
1 (114) 2013
N=1600
13
. 12
12
12
. 11
11
11
. 10
10
10
. 09
09
. 09
. 08
. 08
. 08
. 07
10
. 07
13
. 13
. 12
12
. 12
. 11
11
. 11
. 10
10
. 10
09
09
. 08
08
. 08
. 07
. 07
50
. 07
07
07
. 07
. 06
. 06
06
06
06
. 06
. 05
100
07
07
07
70
. 07
. 06
. 06
06
06
06
. 06
. 05
5.1. ?
90
80
70
60
40
30
20
10
0
,
N=1600
5.2.
?
100
90
80
60
50
40
30
20
90%
70%
13
. 13
13
. 12
. 12
12
12
. 12
12
. 11
. 11
11
11
11
. 11
. 10
. 10
10
10
.10
10
. 09
. 09
09
09
. 09
09
. 08
. 08
08
08
08
50%
2013 , . ,
. , 2011 .
. 95
95
. 95
. 96
96
. 96
. 97
97
. 97
. 98
98
. 98
. 99
99
. 99
. 00
00
. 00
. 01
01
. 01
. 02
02
. 02
. 03
03
. 03
. 04
04
. 04
. 05
05
. 05
. 06
06
. 06
. 07
07
. 07
. 08
08
. 08
09
. 09
. 10
10
. 10
. 11
11
. 11
. 12
12
. 12
. 13
40
2013. , ,
105 , 4,5% .
1 ..
. (+9% ).
97 106 ( 9%).
.
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1
1
2011-2012 .
,
.
- .
:
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?
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- (. 1.1.). , ( )
, 2008 .,
2005 ., ,
1
7
13
18
38
24
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(
.., .., ..)
. ,
- 15-18 2013 1600 18 130
45 .
3,4%.
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; ,
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,
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. :
,
.
,
: , ,
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).
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), ,
:
42% , ,
55% (..
) .
,
,
.
( 38%); ,
, ( 20%).
.
38%. 18%
13% ,
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(, , )
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).
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.
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.
,
,
1.1
? ( -
1992-2013).
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
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96
. 96
97
. 97
98
. 98
. 99
99
. 99
. 00
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01
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02
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03
. 03
. 04
04
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06
. 06
07
. 07
08
. 08
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09
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. 10
. 10
. 11
11
. 11
12
. 12
, 90-
. . . . . . . . . . . .
96 96 96 96 96 97 97 98 00 00 03 04 05 06 06 07 08 09 11 11 12 13
39 41 38 39 35 45 38 43 45 42 48 41 42 39 35 35 24 38 33 35 29 36
11
10
19
10
11
13
11
18
19
23
27
26
27
36
25
19
26
20
17
28
27
26
29
25
26
28
32
29
26
22
24
20
19
16
19
15
18
23
20
29
22
1 (114) 2013
2
" "
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
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(37%, ),
(
29%).
25%, ..
,
;
(6%).
(31%),
(35%).
(17%).
(, )
,
.
, 40
45%; 20%,
(40-54 ) 23%.
1
22%, 15 000 .
70%
80%
5.7
7.4
17.6
24.4
38
12.5
9.8
37.6
38
8.9
2.6
25
6.4
29.1
37
4.7
30.5
20
34.8
10
3.5
20.4
20.2
38.9
16.9
7.5
25.1
14.1
33.4
20
5.7
25.8
6.5
39.6
28
14.6
26
45.3
8.4
90%
100%
2 ,
3
(30%).
56% ,
27%,
.
-, ,
40 43% .
, -
20%, 29%,
- 17%
15% .
4
45% ,
26%, 15%,
8%.
40 000
25 40 000
4
, . ,
40 000 ,
25 000 , .
2
3
1 (114) 2013
:
:
,
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2013 . ;
,
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,
.
,
. , : , .
, 76% 1,
67%2, (,
3
.
7
22
8
63
14
24
19
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13
28
14
45
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23
18
45
20
22
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17
40
14
26
38
22
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
: , , [ ]
?
, - 2209 18.01.2013.
, - 2076 25.07.2012.
1
2
10
1 (114) 2013
82% 1, 64-68%2.
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.
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).
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: 38%
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).
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;
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, - 2120 26.09.2012
, - 2034 31.05.2012.
8
2
( 50 56%
).
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51% 25%,
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),
28% 41% (10%
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.
1 (114) 2013
11
33
29
10
28
22
26
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41
23
30
20
27
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15
20
25
(33% 30% ),
.
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( 8 12
).
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12
30
35
40
45
,
.
10-15 ,
.
-
2012
40%.
. ,
32% ( :
).
18% ( :
,
).
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:
,
(40%).
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(28% 17%
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(44% 41%),
35%.
;
( , 52% 50% ).
, 25-39 , (
29%),
,
35%. -
( 29%), , , ,
.
5
10
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13
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40
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13
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15
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. , . . . -. 2004. .151.
2
. R.Inglehart, C.Welzel. 2005. Changing Mass Priorities: the Link
between Modernization and Democracy. Persoectives on Politics. June
2010, vol.8. No 2, pp. 551-567.
1
14
, .
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1 (114) 2013
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13
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15
15
16
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24
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16
26
36
44
27
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15
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30
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45
, :
, , - ?
, , , ?
.: . Lucian W. Pye. The non-Western
political process. Journal of Politics 20.3: 46886. 1958.
1
1 (114) 2013
15
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.
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5
6
6
8
15
11
13
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12
9
10
18
14
11
10
22
14
18
19
12
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24
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14
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27
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17
18
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15
32
,
24
0
10
15
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20
25
29
36
27
30
35
40
. . Robert Putnam. Making Democracy Work:
Civic Traditions in Modern Italy. Princeton University Press. Princeton, NJ
1993.
1
16
1 (114) 2013
(4%)
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.
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(37%) (44%).
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(26-30%).
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10
13.8
27.2
18.6
8.9
10
4.9
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2.4
21.4
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34.4
10
15
1 (114) 2013
20
25
30
35
17
(38%),
(24%), 25 (25%),
-
(26%).
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(16%), (18%).
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1 (114) 2013
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7.1.
? ( % )
1990
1991
1992*
1992*
1993*
1994
1995
1999
2000
2009
2011
2012
2013
11
18
15
13
15
11
12
16
21
13
22
20
22
69
69
66
77
72
76
77
66
75
80
73
73
70
19
14
19
10
14
13
11
18
1708 2805 1566 1651 1800 2000 2550 2000 2400 1600 1600 1600 1600
7.2. ,
? ( % )
1992
2009
2011
2012
2013
18
19
21
17
17
79
78
69
68
73
1651
1600
800
1600
1600
1 (114) 2013
21
2012 *
2012
2012 , ,
, , ,
2011 .
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.
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.
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.
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.
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*
- (1600 .) ,
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.
, 2003 . 50%
, 2007 . 33%, 2011 . 42%. ,
2007. 28%, 2011. 31%.
1
22
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1 (114) 2013
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25 25 36 42 29 31 35 36 24 30 40 43
24
28
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47 56 49 41 50 51 50 44 48 54 47 38
46
54
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28 19 14 17 21 17 15 20 28 15 14 18
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52
1 (114) 2013
,
?
-
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8
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27
34
61
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1 (114) 2013
55
32
30
18
24
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28
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26
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7
7
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4
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37
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53
.
18% (
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N = 857
N = 2275
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:
18 24
25 39
40 54
55 64
:
25
19
16
16
56
56
52
47
19
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1 (114) 2013
3
(% ).
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(27%)
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1 (114) 2013
55
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, (% , )
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,
,
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,
N = 1927
53
13
12
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57
11
10
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9
8
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17
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8
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.
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2011
N = 6000
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16
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50
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2012
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50
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20
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N = 1482
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53
49
40
29
33
39
35
37
34
40
37
11
13
19
17
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,
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N = 1927
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1
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2
8
1 (114) 2013
N = 1016
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23
5
2
2
11
N = 1178
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25
4
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0
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16
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N = 1927 N = 1482
N = 857
( )
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84
79
,
63
63
59
65
64
61
(,
59
57
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72
79
73
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..)
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35
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54
54
58
1 (114) 2013
N = 1016
N = 1178
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76
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75
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48
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1 (114) 2013
59
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1 (114) 2013
61
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).
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58%.
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, ( , %)
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1 (114) 2013
19
, , ,
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)
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1 (114) 2013
63
2012
(18-64 ), - , 2011
Global Financial Inclusion
2003,
2011 .1
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IW3P/IB/2012/04/19/000158349_20120419083611/Rendered/PDF/
WPS6025.pdf
64
1 (114) 2013
;
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.
Global Financial Inclusion,
1 2011 . 234
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5
1 (114) 2013
65
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1 (114) 2013
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prevention of financial exclusion. Eurubarometerreport. 2007. P. 26.
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1 (114) 2013
69
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Eurobarometer 60.2 Eurobarometer 2003.5,
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E. Kempson, M. Crame, A. Finney. Financial services provision and
prevention of financial exclusion. Eurobarometer report. http://www.bris.
ac.uk/geography/research/pfrc/themes/finexc/pfrc0808.pdf, . 20
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pdf, . 20.
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1 (114) 2013
3
,
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1
1 (114) 2013
71
. (62%)
,
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.
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,
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2
72
1 (114) 2013
3
(2012)
(2003)
,
39%
15 2003
37%
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10
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50
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2012
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1 (114) 2013
73
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0
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0
20
80
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60
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40
20
60
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1 (114) 2013
15 2003
21%
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40
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1 (114) 2013
113
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1 (114) 2013
8
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(Claudio Morrison) ,
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...)
1 (114) 2013
115
SUMMARY
New Cleavages in the Russian Society: an
Attempted Reconstruction (by Boris Makarenko).
The article is based on a poll undertaken by LevadaCenter in February, 2013. It discusses the new
public demand in the sphere of Russian politics.
The poll found that a plurality of Russian society
(38 per cent), when asked about a desirable path for
development of political system chose democracy
of European type. The status quo associated
with political course of Vladimir Putin appeared
preferable to 24 per cent, while the remainder of
the sample was almost equally divided between
advocates of a strong-hand regime and Soviettype socialism.
The divides between these imagined futures
crosscut traditional party electorates. While the
notions of democracy or stability are not
explicated, at least two conclusions are sufficiently
substantiated. First, that the popularity of Putins
stability is giving way to a demand for a more open
and pluralistic political system. and second, as the
cluster analysis showed, the support base of Putins
power is far from being monolithic: it consists
of a nucleus of dedicated supporters flanked
by two cohorts of conditional supporters, one,
concentrated on more openness and sound social
policy, the other, authoritarian inclined.
The article also discusses ambivalences of the
public attitudes towards collective action and civil
society, as well as the perceptions of two types of
new legislation introduced in 2012: laws tightening
regulation of collective actions and civil society, and
laws constituting reform of the political system.
Russian society before and after 2012 (by
Aleksey Levinson). Bureaucracy was the class who
benefitted under Putins rule at the expence of the
rest of the society. The political crisis of leate 2011
early 2012 was caused by the peaceful upprisal of
the citizens against the overexpansion of this class.
The civic society demonstrated its potential for
self-regulation without any political leadership
which is both unprecedented and contrasting to
age long tradition of autocracy in Russia. The new
prospect of democratic transformation for Russia
116
1 (114) 2013
1 (114) 2013
117
118
1 (114) 2013
2013
_____ (1, 2, 3, 4 )
: . .
1 240 . ( 10%)
* _____ ( 10%) : . .
40703810100010000119 - () . .
. 30101810700000000501 044583501 7705466756
: (-)
:
.
.
(e-mail)
(, )
, , : 125319, ,
. , . 16, direct@levada.ru, (495)229-38-25
( PDF).
118 ( 18% ).
, , . (495) 229-38-10 direct@levada.ru
* .: (495) 229-38-10
direct@levada.ru
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