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Triangular (3-Point) Exchange

Arbitrage
Exchange arbitrage is the activity that unifies
the foreign exchange market spatially. That is,
it assures that the same exchange rates tend to
rule at any moment in time, whether they are
quoted by a London bank, a New York bank ,
or a Singapore bank.

Example

DM/$

New York
Banks
3.00

Berlin
Banks
3.00

Paris
Banks
NA

$/FF

0.25

NA

0.25

FF/DM

NA

2.00

2.00

Equilibrium Conditions
$/DM

= $/FF * FF/DM
$/FF = $/DM * DM/FF
FF/DM = FF/$ * $/DM
FF/$ = FF/DM * DM/$
DM/$ = DM/FF * FF/$
DM/FF = DM/$ * $/FF

Example

$/

New York
Banks
1.80

London
Banks
1.80

Zurich
Banks
NA

$ / SF

0.20

NA

0.20

SF /

NA

8.00

8.00

Tests for Cross Rate Alignment


/ SF = $ / * / SF
0.20 < 1.80 * 0.125

$ / = $ / SF * SF /
1.80 > 0.20 * 8.00

SF / = SF / $ * $ /
8.00 < 5.00 * 1.80

Solution
$

-------- -------- SF -------- $


$ 1M / 1.80 = 555,555.56
555,555.56 * 8.00 = SF 4,444,444.44
SF 4,444,444.44 * 0.20 = $ 888,888.88
Loss = $ 111,111.11

Solution
$

-------- SF -------- -------- $


$ 1M / 0.20 = SF 5,000,000
SF 5,000,000 / 8.00 = 625,000
625,000 * 1.80 = $ 1,125,000
Profit = $125,000

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