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National Survey of Hispanic Voters on Immigration Policy May 18, 2009

National Survey of Hispanic Voters on Immigration Policy

May 18, 2009

National Survey of Hispanic Voters on Immigration Policy May 18, 2009
National Survey of Hispanic Voters on Immigration Policy May 18, 2009
National Survey of Hispanic Voters on Immigration Policy May 18, 2009
National Survey of Hispanic Voters on Immigration Policy May 18, 2009
Methodology 2 Sample size 800 Hispanic voters in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Nevada,

Methodology

Methodology 2 Sample size 800 Hispanic voters in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Nevada,
Methodology 2 Sample size 800 Hispanic voters in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Nevada,

2

Sample size

800 Hispanic voters in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Nevada, New York, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Virginia

Dates of interviews

April 28 – May 5, 2009

Margin of error

3.5 percentage points

Languages of interviews

English, Spanish

Demographics and Voter Trends

Demographics and Voter Trends

Demographics and Voter Trends
Demographics and Voter Trends
Gender 52% 48% Male Female 4

Gender

Gender 52% 48% Male Female 4
Gender 52% 48% Male Female 4

52%

Gender 52% 48% Male Female 4
Gender 52% 48% Male Female 4

48%

MaleFemale

FemaleMale

Age 20% 29% 22% 29% 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 5

Age

Age 20% 29% 22% 29% 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 5
Age 20% 29% 22% 29% 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 5
20% 29%
20%
29%
22% 29%
22%
29%

18-2930-49 50-64 65+

30-4918-29 50-64 65+

50-6418-29 30-49 65+

65+18-29 30-49 50-64

Annual Household Income 100% 80% 60% 34% 40% 24% 24% 11% 20% 7% 0% Less

Annual Household Income

Annual Household Income 100% 80% 60% 34% 40% 24% 24% 11% 20% 7% 0% Less than
Annual Household Income 100% 80% 60% 34% 40% 24% 24% 11% 20% 7% 0% Less than
100% 80% 60% 34% 40% 24% 24% 11% 20% 7% 0%
100%
80%
60%
34%
40%
24%
24%
11%
20%
7%
0%

Less than

$25,000

$25,000 to $50,000 to

$50,000

$100,000

More than Don’t know

$100,000

/ No

answer

Education 17% Less than high school High school graduate Some college / technical school College

Education

Education 17% Less than high school High school graduate Some college / technical school College degree
Education 17% Less than high school High school graduate Some college / technical school College degree
17% Less than high school High school graduate Some college / technical school College degree
17%
Less than high school
High school graduate
Some college / technical school
College degree
Graduate degree
28%
27%
20%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Country of Birth 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 30% 45% United States Central America Puerto

Country of Birth

Country of Birth 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 30% 45% United States Central America Puerto Rico
Country of Birth 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 30% 45% United States Central America Puerto Rico
5% 4% 5% 5% 6%
5%
4%
5%
5%
6%

30%

Country of Birth 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 30% 45% United States Central America Puerto Rico

45%

United StatesCentral America Puerto Rico Dominican Republic Mexico South America Cuba

Central AmericaUnited States Puerto Rico Dominican Republic Mexico South America Cuba

Puerto RicoUnited States Central America Dominican Republic Mexico South America Cuba

Dominican RepublicUnited States Central America Puerto Rico Mexico South America Cuba

MexicoUnited States Central America Puerto Rico Dominican Republic South America Cuba

South AmericaUnited States Central America Puerto Rico Dominican Republic Mexico Cuba

CubaUnited States Central America Puerto Rico Dominican Republic Mexico South America

Party Identification 21% 20% Democrat Republican Independent 59% 9

Party Identification

Party Identification 21% 20% Democrat Republican Independent 59% 9
Party Identification 21% 20% Democrat Republican Independent 59% 9
21% 20%
21%
20%

DemocratRepublican Independent

RepublicanDemocrat Independent

IndependentDemocrat Republican

59%

Which candidate did you support in the 2008 presidential election – the Democrat Barack Obama or the Republican John McCain?

– the Democrat Barack Obama or the Republican John McCain? 2% 30% 68% Barack Obama John
– the Democrat Barack Obama or the Republican John McCain? 2% 30% 68% Barack Obama John
2% 30% 68%
2%
30%
68%

Barack ObamaJohn McCain No answer

John McCainBarack Obama No answer

No answerBarack Obama John McCain

Voting History Voted in 2006 Elections 41% 9% 50% Voted in 2008 Elections 12% 2%

Voting History

Voting History Voted in 2006 Elections 41% 9% 50% Voted in 2008 Elections 12% 2% 86%
Voting History Voted in 2006 Elections 41% 9% 50% Voted in 2008 Elections 12% 2% 86%

Voted in 2006 Elections

41%

9%

Voting History Voted in 2006 Elections 41% 9% 50% Voted in 2008 Elections 12% 2% 86%
Voting History Voted in 2006 Elections 41% 9% 50% Voted in 2008 Elections 12% 2% 86%

50%

Voted in 2008 Elections

12% 2%
12%
2%

86%

YesNo Unknown

NoYes Unknown

UnknownYes No

YesNo Unknown

NoYes Unknown

UnknownYes No

The Immigration Issue

The Immigration Issue

The Immigration Issue
The Immigration Issue
Which of the following do you think is the biggest problem currently facing our country?

Which of the following do you think is the biggest problem currently facing our country?

think is the biggest problem currently facing our country? 1. Weak economy 56% 2. Wars in
think is the biggest problem currently facing our country? 1. Weak economy 56% 2. Wars in

1. Weak economy

56%

2. Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan

13%

3. Lack of access to health care

9%

4. Illegal immigration

7%

5. Housing and mortgage crisis

6%

6. Low quality of public schools

5%

How important is the immigration issue to you and your family?

important is the immigration issue to you and your family? Very / Somewhat important 82% 59%
important is the immigration issue to you and your family? Very / Somewhat important 82% 59%
Very / Somewhat important 82% 59% 23% 17% Not important 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Very /
Somewhat
important
82%
59%
23%
17%
Not important
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%

Why is the immigration issue of importance to you?

“Very Important” answers only

of importance to you? “Very Important” answers only 15 It’s a personal issue / It affects
of importance to you? “Very Important” answers only 15 It’s a personal issue / It affects

15

It’s a personal issue / It affects someone in my family or my friends

34%

Immigrants help the economy / They do jobs that no one wants to do

21%

The U.S. is a nation of immigrants

16%

The system needs to be fixed

10%

They are discriminated against / I feel sympathy for them

8%

They are not helping our society

3%

Other response

8%

Do you know any undocumented immigrants personally; in other words, are any of your friends, family members, neighbors or co-workers undocumented?

friends, family members, neighbors or co-workers undocumented? 1% 30% 69% Yes No Don't know / No
friends, family members, neighbors or co-workers undocumented? 1% 30% 69% Yes No Don't know / No
1% 30% 69%
1%
30%
69%

YesNo Don't know / No answer

NoYes Don't know / No answer

Don't know / No answerYes No

Do you know any undocumented immigrants personally; in other words, are any of your friends, family members, neighbors or co-workers undocumented? By Age

members, neighbors or co-workers undocumented? By Age 18-29 76% 24% 30-49 82% 18% 50-64 64% 36%
members, neighbors or co-workers undocumented? By Age 18-29 76% 24% 30-49 82% 18% 50-64 64% 36%
18-29 76% 24% 30-49 82% 18% 50-64 64% 36% 65+ 48% 52% 0% 20% 40%
18-29
76%
24%
30-49
82%
18%
50-64
64%
36%
65+
48%
52%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Yes No
Yes
No

Do you know any undocumented immigrants personally; in other words, are any of your friends, family members, neighbors or co-workers undocumented? By Country of Birth

neighbors or co-workers undocumented? By Country of Birth US born 68% 32% Foreign born 70% 30%
neighbors or co-workers undocumented? By Country of Birth US born 68% 32% Foreign born 70% 30%
US born 68% 32% Foreign born 70% 30% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
US born
68%
32%
Foreign born
70%
30%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Yes No
Yes
No

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement?

The anti-immigrant sentiment against Hispanics is growing.

The anti-immigrant sentiment against Hispanics is growing. 4% 21% 75% Agree Disagree Don't know / No
The anti-immigrant sentiment against Hispanics is growing. 4% 21% 75% Agree Disagree Don't know / No

4%

21% 75%
21%
75%

AgreeDisagree Don't know / No answer

DisagreeAgree Don't know / No answer

Don't know / No answerAgree Disagree

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? During the last two years, discrimination against Hispanics in the United States has increased because of the negative tone and the rhetoric of the immigration debate.

negative tone and the rhetoric of the immigration debate. 29% 7% 64% Agree Disagree Don't know
negative tone and the rhetoric of the immigration debate. 29% 7% 64% Agree Disagree Don't know

29%

7% 64%
7%
64%

AgreeDisagree Don't know / No answer

DisagreeAgree Don't know / No answer

Don't know / No answerAgree Disagree

There are an estimated 10 million illegal immigrants from Latin America residing in the U.S. Do you think it would be best to force most of them to leave the country or do you think it would be best to give most of them a path to citizenship?

would be best to give most of them a path to citizenship? 7% 4% 89% Give
would be best to give most of them a path to citizenship? 7% 4% 89% Give
7% 4%
7%
4%

89%

Give most of them a path to citizenship path to citizenship

Force most of them to leave the country to leave the country

Don't know / No answerGive most of them a path to citizenship Force most of them to leave the country

Which candidate has a position on immigration closest to yours – Candidate A or Candidate

Which candidate has a position on immigration closest to yours – Candidate A or Candidate B?

closest to yours – Candidate A or Candidate B? Candidate A supports comprehensive immigration reform
closest to yours – Candidate A or Candidate B? Candidate A supports comprehensive immigration reform

Candidate A supports comprehensive immigration reform that secures the border, cracks down on employers who hire illegal immigrants, and requires all illegal immigrants to register and meet certain requirements to become legal, including working, paying taxes and learning English.

85%

Candidate B says we need to secure our borders, stop giving taxpayer funded benefits to illegal immigrants, and make sure that those who broke our laws by entering the country illegally are forced to leave.

9%

Would you consider voting for a candidate for the United States Congress who was in favor of forcing most illegal immigrants to leave the country or would you not consider voting for such a candidate?

y or would you not consider voting for such a candidate? 6% 7% 87% Yes, I
y or would you not consider voting for such a candidate? 6% 7% 87% Yes, I
6% 7%
6%
7%

87%

Yes, I would consider itNo I would not consider it Don't know / No answer

No I would not consider it consider it

Don't know / No answerYes, I would consider it No I would not consider it

As you may know, there will be elections for the US Congress in 2010. The immigration issue will be a very important part of the political debate. How likely are you to vote in these elections for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives?

elections for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives? 100% 75% 80% 60% 40% 16% 7%
elections for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives? 100% 75% 80% 60% 40% 16% 7%
100% 75% 80% 60% 40% 16% 7% 20% 0%
100%
75%
80%
60%
40%
16%
7%
20%
0%

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not likely

Which political party do you think best represents the opinion of the Hispanic community on

Which political party do you think best represents the opinion of the Hispanic community on the immigration issue – the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?

issue – the Democratic Party or the Republican Party? 11% 18% 71% Democratic Party Republican Party
issue – the Democratic Party or the Republican Party? 11% 18% 71% Democratic Party Republican Party

11%

18% 71%
18%
71%

Democratic Party Party

Republican Party Party

Don't know / No answerDemocratic Party Republican Party

President Obama on Immigration

President Obama on Immigration

President Obama on Immigration
President Obama on Immigration
How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama has done during his first

How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama has done during his first 100 days in office?

Barack Obama has done during his first 100 days in office? 84% Excellent / Good 39%
Barack Obama has done during his first 100 days in office? 84% Excellent / Good 39%
84% Excellent / Good 39% 45% 12% Mediocre / Bad 8%4% 4% Don't know /
84%
Excellent /
Good
39%
45%
12%
Mediocre / Bad
8%4%
4%
Don't know / No
answer
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%

How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama has done when it comes to the issues and concerns of Hispanic families in the United States?

and concerns of Hispanic families in the United States? 75% Excellent / Good 27% 48% 17%
and concerns of Hispanic families in the United States? 75% Excellent / Good 27% 48% 17%
75% Excellent / Good 27% 48% 17% Mediocre / Bad 11% 6% 8% Don't know
75%
Excellent /
Good
27%
48%
17%
Mediocre / Bad
11%
6%
8%
Don't know / No
answer
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%

During his campaign for President, Barack Obama promised that he was going to propose a comprehensive immigration bill to Congress during his first year in office. Do you think that he will keep that promise or do you think that he will break that promise?

promise or do you think that he will break that promise? 11% 17% 72% Will keep
promise or do you think that he will break that promise? 11% 17% 72% Will keep
11% 17% 72%
11%
17%
72%

Will keep that promise that promise

Will break that promise that promise

Don't know / No answerWill keep that promise Will break that promise

Whom do you trust more to do “the right thing” on immigration?

you trust more to do “the right thing” on immigration? 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%
you trust more to do “the right thing” on immigration? 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

23% 69% 83% 60% 17% 10% 14% 17% 7% Obama Democrats in Congress Republicans in
23%
69%
83%
60%
17%
10%
14%
17%
7%
Obama
Democrats in
Congress
Republicans
in Congress

Will do "the right thing"Will not do "the right thing" Don't know / No answer

Will not do "the right thing"Will do "the right thing" Don't know / No answer

Don't know / No answer answer

Some people think that President Obama should concentrate on strengthening the American economy now and he should put off working on a new immigration bill until at least 2011. Other people think that President Obama should work on both issues – the economy and immigration – in 2009. Which is closer to your opinion?

immigration – in 2009. Which is closer to your opinion? 100% 69% 80% 60% 29% 40%
immigration – in 2009. Which is closer to your opinion? 100% 69% 80% 60% 29% 40%
100% 69% 80% 60% 29% 40% 20% 2% 0%
100%
69%
80%
60%
29%
40%
20%
2%
0%

Should concentrate on economy and put off immigration

Should work on both issues

Don't know / No answer