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1 The End of History The National Interest 16 (Summer 1989
.), . 3-18.
489

2
. Reply to My Critics,
The National Interest 18 (Winter 19891990); . 21-22.
3 ,

.
1.
4 Emile Fackenheim, Gods Presence in Historiy: Jewish
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10 , 1959, . 19.
11 (Ekstein 1989), . 291.
490

12 - (JeanFran?ois Revel), But We Follow the Worse The National

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13 . (Gertrude Himmelfarb)
The End of History?, The National Interest
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(Leszek Kolakowsky) Uncertainties of a Democratic Age,
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, :

.
(Robert Bernes), After Brezhnev The American
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16 - (Jean-Fran?ois Revel), How
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18 ,
, . Stephen Sestanovich, Anxiety and Ideology,
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16.
19 Revel (1983), . 17; , -

491

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. ,
, ,
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,
- ...

...
.
21 Hough (1977), . 5. ,
Merle
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.

,
1988
, ,
1990 . . How the Soviet Union is
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492

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27
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.
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1944
, , ,
,
.
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34 Kenneth Maxwell, Regime Overthrow and Prospects for
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36 Jose Maria Maravall and Julian Srtamaria, Politieal Change in
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1975 , , 42,2% 51,7%

,

. John F.
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37 , 77,7%
, ,
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. Coverdale (1979), ; 53.

495

38 P. Nikiforos Diamandouros, Regime Change and Prospects for

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498

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,
1517%
,
25 30%.
,
,
25% .
55 .
56 .
Aslund (1989), pp. 38, Hewlett (1988), pp. 274-302.

.
(1989), . 621-623.
57 , ,
,
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. . Marshall I.
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,
499

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, .
59 1985
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.
1988
,
. .

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.
60
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18 ( 18 ) 1990 , .
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61
(Jeremy Azrael), ,

,
, .
62
,
,

.
500

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, . .
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. . Lucian W. Pye,
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65 The
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501

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.
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503



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