Causes of Contemporary Conflict

Feb 2013

Feb 2013

What Is Conflict?

Feb 2013

What Causes Conflict?

Feb 2013

What causes Conflict Hidden Slide

Ideological Issues, Imbalanced power-sharing (within government and military), Injustice, values, identity, ethnicity, human rights abuse, power, resources, security/insecurity, small arms, conflicting interest etc

Feb 2013

The Cycle of Conflict

The Cycle of Conflict
Threshold of Armed Conflict

Conflict
Sustainable Peace
Start of Armed Conflict

Threshold of Sustainable Peace

Beginning of DDR

Feb 2013

Discussion
What causes of conflict should planners take into account when planning a post-conflict program?

Feb 2013

10

Review
The definition of conflict. The different forms of conflict; The causes of armed conflict; The cycle of armed conflict Why and how conflict is sustained;

How the causes of particular conflicts affect post-

conflict programs.

Feb 2013

11

Conflict
Weakened/Failed States
Urbanization/Economics Human Rights Abuses

Extremist/Terrorist Groups
Criminal Organizations

Small Arms Proliferation

HIV/AIDS

Feb 2013

13

Adults and children estimated to be living with HIV, 2011

Western & Eastern Europe Central Europe & Central Asia North America
[760 000 2.0 million]

1.4 million

[580 000 1.0 million] [1.1 1.9 million] East Asia

900 000

1.4 million

Caribbean
[210 000 270 000]

230 000

Middle East & North Africa

[280 000 510 000]

[480 000 1.1 million]

830 000

300 000

South & South-East Asia

[3.5 5.3 million] Oceania [66 000 93 000]

Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America

[1.5 2.1 million]

1.4 million

[20.5 23.6 million]

23.5 million

4 million 53 000

Total: 34 million (30 36 million)

Feb 2013

29