Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
----------
ti
D N GIN THP XE
TI THNH PH H CH MINH
GVHD: Th.s Lm Tng Thoi
Nhm thc hin:Trn Chu Dng
k094071366
k094071387
k094071413
k094071417
Nguyn Vn Phc
k094071429
k094071437
Phan Thanh Sn
k094071442
H Duy Tm
k094071444
Vy Vn Vng
k094071477
k094071479
Mc lc:
CHNG 1 TNG
T N .................................................................. 3
1.1
S cn thi t ca n: ......................................................................................... 3
1.2
Cn c ph p l ca n:.................................................................................... 5
1.3
Cn c
thc t : .................................................................................................... 5
CHNG 2 PH N T CH TH TRNG C
N PH M .............................. 6
2.1 Sn ph m: ch v gi xe t ............................................................................. 6
2.1.1 a im trng gi: .......................................................................................... 6
2.1.2 Quy trnh trng gi xe t: .............................................................................. 6
2.1.3 Thu ph trng gi xe: ........................................................................................ 6
2.1.4 Th tc k hp ng trng gi xe t: ............................................................. 7
2.2 Th trng: ........................................................................................................... 7
2.2.1 T nh h nh v cu sn ph m: .............................................................................. 7
2.2.2 T nh h nh v cung sn ph m: ........................................................................... 9
2.2.3 h nng cnh tranh: ...................................................................................... 10
2.3
3.2
N ......................................... 18
inh ph u t v vn u t: .......................................................................... 18
Lch u t v v ng i sn ph m: ................................................................ 18
a im xy ng v t ai: ........................................................................ 18
Quy m xy ng v c c hng mc c ng tr nh: ............................................. 19
Phng th c xy ng, lp t v chuyn giao c ng ngh: ........................... 22
1
5.4
Phn t ch t i ch nh ca n: ............................................................................ 26
5.5
nh gi t nh kh thi:......................................................................................... 31
6.2
I Chng 1: TNG
1.1
n hi
T N
t , chi m 1/3 t ng s
t ln
t lu th ng trn ng
ca
giao th ng v n ti th mi ng y c trung
iang, ti th nh ph
t , qu t trong vng
t th h qu tt y u
t u, kh ng ng quy nh l m mt m quan
3
i to n hc a cho c
t .
1.2 C n
ph p
n:
B o c o n y c l p da trn c c vn n php l:
Ngh nh s 12/2009/N-CP v qun l d n u t xy ng cng trnh
Ngh nh s 64/2012/N-CP ngy 04/09/2012 ca Chnh ph v cp giy
php xy dng.
Lu t s 59/2005/QH11 ca Quc h i : Lu t u t.
Khuy n khch xy dng kh ng gian giao th ng tnh ang thi u trm trng ca
thnh ph, khuy n kh ch u t xy ng c c i u xe va v nh ca thnh
ph H Ch Minh nhm gim n tc giao thng.
1.3 C n
II Chng 2: PH N T CH TH TRNG C
2.1
n ph
N PH M
: dch v gi xe t
2.1.4 Th tc k hp ng trng gi xe t:
C c t ch c, c nhn c nhu cu gi xe t t 10 ng y tr ln l m th tc k hp
ng tr ng gi xe gia ch phng tin v c ng ty khai th c im xe nh sau:
Ngi k hp ng l i in hp ph p ho c ngi ng tn ng k kinh
doanh ( c th u quy n ng vn n cho ngi thay m nh k hp ng ).
Xut tr nh giy ng k phng tin.
2.2 Th
ng:
2.2.1 T nh h nh
n ph
hu vc qu n 1 t p trung
nh
2.
hu vc ng Nguyn Hu
3.
hu vc ng L Li, gn ch B n Th nh
ng
n ph
nh l gn nh 1 ngi 1
iao th ng V n ti v S Xy ng
n i v c c im
, C ng an TP HCM, cho i t, n u
nh thng
p ng nhu cu cp bch v
tr nh giao th ng S i
n l p phng n h nh th nh c c i u xe nm trn 40
tuy n ng, cng vin v qung trng ca khu vc trung tm. S lng xe lu u
ti c c i xe ny c th ln n 1.600 chi c.
Hin nay, ti trung tm th nh ph ch c 2 i gi xe
trng Lam Sn v
t thu ph l
i c ng
nh
nh:
in t ch t xy ng.
h thy nhu c
u xe l rt cao, kh n ng p ng th
11
1. Nhng ro co v
c ch thu ht u t,
u xe th vn nh c
th tc hnh chnh
2. Nhu cu u xe ti qu n
MA TRN SWOT
Ng y Threat
1 rt ln nhng kh nng
p ng thp
3. Nhi u i u xe trn
l ng ng ti qu n 1 b
dp b
rm r v cch qun
l l ng ng va h
l nx n
2. S c kh ch quan
nh i u kin thi
ti t, ng t, ch y
n , va chm o t
4. Th nh ph to i u kin
m v o khung c t
3. Ti thnh ph vn
tn ti nhi u im u
xe trn l ng vi
gi cc r
12
im m nh- Strength
1. V tr
Phi hp S/O
Phi hp S/T
Phi hp W/O
Phi hp W/T
i u xe thu n
li.
2. C li th ca ngi tin
phong.
3. C ngun nhn lc tr,
nng ng, cht lng cao
cng vi c vn d n giu
kinh nghim.
4. Do xe khng t v n hnh
trong i u xe nn khng
gy ra nhim, tr nh c
nguy c xy ra ha hon,
chy n .
i
yu- Weakness
1. B vn ln nhng kh
nng thu hi nh git
2. Doanh nghip cha c
quy n t quy t gi tr ng xe
3. M c ph gi xe qu thp
4. Thi gian hon vn lu
13
14
a im
Khu vc 1
Khu vc 2
Khu vc 3
Thu n Li
- Nhu cu cao
- Nhu cu cao
- Nhu cu cao
t
- Cn m t s khu
t trng
h hn
hi m
nn t
trng
no cao
nhng
no
trng vc
t so vi khu vc
1 v 2.
vc
Da vo s phn t ch im mnh v im y u ca tng khu vc nh trn, nh n
thy m c d khu vc 1, 2 c nhu cu kh cao v m c t p trung ca nhu cu ln
nhng
15
T CHC QUN L CA D N:
QUN L
B PHN VN
HNH BI GI XE
B PHN DCH V
KHCH HNG
B PHN BO TR
n u t xy ng i u xe
16
cch sp x p li nhng i xe cao tng trn cc tuy n ng gii quy t tnh hnh
trc mt.
Bt c nc no trn th gii cng cho u xe dc theo cc trc ng trong thnh
ph gp phn gii quy t nhu cu u xe. Tp.HCM cng kh ng ngoi l, tt nhin
c c im u xe trong trung tm thnh ph s thu ph cao hn c c ni kh c i u
ti t lng xe mun v o u trung tm.
Trc ht, d n ra i s gii quy t c nhng nhu cu cn i u xe cp thi t
ca Tp.HCM, tng in t ch u xe i 7 ch. i u ny s gp phn h nhit
phn no nhu cu cn ni xe Tp.HCM ang khan hi m trong khi khng gian ti
Tp.HCM l ch t hp, c bit l qu n 1 phi dnh ch u nhng chi c t chi m
khong 10m2 m s lng xe t l v cng ln.
Th hai, theo thanh tra B Giao thng V n ti, hin vic s dng l ng ng, va
h lm ch u xe xe khi n 1 lng ln xe ca ngi sinh sng, lm vic trong cc
cao c phi a ra va h ti Tp.HCM din ra rt ph bi n, hu h t cc cao c trn
a bn Tp.HCM u thi u ch u, t n c th hn ch c tnh trng u
xe bt hp l, ln chi m din t ch lu th ng ng, c bit l nhng con ng nh
hay n tc giao thng. Ngoi ra vi gin thp lp rp hin i, th m m to vn minh
th cho thnh ph.
Th ba, d n cng gp phn to nn phn phi cn bng gia lng xe lu th ng
v dng . V y l chng tr nh mang t nh li ch kinh t - x h i m UBND
Tp.HCM ang rt cn ngi u t. D n hon thnh s lun to i u kin d dng
cho vic ra v o i u. T l phn phi xe gip ci thin m i trng ng p ngt
thnh th, cn bng t l chi m ch ca c c xe t
cng c ng.
Th t, d n hon thnh mang li yn tm v ch u xe nh , an to n, hin ai,
ng tin c y cho ngi c nhu cu xe, c th phc v cho mi xe i 7 ch, t xe
thng n nhng siu xe hin i. Phc v nhi u thnh phn khch hng kh tnh.
17
Th nm, ngo i
ngha l
V Chng 5: PH N T CH TI CH NH C
5.1 Kinh ph
5.1.1 L h
ng i
n ph
x y ng
i:
n mang tnh x
chi
php
min
ti n
thu
lm
bi
gi
xe
(Ngun:
N
h(
n v:triu ng
3
4 N
130
130
130
130
130
130
in
60
60
60
60
60
5.1.3 Q y
x y ng
h ng
ng
nh:
Quy m :
Ton b din tch lp dng gin thp ca i xe l 130 m2
Gara 5 tng, gm nhi u tng, lng xe ch a c da vo din t ch i
Gin thp ghp t ng c th t va din tch m t bng nh hp ti thiu l
30m2/ lock, gi n ng c 8 v tr ch a c t loi i 7 ch ngi, ng thi c
th m r ng n 12 v tr. Mi m t v tr c chi u
di l 5m2, r ng 2m2, ti trng i 2 tn. C cu
hot ng ca gi n ng quay vng
Nh v y, vi vic thc hin trong phm vi
1000m, cao 5 tng (10,5m). i n thp c tnh c
khong 4 block, gm 3 block xe 4 ch v 1 block
xe 7 ch xe, trong c mi lock xe c th
ch a khong 8 xe. Nh v y i xe s c s c
ch a khong 30 xe i 7 ch.
19
20
21
.
5.1.4 Phng h
x y ng, p
h yn gi o
ng ngh:
22
5.2
T h
nx
inh o nh:
in:
S c ch a 30 xe m t lc
Bng cng sut c th nh sau:
Bng 2: Bng cng sut d kin
BN N I THEO I
S gi
S ti n
T l ngi gi(%)
S ti n nh qun theo gi
1
15000
15
15,000
2
28000
38
14,000
3
40000
37
13,333
4
51000
5
12,750
trn gi (>4h)
100000
10,000
5
Gi bnh qun
13,500
BN CN SUT N Y(t nh theo ng y14h)
Nm 1
Nm 2- 10
C ng sut theo thi gian
75
85
C ng sut theo s ch
80
90
T ng c ng sut (theo nm)
91,980
117,275
BN CN SUT BAN M (t nh theo th ng)
Nm 1
Nm 2-10
T l gi xe
75
85
T ng c ng sut( theo nm)
270
306
5.2.1.2 Gi
n ph
V lt
15.000 ng/1 gi
V gi m
1.000.000 ng / thng
Ch :
Phn thi gian gi t hn 1 gi vn tnh l m t gi.
Khng phn bit loi xe.
23
5.2.2 Chi ph :
5.2.2.1 Nh n
o ng:
Chi ph nhn cng : 2 nhn vin v n hnh , 1 nhn vin bo tr, 5 nhn vin bo
v, 1 k ton, 1 qun l.
Ti n lng nhn vin v n hnh 5 triu ng/ thng.
Ti n lng nhn vin o tr l 4,5 triu/ thng.
Ti n lng o v 4.5 triu/thng.
Ti n lng k ton 5 triu/ thng.
Ti n lng qun l 5.5 triu/ thng.
Nhn vin v n hnh v bo v lm vic theo ca, ng y v m v lun phin nhau.
T ng chi ph nhn cng l 47,5 triu ng/ thng.
5.2.2.2 Chi ph
n h nh:
Ti n in dng cho vic chi u sng v v n hnh h thng c tnh 4.5tr/ thng.
5.2.2.3 Chi ph
5.3 Tng nh
ng n n:
25
i h nh
Nm 0
4.305
4.305
Nm 1 Nm 2
4.305
3.229
1.076
807
1.076
1.883
3.229
2.422
Nm 3
2.422
605
2.489
1.816
Nm 4
1.816
454
2.943
1.362
Nm 5
1.362
341
3.283
1022
Bng 4: Lch tr n
Ch tiu
Vn u t
Vn vay
N u k
Tr n
Vn
Li
N cui k
Nm 0
4.305
3.013
3.013
3.013
Nm 1
Nm 2
3.013
376
301
75
2.712
2.712
369
301
68
2.410
Nm 3
2.410
361
301
60
2.109
Nm 4
2.109
354
301
53
1808
Nm 5
1808
346
301
45
1507
26
Doanh thu:
Bng 5: Doanh thu
Ch tiu
C ng sut
ban ngy
Gi bn
Cng sut
an m
Gi bn
Doanh thu
Nm 1
91.980
13.500
Nm 2
Nm 3
117.275
13.500
117.275
13.500
n v: ng
Nm 4
Nm 5
117.275
13.500
117.275
13.500
270
306
306
306
306
1.000.000
1.000.000
1.000.000
1.000.000
1.000.000
1.511.730.000 1.889.205.750 1.889.205.750 1.889.205.750 1.889.205.750
Tn qu tin mt:
Bng 6: Tn qu tin mt
n v: triu ng
Ch tiu
Nm 1
Nm 2
Nm 3
Nm 4
Nm 5
Doanh thu
1.511,73 1.889,20575 1.889,20575 1.889,20575 1.889,20575
Nhu cu ti n m t
30,2346
37,784115
37,784115
37,784115
37,784115
Nhu cu ti n m t 30,2346
7,549515
0
0
0
Ngn lu
0
30,2346
37,784115
37,784115
37,784115
Bo co kt qu hot ng kinh doanh:
Bng 7: Bo co kt qu hot ng kinh doanh
Ch tiu
Doanh thu
Chi ph hot ng
Thu t
Bo him
T ng chi ph
hu hao
EBIT
Li vay
EBT
Thu (25%)
Li rng
n v: triu ng
Nm 1
Nm 2
Nm 3
Nm 4
Nm 5
1.511,73 1.889,20575 1.889,20575 1.889,20575 1.889,20575
660
660
660
660
660
60
60
60
60
60
92,5704
92,5704
92,5704
92,5704
92,5704
812,5704
812,5704
812,5704
812,5704
812,5704
1.076,25
807,1875 605,390625 454,042969 340,532227
-377,0904
269,44785 471,244725 622,592381 736,103123
75
60
45
30
15
-452,0904
209,44785 426,244725 592,592381 721,103123
0
52,361963
106,561181 148,148095 180,275781
-452,0904 157,085888
319,683544 444,444286 540,827343
27
Bo co ngn lu:
Bng 8: Bo co ngn lu
Ch tiu
Doanh thu
Thay i khon phi
thu
Thanh l t i sn
D ng ngn lu v o
Chi ph u t
Chi ph hot ng
Thay i khon phi
tr
Thay i qu ti n m t
Thu
D ng ngn lu ra
Net Cash Flow
Nm 0 Nm 1
Nm 2
0 1.511,73 1.889,206
0
Nm 3
Nm 4
Nm 5
1.889,206 1.889,206 1.889,206
0 1.511,73 1.889,206
4.305
812,57
812,57
4.305
-4.305
n v: triu ng
0
0
30,235
7,55
0
52,362
842,805
872,482
668,925 1.016,724
812,57
812,57
0
0
106,561
919,132
970,074
0
0
148,148
960,718
928,487
0
0
180,276
992,846
896,36
1.016,724
970,074
4.305
28
928,487
896,36
202,784
11
NPV:
NPV = [ 668,925*(1 + 9,25%)-1 + 1.016,724*(1 + 9,25%)-2
+970,074*(1 + 9,25%)-3 + 928,487*(1 + 9,25%)-4 + 896,36*(1 + 9,25%)-5
+ + 202,784*(1 + 9,25%)-11] 4.305 = 1.350,049348 triu ng.
D n c NPV >0 nn quy t nh u t
IRR:
Vi i1 = 15%
NPV1 = [ 668,925*(1 + 15%)-1 + 1.016,724*(1 + 15%)-2
+970,074*(1 + 15%)-3 + 928,487*(1 + 15%)-4 + 896,36*(1 + 15%)-5
+ + 202,784*(1 + 15%)-11] 4.305 = 142,116324 triu ng.
Vi i2= 17%
NPV2 = [ 668,925*(1 + 17%)-1 + 1.016,724*(1 + 17%)-2
+970,074*(1 + 17%)-3 + 928,487*(1 + 17%)-4 + 896,36*(1 + 17%)-5
+ + 202,784*(1 + 17%)-11] 4.305 = -184,577975 triu ng.
IRR= 15% + (17% - 15%)*142.116.324/ (142.116.324 + -184.577.975) = 0,16
=> 16%
Ta thy IRR ca d n = 16% ln hn li sut chi t khu (9,25%) => nn u t
vo d n.
29
DPP:
Bng 9: Thi gian hon vn
Mc
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
S ti n
H s chi t khu (1+i)
-4.305.000.000
0
618.755.625
0,941
940.469.582
0,886
897.318.606
0,834
858.850.711
0,785
829.132.601
0,739
809.445.582
0,654
794.680.318
0,616
794.680.318
0,579
794.680.319
0,545
794.680.319
0,513
T = 6 + 324.826.79/489.523.076 = 6,66 nm
30
P
-4.305.000.000
582.249.043
833.256.050
748.363.717
674.197.808
612.728.992
529.377.411
489.523.076
460.119.904
433.100.774
407.671.004
n v: ng
P tch ly
-4.305.000.000
-3.722.750.957
-2.889.494.907
-2.141.131.190
-1.466.933.382
-854.204.389
-324.826.979
164.696.097
624.816.002
1.057.916.775
1.465.587.779
6.1 nh gi
nh h thi:
Bng 10: Bng tng hp cc ch tiu ti chnh
Ch tiu
L m pht 7,5%
NPV
1.350.049.348
IRR
16%
6,66 nm
Tn CV
Th i gi n ( h ng)
T nh
L p n
Bt u ngay
12
Sau A
Tr nh n cho s
hoch u t
u thu c ng tr nh n.
Sau B
Xy ng lp t n.
Sau C
0.5
Sau C
Khnh thnh
0.5
Sau D,E
31
I G NTT
Thng
Cng vic
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L p d n (A)
Trnh d n cho s
K hoch u t (B)
u thu cng trnh
d n.(C)
Xy dng lp t d
n.(D)
Tuyn nhn vin
cho d n.(E)
Khnh thnh d
n.(F)
32
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
P RT
2
14
C
14
15
15
21
6
D
21
0
0
3
0.5
0.5
21.5
12
21.5
2
3
2
3
15.5
15.5
NH N X T: Da vo s Gantt trn, ta thy t ng thi gian thc hin d n l 21.5 thng, cng vic E c tr hn, thi gian tr hn l
5.5 thng. Cc cng vic A, B,C,D v F l nhng cng vic quan trng v kh ng c tr hn.
33
VII
Chng 7 KT LUN
Ti liu tham kh o:
Slide bi ging Qun tr d n u t Th.s Lm Tng Thoi
Sch Qun tr d n u t TS. Nguyn Xun Thy, Th.s Trn Vit Hoa,
Th.s Nguyn Vit nh
www.thesaigontimes.vn
www.mt.gov.vn
www.hochiminhcity.gov.vn
www.dpi.hochiminhcity.gov.vn
34