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Assumption 1
Without changing capital structure (Constant)
beta(debt) = 0
beta(asset) = (E/E+D)beta(equity)
Company
D&B Shoe Company
Marina Wilderness
General Shoe Corp.
Kinsley Coulter Products
Victory Athletic
Surfside Footwear
Alpine Company
Heartland Outdoor Footware
Templeton Athletic
Average
Equity
Market Value
420,098
1,205,795
533,463
165,560
35,303,250
570,684
1,056,033
1,454,875
397,709
Net
Debt (1)
125,442
(91,559)
171,835
82,236
7,653,207
195,540
300,550
(97,018)
169,579
D/E
29.9%
-7.6%
32.2%
49.7%
21.7%
34.3%
28.5%
-6.7%
42.6%
24.9%
Equity
Beta
2.68
1.94
1.92
1.12
0.97
2.13
1.27
1.01
0.98
Assumption 2
With changing capital structure
beta(debt) = 0
Company
D&B Shoe Company
Marina Wilderness
General Shoe Corp.
Kinsley Coulter Products
Victory Athletic
Surfside Footwear
Alpine Company
Heartland Outdoor Footware
Templeton Athletic
Average
Equity
Market Value
420,098
1,205,795
533,463
165,560
35,303,250
570,684
1,056,033
1,454,875
397,709
Net
Debt (1)
125,442
(91,559)
171,835
82,236
7,653,207
195,540
300,550
(97,018)
169,579
D/E
29.9%
-7.6%
32.2%
49.7%
21.7%
34.3%
28.5%
-6.7%
42.6%
24.9%
Equity
Beta
2.68
1.94
1.92
1.12
0.97
2.13
1.27
1.01
0.98
Note
Constant capital structure (Assumption 1) was used based on Liedtkes choice of a WACC based on a 20% D/V ratio
Hence
beta (asset)=1.28
Unlevered
Relevering
CAPM
Re = Rf + beta (equity) * EMRF
Rf
EMRF
beta (equity)
Re
4.93
5
1.6
12.93
WACC
D/V
E/V
D/E
Equity Beta
Asset Beta
COE
COD
tax
20%
80%
25%
1.6
1.28
12.93%
6%
40%
WACC
11.0640%
1.6
Levered
E/V
77.0060
108.2172
75.6365
66.8130
82.1838
74.4800
77.8451
107.1449
70.1070
Asset
Beta
2.06
2.10
1.45
0.75
0.80
1.59
0.99
1.08
0.69
1.28
Value(V)
495,363.31
1,150,859.99
636,563.72
214,901.13
39,895,173.95
688,008.46
1,236,363.33
1,396,664.34
499,456.41
E/V
0.8481
1.0477
0.8380
0.7704
0.8849
0.8295
0.8541
1.0417
0.7963
Asset
Beta
2.27
2.03
1.61
0.86
0.86
1.77
1.08
1.05
0.78
1.37
V=(E+ net_Debt(1-t))
2007
Consolidated Revenue
Less: Operating Expenses
Less: Corporate Overhead
Consolidated Operating Income (EBIT)
Less Tax@40%
EBIT(1-T)
Less: Estimated Change in Working Capital
Less: Estimated Capital Expenditures
Add: Estimated Depreciation
FCFF
2008
2009
2010
2011
479329.1 489028.1
532137 570319.2 597716.8
423836.3 427333.4 465110.1 498534.7
522522
8487.061 8658.794 9422.085 10098.14 10583.25
47006
53036
57605
61686
64612
18802.3 21214.39 23041.92 24674.53 25844.64
28203
31822
34563
37012
38767
4,567
2,649
9,805
8,687
6,233
11,983
12,226
13,303
14,258
14,943
9,587
9,781
10,643
11,406
11,954
21240
26727
22097
25473
29545
2006
10,676
45,910
73,149
10,172
32,618
43,853
43,051
11,162
Liabilities
Accounts Payable
Accrued Expenses
16,981
18,810
Deferred Taxes
Pension Obligation
11,654
9,080
Working Capital
Change in WC
2006
104,117
2007
4,161
47,888
83,770
14,474
2008
4,195
48,857
85,465
14,767
2009
4,566
53,164
92,999
16,069
2010
4,894
56,978
99,672
17,222
2011
5,130
59,715
104,460
18,049
35,015
0
43,051
11,162
37,460
0
43,051
11,162
40,120
0
43,051
11,162
42,972
0
43,051
11,162
45,961
0
43,051
11,162
18,830
22,778
18,985
22,966
20,664
24,996
22,149
26,792
23,214
28,081
11,654
9,080
11,654
9,080
11,654
9,080
11,654
9,080
11,654
9,080
2007
108,684
4,567
2008
111,333
2,649
2009
121,138
9,805
2010
129,826
8,687
2011
136,059
6,233
RIR=Rinvestment Rate
ROC = EBIT(1-T)/(E+D)
RIR = Change in WC + Change in Capex - Depreciation
We have to calculate the Long term growth rate starting from 2011
EBIT(1-T)
Invested Capital
ROC
2011
38767
331381
11.7%
Net Reinvestment
EBIT(1-T)
9,222
38767
RIR
23.8%
2.7829%
WACC
Growth Rate
11.0640%
2.7829%
1
2007
2
2008
Consolidated Revenue
Less: Operating Expenses
Less: Corporate Overhead
Consolidated Operating Income (EBIT)
479329.1 489028.1
423836.3 427333.4
8487.061 8658.794
47006
53036
Less Tax@40%
EBIT(1-T)
Less: Estimated Change in Working Capital
Less: Estimated Capital Expenditures
Add: Estimated Depreciation
FCFF
PVIF
PV of FCFF
Terminal Value
SUM of PV if FCFF
PV (Terminal Value)
18802.3 21214.39
28203
31822
4,567
2,649
11,983
12,226
9,587
9,781
21240
26727
0.90038 0.81069
19123.97 21667.48
91145.1
216994.8
308139.9
10,676
318,816
3
2009
4
2010
5
2011
Sensitivity Analysis
0%
360978
287871
259839
239334
8%
10%
WACC
11.06%
12%
Key Takeaways
There is a lot of various within the small range of
Growth Rate and WACC.