05.12.13. . .

1895

The article has entered in publishing office 05.12.13 . Ed. reg. No. 1895

303.433.2;621.3.037.73

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, , 61002, . , .40
/: (057) 7000250, tgvtver@gmail.com
: 15.12.13

: 20.12.13

: 25.12.13

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PRINCIPLES OF FORMING STRATEGIC SCENARIO

FOR THE FUTURE ALTERNATIVE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
I.R. Shchekin
Kharkiv National University of Construction and Architect
Sumskaya St. 40, Kharkov, 61002, Ukraine
Tel/Fax: (057) 7000250, tgvtver@gmail.com
Referred: 15.12.13

Expertise: 20.12.13

Accepted: 25.12.13

Objective trends and patterns are reviewed in order to build strategic scenarios for the future development of the technology,
for example, technical devices and alternative energy systems. The article summarizes the basics of the strategic scenario: the
objectives of the aim function and the relevant factors, determination of the limiton the improvement ("ideal") of technical devices
with a reasonable servicelife, taking into account the principle of compliance of the new developments to the achieved scientifictechnical and industrial potential of society, conformity with the world technical standards.
Keywords: trends, regularities, objective function, the ideal, life cycle, the correspondence principle, the global technical level.

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International Scientific Journal for Alternative Energy and Ecology 17 (139) 2013
Scientific Technical Centre TATA, 2013

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17 (139) 2013
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Fig. 2.The objectives differentiation in accordance
with the importance of the realisation factors

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International Scientific Journal for Alternative Energy and Ecology 17 (139) 2013
Scientific Technical Centre TATA, 2013

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118

International Scientific Journal for Alternative Energy and Ecology 17 (139) 2013
Scientific Technical Centre TATA, 2013

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17 (139) 2013
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Fig. 7. The change in the ideal notion of the low pressure radial
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International Scientific Journal for Alternative Energy and Ecology 17 (139) 2013
Scientific Technical Centre TATA, 2013

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the technological systems: an improvement of the attained
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higher indicators of the performance (1-1); b decline
(maximum) in the level of the development and the precipitation
of the crisis situation (1-1)

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17 (139) 2013
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International Scientific Journal for Alternative Energy and Ecology 17 (139) 2013
Scientific Technical Centre TATA, 2013

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