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winters

dia

DATOS

PRONOSTICOS

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

demanda
pronostico
dapm
80
80.2927388
0.365923504
95
94.3890844
0.643069102
120
111.828732
6.809389688
110
97.1830058
11.65181291
75
75.4048431
0.539790796
60
60.8101008
1.350167932
50
48.6258514
2.748297125
85
80.2927388
5.537954349
99
94.3890844
4.657490552
110
111.828732
1.662483977
90
97.1830058
7.98111755
80
75.4048431
5.743946129
65
60.8101008
6.445998832
50
48.6258514
2.748297125
80.2927388
4.206124255
94.6487842
112.445796
97.9896052
76.2416182
61.6559671
49.4397764

demanda
140
120
100
80
60
40
20

0
0

10

v1
v2

84.2857143
82.7142857

S0
G0

82.0408163
-0.2244898
indices
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

demanda

15

c-6
c-5
c-4
c-3
c-2
c-1
c-0
c-6
c-5
c-4
c-3
c-2
c-1
c-0

0.94162863
1.12114644
1.41994687
1.30508475
0.89220685
0.71567673
0.59799854
1.01933431
1.19042945
1.32627953
1.0880829
0.96981692
0.79012652
0.60945274

0.98048147
1.15578794
1.3731132
1.19658382
0.93101188
0.75290162
0.60372564
6.99360558

0.98137795
1.15684471
1.37436867
1.19767789
0.93186313
0.75359002
0.60427764
7

5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

dia
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

demanda
pm(7)
pmc
factor
corregido
80
84.9642857 0.94157209 0.99134597
95
84.9642857 1.11811686 1.16009919
120
84.9642857 1.41235813 1.37111862
110
84.6428571 1.29957806 1.19500755
75
85.2857143 0.87939698 0.92433718
60
84.8571429 0.70707071 0.74730428
50
82.7142857
0.6044905 0.60514443
85
84.2857143 81.6428571 1.04111986 6.99435722
99
85 82.3571429 1.20208153
110
85.5714286 82.7142857
1.3298791
90
84.1428571 82.5357143 1.09043704
80
81.2857143 82.5357143 0.96927737
65
82 82.5357143 0.78753786
50
82.7142857 82.5357143 0.60579836
82.2677338 82.7142857
96.1924558
113.595786
98.9233587
76.453846
61.7599313
49.9699009

0.99214575
1.16103511
1.37222478
1.19597164
0.9250829
0.74790718
0.60563264

83.5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

80
95
120
110
75
60
50
85
99
110
90
80
65
50

0.95808383
1.13772455
1.43712575
1.31736527
0.89820359
0.71856287
0.5988024
1.01796407
1.18562874
1.31736527
1.07784431
0.95808383
0.77844311
0.5988024
82.5
97
115
100
77.5
62.5
50

0.98802395
1.16167665
1.37724551
1.19760479
0.92814371
0.74850299
0.5988024
7

100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0

demanda
desestacionalizada dapm
80.63331387 0.79164234
81.82353732 13.8699607
87.4492295 27.1256421
91.97542545 16.3859769
81.07381542 8.09842056
80.2238587 33.7064312
82.55829868 65.1165974
85.67289599
85.26873889
80.16179371
75.25262082
86.47873645
86.90918025
82.55829868
82.919
82.8506
82.7822
82.7138
82.6454
82.577
82.5086

0.79164234
13.8699607
27.1256421
16.3859769
8.09842056
33.7064312
65.1165974
23.584953

Chart Title

84.2969553
98.6465192
116.590099
101.230456
78.8963556
63.4652665
50.0944708
81.0016141
95.6195348
113.502593
98.7103732
76.3523776
61.7290534
49.9863222

dapm
5.37119416
3.83844124
2.84158454
7.97231246
5.1951408
5.77544416
0.18894168
4.70398345
3.41461134
3.18417526
9.67819245
4.55952796
5.03222554
0.02735569
4.41308077

y = -0.0684x + 83.945
R = 0.0048

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