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    This document summarizes an experiment comparing two strategies for a card game where cards have matching or opposing symbols on each side. Strategy 1 predicts the opposite side will show a different symbol, while Strategy 2 always predicts an X. Experimental trials found Strategy 2 correct 52.5% of times vs 30% for Strategy 1. Theoretically, Strategy 1 should be right 33.3% and Strategy 2 50% of times. Both experimental and theoretical results show Strategy 2 of always guessing X has a better chance of success.

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    powwhatsonback

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    This document summarizes an experiment comparing two strategies for a card game where cards have matching or opposing symbols on each side. Strategy 1 predicts the opposite side will show a different symbol, while Strategy 2 always predicts an X. Experimental trials found Strategy 2 correct 52.5% of times vs 30% for Strategy 1. Theoretically, Strategy 1 should be right 33.3% and Strategy 2 50% of times. Both experimental and theoretical results show Strategy 2 of always guessing X has a better chance of success.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Скачайте в формате PDF, TXT или читайте онлайн в Scribd
    Отметить как неприемлемый контент
    18 просмотров3 страницы

    Powwhatsonback

    Загружено:

    api-266996279
    This document summarizes an experiment comparing two strategies for a card game where cards have matching or opposing symbols on each side. Strategy 1 predicts the opposite side will show a different symbol, while Strategy 2 always predicts an X. Experimental trials found Strategy 2 correct 52.5% of times vs 30% for Strategy 1. Theoretically, Strategy 1 should be right 33.3% and Strategy 2 50% of times. Both experimental and theoretical results show Strategy 2 of always guessing X has a better chance of success.

    Авторское право:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Скачайте в формате PDF, TXT или читайте онлайн в Scribd
    Отметить как неприемлемый контент
    из 3

    POW:WhatsonBack

    RachelEdwards

    1.ProblemStatement
    Thisproblemisbasedoffofacardgame.Thecardgameinvolvesthreedifferentcards:onewithanXon
    bothsides,onewithanOonbothsides,andonewithanXononesideandanOontheother.Forthe
    gameyouplaceallthecardsinabagandthendrawonecard.Onlylookatonesideofthecard(youcant
    lookattheoppositeside).YourgoalistopredictiftheoppositesideofthecardhasanXoranO.Two
    possiblestrategiesofthisgameare:
    Predicttheothersidewillshowadifferentmarkthanyouarelookingat.
    AlwayspredictthattheothersideofthecardwillbeshowinganX.
    Trytofindtheprobabilityofsuccessforeachofthesestrategies.Also,findwhichofthesestrategieswill
    haveabetterchanceofbeingsuccessful.Conductanexperimentaltrialandtrytogetanexperimental
    estimateoftheprobability.Repeatthegamemultipletimesusingeitherstrategyandrecordthesuccess.
    Also,makeatheoreticalmodeltofindthesuccessofthestrategies.Whichstrategyisthebest?

    2.Process
    ExperimentalEstimates:
    Ibeganbyrunningtheexperimentofthetwostrategies.Herearetheresultsofusingstrategy1:

    PulledSide

    Prediction

    Correct(Y,N)

    PulledSide

    Prediction

    Correct(Y,N)

    Herearetheresultsofusingstrategy2:

    PulledSide

    Prediction

    Correct(Y,N)

    PulledSide

    Prediction

    Correct(Y,N)

    TheoreticalModel:
    Strategy1Ifoundthatforthisstrategyonlyoneofthecardswillhavetheoppositesignontheopposite
    sidethatyoupull.Thisisbecausetheothertwocardswillshowthesamesignontheoppositeside.

    Strategy2ForthisstrategyIsawthatifyoupulloutanOtheresachanceoftheothersidebeinganXor
    anO.OrifyoupulloutatXtheresstillanevenchanceoftheothersidebeinganXoranO.

    3.Results
    ExperimentalEstimates:
    Forstrategy1,theexperimentalprobabilityofsuccesswas12timesoutofmy40experiments.Whichisa
    successrateof30%.
    Forstrategy2,theexperimentalprobabilityofsuccesswas21timesoutofmy40experiments.Whichisa
    successrateof52.5%.

    TheoreticalResults:
    Forstrategy1,thetheoreticalprobabilityofsuccessis1outof3pulls.Whichisasuccessrateof33.3%.
    Forstrategy2,thetheoreticalprobabilityofsuccessis2outof4pulls.Whichisasuccessrateof50%.

    Overall,theresultsoftheexperimentalandthetheoreticalarealmostthesame.Thishelpsmeconcludethat
    strategy1wouldbethemoresuccessfulchoiceofthetwogivenoptions.

    4.SelfAssessment
    Ibelievethatthisproblem/experimentwasverysuccessfulintermsofcomingtoastrongconclusion.My
    workinthisproblemdeservesa9.5/10inmyopinion.Iwasabletofullyunderstandthisproblemand
    performmyownprocesstosolveit.TheoneHabitofaMathematicianthatcamethroughinthisproblem
    was:StayingOrganized.Ichosethisoneduetohavingtoorganizeallthedataandexperiments.Ialsohad
    toorganizedifferentcomponentsofthisproblemintoonethought.

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