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OBIN
OffGridBusinessIndicator
2014

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World

OBIN
GlobalOffGridBusinessIndicator

World

Copyright2014byStiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

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sionofthecopyrightholder(s).

StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation
Weberstrasse10,79249Merzhausen,Germany
Contact:mail@stiftungsolarenergie.org
Web:www.stiftungsolarenergie.org

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

Introduction
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Stiftung Solarenergie Solar Energy Foundation has analyzed overall 66 countries for the OffGrid
Business Indicator (OBIN) regarding their potential for offgrid business. Detailed information for
eachcountryisgiveninthethreeeditions,publishedinMarch2014:
OBINAfrica
OBINSouth(East)Asia
OBINAmerica
Thefulldocumentscanbedownloadedat:http://sunconnect.org/obin/

Theedition"OBINWorld"summarizestheresultsofthethreesingleeditionstooneglobalperspec
tive.Theinformationclaimnottobeexhaustiveorofscientificaccuracy.Thisisnotpossiblebecause
oftheimprecisionandinhomogeneityofthesourcesofinformation.
However,OBINisareliableandrealisticindicatorforthepotentialandthegeneralconditionsofthe
offgrid market worldwide. OBIN is especially able to demonstrate the great economic potential of
thissofarlargelyuntappedmarket

StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation
April2014

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

Executive Summary
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1.

1.2billionpeopleinthesurveyed66countriesdonothaveaccesstoreliablepowersupply,with
49%livingrespectivelyinAfricaandAsiaand2%inAmerica.
ThesurveyedcountriesinAsia(70.7%)andAmerica(75.9%)areconsiderablyhigherelectrified
thanthoseinAfrica(21.8%).
Duetothelargerpopulation,theabsolutenumberofpeoplewithoutaccesstopowersupplyin
AfricancountriesishoweveralmostthesameasinAsia(Africa598.7mill.;Asia593.0mill.).

2.

The worldwide market potential alone for the replacement of kerosene lamps by simple solar
lanternsisUSD18.8billion.
ThetotalmarketpotentialforthebasicsupplyofoffgridhouseholdswithlightisUSD136bil
lion.
ThepotentialoftheoffgridmarketinAfricaandAsiaisalmostequal(AfricaUSD68.6billion;
AsiaUSD64.85billion),althoughAfricaattractsasignificantgreaterattentioninthepublicper
ception.

3.

TheworldstopfiveoffgridmarketsareIndia,Bangladesh,Nigeria,EthiopiaandIndonesia,fol
lowedbyDRCongo,Pakistan,Tanzania,KenyaandUganda.

4.

TheBusinessEnvironmentin40%ofAfricancountriesand31%ofAsiancountriesisbelowaver
ageorevenunacceptable.

5.

ThemostproblematicfactorforbusinessinAfricaisthe"accesstofinance",closelyfollowedby
"corruption".TheratioinAsiaandAmericaisdifferent:"corruption"isherethemostproblem
aticfactorforbusinesswhile"accesstofinance"isrankedonthirdposition.

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

Countries

Afghanistan

Lesotho

Angola

Liberia

Bangladesh

Madagascar

Benin

Malawi

Bhutan

Mali

Bolivia

Mauritania

Botswana

Mongolia

BurkinaFaso

Mozambique

Burundi

Myanmar

Cambodia

Namibia

Cameroon

Nepal

CentralAfricanRepublic

Nicaragua

Chad

Niger

Congo,DR

Nigeria

Congo,Rep.

Pakistan

Coted'Ivoire

Panama

Djibouti

PapuaNewGuinea

EquatorialGuinea

Peru

Eritrea

Philippines

Ethiopia

Rwanda

Gabon

Senegal

Gambia

SierraLeone

Ghana

Somalia

Guatemala

SouthAfica

Guinea

SriLanka

GuineaBissau

Sudan/SouthSudan

Guyana

Swaziland

Haiti

Tanzania

Honduras

TimorLeste

India

Togo

Indonesia

Uganda

Kenya

Zambia

LaoPDR

Zimbabwe

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

Populationtotal:2,965.2mill.

3%
29%

Africa:862.2mill.
Asia:2,021.4mill.
America:81.6mill.

68%

RuralPopulation:1,923.8mill.

2%
29%

Africa:552.4mill.
Asia:1,341.4mill.
America:30.0mill.

69%

PopulationOffGrid:1,211.4mill.

2%

Africa:598.7mill.
49%

49%

Asia:593.0mill.
America:19.7mill.

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

PopulationOnGrid/OffGrid

Africa
9%
22%

OnGrid:187.9mill.
OffGrid:598.7mill.
OnGridunderserviced:75.6mill.

69%

Asia
29%

OnGrid:1,428.4
mill.
OffGrid:593.0mill.

71%

America
24%

OnGrid:61.9mill

OffGrid:19.7mill.

76%

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

HouseholdsOffGrid+OnGridunderserviced:271.9mill.

2%

Africa:137.2mill.
50%

48%

Asia:129.7mill.
America:5.0mill.

Kerosenelamps(glasscover,simplewick):627.7mill.

2%

Africa:306.8mill.
49%
49%

Asia:308.8mill.
America:12.1mill.

Mobilecellularsubscriptions:2,179.5mill.

4%
25%

Africa:536.8mill.
Asia:1,556.7mill.
America:86.0mill.

71%

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

MarketPotential:Electrificationhouseholds:US$136bill.

2%

Africa:68,600mill.
50%

48%

Asia:64,850mill.
America:2,520mill.

MarketPotential:Replacementkerosenelamps:US$18.8bill.

2%

Africa:9,204mill.
49%
49%

Asia:9,264mill.
America:363mill.

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

The20biggestmarkets

India
293
88

Bangladesh

78,3

Nigeria

68,8

Ethiopia

Indonesia

63

Congo,DR

58,6

56

Pakistan

38,6

Tanzania

Kenya

34

Uganda

30,4

27,9

Sudan/SouthSudan

26

Myanmar

Afghanistan

22

Mozambique

20,7

Madagascar

Philippines

16,8

16

Niger

14,1

BurkinaFaso

14,1

Angola

14,1

Malawi

13,6

2014OBINWorld

OffGridpopulation(mill.)

AfricaAsia

10

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

BusinessEnvironment

(Countriesinalphabeticorder)
Outstanding

Aboveaverage

Africa

Botswana
SouthAfrica

Asia

Panama
Peru

Belowaverage

Benin
BurkinaFaso
Cameroon
Coted'Ivoire
Gabon
Ghana
Kenya
Lesotho
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mozambique
Namibia
Niger
Nigeria
Rwanda
Senegal
Swaziland
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia

Congo,DR

Burundi

Eritrea

CentralAfrican
Republic
Chad
Congo,Rep.
Ethiopia
Gambia
Guinea
Liberia
Mauritania
SierraLeone
Togo
Zimbabwe

LaoPDR

Myanmar

Nepal
TimorLeste

Bolivia
Guatemala
Guyana
Honduras
Nicaragua

Unacceptable

Angola

Bangladesh
Bhutan
Cambodia
India
Indonesia
Pakistan
PapuaNewGuinea
Philippines
SriLanka

America

Average

Haiti

Novaluationduetolackofinformation:Afghanistan,Djibouti,EquatorialGuinea,GuineaBissau,Somalia,SouthSudan,Sudan

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

11

Themostproblematicfactorsforbusiness

Africa
Accesstofinancing

29

Corruption

22

Inadequatesupplyofinfrastructure

13
0

10

15

20

25

30

35

NumberofCountries

Asia
Corruption

10

Inefficientgovernmentbureaucracy

Accesstofinancing

7
0

10

NumberofCountries

America
Corruption

Inefficientgovernmentbureaucracy

Accesstofinancing

2
0

5
NumberofCountries

Sourceofcountrydata:WorldEconomicForum,TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport20132014,Geneva2013.

12

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

10

Sources

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- Stiftung Solarenergie Solar Energy Foundation, OBIN. OffGrid Business Indicator Africa,
Merzhausen2014.
- Stiftung Solarenergie Solar Energy Foundation, OBIN. OffGrid Business Indicator South(East)
Asia,Merzhausen2014.
- Stiftung Solarenergie Solar Energy Foundation, OBIN. OffGrid Business Indicator America,
Merzhausen2014.

Download:www.sunconnect.org

2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation

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OBIN

OffGridBusinessIndicator
2014

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2014,StiftungSolarenergieSolarEnergyFoundation