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From 2010 until mid-2014 world oil prices had been fairly stable at around
$110 a barrel. In June of 2014, the price of crude oil was at $115 per barrel. By
January 23, 2015 the price dropped to $49 per barrel. This drop in oil prices has had
a large impact on the global economy, with ramifications for every country in the
world.
The 2000s created a strong thirst for oil from the civil war in Libya. In
addition, Iraq was facing terrorist threats, and Iran oil exports were reduced as a
result of the United States and EU administering trade sanctions. Those conflicts
increased oil demands by over 3 million barrels per day. Rising oil consumption in
countries like China grew the demand for oil as well.
In response to the need for oil worldwide a boom in "unconventional" oil
production began. The growth of oil production in North America, particularly in the
United States was astonishing. The United States alone has added 4 million extra
barrels of crude oil per day to the global market since 2008, as oil production levels
were at their highest level in nearly 30 years. This growth in United States oil
production was accounted for by the United States and Canada drilling for new
crude in North Dakota's shale formations and Alberta's oil sands. The drilling efforts
were profitable because of the enormously high prices that spurred investors to
invest.
The price of oil had risen so much that the United States supported fuelefficient cars, causing gasoline consumption to plummet. At the same time
countries like Indonesia and Iran cut back on subsidies for fuel users, and the
demand for oil in Europe and Asia began tapering off, due to weakening economies
and more efficient modes of transportation. By mid-2014, world oil supply was on
track to increase much higher than the actual demand.
As prices began sliding, many observers waited to see whether OPEC, the
world's largest oil provider contributing to 40% of oil production, would reduce
production to stabilize prices. Many OPEC states, like Saudi Arabia and Iran, need
higher prices to balance their budgets. There was heated debate among OPEC
members in regards to what would be the best course of action in order to solve this
problem. Some countries, like Venezuela, Iran, and Saudi Arabia wanted the OPEC to
cut back on production in order to increase the price. Oil makes up a large portion of
these countries economy`s, playing a key role in the value of their currency and
profit they make. In the end, OPEC could not come to a consensus on what to do
which resulted in no course of action being taken.
The price then dropped from $80 per barrel to $70 per barrel in just a few
days. Afterwards, the price decreased again to $60 per barrel by mid-December and
$50 by January. This had varied effects in different countries.
Many Russians, worried that their savings may vanish, have been rushing out to buy
cars and washing machines, anything that has more lasting value than currency.
Iran, Venezuela, and many other smaller oil producers are having trouble
balancing their budgets, and most of their economies will decrease 1 3% in 2015 if
the price of oil does not stabilize.
Saudi Arabia is the world's largest oil exporter and OPEC's most influential member.
Saudi Arabia requires oil prices to be around $85 in the long term, but they have a
reserve fund of over $700 billion, so it can withstand lower prices for quite some
time. Saudi Aradia could support global oil prices by cutting back its own.
In the United States, the reduction in the price of oil will have both positive
and negative impacts. For many people, it will offer an economic boost of cheaper
oil and lower gasoline prices, with current prices being at $2.04 per gallon. On the
other hand, eight states including Texas and North Dakota will be badly affected and
are likely to see a drop in revenues and economic activity. The US Energy
Information Administration had expected that overall US oil production would have
grown another 700,000 barrels per day in 2015 before prices dropped. Shale
projects are especially vulnerable and risky when oil dips below $60 per barrel.
Fracking wells tend to deplete quickly, so expensive new wells have to be drilled
constantly. Many companies have responded quickly by scaling back on new drilling.
Already, firms are ceasing operations in places like the Texas' Permian Basin, and
the number of US rigs has already fallen by 15% from December to January. Like the
United States, Canada has postponed new oil projects because of the oil sands,
which make drilling very expensive.
Europe now has the opportunity to recover from the recession and is greatly
benefiting from the new price of oil. Economists predict that Europes economic
output will be substantially greater this year. China is set to become the largest net
importer of oil and will gain from falling prices. However, lower oil prices won't
completely offset the far wider effects of a slowing economy. Japan imports nearly
all of the oil it uses. Lower oil prices though have had many benefits as high energy
prices were helping to increase the rate of inflation a key part of Japanese Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe's growth strategy to combat deflation. India imports 75% of its
Works Cited
"Falling Oil Prices: Who Are the Winners and Losers?" Bbc.com. BBC News, n.d. Web.
29 Jan. 2015. http://www.bbc.com/news/business-29643612
Plumer, Brad. "Http://www.vox.com/2014/12/16/7401705/oil-prices-falling." Vox.com.
VOX, n.d. Web. 29 Jan. 2015. http://www.vox.com/2014/12/2/7319307/gas-pricesfalling
Gordon, Sarah. "Oil Price Fall Offers Far More Good than Bad for Europe." Ft.com.
N.p., n.d. Web. 29 Jan. 2015. http://www.ft.com
Sponsors:
Signatories:
Topic: The Decline in Oil Prices
The General Assembly,
Alarmed by, the dramatic decrease in the price of oil, negatively affecting
major world economies,
Concerned by, a lack of collaboration between countries to contribute to
mutual economic stability,
Further concerned, by OPEC countries Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia,
Venezuela, Qatar, Indonesia, Libya, the United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Nigeria,
Ecuador, Gabon, and Angola for their lack of action against the threat this
recessions poses on them,
Aware of, Russia, the United States, and Saudi Arabia being uninclined to
reduce their oil production,
Bearing in mind, that some countries are benefiting from the low price of
oil,
1.
2.
4.
5.
Developing nations do not have to follow the Kyoto Protocol. This means that
many of them are not lowering their emissions or doing anything to fight climate
change. Developing nations are urged to find ways and implement policies to
reduce emissions and become more efficient, especially since their populations are
increasing dramatically.
Overall
temperatures
to increase, this
are projected
results in the melting of ice, a rise in sea level, and an
Works Cited
-Brewster, Murray. "Federal Government Falling Further behind on Emissions
Reductions, Audit Finds." CBCnews. CBC/Radio Canada, 09 Oct. 2014. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
-"Carbon Calculator - Effects of CO2." Carbon Calculator - Effects of CO2. N.p., n.d.
Web. 30 Jan. 2015.
-"Climate Change Facts - Global Warming Problems and Solutions." Climate Change
Facts - Global Warming Problems and Solutions. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
-"Climate Change Solutions." Climate Change Solutions. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
-"Common Menu Bar Links." Action on Climate Change and Air Pollution. N.p., n.d.
Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
-"Developing Country Action to Reduce Global Warming Pollution: Copenhagen (part
3)." Grist. N.p., 04 Dec. 2009. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
-"Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Emissions." Government of Canada, Environment
Canada. N.p., n.d. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
Sponsors:
Signatories:
Topic: Reducing Carbon Emissions to Fight Climate Change
The General Assembly,
Concerned by, the projected increase in temperatures by 5 degrees Celsius
that possess a potential threat to safety worldwide,
Recognizing, the over 600,000 deaths worldwide as a result of the inaction
to reduce emissions,
Noting with deep concern, that climate change contributes to an increase
in the likelihood of natural disasters and their damage. These including Hurricane
Sandy in 2012, and the wildfires in the Sierra Nevada region of California in 2013
and the 2015 wildfires in Australia,
of
environmental
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Further reminds, that the committee, in case that a country does not
cooperate with UN emission goals, shall report back to this assembly with
proposals in which course of action shall be taken;
7.
A GMO (Genetically Modified Organism) is any organism whose DNA has been
modified through genetic engineering. GMO refers to plants and animals modified
through this method although not necessarily for consumption. This backgrounder
will refer specifically to GM foods, which are foods whose genetic sequence has
been altered to speed growth, increase size, etc. The first GM food created was the
Flavr Savr Tomato, which was approved by the FDA for consumption in 1994. This
led to the rise of very powerful multinational companies, the one most popularized
being Monsanto. Since then, GM varieties of food ranging from corn to canola have
been developed by Monsanto and farmed here in Canada. Cottonseed oil, papaya,
and even milk products are imported from the US all trademarked by Monsanto.
Most of the food we eat come from some sort of GMO or has been fed a GMO.
The European Food Safety Authority oversees the cultivation of GMOs within
the European Union. It has strict regulations only allowing a fraction of the GMOs
the FDA has approved. In addition countries such as France, Italy, Poland, and
Greece are considered to be GMO free and are against the cultivation of GMOs.
Unlike the US the EU recognizes that GMOs have the potential of having dangerous
long term effects. This happened after a report was released in 1999 detailing the
effects of a certain GMO on mice.
Works Cited
"The Genetically Modified Food You Eat Every Day." Co.Exist. N.p., 13 Nov.
2014. Web. 30 Jan. 2015.
"GMO Defined." GMO Awareness. N.p., 29 Apr. 2011. Web. 29 Jan. 2015.
"The Good, Bad and Ugly about GMOs - Natural Revolution." Natural
Revolution. N.p., n.d. Web. 27 Jan. 2015.
Lee, Jaeah. "CHARTS: World's GMO Crop Fields Could Cover the US 1.5 Times
Over." Mother Jones. N.p., 26 Feb. 2013. Web. 29 Jan. 2015.
"Maps of GMO-free Zones in Europe." Maps. N.p., n.d. Web. 30 Jan. 2015.
1.
2.
Supports, the development of GMO cultivating technologies in subSaharan African countries to combat hunger, a UN millennium development
goal.
3.
Requests, countries to facilitate the patenting of GMOs so that bioengineering companies can continue perfecting and ensuring the safety of
their products.
Member Countries
1. Canada
2. United States
3. China
4. Russia
5. India
6. France
7. United Kingdom
8. Germany
9. Saudi Arabia
10.Venezuela
11.South Africa
12.Japan
13.Mexico
14.Brazil
15.Colombia
16.Argentina
17.Italy
18.Sweden
19.Australia
20.South Korea