Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 6

1 2 1 2

1,,110004
E-mail:xuxinhe@ise.neu.edu.cn
2,,110004

E-mail: jixiangruyiwy@126.com

--

Analysis on the Achievement Milestones and Limitations of Game Theory


XU Xinhe1, WANG Yan2, LIU Jihong1, ZHANG Xuefeng2
1 Computer Game Group, Institute of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University,Shenyang 110004
E-mail: xuxinhe@ise.neu.edu.cn

2Institute of System Science, Northeastern University; Shenyang 110004, China


E-mail: jixiangruyiwy@126.com
Abstract: The game issues are more complicated and difficult to be solved than the control and decision-making problems, therefore they
are more challenging. Game Theory facing to the modeling and solution of various game issues has undergone over half a century of fast
development, and has obtained a series of achievement which can been regarded as milestones. So it has played a great improving role in the
development of economics and relevant fields. After introducing the main achievement of Game Theory, the essence and the basic model of
Game Theory are summarized, i.e. Rationality Prediction- Equilibrium. But when facing the complicated dynamic game systems, for
example, chess game, it is hard to solve the move problem by the current Game Theory. It seems that some limitations of Game Theory are
showed. Therefore, the Game Theory and Computer Game should be combined so that we can overcome some limitations, improve the
extension of the theory, and create a new situation for the applications of Game Theory.
Keywords: Game Theory; Rationality; Consistent Prediction; Nash Equilibrium; Computer Games; Event Game

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------, : 60774097

1214
c 2008 IEEE
978-1-4244-1734-6/08/$25.00 

Authorized licensed use limited to: COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY. Downloaded on December 1, 2009 at 00:38 from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

1. (Introduction)

20
70
>@






2
3
 4

2 (Review of
Achievement Milestones of Game Theory)

1500

Waldgrave 1713
CournotA
[2]Bertrand

Edgeworth

E.Zermelo 1913
Backward induction
[3]
procedure E.Borel 1921 [4]

ggJohn von
Neuman 1928
[5]


ggJohn von Neumang


Oskar Morgenstern 1944
[6]


gJohnNash1950
[7]

Cournot
ABertrand

Albert W.Tucker
Prisoners Dilemma


g(Reinhard Selten)
1965
Subgame Perfect

2008 Chinese Control and Decision Conference (CCDC 2008)

Authorized licensed use limited to: COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY. Downloaded on December 1, 2009 at 00:38 from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

1215

Nash Equilibrium[8]

gJohnHarsanyi1967-1968

[9]

Bayesian Nash
Equilibrium


Sequential Equlibrium

Kreps and Wilson 1982 [10]


1975
Trembling hand Perfect Equilibrium
[11]


Signaling games

6pence 1973

2001
[12]

(Differential games)
20

1216

Issacs
[13]

1971 Friedman


2050
g(Thomas Schelling)

The Strategy of Conflict[14]


gRobert Aumann

1959 Strong
Equilibrium[15]

Nontransferable utility
1966

Michael Maschler


Interactive epistemology 1976


Agreeing to disagree[16]
Lewis 1969

2008 Chinese Control and Decision Conference (CCDC 2008)

Authorized licensed use limited to: COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY. Downloaded on December 1, 2009 at 00:38 from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

g
g 2005 

[1]

3.
(Rationality PredictionEquilibrium--the
Essence of Game Theory)

[17]


[17]

[8]

[17]



1 Bayes 
1 

Equilibrium outcome

4. (Analysis on Limitations of
Game Theory)




2008 Chinese Control and Decision Conference (CCDC 2008)

Authorized licensed use limited to: COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY. Downloaded on December 1, 2009 at 00:38 from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

1217

EgZermelo)

[18]

[19]

5.
Discussion on the
Way to Overcome the Limitations

&RPSXWHU*DPHV

1218

 ,%0


[20]

&RPSXWDWLRQDO*DPH

$OJRULWKPLF*DPH

>@

>@

2008 Chinese Control and Decision Conference (CCDC 2008)

Authorized licensed use limited to: COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY. Downloaded on December 1, 2009 at 00:38 from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.



[13] Issacs R, Differential Games[M].New York: John Wiley &


Sons,1965.

6.
Conclusion

>@>@g[M]
2006.
[15] Aumann, R., Acceptable points in general cooperative
n-person[M],In contributions to the Theory of Games IV.Priceton
University Press,1959.
[16] Aumann, R., Agreeing to disagree[J],Annals of Statistics, Vol.4,
pp.1236-1239, 1976.
[17] , 3 [M].,

,2002.

[1] [M]2005.
[2] Counot,A.,recherches sur les Principes Mathematiques de la

[18] ,[M].,
,2004.

Theorie des Richesses1838. English edition(ed. N. Bacon):

[19] ,[M].,1999,7.

Researches into the Mathematical Principles of the Theory of

[20] Breakthrough of the year, Science[J], Vol. 318pp.1842-1849

Wealth[M]Macmillan,1897.

2007.

[3] Zermelo, E.,Uber eine Anwendung der Mengenlehre auf die


Theorie des Schachspiels[M], In Proceedings of the Fifth
International Congress on Mathematics,1913.

[21] . [J].
Vol.22, No.7(2007.7): 787-790
[22] . [C]. 2007

[4] Borel, E.,The Theory of Play and Integral Equations with Ske
Symmetric Kernels[J], Econometrica ,Vol.21,pp.97-100, 1953.

: 913-9162007.7.58

[5] Von Neumann,J.,Zur Theorie der Gesellschaftsspiele[J],Math.


Annalen,Vol,100,pp.295-320, 1928.
[6] Von Neumann, J.and Mogenstern,O.,The Theory of Games and
Economic Behavior[J].Princeton University Press, Princeton
1944.
[7] Nash, J.,Equilibrium points in N-person games,,Proceedings of
the National Academy of Sciences[J],Vol.36,pp.48-49, 1950.
[8] [M]
2002.
[9] Harsanyi, J., Games with incomplete information played by
Bayesian players[J], Management Science,Vol. 14, pp.159-182,
320-334,486-502, 1967.
[10]

Kreps,

D.,and

R.

Wilson.,

Sequential

Equilibria[J],

Econometrica, Vol. 50,pp.863-894, 1982.


[11] Selten, R., Re-examination of the perfectness concept for
equilibrium points in extensive games[J], International Journal of
Game Theory,Vol. 4,pp.25-55, 1975.
[12] Spence, A.M., Job Marketing Signaling,Journal of Economic
Theory[J],Vol.8,pp.296-332, 1973.

2008 Chinese Control and Decision Conference (CCDC 2008)

Authorized licensed use limited to: COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY. Downloaded on December 1, 2009 at 00:38 from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

1219

Вам также может понравиться