Warm

Up 9.2, Day 1
Expand.

(6x y)

What is the 5th term in the expansion of (2a + b)6?

Unit 9: Probability

Target 9.2, Day 1

DEFINE AND USE PROBABILITY
(10.3)

Probability is the likelihood that an event will (or will not) occur.

0
Probability of event A occurring

# of favorable outcomes
P ( A) =
# of total possible outcomes
You roll a 6-sided fair die. Find the probability of
a) Rolling a 5.
b) Rolling a prime number.

Youve probably heard probabilities expressed as 3 : 1 odds or 50 to

1 odds at casinos sporting events before.
Odds are used to express probability as follows:

Odds in favor of event A =

# of outcomes in A
# of outcomes NOT in A

# of outcomes NOT in A
Odds against event A =
# of outcomes in A

You draw a card from a standard 52-card deck.

Find the odds in favor of drawing a 10.

Find the odds against drawing a club.

Find the probability of drawing

a face card.

We may also want to deal with geometric probability. These

involve comparing the ___________ of gures.
In a carnival game, you have to throw a dart at the board shown.

18

0 points
2 points
10 points

18

What is the probability of getting a bulls eye?

What is the probability of getting no points?

What is the probability of hitting the yellow ring?

Warm Up 9.2, Day 2

Describe the dierence between probability and odds. Use
examples and/or equations in your explanation.

A bag contains 20 red marbles, 15 blue marbles and 12 purple

marbles.
What is the probability of drawing a blue marble?
What are the odds in favor of drawing a red marble?
What are the odds against drawing a purple marble?

Unit 9: Probability

Target 9.2, Day 2

FIND PROBABILITIES OF
DISJOINT AND OVERLAPPING
EVENTS (10.4)

Today we will be looking at how to nd the probability of two (or

more) events occurring. Remember our rule of thumb: If you say
and, __________. If you say or, __________.
A card is randomly selected from a deck of 52 cards. What is the
probability that it is a
a) 10 or face card?


b) face card or spade?

Think carefully about Scenario B! Why is

it dierent than Scenario A?

Scenario A is said to be ______________ (or mutually __________)

because the events do not have anything in common. In
Scenario B, however, the events _________________ (cards may be
both a face card and a spade).
Scenario A

Scenario B

When two events A and B overlap, OR does not equal A + B.

We also have to __________________ the overlap/repeats.
OR = A + B AND

A card is randomly selected from a deck of 52 cards. What is the

probability that it is a
a) 10 or face card?

d) a king and a heart?



b) face card or spade?

e) a king or a heart?



c) face card and a 6?

f) not a club?

In Part f, consider nding the probability that the card is a club.

Then you could ___________________________. The probability of
what you dont want is called the ___________________.

Two dice are rolled. What is the probability that their sum is
a) 7?





b) less than or equal to 9?


c) not 10?

1
2
3
4
5
6

d) between 3 and 5, inclusive?

e) a prime or an even number?

Out of 200 students in a senior class, 113 students are either in

varsity athletics or on the honor roll. There are 74 seniors who are
varsity athletes and 51 seniors who are on the honor roll. What is
the probability that a randomly selected senior is both a varsity
athlete and on the honor roll?

OR = A + B AND

Warm Up 9.2, Day 3

Two dice are rolled. What is the probability that their sum is
a) 3 or 4? b) not 7? c) less than 8 or greater than 11?

A card is randomly selected from a deck of 52 cards. What is the

probability that it is a
a) face card and black? b) jack or ace? c) red or 10?

Out of 30 plants in an experiment, 12 receive visible light, 15 receive

ultraviolet light, and 6 receive both kinds of light. What is the
probability that a plant receives visible light or ultraviolet light?

Unit 9: Probability

Target 9.2, Day 3

FIND PROBABILITIES OF
INDEPENDENT AND DEPENDENT
EVENTS (10.5)

If you ip a coin and it comes up tails

30 times in a row, what is the
probability that it will come up heads
next?

If a family has 5 boys, what is the

probability that their next child will be
another boy?

These are examples of __________________ events. The probability

of one event has absolutely no eect on another event.

A jar contains 5 red marbles, 10 blue marbles and 12 yellow marbles.

What is the probability that
a) you pull out a blue marble and then a yellow marble? Assume
that you replace the rst marble you draw.

b) you pull out a blue marble and then a yellow marble? Assume
that you do not replace the rst marble you draw.

Which scenario is independent and which is

dependent? Explain.

Find the probability of drawing the given cards from a standard

deck of 52 cards with and without replacement.
With Replacement
A club, then a spade
A queen, then an ace
A face card, then a 6
A king, then a
queen, then a jack
A spade, then a club,
then another spade

Without Replacement

Conditional probability is the probability of an event occurring,

given that another event has already occurred.
Let n be a randomly selected integer from 1 to 20. Find the
indicated conditional probability.
a) n is 2 given that it is even


b) n is 5 given that is it less than 8


c) n is prime given that is has 2 digits


d) n is odd given that it is prime