CENSO POBLACIONAL MUNICIPIO 1

AO

POBLACIN CENSADA
(HABITANTES)

1964

1567

1973
1985
1993
1999
2005

1566
2135
2013
2099
1863

Metodo por emplear

Aritmetico Geometrico y EXponencial
Aritmetico + Geometrico + eXponencial + otros
Por componentes (demografico)
Detallar por zonas y detallar densidades

Armenia mantequilla

Bajo
X

bajo

Nivel de Complejidad del Sistema

Medio Medio alto
X
X
X
X

ejidad del Sistema

Alto
X
X
X

Nivel de Complejidad del sistema

Bajo
Medio
Medio alto
Alto

Poblacion (hab)
P < 2500
2500 < p < 12500
12500 < p < 60000
P > 60000

Dotneta- Dotnetama
min
xi
(l/hab*dia) (l/hab*dia)
100
150
120
170
130
150

Nivel de Complejidad del sistema

Bajo
Medio
Medio alto
Alto

Capacidad
economica
de los
Poblacion (hab)
usuarios
P < 2500
Baja
2500 < p < 12500 Baja
12500 < p < 60000Media
P > 60000
Alta

censo
1985
1993
2005

0.04174644

aos
4602
6474
10606

aritmetico
2008
2014
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033

11507
13308
12107
12407
12707
13008
13308
13608
13908
14208
14509
14809
15109
15409
15709
16010
16310
16610
16910
17210
17511
17811
18111
18411
18711
19012

tasa geometrica
0.0205728826

ProyGeometrica
11274
12739
11743
11984
12231
12483
12739
13001
13269
13542
13821
14105
14395
14691
14993
15302
15617
15938
16266
16600
16942
17291
17646
18009
18380
18758

ProyExponencial
12110
15556
13164
13725
14310
14920
15556
16220
16911
17632
18384
19167
19984
20836
21725
22651
23616
24623
25673
26767
27908
29098
30338
31632
32980
34386

Ao
1964
1973
1985
1993
1999
2005
2014
2019
2024
2029

aritmetico geometrico exponencial

1567
1567
1567
1566
1566
1566
2135
2135
2135
2013
2013
2013
2099
2099
2099
1863
1863
1863
1927.97561 1935.11976
1905
1964.07317
1976
1845
2000.17073
2019
1786
2036.26829
2062
1730

40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

20

tasa

tasa

tasa

-0.0070927
2.61649503
-0.73280802
0.69968467
-1.96825438
0.38164256
0.37168744
0.36490572
0.35836704

-0.0070927
2.61649503
-0.73280802
0.69968467
-1.96825438
0.42290423
0.42290423
0.42290423
0.42290423

-0.0070927
2.61649503
-0.73280802
0.69968467
-1.96825438
0.25003853
-0.64323943
-0.64323943
-0.64323943

Aritmetico
Geometrico
Exponencial

2020

2030

2040

CENSO POBLACIONAL MUNICIPIO 1

POBLACIN CENSADA
AO
(HABITANTES)
1964
1567
1973
1566
1985
2135
1993
2013
1999
2099
2005
1863
r
k

0.0042290423
-0.0064531713

Aritmetica

periodo de diseo
15 aos
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029

ritmetica

Geometrica

Aritmetico GeometricoExponencial
2223.9756 1935.1198 1905.3457193
2231.1951 1943.3035 1893.0897844
2238.4146 1951.5218 1880.9126845
2245.6341 1959.7748 1868.8139126
2252.8537 1968.0628 1856.7929647
2260.0732 1976.3858 1844.8493403
2267.2927 1984.7441 1832.982542
2274.5122 1993.1376 1821.1920756
2281.7317 2001.5667 1809.4774501
2288.9512 2010.0314 1797.8381778
2296.1707 2018.5319 1786.2737738
2303.3902 2027.0684 1774.7837566
2310.6098 2035.6409 1763.3676478
2317.8293 2044.2497 1752.0249718
2325.0488 2052.895 1740.7552565
2332.2683 2061.5767 1729.5580324

Exponencial

Chart Title
2500
2000
1500
Axis Title

1000
500
0
2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Axis Title

Chart Title

Aritmetico
Geometrico
Exponencial

2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

Axis Title

Ao
1964
1973
1985
1993
1999
2005

Poblacion
1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863

r
k
i

0.0042290423
-0.0064531713
0.4209628102

1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863

Ao
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034

1567

1566

2135

Proyecciones
Aritmetico
1928
1935
1942
1950
1957
1964
1971
1979
1986
1993
2000
2007
2015
2022
2029
2036
2043
2051
2058
2065
2072

2013

Geometrico
1935
1943
1952
1960
1968
1976
1985
1993
2002
2010
2019
2027
2036
2044
2053
2062
2070
2079
2088
2097
2106

2099

Exponencial
1905
1893
1881
1869
1857
1845
1833
1821
1809
1798
1786
1775
1763
1752
1741
1730
1718
1707
1696
1685
1675

1863

Wappaus
1936
1944
1952
1961
1969
1977
1986
1994
2003
2011
2020
2029
2037
2046
2055
2064
2073
2082
2090
2099
2109

Ao
1964
1973
1985
1993
1999
2005
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

Aritmetico
1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1928
1935
1942
1950
1957
1964
1971
1979
1986
1993
2000
2007
2015
2022
2029
2036
2043

Ao

Aritmetico

Geometrico

1964
1973
1985
1993
1999
2005
2014
2019
2024
2029

1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1928
1964
2000
2036

1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1935
1976
2019
2062

Geometrico
1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1935
1943
1952
1960
1968
1976
1985
1993
2002
2010
2019
2027
2036
2044
2053
2062
2070

Exponencial
1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1905
1893
1881
1869
1857
1845
1833
1821
1809
1798
1786
1775
1763
1752
1741
1730
1718

Wappaus
1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1936
1944
1952
1961
1969
1977
1986
1994
2003
2011
2020
2029
2037
2046
2055
2064
2073

2031
2032
2033
2034

2051
2058
2065
2072

2079
2088
2097
2106

1707
1696
1685
1675

2082
2090
2099
2109

Exponencial

Wappaus

1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1905
1845
1786
1730

1567
1566
2135
2013
2099
1863
1936
1977
2020
2064

Tasa Aritmetico Tasa Geometrico

-0.01
2.62
-0.73
0.70
-1.97
0.38
0.37
0.36
0.36

Tasa
Exponencial

0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06

0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.03
-0.08
-0.08
-0.07

2100
2000
1900
1800
Poblacin
1700
1600
1500
2012

2014

2016

2018

20

1500
2012

2014

2016

2018

20

Tasa Wappaus

0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.09
-0.04
-0.04
-0.04

Aritmtic
o
Geometri
co

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

Aos

2024

2026

2028

2030

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

Aos

2024

2026

2028

2030

Ao

Poblacin
(hab)

Prdidas
(%)

Dotacin Bruta
( lt/s)

2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034

1928
1935
1942
1950
1957
1964
1971
1979
1986
1993
2000
2007
2015
2022
2029
2036
2043
2051
2058
2065
2072

40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40

250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250

Qmd (lt/s) QMD (lt/2) QMH (lt/s)

5.58
5.60
5.62
5.64
5.66
5.68
5.70
5.72
5.75
5.77
5.79
5.81
5.83
5.85
5.87
5.89
5.91
5.93
5.95
5.98
6.00

7.25
7.28
7.31
7.33
7.36
7.39
7.42
7.44
7.47
7.50
7.52
7.55
7.58
7.61
7.63
7.66
7.69
7.71
7.74
7.77
7.80

11.60
11.65
11.69
11.73
11.78
11.82
11.86
11.91
11.95
11.99
12.04
12.08
12.12
12.17
12.21
12.26
12.30
12.34
12.39
12.43
12.47

14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00

Caudales de Diseo (lt/s)

6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
2013

2016

2019

lt/s)

Qmd (lt/s)
QMD (lt/s)
QMH (lt/s)

2016

2019

2022

Aos

2025

2028

(lt/s)

(lt/s)

(lt/s)