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05/08/2015

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Rajanlinksmoreeasingtolowerbankrates,monsoon,inflationTheHindu

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BUSINESS

Mumbai,August4,2015

Ratecutsonlyifbankspassitontocustomers:Rajan
PTI

TheHindu
RBIGovernorRaghuramRajanwithDeputyGovernorUrjitPatelatapressconferenceonthirdBiMonthlyPolicyheldinMumbaion
Tuesday.Photo:PaulNoronha
Afteroptingforstatusquoinpolicyrates,ReserveBankGovernorRaghuramRajanonTuesdaysaidanymorecutwilldependonfurther
transmissionofpreviousratecutsbybanks,softeningininflationandprogressofmonsoon.
Wearelookingwhethertherecentincreaseininflationistemporaryandwhetherthemonsoonwillcontinuetobenearnormal.Theoilprice
developmentisverybeneficialandwewillawaitgreatertransmissionofourpastactionsbybankswhilewelookandmonitordevelopments
foremergingroom,Dr.Rajantoldreportersduringthecustomarypostpolicyinteractionwithjournalistsherethismorning.
Inthepolicystatement,Dr.RajansaidtheRBIcontinuestohaveanaccommodativestance,whichwasadoptedinJanuarythisyearwitha
surpriseratecut.
Despitefavourablebaseeffect,headlineinflationsurgedtoninemonthhighof5.40percentinJunewhichresultedinexpectations,
especiallyatindividuallevel,gettingelevated,RBIsaid.
Inflationaryexpectationsdogetalteredconsiderablybycertainsalientitemssuchasfood,milkandvegetables.Giventhat,yes,it(elevated
expectations)isaconcernbutoneshouldkeepthatinperspective,Rajansaid.
Speakingontheoccassion,RBIDeputyGovernorUrijitPatelsaid,atthemoment,therisksoninflationarebalancedbutexudedconfidence
thatthecentralbankwillbeabletomeettheJanuary,2016targetof6percentwithinflationcomingbelowit.
However,thepolicydocumentpeggedtheJanuarypriceindexat5.8percent,whichis20basispointsbelowtheAprilandJuneestimate.
Withwholesalepriceinflationcontinuingtotreadinthenegativezonefortheeighthconsecutivemonth,andcallsforratecutsthereofgetting
shriller,Dr.RajansaidtheRBIpreferstoformulateitspoliciesbasedonCPIwhichgivesabetterpictureofthepinchattheindividuallevel.
Itsconvenienttolookatthewholepriceindex,thenyoucandoallyourworkoninflationmanagementbasedonfactorsfromoutsideon
whichwehavenocontrol.
Butifwereallywanttomanageinflation,wehavetolookatthesumtotalofinflation,especiallyinflationthatconcernsconsumers,which
determineshouseholdsavings,wagepressures,Dr.Rajansaid.

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