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PREMIER SPONSOR
2
0
1
5
2015
C O M M E R C I A L
I N V E S T M E N T
D I V I S I O N
P L AT I N U M S P O N S O R S
intro T r e n d s
Premier Sponsor
H O T E L S H O S P I TA L I T Y
Although this is the first year that Hospitality and Hotels have been included in the TRENDS
Seminar, this is not the first year that others have tracked the local market. This report relies
heavily upon the research of Drew Whitaker with Cook, Moore and Associates, and data
collected by Smith Travel Research, the Louisiana Office of Tourism and Visit Baton Rouge.
The Baton Rouge area hospitality market has added 687 rooms since January 2012. Another
399 rooms are to be completed in the next few years, including two hotel facilities in the Baton
Rouge Central Business District (CBD), which will push Baton Rouges CBD over the 1,000 total
rooms mark.
Location
Total Rooms
Completion Date
Features
Courtyard by Marriott
147
March 2016
137
April 2013
Funded by TIF*
Candlewood Suites
81
Late 2015
L'Auberge Casino
206
August 2012
October 2011
Funded by TIF*
Candlewood Suites
83
October 2015
In Cabela's development
96
March 2015
In Cabela's development
60
August 2013
In Cabela's development
70
July 2013
In Cabela's development
118
2012
Ascension Parish
Co n te n ts T rends
Office Trends
industrialTrends
Platinum Sponsor
COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES REALTy TRUST
Platinum Sponsor
MIE PROPERTIES, INC.
multifamily Trends
Platinum Sponsor
COOK, MOORE AND ASSOCIATES
Retail Trends
Platinum Sponsor
MAESTRI-MURRELL, INC.
RESIDENTIALTrends
Platinum Sponsor
the preserve at harveston
finance Trends
Brian S. Andrews 86
The Real Estate Research Institute
at LSUs E.J. Ourso College of Business
Platinum Sponsor
gulf coast bank & trust company
CHAIRMAN Trends
104
Copyrighted 2015Commercial Investment Division of the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS. No part may be reproduced or retransmitted without the express written permission of the
Commercial Investment Division of the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS. All opinions expressed herein are those of the writers and should not be relied upon without consultation with
your own investment advisor, attorney, accountant or tax advisor. LREC Vendor #8030
Premier Sponsor
3
20
15
402 N. Fourth St. Baton Rouge, LA 70802 Tel: 225.924.7206 Fax: 225.924.1235 cprt.com
OFFICE Trends
CPRT-Ad-Feb2015_05ab.indd 1
3/2/15 4:49 PM
Jonann Stutzman
Gary Black
CCIM, SIOR
Beau Box Commercial
Trends Speaker
Wampold Companies
EXECUTIVE summary
The Baton Rouge office market totals approximately 6.6 million square feet of Class A & B
space. The region was active throughout 2014 fueled by strong local and regional economic
conditions. The low supply and steady demand gave landlords an upper hand in negotiations
and has allowed most to increase quoted office rents or hold firm on lease concessions.
Space options have been difficult to locate. These conditions have created an environment
ripe for new development. However, barriers including land cost, construction cost, lack
of binding commitments from tenants, and delivery timelines have limited the amount of
new construction opportunities. For most of 2014, there was a steady flow of new tenants
entering the market along with several local expansions. Most brokers have reported that
activity has slowed a bit in 2015. However, all agree the overall health of the market is good
and will continue to improve.
Large block spaces of 10,000 square feet or more are still difficult to locate in the market.
Tenants continue to seek efficient, open space with large parking ratios. The tight market has
created some demand for some older properties that might have been rejected in the past
due to functional obsolescence or poor location. However, a few spaces and buildings have
come to market in recent months, and the availability of sublease space and upcoming lease
expirations, will provide tenants with options.
The office market has been considerably slower in the first quarter of 2015 than seen in the
previous four quarters. However, if oil prices stabilize and natural gas prices remain low,
activity in the industrial sector should continue to drive demand for office space, especially
in fields related to engineering and construction. Several new development projects are
underway or scheduled to start in 2015 and pre-leasing interest in these sites has been strong.
Premier Sponsor
o f f i c e Trends
concessions or breaks
in exchange for longer
lease terms, which
offer investment
stability.
The amount of sublease space in the Baton Rouge market did increase
slightly, but it has not affected rates or demand for landlord direct
space. Occupancy rates for the 1st Quarter of 2015 increased to 89.28%, up from 88.29% in 2014
and 86.42% in 2013. Average quoted rental rates for both Class A and Class B properties increased
slightly over the past twelve months, as landlords try to improve rent rolls in a tight market. With the
overall improved market, local landlords have also been able to keep tenant improvement allowances
around $1.00 - $2.00 per square foot per year.
OFFICE Trends
o f f i c e Trends
SETTING A NEW
STANDARD
Setting the Trend in Downtown Baton Rouge
CPRT is building the IBM tower, Baton Rouges first
riverfront office and residential development in over half
a century. The building will be completed in June 2015 and
has ground floor retail and 8th floor office space available.
Adjacent to IBM is 525 Lafayette,
a luxury 85-apartment complex
opening fall 2015.
SETTING
STANDA
402 N. Fourth St. Baton Rouge, LA 70802 Tel: 225.924.7206 Fax: 225.924.1235 cprt.com 402 N. Four
7
CPRT-Ad-Feb2015_05ab.indd 1
OFFICE Trends
Development Activity
Several new garden offices went up in the Baton Rouge area throughout 2014, indicating
a return of new construction and stability in this segment of the market. The trend has
continued into the first quarter of 2015. Developers had been on the sidelines for years,
however, easing lender requirements and overall market growth allowed for numerous new
projects to get the green light.
Grow Smarter.
| Industrial | Retail | Investment | Office | Land | Property Management |
Lafayette
337.233.1488
Baton Rouge
225.237.3343
www.beaubox.com
New Orleans
504.525.1410
OFFICE Trends
10
AVAILABLE PROPERTIES:
Baton Rouge 1 - Office/Warehouse
11301 Industriplex Boulevard
7,850 s.f. up to 38,396 s.f.
Daniel P. Poulin,
CCIM, SIOR
danP@sealynet.com
Jennifer A. Lee,
CCIM, SIOR
jenniferL@sealynet.com
OFFICE Trends
Forecast
It is anticipated that the Baton Rouge office market will continue to improve throughout
2015, but at a slower pace than 2014. Leasing activity in the first quarter of 2015 has been
healthy but deal volume has fallen slightly and local brokers are reporting some deals being
placed on hold. Improvement in the petro-chemical and construction markets should help
demand for office space. We expect the majority of activity to come from expansions and
relocations from within our market, and expect to see some interest from new companies
coming to Baton Rouge.
12
a team effort
built around YOU.
Broker
robert@waterspettit.com
ConnectedCollaborative
ProactiveResponsive
Specializing In:
david diVincenti
david@waterspettit.com
Lance Ginn
lance@waterspettit.com
summary of
office market by area
CLASS A BUILDINGS
class A buildings - Acadian/ college
3/8/2015
3/8/2015
ACADIAN/COLLEGE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
BUILDING
Acadian Centre
CitiPlace Centre I (Hancock Bank Building @ CitiPlace)
CitiPlace Centre II
CitiPlace Centre III (The Bancorp Bank Center @ CitiPlace)
Acadia Trace
Corporate Atrium
Corporate Center
Republic Finance
2370 Towne Centre
5551 Corporate
CLASS
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
SQUARE
FEET
74,589
82,023
31,516
42,659
121,000
76,447
48,000
27,000
66,000
52,142
OCCUPIED
74,589
72,806
31,516
38,296
121,000
58,157
48,000
18,000
66,000
52,142
OCCUPANCY
RATE
100.00%
88.76%
100.00%
89.77%
100.00%
76.07%
100.00%
66.67%
100.00%
100.00%
RATE
$21.00
$23.00
$22.00
$23.00
$20.00
$20.00
$22.00
$24.00
$24.00
$21.00
621,376
580,506
93.42%
0
0
0
0
0
0
6,326
0
0
4
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
$22.00
6,330
RATE
SUBLEASE
$20.00
$21.50
$20.00
$21.50
$28.50
$21.50
$30.00
0
0
0
0
27,500
0
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
$23.29
27,500
RATE
SUBLEASE
$24.00
$21.00
$24.00
$24.00
$24.00
$20.00
$22.00
N/A
$24.00
$19.50
$24.00
$22.00
N/A
N/A
N/A
$23.00
$20.00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25,622
6 MONTHS
PENDING
30,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
124,000
$22.42
25,622
154,000
RATE
SUBLEASE
$20.00
$18.95
$18.50
0
0
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
0
$19.15
RATE
SUBLEASE
$22.00
$23.29
$22.42
$19.15
6,330
27,500
25,622
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
154,000
0
$21.71
59,452
154,000
SUBLEASE
DOWNTOWN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
BUILDING
CLASS
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
SQUARE
FEET
333,306
207,572
333,000
166,473
255,344
75,000
140,651
1,511,346
275,392
200,392
281,652
163,462
251,483
75,000
129,351
OCCUPANCY
RATE
82.62%
96.54%
84.58%
98.19%
98.49%
100.00%
91.97%
1,376,732
91.09%
OCCUPIED
ESSEN/BLUEBONNET
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
BUILDING
CLASS
Essen Center
Jefferson Brentwood
I United Plaza
II United Plaza
III United Plaza
IV United Plaza
V United Plaza
VII United Plaza
VIII United Plaza
IX United Plaza
XII United Plaza
Bluebonnet Centre
Louisiana School Employee Retirement
Jacobs Plaza
Shaw
Perkins Rowe
7290 Bluebonnet
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
SQUARE
FEET
110,000
63,625
94,204
197,010
60,389
71,547
58,365
58,000
57,932
97,000
154,000
71,656
112,253
192,600
240,000
126,328
152000
1,916,909
69,000
63,625
94,204
193,542
56,889
71,547
58,365
58,000
57,932
97,000
154,000
71,656
112,253
192,600
240,000
107,157
152000
OCCUPANCY
RATE
62.73%
100.00%
100.00%
98.24%
94.20%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
84.82%
100.00%
1,849,770
96.50%
OCCUPIED
SHERWOOD FOREST
1
2
3
BUILDING
CLASS
A
A
A
SQUARE
FEET
78,183
57,486
105,720
241,389
74,587
54,439
76,440
OCCUPANCY
RATE
95.40%
94.70%
72.30%
205,466
85.12%
OCCUPIED
TOTALS
# of
Buildings
10
7
17
3
37
AREA
CLASS
ACADIAN/COLLEGE
DOWNTOWN
ESSEN/BLUEBONNET
SHERWOOD FOREST
A
A
A
A
SQUARE
FEET
621,376
1,511,346
1,916,909
241,389
4,291,020
580,506
1,376,732
1,849,770
205,466
OCCUPANCY
RATE
93.42%
91.09%
96.50%
85.12%
4,012,474
93.51%
OCCUPIED
summary of
office
market by area
CLASS
B BUILDINGS
class b buildings - Acadian/ college
3/8/2015
3/8/2015
ACADIAN/COLLEGE
1
2
BUILDING
Corporate II
5420 Corporate
CLASS
B
B
SQUARE
FEET
56,887
30,663
OCCUPIED
34,716
29,987
OCCUPANCY
RATE
61.03%
97.80%
RATE
$15.00
$15.00
87,550
64,703
73.90%
$15.00
SQUARE
FEET
172,000
50,000
30,000
32,997
30,000
44,524
30,000
20,000
28,000
OCCUPIED
172,000
50,000
28,500
32,997
28,150
44,524
30,000
20,000
11,300
OCCUPANCY
RATE
100.00%
100.00%
95.00%
100.00%
93.83%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
40.36%
RATE
N/A
$13.00
$16.75
$16.00
$16.00
$16.00
$17.00
$23.50
$24.00
437,521
417,471
95.42%
$17.78
SQUARE
FEET
30,209
79,491
31,975
90,898
53,000
712,970
140,000
OCCUPIED
30,209
52,465
31,975
0
53,000
570,376
70,000
OCCUPANCY
RATE
100.00%
66.00%
100.00%
0.00%
100.00%
80.00%
50.00%
RATE
$14.00
$15.00
$10.00
$10.00
$10.50
$17.50
$16.00
1,138,543
808,025
70.97%
$13.29
0
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
SUBLEASE
DOWNTOWN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
BUILDING
Renaissance East
Renaissance West
Gras Town Plaza
Roumain Building
Taylor Building
339 Florida
525 Florida St. (Kinko's Building)
Cordova Square
500 Laurel Street
CLASS
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
SUBLEASE
FLORIDA/AIRLINE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
BUILDING
Alpha Building (8281 Goodwood)
Dean Tower (5700 Florida)
Mid City Plaza (4962 Florida)
10255 Florida
1900 Lobdell
Bon Carre
Direct General - 15151 Florida
CLASS
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
0
0
0
0
0
76,077
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
76,077
SUBLEASE
SHERWOOD FOREST
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
BUILDING
11110 Mead
CJ Brown Plaza
Sherwood II
Sherwood Oaks Office Park
Sherwood Plaza Business Park
10719 Airline
Bellsouth Building
Security National
Sherwood Tower
CLASS
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
SQUARE
FEET
51,878
36,000
25,673
101,157
61,000
37,500
124,037
45,378
77,702
OCCUPIED
51,878
36,000
20,673
84,553
43,244
37,500
124,037
45,378
59,248
OCCUPANCY
RATE
100.00%
100.00%
80.52%
83.59%
70.89%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
76.25%
RATE
$18.50
$17.00
$16.00
$15.00
$15.00
$17.50
$18.50
$19.50
$16.00
560,325
502,511
89.68%
$17.00
SUBLEASE
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
0
0
0
0
124,037
0
124,037
ESSEN/BLUEBONNET
1
2
BUILDING
7414 Perkins Road
Essen Crossing
CLASS
B
B
SQUARE
FEET
72,145
52,669
OCCUPIED
70,209
52,669
OCCUPANCY
RATE
97.32%
100.00%
RATE
$14.50
$16.50
124,814
122,878
98.45%
$15.50
SQUARE
FEET
87,550
437,521
1,138,543
560,325
124,814
OCCUPIED
64,703
417,471
808,025
502,511
122,878
OCCUPANCY
RATE
73.90%
95.42%
70.97%
89.68%
98.45%
RATE
$15.00
$17.78
$13.29
$17.00
$15.50
2,348,753
1,915,588
81.56%
$15.71
0
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
SUBLEASE
TOTALS
# of
Buildings
2
10
7
9
2
30
AREA
ACADIAN/COLLEGE
DOWNTOWN
FLORIDA/AIRLINE
SHERWOOD FOREST
ESSEN/BLUEBONNET
CLASS
B
B
B
B
B
0
0
76,077
0
0
6 MONTHS
PENDING
0
0
0
124,037
0
76,077
124,037
SUBLEASE
SUMMARY
OF
OFFICE
summary
of
officeMARKET
market BY
by AREA
area
FORclass
CLASS a&
A &bBbuildings
BUILDINGS
3/8/2015
3/8/2015
CURRENT
AREA
ACADIAN/COLLEGE
DOWNTOWN
FLORIDA/AIRLINE
SHERWOOD FOREST
ESSEN/BLUEBONNET
CLASS
A&B
A&B
A&B
A&B
A&B
SQUARE FEET
708,926
1,948,867
1,138,543
801,714
2,041,723
OCCUPIED
645,209
1,794,203
808,025
707,977
1,972,648
OCCUPANCY
RATE
91.01%
92.06%
70.97%
88.31%
96.62%
RATE
$18.50
$19.64
$13.29
$18.08
$18.96
SUBLEASE
6,330
27,500
76,077
0
25,622
PENDING
0
0
0
124,037
154,000
6,639,773
5,928,062
89.28%
$17.69
135,529
278,037
HISTORICAL
AREA
CLASS
OCCUPANCY
% Spring 2010
OCCUPANCY
% Spring 2011
OCCUPANCY
% Spring 2012
OCCUPANCY
% Spring 2013
OCCUPANCY
% Spring 2014
OCCU PAN CY
% Spring
2014
ACADIAN/COLLEGE
DOWNTOWN
FLORIDA/AIRLINE
SHERWOOD FOREST
ESSEN/BLUEBONNET
A&B
A&B
A&B
A&B
A&B
93.42%
84.23%
68.75%
82.98%
93.69%
87.64%
81.55%
72.33%
80.97%
89.70%
87.33%
80.24%
75.22%
84.38%
88.70%
91.45%
88.79%
71.73%
80.84%
92.44%
91.50%
89.30%
76.62%
83.97%
94.15%
91.01%
92.06%
70.97%
88.31%
96.62%
84.84%
82.83%
82.99%
86.42%
88.29%
89.28%
o f f i c e Trends
17
industrial Trends
20
15
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Industrial in Mid-Race
The 2014 industrial market did not disappoint as the vacancy rate dropped for the fourth
consecutive year from a yearend rate of 9.30% (2013) to 7.67% (2014), beating last years
forecast by nearly a full percentage point.
The net change in occupied inventory from one year to the next, known as Net Absorption,
rounded out at 1,244,000 square feet for 2014, a year-over-year increase of 85%.
Both the vacancy rate and the net absorption numbers noted abovebest performing since
2006indicate a continuation or trending of a stable regional industrial economy which is
growing and attracting investment at manageable levels.
By comparison, according to Reis Reports, the national industrial sector vacancy rate
decreased during 4Q14 to 8.80%.
Premier Sponsor
18
the vacancy rate and the net absorption numbers noted abovebest performing since 2006in
inuation or trending of a stable regional industrial economy which is growing and attracting inves
i n d u s t r i a l Trends
ageable levels.
omparison, according to Reis Reports, the national industrial sector vacancy rate decreased during
%.
INDUSTRIAL
INDUSTRIAL INVENTORY
INVENTORY STATISTICS
STATISTICS
MEMO
TOTAL INVENTORY
YE 2013
25,517,103 SF
YE 2014
26,415,419 SF
VACANT SPACE
OCCUPIED SPACE
VACANCY RATE
NET ABSORPTION
SPACE UNDER CONSTRUCTION
AT YEAR END
2,371,973 SF
23,145,130 SF
9.30%
671,127 SF
2,026,697 SF
24,388,722 SF
7.67%
1,243,592 SF
456,905 SF
128,849 SF
19
INDUSTRIAL Trends
TRENDING
It should be noted that the figures indicated in this report represent office-warehouse,
distribution and manufacturing properties measuring 5,000 square feet plus, and land sales
for the same use. While large scale heavy industrial projects are referenced in this report, that
data is not inclusive of any transactions represented in these
statistics.
It should be noted
that the figures
20
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space in peak operating condition!
OFFICE
FLEX
R E TA I L
WA R E H O U S E
www.mie-la.com
INDUSTRIAL Trends
industry experts
and industrial
contractors expect
the construction
of major projects
to continue over
the next four to five
years.
22
i n d u s t r i a l Trends
WHERE ARE THE DEALS HAPPENING?
2014 transaction heat map
NEW CONSTRUCTION
2014 produced a slight uptick in new construction of speculative office-warehouse space, mostly in
Ascension Parish, but the majority was for owner occupied or preleased build-to-suit space. Permits
issued for new construction began the first half of 2014 strong, but sharply declined in the last 6
months of the year. All told there were permits issued to construct approximately 570,259 square
feet of new industrial space in the Greater Baton Rouge market which is about 168,000 square feet
less than the 738,460 square feet issued in 2013.
*Permit data from East Baton Rouge and Ascension Parishes only.
23
INDUSTRIAL Trends
24
bEN GRAHAM
CCIM
STEVE LEGENDRE
CCIM
DANNY WATTS
JOEY CANELLA
TROY COLLINS
STACY ROYER
JUSTIN LANGLOIS
CCIM
KATHRYN JUNEAU
225 367-1515
www.svngIII.com
INDUSTRIAL Trends
*Weighted by SF
*Weighted by SF
26
i n d u s t r i a l Trends
Industrial Lease Rates
Industrial lease rates (see chart) remained mostly unchanged YOY with the exception of an increase in
Industrial Lease Rates
lease rates for new construction due to rising construction and land costs. Speculative construction
waslease
again
limited
in 2014remained
which helped
higher
lease
rates.
Absorptionofofanproduct
Industrial
rates
(see chart)
mostlysupport
unchanged
YOY
with
the exception
increaseininthe
lease rates
to 15,000
square
footconstruction
was the mostand
active
2014.Speculative
Bulk space and
office-warehouse
in limited
excess in 2014
for new5,000
construction
due
to rising
landincosts.
construction
was again
of 25,000
square
feet was
non-existent.
It is possible
relatedfoot
material
which helped
support
higher
leasebasically
rates. Absorption
of product
in the that
5,000construction
to 15,000 square
was the most
active incosts
2014.
Bulk
space
and
office-warehouse
in
excess
of
25,000
square
feet
was
basically
non-existent.
It
will decrease in 2015 if the price of oil remains low.
is possible that construction related material costs will decrease in 2015 if the price of oil remains low.
Sample Building Lease Data1
SAMPLE BUILDING LEASE DATA 1
Product Type
Size (SF)
Lease Type
Flex Space2
5,000 -15,000
$8.00 - $12.00
Net
5,000-15,000
$3.50 - $4.50
Net
5,000-15,000
$8.50 - $9.50
Net
20,000+
$3.00 - $4.50
Net
20,000+
$5.50 - $7.00
Net
27
INDUSTRIAL Trends
River in Iberville Parish. Older, mature areas, such as the S. Choctaw corridor remained unchanged from prior
years, ranging from $25 to$30/square foot. 20,000 square feet and larger pricing for properties in fair condition
on average $18 to $20 per square foot. These average square foot prices reflect properties that contain a 20/80%
office to warehouse ratio, are in fair to good condition with no functional obsolescence, and have adequate
parking.
Land Sales
Land Sales
Also trending was the increased sales price per square foot or acre of transactions of industrial
Also trending
wassales.
the increased
price true
per square
or acre
of transactions
of industrial
land sales. This
land
This was sales
especially
for thefoot
limited
available
land in south
Baton Rouge
was especially true for the limited available land in south Baton Rouge industrial parks located off of Airline
industrial parks located off of Airline Highway (i.e. Cloverland, Industriplex, Stonehenge, and
Highway (i.e. Cloverland, Industriplex, Stonehenge, and Castille Place) and Iberville and Ascension Parishes
Castille
Place) and
Iberville
andsmall
Ascension
Parishes
the Hwy.
30 corridor
where
lot and within the
along the Hwy.
30 corridor
where
lot and
acreage
tractsalong
increased
as much
as 30 to
40 percent
small acreage tracts increased as much as 30 to 40 percent within the last two years.
last two years.
Sample Land Sale Data1
SAMPLE LAND SALE DATA 1
East Baton Rouge (/SF)
Ascension (/SF)
PRIME
$7.00 - $8.50
$2.00 - $3.00
$4.00 - $5.00
NON-PRIME
$3.00 - $4.00
$0.75 - $2.00
$2.00 - $3.00
Full-Service Commercial
Real Estate
Investment
Development
Leasing
Management
Daniel P. Poulin,
CCIM, SIOR
DanP@Sealynet.com
Jennifer A. Lee,
CCIM, SIOR
JenniferL@Sealynet.com
INDUSTRIAL Trends
30
i n d u s t r i a l Trends
2015 FORECAST
Rental rates on average have stabilized at the current rates. Vacancy will likely remain flat at around
7.5%. Expect continued interest from service companies entering the market and existing companies
expanding to larger facilities, however, some companies that planned to enter the market or those
that planned expansions locally may take a temporary wait and see approach in anticipation of oil
pricing and its effect on the industry. Look for new announcements of 25,000+ square foot build to
suits as a result.
Except for a catastrophic world event, oil prices are expected to remain low 2Q15. Labor will remain
in high demand as well as affordable rental housing in the short term. Contract labor pricing has
caused the costs of large scale projects to go well beyond the estimated budget and may cause
some of the announced projects to scale back in size or not happen.
The industrial boom, aside from some recent setbacks, is in mid-race and the scope of the existing
projects will keep contractors busy for the next 3 to 5 years. US manufacturing will continue to grow
creating a continued demand for the raw chemical products produced in Louisiana.
Your Local
Baton Rouge
Commercial
Lending Team
Front, left to right:
Lisa Thompson
Jennifer Boggs
225.757.4418
225.757.4402
225.757.4420
225.757.4419
225.932.7255
225.932.7245
800-223-2060 GULFBANK.COM
GCB_Trendshalfpg_BatonRouge.indd 1
2/24/15 2:18 PM
31
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
20
15
Ty Gose, CCIM
Megan Richard
Laura White
Premier Sponsor
32
M U LT I - F A M I LY Trends
Vacancies rose in 2008-10 (as a result of a post-Katrina construction boom), but began to decline
in 2012. The Fall/Winter 2014-15 survey reflects 5.94% vacancy market-wide (153 complexes
surveyed), down from a peak of 6.84% vacancy reported in East Baton Rouge Parish for Fall 201112.
We analyzed two sets of rental data which differ by composition and number of properties
included. The matched dataset consists of 112 complexes, with a smaller matched sample of
44 larger (200+ unit) complexes also analyzed. Rentals for the 112-complex matched sample
increased 2% from Fall 2013 to Fall 2014 (over a 12- month period). The reported vacancy
rate for the matched sample was 5.48% (note that this figure excludes consideration of the
newly-built & vacant units in the new complexes in lease-up). The figures for the matched sample
of units provide strong indicators of overall trends.
A bulleted summary of our key observations & expectations is provided:
The supply of rental units in the Baton Rouge MSA has grown substantially since 2005. Relevant
stats include:
q 6,937 new apartment units were completed from when Katrina hit on August 29, 2005 through
the end of 2014 (with only 50 of those units actually built in 2014). The average number of units
absorbed each year (through 2013) was 867.
q 2,156 units are under construction for (or have been delivered thus far in) 2015
q 3,746 units are proposed for construction by the end of 2016
q The total new rental supply for 2014-16 could hit 6,000 units, which would equate to 2,000
units per year over a 3-year span (if all of the planned units are completed by the end of 2016).
q It is notable that construction costs for apartments locally are reported to have materially risen
in recent years (as the availability of skilled construction workers has diminished due to the l a r g e
industrial projects underway), and the availability of construction financing has diminished. It
remains probable that certain of the announced projects (those listed on the following pages, as
well as others still on the drawing board) will not be built in the short-term (some will likely be tabled
until such time that conditions are more strongly supportive of construction feasibility).
q Consideration should also be given to the 2,000 for sale condo units built in the Baton Rouge
MSA during 2006-14. These have historically drawn primarily on the segment of the market oriented
toward owner- occupancy, but many have been acquired by investors, or have been converted back
to rental units by the original developers (who have had difficulty attracting purchasers capable
of securing mortgage financing since 2008) and represent competition for traditional rental units.
Absorption of these units by investors has diminished greatly, as financing for these acquisitions has
become extremely difficult to secure. Virtually all proposed condo projects have been put on hold
(except for a few, small, niche projects).
33
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
34
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
6,937 new apartment units were completed from when Katrina hit on August 29, 2005 through the end of 2014
(with only 50 of those units actually built in 2014). The average number of units absorbed each year (through 2013) was
included
these
counts
(or on theand
lists
proposed
complexes
that follow)
are apartments
867.Not
Now,
2,156in
units
are under
construction
anof
additional
3,746
units are proposed
for construction
by 2016.
The total
rental
supply
for 2006-15
could exceedmixed-use
9,400 units,developments
which would equate
roughly
940
units per
year
thatnew
have
been
outlined
for numerous
in to
the
Baton
Rouge
area,
over a 10-year span (if all of the planned units are completed by the end of 2016).
including the River District along Nicholson Drive (as many as 1,800 units planned), the
Edenborne
andinConway
Plantation
in Gonzales
plannedthat
inhave
each),
Not included
these counts
(or on the developments
lists of proposed complexes
that (200+
follow) units
are apartments
been
outlined
for
numerous
mixed-use
developments
in
the
Baton
Rouge
area,
including
the
River
District
along
Nicholson
Rouzan on Perkins Road (several hundred units planned), River Park (Pete Clement has plans
Drive (as many as 1,800 units planned), the Edenborne and Conway Plantation developments in Gonzales (200+ units
for in
apartments
in his
masterRoad
design)
andhundred
others.
Weplanned),
are alsoRiver
aware
of(Pete
at least
2 expansions
planned
each), Rouzan
on Perkins
(several
units
Park
Clement
has plans for
apartments
in his master
design)
and others.
Weare
are too
also aware
leastprocess
2 expansions
(of existing facilities)
planned
(of existing
facilities)
planned
that
early ofinatthe
for inclusion.
Until specific
that are too early in the process for inclusion. Until specific plans are announced for these (site plan approval requests
plans are
for these and,
(sitethus,
planhave
approval
these analyses.
units remain
submitted),
theseannounced
units remain speculative
not beenrequests
included insubmitted),
our pipeline supply
speculative and, thus, have not been included in our pipeline supply analyses.
pages.
The new apartment complexes built, underway and/or planned in Baton Rouge area are listed on the following
The new apartment complexes built, underway and/or planned in Baton Rouge area are listed
below and or on the following pages:
Apartment Complexes Completed in 2014
in the Baton Rouge MSA
Apartment Complexes Completed in 2014
in the baton rouge msa
Complex Name
Location
# Units
Expected CompletionComments
Completed 2014
Gardens of Baton Rouge
36
50
50
10/14
M U LT I - F A M I LY Trends
Apartment Complexes Under Construction in 2015-16
in the Baton Rouge MSA
Apartment Complexes under construction in 2015-16
in the baton rouge msa
Complex Name
Location
# Units
The Addison
139
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
The District
312
2015
Upscale/Luxury Units
88
2015
Bayonne at Southshore
Stanford Avenue
240
2016
304
2015
Sterling University
235
2015
The Standard
247
2015
IBM Towers
85
2015
Upscale/Luxury Units
The Onyx
28
2015
Upscale/Luxury Units
65
2015
Upscale/Luxury Units
Commerce Building
93
2016
One Maritime
18
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Windsor Court
120
2015
Audubon Apts
LA Hwy 64 (Zachary)
182
2015
Upscale/Luxury Units
Expected CompletionComments
2,156
Not included in the following lists may be additional properties (in the planning and/or financing stages) for which the site has not been purchased, site plan approval has not been granted
and/or plans have not been publicly announced. As construction of new units cannot occur without site plan approval and the process of acquiring such approval is highly political and
speculative (as can be the site acquisition process), inclusion of such properties in a traditional pipeline analysis would be inappropriate.
Not included in the following lists may be additional properties (in the planning and/or financing stages) for
which the site has not been purchased, site plan approval has not been granted and/or plans have not been publicly
announced. As construction of new units
cannot occur
without site plan approval and the process of acquiring such
Vintage
Representatives
approval is highly political and speculative (as can be the site acquisition process), inclusion of such properties in a
traditional pipeline analysis would be inappropriate.
It is notable that construction costs for apartments locally are reported to have materially risen in
recent years (as the availability of skilled construction workers has diminished due to the large industrial
projects underway). It remains probable that certain of the announced projects (those listed on the following
page, as well as others still on the drawing board) will not be built in the short-term (some will likely be
tabled until such time that conditions are more strongly supportive of construction feasibility).
Alvin Childs, Jr. CCIM
Founder/Partner
Grady Flournoy
David Alexander
Founder/Partner
Michele Sauls
Director
Brad Amstrong
Hilary Bransford
John Hamilton
Michael Morrison
Andrew Querbes IV
Anne Dixon
Trent Siskron
Sarona Snyder
318-222-2244 | vintagerealty.com
Cecile Coutret
Apartmentcomplexes
Complexes under
Under Construction
in 2015-16
apartment
construction
in 2015-16
A data-driven approach
to commercial real estate
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
Not Yet under construction for 2015-2016 in the baton rouge MSA
Complex Name
Location
Park Rowe
334
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
River House
224
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
144
2016
60
2016
Beauregard Quarters
25
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Lofts at 6C
144
2016
342 Lafayette
20
2015
Upscale/Luxury Units
Park 7 Apartments
W. Parker at Dodson
280
2016
Wildwood of BR
204
2016
Arlington Townhomes
179
2016
124
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Nicholson Place
W. Roosevelt at W. Garfield
40
2016
276
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Greens at Millerville
Millerville at I-12
320
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Livingston Apartments
272
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
180
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Creekside Crossing
168
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
40
2016
160
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
272
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Silver Oaks
280
2016
Upscale/Luxury Units
Total Proposed/Announced
40
# Units
3,746
Expected CompletionComments
M U LT I - F A M I LY Trends
Apartment Complexes Announced (Not Yet Under Construction) for 2015-16
41
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
Building communities
one family at a time.
We know that when youre building a familys home, having the right tools for the job makes the job go much
smoother. You can apply online at entergylouisiana.com to turn on service for new residential construction and
to access standards information.
We are working hard to make it easier for you to do business.
Thats The Power of People. Entergy.
Dennis Smith
Project Manager
Baton Rouge, LA
(225) 339-3237
dsmit15@entergy.com
A message from Entergy Gulf States Louisiana, L.L.C. and Entergy Louisiana, LLC 2014 Entergy Services, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
III.
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
On the following pages are presented tables summarizing the figures compiled in the LSU/CMA apartment
III.
Apartment
& Vacancy
Statistics
surveys performed in Rent
Fall/Winter
2014-15.
Note the addition this year of Areas 7 (Zachary), 8 (Livingston Parish)
and 9 (Ascension Parish) to the survey results:
On the following pages are presented tables summarizing the figures compiled in the LSU/CMA apartment
surveys performed in Fall/Winter 2014-15. Note the addition this year of Areas 7 (Zachary), 8 (Livingston Parish)
III. Apartment
Rent
& Vacancy Statistics
and 9 (Ascension
Parish) to the survey
results:
Table 1
On the following pages are presented tables summarizing the figures compiled in the LSU/
Apartment Data by Area
CMA apartment surveys performed(Fall
in 2014
Fall/Winter
2014-15. Note the addition this year of
Full Data Set)
Table
1
Areas 7 (Zachary), 8 (Livingston Parish) and 9 (Ascension Parish) to the survey results:
Average Rent
Average
Rent
Sq. Ft.
Vacancy Rate
Apartment
Data
byper
Area
Number of
table
1 Set)
(Fall 2014
Full Data
Area
Complexes
0 BR
1 BR
2 BR
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
4 BR
Total
ALL
153
$626
$779
$942
3 BR
4 BR
0 BR
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
4 BR
Total
0 BR
Apartment
data
by area
(fall
2014
full
data
set)
$1,147
$1,910
$1.33
$1.09
$0.92
$0.93
$1.35
$0.99
5.38%
5.84%
6.03%
6.45%
3.80%
5.94%
$757
$831
$1,077
$1,523
$2,045
$1.57
$1.20
$1.10
$1.25
$1.44
$1.21
6.18%
5.03%
4.84%
7.07%
3.62%
5.11%
Area
2
ALL
3
1
4
2
5
3
7
4
8
5
9
7
42 of
Number
Complexes
34
153
37
42
10
34
21
37
1
10
5
21
3
1
0 BR
$697
$626
$566
$757
$520
$697
$417
$566
$520
$417
-
1 BR
$911
$779
$758
$831
$515
$911
$521
$758
$983
$515
$830
$521
$960
$983
2 BR
$1,052
$942
$882
$1,077
$614
$1,052
$599
$882
$1,271
$614
$912
$599
$1,193
$1,271
3 BR
$1,296
$1,147
$956
$1,523
$688
$1,296
$710
$956
$1,535
$688
$1,015
$710
$1,386
$1,535
4 BR
$1,064
$1,910
$971
$2,045
$1,064
$775
$971
$775
-
0 BR
$1.54
$1.33
$1.16
$1.57
$1.04
$1.54
$0.92
$1.16
$1.04
$0.92
-
1 BR
$1.23
$1.09
$1.04
$1.20
$0.79
$1.23
$0.80
$1.04
$1.10
$0.79
$1.11
$0.80
$1.15
$1.10
2 BR
$0.97
$0.92
$0.85
$1.10
$0.65
$0.97
$0.68
$0.85
$1.09
$0.65
$0.87
$0.68
$1.02
$1.09
3 BR
$0.94
$0.93
$0.74
$1.25
$0.66
$0.94
$0.67
$0.74
$1.03
$0.66
$0.83
$0.67
$1.04
$1.03
4 BR
$0.70
$1.35
$0.63
$1.44
$0.70
$0.65
$0.63
$0.65
-
Total
$1.04
$0.99
$0.89
$1.21
$0.69
$1.04
$0.72
$0.89
$1.08
$0.69
$0.89
$0.72
$1.05
$1.08
0 BR
0.00%
5.38%
7.32%
6.18%
0.00%
0.00%
5.98%
7.32%
0.00%
5.98%
-
1 BR
5.52%
5.84%
5.88%
5.03%
4.14%
5.52%
9.70%
5.88%
5.77%
4.14%
4.90%
9.70%
3.92%
5.77%
2 BR
5.50%
6.03%
6.34%
4.84%
3.35%
5.50%
13.24%
6.34%
7.69%
3.35%
3.35%
13.24%
4.05%
7.69%
3 BR
4.74%
6.45%
5.99%
7.07%
4.44%
4.74%
11.05%
5.99%
7.69%
4.44%
3.36%
11.05%
3.70%
7.69%
4 BR
0.00%
3.80%
6.67%
3.62%
0.00%
4.76%
6.67%
4.76%
-
Total
5.36%
5.94%
6.12%
5.11%
3.83%
5.36%
11.25%
6.12%
6.92%
3.83%
3.58%
11.25%
3.96%
6.92%
$830
$912
$1,015
$1.11
$0.87
$0.83
$0.89
4.90%
3.35%
3.36%
3.58%
$960
$1,193
$1,386
$1.15
Table$1.02
2
$1.04
$1.05
3.92%
4.05%
3.70%
3.96%
Average Rent
Vacancy Rate
Average Rent
Apartment
RentLarge
per Sq.Complexes
Ft.
Data byAverage
Area for
Vacancy Rate
Area
Number of
Complexes
0 BR
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
4 BR
0 BR
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
4 BR
Total
0 BR
1 BR
2 BR
3 BR
4 BR
Total
ALL
63
$687
$822
$998
$1,197
$1,916
$1.36
$1.12
$0.95
$0.91
$1.22
$1.00
5.23%
5.91%
6.57%
8.20%
6.42%
6.49%
$851
$876
$1,128
$1,471
$2,115
$1.61
$1.22
$1.12
$1.12
$1.34
$1.17
8.97%
4.77%
5.12%
8.01%
5.26%
5.40%
Area
2
ALL
3
1
4
2
5
3
7
4
8
5
9
7
17 of
Number
Complexes
12
63
22
17
2
12
3
22
1
2
3
3
3
1
0 BR
$710
$687
$851
$520
$710
$375
$520
$375
-
1 BR
$957
$822
$760
$876
$572
$957
$439
$760
$983
$572
$825
$439
$960
$983
2 BR
$1,163
$998
$898
$1,128
$649
$1,163
$561
$898
$1,271
$649
$917
$561
$1,193
$1,271
3 BR
$1,415
$1,197
$947
$1,471
$786
$1,415
$729
$947
$1,535
$786
$1,042
$729
$1,386
$1,535
4 BR
$1,916
$971
$2,115
$971
-
0 BR
$1.56
$1.36
$1.61
$1.04
$1.56
$0.73
$1.04
$0.73
-
1 BR
$1.27
$1.12
$1.04
$1.22
$0.80
$1.27
$0.62
$1.04
$1.10
$0.80
$1.09
$0.62
$1.15
$1.10
2 BR
$1.06
$0.95
$0.86
$1.12
$0.63
$1.06
$0.56
$0.86
$1.09
$0.63
$0.87
$0.56
$1.02
$1.09
3 BR
$1.02
$0.91
$0.73
$1.12
$0.62
$1.02
$0.64
$0.73
$1.03
$0.62
$0.85
$0.64
$1.04
$1.03
4 BR
$1.22
$0.63
$1.34
$0.63
-
Total
$1.13
$1.00
$0.90
$1.17
$0.67
$1.13
$0.60
$0.90
$1.08
$0.67
$0.89
$0.60
$1.05
$1.08
0 BR
0.00%
5.23%
8.97%
0.00%
0.00%
4.55%
0.00%
4.55%
-
1 BR
5.93%
5.91%
6.14%
4.77%
4.08%
5.93%
10.80%
6.14%
5.77%
4.08%
5.56%
10.80%
3.92%
5.77%
2 BR
6.23%
6.57%
6.98%
5.12%
4.40%
6.23%
18.10%
6.98%
7.69%
4.40%
3.65%
18.10%
4.05%
7.69%
3 BR
7.09%
8.20%
6.98%
8.01%
3.17%
7.09%
27.69%
6.98%
7.69%
3.17%
5.30%
27.69%
3.70%
7.69%
4 BR
6.42%
6.67%
5.26%
6.67%
-
Total
6.11%
6.49%
6.62%
5.40%
4.12%
6.11%
15.88%
6.62%
6.92%
4.12%
4.18%
15.88%
3.96%
6.92%
$825
$917
$1,042
$1.09
$0.87
$0.85
Fall
2014
Data
Set Statistics
$0.89
5.56%
3.65%
5.30%
4.18%
4.05%
3.70%
3.96%
Average Rent
Table 3
table
3 Set)
(Fall
2014
Data
$960
$1,193
$1,386
$1.15 Full
$1.02
$1.04
$1.05
3.92%
fall 2014 full data set STATISTICS (FALL 2014 FULL DATA SET)
Number of Complexes
Data Set
Vacancy Rate
0 BR
Units
1 BR
Units
2 BR
Units
3 BR
Units
4 BR
Units
Total
Units
All Complexes
19
128
143
102
26
153
390
9,905
13,926
3,906
973
29,100
Large Complexes
61
63
45
63
172
6,976
8,992
2,074
345
18,559
Table 4
44
Table 4
M U LT I - F A M I LY Trends
Average Rent
Vacancy
Number
of Units
per Unit
Total
70726
1,196
$927
$0.907
3.76%
70737
732
$1,156
$1.053
3.96%
70802
1,270
$1,341
$1.561
2.44%
70805
647
$536
$0.763
10.36%
70806
20
2,651
$695
$0.766
10.60%
70807
80
$535
$0.723
12.40%
70808
13
2,481
$933
$1.084
4.15%
70809
21
4,450
$1,021
$1.024
5.48%
70810
1,738
$1,086
$1.066
5.58%
70812
208
$651
$0.930
3.37%
70815
10
1,823
$661
$0.700
4.77%
70816
30
7,271
$847
$0.905
6.45%
70817
571
$987
$0.913
3.50%
70820
18
2,625
$1,342
$1.260
7.12%
table 3
Number of
Complexes
Zip
Code
45
46
(FALL 2011- FALL 2014 MATCHED SAMPLE DATA SET)
table 5
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
COOK, MOORE AND ASSOCIATES
Platinum Sponsor
M U LT I - F A M I LY Trends
table 6
47
FALL 2011 - FALL 2014 MATCHED SAMPLE DATA SET (ZIP CODES WITH MORE THAN 1 COMPLEX)
Zip
Code
table 7
APARTMENT DATA BY ZIP CODE
MULTI-FAMILY Trends
Table 7
COOK, MOORE AND ASSOCIATES
Platinum
Sponsor
Apartment Data
by Zip Code
70802
70805
70806
70808
70809
70810
70815
70816
70817
70820
Number of
Complexes
17
10
20
21
13
Number
of Units
Average Rent
Vacancy
Period
per Unit
Total
527
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$908
$868
$885
$869
$875
$1.268
$1.213
$1.236
$1.214
$1.222
1.14%
7.40%
4.74%
6.83%
6.64%
640
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$535
$535
$534
$539
$524
$0.770
$0.770
$0.768
$0.775
$0.754
10.47%
9.38%
10.63%
11.72%
8.28%
2138
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$711
$704
$696
$684
$680
$0.783
$0.776
$0.767
$0.754
$0.749
7.48%
9.78%
7.62%
5.85%
7.30%
2027
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$838
$824
$819
$830
$817
$1.007
$0.990
$0.985
$0.997
$0.982
4.39%
3.31%
4.74%
8.29%
7.65%
4013
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$1,029
$1,009
$993
$959
$962
$1.048
$1.028
$1.012
$0.977
$0.980
5.58%
3.74%
4.54%
5.03%
4.59%
1611
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$1,132
$1,049
$1,012
$1,031
$1,026
$1.100
$1.020
$0.984
$1.002
$0.997
6.02%
3.79%
3.97%
7.32%
5.71%
1526
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$676
$659
$646
$646
$631
$0.722
$0.704
$0.690
$0.690
$0.674
4.13%
2.88%
2.75%
3.74%
4.59%
5025
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$842
$832
$810
$798
$802
$0.882
$0.871
$0.848
$0.836
$0.840
4.74%
5.99%
5.29%
6.83%
8.82%
571
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$987
$947
$898
$897
$891
$0.913
$0.876
$0.831
$0.830
$0.825
3.50%
4.20%
2.63%
2.28%
3.85%
1849
F 2014
F 2013
F 2012
S 2012
F 2011
$1,119
$1,143
$1,131
$1,127
$1,070
$1.197
$1.223
$1.210
$1.206
$1.145
8.22%
7.52%
5.19%
8.38%
7.63%
RETAIL Trends
20
15
Maestri-murrell inc.
Platinum Sponsor
Maestri-Murrell, Inc
Trends Speaker
Charlie Colvin, CCIM
Maestri-Murrell, Inc.
Evan Scroggs
Austin Earhart
Colin Smith
Overview:
pace of the early to mid 2000s. Retailers continue to grow cautiously, with front-end
decisions.
market
research
and
comparable
sales
analysis
driving
new growth
50
Premier Sponsor
R E T A I L Trends
Rental rates for non-anchor spaces are collected on a high-low basis, with an average rental
rate for each property calculated based on the high-low indicators.
The rentals indicated are reflective of varying lease terms, with some shopping centers
requiring expense reimbursements from tenants in addition to base rentals and some shopping
centers requiring no additional reimbursements. To arrive at consistent rentals, any additional
reimbursements paid by tenants (generally for common area maintenance (CAM), taxes and
insurance) are added to each shopping centers calculated average rental to arrive at a total
average rental.
Attempts to survey each shopping center are made each year, however, due to turnover in
management and/or ownership, results for each shopping center are not available every year.
Comparison of the total surveyed leasable space and number of shopping centers indicated in
each time period should not be taken as an indication of new construction and/or demolition,
but as an indication of properties for which data was provided.
The Vacancy Rate figures presented should not be viewed as a matched sample, as the figures
for each time period reflect the results for each individual survey. They are, however, considered
to be indicative of general market conditions.
51
retail Trends
maestri-murrell INC.
Platinum Sponsor
Only shopping centers of over 15,000 square feet of leasable space are included in the
survey. Numerous small strip centers throughout the Baton Rouge area are excluded from
the analysis due to the minimal size requirement for the survey.
Baton Rouges two enclosed shopping malls, the Mall of Louisiana and Cortana Mall,
are excluded from the survey. Due to the large size of these centers and significantly
higher rentals collected for mall spaces compared to standard multi-tenant retail spaces,
these properties have historically caused significant skewing of the vacancy and average
rental results when included in past reports. They were eliminated from the survey in
2007, with results from earlier surveys revised to exclude these centers.
Baton Rouges 3 completed lifestyle centers Perkins Rowe, The Boulevard at the
Mall of Louisiana and Towne Center were surveyed for the first time in 2008. As with
the shopping malls, these centers collect significantly higher rentals, inclusion of which
would likely significantly skew the data. These three centers are generally excluded from
the figures presented, and specific information will be given on these centers during the
actual presentation.
Analyses are performed by Vacancy Rate (Table 1), Size/Type (Table 2), Age (Table 3),
Location (Table 4) and both Location and Type (Table 5).
52
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Spring 2014). 21% of the surveyed centers reported vacancies of 10.01% to 25% (up from
20% in Spring 2014, (17% in Spring 2013, 16% in Spring 2012 and 25% in Spring 2011),
while 11% reported vacancies of 25.01% to 50% (down from 15% in Spring 2014).
Analysis by Size/Type
Table 2 (see page 61) contains the analysis by shopping center size/type. The surveyed
shopping centers are categorized based on discussions with local leasing agents in
cooperation with CID and the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS and
definitions used by the Urban Land Institute and International Council of Shopping
Centers. The shopping center types are as follows:
Convenience Centers (under 30,000 square feet) typically provide for the sale of
convenience goods and personal services without having a standard anchor space.
Neighborhood Centers (30,001 to 100,000 square feet) typically provide for the sale of
convenience goods and personal services with a grocery anchor space.
Community Centers (100,001 to 250,000 square feet) typically provide clothing,
hardware, and appliances, in addition to convenience goods and personal services.
Typically, these are built around a small department, variety, or discount store.
Regional Centers (over 250,000 square feet) typically provide general merchandise,
furniture and home furnishings, as well as services and recreational facilities. These larger
centers are often built around one or two full-line department stores that are generally
larger than 100,000 square feet.
40% of the surveyed centers are considered to be Convenience Centers, though only 11%
(898,598 square feet) of the surveyed leasable space is located in these centers. 38% of
the surveyed centers are considered to be Neighborhood Centers, which contain 30%
(2,530,907 square feet) of the surveyed leasable space. 18% of the surveyed centers
and 35% of the surveyed leasable space (2,966,529 square feet) are considered to be
Community Centers, while 3% of the surveyed centers and 24% of the surveyed leasable
space (2,017,693 square feet) are considered to be Regional Centers.
Since the Spring 2014 survey, vacancy rates have decreased in every shopping center
type except for an very slight increase in Regional Centers.
The highest vacancies are noted in the unanchored Convenience Centers(10.44%), while
Regional Centers continue to have a low vacancy rate (1.69%). Community Centers have a
vacancy rate of 10.01%, while Neighborhood Centers have a vacancy rate of 9.64%.
44% of the reported vacant space is located in Community Centers, while only 5% is
located in Regional Centers. 14% is located in Convenience Centers and 36% is located in
Neighborhood Centers.
54
retail Trends
maestri-murrell INC.
Platinum Sponsor
The highest collections for non-anchor space were noted in Regional Centers ($22.41/
square foot). The lowest average collections were noted in Neighborhood Centers
($14.29/square foot).
Analysis by Age
Table 3 (see page 62) contains the analysis by age, with the shopping centers categorized
based on the year of their construction.
In 2013 we began looking at newer centers that were built in 2006 or later. Consisting of
923,736 square feet, they not only have the lowest vacancy rate at 2.16%, but have the
highest rental rate at $24.49/square foot.
The second set of shopping centers consists of 24 properties that have been constructed
from 2000 - 2005. There were 11 more recently-built centers included in Spring 2010
than in Spring 2009, primarily due to the surveying of Livingston and Ascension Parishes
(which have experienced substantial retail growth in the past decade) for the second
time. Also added were a few newer strip centers in Central. These newer centers report a
Spring 2015 vacancy rate of 5.09%, compared to the Spring 2014 vacancy rate of 6.27%.
34.61% of the space is anchor space and average total collections for non-anchor space
are $21.96/square foot.
The next set of shopping centers consists of 10 centers constructed between 1995 and
1999. These centers report a Spring 2015 vacancy rate of 2.18%, which is slightly better
than the Spring 2014 vacancy rate of 2.73% and Spring 2012 vacancy of 3.39%. 58.13% of
the space is anchor space and average total collections for non-anchor space are $20.04/
square foot.
20 surveyed shopping centers were constructed between 1985 and 1995. These centers
report a Spring 2015 vacancy of 4.10%, which is down from the Spring 2014 vacancy
rate of 5.76% 40.53% of the space is anchor space and average total collections for nonanchor space are $17.86 per square foot.
12 surveyed shopping centers were constructed between 1980 and 1984. These centers
report a Spring 2015 vacancy rate of 17.70% which is down from the Spring 2014 vacancy
rate of 25.09% and Spring 2013 vacancy rate of 25.31%. 42.45% of the space is anchor
space and average total collections for non-anchor space are $12.56/square foot.
35 surveyed shopping centers (representing 30% of the surveyed leasable space and
45% of the vacant space) were constructed before 1980. These centers report a Spring
2015 vacancy rate of 12.71%, down from the Spring 2014 vacancy rate of 14.77% and the
Spring 2013 vacancy rate of 13.58%. 26.21% of the space is anchor space and average
total collections for non-anchor space are $13.11/square foot.
56
1945 2015
seventy years
CELEBRATING
GENERAL CONTRACTORS
18145 Petroleum Drive | Baton Rouge, Louisiana 70809 | (225) 753-4150
www.buquet-leblanc.com
retail Trends
maestri-murrell INC.
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The lowest rentals and highest vacancy are noted in the shopping centers built before
1985. These centers represent 40% of the surveyed shopping centers, 42% of the surveyed
leasable space and 74% of the total vacant space.
non-anchored), while Area 1 contains many of the newer retail corridors in Baton Rouge
Table 5 (see page 65) presents a breakdown of responses from anchored and unanchored
centers in each of the geographic
areas. The lowest vacancies in
anchored centers are noted in Area
1 (2.67%) and Area 6 (2.33%), and
5 (0%, which is based on a single
anchor) while the highest is noted
in Area 2 (19.20%,). The highest
collections for anchored centers are
58
R E T A I L Trends
noted in Area 1 ($20.72/square foot) and the lowest collections are noted in Area 3 ($8.53/square
foot).
The lowest vacancies in unanchored centers are noted in Area 1 (4.14%), while the highest
vacancies are noted in Area 5 (14.16%). The highest collections for unanchored centers are noted
in Area 1 ($25.10/square foot) and the lowest collections are noted in Area 4 ($11.57/square
foot).
Summary
Of the 8.41 million square feet of leasable space represented in our sample (not including
lifestyle centers), 7.95% is reported as vacant. This represents a decrease in vacancy from the last
four surveys which landed between 9.5% and 10%. Regional centers, those over 250,000 sq/ft,
continue to have low vacancy rates and demand higher rental rates. Our vacancy rate and rent
growth this year has again followed the national averages, with vacancy in the 7% range and
rents growing 2.5% over last year.
59
60
77
74
79
80
65
25
24
21
20
28
13
18
20
19
14
2
6
5
4
5
117
122
124
123
112
Period
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
10% or Less
10.01% to 25%
25.01% to 50%
Over 50%
Total
Facility Vacancy
Rate
Number of
Responding
Centers
2%
5%
4%
3%
4%
11%
15%
16%
15%
13%
21%
20%
17%
16%
25%
66%
61%
64%
65%
58%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-5
-2
1
11
-4
1
1
-1
-5
-2
1
5
1
3
1
-8
3
-5
-1
15
Change
from
Previous
Period
8,413,727
8,480,051
8,616,676
8,553,159
8,038,380
209,812
390,971
310,078
139,835
276,185
700,398
1,228,866
1,257,715
1,143,286
1,030,623
1,091,018
1,042,484
897,066
1,094,318
1,200,694
6,412,499
5,817,730
6,153,817
6,175,720
5,530,878
Total Surveyed
Leasable Space
2%
5%
4%
2%
3%
8%
14%
15%
13%
13%
13%
12%
10%
13%
15%
76%
69%
71%
72%
69%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-66,324
-136,625
63,517
514,779
-181,159
80,893
170,243
-136,350
-528,468
-28,849
114,429
112,663
48,534
145,418
-197,252
-106,376
594,769
-336,087
-21,903
644,842
Change
from
Previous
Period
Table 1
668,608
900,116
849,429
789,562
830,529
130,004
232,710
191,630
89,732
174,374
243,617
397,070
418,968
386,310
344,083
163,969
151,601
131,570
174,367
172,996
131,018
118,735
108,461
139,153
139,076
Total
Vacant Space
19%
26%
23%
11%
21%
36%
44%
49%
49%
41%
25%
17%
15%
22%
21%
20%
13%
13%
18%
17%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-231,508
50,687
59,867
-40,967
-102,706
41,080
101,898
-84,642
-153,453
-21,898
32,658
42,227
12,368
20,031
-42,797
1,371
12,283
10,274
-30,692
77
Change
from
Previous
Period
37.14%
37.37%
37.35%
38.73%
41.68%
47.85%
42.75%
71.18%
0.00%
44.17%
21.15%
30.67%
29.91%
26.85%
35.74%
12.26%
17.60%
23.02%
20.26%
18.43%
42.77%
41.96%
40.46%
45.08%
47.71%
Percent
Anchor Space
retail Trends
Shopping
Center
Type
Convenience
Center
(30,000 SF
& Under)
Neighborhood
Center
(30,001 to
100,000 SF)
Community
Center
(100,001 to
250,000 SF)
Regional
Center
(Over
250,000 SF)
Total
(Excluding
Lifestyle
Centers)
Lifestyle
Centers
Table 2
Shoppingtable
Centers by2Size/Type
Number of
Responding
Centers
Percent of
Total
Responding
Change
from
Previous
Period
898,598
Total Surveyed
Leasable Space
11%
11%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-16,343
-65,380
Change
from
Previous
Period
123,880
93,791
Total
Vacant Space
Vacancy
Rate
Change
from
Previous
Period
19,119
Average
Center
Size
-326
-161
Change
from
Previous
Period
0.00%
0.00%
Percent
Anchor Space
$17.41
$17.36
Non-Anchor
Collections
(Rent + Reimb.)
in $/SF
Change
from
Previous
Period
19,280
Percent of
Total
Responding
1.58%
-2.41%
13,363
-30,089
10.44%
14%
12.85%
14%
Lifestyle Centers)
SHOPPING(Excluding
CENTERS
BY SIZE/TYPE
Period
963,978
$14.29
$13.71
$13.77
-3
27.55%
$13.97
40%
27.13%
26.21%
$14.95
41%
-895
25.70%
47
56,242
577
-142
29.23%
50
-3.15%
57,137
56,560
-1,670
Spring 2015
13%
17%
9.64%
0.90%
0.98%
56,702
Spring 2014
18%
-99,479
12.79%
11.89%
0.62%
$17.59
$17.34
36%
14,066
38,903
10.90%
$18.24
149,011
110,517
132,027
38%
39%
20,416
0.00%
1.42%
243,980
37%
0.00%
-42,962
129,084
343,459
329,393
33%
-458
193
11%
11%
12%
-154,538
290,490
19,606
20,064
30%
-86,010
106,479
270,074
Spring 2015
21
21
17%
17%
17%
18%
2,624,550
2,990,007
2,990,007
2,955,735
2,966,529
33%
35%
35%
35%
35%
365,457
-34,272
10,794
395,557
339,755
388,036
402,537
296,827
48%
43%
46%
45%
44%
-55,802
48,281
14,501
-105,710
11.36%
12.98%
13.62%
10.01%
-3.71%
1.61%
0.64%
-3.61%
142,381
142,381
140,749
141,263
-3,427
-1,632
514
43.12%
38.86%
38.86%
40.96%
40.39%
$13.76
$15.59
$16.12
$18.00
$17.62
58,372
Spring 2014
21
16%
10.28%
19,871
894,199
980,321
1,023,283
32%
32%
38,251
-1.63%
-3.76%
2,530,907
31%
11.27%
12.90%
-1
6
2,685,445
2,771,455
33%
16.66%
-2
2,664,976
-21,510
-16,984
38%
-2
2
2,626,725
40%
41%
39%
40%
2
40%
45
38%
50
51
47
49
40%
45
Spring 2015
47
Spring 2011
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
45
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2012
Spring 2013
21
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2013
Spring 2014
Spring 2015
117
4
4
3%
4%
3%
3%
3%
-2
1
-5
8,480,051
8,616,676
8,413,727
1,874,893
1,908,122
1,874,893
1,874,893
2,017,693
22%
24%
22%
22%
24%
-136,625
63,517
-66,324
-33,229
142,800
900,116
849,429
668,608
27,290
39,645
21,483
30,240
34,010
3%
5%
3%
3%
5%
50,687
59,867
-231,508
-12,355
-5,807
8,757
3,770
10.61%
9.86%
7.95%
1.46%
2.08%
1.15%
1.61%
1.69%
0.76%
0.63%
-2.67%
-0.62%
-0.31%
0.47%
0.07%
69,509
69,489
71,912
468,723
477,031
468,723
468,723
504,423
-163
20
-49
2,403
-8,308
35,700
41.68%
38.73%
37.37%
37.35%
37.14%
77.39%
76.04%
70.91%
65.57%
60.93%
$16.00
$15.66
$16.85
$15.95
$17.73
$19.85
$23.23
$20.59
$22.41
$22.41
145,808
18
Spring 2015
122
124
69,538
15.07%
Spring 2011
Spring 2012
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
-1.10%
69,701
9.23%
10.33%
-40,967
$41.39
$41.36
$42.31
$37.74
$36.19
789,562
830,529
4.67%
5.64%
4.72%
7.54%
7.83%
514,779
328,374
407,561
325,185
305,000
305,000
440,000
-79,187
82,376
20,185
0
8,553,159
8,038,380
9.06%
9.48%
6.97%
0.49%
1.70%
1.70%
-0.42%
2.50%
6.48%
-1.20%
11
89,204
77,254
68,041
3,000
10,343
7,500
11,950
9,213
65,041
-7,343
112
985,122
815,122
975,555
610,000
610,000
440,000
170,000
-160,433
365,555
0
123
1
-1
1
0
2
Spring 2011
3
2
3
2
2
1
Spring 2012
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2010
retail Trends
61
62
16
14
17
24
27
27
40
41
44
43
41
10
11
11
12
11
20
20
20
19
18
12
15
15
13
14
35
35
34
36
28
117
122
124
123
112
Period
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
2000 or Later
1995-1999
1985-1994
1980-1984
Before 1980
Total
2000-2005
2006 or Later
Number of
Responding
Centers
Year of
Construction or
Rehab
30%
30%
29%
31%
23%
10%
13%
13%
11%
11%
17%
17%
17%
16%
15%
9%
9%
9%
10%
9%
34%
34%
35%
35%
37%
21%
22%
22%
14%
11%
14%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-5
-2
1
11
0
1
-2
8
-3
0
2
-1
0
0
1
1
-1
0
-1
1
-1
-3
1
2
-3
0
2
-3
Change
from
Previous
Period
8,413,727
8,480,051
8,616,676
8,553,159
8,038,380
2,691,058
2,766,339
2,746,339
2,759,946
2,372,120
874,354
1,089,854
1,089,854
1,050,278
1,045,896
1,475,568
1,355,531
1,483,179
1,488,179
1,480,322
1,138,485
1,023,265
1,029,585
1,044,585
979,671
2,234,262
2,245,062
2,267,719
2,210,171
2,160,371
1,310,526
1,381,173
1,381,173
923,736
863,889
886,546
Total Surveyed
Leasable Space
32%
33%
33%
33%
28%
10%
13%
13%
12%
12%
18%
16%
18%
18%
17%
14%
12%
12%
12%
12%
27%
26%
26%
26%
27%
16%
16%
16%
11%
10%
10%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-66,324
-136,625
63,517
514,779
-75,281
20,000
-13,607
387,826
-215,500
0
39,576
4,382
120,037
-127,648
-5,000
7,857
115,220
-6,320
-15,000
64,914
-10,800
-22,657
57,548
49,800
-70,647
0
59,847
-22,657
Change
from
Previous
Period
668,608
900,116
849,429
789,562
830,529
341,999
408,629
373,080
345,149
318,892
154,755
273,478
275,842
162,478
235,202
60,464
78,057
69,774
119,787
123,985
24,806
27,934
34,889
42,615
41,272
86,584
112,018
95,844
119,533
111,178
66,646
86,605
59,218
19,938
25,413
36,623
Total
Vacant Space
51%
61%
56%
52%
35%
23%
41%
41%
24%
26%
9%
12%
10%
18%
14%
4%
4%
5%
6%
5%
13%
12%
11%
15%
13%
10%
10%
7%
3%
3%
4%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-231,508
50,687
59,867
-40,967
-66,630
35,549
27,931
26,257
-118,723
-2,364
113,364
-72,724
-17,593
8,283
-50,013
-4,198
-3,128
-6,955
-7,726
1,343
-25,434
16,174
-23,689
8,355
-19,959
27,387
-5,475
-11,210
Change
from
Previous
Period
table
Shopping
Centers3by Age
Table 3
7.95%
10.61%
9.86%
9.23%
10.33%
12.71%
14.77%
13.58%
12.51%
13.44%
17.70%
25.09%
25.31%
15.47%
22.49%
4.10%
5.76%
4.70%
8.05%
8.38%
2.18%
2.73%
3.39%
4.08%
4.21%
3.88%
4.99%
4.23%
5.41%
5.15%
5.09%
6.27%
4.29%
2.16%
2.94%
4.13%
Vacancy
Rate
-2.67%
0.76%
0.63%
-1.10%
-2.06%
1.19%
1.08%
-0.94%
-7.39%
-0.22%
9.84%
-7.02%
-1.66%
1.05%
-3.34%
-0.33%
-0.55%
-0.66%
-0.69%
-0.13%
-1.11%
0.76%
-1.18%
0.26%
-1.18%
1.98%
-0.78%
-1.19%
Change
from
Previous
Period
71,912
69,509
69,489
69,538
69,701
76,887
79,038
80,775
76,665
84,719
72,863
72,657
72,657
80,791
74,707
73,778
67,777
74,159
78,325
82,240
113,849
93,024
93,599
87,049
89,061
55,857
54,758
51,539
51,399
52,692
54,605
51,155
51,155
57,734
61,706
52,150
Average
Center
Size
2,403
20
-49
-163
-2,151
-1,737
4,110
-8,054
206
0
-8,134
6,084
6,001
-6,382
-4,166
-3,915
20,825
-575
6,550
-2,012
1,099
3,219
140
-1,293
3,450
0
-3,972
9,556
Change
from
Previous
Period
37.14%
37.37%
37.35%
38.73%
26.21%
25.42%
25.56%
27.18%
28.81%
42.45%
42.06%
42.06%
36.17%
43.09%
40.53%
41.08%
34.20%
41.51%
41.54%
58.13%
64.67%
64.27%
63.35%
67.55%
35.30%
35.13%
39.19%
40.86%
43.50%
34.61%
32.84%
40.08%
36.27%
38.78%
37.79%
Percent
Anchor Space
$17.73
$16.85
$15.95
$15.66
$13.11
$13.08
$12.80
$12.95
$12.24
$12.56
$11.99
$12.04
$11.68
$12.39
$17.86
$17.27
$16.53
$15.78
$17.04
$20.04
$20.75
$20.27
$19.50
$20.39
$23.09
$23.09
$20.84
$20.66
$21.07
$21.96
$21.40
$19.77
$24.49
$26.06
$22.44
Non-Anchor
Collections
(Rent + Reimb.)
in $/SF
retail Trends
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64
27
6
8
8
8
7
14
13
15
15
15
2
2
2
2
2
117
122
124
123
112
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Area 5
(Zachary)
Area 6
(Ascension Parish)
Area 7
(Livingston
Parish)
Total
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
12%
11%
12%
12%
13%
5%
7%
6%
7%
6%
24%
24%
24%
25%
26%
10%
11%
10%
11%
10%
16%
18%
17%
18%
18%
26%
27%
27%
27%
29%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-5
-2
1
11
0
0
0
0
1
-2
0
0
-2
0
0
1
-2
0
-1
0
4
-2
-1
1
1
8,413,727
8,480,051
8,616,676
8,553,159
8,038,380
74,531
74,531
74,531
74,531
74,531
607,683
577,913
626,330
626,330
626,330
144,186
296,236
296,236
296,236
277,936
2,307,396
2,491,253
2,432,246
2,319,598
2,468,242
703,188
788,188
870,764
890,764
722,264
1,188,958
1,249,296
1,259,184
1,290,684
1,290,684
3,147,525
3,061,825
3,025,885
2,985,937
2,860,041
Total Surveyed
Leasable Space
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
7%
7%
7%
7%
8%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
29%
29%
28%
27%
29%
9%
9%
10%
11%
9%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
37%
36%
35%
35%
36%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-66,324
-136,625
63,517
514,779
0
0
0
0
29,770
-48,417
0
0
-152,050
0
0
18,300
183,857
-59,007
-112,648
148,644
85,000
82,576
20,000
-168,500
-9,888
-31,500
0
101,726
85,700
35,940
39,948
125,896
Change
from
Previous
Period
668,608
900,116
849,429
789,562
830,529
5,400
4,350
3,150
2,729
3,150
26,032
43,707
30,762
34,806
63,432
14,049
55,354
67,431
66,518
60,850
327,915
323,586
319,928
310,991
230,603
112,400
92,961
185,130
191,185
116,112
166,762
181,312
182,432
167,752
194,799
95,100
92,783
75,276
74,163
96,020
Total
Vacant Space
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
5%
4%
4%
8%
2%
6%
8%
8%
7%
39%
41%
38%
35%
34%
14%
12%
22%
21%
17%
20%
27%
20%
20%
25%
14%
10%
9%
9%
12%
Percent of
Total
Responding
-231,508
50,687
59,867
-40,967
1,050
1,200
421
-421
-17,675
12,945
-4,044
-28,626
-41,305
-12,077
913
5,668
-4,329
-3,658
-8,937
-80,388
-19,439
92,169
6,055
-75,073
-1,120
14,680
-27,047
28,037
2,317
17,507
1,113
-21,857
Change
from
Previous
Period
Note: Airline Hwy Shopping Centers between I-12 and Florida Blvd Interchange are included in Area 4, Plank Rd Shopping Centers south of Hooper Rd are included in Area 2
30
30
Spring 2013
31
31
Spring 2015
11
Spring 2011
Spring 2014
13
Spring 2012
Spring 2012
Area 4
(South of Choctaw
& East of Airline)
13
12
Spring 2015
Area 3
(North of Choctaw
& North/East of
Airline)
Spring 2013
18
Spring 2011
14
21
21
22
22
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Area 1
(South of I-10 &
West of Airline)
Spring 2014
31
33
34
33
32
Period
Spring 2015
Spring 2014
Spring 2013
Spring 2012
Spring 2011
Geographic Area
Area 2
(North of I-10 &
South/West of
Airline)
Number of
Responding
Centers
Change
from
Previous
Period
7.95%
10.61%
9.86%
9.23%
10.33%
7.25%
5.84%
4.23%
3.66%
4.23%
4.28%
7.56%
4.91%
5.56%
10.13%
9.74%
18.69%
22.76%
22.45%
21.89%
14.21%
12.99%
13.15%
13.41%
9.34%
15.98%
11.79%
21.26%
21.46%
16.08%
14.03%
14.51%
14.49%
13.00%
15.09%
3.02%
3.03%
2.49%
2.48%
3.36%
Vacancy
Rate
-2.67%
0.76%
0.63%
-1.10%
1.41%
1.61%
0.56%
-0.56%
-3.28%
2.65%
-0.65%
-4.57%
-8.94%
-4.08%
0.31%
0.56%
-1.22%
0.16%
0.25%
-4.06%
-4.19%
9.47%
0.20%
-5.39%
0.02%
1.49%
-2.10%
1.07%
-0.01%
0.54%
0.00%
-0.87%
Change
from
Previous
Period
(Excluding Lifestyle
Centers)
SHOPPING CENTERS
BY GEOGRAPHIC
AREA
table
4
Shopping Centers
by Geographic
Area
Table 4
71,912
69,509
69,489
69,538
69,701
37,266
37,266
37,266
37,266
37,266
43,406
44,455
41,755
41,755
41,755
24,031
37,030
37,030
37,030
39,705
85,459
83,042
81,075
74,826
79,621
63,926
60,630
66,982
63,626
60,189
66,053
59,480
59,961
58,667
58,667
101,533
92,783
88,997
90,483
89,376
Average
Center
Size
2,403
20
-49
-163
0
0
0
0
-1,049
2,700
0
0
-12,999
0
0
-2,675
-2,417
-1,967
-6,249
4,795
-3,296
6,352
-3,356
-3,437
-481
1,294
0
-7,386
8,750
3,786
-1,486
1,107
Change
from
Previous
Period
37.14%
37.37%
37.35%
38.73%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
32.78%
34.47%
17.91%
20.23%
17.91%
22.19%
27.68%
27.01%
27.01%
17.99%
46.51%
43.92%
40.39%
40.74%
41.20%
37.38%
31.34%
31.26%
30.56%
25.60%
18.51%
16.87%
15.03%
14.73%
14.57%
47.05%
48.37%
52.25%
52.80%
57.07%
Percent
Anchor Space
$17.73
$16.85
$15.95
$15.66
$21.33
$21.23
$20.78
$21.53
$21.53
$17.23
$17.10
$15.64
$15.63
$15.59
$17.59
$13.93
$14.01
$13.97
$13.43
$14.63
$13.59
$14.27
$14.13
$14.87
$12.30
$11.16
$10.64
$11.03
$10.36
$13.54
$14.71
$14.76
$14.49
$14.71
$22.64
$23.03
$21.08
$20.13
$20.94
Non-Anchor
Collections
(Rent + Reimb.)
in $/SF
$100.20
$99.45
$79.47
$97.87
$46.81
$44.08
$39.92
$35.27
retail Trends
maestri-murrell INC.
Platinum Sponsor
R E T A I L Trends
Geographic Area
Area 1
(South of I-10 &
West of Airline)
Table 5
table 5
Property
Type
12
Number of
Responding
Centers
61%
39%
Percent of
Total
Responding
(In Area)
750,070
2,397,455
Total Surveyed
Leasable Space
24%
76%
Percent of
Total
Responding
(In Area)
31,052
64,048
Total
Vacant Space
33%
67%
Percent of
Total
Responding
(In Area)
3.02%
4.14%
2.67%
Vacancy
Rate
101,533
39,477
199,788
Average
Center
Size
47.05%
0.00%
61.77%
Percent
Anchor Space
$22.64
$25.10
$20.72
Non-Anchor
Collections
(Rent + Reimb.)
in $/SF
Anchored
19
14.51%
19.20%
9.12%
106,708
59,480
83,497
44,717
0.00%
25.60%
43.32%
16.87%
31.56%
0.00%
$16.41
$11.57
$14.87
$11.87
$10.36
$8.53
$14.71
$16.26
$13.49
95,100
31
17.57%
36,929
60,189
50.66%
0.00%
41.20%
$10.88
$18.47
$17.59
3,147,525
Total
Unanchored
65%
13.92%
16.08%
133,823
28,806
79,621
71.11%
0.00%
22.19%
$14.95
$18.41
$17.23
71%
29%
75,000
35%
8.59%
12.64%
9.34%
45,000
19,837
24,031
58.84%
0.00%
32.78%
$17.02
$17.25
$17.73
128,270
53,042
59%
41,112
116,112
75%
25%
0.00%
14.16%
9.74%
112,849
24,467
43,406
53.12%
0.00%
37.14%
181,312
426,830
41%
172,333
58,270
230,603
0%
100%
2.33%
6.74%
4.28%
136,817
34,197
71,912
53%
47%
33%
295,434
722,264
81%
19%
0
14,049
14,049
30%
70%
7.61%
8.74%
7.95%
667,975
581,321
4
67%
2,007,339
460,903
2,468,242
31%
69%
7,900
18,132
26,032
67%
33%
1,249,296
Anchored
8
12
48%
52%
45,000
99,186
144,186
56%
44%
447,551
221,057
668,608
38%
62%
Unanchored
Total
15
16
31
17%
83%
338,547
269,136
607,683
69%
30%
8
13
Area 3
(North of Choctaw
& North/East of
Airline)
Anchored
Unanchored
Total
1
5
6
21%
79%
5,833,146
2,530,581
8,413,727
21
Area 4
(South of Choctaw
& East of Airline)
Anchored
Unanchored
Total
3
11
14
37%
63%
Total
Area 5
(Zachary)
Anchored
Unanchored
Total
43
74
117
Anchored
Unanchored
Area 6
(Ascension Parish)
Anchored
Unanchored
Total
Area 2
(North of I-10 &
South/West of
Airline)
Total
Note: Airline Hwy Shopping Centers between I-12 and Florida Blvd Interchange are included in Area 4, Plank Rd Shopping Centers south of Hooper Rd are included in Area 2
Both Livingston Parish responding centers are un-anchored
$79.96
$53.35
65
RESIDENTIAL Trends
20
15
Trends Speaker
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Residential markets continued their year over year gains although the pace of that growth,
inclusive of all Greater Baton Rouge areas, slowed during 2014. This is completely in line
with expectations for a market this size and after several years of double digit growth.
The Residential Real Estate markets are easiest to understand when looked at through
the lens of Supply and Demand and the forces affecting both.
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RESIDENTIAL Trends
Market Note
While not all areas can be defined this way, an increasing number of communities and
price ranges are being labeled as being in a Sellers Market. A Sellers Market is usually
defined as any market which holds under three months of available housing inventory.
Conversely a Buyers Market is a market which holds over six months of available housing
inventory. A market which holds between three and six months of available housing
inventory is a market in equilibrium in which supply and demand are in balance.
R E S I D E N T I A L Trends
Price Appreciation
Greater Baton Rouge average sales price finished 2014 at a ten year (and perhaps all time) high
of $213,310. This average sale price represents an increase of 7.01%, the strongest average sales
price increase in eight years, excluding the anomalistic post Katrina period. The average sales
price increased from $199,343 to $213,310. Although a good indicator of the overall economy,
the increase is slightly higher than healthy market range. Healthy to Real Estate practitioners
means that the rate of appreciation is enough to assure that a new purchase/owner of Real
Estate will achieve a three to five percent year over year increase
in property value. Should a purchaser of residential Real Estate
sell the property within three to five years after purchase, they
will likely be able to do so at a financial breakeven after expenses.
Healthy to Real
In addition, this level of appreciation typically will not price
Estate practitioners
buyers out of a given market area or lessen demand.
means that the rate
of appreciation is
enough to assure
that a purchaser/
owner of Real Estate
will achieve a three
to five percent year
over year increase in
property value
Market Overview
The data includes all sales reported to the Greater Baton Rouge
Multiple Listing Service which includes East Baton Rouge, West
Baton Rouge, Livingston, Ascension, Iberville, Pointe Coupee, East
Feliciana and West Feliciana Parishes. Last year there were over
$1.89 billion sales reported to the Greater Baton Rouge Multiple
Listing Service by a membership of over 2,600 agents. This study
applies to market data analyzed from March, 2004 to February,
2015. All data, was analyzed on a 12-month basis. When the year
2014 is referenced below, it means March, 2014 - February, 2015.
An analysis of data taken from the Greater Baton Rouge Multiple Listing Service from 2013 to
2015 indicated that from March of 2014 to February of 2015, there were a total of 8,859 sales.
This was essentially flat from previous year of 8,870 year. Although this number represents the
highest number of sales in a seven year period it remains down from the post Katrina high of
11,826 sales in 2005. Total sales volume rose to about $1.889 billion from about $1.768 billion
the previous year. This represents a decline of -.012% total sales units, and a rise of 6.87% in the
total sales volume. Average list prices rose from $205,164 in 2013 to $212,764 in 2014. Average
sale price rose from $199,343 in 2013 to $213,310 in 2014. The increase in sale price represents
7.01%. The average days on market (DOM) fell from 86 in 2013 to 83 in 2014, or a 3.49% reduction.
The months of inventory decreased from 5.76 in 2013 to 4.50 in 2014, representing a 21.88%
decrease. In summary, the entire market experienced an increase in volume attributable almost
solely to an increase in prices.
69
RESIDENTIAL Trends
months of inventory decreased from 5.76 in 2013 to 4.50 in 2014, representing a 21.88% decrease.
7.01%. The average days on market (DOM) fell from 86 in 2013 to 83 in 2014, or 3.49%. The
In summary, the entire market experienced an increase in volume attributable almost solely to an
months of inventory decreased from 5.76 in 2013 to 4.50 in 2014, representing a 21.88% decrease.
increase in prices.
In summary, the entire market experienced an increase in volume attributable almost solely to an
THE
PRESERVE AT HARVESTON
increase in prices.
Platinum Sponsor
15 Month Market Synopsis - Month by Month
Date
12/13 1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 1/15
For Sale
Date
New
Listing
For
Sale
Sold
New
Listing
Pended
Sold of
Months
Inventory
Pended
(Closed
Months
Sales)of
Inventory
Months
(Closedof
Inventory
Sales)
(Pended
Months
Sales)of
Inventory
Absorption
(Pended
Rate
Sales)
(Closed
Absorption
Sales) %
Rate
Absorption
(Closed
Rate%
Sales)
(Pended
Absorption
Sales) %
Rate
Avg.
(Pended
Active
Sales) %
Price
Avg.
Avg.
Sold
Active
Price
Price
Avg.Sold
Sq.
Avg.
Ft.
Price
Price
Sold/List
Avg. Sq.
Diff.
%
Ft.
Price
Days on
Sold/List
Market
Diff.
%
Median
Days on
Market
Median
3882 3753 3756 3695 3777 3823 3944 3888 3948 3912
5/14
1265
3823
934
1265
968
6/14
1358
3944
914
1358
963
7/14
1276
3888
885
1276
867
3848
3730
2/15
3557 3465
3461
2/15
967
3461
617
967
823
656
531
612
667
820
934
914
885
870
761
693
625
707
523
617
513
5.9
690
7.1
694
6.1
873
5.5
925
4.6
968
4.1
963
4.3
867
4.4
766
4.5
720
5.1
716
5.6
625
6
580
5
750
6.6
823
5.6
5.9
7.1
6.1
5.5
4.6
4.1
4.3
4.4
4.5
5.1
5.6
6.6
5.6
7.6
5.4
5.4
4.2
4.1
3.9
4.1
4.5
5.2
5.4
5.4
6.1
4.6
4.2
7.6
5.4
5.4
4.2
4.1
3.9
4.1
4.5
5.2
5.4
5.4
6.1
4.6
4.2
16.9
14.1
16.3
18.1
21.7
24.4
23.2
22.8
22
19.5
18
16.8
19.9
15.1
17.8
16.9
14.1
16.3
18.1
21.7
24.4
23.2
22.8
22
19.5
18
16.8
19.9
15.1
17.8
13.2
18.4
18.5
23.6
24.5
25.3
24.4
22.3
19.4
18.4
18.6
16.8
16.3
21.6
23.8
13.2
18.4
18.5
23.6
24.5
25.3
24.4
22.3
19.4
18.4
18.6
16.8
16.3
21.6
23.8
253
258
258
261
264
266
267
271
269
269
262
258
258
263
262
253
204
258
178
258
193
261
206
264
201
266
206
267
208
271
197
269
207
269
199
262
245
258
246
258
205
263
204
262
210
107
204
98
178
104
193
108
206
108
201
110
206
111
208
107
197
110
207
107
199
124
245
129
246
108
205
107
204
109
210
98
107
97
98
97
104
97
108
97
108
98
110
98
111
98
107
98
110
97
107
98
124
98
129
97
108
97
107
97
109
77
98
84
97
93
97
92
97
90
97
83
98
79
98
79
98
75
98
80
97
76
98
78
98
87
97
90
97
83
97
180
77
168
84
165
93
179
92
173
90
177
83
186
79
182
79
180
75
178
80
183
76
185
78
179
87
177
90
189
83
180
168
165
179
173
177
186
182
180
178
183
185
179
177
189
Current Picture Residential Unit Sales - All Baton Rouge, All Residential Properties
Current Picture Residential Unit Sales - All Baton Rouge, All Residential Properties
Current
Month
Last
Month
Current
Month
Same
Month
1 year
ago
-0.1%
18%
3461
Current
Month
617
Same
3756
Month
1 year
612
ago
823
750
9.7%
823
694
2/2015 1/2015 % Change 2/2015 2/2014
For Sale
3461
3465
-0.1%
3461
3756
Sold
617
Pended
823
523
18%
617
750
9.7%
823
Current
90 Day
Period
90 Day
Period
1 year
ago
12/2014 12/2013
to
to
%
% Change 2/2015
2/2014
Change
Current
90 Day
90 Day
Period
-7.9%
3494
3797
-8%
Period
1 year
ago
0.8%
616 12/2013
600
2.7%
12/2014
to 718
to 632 13.6%
%
18.6%
% Change 2/2015
2/2014
Change
-7.9%
3494
3797
-8%
612
0.8%
616
600
2.7%
694
18.6%
718
632 13.6%
70
R E S I D E N T I A L Trends
Changes from 2004 - 2015
Total
Number % Change
of Sales
Year
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
$1,290,699,582
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
Mar-04 -
Feb-05
8,829
Mar-05 -
Feb-06
11,826
33.94%
$1,969,387,901
52.58%
$169,545
13.57%
$166,530
13.91%
77
-8.33%
4,067
7.88%
Mar-06 -
Feb-07
10,761
-9.01%
$2,033,258,350
3.24%
$192,408
13.48%
$188,946
13.46%
65 -15.58%
3,669
-9.79%
Mar-07 -
Feb-08
9,316 -13.43%
$1,836,278,393
-9.69%
$201,627
4.79%
$197,110
4.32%
145 123.08%
4,925
34.23%
6.34
55.01%
Mar-08 -
Feb-09
7,093 -23.86%
$1,430,661,986
-22.09%
$207,434
2.88%
$201,700
2.33%
95 -34.48%
4,928
0.06%
8.33
31.39%
Mar-09 -
Feb-10
6,878
-3.03%
$1,313,225,284
-8.21%
$196,876
-5.09%
$190,931
-5.34%
94
4,275 -13.25%
Mar-10 -
Feb-11
6,341
-7.81%
$1,235,680,205
-5.90%
$201,364
2.28%
$194,871
2.06%
90
-4.26%
4,772
11.63%
9.03
21.21%
Mar-11 -
Feb-12
6,742
6.32%
$1,284,029,425
3.91%
$196,980
-2.18%
$190,452
-2.27%
104
15.56%
4,809
0.78%
8.55
-5.32%
Mar-12 -
Feb-13
7,693
14.11%
$1,483,695,016
15.55%
$198,997
1.02%
$192,862
1.27%
123
18.27%
4,397
-8.57%
6.85 -19.88%
Mar-13 -
Feb-14
8,870
15.30%
$1,768,174,544
19.17%
$205,164
3.10%
$199,343
3.36%
86 -30.08%
4,260
-3.12%
5.76 -15.91%
Mar-14 -
Feb-15
8,859
-0.12%
6.87%
$212,764
3.70%
7.01%
83
-22.00%
4.50 -21.88%
$1,889,718,973
$149,288
$146,188
$213,310
84
3,770
-1.05%
-3.49%
3,323
5.12
4.12 -19.53%
4.09
-0.73%
7.45 -10.56%
Total MLS
71
RESIDENTIAL Trends
approximately
95% of the sales
volume increase was
attributable to the
increase in average
sales price and only
72
WINTER 2015
PROJECTED COMPLETION
Ri
veR
Ro
a
lauBeRGe
Cheval Point will be East Baton Rouge Parishs first up-scale residential community located on River Road.
Nestled in a country atmosphere and just minutes away from LSU, Lauberge and the newly updated
downtown Baton Rouge, Cheval Point is guaranteed to be one of the most desirable places to live in
Southeast Louisiana.
FEATURING
Priced from the $300s to the $400s
172 Lots - Standard & Estate
2,000 sf & Up
Community Pool
Easy access to popular attractions in Baton Rouge
Located on River Road 1.0 mile south of Brightside
in Baton Rouge
Financed By:
CHEVAL
zPOINTz
For information, please contact: Brenda Barber 225/ 769-4075 or Wesley Daniel 225/ 279-5410
Year
Total
Number % Change
of Sales
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
$817,363,785
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
Mar-04 - Feb-05
5,498
1,987
4.33
Mar-05 - Feb-06
7,121 29.52%
$1,208,001,107
47.79%
$172,938
13.69%
$169,639
14.11%
70
2,221 11.78%
3.74 -13.63%
Mar-06 - Feb-07
6,404 -10.07%
$1,210,603,571
0.22%
$192,874
11.53%
$189,038
11.44%
62 -11.43%
2,132
4.00
Mar-07 - Feb-08
5,547 -13.38%
$1,106,992,598
-8.56%
$204,532
6.04%
$199,566
5.57%
70 12.90%
2,731 28.10%
5.91 47.75%
Mar-08 - Feb-09
4,299 -22.50%
$905,193,107 -18.23%
$216,757
5.98%
$210,558
5.51%
89 27.14%
2,762
7.71 30.46%
Mar-09 - Feb-10
3,928
$775,286,555 -14.35%
$204,409
-5.70%
$197,374
-6.26%
93
4.49%
2,385 -13.65%
7.28
Mar-10 - Feb-11
3,514 -10.54%
$717,630,533
-7.44%
$211,855
3.64%
$204,220
3.47%
85
-8.60%
2,594
8.76%
8.85 21.57%
Mar-11 - Feb-12
3,645
3.73%
$735,068,059
2.43%
$209,336
-1.19%
$201,664
-1.25%
104 22.35%
2,705
4.28%
8.90
Mar-12 - Feb-13
4,264 16.98%
$862,050,249
17.27%
$209,438
0.05%
$202,169
0.25%
97
-6.73%
2,513
-7.10%
7.07 -20.56%
Mar-13 - Feb-14
4,797 12.50%
$1,003,405,592
16.40%
$216,018
3.14%
$209,173
3.46%
87 -10.31%
2,371
-5.65%
5.93 -16.12%
Mar-14 - Feb-15
4,819
$1,098,078,563
9.44%
$223,563
3.49%
$227,864
8.94%
84
1,897 -19.99%
4.72 -20.40%
-8.63%
0.46%
$152,113
$148,665
77
-9.09%
-3.45%
-4.01%
1.14%
6.95%
-5.58%
Ascension
Ascension Parish experienced a slight decline in year over year unit sales from 1,734 to 1,719,
or -.9%, but average sales price increase shored up the volume which achieved and increase
from $367,675,371 to $374,070,454. The sales volume increased by 1.74% despite of the unit
count decrease. Statistically this is a flat number and not
concerning as a trend. List and sale prices also increased by
Sales in Ascension
approximately 2.5%. Days on market decreased by 11.27%
Parish remain
in 2013 to 63, from 71 the year before. Currently available
significantly higher
inventory fell by 15.68% from 542 homes available for sale
than pre-Katrina
in 2014 to 457 in 2015. This days on the market number
is likely skewed by the reporting processes around new
sales activity in units
construction Days on Market reporting.
and sales volume.
RESIDENTIAL Trends
74
0.56%
PROJECTED COMPLETION
3
Gonzales
dutchtown
~ WINTER 2015
hiGhschool [
D U T C H T O W N
Featuring
Priced from the $250s to the $300s
100 Lots
Walking Paths
Community Lakes
Located 0.6 miles east of Hwy 73 on the
north side of Cornerview Road
Financed By
Total
Number % Change
of Sales
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
Mar-04 - Feb-05
1,478
$243,736,913
93
760
Mar-05 - Feb-06
2,173 47.02%
$406,712,030
66.87%
$188,750
13.32%
$187,166
13.50%
83 -10.75%
715
-5.92%
3.95 -35.98%
Mar-06 - Feb-07
2,017
$433,309,000
6.54%
$216,927
14.93%
$214,828
14.78%
64 -22.89%
646
-9.65%
3.84
Mar-07 - Feb-08
1,582 -21.57%
$355,204,922 -18.03%
$227,549
4.90%
$224,529
4.52%
84 31.25%
858 32.82%
6.54 70.31%
Mar-08 - Feb-09
1,208 -23.64%
$257,911,924 -27.39%
$218,626
-3.92%
$213,503
-4.91%
96 14.29%
899
4.78%
8.99 37.46%
Mar-09 - Feb-10
1,291
6.87%
$261,866,502
1.53%
$207,339
-5.16%
$202,840
-4.99%
95
-1.04%
738 -17.91%
6.85 -23.80%
Mar-10 - Feb-11
1,225
-5.11%
$248,666,451
-5.04%
$207,636
0.14%
$202,993
0.08%
89
-6.32%
802
8.67%
7.85 14.60%
Mar-11 - Feb-12
1,342
9.55%
$268,271,085
7.88%
$204,595
-1.46%
$199,903
-1.52%
98 10.11%
756
-5.74%
6.76 -13.89%
Mar-12 - Feb-13
1,453
8.27%
$291,753,619
8.75%
$204,748
0.07%
$200,793
0.45%
95
-3.06%
616 -18.52%
5.08 -24.85%
Mar-13 - Feb-14
1,734 19.34%
$367,675,371
26.02%
$215,364
5.18%
$212,038
5.60%
71 -25.26%
542 -12.01%
3.75 -26.18%
Mar-14 - Feb-15
1,719
$374,070,454
1.74%
$220,664
2.46%
$217,609
2.63%
63 -11.27%
457 -15.68%
3.19 -14.93%
-7.18%
-0.87%
$166,564
$164,909
6.17
Livingston
Ascension
Of the three sub-areas in this report, Livingston Parish has the lowest average sales price and
therefore the most affordable housing market. The average sale price in Livingston Parish
in 2013 was $169,758, as compared to the average sale price in East Baton Rouge Parish of
$227,864, and Ascension Parish of $217,609.
This year Livingston Parish booked its 4th straight year of increased sales units and 3rd
straight year of increased sales volume. In fact, Livingston Parish, probably driven by its
general greater affordability, experienced the highest unit sales increase in our study. During
2014 Livingston Parish saw a 10.99% increase in sales units bringing its two year increase to
over 30% greater activity. With 1,677 sales units closing during the year Livingston Parish
surpassed all but 2005 and 2006, again, post Katrina markets.
The average days on market was virtually unchanged at 88 days. Currently available inventory
dropped a substantial 21.79% to 548, the lowest we have seen in 8 years at this time of the
year.
Livingston Parish, being arguably some of the most affordable priced housing in the Greater
Baton Rouge, appears to be in a good market position. Experts agree that there is pent up
demand for first time buyer housing. This demand as well as a slight relaxing of Fannie-Mae
underwriting guidelines and reductions in Mortgage Insurance Premiums costs, adds to a
strong Livingston Parish Sales environment. We are paying close attentions to any tightening
of credit or financing standards from Fannie-Mae or interruptions of Rural Development
financing. Rural Development Loans are a type of financing offered through the United
RESIDENTIAL Trends
76
-2.78%
R E S I D E N T I A L Trends
States Department Agriculture. They offer no money down, low 30 year fixed interest rates which
are government guaranteed and allow for relaxed credit standards. This type of financing, makes
up an inordinate amount of how properties are financed in Livingston Parish (and other parishes as
well) so any interruptions in availability would be very disruptive to the Market in Livingston Parish.
The grid below reflects market data for Livingston Parish from March of 2004 to February of 2015.
livingston
Total
Number % Change
of Sales
Year
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
Mar-04 - Feb-05
1,346
$165,382,884
Mar-05 - Feb-06
1,826 35.66%
$254,330,556
53.78%
$141,432
13.51%
$139,282
13.36%
88
Mar-06 - Feb-07
1,624 -11.06%
$261,130,630
2.67%
$163,292
15.46%
$160,794
15.44%
Mar-07 - Feb-08
1,542
$253,910,318
-2.77%
$167,582
2.63%
$164,662
2.41%
Mar-08 - Feb-09
1,134 -26.46%
$188,309,494 -25.84%
$170,020
1.45%
$166,057
0.85%
Mar-09 - Feb-10
1,241
$200,250,427
6.34%
$164,612
-3.18%
$161,362
Mar-10 - Feb-11
1,092 -12.01%
$174,313,810 -12.95%
$163,339
-0.77%
Mar-11 - Feb-12
1,141
4.49%
$172,614,557
-0.97%
$155,868
Mar-12 - Feb-13
1,253
9.82%
$193,015,398
11.82%
Mar-13 - Feb-14
1,511 20.59%
$248,144,508
Mar-14 - Feb-15
1,677 10.99%
$284,684,211
Livingston
-5.05%
9.44%
$124,601
$122,869
87
648
1.15%
5.86%
4.51 -21.97%
67 -23.86%
509 -25.80%
3.77 -16.41%
68
834 63.85%
6.51 72.68%
106 55.88%
820
-1.68%
8.72 33.95%
-2.83%
89 -16.04%
770
-6.10%
7.44 -14.68%
$159,628
-1.07%
100 12.36%
879 14.16%
9.65 29.70%
-4.57%
$151,283
-5.23%
102
2.00%
824
-6.26%
8.66 -10.26%
$157,925
1.32%
$154,042
1.82%
100
-1.96%
737 -10.56%
7.05 -18.59%
28.56%
$168,465
6.67%
$164,225
6.61%
89 -11.00%
748
1.49%
5.94 -15.74%
14.73%
$173,483
2.98%
$169,758
3.37%
88
585 -21.79%
4.18 -29.63%
1.49%
-1.12%
686
5.78
77
RESIDENTIAL Trends
Total
Number % Change
of Sales
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
Mar-04 - Feb-05
1,567
$241,321,829
Mar-05 - Feb-06
2,219 41.61%
$359,290,086
48.88%
$161,581
5.04%
$161,915
5.14%
103
6.19%
Mar-06 - Feb-07
2,060
$351,065,021
-2.29%
$170,480
5.51%
$170,419
5.25%
94
-8.74%
Mar-07 - Feb-08
1,410 -31.55%
$244,929,451 -30.23%
$174,118
2.13%
$173,708
1.93%
99
5.32%
1026 20.85%
8.73 76.72%
Mar-08 - Feb-09
879 -37.66%
$153,085,337 -37.50%
$176,147
1.17%
$174,158
0.26%
144 45.45%
758 -26.12%
10.34 18.44%
Mar-09 - Feb-10
1,071 21.84%
$180,634,221
18.00%
$169,493
-3.78%
$168,659
-3.16%
119 -17.36%
528 -30.34%
5.91 -42.84%
Mar-10 - Feb-11
1,110
3.64%
$185,569,011
2.73%
$167,637
-1.10%
$167,179
-0.88%
91 -23.53%
586 10.98%
6.33
7.11%
Mar-11 - Feb-12
1,076
-3.06%
$184,493,569
-0.58%
$172,350
2.81%
$171,462
2.56%
110 20.88%
539
6.01
-5.06%
Mar-12 - Feb-13
1,068
-0.74%
$186,287,439
0.97%
$174,742
1.39%
$174,426
1.73%
110
0.00%
434 -19.48%
4.87 -18.97%
Mar-13 - Feb-14
1,161
8.71%
$207,323,965
11.29%
$177,910
1.81%
$177,435
1.73%
91 -17.27%
386 -11.06%
3.98 -18.28%
Mar-14 - Feb-15
1,053
-9.30%
$191,623,661
-7.57%
$181,378
1.95%
$181,978
2.56%
99
243 -37.05%
2.77 -30.40%
-7.17%
$153,828
$154,002
97
724
8.79%
5.54
872 20.44%
4.71 -14.98%
849
4.94
-2.64%
-8.02%
78
4.88%
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RESIDENTIAL Trends
Year
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
$85,773,558
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
Mar-04 - Feb-05
332
$258,213
$258,354
132
173
Mar-05 - Feb-06
456 37.35%
$118,067,991
37.65%
$258,816
0.23%
$258,921
0.22%
107 -18.94%
187
Mar-06 - Feb-07
616 35.09%
$157,614,821
33.49%
$255,518
-1.27%
$255,868
-1.18%
Mar-07 - Feb-08
555
$142,818,326
-9.39%
$259,950
1.73%
$257,330
Mar-08 - Feb-09
365 -34.23%
$94,158,944 -34.07%
$260,610
0.25%
Mar-09 - Feb-10
348
$89,520,779
-4.93%
$257,243
Mar-10 - Feb-11
215 -38.22%
$55,594,769 -37.90%
Mar-11 - Feb-12
231
7.44%
$58,698,672
Mar-12 - Feb-13
284 22.94%
Mar-13 - Feb-14
Mar-14 - Feb-15
6.25
8.09%
4.92 -21.28%
85 -20.56%
298 59.36%
5.80 17.89%
0.57%
128 50.59%
430 44.30%
9.29 60.17%
$257,969
0.25%
161 25.78%
414
-3.72%
13.61 46.50%
-1.29%
$254,672
-1.28%
151
-6.21%
226 -45.41%
7.79 -42.76%
$260,660
1.33%
$258,580
1.53%
133 -11.92%
145 -35.84%
8.09
5.58%
$254,684
-2.29%
$254,106
-1.73%
138
3.76%
129 -11.03%
6.70 -17.18%
$72,917,701
24.22%
$257,746
1.20%
$256,752
1.04%
126
-8.70%
147 13.95%
6.21
378 33.10%
$97,002,350
33.03%
$256,823
-0.36%
$254,663
-0.81%
144
4.57 -26.41%
444 17.46%
$113,725,081
17.24%
$255,685
-0.44%
$256,137
0.58%
-9.90%
-4.66%
103 -18.25%
99
-3.88%
-2.04%
160 11.11%
80
4.32
3.85%
-7.31%
-5.47%
R E S I D E N T I A L Trends
New Home Sales - $300,000 to $400,000 - GREATER BATON ROUGE
Total
Number % Change
of Sales
Year
Mar-04 - Feb-05
94
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
$32,073,968
$339,783
$341,212
$69,223,193 115.82%
$338,348
-0.42%
$337,674
-1.04%
56.19%
$342,077
1.10%
$342,149
Mar-05 - Feb-06
205 118.09%
Mar-06 - Feb-07
316 54.15%
Mar-07 - Feb-08
252 -20.25%
$86,132,747 -20.34%
$344,073
0.58%
Mar-08 - Feb-09
158 -37.30%
$54,802,832 -36.37%
$351,115
Mar-09 - Feb-10
90 -43.04%
$30,763,182 -43.87%
Mar-10 - Feb-11
64 -28.89%
$21,978,309 -28.56%
$108,119,310
117
120
57
7.27
2.56%
127 122.81%
7.43
2.20%
1.33%
108 -10.00%
184 44.88%
6.98
-6.06%
$341,796
-0.10%
147 36.11%
248 34.78%
11.80 69.05%
2.05%
$346,853
1.48%
175 19.05%
181 -27.02%
13.74 16.44%
$349,730
-0.39%
$341,813
-1.45%
141 -19.43%
122 -32.60%
16.26 18.34%
$349,572
-0.05%
$343,411
0.47%
155
9.93%
79 -35.25%
14.81
134 -13.55%
76
-3.80%
12.49 -15.67%
136
1.49%
71
-6.58%
8.52 -31.79%
74
4.23%
6.48 -23.94%
83 12.16%
5.82 -10.19%
Mar-11 - Feb-12
73 14.06%
$24,683,359
12.31%
$340,678
-2.54%
$338,128
-1.54%
Mar-12 - Feb-13
100 36.99%
$34,145,394
38.33%
$343,029
0.69%
$341,453
0.98%
Mar-13 - Feb-14
137 37.00%
$46,813,287
37.10%
$341,967
-0.31%
$341,702
0.07%
94 -30.88%
Mar-14 - Feb-15
171 24.82%
$59,423,453
26.94%
$347,784
1.70%
$347,505
1.70%
108 14.89%
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81
RESIDENTIAL Trends
Year
Mar-04 - Feb-05
53
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
$28,887,317
$542,385
$545,043
138
55
12.45
Mar-05 - Feb-06
115 116.98%
$68,086,016 135.70%
$595,572
9.81%
$592,052
8.62%
142
2.90%
84 52.73%
8.76 -29.64%
Mar-06 - Feb-07
119
3.48%
$70,765,574
3.94%
$595,855
0.05%
$594,668
0.44%
123 -13.38%
138 64.29%
13.91 58.79%
Mar-07 - Feb-08
156 31.09%
$92,870,730
31.24%
$597,691
0.31%
$595,325
0.11%
149 21.14%
286 107.25%
22.00 58.16%
Mar-08 - Feb-09
213 36.54%
$123,759,396
33.26%
$590,107
-1.27%
$581,030
-2.40%
170 14.09%
260
-9.09%
14.64 -33.45%
Mar-09 - Feb-10
80 -62.44%
$46,446,627 -62.47%
$617,938
4.72%
$580,582
-0.08%
222 30.59%
184 -29.23%
27.60 88.52%
Mar-10 - Feb-11
48 -40.00%
$30,261,118 -34.85%
$654,063
5.85%
$630,439
8.59%
-2.25%
91 -50.54%
22.75 -17.57%
Mar-11 - Feb-12
45
-6.25%
$27,737,662
-8.34%
$636,949
-2.62%
$616,392
-2.23%
128 -41.01%
62 -31.87%
16.53 -27.34%
Mar-12 - Mar-13
56 24.44%
$31,239,450
12.62%
$568,295 -10.78%
$557,847
-9.50%
141 10.16%
65
4.84%
13.92 -15.79%
Mar-13 - Feb-14
87 55.36%
$46,029,649
47.34%
$532,653
$489,900 -12.18%
130
64
-1.54%
8.82 -36.64%
Mar-14 - Feb-15
-6.27%
107 22.99%
$54,989,877 / 19.47%
$514,814 -3.35% Market
$513,924
4.90%
Condominium
Townhouse
217
-7.80%
107 -17.69%
71 10.94%
7.96
-9.75%
H O L L O W S
AT DUTCHTOWN
2ND PHASE
3RD PHASE
2ND PHASE
1ST PHASE
2ND PHASE
3RD PHASE
1ST PHASE
2ND PHASE
Featuring
RESIDENTIAL Trends
Year
Mar-04 -
Feb-05
685
Total Sales $
Volume
% Change
$71,343,730
Average List
Average
Average
Current
Months
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
% Change
Price
Sales Price
DOM
Inventory
Inventory
$105,657
$104,151
80
407
7.12
Mar-05 -
Feb-06
1,248
82.19%
$149,391,417 109.40%
$121,314
14.82%
$119,704
14.93%
93
16.25%
625
53.56%
Mar-06 -
Feb-07
1,330
6.57%
$187,447,775
25.47%
$142,696
17.63%
$140,938
17.74%
94
1.08%
832
33.12%
7.5
6 -15.73%
25.00%
Mar-07 -
Feb-08
1,245
-6.39%
$191,185,387
1.99%
$155,739
9.14%
$153,562
8.96%
88
-6.38%
1,112
33.65%
10.71
42.80%
Mar-08 -
Feb-09
872 -29.96%
$171,279,382
-10.41%
$199,414
28.04%
$196,421
27.91%
117
32.95%
964 -13.31%
13.26
23.81%
Mar-09 -
Feb-10
650 -25.46%
$95,542,250
-44.22%
$151,631
-23.96%
$146,988
-25.17%
149
27.35%
770 -20.12%
14.21
7.16%
Mar-10 -
Feb-11
503 -22.62%
$75,054,738
-21.44%
$154,973
2.20%
$149,214
1.51%
106 -28.86%
678 -11.95%
16.17
13.79%
-2.04%
Mar-11 -
Feb-12
487
-3.18%
$68,374,521
-8.90%
$146,888
-5.22%
$140,399
-5.91%
150
41.51%
643
-5.16%
15.84
Mar-12 -
Feb-13
583
19.71%
$87,908,404
28.57%
$157,525
7.24%
$150,786
7.40%
171
14.00%
579
-9.95%
11.91 -24.81%
Mar-13 -
Feb-14
574
-1.54%
$88,197,638
0.33%
$160,134
1.66%
$153,654
1.90%
137 -19.88%
589
1.73%
12.31
3.36%
Mar-14 -
Feb-15
669
16.55%
$94,663,500
7.33%
$189,300
18.21%
$141,500
-7.91%
119 -13.14%
505 -14.26%
13.2
7.23%
CONCLUSIONS
The year over
year
residential
Condominium / Townhouse
(Greater
Baton
Rouge) market appears to have flattened from a unit sales perspective
and as demand has strengthened home sales, prices continue to rise. This increase in Average
Sales Price has lifted overall sales volume by 6.87%. Prices increased during the period by
approximately 7%. Available inventory has declined substantially as the rate of sales quickens
low interest rates and have fueled demand while underwriting and minimum credit score
requirements appear to be easing slightly. Market conditions continue their trek towards a
more normalized supply and demand environment.
There are several issues worth watching at this time. The overall economic challenges with
our national debt and rising interest rate pressure; the Louisiana budget deficits and its
impact on jobs; the energy sector challenges to the drop in oil prices and the slowing of Final
Investment Decisions impact on jobs; and the possibility of tax reform eliminating the Home
Mortgage Interest deductibility and a general wavering of consumer confidence.
84
201
9
200
2015
2014
2006 2007 20
08
TE
N YEARS IN A
RO
americanazachary.com
FINANCE Trends
20
15
Brian Callender
Kenny Hodges
Assurance Financial
TRENDS Panelist
Mike Airhart
Whitney Bank
Students
Tommy Kehoe
Premier Sponsor
86
F I N A N C E Trends
Commercial and Multifamily originations increased from 2013 to 2014, including a 3.4% increase
in Construction & Development lending led mostly by community banks, according to the FDIC.
Conduit industry balances are stabilizing and increasing as new production is outpacing loan runoff, a change from prior years since 2007.
Multifamily lending continues to be the most popular property loan type among the major food
groups. While the Agencies still have the highest share of the outstanding debt pool, Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac are still under the conservatorship of the Federal Housing Finance Agency and are
subject to caps on total outstandings (there has not been a reduction in the cap since 2013).
87
FINANCE Trends
88
Clockwise
from center front
Cade Nichols
NMLS# 120522
225.757.4416
Don McPherson
NMLS# 737509
225.763.2039
Chris Hughes
NMLS# 684760
225.757.4449
Bo Kiebach
NMLS# 854592
225.231.1814
Lisa Cooper
NMLS# 466113
225.757.4453
800-223-2060 GULFBANK.COM
FINANCE Trends
Conduit Lending
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities or CMBS originations in 2014 totaled over $94 billion
in 2014, the best year since 2007 and a 9% increase over 2013. Pricing on average quality,
full leverage deals is in the 4.25% to 4.75% range for the right deal in a qualifying market.
Predictions for 2015 are that originations will increase over 2014 as more lender competition
enters the market and favorable terms, including an initial interest-only period, are offered.
90
F I N A N C E Trends
91
FINANCE Trends
!
Source: MBA and American Council of Life Insurance Companies
While the Federal Reserve has discontinued its policy of purchasing long term bonds, it has
maintained its policy of keeping short term federal funds rates low. It has been hinted that
increases in the fed funds rate will be considered later this year which will have the impact of
increasing the Prime Rate.
92
F I N A N C E Trends
The FOMCs assessment that it can be patient in beginning to normalize policy means that the
Committee considers it unlikely that economic conditions will warrant an increase in the target
range for the federal funds rate for at least the next couple of FOMC meetings.
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in February 2015
Floating Rate Indexes - The Prime Rate remained at 3.25% for the entire year as the Federal Funds
Rate remained near zero over the same period. The five-year trend is an absolutely flat line for the
period.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Bank Prime Loan Rate [MPRIME], retrieved from FRED,
Federal Reserve Bank of St.Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MPRIME/
BOSS
solutions, llc
2 2 5 2 6 6 4 5 6 4
ADS
LOGOS
BROCHURES
SIGNS
jillboss@eatel.net
93
FINANCE Trends
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Bank Prime Loan Rate [MPRIME], retrieved from FRED,
Federal Reserve Bank of St.Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MPRIME/
Long Term Fixed Rate Index The benchmark 10-Year US Treasury rate ended 2014 at
2.20%, down from 2.99% at the end of 2013. By the end of January 2015 the rate had dipped
to 1.68% before rebounded into the 2.25% range in March 2015.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate [DGS10], retrieved
from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/DGS10/
94
F I N A N C E Trends
It is important to view the 10-year UST in a longer context to again see that the current level is
extremely low as compared to a 50-year history.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate [DGS10], retrieved
from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/DGS10/
Come
home to
Come ho
Stop
6500 Corporate Boulevard
6500 Corporate
225
225--231
231--6606
225
225--231
231--
alleN Harris
VaNessa dodez
Branch manager
dale plauCHe
sr. Vice president
www.cottonportbank
95
FINANCE Trends
96
F I N A N C E Trends
Conventional Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates on single family residences have shown volatility over the past five years with current
rates lower than a year ago but higher than two years ago.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), 30-Year Conventional Mortgage Rate [MORTG], retrieved
from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MORTG/
97
FINANCE Trends
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), 30-Year Conventional Mortgage Rate [MORTG], retrieved
from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MORTG/
JOIN TODAY!
98
Ed Middleton
Gwen Cangelosi
Vice President
relliott@cbtla.com
Vice President
gcangelosi@cbtla.com
Vice President
phenry@cbtla.com
Diana Weems
Lillian Grossley
Carol Layne
Paulette Virnich
Vice President
dweems@cbtla.com
Brooks Lewis
Senior Vice President
blewis@cbtla.com
99
FINANCE Trends
Residential
Spotlight
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be slightly above market rate depending on the level of DPA. The program mortgage
to remain competitive with the market and will provide initially a 3 point, 4 point and 5 p
rates are subject to change daily in order to remain competitive with the market and will
DPA alternative.
provide initially a 3 point, 4 point and 5 point DPA alternative.
Program DPA: Each homebuyer family will receive a non-repayable DPA grant equal to
Program
DPA:
Each
homebuyer
family of
willthe
receive
a non-repayable
DPA
4.00%
or 5.00% of the
initial
principal
balance
mortgage
loan
grant equal to 3.00%, 4.00% or 5.00% of the initial principal balance of the mortgage
Program
loan Size: This is a continuous program. Unlike a Bond Money Program, we will n
out of funding as this program is tied to a daily mortgage interest rate.
Program
Period: The program is available immediately and CAFA intends to make the
we will never run out of funding as this program is tied to a daily mortgage interest rate.
available to provide for continuous origination as long as it delivers a competitive mortg
DPA product that meets the needs of homebuyers and lenders.
Program Period:
100
intends to make the program available to provide for continuous origination as long as
Eligible
Mortgagors: The normal tax-exempt bond or MCC program requirements (inco
it delivers
andhomebuyer
DPA product requirement)
that meets the needs
homebuyers
purchase
pricea competitive
limit, andmortgage
rst-time
willofnot
apply. In addition, t
andare
lenders.
buyers
not subject to "Recapture Tax." CAFA has established the following requirem
eligible homebuyers:
1) No First-time Homebuyer Requirement
F I N A N C E Trends
Eligible Mortgagors:
requirements (income & purchase price limit, and first-time homebuyer requirement) will not
apply. In addition, the home buyers are not subject to Recapture Tax. CAFA has established
the following requirements for eligible homebuyers:
101
FINANCE Trends
Eligible Loans: FNMA MyCommunity, FHA, VA, or USDA-RHS, all 30-year, xed rate
mortgage loans.GULF
Minimum
640 FICO
score [(660
for manufactured
housing)], maximum 45%
COAST
BANK
& TRUST
COMPANY
debt-to-income (DTI) ratio. All rst-time homebuyers underPlatinum
the program
are required to take
Sponsor
approved homebuyer education course.
Eligible Loan Area: Mortgage loans under the program may be made to qualifying borrowers
throughout EastEligible
Baton Rouge,
West Baton
Rouge,
Livingston,
Iberville,
Pointe all
Coupee, West
Loans:
FNMA
MyCommunity,
FHA, VA,
or USDA-RHS,
Feliciana, East 30-year,
Feliciana,
St. Helena
fixedand
rate mortgage
loans.Parishes.
Minimum 640 FICO score [(660 for manufactured
Eligiblehousing)],
Loans: FNMA
MyCommunity,
FHA, VA,
or USDA-RHS,
all 30-year,
xed rate
maximum
45% debt-to-income
(DTI)
ratio. All first-time
homebuyers
under
mortgage
Minimum
640 FICO
score
[(660 forhomebuyer
manufactured
housing)],
maximum 45%
theloans.
program
are required
to take
an approved
education
course.
debt-to-income (DTI) ratio. All rst-time homebuyers under the program are required to take an
approved homebuyer education course.
Eligible Loan Area: Mortgage loans under the program may be made
Eligible Loan Area: Mortgage loans under the program may be made to qualifying borrowers
to qualifying borrowers throughout East Baton Rouge, West Baton Rouge, Livingston,
throughout East Baton Rouge, West Baton Rouge, Livingston, Iberville, Pointe Coupee, West
Iberville,
Pointe Coupee,
Feliciana,
East Feliciana, and St. Helena Parishes.
Feliciana,
East Feliciana,
and St.West
Helena
Parishes.
Graphic
courtesy
ofthe
theBaton
Baton
Rouge
Area Chamber
Graphic
courtesy of
Rouge
Area Chamber
Participating
Lenders:
Participating
Lenders:
Assurance Financial Group (225) 218-9746
102
Assurance
Financial Group
218-9746
BancorpSouth
Mortgage(225)
(225)768-1100
chairman trends
Thank you for your participation in the 2015 TRENDS in Real Estate
Seminar. I would like to personally thank you for being here and provide a
bit of this events history and what goes into making it happen every year.
CID: YOUR EXPERTS IN COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE
Walter H. Ketchings, III
Chairman 2015 Trends
For over 30 years, the Commercial Investment Division (CID) has had a mission to bring
the individuals and companies within the commercial real estate industry in the Greater
Baton Rouge area closer together to share information and knowledge so that all can
prosper and better serve their clients and customers.
Today, the CID is the pre-eminent commercial real estate group in the area. CID members are top producers in their
respective market sectors who meet regularly to share ideas and stay abreast of current issues and developments
in commercial real estate. The major goals of CID includes networking, the dissemination of information to its
members, as well as the education and encouragement of our members in achieving professional designations
such as CCIM, SIOR, CRE, and CPM.
DEVELOPING TRENDS
The goal of the TRENDS program is to educate CID members and their clients, as well as other real estate
practitioners, in the Greater Baton Rouge area about the current trends in the market, and to offer our opinion
of forecasted market trends. Six distinct market sectors of commercial real estate are covered at TRENDS:
finance, industrial, office, multifamily, residential, and retail. These presentations represent the combined efforts
of volunteer committee members who pool their resources, data and expertise in analyzing each sector. Each
TRENDS presentation is the product of hard work and extensive evaluation by market experts. The TRENDS
Committee is a dedicated group of volunteers that works diligently all year long in preparation for the TRENDS
Seminar. Please visit our website at www.batonrougetrends.net
My sincere thanks goes to each of the committee members, presenters, sponsors, advertisers and GBRAR staff as
well as to the LSU Real Estate Department for making this years program another success.
The current CID President, Jonann Stutzman, will be the Chairman of the Trends in Real Estate Seminar in 2016.
We are looking forward to another great year! Thank you again for your continued support of the CID and the
TRENDS Seminar and I look forward to seeing you at next years seminar.
Sincerely,
The Baton Rouge Commercial Investment Division would like to thank the following
people for their help with preparations for this publication and all the information that
SPECIAL THANKS
went in it.
The Baton Rouge Commercial Investment Division would like to thank the following people for
Breakfast Sponsors
TRENDStheir
Steering
Committee:
Walter
H.publication
Ketchingsand
III, Chairman,
Deanethat
Bryson,
help with
preparations
for this
all the information
went Ken
in it. Damann, Herb
Gomez, Scot Guidry, D. Wesley Moore, Branon Pesnell, Jonann Stutzman, Jonathan Walker, and to all
TRENDSthat
Leadership:
Walt
Chairman, Brian Andrews, Branden Barker, Gary Black,
the individuals
worked on
theKetchings,
executive reports.
SPECIAL THANKS
Deane
Bryson,
KenCommercial
Damann, Herb
Gomez,Division
Scot Guidry,
Richard
Haase,
Sean McDonald,
The Baton
Rouge
Investment
would like
to thank
the following
people for D.
their help
with preparations
for thisKelley
publication
and
all the
information
thatSlawson,
went in it.Jonann Stutzman,
Wesley
Moore,
Branon Pesnell,
Pace,
Todd
Pevey,
Carlos
Thank you
to our
Keynote
Speaker, Dr. Lawrence
Yun,
Economist,
NAR on the executive reports
Dottie
Tarleton,
JonathanWalker,
and to all
theChief
individuals
that worked
Breakfast Sponsors
TRENDS Leadership: Walt Ketchings, Chairman, Brian Andrews, Branden Barker, Gary Black,
Ken LLC.,
Damann,
HerbDr.
Gomez,
Scot Guidry,
Richard
Haase,
Sean
McDonald,
Jill BossThank
ofDeane
Boss
Solutions,
(Graphic
Design/Layout),
Xact
Business
Solutions
(Printing),D.LA Post
youBryson,
to our Keynote
Speaker,
Lawrence
Yun,
Chief
Economist,
NAR
Wesley Moore, Branon Pesnell, Kelley Pace, Todd Pevey, Carlos Slawson, Jonann Stutzman,
(Video Productions),
and
Wren
Aerial
Photography
(Aerial
Photography
for
Power
Point
Presentations).
Dottie Tarleton, JonathanWalker, and to all the individuals that worked on the executive reports
Jill Boss of Boss Solutions, LLC., (Graphic Design/Layout), Xact Business Solutions (Printing),
LAThank
Post(you
Video our
Productions
),
and Wren
Aerial Photography
(Aerial Photography
for Power Point
Keynote
Speaker,who
Dr. Lawrence
Yun, hard
Chiefto
Economist,
A very special
thankstoto
Mrs.
Jill Sylvest,
worked very
get all ourNAR
sponsors, advertisers, and
Presentations).
coordinating the seminar, along with the Greater Baton Rouge Associations of REALTORS (everyone at
Jill Boss of Boss Solutions, LLC., (Graphic Design/Layout), Xact Business Solutions (Printing),
the office).
A very
special
thanks
to Mrs.
Jill Wren
Sylvest,
who
worked very
hard Photography
to get all our
LA Post(
Video
Productions
), and
Aerial
Photography
(Aerial
forsponsors,
Power Pointadvertisers,
andPresentations).
coordinating the seminar, along with the greater Baton Rouge associations of REALTORs
(everyone
at theour
ofce).
We would
like to thank
2015 Breakfast Sponsors: Americana/Level Homes, Gulf Coast Bank & Trust
very special thanks to Mrs. Jill Sylvest, who worked very hard to get all our sponsors, advertisers,
Company,AMR
Engineering & Surveying, LLC., and NAI Latter & Blum / C.J. Brown
coordinating
the seminar,
along
with theSponsors:
greater Baton
Rouge associations
of REALTORs
Weand
would
like to thank
our 2015
Breakfast
Americana/Level
Homes,
Gulf Coast Bank
(everyone
at the ofce).
& Trust
Company,
MR Engineering & Surveying, LLC, and NAI Latter & Blum / C.J. Brown - this
Finally, we
want
to thank
of how
our Sponsors
Without your support, this event would not
may
change.
Not all
sure
they want and
to beAdvertisers.
listed
We would like to thank our 2015 Breakfast Sponsors: Americana/Level Homes, Gulf Coast Bank
be possible.
& Trust Company, MR Engineering & Surveying, LLC, and NAI Latter & Blum / C.J. Brown - this
Finally, we want to thank all of our Sponsors and Advertisers. Without your support, this event
may change. Not sure how they want to be listed
would not beAssurance
possible. Financial
PREMIERSponsor:
Finally, we want to thank all of our Sponsors and Advertisers. Without your support, this event
would not be
possible. Properties Realty Trust Cook, Moore, & Associates Gulf Coast Bank &
PlatinumSponsor:
Commercial
Trust Company
Sponsor:
Maestri-Murrell
Inc. Financial
MIE Properties
LLC The Preserve at Harveston
Platinum
Commercial
Properties
Realty- LA
Trust!
PREMIER
Sponsor:
Assurance
Cook, Moore, & Associates!Gulf Coast Bank & Trust Company!Maestri-Murrell Inc.!MIE
Properties
- Sponsor:
LA LLC!The
Preserve
Harveston
Platinum
Commercial
Properties
Realty
Trust!
GoldSponsor:
Americana/Level
Homes
at
Beau
Box
Commercial
Real Estate Buquet & Leblanc Inc.
Cook, Moore, & Associates!Gulf Coast Bank & Trust Company!Maestri-Murrell Inc.!MIE
CCIM, LA Chapter
Citizens
Bank
Destiny
Interest
Entergy
McGlinchey
Stafford, PLLC NAI Latter
Properties
- LAAmericana/Level
LLC!The Preserve
at Harveston Box Commercial Real Estate!Buquet
Gold
Sponsor:
Homes!Beau
& Leblanc
& Blum Inc.!CCIM,
/ C.J. Brown LA
Real
Property
Management
Premium,LLC
Sealy
&
Company
Snappy Jacobs
Chapter!Citizens Bank!Destiny Interest!Entergy!McGlincheyStafford,
Gold
Sponsor:
Homes!Beau
Commercial
Real
Estate!Buquet
Real Estate
Management,
LLC
Sperry
VanNess,
LLCManagement
Box
Waters
& Pettit
Commercial
Real Estate
Whitney
PLLC!NAI
LatterAmericana/Level
&
Blum
Inc!Real
Property
Premium,LLC!Sealy
&& Leblanc
Inc.!CCIM, LA Chapter!Citizens Bank!Destiny Interest!Entergy!McGlinchey Stafford,
Jacobs Real Estate Management, LLC!Sperry, Van, Ness, LLC!Waters &
Bank Company!Snappy
PLLC!NAI Latter & Blum Inc!Real Property Management Premium,LLC!Sealy &
Pettit Commercial Real Estate!Whitney Bank
Company!Snappy Jacobs Real Estate Management, LLC!Sperry, Van, Ness, LLC!Waters &
Vintage
Realty
Company
Business Park @
BTR!The Cottonport
Bank!Vintage Federal
Realty Company
Companies!Louisiana
REALTORS!Perkins
Rowe!Neighbors
Credit Union!The
Aviation Business Park @ BTR!The Cottonport Bank!Vintage Realty Company
Program Sponsor:
Baton
Rouge
Title Company,
Inc.!Capital
Area Finance
Authority!Capital
One
ProgramSponsor:
Baton Rouge
Title
Company,
Inc. Capital
Area Finance
Authority
Capital One Bank
Program Sponsor:
Rouge Title Company,
Inc.!Capital
Area FinanceMortgage!First
Authority!CapitalBank
Cleaning
Company!Eustis
Commercial
Mortgage!Eustis
&
CurtisBank!Curtis
Cleaning
Company
Baton
Eustis
Commercial Mortgage
Eustis
Mortgage
First
Bank & TrustOne
Gully,
Bank!Curtis
CleaningMcKey!Iberville
Company!EustisBank!Jerry
Commercial Mortgage!Eustis
Mortgage!First
Bank &
Trust!Gully,
Phelps,&
del Rio Real Estate,
Inc.!Louisiana
Phelps, & McKey
Iberville
Bank
Jerry del Bank!Jerry
Rio Real Estate,
Inc.
Louisiana
Commercial Database
Trust!Gully,
Phelps,&
McKey!Iberville
del Rio
Real
Estate, LLC!MR
Inc.!Louisiana
Commercial
Database!MidSouth
Bank!Mike Falgoust
& Associates,
Engineering &
MidSouth
Bank
Mike
Falgoust
&
Associates,
LLC
MR
Engineering
&
Surveying,
LLC Padial
Commercial
Database!MidSouth
Bank!Mike
Falgoust
&
Associates,
LLC!MR
Engineering
&One,Real
Surveying, LLC!Padial Real Estate, Inc.!Plaquemine Bank & Trust Company!Property
Surveying,
LLC!Padial
Real
Estate,
Inc.!Plaquemine
Bank
&
Trust
Company!Property
One, Bank
Estate, Inc.
Plaquemine
Bank
&
Trust
Company
Property
One,
Inc.
Red
River
Bank
Regions
Inc.!Red River Bank!Regions Bank!Saurage/Rotenberg Commercial Real Estate!SJB Group,
Inc.!Red River Bank!Regions Bank!Saurage/Rotenberg Commercial Real Estate!SJB Group,
Saurage/Rotenberg
Commercial
Real Estate SJB Group,
Inc SRSA Gulf
South Management
Stirling
Inc!SRSA Gulf
South Management!Stirling
Properties!United
Community
Bank!work box
Inc!SRSA Gulf South Management!Stirling Properties!United Community Bank!work box
Properties United Community Bank Work Box
VIDEOS
104
PHOTOGRAPHY
NeW ORLeaNS
FuLL SeRviCe
COMMeRCiaL ReaL eState
Baton Rouge & New Orleans
BatON ROuge
BatON ROuge
WWW.SNaPPYJaCOBS.COM
FOR LeaSe BatON ROuge
BatON ROuge
sponsorstrends
THE
Curtis
Company
Curtis Cleaning
Cleaning Company
GREATER
BATON
ROUGE
ASSOCIATION
JerryRealdel
Rio
Estate, Inc.
OF
R E A LT O R S
TRENDS
2015
SRSA COMMERCIAL
REAL ESTATE
www.ucbanking.com