CNG MN HC

MSMH

Tn mn hc

S tn ch

QT112DV01

NGUYN L THNG K
PRINCIPLES OF STATISTICS

03

S dng k t hc k 01 nm hc 2012 - 2013 theo quyt nh s ngy ...

A. Quy cch mn hc:

S tit
Tng
s tit
(1)

L
thuyt
(2)

Bi tp
(3)

Thc
hnh
(4)

i thc
t
(5)

T
hc
(6)

45

45

00

00

00

90

S tit phng hc
Phng l
Phng
i thc
thuyt
thc hnh
t
(7)
(8)
(9)
45

00

00

(1) = (2) + (3) + (4) + (5) = (7) + (8) + (9)

B. Lin h vi mn hc khc v iu kin hc mn hc:

Lin h
M s mn hc
Mn tin quyt: Khng c mn tin quyt

Tn mn hc

C. Tm tt ni dung mn hc:
Cung cp mt cch c h thng cc phng php iu tra thng k bao gm vic thu thp thng tin
ban u v cc hin tng kinh t x hi v vic x l cc thng tin thu thp. Trang b cc
phng php phn tch kinh t x hi lm c s cho d on cc mc ca hin tng trong
tng lai nhm gip cho cc quyt nh trong qun l kinh t.

D. Mc tiu ca mn hc:
Stt
1
2

Mc tiu ca mn hc
Trang b cho ngi hc cc phng php thng k cn bn s dng trong vic thu thp v
phn tch d liu, lm c s c th ra cc quyt nh trong kinh doanh.
i i thiu mt vi phn mm x l s liu
ip ngi hc bit s dng cc phn mm trong vic x l d liu (Excel, SPSS, Eviews),

hiu v s dng c cc kt qu cung cp t phn mm .

E. Kt qu t c sau khi hc mn hc:

Stt
1

Kt qu t c
Bit cch thu thp, sp xp, tm tt v trnh by d liu thng k

Tnh ton c c m u v cch ly m u ph hp yu cu nghin cu

c lng c xc sut xy ra cho mt s bin c trong kinh doanh

Hiu c ngha, chnh xc ca cc con s

Kim nh c tnh ng n ca mt s gi thit

S dng c mt phn mm x l s liu

a quyt nh trong sn xut kinh doanh da trn c s phn tch d liu thng k thu
thp c

Thc hin c mt s n hon chnh v thm d kin

F. Phng thc tin hnh mn hc:

Loi hnh phng S tit
1 Phng l thuyt
45
45
Tng cng
Yu cu :
Mn hc t nng thc trch nhim t hc ca sinh vin.
h ng d n.

ing vin ch ng vai tr ngi

Phn ging trn l p ca mn hc, ch yu gi i thiu nhng ni dung c bn m khng trnh by

tt c cc ni dung ca cng.
Sinh vin c trch nhim c tr c phn ni dung trong gio trnh bt buc c ch nh trong
cng ny khi n l p.
Tham d l p hc y v ch nghe ging
Tham gia t cu h i

m bi tp

io trnh bng ting Anh, ging bng ting Vit. S s l p l thuyt ti a l 60 sinh vin.

Sinh vin t phn nhm (ti a l 0 SV) lm n.

+ Cch t chc ging dy mn hc:
Chin lc

STT

M t chin lc s
dng (ngn gn)

ing trn l p (lecture)

S tit

S s SV ti a

45

60

G. Ti liu hc tp:
1. Ti liu bt buc:
- Joanne Smailes & Angela Mc Grane - Essential Business Statistics Prentice Hall ISBN 0273-64333-9
2. Ti liu khng bt buc (tham kho):
- Newbold Paul - Statistics for Bussiness and Economics, 5th edition - Prentice Hall
-

Tp bi ging ca gio vin

3. Phn mm s dng: Excel

H. nh gi kt qu hc tp mn hc:
1. Thuyt minh v cch nh gi kt qu hc tp
- nh gi chuyn cn: Th hin qua cc bi tp v nh phi np li cho ging vin theo ng
k hn.
- Np n mn hc: Tun 13.
- Thi cui k : Theo lch ca phng o to.

2. Tm tt cch nh gi kt qu hc tp
* i vi hc k chnh:
Thnh
Thi
Tm tt bin php nh gi
phn
lng
Bi tp
Sinh vin lm bi tp c nhn
v nh
n
Nhm 5 SV thc hin v np bo
mn hc
co
Thi cui 90 pht
Bi thi vit. c s dng ti liu.
hc k
Khng s dng Laptop
Tng
* i vi hc k ph:
Thnh
Thi
phn
lng
Bi tp
v nh
n
mn hc
Thi cui 90 pht
hc k

Tm tt bin php nh gi
Sinh vin lm bi tp c nhn
Nhm 5 SV thc hin v np bo
co
Bi thi vit. c s dng ti liu.
Khng s dng Laptop
Tng

Trng
Thi im
s
20%
Tun 1 n
tun 12
Tun 5 n
30%
tun 13
50% Theo lch
PT
100%
Trng
Thi im
s
20%
Bui 1 n
bui 12
Tun 3 n
30%
tun 6
50% Theo lch
PT
100%

3. Tnh chnh trc trong hc thut (academic integrity)

Chnh trc l mt gi tr ct li v mang tnh quyt nh cho cht lng o to ca mt trng i
hc. V vy, m bo s chnh trc trong ging dy, hc tp, v nghin cu lun c ch trng ti
i hc Hoa Sen. C th, sinh vin cn thc hin nhng iu sau:
a. Lm vic c lp i vi nhng bi tp c nhn: Nhng bi tp hoc bi kim tra c nhn
nhm nh gi kh nng ca tng sinh vin. Sinh vin phi t mnh thc hin nhng bi tp ny;
khng c nh s gip ca ai khc. Sinh vin cng khng c php gip bn khc trong
l p nu khng c s ng ca ging vin. i v i bi kim tra (c ti l p v t lm nh),
sinh vin khng c gian ln d i bt c hnh thc no.
b. Khng o vn: o vn (plagiarism) l vic s dng , cu vn, hoc bi vit ca ngi khc
trong bi vit ca mnh m khng c trch d n ph hp. Sinh vin s b xem l o vn nu:
i. Sao chp nguyn vn mt cu hay mt on vn m khng a vo ngoc kp v khng c
trch d n ph hp.
ii. S dng ton b hay mt phn bi vit ca ngi khc.
iii. Din t li (rephrase) hoc dch (translate) tng, on vn ca ngi khc m khng c
trch d n ph hp.
iv.
T o vn (self-plagiarize) bng cch s dng ton b hoc phn ni dung ch yu ca
mt ti, bo co, bi kim tra do chnh mnh vit np cho hai (hay nhiu) l p khc
nhau.
c. C trch nhim trong lm vic nhm: Cc hot ng nhm, bi tp nhm, hay bo co nhm
v n phi th hin s ng gp ca c nhn nhng vai tr khc nhau. Bo co cui k ca sinh
vin nn c phn ghi nhn nhng ng gp c nhn ny.
Bt k hnh ng khng chnh trc no ca sinh vin, d b pht hin bt k thi im no (k
c sau khi im c cng b hoc kt thc mn hc) u s dn n im 0 i vi phn
kim tra tng ng, hoc im 0 cho ton b mn hc ty vo mc . (tham kho Chnh sch
Phng trnh o vn ti: http://thuvien.hoasen.edu.vn/chinh-sach-phong-tranh-dao-van). nu
cao v gi vng tnh chnh trc, nh trng cng khuyn khch sinh vin bo co cho ging vin v
Trng Khoa nhng trng hp gian ln m mnh bit c.

I. Phn cng ging dy:

STT

H v tn

TS. Th Thin Hng

ThS. m Quc Dng

Email, in thoi,
Lch tip SV
V tr ging
Phng lm vic
dy
huong.lethithien@hoasen.edu.vn Xem trn trang
ing vin iu
0913808585
web ca Khoa phi
A108, CS2
KTTM
dung.lamquoc@hoasen.edu.vn
0985598278
A108, CS2

Xem trn trang

ing vin ph
web ca Khoa trch mn hc
KTTM

J. K hoch ging dy:

i vi hc k chnh:

Tun/Bui

Ta bi ging

Chng 1: Gii thiu mn hc (3 tit)

1/1

1.1. nh ngha.
1.2. Chc nng ca thng k.

Thng k m t

Thng k suy din

1.3. Cc khi nim cn bn.

D liu nh tnh nh
lng

Tiu thc thng k

M u v n v m u

Tng th v n v tng th

1.4. Cp bc o lng v cc loi Thang

o d liu

Thang o nh danh

Thang o th bc

Thang o khong

Thang o t l

Chng 2: Thu thp d liu (3 tit)

2/2

2.1 Xc nh d liu cn thu thp

D liu s cp
D liu th cp
2.2 Ngun thu thp d liu
2.3 Cc phng php thu thp d liu s

Ti liu bt buc
/tham kho

Cng vic sinh

vin phi hon
thnh

cp
2.4 Cc k thut chn mu
2.5 K thut thit k bng hi
2.6 K thut phng vn
Chng 3: Trnh by d liu bng bng v th (6 tit)
3/3
3.1 Bng tn s

Cch lp bng tn s cho d

liu nh tnh

Cch lp bng tn s cho d

liu nh lng

Cch lp bng tn s kt hp
2 tiu thc thng k

4/4

3.2 th thng k cc loi

th thng k cho d liu

nh lng (biu Nhnh l; biu phn phi tn s
Histogram)

th thng k cho d liu

nh tnh ( th hnh ct
Bar; th hnh trn Pie)

Chng 4: Tm tt d liu bng cc i lng thng k m t (6 tit)

5/5
4.1 Cc c trng o lng khuynh h ng
tp trung.

Trung bnh cng

Trung v

Cc t phn v - thp phn

v

S Mod

4.2 Cc c trng o lng khuynh h ng

tp trung.

6/6

Khong bin thin

tri gia

Phng sai

lch chun

4.3 S dng kt hp trung bnh v lch

tiu chun

H s bin thin

Quy tc thc nghim

Chun ha d liu

4.4 Kho st hnh dng phn phi ca tp

d liu.
Phn phi cn i

Phn phi lch

7/7
Bi tp chng 3 v 4 (3 tit)
Chng 5 : c lng & kim nh gi thuyt (6 tit)
8/8

5.1 Bi ton c lng

Cc vn lin quan n bi
ton c lng

c lng trung bnh tng

th

c lng t l tng th
c nh c

m u cho bi

ton c lng
9/9

5.2 Bi ton Kim nh

Cc vn lin quan n bi
ton kim nh
t gi thuyt
tin cy
Cc loi sai lm
i tr p-value

Kim nh trung bnh tng

th trn 1 m u

Kim nh trung bnh tng

th trn 2 m u

Kim nh t l tng th trn

1m u

Kim nh t l tng th trn

2m u

Chng 6 : Phn tch One way ANOVA (3 tit)

10/10
Chng 7 : Kim nh phi tham s (6 tit)

11/11 7.1 Kim nh du.

7.2 Kim nh Wilcoxon.
7.3 Kim nh Mann-Whitney
7.4 Kim nh Kruskal-Wallis
7. Kim nh Chi bnh phng
Chng 8 : Cc ch s (Index numbers) (6 tit)
12/12 Cc ch s (Index numbers)
8.1 Cc ch s n gin
8.2 Chn la thi k qui chiu (Selecting
the base period)
8.3 Thay i thi k qui chiu
8.4 Chui cc ch s
8. th biu din cc ch s
8.6 ng dng cc ch s trong sn xut kinh
doanh
Chng 9: Cc phng thc d bo theo dng thi gian (6 tit)
13/13 9.1 Cc phng thc tip cn tuyn tnh
theo thi gian
9.2 D bo tuyn tnh theo thi gian
9.3 Cc thnh t trong chui theo thi gian
14/14 9.4 D bo xu h ng
9. D bo cc yu t m a v
15/15 Bi tp + n tp (3 tit)

i vi hc k ph:
Tun/Bui

Ta bi ging

Ti liu bt buc
/tham kho

Cng vic sinh

vin phi hon
thnh

Chng 1: Gii thiu mn hc (3 tit)

1/1

1.5. nh ngha.
1.6. Chc nng ca thng k.

Thng k m t

Thng k suy din

1.7. Cc khi nim cn bn.

D liu nh tnh nh
lng

Tiu thc thng k

M u v n v m u

Tng th v n v tng th

T c mc 2

1.8. Cp bc o lng v cc loi Thang

o d liu

Thang o nh danh

Thang o th bc

Thang o khong

Thang o t l

Chng 2: Thu thp d liu (3 tit)

1/2

2.1 Xc nh d liu cn thu thp

D liu s cp
D liu th cp
2.2 Ngun thu thp d liu
2.3 Cc phng php thu thp d liu s
cp
2.4 Cc k thut chn mu
2.5 K thut thit k bng hi

2.6 K thut phng vn

Chng 3: Trnh by d liu bng bng v th (6 tit)
3.1 Bng tn s

Cch lp bng tn s cho d

liu nh tnh

Cch lp bng tn s cho d

liu nh lng

Cch lp bng tn s kt hp
2 tiu thc thng k

2/3

3.2 th thng k cc loi

th thng k cho d liu

nh lng (biu Nhnh l; biu phn phi tn s
Histogram)

th thng k cho d liu

nh tnh ( th hnh ct
Bar; th hnh trn Pie)

Chng 4: Tm tt d liu bng cc i lng thng k m t (6 tit)

2/4
4.1 Cc c trng o lng khuynh h ng
tp trung.

Trung bnh cng

Trung v

Cc t phn v - thp phn

v

S Mod

4.2 Cc c trng o lng khuynh h ng

tp trung.

3/5

Khong bin thin

tri gia

Phng sai

lch chun

4.3 S dng kt hp trung bnh v lch

tiu chun

H s bin thin

Quy tc thc nghim

Chun ha d liu

4.4 Kho st hnh dng phn phi ca tp

d liu.
Phn phi cn i

Phn phi lch

3/6
Bi tp chng 3 v 4 (3 tit)
Chng 5 : c lng & kim nh gi thuyt (6 tit)
4/7

5.1 Bi ton c lng

Cc vn lin quan n bi
ton c lng

c lng trung bnh tng

th

c lng t l tng th
c nh c

m u cho bi

ton c lng
4/8

5.2 Bi ton Kim nh

Cc vn lin quan n bi
ton kim nh
t gi thuyt
tin cy

Cc loi sai lm
i tr p-value

Kim nh trung bnh tng

th trn 1 m u

Kim nh trung bnh tng

th trn 2 m u

Kim nh t l tng th trn

1m u

Kim nh t l tng th trn

2m u

Chng 6 : Phn tch One way ANOVA (3 tit)

5/9
Chng 7 : Kim nh phi tham s (3 tit)
5/10 7.5 Kim nh du.
7.6 Kim nh Wilcoxon.
7.7 Kim nh Mann-Whitney
7.8 Kim nh Kruskal-Wallis
7. Kim nh Chi bnh phng
Chng 8 : Cc ch s (Index numbers) (6 tit)
6/11 Cc ch s (Index numbers)
8.1 Cc ch s n gin
8.2 Chn la thi k qui chiu (Selecting
the base period)
8.3 Thay i thi k qui chiu
8.4 Chui cc ch s
8. th biu din cc ch s
8.6 ng dng cc ch s trong sn xut kinh
doanh
Chng 9: Cc phng thc d bo theo dng thi gian (3 tit)
6/12 9.1 Cc phng thc tip cn tuyn tnh
theo thi gian
9.2 D bo tuyn tnh theo thi gian
9.3 Cc thnh t trong chui theo thi gian
9.4 D bo xu h ng
9. D bo cc yu t m a v
7/13 Bi tp + n tp (3 tit)