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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

New Hampshire
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1040 Registered Voters
January 18-21, 2016

±6.2%

1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New Hampshire?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Republican
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38%
Martin O’Malley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
7. What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Convince me they can really win . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Convince me they stand with me on the issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Convince me they can be effective in the job . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
I’m never completely decided until Election Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%
Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

9. You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson

Yes, could consider
31%
45%
54%
45%
41%
30%
33%

No, could never consider
69%
55%
46%
55%
59%
70%
67%

10. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...

Chris Christie
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Too extreme
16%
55%
36%
14%

About right
50%
41%
52%
58%

Too moderate
34%
4%
12%
27%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
11. Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?

Chris Christie
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Yes, consistent
53%
63%
65%
51%

No, not consistent
47%
37%
35%
49%

12. Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?

Chris Christie
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Understands
63%
71%
59%
60%

Doesn’t understand
37%
29%
41%
40%

13. What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Defend my faith and religious values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Win the General election in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Fight terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Bring back jobs and the American economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

14. Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
15. Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%

16. Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Health care policy
Wall Street reform
Terrorism
Taxes
The economy and
jobs
Gun policy

Hillary Clinton
34%
11%
48%
21%

Bernie Sanders
48%
79%
22%
63%

Both equally
18%
10%
30%
16%

25%
43%

49%
26%

26%
31%

17. From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Realistic
77%
46%

Idealistic
23%
54%

18. Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Understands
60%
95%

Doesn’t understand
40%
5%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
19. As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

What big donors want
61%
3%

What regular people
want
39%
97%

20. When you vote in the New Hampshire primary, you will be most satisfied about having a
chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Support an historic candidacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Get progressive things done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Give the Democrats a good chance to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

21. Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Her critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
She has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

His critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
He has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

23. Thinking about the Iowa [party] caucuses, could the results in Iowa make you rethink your
choice in the New Hampshire primary?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Yes, because Iowa is an important test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
No, Iowa’s results don’t matter to New Hampshire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
24. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?⇤
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%

25. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

26. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

27. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
28. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

29. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

30. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

31. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
34%
5%
4%

71%
22%
6%
2%

46%
44%
5%
5%

40%
41%
17%
2%

50%
36%
2%
12%

64%
32%
3%
0%

63%
30%
5%
2%

56%
35%
5%
4%







81%
19%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(482)

(558)

(136)

(245)

(492)

(166)

(967)

100%

(1,040)

(17)

(3)

(53)

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New Hampshire?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

78%
7%
7%
2%
3%
2%

81%
3%
5%
5%
5%
0%

76%
11%
7%
0%
2%
4%

65%
3%
23%
0%
9%
0%

70%
6%
7%
7%
1%
10%

84%
9%
3%
0%
4%
0%

85%
8%
3%
3%
1%
0%

77%
8%
7%
2%
3%
2%











94%
0%
0%
0%
2%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(482)

(558)

(136)

(245)

(492)

(166)

(967)

100%

(1,040)

(17)

(3)

(53)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

3. 2016 Primary Turnout
In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

32%
35%
9%
24%

31%
41%
9%
19%

34%
30%
8%
28%

35%
29%
9%
27%

40%
30%
12%
17%

31%
35%
8%
25%

21%
47%
2%
29%

32%
34%
9%
25%







29%
56%
5%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(482)

(558)

(136)

(245)

(492)

(166)

(967)

100%

(1,040)

(17)

(3)

(53)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

4. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
14%
0%
34%
0%

5%
2%
9%
12%
6%
0%
0%
13%
3%
13%
0%
37%
0%

10%
8%
4%
21%
2%
0%
1%
7%
3%
15%
0%
30%
0%













0%
4%
12%
17%
2%
0%
0%
8%
5%
10%
0%
41%
0%

7%
6%
4%
20%
3%
0%
1%
11%
2%
9%
0%
36%
0%

10%
4%
7%
10%
6%
0%
0%
7%
0%
23%
0%
32%
0%

8%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
13%
0%
34%
0%





































100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(224)

100%

(476)

(96)

(228)

(111)

(440)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin O’Malley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
5%
57%
0%

38%
6%
56%
0%

38%
4%
57%
1%




29%
0%
71%
0%

47%
9%
44%
0%

38%
0%
59%
2%

38%
3%
58%
1%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(289)

100%

(460)

(99)

(235)

(86)

(427)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

6. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%
37%
23%
3%

43%
34%
23%
1%

29%
41%
24%
6%




45%
47%
8%
0%

29%
37%
29%
5%

39%
32%
28%
1%

35%
38%
24%
3%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(223)

100%

(475)

(96)

(227)

(111)

(439)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

7. Republican Candidate Certainty
What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
I’m never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%

40%

34%

41%

38%

39%

38%

16%

14%

17%

13%

11%

26%

16%

29%

28%

29%

31%

34%

17%

29%

15%
3%

14%
3%

15%
5%


8%
6%

16%
2%

13%
6%

14%
4%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(145)

(158)

100%

(302)

(52)

(161)

(68)

(286)

(22)

(0)

(1)

(15)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

8. Enthusiasm for First Choice
How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

64%
31%
5%

71%
25%
5%

59%
35%
5%



61%
38%
1%

63%
31%
6%

66%
29%
5%

62%
34%
4%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(287)

100%

(458)

(99)

(235)

(84)

(424)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

9. Republican Candidate Consideration – Donald Trump
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

31%
69%

31%
69%

30%
70%


34%
66%

31%
69%

32%
68%

30%
70%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(152)

(134)

100%

(287)

(55)

(127)

(67)

(260)

(38)

(3)

(1)

(22)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

10. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ted Cruz
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
55%

47%
53%

43%
57%


56%
44%

46%
54%

48%
52%

46%
54%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(206)

(161)

100%

(367)

(75)

(165)

(91)

(340)

(37)

(4)

(1)

(23)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

11. Republican Candidate Consideration – Marco Rubio
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
46%

51%
49%

56%
44%


51%
49%

55%
45%

55%
45%

54%
46%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(203)

(173)

100%

(376)

(79)

(192)

(76)

(350)

(30)

(4)

(1)

(22)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

12. Republican Candidate Consideration – Chris Christie
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
55%

40%
60%

50%
50%


44%
56%

43%
57%

53%
47%

46%
54%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(216)

(186)

100%

(402)

(74)

(198)

(92)

(370)

(38)

(4)

(1)

(26)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

13. Republican Candidate Consideration – Jeb Bush
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
59%

42%
58%

38%
62%


41%
59%

42%
58%

43%
57%

41%
59%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(223)

(172)

100%

(395)

(86)

(191)

(83)

(363)

(35)

(4)

(1)

(27)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

14. Republican Candidate Consideration – John Kasich
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
70%

35%
65%

26%
74%


14%
86%

31%
69%

42%
58%

32%
68%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(205)

(171)

100%

(376)

(77)

(178)

(89)

(349)

(32)

(0)

(0)

(26)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

15. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ben Carson
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

27%
73%

41%
59%


38%
62%

36%
64%

37%
63%

34%
66%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(231)

(180)

100%

(411)

(84)

(195)

(91)

(378)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(27)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

16. Republican Candidate Approach – Chris Christie
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

16%
50%
34%

12%
45%
43%

21%
55%
24%

9%
50%
41%

19%
48%
33%

15%
58%
27%

16%
51%
33%

Totals
(Weighted N)









100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(212)

100%

(463)

(94)

(221)

(108)

(427)

(40)

(4)

(1)

(31)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

17. Republican Candidate Approach – Donald Trump
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

55%
41%
4%

49%
46%
5%

61%
37%
2%

49%
47%
4%

54%
44%
2%

54%
44%
2%

55%
41%
4%

Totals
(Weighted N)









100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(251)

(220)

100%

(471)

(96)

(225)

(109)

(435)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

18. Republican Candidate Approach – Ted Cruz
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

36%
52%
12%

39%
48%
12%

31%
57%
12%

26%
58%
16%

31%
55%
14%

42%
50%
8%

35%
53%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)









100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(248)

(217)

100%

(465)

(94)

(224)

(108)

(429)

(40)

(4)

(1)

(31)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

19. Republican Candidate Approach – Marco Rubio
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

14%
58%
27%

14%
55%
31%

14%
63%
23%

13%
53%
34%

15%
57%
28%

14%
61%
25%

14%
59%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)









100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(216)

100%

(466)

(94)

(224)

(108)

(430)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

20. Republican Candidate Consistency – Chris Christie
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

53%
47%

43%
57%

65%
35%


62%
38%

50%
50%

58%
42%

54%
46%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(245)

(210)

100%

(455)

(94)

(213)

(108)

(419)

(40)

(4)

(1)

(31)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

21. Republican Candidate Consistency – Donald Trump
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
37%

62%
38%

65%
35%


56%
44%

65%
35%

75%
25%

65%
35%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(238)

(211)

100%

(450)

(92)

(208)

(108)

(417)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(27)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

22. Republican Candidate Consistency – Ted Cruz
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

65%
35%

62%
38%

68%
32%


68%
32%

66%
34%

65%
35%

66%
34%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(244)

(212)

100%

(456)

(94)

(215)

(107)

(420)

(40)

(4)

(1)

(31)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

23. Republican Candidate Consistency – Marco Rubio
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
49%

47%
53%

54%
46%


39%
61%

47%
53%

64%
36%

50%
50%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(244)

(211)

100%

(455)

(94)

(213)

(107)

(419)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

24. Republican Candidate Understanding – Chris Christie
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
37%

58%
42%

70%
30%


73%
27%

55%
45%

76%
24%

65%
35%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(219)

100%

(469)

(94)

(226)

(109)

(433)

(40)

(4)

(1)

(31)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

25. Republican Candidate Understanding – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
29%

68%
32%

74%
26%


72%
28%

70%
30%

76%
24%

72%
28%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(251)

(221)

100%

(472)

(96)

(226)

(109)

(435)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

26. Republican Candidate Understanding – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
41%

54%
46%

65%
35%


66%
34%

60%
40%

59%
41%

59%
41%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(219)

100%

(470)

(94)

(227)

(109)

(433)

(40)

(4)

(1)

(31)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

27. Republican Candidate Understanding – Marco Rubio
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
40%

54%
46%

67%
33%


61%
39%

56%
44%

71%
29%

60%
40%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(249)

(219)

100%

(468)

(94)

(224)

(109)

(432)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

28. Republican Vote Reasons
What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

4%
26%
27%
15%

5%
28%
19%
17%

3%
24%
37%
13%




0%
22%
29%
22%

6%
20%
29%
14%

3%
41%
25%
14%

4%
25%
28%
16%










28%

32%

23%

27%

31%

17%

27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(251)

(218)

100%

(469)

(96)

(227)

(105)

(433)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

29. Ted Cruz Birthplace
Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%
77%

25%
75%

20%
80%


22%
78%

18%
82%

25%
75%

21%
79%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(224)

100%

(476)

(96)

(228)

(111)

(440)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

30. Donald Trump NY Values
Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
9%
86%

6%
14%
80%

4%
4%
92%



8%
12%
79%

5%
9%
87%

3%
5%
92%

5%
6%
88%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(224)

100%

(476)

(96)

(228)

(111)

(440)

(41)

(4)

(1)

(31)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

31. Democratic Candidate Policies – Health care policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
48%
18%

29%
46%
25%

37%
48%
14%



28%
53%
19%

40%
45%
15%

37%
32%
31%

34%
46%
19%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(291)

100%

(461)

(102)

(235)

(85)

(428)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(16)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

32. Democratic Candidate Policies – Wall Street reform
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

11%
79%
10%

9%
85%
6%

12%
76%
12%



7%
80%
13%

12%
81%
7%

12%
73%
15%

11%
78%
11%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(235)

(85)

(428)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

33. Democratic Candidate Policies – Terrorism
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

48%
22%
30%

53%
23%
24%

45%
21%
35%



41%
28%
30%

53%
14%
33%

56%
17%
27%

48%
21%
30%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(428)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

34. Democratic Candidate Policies – Taxes
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
63%
16%

21%
64%
15%

20%
62%
18%



15%
62%
23%

26%
59%
15%

17%
62%
21%

20%
62%
18%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(428)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

35. Democratic Candidate Policies – The economy and jobs
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

25%
49%
26%

30%
50%
20%

21%
49%
30%



19%
62%
18%

29%
42%
28%

25%
39%
36%

26%
48%
26%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(429)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

36. Democratic Candidate Policies – Gun policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
26%
31%

38%
30%
32%

47%
23%
31%



38%
29%
33%

50%
17%
32%

41%
25%
34%

43%
26%
31%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(428)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

37. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Hillary Clinton
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

77%
23%

84%
16%

73%
27%


81%
19%

80%
20%

78%
22%

77%
23%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(169)

(277)

100%

(446)

(95)

(230)

(81)

(413)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(16)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

38. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Bernie Sanders
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
54%

46%
54%

46%
54%


48%
52%

43%
57%

50%
50%

47%
53%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(170)

(287)

100%

(458)

(100)

(235)

(84)

(424)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

39. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Hillary Clinton
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
40%

58%
42%

60%
40%


54%
46%

67%
33%

62%
38%

61%
39%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(170)

(287)

100%

(457)

(100)

(235)

(83)

(424)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

40. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Bernie Sanders
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

95%
5%

94%
6%

95%
5%


96%
4%

95%
5%

94%
6%

95%
5%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(288)

100%

(459)

(100)

(235)

(84)

(425)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

41. Democratic Candidate Attention – Hillary Clinton
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

64%
36%

59%
41%


65%
35%

53%
47%

60%
40%

61%
39%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(288)

100%

(459)

(102)

(235)

(83)

(425)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

42. Democratic Candidate Attention – Bernie Sanders
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

3%
97%

3%
97%

3%
97%


0%
100%

4%
96%

0%
100%

3%
97%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(289)

100%

(460)

(102)

(235)

(84)

(426)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

43. Democratic Vote Reasons
When you vote in the New Hampshire primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
18%
38%

4%
24%
33%

9%
14%
41%



8%
6%
55%

7%
16%
35%

6%
31%
27%

7%
16%
39%







37%

39%

36%

31%

42%

35%

38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

(291)

100%

(462)

(102)

(235)

(86)

(428)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

44. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders
Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
47%
14%

37%
51%
12%

40%
45%
16%



36%
40%
24%

31%
56%
13%

52%
42%
6%

37%
47%
15%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(170)

(291)

100%

(461)

(102)

(236)

(84)

(427)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

45. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton
Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
74%
19%

7%
83%
9%

7%
69%
24%



4%
71%
26%

9%
72%
19%

7%
80%
13%

8%
72%
20%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(169)

(290)

100%

(460)

(102)

(235)

(83)

(426)

(39)

(13)

(4)

(17)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire

46. Iowa’s Impact on New Hampshire Primary
Thinking about the Iowa [party] caucuses, could the results in Iowa make you rethink your choice in the New Hampshire primary?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowa’s results don’t matter to New
Hampshire
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Male

4%

3%

96%

Age group

Female

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

6%

13%

6%

3%

4%

97%

94%

87%

94%

97%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(937)

(423)

(515)

(80)

(197)

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

4%

96%

96%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(196)

(868)

(17)

(5)

(48)

46

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

476 Likely Republican Primary Voters
January 18-21, 2016

±6.8%

1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

70%
28%
1%
0%

82%
17%
1%
0%

74%
25%
2%
0%

78%
21%
1%
0%

81%
19%
0%
0%

65%
33%
2%
0%

75%
24%
1%
0%

70%
29%
1%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(69)

(185)

(118)

(172)

(282)

(118)

(331)

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

70%
28%
1%
0%

76%
24%
0%
0%

64%
34%
2%
0%




62%
38%
0%
0%

71%
28%
0%
0%

84%
12%
3%
0%

67%
31%
2%
0%

72%
27%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(224)

100%

(476)

(96)

(228)

(111)

(239)

(216)

(41)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
14%
0%
34%
0%

4%
3%
2%
24%
2%
0%
0%
6%
8%
14%
0%
37%
0%

6%
5%
7%
20%
7%
0%
1%
5%
3%
13%
0%
33%
0%

8%
4%
8%
6%
3%
0%
0%
19%
1%
23%
0%
28%
1%

1%
6%
3%
26%
3%
0%
1%
4%
5%
8%
0%
42%
0%

11%
4%
8%
10%
5%
0%
0%
14%
2%
16%
0%
30%
0%

11%
13%
3%
21%
6%
0%
2%
1%
4%
14%
0%
25%
0%

6%
2%
7%
14%
4%
0%
0%
14%
3%
13%
0%
38%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(69)

(185)

(118)

(172)

(282)

(118)

(331)

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

7%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
14%
0%
34%
0%

5%
2%
9%
12%
6%
0%
0%
13%
3%
13%
0%
37%
0%

10%
8%
4%
21%
2%
0%
1%
7%
3%
15%
0%
30%
0%













0%
4%
12%
17%
2%
0%
0%
8%
5%
10%
0%
41%
0%

7%
6%
4%
20%
3%
0%
1%
11%
2%
9%
0%
36%
0%

10%
4%
7%
10%
6%
0%
0%
7%
0%
23%
0%
32%
0%

5%
5%
9%
17%
3%
0%
1%
9%
2%
15%
0%
34%
0%

10%
4%
5%
14%
6%
0%
0%
12%
3%
13%
0%
33%
0%

continued on the next page . . .

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

continued from previous page
Age group

Gender

Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Male

Female

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(252)

(224)

Party ID

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(96)

(228)

(111)

(239)

(216)

(41)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

36%
37%
23%
3%

59%
32%
9%
0%

35%
42%
23%
0%

43%
35%
19%
3%

45%
36%
19%
1%

32%
38%
27%
4%

37%
31%
32%
0%

36%
40%
21%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(475)

(69)

(185)

(117)

(172)

(281)

(118)

(330)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

36%
37%
23%
3%

43%
34%
23%
1%

29%
41%
24%
6%




45%
47%
8%
0%

29%
37%
29%
5%

39%
32%
28%
1%

39%
39%
20%
2%

32%
37%
28%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(223)

100%

(475)

(96)

(227)

(111)

(239)

(215)

(41)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Certainty
What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
I’m never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

37%

46%

47%

40%

36%

45%

34%

16%

10%

15%

17%

13%

26%

10%

29%

25%

17%

28%

30%

11%

36%

15%
3%


16%
3%

11%
9%

13%
2%

17%
5%

14%
4%

15%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(121)

(67)

(95)

(193)

(74)

(210)

100%
(302)

(28)
Gender

Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
I’m never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

37%

40%

34%

41%

38%

39%

42%

35%

16%

14%

17%

13%

11%

26%

14%

18%

29%

28%

29%

31%

34%

17%

30%

25%

15%
3%

14%
3%

15%
5%


8%
6%

16%
2%

13%
6%

11%
3%

18%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(145)

(158)

100%

(302)

(52)

(161)

(68)

(146)

(146)

(22)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Candidate Consideration – Donald Trump
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

31%
69%


40%
60%

24%
76%

47%
53%

22%
78%

34%
66%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(111)

(78)

(88)

(181)

(78)

(189)

100%
(287)

(36)
Gender

Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

31%
69%

31%
69%

30%
70%


34%
66%

31%
69%

32%
68%

33%
67%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(152)

(134)

100%

(287)

(55)

(127)

(67)

(143)

(129)

(38)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ted Cruz
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
55%


55%
45%

27%
73%

78%
22%

30%
70%

66%
34%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(140)

(102)

(120)

(232)

(86)

(261)

100%
(367)

(45)
Gender

Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%
55%

47%
53%

43%
57%


56%
44%

46%
54%

48%
52%

48%
52%

43%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(206)

(161)

100%

(367)

(75)

(165)

(91)

(179)

(174)

(37)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Consideration – Marco Rubio
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%
46%

45%
55%

65%
35%

48%
52%

54%
46%

54%
46%

55%
45%

54%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(376)

(55)

(147)

(81)

(139)

(225)

(90)

(270)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

54%
46%

51%
49%

56%
44%


51%
49%

55%
45%

55%
45%

57%
43%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(203)

(173)

100%

(376)

(79)

(192)

(76)

(185)

(175)

(30)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Consideration – Chris Christie
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
55%

42%
58%

41%
59%

56%
44%

37%
63%

49%
51%

43%
57%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(62)

(151)

(97)

(142)

(244)

(101)

(280)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%
55%

40%
60%

50%
50%


44%
56%

43%
57%

53%
47%

45%
55%

41%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(216)

(186)

100%

(402)

(74)

(198)

(92)

(196)

(185)

(38)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Consideration – Jeb Bush
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

41%
59%

26%
74%

34%
66%

52%
48%

35%
65%

43%
57%

27%
73%

44%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(395)

(58)

(151)

(99)

(145)

(231)

(91)

(281)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

41%
59%

42%
58%

38%
62%


41%
59%

42%
58%

43%
57%

37%
63%

43%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(223)

(172)

100%

(395)

(86)

(191)

(83)

(203)

(171)

(35)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Consideration – John Kasich
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

30%
70%

10%
90%

35%
65%

43%
57%

23%
77%

37%
63%

28%
72%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(376)

(57)

(154)

(84)

(139)

(218)

(102)

(251)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

30%
70%

35%
65%

26%
74%


14%
86%

31%
69%

42%
58%

28%
72%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(205)

(171)

100%

(376)

(77)

(178)

(89)

(195)

(161)

(32)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ben Carson
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%
67%

52%
48%

41%
59%

16%
84%

48%
52%

26%
74%

40%
60%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(411)

(57)

(157)

(103)

(140)

(250)

(89)

(296)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

33%
67%

27%
73%

41%
59%


38%
62%

36%
64%

37%
63%

35%
65%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(231)

(180)

100%

(411)

(84)

(195)

(91)

(206)

(184)

(41)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidate Approach – Chris Christie
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

16%
50%
34%

2%
30%
68%

12%
52%
36%

22%
56%
22%

12%
34%
54%

20%
59%
21%

8%
49%
43%

20%
50%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(463)

(68)

(182)

(115)

(168)

(273)

(118)

(318)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

16%
50%
34%

12%
45%
43%

21%
55%
24%

9%
50%
41%

19%
48%
33%

15%
58%
27%

9%
50%
41%

24%
47%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(212)

100%

(463)

(94)

(221)

(108)

(236)

(206)

(40)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Approach – Donald Trump
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

55%
41%
4%

39%
50%
11%

54%
43%
3%

62%
37%
2%

37%
57%
6%

63%
34%
2%

49%
43%
8%

55%
42%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(471)

(69)

(182)

(116)

(168)

(281)

(118)

(326)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

55%
41%
4%

49%
46%
5%

61%
37%
2%

49%
47%
4%

54%
44%
2%

54%
44%
2%

52%
42%
5%

56%
42%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(251)

(220)

100%

(471)

(96)

(225)

(109)

(238)

(212)

(41)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Approach – Ted Cruz
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

36%
52%
12%

15%
76%
9%

31%
59%
10%

60%
27%
14%

10%
77%
13%

50%
37%
13%

19%
76%
4%

40%
44%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(465)

(69)

(182)

(114)

(167)

(277)

(116)

(323)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

36%
52%
12%

39%
48%
12%

31%
57%
12%

26%
58%
16%

31%
55%
14%

42%
50%
8%

31%
54%
15%

41%
49%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(248)

(217)

100%

(465)

(94)

(224)

(108)

(233)

(211)

(40)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Approach – Marco Rubio
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

14%
58%
27%

1%
42%
56%

8%
65%
27%

20%
57%
23%

4%
50%
46%

21%
62%
17%

9%
59%
31%

16%
57%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(466)

(68)

(182)

(115)

(168)

(277)

(118)

(321)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

14%
58%
27%

14%
55%
31%

14%
63%
23%

13%
53%
34%

15%
57%
28%

14%
61%
25%

7%
64%
29%

23%
52%
25%

Totals
(Weighted N)



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(216)

100%

(466)

(94)

(224)

(108)

(236)

(209)

(41)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Consistency – Chris Christie
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

53%
47%

41%
59%

43%
57%

68%
32%

35%
65%

61%
39%

39%
61%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(455)

(66)

(175)

(116)

(166)

(267)

(111)

(318)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

53%
47%

43%
57%

65%
35%


62%
38%

50%
50%

58%
42%

55%
45%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(245)

(210)

100%

(455)

(94)

(213)

(108)

(227)

(207)

(40)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Consistency – Donald Trump
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

63%
37%

67%
33%

53%
47%

68%
32%

66%
34%

63%
37%

68%
32%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(450)

(67)

(169)

(113)

(163)

(265)

(107)

(316)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

63%
37%

62%
38%

65%
35%


56%
44%

65%
35%

75%
25%

60%
40%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(238)

(211)

100%

(450)

(92)

(208)

(108)

(227)

(202)

(41)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Consistency – Ted Cruz
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

65%
35%

74%
26%

73%
27%

51%
49%

81%
19%

56%
44%

92%
8%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(456)

(67)

(177)

(116)

(168)

(267)

(110)

(320)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

65%
35%

62%
38%

68%
32%


68%
32%

66%
34%

65%
35%

67%
33%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(244)

(212)

100%

(456)

(94)

(215)

(107)

(226)

(208)

(40)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Consistency – Marco Rubio
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

51%
49%

42%
58%

53%
47%

52%
48%

40%
60%

55%
45%

62%
38%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(455)

(66)

(176)

(116)

(167)

(267)

(110)

(319)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

51%
49%

47%
53%

54%
46%


39%
61%

47%
53%

64%
36%

51%
49%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(244)

(211)

100%

(455)

(94)

(213)

(107)

(227)

(207)

(41)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Understanding – Chris Christie
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

63%
37%

63%
37%

67%
33%

62%
38%

59%
41%

65%
35%

68%
32%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(469)

(68)

(183)

(117)

(171)

(277)

(118)

(324)

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

63%
37%

58%
42%

70%
30%


73%
27%

55%
45%

76%
24%

69%
31%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(219)

100%

(469)

(94)

(226)

(109)

(235)

(213)

(40)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Candidate Understanding – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

71%
29%

83%
17%

74%
26%

67%
33%

89%
11%

62%
38%

77%
23%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(472)

(69)

(183)

(116)

(171)

(279)

(118)

(326)

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

71%
29%

68%
32%

74%
26%


72%
28%

70%
30%

76%
24%

73%
27%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(251)

(221)

100%

(472)

(96)

(226)

(109)

(237)

(213)

(41)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

22. Republican Candidate Understanding – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

59%
41%

83%
17%

69%
31%

35%
65%

83%
17%

44%
56%

85%
15%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(470)

(69)

(183)

(117)

(171)

(277)

(118)

(325)

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

59%
41%

54%
46%

65%
35%


66%
34%

60%
40%

59%
41%

65%
35%

52%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(250)

(219)

100%

(470)

(94)

(227)

(109)

(236)

(213)

(40)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

23. Republican Candidate Understanding – Marco Rubio
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

60%
40%

53%
47%

69%
31%

58%
42%

60%
40%

59%
41%

72%
28%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(468)

(68)

(183)

(115)

(171)

(276)

(117)

(323)

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

60%
40%

54%
46%

67%
33%


61%
39%

56%
44%

71%
29%

65%
35%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(249)

(219)

100%

(468)

(94)

(224)

(109)

(236)

(211)

(41)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

24. Republican Vote Reasons
What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

4%
26%
27%
15%

10%
28%
17%
26%

5%
26%
28%
16%

0%
25%
24%
8%

5%
29%
26%
18%

3%
21%
30%
13%

12%
36%
29%
12%

1%
20%
28%
16%

28%

18%

26%

42%

22%

33%

11%

35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(469)

(69)

(184)

(117)

(172)

(275)

(112)

(330)

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

4%
26%
27%
15%

5%
28%
19%
17%

3%
24%
37%
13%




0%
22%
29%
22%

6%
20%
29%
14%

3%
41%
25%
14%

1%
28%
27%
15%

7%
23%
27%
16%

28%

32%

23%

27%

31%

17%

30%

27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(251)

(218)

100%

(469)

(96)

(227)

(105)

(237)

(211)

(41)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

25. Ted Cruz Birthplace
Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

23%
77%

23%
77%

17%
83%

32%
68%

22%
78%

21%
79%

9%
91%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(69)

(185)

(118)

(172)

(282)

(118)

(331)

Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

23%
77%

25%
75%

20%
80%


22%
78%

18%
82%

25%
75%

22%
78%

21%
79%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(224)

100%

(476)

(96)

(228)

(111)

(239)

(216)

(41)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

26. Donald Trump NY Values
Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

5%
9%
86%

0%
13%
87%

8%
9%
84%

3%
10%
87%

9%
15%
76%

4%
4%
93%

12%
12%
76%

3%
7%
90%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(69)

(185)

(118)

(172)

(282)

(118)

(331)

Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

5%
9%
86%

6%
14%
80%

4%
4%
92%



8%
12%
79%

5%
9%
87%

3%
5%
92%

7%
7%
85%

3%
10%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(252)

(224)

100%

(476)

(96)

(228)

(111)

(239)

(216)

(41)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Republican Voters

27. Iowa’s Impact on New Hampshire Primary
Thinking about the Iowa Republican caucuses, could the results in Iowa make you rethink your choice in the New Hampshire primary?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Total
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowa’s results don’t matter to New
Hampshire
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very conservative

Tea Party

Conservative

Moderate

Totals
(Weighted N)

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%

0%

7%

6%

2%

8%

5%

6%

93%

100%

93%

94%

98%

92%

95%

94%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(475)

(69)

(184)

(117)

(171)

(282)

(118)

(329)

Gender
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowa’s results don’t matter to New
Hampshire

Evangelical

Total

Male

7%

Age group
Female

18-29

4%

10%

93%

96%

90%

100%

100%

100%

(475)

(251)

(223)

Party ID

30-44

45-64

9%

5%

6%

8%

0%

91%

95%

94%

92%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(96)

(228)

(110)

(239)

(216)

(41)

65+

Republican

Independent

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

463 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
January 18-21, 2016

±8.2%

1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

75%
24%
0%
0%

81%
19%
0%
0%

79%
20%
0%
0%

74%
26%
0%
0%

79%
20%
0%
0%

73%
27%
0%
0%




59%
41%
0%
0%

80%
20%
0%
0%

79%
21%
1%
0%

77%
23%
0%
0%

72%
27%
1%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(142)

(137)

(171)

(292)

100%

(463)

(102)

(236)

(86)

(299)

(155)

(39)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin O’Malley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

38%
5%
57%
0%

17%
1%
81%
0%

44%
0%
55%
0%

47%
7%
46%
0%

38%
6%
56%
0%

38%
4%
57%
1%




29%
0%
71%
0%

47%
9%
44%
0%

38%
0%
59%
2%

49%
4%
48%
0%

19%
6%
74%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(142)

(137)

(171)

(289)

100%

(460)

(99)

(235)

(86)

(299)

(153)

(39)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

3. Enthusiasm for First Choice
How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

64%
31%
5%

82%
17%
1%

69%
28%
3%

68%
30%
2%

71%
25%
5%

59%
35%
5%



61%
38%
1%

63%
31%
6%

66%
29%
5%

68%
29%
3%

57%
35%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(141)

(136)

(171)

(287)

100%

(458)

(99)

(235)

(84)

(298)

(153)

(39)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Candidate Policies – Health care policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

34%
48%
18%

17%
81%
2%

34%
44%
22%

37%
34%
29%

29%
46%
25%

37%
48%
14%



28%
53%
19%

40%
45%
15%

37%
32%
31%

39%
47%
14%

25%
50%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(75)

(142)

(137)

(171)

(291)

100%

(461)

(102)

(235)

(85)

(298)

(155)

(39)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Policies – Wall Street reform
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

11%
79%
10%

7%
87%
7%

9%
81%
10%

16%
73%
12%

9%
85%
6%

12%
76%
12%



7%
80%
13%

12%
81%
7%

12%
73%
15%

13%
77%
10%

6%
86%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(142)

(137)

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(235)

(85)

(299)

(155)

(39)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Policies – Terrorism
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

48%
22%
30%

30%
49%
21%

50%
16%
34%

58%
17%
25%

53%
23%
24%

45%
21%
35%



41%
28%
30%

53%
14%
33%

56%
17%
27%

54%
19%
27%

37%
26%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(141)

(137)

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(299)

(155)

(39)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Policies – Taxes
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

21%
63%
16%

16%
79%
5%

25%
52%
23%

27%
62%
10%

21%
64%
15%

20%
62%
18%



15%
62%
23%

26%
59%
15%

17%
62%
21%

27%
53%
20%

10%
81%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(141)

(137)

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(299)

(155)

(39)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Policies – The economy and jobs
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

25%
49%
26%

17%
72%
10%

23%
50%
27%

36%
38%
26%

30%
50%
20%

21%
49%
30%



19%
62%
18%

29%
42%
28%

25%
39%
36%

32%
45%
23%

11%
57%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(142)

(137)

(171)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(299)

(155)

(39)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

9. Democratic Candidate Policies – Gun policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

43%
26%
31%

36%
44%
20%

49%
24%
27%

46%
20%
35%

38%
30%
32%

47%
23%
31%



38%
29%
33%

50%
17%
32%

41%
25%
34%

50%
24%
26%

32%
27%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(141)

(137)

(170)

(292)

100%

(462)

(102)

(236)

(85)

(299)

(155)

(39)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

10. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Hillary Clinton
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

77%
23%

70%
30%

83%
17%

83%
17%

84%
16%

73%
27%


81%
19%

80%
20%

78%
22%

82%
18%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(75)

(135)

(128)

(169)

(277)

100%

(446)

(95)

(230)

(81)

(286)

(152)

(39)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Bernie Sanders
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

46%
54%

58%
42%

42%
58%

43%
57%

46%
54%

46%
54%


48%
52%

43%
57%

50%
50%

46%
54%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(137)

(136)

(170)

(287)

100%

(458)

(100)

(235)

(84)

(298)

(152)

(39)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Hillary Clinton
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

60%
40%

44%
56%

68%
32%

64%
36%

58%
42%

60%
40%


54%
46%

67%
33%

62%
38%

66%
34%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(141)

(134)

(170)

(287)

100%

(457)

(100)

(235)

(83)

(295)

(154)

(39)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

13. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Bernie Sanders
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

95%
5%

99%
1%

95%
5%

92%
8%

94%
6%

95%
5%


96%
4%

95%
5%

94%
6%

94%
6%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(140)

(136)

(171)

(288)

100%

(459)

(100)

(235)

(84)

(296)

(154)

(39)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

14. Democratic Candidate Attention – Hillary Clinton
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

61%
39%

78%
22%

55%
45%

52%
48%

64%
36%

59%
41%


65%
35%

53%
47%

60%
40%

54%
46%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(139)

(135)

(171)

(288)

100%

(459)

(102)

(235)

(83)

(296)

(155)

(39)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Candidate Attention – Bernie Sanders
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

3%
97%

0%
100%

1%
99%

4%
96%

3%
97%

3%
97%


0%
100%

4%
96%

0%
100%

3%
97%

2%
98%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(140)

(136)

(171)

(289)

100%

(460)

(102)

(235)

(84)

(297)

(154)

(39)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

16. Democratic Vote Reasons
When you vote in the New Hampshire primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

7%
18%
38%

3%
17%
55%

11%
12%
38%

3%
23%
26%

4%
24%
33%

9%
14%
41%



8%
6%
55%

7%
16%
35%

6%
31%
27%

6%
12%
39%

8%
27%
39%

37%

25%

39%

48%

39%

36%

31%

42%

35%

43%

26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(141)

(137)

(171)

(291)

100%

(462)

(102)

(235)

(86)

(299)

(154)

(39)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

17. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders
Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

39%
47%
14%

58%
24%
18%

35%
55%
10%

39%
50%
11%

37%
51%
12%

40%
45%
16%



36%
40%
24%

31%
56%
13%

52%
42%
6%

38%
50%
12%

39%
41%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(141)

(136)

(170)

(291)

100%

(461)

(102)

(236)

(84)

(299)

(155)

(39)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

18. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton
Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

7%
74%
19%

7%
70%
23%

7%
77%
16%

7%
79%
13%

7%
83%
9%

7%
69%
24%



4%
71%
26%

9%
72%
19%

7%
80%
13%

10%
72%
18%

2%
77%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(139)

(137)

(169)

(290)

100%

(460)

(102)

(235)

(83)

(298)

(154)

(39)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire Likely Democratic Voters

19. Iowa’s Impact on New Hampshire Primary
Thinking about the Iowa Democratic caucuses, could the results in Iowa make you rethink your choice in the New Hampshire primary?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowa’s results don’t matter to New
Hampshire
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Gender
Moderate

Male

Age group

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

Party ID
65+

Democrat

Independent

2%

10%

0%

0%

2%

2%

3%

1%

0%

3%

0%

98%

90%

100%

100%

98%

98%

97%

99%

100%

97%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(76)

(142)

(137)

(171)

(292)

100%

(463)

(102)

(236)

(86)

(299)

(155)

(39)

19