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The European Gas Market

The LTC mechanism (Groningen Model)

The Dynamic of a Liberised European Gas Market 2010

The

Based on Konoplyanik 2010

Groningen model was introduced in 1958


Long term contract ensure supply to customer needs and ensure producers economic aims
The gas price driven by indexing to other competing fuels, typically oil.
The gas price formula can be reviewed regularly to ensure satisfaction between producer
and customer
In this mechanism, the Producer will sell to the Merchant Gas Transmission Company (Usually

The European Gas Market


The Hubs Mechanism

The Dynamic of a Liberised European Gas Market 2010

GDP Suez, 2014

The first hub in Europe was the NBP in UK, which was established on 1996
Merchant Gas Transmission Company no longer have the monopoly.
Gas will be traded by utilizing hub, which managed by hub operators
The border will no longer within national, but in hub area. There are possibilities of interhub
transaction.
By using this mechanism, the gas price will be more transparent.

The European Gas Market

The Current Trend of Gas Price Formation

IGU Gas Price Report 2014

Oil Price
Escalation is
gas price
formation using
indexing to oil
price
Gas on Gas is
gas price
formation using
the supply and
demand
mechanism
The OPE was
the main
mechanism
until 2012, in
2013 the GOG
surpassed the

The European Gas Market


Market Maturity

The Oxford Institute of Energy Study 2014

GDP Suez 2014

Churn rate traded volume divided consumed volume


Market liquidity and later on maturity can be determined by the churn rate
The only mature hub is only NBP and TTF, however the overall churn rate trend is increasing
Compared to Henry Hub in US which the churn rate is around 100, the European hub is still not
mature enough

The European Gas Market


Market Maturity

The Oxford Institute of Energy Study 2014

The mature
hubs is only the
NBP and TTF
The NBP
started in 1996
and developed
successfully
The West
European gas
market started
in mid 2000s,
developed
quite well but
with some
challenges
The East
European gas
market is just

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