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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Texas
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

3146 Registered Voters


February 22-26, 2016

3.9%

1. Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Very interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Somewhat interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Not too interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Texas?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .54%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary
in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Democratic Presidential primary
in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61%


Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
8. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

What big donors want


33%
31%
61%
57%

What regular people


want
67%
69%
39%
43%

9. On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which
is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Immigration
Matters of faith and
religion
Handling ISIS
Economic Issues
Guns
Obamacare

Must agree with you


63%

Okay with some


differences
37%

42%
66%
60%
71%
82%

58%
34%
40%
29%
18%

10. Do you feel each of these candidates is...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

Too
conservative
8%
27%
10%
8%

About right
42%
65%
48%
41%

Not
conservative
enough
49%
8%
42%
51%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
11. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Defend my faith and religious values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%


Win the General election in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Fight terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Bring back jobs and the American economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

12. Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Has the most


optimistic message?
Is the most
conservative?
Has the best kind of
experience?
Has the best chance
to win in November?

Donald
Trump

Ted Cruz

Marco
Rubio

John Kasich

35%

31%

22%

12%

10%

77%

9%

4%

21%

41%

11%

27%

43%

29%

24%

4%

13. If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

More likely to vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%


Less likely to vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
It doesnt affect my vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Never heard the term . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

14. These days, do you feel the Republican party represents you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not too well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not well, but at least more than the Democrats do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
15. If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be
your second choice?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%


Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
None of them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

16. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Understands
74%
78%

Doesnt understand
26%
22%

17. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

What big donors want


50%
23%

What regular people


want
50%
77%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
18. Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Improving race
relations in America
Gun policy
Being Commander in
Chief
Health care
Standing up to a
Republican Congress
Fixing income
inequality

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

62%
60%

38%
40%

71%
55%

29%
45%

58%

42%

44%

56%

19. Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Principled
52%
71%

Qualified
84%
58%

Honest
37%
65%

20. When you vote in the Texas primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Support an historic candidacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%


Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Get progressive things done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Give the Democrats a good chance to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%

21. Should the next president...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Generally continue Barack Obamas policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%


Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
22. These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23%


Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Not too well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not well, but at least more than the Republicans do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

23. If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting
for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%


Somewhat enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Probably wont vote for them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

24. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%

25. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
26. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

27. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?


Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

28. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

29. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
30. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

31. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
1. Interest in Presidential Campaign
Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
32%
12%

64%
27%
9%

49%
37%
15%

58%
34%
8%

48%
36%
15%

58%
31%
12%

62%
27%
11%

61%
30%
9%

50%
33%
17%

43%
38%
19%

71%
21%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(3,134)

(1,453)

(1,680)

(458)

(811)

(1,333)

(532)

(2,010)

(291)

(723)

(109)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Texas?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
13%
6%
6%
7%
12%
2%

56%
12%
3%
6%
8%
13%
2%

53%
13%
8%
5%
5%
11%
4%

45%
17%
14%
10%
0%
10%
3%

49%
17%
7%
6%
8%
9%
5%

56%
12%
4%
5%
8%
12%
3%

67%
4%
1%
1%
7%
17%
3%

56%
9%
4%
7%
6%
14%
3%

63%
11%
5%
6%
1%
5%
9%

42%
25%
10%
2%
10%
8%
3%

79%
3%
8%
1%
4%
5%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(3,146)

(1,453)

(1,692)

(461)

(811)

(1,341)

(532)

(2,015)

(291)

(730)

(109)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

3. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
33%
14%
14%

35%
37%
18%
10%

40%
31%
11%
18%

41%
29%
12%
18%

43%
29%
11%
18%

38%
33%
17%
12%

31%
44%
14%
11%

30%
42%
15%
13%

79%
5%
7%
10%

46%
23%
15%
16%

29%
31%
4%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(3,146)

(1,454)

(1,692)

(461)

(811)

(1,341)

(532)

(2,015)

(291)

(730)

(109)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

4. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

4%
42%
4%
19%
31%
0%

4%
44%
2%
23%
26%
0%

4%
39%
5%
15%
35%
1%

3%
35%
1%
43%
14%
5%

4%
33%
7%
19%
37%
1%

5%
49%
2%
13%
30%
0%

4%
40%
5%
17%
34%
0%

3%
42%
3%
20%
31%
1%

7%
36%
10%
10%
32%
5%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(391)

(101)

(187)

(340)

(168)

(687)

100%

(796)

(8)

(76)

(25)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
37%
2%

52%
47%
1%

68%
30%
2%

37%
63%
0%

58%
39%
3%

70%
29%
1%

67%
31%
2%

49%
50%
1%

76%
22%
2%

68%
31%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(362)

(140)

(226)

(22)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

6. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
28%
20%
0%

57%
25%
17%
1%

46%
30%
22%
2%

29%
28%
43%
0%

53%
18%
27%
2%

57%
29%
14%
1%

53%
35%
11%
1%

49%
30%
20%
1%

69%
10%
20%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(403)

(385)

(96)

(186)

(339)

(168)

(683)

100%

(788)

(8)

(73)

(25)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

7. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
20%
12%
1%

69%
19%
12%
0%

66%
21%
12%
1%

68%
18%
14%
0%

63%
21%
15%
0%

67%
24%
8%
1%

72%
10%
17%
1%

71%
20%
9%
0%

65%
21%
14%
0%

63%
19%
17%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(738)

(316)

(423)

(118)

(206)

(314)

(99)

(358)

(138)

(222)

(20)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

8. Republican Candidate Attention Donald Trump


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

33%
67%

33%
67%

57%
43%

27%
73%

31%
69%

27%
73%

33%
67%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(392)

(383)

(101)

(182)

(332)

(161)

(677)

100%

(775)

(3)

(74)

(21)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

9. Republican Candidate Attention Ted Cruz


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

31%
69%

29%
71%

33%
67%

51%
49%

42%
58%

21%
79%

26%
74%

30%
70%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(399)

(382)

(101)

(183)

(333)

(165)

(681)

100%

(781)

(8)

(70)

(23)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

10. Republican Candidate Attention Marco Rubio


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

64%
36%

58%
42%

61%
39%

65%
35%

64%
36%

51%
49%

62%
38%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(392)

(378)

(101)

(182)

(328)

(159)

(674)

100%

(770)

(3)

(71)

(23)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

11. Republican Candidate Attention John Kasich


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
43%

55%
45%

60%
40%

55%
45%

56%
44%

62%
38%

48%
52%

57%
43%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(386)

(371)

(101)

(174)

(329)

(154)

(666)

100%

(757)

(3)

(70)

(19)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

12. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Immigration


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
37%

66%
34%

60%
40%

22%
78%

56%
44%

75%
25%

72%
28%

63%
37%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(388)

(101)

(186)

(337)

(167)

(681)

100%

(790)

(8)

(76)

(25)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

13. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Matters of faith and religion


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%
58%

39%
61%

44%
56%

30%
70%

36%
64%

42%
58%

53%
47%

44%
56%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(398)

(388)

(101)

(180)

(341)

(164)

(683)

100%

(786)

(8)

(76)

(20)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

14. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

66%
34%

62%
38%

69%
31%

61%
39%

57%
43%

68%
32%

75%
25%

65%
35%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(399)

(389)

(101)

(185)

(341)

(163)

(681)

100%

(789)

(8)

(76)

(24)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

15. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Economic Issues


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
40%

62%
38%

58%
42%

45%
55%

60%
40%

66%
34%

56%
44%

59%
41%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(389)

(101)

(186)

(339)

(165)

(684)

100%

(791)

(8)

(76)

(24)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

16. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Guns


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
29%

79%
21%

63%
37%

55%
45%

64%
36%

79%
21%

75%
25%

72%
28%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(397)

(388)

(101)

(180)

(339)

(165)

(682)

100%

(786)

(8)

(76)

(20)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

17. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Obamacare


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

82%
18%

85%
15%

79%
21%

79%
21%

78%
22%

82%
18%

86%
14%

83%
17%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(389)

(101)

(185)

(340)

(165)

(683)

100%

(791)

(8)

(76)

(24)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

18. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Donald Trump


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

8%
42%
49%

8%
34%
58%

9%
51%
40%

12%
31%
57%

13%
44%
43%

7%
42%
52%

4%
48%
48%

6%
43%
50%

25%
34%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(400)

(386)

(99)

(184)

(338)

(165)

(683)

100%

(786)

(8)

(75)

(20)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

19. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Ted Cruz


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%
65%
8%

30%
64%
6%

23%
66%
11%

44%
51%
5%

34%
51%
15%

21%
73%
6%

19%
73%
7%

26%
66%
8%

33%
53%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(389)

(101)

(186)

(340)

(167)

(686)

100%

(794)

(8)

(76)

(24)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

20. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Marco Rubio


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

10%
48%
42%

9%
46%
46%

11%
52%
37%

7%
74%
19%

18%
41%
41%

7%
43%
50%

6%
55%
39%

9%
50%
41%

12%
47%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(381)

(101)

(183)

(338)

(163)

(679)

100%

(785)

(8)

(75)

(24)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

21. Republican Candidate Conservative Level John Kasich


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

8%
41%
51%

6%
36%
58%

10%
47%
44%

4%
58%
38%

19%
36%
46%

4%
36%
60%

4%
49%
47%

7%
42%
51%

12%
37%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(400)

(378)

(101)

(180)

(338)

(159)

(675)

100%

(778)

(8)

(75)

(20)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

22. Republican Vote Reasons


Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
33%
12%
14%

9%
37%
8%
19%

16%
29%
15%
9%

13%
22%
18%
3%

14%
35%
10%
10%

12%
34%
10%
17%

12%
37%
13%
20%

12%
36%
12%
13%

4%
18%
11%
22%

28%

27%

30%

43%

31%

27%

19%

26%

45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(401)

(391)

(101)

(184)

(340)

(167)

(686)

100%

(792)

(7)

(76)

(22)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

23. Republican Traits Has the most optimistic message?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

35%
31%
22%
12%

34%
31%
23%
13%

36%
31%
21%
11%

14%
27%
31%
28%

32%
23%
29%
16%

38%
38%
17%
7%

44%
27%
20%
9%

36%
30%
23%
11%

34%
32%
16%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(385)

(101)

(184)

(340)

(165)

(681)

100%

(789)

(7)

(76)

(25)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

24. Republican Traits Is the most conservative?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

10%
77%
9%
4%

8%
85%
6%
1%

13%
69%
11%
7%

4%
77%
14%
5%

11%
78%
8%
3%

9%
81%
5%
5%

15%
69%
14%
3%

10%
79%
8%
3%

17%
61%
12%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(404)

(385)

(101)

(185)

(338)

(165)

(683)

100%

(789)

(7)

(75)

(24)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

25. Republican Traits Has the best kind of experience?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

21%
41%
11%
27%

18%
38%
9%
35%

24%
44%
13%
19%

9%
34%
25%
32%

15%
33%
12%
40%

24%
49%
6%
21%

28%
37%
12%
23%

19%
41%
12%
28%

33%
36%
9%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(402)

(383)

(101)

(185)

(336)

(163)

(678)

100%

(786)

(8)

(76)

(24)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

26. Republican Traits Has the best chance to win in November?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

43%
29%
24%
4%

34%
26%
35%
5%

53%
32%
13%
2%

24%
30%
43%
3%

46%
19%
26%
9%

45%
36%
18%
1%

49%
26%
23%
3%

44%
27%
25%
4%

46%
36%
15%
3%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(388)

(101)

(186)

(339)

(167)

(686)

100%

(793)

(7)

(76)

(24)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

27. Establishment Republican Candidate


If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
48%
39%
8%

5%
58%
35%
2%

5%
37%
42%
15%

2%
15%
76%
7%

8%
35%
42%
15%

4%
60%
30%
6%

7%
57%
30%
7%

4%
48%
40%
8%

9%
48%
31%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(391)

(101)

(187)

(341)

(168)

(687)

100%

(796)

(8)

(76)

(25)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

28. Republican Party Representation


These days, do you feel the Republican party represents you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
34%
24%
37%

4%
27%
29%
40%

6%
41%
18%
35%

6%
33%
36%
25%

7%
44%
21%
28%

5%
31%
21%
43%

3%
28%
27%
43%

5%
35%
22%
38%

0%
28%
37%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(389)

(101)

(187)

(338)

(168)

(685)

100%

(794)

(8)

(76)

(25)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

29. Second Choice Republican Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your second choice?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them

12%
24%
13%
24%
16%
11%

9%
21%
16%
23%
18%
12%

15%
27%
9%
25%
13%
12%

10%
16%
27%
17%
11%
20%

9%
27%
14%
23%
12%
14%

16%
23%
9%
23%
21%
10%

9%
29%
11%
32%
12%
8%

12%
23%
14%
24%
16%
10%

10%
29%
2%
20%
12%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(403)

(385)

(96)

(186)

(338)

(168)

(683)

100%

(788)

(8)

(73)

(25)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

30. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

74%
26%

67%
33%

79%
21%

63%
37%

74%
26%

75%
25%

83%
17%

64%
36%

85%
15%

81%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(749)

(318)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(361)

(140)

(226)

(22)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

31. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

78%
22%

79%
21%

78%
22%

89%
11%

84%
16%

71%
29%

76%
24%

90%
10%

61%
39%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(318)

(427)

(118)

(209)

(318)

(100)

(361)

(136)

(226)

(22)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

32. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
50%

59%
41%

43%
57%

70%
30%

64%
36%

41%
59%

23%
77%

54%
46%

41%
59%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(746)

(319)

(427)

(118)

(212)

(317)

(99)

(358)

(140)

(226)

(22)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

33. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%
77%

16%
84%

28%
72%

15%
85%

28%
72%

26%
74%

13%
87%

11%
89%

50%
50%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(739)

(318)

(421)

(118)

(209)

(315)

(98)

(356)

(136)

(226)

(22)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

34. Democratic Candidate Job Improving race relations in America


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
38%

55%
45%

68%
32%

32%
68%

55%
45%

72%
28%

83%
17%

54%
46%

75%
25%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(725)

(315)

(411)

(118)

(200)

(306)

(101)

(347)

(136)

(220)

(22)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

35. Democratic Candidate Job Gun policy


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
40%

54%
46%

64%
36%

41%
59%

46%
54%

69%
31%

82%
18%

61%
39%

64%
36%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(730)

(316)

(414)

(118)

(206)

(306)

(100)

(348)

(140)

(221)

(22)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

36. Democratic Candidate Job Being Commander in Chief


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
29%

74%
26%

69%
31%

32%
68%

73%
27%

79%
21%

89%
11%

71%
29%

75%
25%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(314)

(418)

(117)

(198)

(316)

(101)

(355)

(135)

(220)

(22)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

37. Democratic Candidate Job Health care


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
45%

48%
52%

61%
39%

26%
74%

45%
55%

65%
35%

79%
21%

49%
51%

74%
26%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(315)

(410)

(115)

(203)

(307)

(101)

(348)

(136)

(220)

(22)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

38. Democratic Candidate Job Standing up to a Republican Congress


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

58%
42%

51%
49%

64%
36%

37%
63%

57%
43%

65%
35%

64%
36%

50%
50%

64%
36%

66%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(316)

(411)

(118)

(200)

(308)

(101)

(351)

(136)

(219)

(22)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

39. Democratic Candidate Job Fixing income inequality


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
56%

33%
67%

53%
47%

28%
72%

42%
58%

49%
51%

51%
49%

30%
70%

61%
39%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(315)

(421)

(118)

(200)

(317)

(101)

(357)

(137)

(222)

(20)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

40. Democratic Candidate Qualities Hillary Clinton


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
84%
37%

45%
82%
35%

57%
86%
39%

48%
67%
28%

51%
88%
40%

58%
89%
36%

41%
84%
43%

50%
86%
32%

62%
85%
45%

50%
82%
41%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(362)

(140)

(226)

(22)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

41. Democratic Candidate Qualities Bernie Sanders


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
58%
65%

82%
62%
66%

64%
55%
64%

75%
70%
83%

77%
62%
66%

69%
47%
62%

61%
67%
49%

78%
64%
73%

67%
48%
48%

68%
54%
63%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(362)

(140)

(226)

(22)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

42. Democratic Vote Reasons


When you vote in the Texas primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

8%
13%
30%

9%
15%
30%

8%
11%
29%

3%
15%
56%

13%
17%
34%

8%
12%
23%

7%
4%
12%

6%
14%
34%

7%
15%
23%

9%
10%
28%

49%

46%

52%

27%

36%

57%

77%

45%

55%

53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(316)

(428)

(118)

(210)

(315)

(101)

(360)

(139)

(224)

(22)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

43. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%
57%
6%

37%
58%
5%

38%
56%
6%

16%
81%
3%

34%
59%
7%

46%
52%
2%

45%
38%
17%

35%
60%
6%

58%
38%
4%

28%
64%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(317)

(428)

(118)

(212)

(315)

(100)

(360)

(139)

(224)

(22)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

44. Democratic Party Representation


These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%
47%
9%

19%
43%
12%

26%
50%
7%

7%
54%
16%

21%
44%
12%

32%
44%
6%

20%
55%
7%

16%
53%
11%

37%
41%
3%

20%
46%
12%

20%

26%

16%

23%

23%

19%

18%

20%

19%

22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(361)

(140)

(226)

(22)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

45. Enthusiasm for Other Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

18%
22%

24%
13%

13%
29%

9%
18%

18%
30%

19%
21%

26%
13%

22%
25%

22%
16%

10%
19%

42%
18%

36%
26%

46%
12%

56%
17%

38%
14%

39%
21%

44%
17%

34%
20%

50%
13%

51%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(314)

(422)

(118)

(204)

(314)

(99)

(358)

(137)

(220)

(20)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

796 Likely Republican Primary Voters


February 22-26, 2016

5.6%

1. Interest in Presidential Campaign


Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

72%
24%
4%

81%
16%
4%

67%
30%
3%

67%
29%
4%

80%
17%
4%

65%
32%
3%

74%
22%
4%

71%
26%
3%

72%
25%
3%

76%
24%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(397)

(214)

(137)

(400)

(391)

(472)

(304)

(687)

(71)

Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

72%
24%
4%

76%
19%
5%

68%
30%
2%

76%
24%
0%

67%
31%
3%

77%
21%
2%

67%
23%
10%

72%
25%
3%

69%
25%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(405)

(386)

(101)

(187)

(335)

(168)

(605)

(152)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

4%
42%
4%
19%
31%
0%

5%
54%
2%
12%
27%
0%

3%
36%
1%
32%
28%
0%

4%
23%
10%
27%
32%
4%

6%
52%
2%
8%
33%
0%

3%
31%
5%
31%
28%
2%

5%
43%
2%
18%
31%
1%

2%
39%
6%
21%
31%
1%

3%
42%
3%
20%
31%
1%

7%
36%
10%
10%
32%
5%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(796)

(397)

(214)

(137)

(400)

(396)

(472)

(309)

(687)

(76)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

4%
42%
4%
19%
31%
0%

4%
44%
2%
23%
26%
0%

4%
39%
5%
15%
35%
1%

3%
35%
1%
43%
14%
5%

4%
33%
7%
19%
37%
1%

5%
49%
2%
13%
30%
0%

4%
40%
5%
17%
34%
0%

3%
42%
3%
22%
29%
1%

8%
40%
5%
11%
36%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(796)

(405)

(391)

(101)

(187)

(340)

(168)

(610)

(152)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

52%
28%
20%
0%

62%
25%
13%
0%

37%
32%
29%
2%

45%
25%
27%
3%

62%
27%
11%
0%

41%
28%
29%
2%

54%
26%
19%
1%

49%
29%
20%
2%

49%
30%
20%
1%

69%
10%
20%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(788)

(397)

(213)

(131)

(400)

(389)

(468)

(305)

(683)

(73)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

52%
28%
20%
0%

57%
25%
17%
1%

46%
30%
22%
2%

29%
28%
43%
0%

53%
18%
27%
2%

57%
29%
14%
1%

53%
35%
11%
1%

50%
28%
22%
1%

56%
27%
14%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(788)

(403)

(385)

(96)

(186)

(339)

(168)

(605)

(151)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Attention Donald Trump


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

33%
67%

31%
69%

39%
61%

30%
70%

28%
72%

38%
62%

35%
65%

29%
71%

33%
67%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(775)

(384)

(207)

(136)

(383)

(392)

(456)

(304)

(677)

(74)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

33%
67%

33%
67%

33%
67%

57%
43%

27%
73%

31%
69%

27%
73%

35%
65%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(775)

(392)

(383)

(101)

(182)

(332)

(161)

(602)

(140)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Candidate Attention Ted Cruz


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

31%
69%

20%
80%

27%
73%

57%
43%

15%
85%

46%
54%

29%
71%

34%
66%

30%
70%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(389)

(212)

(133)

(393)

(389)

(462)

(305)

(681)

(70)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

31%
69%

29%
71%

33%
67%

51%
49%

42%
58%

21%
79%

26%
74%

29%
71%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(399)

(382)

(101)

(183)

(333)

(165)

(598)

(151)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Attention Marco Rubio


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

61%
39%

63%
37%

55%
45%

61%
39%

71%
29%

52%
48%

64%
36%

59%
41%

62%
38%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(770)

(382)

(211)

(131)

(385)

(385)

(452)

(304)

(674)

(71)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

61%
39%

64%
36%

58%
42%

61%
39%

65%
35%

64%
36%

51%
49%

56%
44%

82%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(770)

(392)

(378)

(101)

(182)

(328)

(159)

(593)

(144)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Attention John Kasich


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

57%
43%

60%
40%

51%
49%

52%
48%

64%
36%

50%
50%

55%
45%

59%
41%

57%
43%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(757)

(374)

(206)

(131)

(374)

(383)

(443)

(300)

(666)

(70)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

57%
43%

55%
45%

60%
40%

55%
45%

56%
44%

62%
38%

48%
52%

54%
46%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(757)

(386)

(371)

(101)

(174)

(329)

(154)

(585)

(140)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Immigration


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

63%
37%

78%
22%

48%
52%

44%
56%

77%
23%

49%
51%

62%
38%

64%
36%

63%
37%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(790)

(397)

(212)

(133)

(397)

(393)

(469)

(305)

(681)

(76)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

63%
37%

66%
34%

60%
40%

22%
78%

56%
44%

75%
25%

72%
28%

62%
38%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(790)

(402)

(388)

(101)

(186)

(337)

(167)

(606)

(150)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Matters of faith and religion


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

42%
58%

54%
46%

31%
69%

17%
83%

43%
57%

40%
60%

56%
44%

19%
81%

44%
56%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(395)

(210)

(135)

(394)

(392)

(465)

(306)

(683)

(76)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

42%
58%

39%
61%

44%
56%

30%
70%

36%
64%

42%
58%

53%
47%

46%
54%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(398)

(388)

(101)

(180)

(341)

(164)

(607)

(146)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Handling ISIS


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

66%
34%

69%
31%

59%
41%

64%
36%

67%
33%

64%
36%

65%
35%

67%
33%

65%
35%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(392)

(214)

(136)

(396)

(393)

(467)

(307)

(681)

(76)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

66%
34%

62%
38%

69%
31%

61%
39%

57%
43%

68%
32%

75%
25%

70%
30%

46%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(399)

(389)

(101)

(185)

(341)

(163)

(605)

(150)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Economic Issues


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

60%
40%

69%
31%

47%
53%

51%
49%

67%
33%

53%
47%

59%
41%

60%
40%

59%
41%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(395)

(214)

(136)

(398)

(393)

(470)

(307)

(684)

(76)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

60%
40%

62%
38%

58%
42%

45%
55%

60%
40%

66%
34%

56%
44%

61%
39%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(402)

(389)

(101)

(186)

(339)

(165)

(607)

(151)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Guns


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

71%
29%

83%
17%

64%
36%

45%
55%

85%
15%

58%
42%

72%
28%

70%
30%

72%
28%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(394)

(210)

(135)

(393)

(393)

(465)

(306)

(682)

(76)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

71%
29%

79%
21%

63%
37%

55%
45%

64%
36%

79%
21%

75%
25%

72%
28%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(397)

(388)

(101)

(180)

(339)

(165)

(608)

(145)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement Obamacare


On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

82%
18%

88%
12%

78%
22%

68%
32%

89%
11%

74%
26%

83%
17%

81%
19%

83%
17%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(395)

(214)

(135)

(398)

(392)

(470)

(306)

(683)

(76)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

82%
18%

85%
15%

79%
21%

79%
21%

78%
22%

82%
18%

86%
14%

84%
16%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(402)

(389)

(101)

(185)

(340)

(165)

(608)

(149)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Donald Trump


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

8%
42%
49%

5%
38%
58%

2%
37%
61%

15%
60%
24%

3%
38%
59%

13%
47%
40%

4%
39%
56%

14%
46%
39%

6%
43%
50%

25%
34%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(395)

(210)

(134)

(398)

(388)

(466)

(305)

(683)

(75)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

8%
42%
49%

8%
34%
58%

9%
51%
40%

12%
31%
57%

13%
44%
43%

7%
42%
52%

4%
48%
48%

8%
43%
49%

7%
41%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(400)

(386)

(99)

(184)

(338)

(165)

(600)

(151)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Ted Cruz


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

27%
65%
8%

9%
80%
12%

40%
54%
6%

48%
49%
3%

12%
81%
7%

41%
49%
10%

23%
68%
8%

32%
60%
8%

26%
66%
8%

33%
53%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(794)

(397)

(214)

(137)

(398)

(396)

(471)

(307)

(686)

(76)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

27%
65%
8%

30%
64%
6%

23%
66%
11%

44%
51%
5%

34%
51%
15%

21%
73%
6%

19%
73%
7%

24%
67%
9%

33%
61%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(794)

(404)

(389)

(101)

(186)

(340)

(167)

(610)

(151)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Conservative Level Marco Rubio


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

10%
48%
42%

2%
42%
56%

5%
62%
32%

23%
52%
25%

3%
39%
57%

16%
59%
25%

5%
47%
48%

16%
52%
31%

9%
50%
41%

12%
47%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(785)

(394)

(212)

(133)

(396)

(390)

(465)

(306)

(679)

(75)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

10%
48%
42%

9%
46%
46%

11%
52%
37%

7%
74%
19%

18%
41%
41%

7%
43%
50%

6%
55%
39%

6%
55%
38%

15%
29%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(785)

(404)

(381)

(101)

(183)

(338)

(163)

(602)

(151)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Conservative Level John Kasich


Do you feel each of these candidates is...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

8%
41%
51%

2%
28%
70%

5%
53%
42%

13%
68%
19%

2%
29%
68%

13%
54%
34%

4%
40%
57%

13%
45%
42%

7%
42%
51%

12%
37%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(778)

(391)

(213)

(129)

(393)

(385)

(463)

(301)

(675)

(75)

Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

8%
41%
51%

6%
36%
58%

10%
47%
44%

4%
58%
38%

19%
36%
46%

4%
36%
60%

4%
49%
47%

6%
45%
50%

11%
29%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(778)

(400)

(378)

(101)

(180)

(338)

(159)

(595)

(150)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Vote Reasons


Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

13%
33%
12%
14%

20%
33%
7%
17%

5%
40%
14%
9%

4%
25%
15%
16%

11%
35%
7%
20%

14%
32%
16%
9%

18%
35%
8%
14%

4%
31%
16%
15%

12%
36%
12%
13%

4%
18%
11%
22%

28%

23%

32%

40%

28%

29%

25%

34%

26%

45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(397)

(214)

(133)

(400)

(392)

(472)

(305)

(686)

(76)

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

13%
33%
12%
14%

9%
37%
8%
19%

16%
29%
15%
9%

13%
22%
18%
3%

14%
35%
10%
10%

12%
34%
10%
17%

12%
37%
13%
20%

14%
34%
13%
11%

9%
32%
5%
23%

28%

27%

30%

43%

31%

27%

19%

28%

30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(401)

(391)

(101)

(184)

(340)

(167)

(607)

(151)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Traits Has the most optimistic message?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

35%
31%
22%
12%

34%
39%
19%
7%

33%
28%
28%
12%

38%
15%
29%
19%

38%
41%
14%
7%

32%
21%
30%
17%

35%
34%
19%
12%

35%
26%
26%
13%

36%
30%
23%
11%

34%
32%
16%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(394)

(214)

(134)

(398)

(392)

(468)

(307)

(681)

(76)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

35%
31%
22%
12%

34%
31%
23%
13%

36%
31%
21%
11%

14%
27%
31%
28%

32%
23%
29%
16%

38%
38%
17%
7%

44%
27%
20%
9%

34%
31%
25%
10%

38%
30%
14%
17%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(404)

(385)

(101)

(184)

(340)

(165)

(604)

(151)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Traits Is the most conservative?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

10%
77%
9%
4%

13%
79%
7%
1%

4%
82%
10%
4%

10%
69%
13%
8%

11%
82%
6%
1%

10%
72%
11%
7%

13%
78%
8%
2%

7%
77%
10%
6%

10%
79%
8%
3%

17%
61%
12%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(395)

(213)

(134)

(397)

(392)

(467)

(307)

(683)

(75)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

10%
77%
9%
4%

8%
85%
6%
1%

13%
69%
11%
7%

4%
77%
14%
5%

11%
78%
8%
3%

9%
81%
5%
5%

15%
69%
14%
3%

12%
74%
10%
4%

7%
88%
3%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(404)

(385)

(101)

(185)

(338)

(165)

(605)

(151)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Traits Has the best kind of experience?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

21%
41%
11%
27%

23%
48%
10%
19%

14%
38%
12%
37%

23%
30%
13%
34%

25%
48%
5%
22%

16%
34%
17%
33%

22%
44%
8%
26%

20%
35%
15%
31%

19%
41%
12%
28%

33%
36%
9%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(391)

(214)

(134)

(395)

(391)

(467)

(304)

(678)

(76)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

21%
41%
11%
27%

18%
38%
9%
35%

24%
44%
13%
19%

9%
34%
25%
32%

15%
33%
12%
40%

24%
49%
6%
21%

28%
37%
12%
23%

19%
42%
13%
26%

26%
38%
5%
31%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(786)

(402)

(383)

(101)

(185)

(336)

(163)

(601)

(151)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

22. Republican Traits Has the best chance to win in November?


Regardless of how youre voting, which candidate do you feel...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

43%
29%
24%
4%

40%
37%
20%
3%

42%
20%
38%
0%

52%
20%
22%
6%

43%
37%
18%
2%

43%
21%
31%
5%

44%
31%
23%
2%

43%
26%
26%
6%

44%
27%
25%
4%

46%
36%
15%
3%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(793)

(396)

(214)

(136)

(398)

(395)

(471)

(307)

(686)

(76)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich

43%
29%
24%
4%

34%
26%
35%
5%

53%
32%
13%
2%

24%
30%
43%
3%

46%
19%
26%
9%

45%
36%
18%
1%

49%
26%
23%
3%

42%
30%
26%
3%

48%
24%
19%
9%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(793)

(405)

(388)

(101)

(186)

(339)

(167)

(608)

(152)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

23. Establishment Republican Candidate


If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

5%
48%
39%
8%

4%
63%
25%
8%

3%
40%
55%
2%

1%
29%
54%
15%

2%
71%
25%
3%

9%
24%
53%
14%

5%
49%
38%
7%

5%
46%
39%
10%

4%
48%
40%
8%

9%
48%
31%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(796)

(397)

(214)

(137)

(400)

(396)

(472)

(309)

(687)

(76)

Gender
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

5%
48%
39%
8%

5%
58%
35%
2%

5%
37%
42%
15%

2%
15%
76%
7%

8%
35%
42%
15%

4%
60%
30%
6%

7%
57%
30%
7%

6%
44%
40%
10%

1%
64%
33%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(796)

(405)

(391)

(101)

(187)

(341)

(168)

(610)

(152)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

24. Republican Party Representation


These days, do you feel the Republican party represents you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

5%
34%
24%
37%

5%
29%
22%
44%

5%
43%
22%
29%

4%
32%
23%
40%

5%
25%
21%
49%

6%
42%
26%
26%

7%
39%
20%
34%

3%
25%
30%
42%

5%
35%
22%
38%

0%
28%
37%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(794)

(395)

(214)

(137)

(397)

(396)

(470)

(309)

(685)

(76)

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the Democrats

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

5%
34%
24%
37%

4%
27%
29%
40%

6%
41%
18%
35%

6%
33%
36%
25%

7%
44%
21%
28%

5%
31%
21%
43%

3%
28%
27%
43%

6%
40%
20%
33%

0%
13%
33%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(794)

(405)

(389)

(101)

(187)

(338)

(168)

(608)

(152)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

25. Second Choice Republican Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your second choice?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them

12%
24%
13%
24%
16%
11%

13%
27%
7%
29%
16%
8%

8%
22%
24%
22%
15%
9%

15%
21%
16%
15%
21%
11%

13%
29%
6%
27%
19%
7%

11%
19%
19%
21%
13%
17%

14%
27%
15%
24%
11%
8%

8%
20%
9%
24%
22%
17%

12%
23%
14%
24%
16%
10%

10%
29%
2%
20%
12%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(788)

(397)

(213)

(131)

(399)

(389)

(468)

(305)

(683)

(73)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them

12%
24%
13%
24%
16%
11%

9%
21%
16%
23%
18%
12%

15%
27%
9%
25%
13%
12%

10%
16%
27%
17%
11%
20%

9%
27%
14%
23%
12%
14%

16%
23%
9%
23%
21%
10%

9%
29%
11%
32%
12%
8%

12%
25%
14%
26%
14%
9%

11%
22%
11%
15%
24%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(788)

(403)

(385)

(96)

(186)

(338)

(168)

(605)

(151)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters


February 22-26, 2016

6.9%

1. Interest in Presidential Campaign


Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

63%
31%
6%

76%
18%
6%

79%
17%
4%

49%
47%
5%

69%
27%
4%

54%
34%
13%

55%
39%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(748)

(216)

(105)

(299)

(360)

(140)

(226)

Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

63%
31%
6%

68%
27%
5%

58%
34%
7%

62%
37%
2%

66%
27%
7%

62%
30%
8%

59%
37%
4%

63%
31%
7%

65%
31%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(748)

(319)

(430)

(117)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(574)

(142)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

61%
37%
2%

47%
52%
1%

49%
51%
0%

72%
27%
1%

49%
50%
1%

76%
22%
2%

68%
31%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(750)

(216)

(107)

(299)

(362)

(140)

(226)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

61%
37%
2%

52%
47%
1%

68%
30%
2%

37%
63%
0%

58%
39%
3%

70%
29%
1%

67%
31%
2%

67%
32%
1%

34%
64%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(575)

(142)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

67%
20%
12%
1%

77%
19%
4%
0%

75%
21%
3%
0%

58%
24%
18%
0%

71%
20%
9%
0%

65%
21%
14%
0%

63%
19%
17%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(738)

(214)

(106)

(296)

(358)

(138)

(222)

Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

67%
20%
12%
1%

69%
19%
12%
0%

66%
21%
12%
1%

68%
18%
14%
0%

63%
21%
15%
0%

67%
24%
8%
1%

72%
10%
17%
1%

69%
20%
11%
0%

66%
19%
12%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(738)

(316)

(423)

(118)

(206)

(314)

(99)

(569)

(139)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

74%
26%

64%
36%

75%
25%

78%
22%

64%
36%

85%
15%

81%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(749)

(216)

(106)

(299)

(361)

(140)

(226)

Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

74%
26%

67%
33%

79%
21%

63%
37%

74%
26%

75%
25%

83%
17%

83%
17%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(749)

(318)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(575)

(142)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

78%
22%

85%
15%

88%
12%

79%
21%

90%
10%

61%
39%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(216)

(106)

(299)

(361)

(136)

(226)

Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

78%
22%

79%
21%

78%
22%

89%
11%

84%
16%

71%
29%

76%
24%

74%
26%

93%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(318)

(427)

(118)

(209)

(318)

(100)

(570)

(142)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

50%
50%

55%
45%

35%
65%

46%
54%

54%
46%

41%
59%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(746)

(213)

(107)

(299)

(358)

(140)

(226)

What big donors want


What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

50%
50%

59%
41%

43%
57%

70%
30%

64%
36%

41%
59%

23%
77%

44%
56%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(746)

(319)

(427)

(118)

(212)

(317)

(99)

(574)

(140)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

23%
77%

18%
82%

12%
88%

25%
75%

11%
89%

50%
50%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(739)

(213)

(106)

(299)

(356)

(136)

(226)

What big donors want


What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

23%
77%

16%
84%

28%
72%

15%
85%

28%
72%

26%
74%

13%
87%

25%
75%

10%
90%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(739)

(318)

(421)

(118)

(209)

(315)

(98)

(567)

(140)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Job Improving race relations in America


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

62%
38%

52%
48%

65%
35%

66%
34%

54%
46%

75%
25%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(725)

(213)

(106)

(282)

(347)

(136)

(220)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

62%
38%

55%
45%

68%
32%

32%
68%

55%
45%

72%
28%

83%
17%

70%
30%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(725)

(315)

(411)

(118)

(200)

(306)

(101)

(557)

(140)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

9. Democratic Candidate Job Gun policy


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

60%
40%

51%
49%

75%
25%

63%
37%

61%
39%

64%
36%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(730)

(214)

(106)

(284)

(348)

(140)

(221)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

60%
40%

54%
46%

64%
36%

41%
59%

46%
54%

69%
31%

82%
18%

64%
36%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(730)

(316)

(414)

(118)

(206)

(306)

(100)

(558)

(140)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

10. Democratic Candidate Job Being Commander in Chief


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

71%
29%

60%
40%

84%
16%

73%
27%

71%
29%

75%
25%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(215)

(105)

(289)

(355)

(135)

(220)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

71%
29%

74%
26%

69%
31%

32%
68%

73%
27%

79%
21%

89%
11%

77%
23%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(732)

(314)

(418)

(117)

(198)

(316)

(101)

(565)

(139)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democratic Candidate Job Health care


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

55%
45%

44%
56%

59%
41%

60%
40%

49%
51%

74%
26%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(213)

(107)

(286)

(348)

(136)

(220)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

55%
45%

48%
52%

61%
39%

26%
74%

45%
55%

65%
35%

79%
21%

63%
37%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(315)

(410)

(115)

(203)

(307)

(101)

(558)

(140)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democratic Candidate Job Standing up to a Republican Congress


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

58%
42%

44%
56%

56%
44%

67%
33%

50%
50%

64%
36%

66%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(214)

(107)

(284)

(351)

(136)

(219)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

58%
42%

51%
49%

64%
36%

37%
63%

57%
43%

65%
35%

64%
36%

64%
36%

34%
66%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(316)

(411)

(118)

(200)

(308)

(101)

(558)

(140)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

13. Democratic Candidate Job Fixing income inequality


Who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

44%
56%

33%
67%

31%
69%

51%
49%

30%
70%

61%
39%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(215)

(107)

(291)

(357)

(137)

(222)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

44%
56%

33%
67%

53%
47%

28%
72%

42%
58%

49%
51%

51%
49%

50%
50%

22%
78%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(315)

(421)

(118)

(200)

(317)

(101)

(568)

(140)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

14. Democratic Candidate Qualities Hillary Clinton


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

52%
84%
37%

64%
81%
40%

53%
94%
42%

48%
83%
32%

50%
86%
32%

62%
85%
45%

50%
82%
41%

(750)

(216)

(107)

(299)

(362)

(140)

(226)

Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

52%
84%
37%

45%
82%
35%

57%
86%
39%

48%
67%
28%

51%
88%
40%

58%
89%
36%

41%
84%
43%

57%
88%
43%

35%
76%
15%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(575)

(142)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Candidate Qualities Bernie Sanders


Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

71%
58%
65%

82%
72%
79%

70%
65%
65%

68%
54%
61%

78%
64%
73%

67%
48%
48%

68%
54%
63%

(750)

(216)

(107)

(299)

(362)

(140)

(226)

Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

71%
58%
65%

82%
62%
66%

64%
55%
64%

75%
70%
83%

77%
62%
66%

69%
47%
62%

61%
67%
49%

67%
55%
60%

91%
71%
83%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(575)

(142)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

16. Democratic Vote Reasons


When you vote in the Texas primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

8%
13%
30%

9%
10%
41%

3%
4%
36%

10%
14%
23%

6%
14%
34%

7%
15%
23%

9%
10%
28%

49%

40%

58%

52%

45%

55%

53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(216)

(106)

(298)

(360)

(139)

(224)

Support an historic candidacy


Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

8%
13%
30%

9%
15%
30%

8%
11%
29%

3%
15%
56%

13%
17%
34%

8%
12%
23%

7%
4%
12%

9%
8%
30%

5%
29%
33%

49%

46%

52%

27%

36%

57%

77%

53%

34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(316)

(428)

(118)

(210)

(315)

(101)

(571)

(142)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

17. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

37%
57%
6%

37%
63%
0%

53%
46%
1%

36%
53%
10%

35%
60%
6%

58%
38%
4%

28%
64%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(216)

(106)

(298)

(360)

(139)

(224)

Continue Obama policies


More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

37%
57%
6%

37%
58%
5%

38%
56%
6%

16%
81%
3%

34%
59%
7%

46%
52%
2%

45%
38%
17%

41%
55%
5%

26%
66%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(745)

(317)

(428)

(118)

(212)

(315)

(100)

(571)

(141)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

18. Democratic Party Representation


These days, do you feel the Democratic party represents you...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

23%
47%
9%

35%
35%
11%

24%
54%
8%

10%
61%
7%

16%
53%
11%

37%
41%
3%

20%
46%
12%

20%

19%

14%

22%

20%

19%

22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(750)

(216)

(107)

(299)

(361)

(140)

(226)

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

23%
47%
9%

19%
43%
12%

26%
50%
7%

7%
54%
16%

21%
44%
12%

32%
44%
6%

20%
55%
7%

29%
50%
6%

2%
37%
18%

20%

26%

16%

23%

23%

19%

18%

15%

42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(750)

(319)

(431)

(118)

(212)

(318)

(101)

(575)

(142)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Democratic Voters

19. Enthusiasm for Other Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

18%
22%

26%
22%

32%
31%

9%
25%

22%
25%

22%
16%

10%
19%

42%
18%

30%
22%

22%
15%

55%
12%

34%
20%

50%
13%

51%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(214)

(106)

(296)

(358)

(137)

(220)

Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

18%
22%

24%
13%

13%
29%

9%
18%

18%
30%

19%
21%

26%
13%

22%
24%

4%
17%

42%
18%

36%
26%

46%
12%

56%
17%

38%
14%

39%
21%

44%
17%

40%
14%

46%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(736)

(314)

(422)

(118)

(204)

(314)

(99)

(567)

(139)

19