CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Florida, March 2016

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Florida
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1877 Registered Voters

March 9-11, 2016
3%
1. How would you rate the condition of the economy in Florida today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Florida?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

Florida
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%
5. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
6. If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your
second choice?
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
None of them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
7. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .62%

Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%

Florida
8. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
9. Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Creates U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

Takes away U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
10. When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Ive usually been interested, no matter who was running . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .68%

Im more interested this year, because [First Choice Candidate Name] is running
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
11. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Prepared
62%
62%
43%
51%
Not prepared
25%
21%
45%
34%
Not sure
12%
17%
12%
15%

Florida
12. Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to
Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz
Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Can be too extreme
at times
Has clear positions
on issues
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes
over-promises what
he can do
Describes
97%
Does not describe

3%
17%
83%
21%
79%
99%
1%
95%
5%
26%
74%
John Kasich?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for John Kasich
Question not listed due to small sample size.
Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio
Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Can be too extreme
at times
Has clear positions
on issues
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes
over-promises what
he can do
Describes
93%
Does not describe

7%
40%
60%
25%
75%
92%
8%
89%
11%
40%
60%

Florida
Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump
Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Can be too extreme
at times
Has clear positions
on issues
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes
over-promises what
he can do
Describes
97%
Does not describe

3%
10%
90%
61%
39%
84%
16%
92%
8%
42%
58%
16. The next Republican President needs to...?

Stand up to Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%

Negotiate with Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
17. Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
How candidates performed at debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%

How candidates reacted to news events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Seeing what happened on Super Tuesday and earlier contests . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Seeing where Republican leaders stand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
None of the above . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
18. If you had to choose, would you prefer a President who...?

Gets hands-on with the details of most issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%

Sets big goals and then delegates the details to others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%

Florida
19. If Donald Trump wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Donald Trump
Do all they can to stop him from getting nominated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%

Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
20. If Ted Cruz wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Ted Cruz
Do all they can to stop him from getting nominated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%

Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
21. Regardless of your vote in the Presidential primary, do you approve or disapprove of how
Marco Rubio is handling his job as Senator?
Strongly approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%

Somewhat approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Somewhat disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Strongly disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
22. How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Very well
67%
46%
Fairly well
30%
41%
Not very well yet

3%
13%
23. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Prepared
87%
55%
Not prepared
8%
28%
Not sure
5%
17%

Florida
24. Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
25. Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
26. Should the next president...?

Generally continue Barack Obamas policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%

Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
27. Do you think each of these candidates spends their time talking mostly about the future or
mostly about the past?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
The Future
55%
54%
The Past
14%
18%
About even
31%
28%

Florida
Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton
Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Has clear positions
on issues
Can get their policies
enacted
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes makes
unfair attacks on
others
Describes
90%
Does not describe

10%
49%
51%
97%
3%
93%
7%
94%
6%
27%
73%
Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders
Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Has clear positions
on issues
Can get their policies
enacted
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes makes
unfair attacks on
others
Describes
99%
Does not describe

1%
14%
86%
97%
3%
77%
23%
97%
3%
15%
85%

Florida
30. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
What big donors want

39%
16%
What regular people

want
61%
84%
31. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
32. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?

Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
33. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%

Florida
34. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
35. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
36. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
37. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
38. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
10

Florida
1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in Florida today?
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
51%
28%
8%
6%
7%
50%
30%
8%
5%
7%
52%
26%
9%
6%
5%
52%
24%
6%
13%
8%
49%
28%
10%
6%
7%
51%
29%
9%
4%
9%
52%
27%
7%
4%
6%
52%
30%
6%
5%
11%
51%
19%
11%
9%
9%
41%
28%
18%
4%
6%
63%
20%
5%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,876)
(887)
(989)
(250)
(327)
(723)
(576)
(1,303)
(247)
(243)
(83)

Florida
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Florida?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
6%
3%
1%
3%
33%
2%
53%
6%
2%
1%
3%
33%
1%
51%
6%
4%
1%
3%
32%
2%
47%
11%
5%
2%
3%
31%
1%
53%
10%
6%
2%
5%
22%
3%
57%
6%
3%
1%
3%
30%
1%
47%
2%
2%
1%
3%
44%
1%
48%
5%
3%
1%
4%
37%
1%
57%
8%
2%
2%
5%
26%
1%
62%
9%
5%
1%
0%
19%
4%
57%
5%
10%
2%
1%
26%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,875)
(886)
(990)
(250)
(328)
(721)
(577)
(1,302)
(247)
(243)
(83)

Florida
3. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
53%
5%
4%
36%
57%
5%
2%
42%
49%
5%
5%
54%
40%
4%
1%
37%
51%
6%
6%
37%
54%
5%
4%
36%
58%
4%
3%
30%
62%
5%
3%
76%
12%
8%
4%
45%
45%
2%
8%
42%
52%
4%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,877)
(887)
(990)
(250)
(328)
(723)
(577)
(1,304)
(247)
(243)
(83)

Florida
4. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
24%
9%
21%
44%
2%
24%
10%
18%
45%
3%
24%
8%
23%
43%
2%
25%
9%
21%
42%
2%
24%
8%
21%
45%
3%
23%
9%
19%
47%
2%
25%
8%
19%
45%
3%
19%
11%
28%
42%
0%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(422)
(118)
(360)
(299)
(645)
100%
(405)
100%
(827)
(50)
(22)
(134)
(27)

Florida
5. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
56%
28%
14%
2%
60%
28%
11%
1%
52%
28%
17%
2%
63%
16%
17%
5%
59%
27%
13%
2%
54%
33%
13%
1%
54%
28%
16%
1%
63%
24%
11%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(261)
(83)
(241)
(158)
(380)
100%
(254)
100%
(515)
(33)
(9)
(107)
(19)

Florida
6. Second Choice Republican Candidate

If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your second choice?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them
29%
21%
19%
13%
18%
31%
23%
18%
14%
14%
28%
18%
20%
12%
22%
24%
17%
28%
13%
18%
28%
20%
17%
15%
20%
34%
21%
17%
12%
16%
28%
20%
20%
15%
17%
37%
16%
20%
8%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(411)
(115)
(347)
(292)
(629)
100%
(394)
100%
(805)
(50)
(18)
(132)
(26)

Florida
7. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
62%
34%
4%
58%
37%
5%
65%
31%
4%
32%
62%
6%
52%
41%
7%
65%
32%
4%
74%
22%
4%
59%
38%
3%
71%
20%
9%
66%
30%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(756)
(310)
(445)
(70)
(138)
(341)
(207)
(454)
(151)
(110)
(40)

Florida
8. Democratic Candidate Support

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
21%
11%
2%
69%
18%
10%
3%
62%
24%
12%
2%
60%
29%
9%
2%
67%
16%
14%
3%
73%
16%
9%
2%
66%
19%
11%
4%
60%
19%
19%
2%
72%
25%
3%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(191)
(287)
100%
(478)
(101)
(224)
(107)
(256)
(101)
(92)
(45)
(29)

Florida
9. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs

Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
21%
53%
10%
16%
27%
52%
10%
10%
15%
54%
10%
21%
58%
27%
5%
9%
23%
48%
8%
20%
19%
56%
11%
14%
16%
57%
10%
17%
19%
52%
12%
17%
28%
60%
3%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(406)
(423)
(51)
(120)
(359)
(299)
(645)
100%
(829)
(22)
(134)
(28)

Florida
10. Interest in This Republican Primary

When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Gender
Ive usually been interested, no matter
who was running
Im more interested this year, because
[First Choice Candidate Name] is
running
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
68%
70%
67%
62%
67%
72%
71%
59%
32%
30%
33%
38%
33%
28%
29%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(413)
(115)
(348)
(292)
(628)
100%
(393)
100%
(806)
(50)
(18)
(134)
(26)
10

Florida
11. Republican Candidate Ready Ted Cruz

If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
62%
25%
12%
71%
21%
8%
54%
29%
16%
42%
43%
16%
63%
21%
16%
59%
28%
13%
69%
21%
10%
61%
26%
13%
72%
21%
7%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(400)
(420)
(51)
(120)
(356)
(294)
(639)
100%
(820)
(22)
(132)
(27)
11

Florida
12. Republican Candidate Ready John Kasich

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
62%
21%
17%
68%
22%
10%
56%
21%
23%
60%
25%
15%
59%
25%
16%
67%
16%
17%
63%
22%
15%
61%
18%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(414)
(120)
(355)
(293)
(637)
100%
(403)
100%
(817)
(50)
(22)
(131)
(27)
12

Florida
13. Republican Candidate Ready Marco Rubio

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
43%
45%
12%
39%
51%
10%
46%
39%
15%
49%
36%
15%
54%
36%
10%
37%
52%
12%
44%
41%
15%
42%
44%
14%
54%
40%
7%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(405)
(420)
(51)
(120)
(356)
(299)
(645)
100%
(825)
(22)
(131)
(27)
13

Florida
14. Republican Candidate Ready Donald Trump

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
51%
34%
15%
57%
30%
13%
46%
38%
16%
30%
65%
5%
50%
39%
11%
52%
34%
14%
54%
28%
19%
52%
34%
14%
49%
35%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(405)
(423)
(51)
(120)
(358)
(299)
(645)
100%
(828)
(22)
(133)
(28)
14

Florida
15. Ted Cruz Traits Is authentic

Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
97%
3%
98%
2%
97%
3%
99%
1%
100%
0%
97%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(95)
(101)
100%
(195)
(87)
(66)
(162)
(13)
(30)
(5)
(23)
(6)
15

Florida
16. Ted Cruz Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
17%
83%
12%
88%
21%
79%
10%
90%
22%
78%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(95)
(102)
100%
(197)
(87)
(67)
(163)
(13)
(30)
(5)
(23)
(6)
16

Florida
17. Ted Cruz Traits Can be too extreme at times

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
21%
79%
21%
79%
21%
79%
24%
76%
12%
88%
16%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(95)
(96)
100%
(192)
(87)
(62)
(158)
(13)
(29)
(5)
(23)
(6)
17

Florida
18. Ted Cruz Traits Has clear positions on issues

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
99%
1%
100%
0%
97%
3%
99%
1%
100%
0%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(95)
(102)
100%
(197)
(87)
(67)
(163)
(13)
(30)
(5)
(24)
(6)
18

Florida
19. Ted Cruz Traits Will look out for people like you
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
95%
5%
96%
4%
95%
5%
91%
9%
99%
1%
95%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(95)
(102)
100%
(196)
(87)
(67)
(163)
(13)
(30)
(5)
(23)
(6)
19

Florida
20. Ted Cruz Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do

Gender
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
26%
74%
15%
85%
37%
63%
29%
71%
14%
86%
27%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(95)
(95)
100%
(190)
(86)
(62)
(156)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
(13)
(30)
(5)
(23)
(6)
21-26 John Kasich Traits

Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to John Kasich?
20

Florida
27. Marco Rubio Traits Is authentic

Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
93%
7%
88%
12%
97%
3%
90%
10%
96%
4%
90%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(74)
(92)
100%
(167)
(74)
(53)
(121)
(15)
(25)
(2)
(37)
(7)
21

Florida
28. Marco Rubio Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
60%
49%
51%
31%
69%
40%
60%
39%
61%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(74)
(90)
100%
(164)
(72)
(53)
(119)
(15)
(25)
(2)
(36)
(7)
22

Florida
29. Marco Rubio Traits Can be too extreme at times

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
25%
75%
13%
87%
35%
65%
26%
74%
21%
79%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(74)
(90)
100%
(164)
(73)
(52)
(119)
(15)
(25)
(2)
(36)
(7)
23

Florida
30. Marco Rubio Traits Has clear positions on issues

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
92%
8%
91%
9%
93%
7%
92%
8%
88%
12%
90%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(74)
(92)
100%
(166)
(74)
(53)
(121)
(15)
(25)
(2)
(36)
(7)
24

Florida
31. Marco Rubio Traits Will look out for people like you
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
89%
11%
87%
13%
90%
10%
87%
13%
88%
12%
89%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(74)
(95)
100%
(169)
(74)
(56)
(123)
(15)
(25)
(2)
(37)
(7)
25

Florida
32. Marco Rubio Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
60%
31%
69%
47%
53%
49%
51%
28%
72%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(74)
(91)
100%
(165)
(73)
(53)
(120)
(15)
(25)
(2)
(36)
(7)
26

Florida
33. Donald Trump Traits Is authentic

Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
97%
3%
98%
2%
96%
4%
97%
3%
98%
2%
97%
3%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(158)
(134)
(284)
100%
(177)
100%
(356)
(15)
(50)
(9)
(52)
(12)
27

Florida
34. Donald Trump Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
10%
90%
9%
91%
11%
89%
7%
93%
5%
95%
9%
91%
20%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(179)
(157)
(135)
(283)
100%
(177)
100%
(356)
(15)
(50)
(7)
(54)
(12)
28

Florida
35. Donald Trump Traits Can be too extreme at times

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
61%
39%
62%
38%
60%
40%
64%
36%
59%
41%
61%
39%
73%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(157)
(136)
(284)
100%
(178)
100%
(358)
(15)
(50)
(7)
(54)
(12)
29

Florida
36. Donald Trump Traits Has clear positions on issues

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
84%
16%
79%
21%
88%
12%
84%
16%
85%
15%
83%
17%
91%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(181)
(159)
(134)
(283)
100%
(177)
100%
(358)
(15)
(50)
(7)
(56)
(12)
30

Florida
37. Donald Trump Traits Will look out for people like you
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
92%
8%
90%
10%
95%
5%
95%
5%
88%
12%
94%
6%
84%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(157)
(134)
(285)
100%
(179)
100%
(356)
(15)
(50)
(7)
(52)
(12)
31

Florida
38. Donald Trump Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
42%
58%
42%
58%
42%
58%
41%
59%
46%
54%
41%
59%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(158)
(134)
(286)
100%
(180)
100%
(357)
(15)
(50)
(7)
(52)
(12)
32

Florida
39. Republican Candidate Actions

The next Republican President needs to...?
Gender
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
62%
64%
60%
35%
61%
65%
63%
65%
55%
38%
36%
40%
65%
39%
35%
37%
35%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(406)
(422)
(51)
(120)
(359)
(299)
(646)
100%
(828)
(22)
(133)
(28)
33

Florida
40. Republican Vote Choice Impact

Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Gender
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
Seeing what happened on Super
Tuesday and earlier contests
Seeing where Republican leaders
stand
None of the above
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
39%
42%
55%
37%
34%
47%
41%
40%
28%
33%
23%
41%
29%
26%
28%
28%
27%
15%
13%
16%
37%
16%
13%
13%
13%
25%
50%
26%
52%
26%
49%
26%
62%
9%
44%
31%
49%
27%
53%
25%
52%
27%
38%
20%
(830)
(406)
(424)
(51)
(120)
(360)
(299)
(647)
(22)
(134)
(28)
34

Florida
41. Republican Hands-On or Delegate

If you had to choose, would you prefer a President who...?
Gender
Gets hands-on with the details of
most issues
Sets big goals and then delegates the
details to others
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
58%
71%
75%
68%
64%
62%
63%
71%
36%
42%
29%
25%
32%
36%
38%
37%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(405)
(419)
(51)
(120)
(357)
(296)
(642)
100%
(824)
(21)
(133)
(28)
35

Florida
42. Republican Response to Trump

If Donald Trump wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
30%
47%
38%
37%
30%
39%
39%
45%
16%
49%
21%
41%
12%
46%
15%
50%
13%
46%
24%
43%
18%
49%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(238)
(70)
(197)
(159)
(359)
100%
(224)
100%
(462)
(36)
(13)
(74)
(16)
36

Florida
43. Republican Response to Cruz

If Ted Cruz wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Gender
getting nominated
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
27%
24%
30%
37%
23%
25%
28%
21%
45%
28%
49%
27%
42%
28%
37%
26%
44%
33%
50%
25%
44%
28%
55%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(319)
(89)
(272)
(228)
(480)
100%
(308)
100%
(627)
(38)
(17)
(108)
(22)
37

Florida
44. Rubio Approval

Regardless of your vote in the Presidential primary, do you approve or disapprove of how Marco Rubio is handling his job as Senator?
Gender
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
31%
22%
24%
7%
15%
32%
22%
27%
4%
17%
30%
22%
20%
12%
6%
56%
5%
27%
6%
30%
25%
20%
19%
6%
12%
31%
25%
24%
9%
17%
29%
22%
25%
8%
14%
33%
23%
23%
7%
31%
23%
19%
16%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(405)
(423)
(51)
(119)
(360)
(298)
(645)
100%
(828)
(22)
(134)
(28)
38

Florida
45. Democratic Candidate Perception Hillary Clinton

How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
67%
30%
3%
74%
24%
2%
62%
35%
3%
63%
34%
3%
57%
37%
6%
69%
29%
2%
72%
27%
1%
67%
30%
3%
68%
30%
2%
71%
26%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(741)
(308)
(433)
(67)
(135)
(333)
(205)
(452)
(146)
(104)
(39)
39

Florida
46. Democratic Candidate Perception Bernie Sanders

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
41%
13%
57%
32%
11%
38%
48%
14%
70%
27%
3%
47%
39%
14%
44%
43%
13%
40%
45%
15%
52%
37%
10%
31%
52%
17%
42%
42%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(721)
(295)
(425)
(62)
(134)
(331)
(194)
(448)
(137)
(97)
(39)
40

Florida
47. Democratic Candidate Ready Hillary Clinton

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
87%
8%
5%
87%
9%
4%
86%
7%
6%
72%
18%
11%
80%
10%
10%
90%
7%
3%
91%
5%
3%
86%
9%
5%
92%
3%
5%
88%
7%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(737)
(307)
(430)
(67)
(136)
(335)
(200)
(443)
(147)
(110)
(38)
41

Florida
48. Democratic Candidate Ready Bernie Sanders

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
55%
28%
17%
60%
23%
16%
51%
31%
18%
82%
5%
12%
61%
27%
12%
53%
30%
17%
45%
31%
24%
56%
28%
16%
44%
32%
24%
65%
22%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(712)
(299)
(414)
(61)
(135)
(323)
(193)
(439)
(137)
(98)
(38)
42

Florida
49. Bernie Sanders Traits

Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
72%
9%
19%
78%
10%
12%
67%
9%
24%
79%
11%
10%
68%
13%
19%
67%
10%
23%
78%
6%
16%
78%
8%
14%
54%
14%
32%
67%
8%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(746)
(305)
(441)
(68)
(137)
(338)
(204)
(451)
(147)
(108)
(40)
43

Florida
50. Hillary Clinton Traits

Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
23%
14%
62%
22%
16%
64%
23%
13%
36%
45%
19%
51%
32%
17%
64%
21%
15%
78%
13%
9%
60%
25%
15%
74%
12%
14%
66%
21%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(751)
(310)
(441)
(70)
(134)
(341)
(206)
(454)
(149)
(108)
(40)
44

Florida
51. Next President Policies

Should the next president...?
Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
48%
6%
44%
50%
6%
48%
47%
6%
37%
61%
2%
40%
54%
5%
46%
46%
9%
54%
43%
3%
37%
57%
6%
73%
19%
8%
49%
45%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(753)
(310)
(443)
(70)
(137)
(340)
(206)
(453)
(150)
(110)
(40)
45

Florida
52. Democrats Talking about the Past Hillary Clinton

Do you think each of these candidates spends their time talking mostly about the future or mostly about the past?
Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
55%
14%
31%
58%
17%
25%
53%
12%
35%
43%
22%
35%
53%
22%
25%
55%
12%
33%
60%
10%
30%
53%
16%
31%
69%
7%
24%
46%
17%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(750)
(310)
(440)
(67)
(137)
(340)
(206)
(452)
(147)
(110)
(40)
46

Florida
53. Democrats Talking about the Past Bernie Sanders

Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
54%
18%
28%
65%
17%
18%
46%
18%
36%
65%
4%
31%
55%
16%
28%
54%
17%
28%
49%
24%
27%
59%
15%
26%
38%
30%
32%
52%
9%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(725)
(305)
(420)
(62)
(137)
(330)
(196)
(445)
(142)
(100)
(38)
47

Florida
54. Hillary Clinton Traits Is authentic

Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
90%
10%
89%
11%
91%
9%
84%
16%
88%
12%
95%
5%
89%
11%
93%
7%
93%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(176)
(276)
100%
(453)
(69)
(215)
(146)
(262)
(99)
(73)
(22)
(18)
48

Florida
55. Hillary Clinton Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
49%
51%
52%
48%
47%
53%
53%
47%
52%
48%
41%
59%
49%
51%
40%
60%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(173)
(267)
100%
(440)
(69)
(211)
(142)
(259)
(98)
(65)
(18)
(18)
49

Florida
56. Hillary Clinton Traits Has clear positions on issues

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
97%
3%
97%
3%
97%
3%
95%
5%
97%
3%
99%
1%
96%
4%
97%
3%
99%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(269)
100%
(446)
(70)
(213)
(146)
(265)
(98)
(65)
(18)
(18)
50

Florida
57. Hillary Clinton Traits Can get their policies enacted

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
93%
7%
91%
9%
94%
6%
93%
7%
93%
7%
94%
6%
94%
6%
92%
8%
91%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(177)
(267)
100%
(444)
(70)
(212)
(143)
(261)
(99)
(65)
(19)
(19)
51

Florida
58. Hillary Clinton Traits Will look out for people like you
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
94%
6%
93%
7%
95%
5%
91%
9%
95%
5%
98%
2%
92%
8%
97%
3%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(180)
(269)
100%
(449)
(70)
(214)
(146)
(264)
(102)
(65)
(18)
(18)
52

Florida
59. Hillary Clinton Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
27%
73%
34%
66%
23%
77%
38%
62%
26%
74%
18%
82%
25%
75%
28%
72%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(173)
(269)
100%
(443)
(70)
(212)
(142)
(260)
(99)
(65)
(19)
(19)
53

Florida
60. Bernie Sanders Traits Is authentic

Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
99%
1%
97%
3%
100%
0%
96%
4%
100%
0%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(135)
(57)
(104)
100%
(116)
100%
(251)
(43)
(46)
(173)
(26)
(32)
(20)
54

Florida
61. Bernie Sanders Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
86%
8%
92%
19%
81%
34%
66%
9%
91%
11%
89%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(133)
(57)
(104)
100%
(115)
100%
(248)
(42)
(45)
(171)
(26)
(32)
(20)
55

Florida
62. Bernie Sanders Traits Has clear positions on issues

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
97%
3%
97%
3%
97%
3%
97%
3%
96%
4%
95%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(138)
(57)
(107)
100%
(112)
100%
(250)
(43)
(43)
(171)
(27)
(32)
(20)
56

Florida
63. Bernie Sanders Traits Can get their policies enacted

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
77%
23%
70%
30%
83%
17%
76%
24%
77%
23%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(132)
(57)
(102)
100%
(115)
100%
(247)
(43)
(46)
(170)
(26)
(32)
(19)
57

Florida
64. Bernie Sanders Traits Will look out for people like you
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
97%
3%
96%
4%
97%
3%
94%
6%
98%
2%
99%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(135)
(57)
(104)
100%
(116)
100%
(251)
(43)
(46)
(173)
(26)
(32)
(20)
58

Florida
65. Bernie Sanders Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
15%
85%
9%
91%
19%
81%
27%
73%
8%
92%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(133)
(57)
(104)
100%
(116)
100%
(249)
(43)
(45)
(171)
(26)
(32)
(20)
59

Florida
66. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton

As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Gender
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
61%
43%
57%
36%
64%
67%
33%
50%
50%
37%
63%
25%
75%
43%
57%
21%
79%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(744)
(306)
(439)
(67)
(135)
(338)
(204)
(451)
(144)
(110)
(40)
60

Florida
67. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders

Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
84%
10%
90%
20%
80%
15%
85%
24%
76%
16%
84%
10%
90%
13%
87%
19%
81%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(735)
(306)
(429)
(64)
(134)
(333)
(204)
(451)
(144)
(100)
(40)
61

Florida Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
873 Likely Republican Primary Voters

March 9-11, 2016
4.8%
1. Economy in State
Ideology
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
4%
49%
34%
8%
5%
3%
47%
36%
9%
6%
5%
46%
36%
8%
5%
2%
59%
30%
7%
2%
4%
42%
38%
10%
6%
3%
55%
31%
6%
4%
3%
46%
35%
9%
7%
4%
52%
34%
6%
4%
3%
52%
33%
6%
5%
4%
32%
44%
15%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(873)
(254)
(343)
(238)
(397)
(476)
(343)
(494)
(680)
(141)
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
4%
49%
34%
8%
5%
3%
49%
37%
7%
4%
4%
49%
32%
10%
6%
3%
69%
20%
0%
8%
4%
44%
38%
9%
6%
4%
46%
35%
10%
5%
3%
51%
35%
7%
4%
3%
53%
32%
7%
5%
2%
45%
37%
11%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(873)
(427)
(446)
(54)
(126)
(379)
(315)
(591)
(168)

2. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
24%
9%
21%
44%
2%
42%
5%
16%
35%
2%
23%
5%
26%
45%
1%
9%
17%
18%
51%
5%
35%
6%
14%
43%
1%
15%
11%
26%
45%
3%
31%
7%
19%
40%
3%
19%
10%
21%
47%
2%
25%
8%
19%
45%
3%
19%
11%
28%
42%
0%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(870)
(253)
(343)
(237)
(397)
(474)
(341)
(493)
(679)
(141)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
24%
9%
21%
44%
2%
24%
10%
18%
45%
3%
24%
8%
23%
43%
2%
26%
14%
30%
30%
0%
25%
9%
21%
42%
2%
24%
8%
21%
45%
3%
23%
9%
19%
47%
2%
23%
7%
26%
42%
3%
25%
15%
7%
51%
2%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(870)
(426)
(444)
(53)
(124)
(378)
(315)
(589)
(168)

3. Republican Candidate Support

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
56%
28%
14%
2%
65%
27%
8%
0%
51%
32%
17%
0%
52%
26%
17%
5%
62%
26%
12%
0%
51%
30%
16%
3%
56%
29%
14%
2%
56%
28%
15%
2%
54%
28%
16%
1%
63%
24%
11%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(541)
(155)
(223)
(139)
(254)
(287)
(204)
(310)
(400)
(112)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
56%
28%
14%
2%
60%
28%
11%
1%
52%
28%
17%
2%
63%
16%
17%
5%
59%
27%
13%
2%
54%
33%
13%
1%
56%
30%
12%
2%
57%
27%
16%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(267)
(274)
100%
(541)
(87)
(253)
(166)
(367)
(102)
(35)

4. Second Choice Republican Candidate

If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your second choice?
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them
29%
21%
19%
13%
18%
31%
11%
25%
19%
14%
34%
20%
17%
13%
16%
19%
33%
14%
6%
28%
32%
14%
22%
19%
13%
26%
26%
17%
8%
23%
26%
18%
25%
14%
17%
32%
23%
16%
12%
17%
28%
20%
20%
15%
17%
37%
16%
20%
8%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(847)
(248)
(341)
(224)
(390)
(457)
(330)
(480)
(661)
(139)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them
29%
21%
19%
13%
18%
31%
23%
18%
14%
14%
28%
18%
20%
12%
22%
23%
26%
22%
3%
26%
24%
17%
28%
13%
18%
28%
20%
17%
15%
20%
34%
21%
17%
12%
16%
30%
24%
19%
11%
16%
27%
15%
15%
17%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(847)
(414)
(432)
(53)
(121)
(365)
(308)
(571)
(164)

5. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs

Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Ideology
Creates U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
21%
53%
10%
16%
18%
58%
10%
14%
21%
54%
6%
19%
23%
46%
15%
16%
19%
60%
8%
12%
22%
47%
12%
19%
18%
55%
12%
15%
23%
52%
9%
15%
19%
52%
12%
17%
28%
60%
3%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(254)
(341)
(238)
(396)
(475)
(342)
(493)
(679)
(141)
Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Not sure
Evangelical
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
21%
53%
10%
16%
27%
52%
10%
10%
15%
54%
10%
21%
58%
27%
5%
9%
23%
48%
8%
20%
19%
56%
11%
14%
16%
57%
10%
17%
21%
54%
10%
15%
14%
53%
10%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(427)
(445)
(54)
(126)
(377)
(315)
(590)
(168)

6. Interest in This Republican Primary

When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Ideology
who was running
running
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
68%
77%
70%
60%
74%
63%
67%
70%
71%
59%
32%
23%
30%
40%
26%
37%
33%
30%
29%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(847)
(247)
(341)
(226)
(391)
(456)
(329)
(482)
(661)
(141)
Gender
who was running
running
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
68%
70%
67%
71%
62%
67%
72%
75%
53%
32%
30%
33%
29%
38%
33%
28%
25%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(847)
(413)
(434)
(53)
(121)
(366)
(308)
(573)
(164)

7. Republican Candidate Ready Ted Cruz

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
62%
25%
12%
79%
14%
7%
67%
20%
13%
39%
45%
16%
81%
13%
6%
47%
36%
18%
57%
26%
17%
67%
24%
9%
61%
26%
13%
72%
21%
7%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(863)
(253)
(343)
(229)
(395)
(468)
(341)
(486)
(672)
(139)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
62%
25%
12%
71%
21%
8%
54%
29%
16%
42%
43%
16%
63%
21%
16%
59%
28%
13%
69%
21%
10%
63%
23%
14%
57%
34%
10%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(863)
(421)
(442)
(53)
(126)
(375)
(309)
(582)
(168)

8. Republican Candidate Ready John Kasich

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
62%
21%
17%
62%
19%
19%
64%
22%
14%
62%
23%
15%
65%
20%
15%
59%
23%
19%
55%
22%
23%
69%
19%
12%
63%
22%
15%
61%
18%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(859)
(247)
(341)
(234)
(392)
(467)
(334)
(489)
(670)
(138)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
62%
21%
17%
68%
22%
10%
56%
21%
23%
53%
23%
24%
60%
25%
15%
59%
25%
16%
67%
16%
17%
64%
19%
17%
58%
28%
14%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(859)
(424)
(435)
(52)
(126)
(374)
(308)
(580)
(166)

9. Republican Candidate Ready Marco Rubio

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
43%
45%
12%
50%
41%
9%
45%
42%
13%
29%
55%
16%
44%
45%
10%
41%
44%
15%
42%
43%
15%
42%
46%
11%
42%
44%
14%
54%
40%
7%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(868)
(253)
(343)
(234)
(395)
(473)
(341)
(491)
(678)
(138)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
43%
45%
12%
39%
51%
10%
46%
39%
15%
49%
36%
15%
55%
35%
10%
37%
52%
12%
44%
41%
15%
49%
38%
13%
22%
63%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(868)
(426)
(442)
(53)
(126)
(374)
(315)
(587)
(168)

10. Republican Candidate Ready Donald Trump

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
51%
34%
15%
51%
35%
15%
53%
34%
12%
50%
33%
18%
57%
29%
14%
46%
39%
15%
46%
40%
15%
55%
30%
15%
52%
33%
14%
49%
35%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(254)
(342)
(237)
(397)
(473)
(342)
(493)
(679)
(140)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
51%
34%
15%
57%
30%
13%
46%
38%
16%
30%
65%
5%
50%
39%
11%
52%
34%
14%
54%
28%
19%
51%
36%
14%
55%
31%
14%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(425)
(445)
(54)
(126)
(377)
(315)
(590)
(168)
10

11. Ted Cruz Traits Is authentic

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
97%
3%
100%
0%
97%
3%
99%
1%
93%
7%
99%
1%
94%
6%
97%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(103)
(78)
100%
(206)
(137)
(68)
(106)
(93)
(170)
(20)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Total
Age group
(24)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
97%
3%
98%
2%
97%
3%
99%
1%
100%
0%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(106)
100%
(206)
(91)
(70)
(131)
(13)
(31)
(42)
11

12. Ted Cruz Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
17%
83%
14%
86%
21%
79%
9%
91%
33%
67%
19%
81%
15%
85%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(103)
(80)
100%
(207)
(138)
(69)
(106)
(93)
(171)
(20)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
(24)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
17%
83%
12%
88%
21%
79%
10%
90%
22%
78%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(107)
100%
(207)
(91)
(71)
(133)
(14)
(31)
(42)
12

13. Ted Cruz Traits Can be too extreme at times

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
21%
79%
9%
91%
37%
63%
18%
82%
27%
73%
7%
93%
35%
65%
16%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(103)
(75)
100%
(202)
(132)
(69)
(106)
(88)
(166)
(20)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Total
Age group
(24)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
21%
79%
21%
79%
21%
79%
24%
76%
12%
88%
20%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(101)
100%
(202)
(91)
(65)
(127)
(14)
(31)
(42)
13

14. Ted Cruz Traits Has clear positions on issues

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
99%
1%
100%
0%
97%
3%
100%
0%
96%
4%
100%
0%
97%
3%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(103)
(79)
100%
(207)
(138)
(69)
(106)
(94)
(171)
(20)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
(25)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
99%
1%
100%
0%
97%
3%
99%
1%
100%
0%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(107)
100%
(207)
(92)
(71)
(133)
(13)
(31)
(42)
14

15. Ted Cruz Traits Will look out for people like you
Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
95%
5%
98%
2%
94%
6%
97%
3%
93%
7%
95%
5%
95%
5%
95%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(103)
(79)
100%
(206)
(138)
(69)
(106)
(93)
(171)
(20)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
(24)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
95%
5%
96%
4%
95%
5%
91%
9%
99%
1%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(107)
100%
(206)
(91)
(71)
(132)
(13)
(31)
(42)
15

16. Ted Cruz Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do

Ideology
Evangelical
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
26%
74%
24%
76%
30%
70%
20%
80%
37%
63%
26%
74%
28%
72%
27%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(102)
(74)
100%
(200)
(131)
(68)
(106)
(87)
(164)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
(20)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
(24)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
26%
74%
15%
85%
37%
63%
29%
71%
14%
86%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(100)
100%
(200)
(90)
(65)
(126)
(13)
(31)
(42)
17-22 John Kasich Traits

Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to John Kasich?
16

23. Marco Rubio Traits Is authentic

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
93%
7%
90%
10%
92%
8%
93%
7%
98%
2%
89%
11%
90%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(55)
(121)
(63)
(101)
(127)
100%
(175)
(41)
(85)
(43)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Total
Age group
(39)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
93%
7%
88%
12%
97%
3%
90%
10%
96%
4%
92%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(78)
(97)
100%
(175)
(78)
(56)
(148)
(16)
(26)
(11)
17

24. Marco Rubio Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
40%
60%
39%
61%
36%
64%
41%
59%
27%
73%
42%
58%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(53)
(120)
(62)
(100)
(125)
100%
(173)
(40)
(83)
(43)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
(38)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
40%
60%
49%
51%
31%
69%
40%
60%
39%
61%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(78)
(94)
100%
(173)
(75)
(56)
(146)
(15)
(26)
(11)
18

25. Marco Rubio Traits Can be too extreme at times

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
25%
75%
23%
77%
13%
87%
30%
70%
46%
54%
7%
93%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(53)
(120)
(61)
(101)
(125)
100%
(173)
(39)
(84)
(43)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Total
Age group
(38)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
25%
75%
13%
87%
35%
65%
26%
74%
21%
79%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(78)
(94)
100%
(173)
(77)
(55)
(146)
(15)
(26)
(11)
19

26. Marco Rubio Traits Has clear positions on issues

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
92%
8%
97%
3%
96%
4%
91%
9%
91%
9%
93%
7%
90%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(55)
(120)
(63)
(101)
(127)
100%
(175)
(41)
(84)
(43)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
(38)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
92%
8%
91%
9%
93%
7%
92%
8%
88%
12%
94%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(78)
(96)
100%
(175)
(78)
(56)
(148)
(15)
(26)
(11)
20

27. Marco Rubio Traits Will look out for people like you
Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
89%
11%
95%
5%
95%
5%
86%
14%
85%
15%
92%
8%
89%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(55)
(124)
(63)
(104)
(130)
100%
(178)
(41)
(88)
(43)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
(39)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
89%
11%
87%
13%
90%
10%
87%
13%
88%
12%
91%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(78)
(100)
100%
(178)
(78)
(59)
(151)
(16)
(26)
(11)
21

28. Marco Rubio Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
40%
60%
41%
59%
42%
58%
39%
61%
44%
56%
33%
67%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(54)
(120)
(62)
(101)
(126)
100%
(174)
(40)
(84)
(43)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
(38)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
40%
60%
31%
69%
47%
53%
49%
51%
28%
72%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(78)
(95)
100%
(174)
(77)
(56)
(147)
(15)
(26)
(11)
22

29. Donald Trump Traits Is authentic

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
97%
3%
98%
2%
97%
3%
97%
3%
98%
2%
96%
4%
96%
4%
99%
1%
97%
3%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(375)
(87)
(150)
(118)
(170)
(205)
(131)
(229)
(298)
(54)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
97%
3%
98%
2%
96%
4%
96%
4%
97%
3%
98%
2%
98%
2%
95%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(187)
(188)
100%
(375)
(52)
(166)
(141)
(242)
(85)
(16)
23

30. Donald Trump Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
10%
90%
12%
88%
6%
94%
11%
89%
5%
95%
14%
86%
12%
88%
9%
91%
9%
91%
20%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(375)
(85)
(153)
(118)
(168)
(207)
(132)
(229)
(298)
(57)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
10%
90%
9%
91%
11%
89%
26%
74%
7%
93%
5%
95%
10%
90%
7%
93%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(186)
(189)
100%
(375)
(52)
(165)
(142)
(242)
(85)
(16)
24

31. Donald Trump Traits Can be too extreme at times

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
61%
39%
51%
49%
59%
41%
67%
33%
50%
50%
70%
30%
58%
42%
62%
38%
61%
39%
73%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(376)
(85)
(154)
(118)
(168)
(209)
(132)
(229)
(299)
(57)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
61%
39%
62%
38%
60%
40%
53%
47%
64%
36%
59%
41%
61%
39%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(187)
(189)
100%
(376)
(52)
(165)
(143)
(243)
(85)
(16)
25

32. Donald Trump Traits Has clear positions on issues

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
84%
16%
87%
13%
83%
17%
80%
20%
84%
16%
83%
17%
88%
12%
80%
20%
83%
17%
91%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(85)
(153)
(120)
(168)
(209)
(133)
(229)
(298)
(59)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
84%
16%
79%
21%
88%
12%
80%
20%
84%
16%
85%
15%
89%
11%
73%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(186)
(191)
100%
(377)
(52)
(168)
(141)
(245)
(84)
(16)
26

33. Donald Trump Traits Will look out for people like you
Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
92%
8%
91%
9%
94%
6%
95%
5%
94%
6%
91%
9%
93%
7%
91%
9%
94%
6%
84%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(374)
(87)
(151)
(118)
(167)
(207)
(129)
(230)
(300)
(54)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
92%
8%
90%
10%
95%
5%
95%
5%
95%
5%
88%
12%
93%
7%
94%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(188)
(186)
100%
(374)
(52)
(165)
(141)
(244)
(85)
(16)
27

34. Donald Trump Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
42%
58%
37%
63%
38%
62%
48%
52%
42%
58%
43%
57%
42%
58%
44%
56%
41%
59%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(375)
(87)
(152)
(118)
(168)
(208)
(130)
(230)
(301)
(54)
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
42%
58%
42%
58%
42%
58%
42%
58%
41%
59%
46%
54%
40%
60%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(190)
(186)
100%
(375)
(52)
(166)
(141)
(245)
(85)
(16)
28

35. Republican Candidate Actions

The next Republican President needs to...?
Ideology
effectively
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
62%
79%
66%
43%
79%
48%
62%
62%
65%
55%
38%
21%
34%
57%
21%
52%
38%
38%
35%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(253)
(343)
(237)
(397)
(473)
(342)
(493)
(679)
(140)
Gender
effectively
effectively
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
62%
64%
60%
35%
61%
65%
63%
61%
70%
38%
36%
40%
65%
39%
35%
37%
39%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(427)
(444)
(54)
(126)
(377)
(314)
(590)
(168)
29

36. Republican Vote Choice Impact

Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Ideology
events
stand
None of the above
Totals
Tea Party
Totals
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
40%
42%
41%
36%
41%
39%
41%
39%
41%
40%
28%
27%
30%
27%
31%
26%
27%
29%
28%
27%
15%
14%
15%
15%
16%
14%
14%
15%
13%
25%
50%
26%
52%
29%
51%
23%
51%
26%
55%
22%
47%
29%
53%
26%
48%
25%
52%
27%
38%
20%
(873)
(254)
(343)
(238)
(397)
(476)
(343)
(494)
(680)
(141)
Gender
events
stand
None of the above
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
40%
39%
42%
55%
37%
34%
47%
40%
38%
28%
33%
23%
41%
29%
26%
28%
30%
26%
15%
13%
16%
37%
16%
13%
13%
15%
12%
50%
26%
52%
26%
49%
26%
62%
9%
44%
31%
49%
27%
53%
25%
50%
27%
57%
23%
(873)
(427)
(446)
(54)
(126)
(379)
(315)
(591)
(168)
30

37. Republican Hands-On or Delegate

If you had to choose, would you prefer a President who...?
Ideology
most issues
details to others
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
64%
67%
65%
60%
62%
67%
75%
58%
63%
71%
36%
33%
35%
40%
38%
33%
25%
42%
37%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(866)
(254)
(339)
(236)
(394)
(472)
(341)
(489)
(675)
(140)
Gender
most issues
details to others
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
64%
58%
71%
75%
68%
64%
62%
66%
67%
36%
42%
29%
25%
32%
36%
38%
34%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(866)
(426)
(441)
(54)
(126)
(376)
(311)
(587)
(168)
31

38. Republican Response to Trump

If Donald Trump wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Ideology
getting nominated
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
39%
30%
39%
49%
28%
48%
45%
31%
39%
39%
45%
16%
56%
14%
48%
13%
30%
21%
57%
15%
34%
18%
40%
15%
51%
18%
43%
18%
49%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(486)
(165)
(185)
(117)
(225)
(260)
(207)
(260)
(377)
(78)
Gender
getting nominated
November
Not sure
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
39%
30%
47%
38%
37%
30%
39%
33%
45%
16%
49%
21%
41%
12%
46%
15%
50%
13%
46%
24%
45%
16%
51%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(236)
(250)
100%
(486)
(73)
(207)
(168)
(341)
(82)
(38)
32

39. Republican Response to Cruz

If Ted Cruz wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Ideology
getting nominated
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
27%
19%
23%
38%
19%
32%
27%
26%
28%
21%
45%
28%
58%
23%
47%
29%
35%
27%
51%
30%
42%
26%
42%
32%
49%
25%
44%
28%
55%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(660)
(149)
(262)
(215)
(258)
(402)
(236)
(396)
(505)
(114)
Gender
getting nominated
November
Not sure
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
27%
24%
30%
37%
23%
25%
24%
37%
45%
28%
49%
27%
42%
28%
37%
26%
44%
33%
50%
25%
49%
26%
30%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(324)
(336)
100%
(660)
(94)
(286)
(240)
(454)
(126)
(40)
33

40. Rubio Approval

Regardless of your vote in the Presidential primary, do you approve or disapprove of how Marco Rubio is handling his job as Senator?
Ideology
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
White
Hispanic
16%
31%
22%
24%
7%
20%
33%
26%
18%
3%
16%
36%
20%
21%
8%
12%
19%
23%
35%
11%
15%
35%
23%
23%
5%
17%
27%
21%
24%
10%
16%
34%
23%
18%
9%
16%
28%
22%
27%
6%
14%
33%
23%
23%
7%
31%
23%
19%
16%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(254)
(342)
(237)
(397)
(473)
(341)
(493)
(678)
(141)
Gender
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
16%
31%
22%
24%
7%
15%
32%
22%
27%
4%
17%
30%
22%
20%
12%
6%
56%
5%
27%
6%
30%
25%
20%
19%
6%
12%
31%
25%
24%
9%
17%
29%
22%
25%
8%
20%
32%
20%
20%
8%
5%
25%
31%
34%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(871)
(426)
(445)
(53)
(126)
(378)
(314)
(590)
(168)
34

Florida Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
796 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

March 9-11, 2016
4.5%
1. Economy in State
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
13%
53%
23%
7%
4%
13%
52%
24%
8%
3%
8%
58%
22%
7%
5%
16%
57%
22%
3%
2%
12%
56%
24%
4%
4%
11%
54%
18%
11%
6%
16%
39%
25%
19%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(796)
(264)
(160)
(270)
(478)
(159)
(116)
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
13%
53%
23%
7%
4%
12%
57%
21%
7%
3%
13%
51%
24%
7%
4%
10%
45%
24%
10%
12%
7%
53%
21%
14%
4%
12%
55%
24%
6%
2%
18%
54%
22%
3%
3%
14%
54%
21%
7%
3%
3%
49%
31%
8%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(796)
(326)
(470)
(73)
(145)
(359)
(219)
(676)
(92)

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
62%
34%
4%
56%
44%
0%
62%
34%
3%
67%
27%
6%
59%
38%
3%
71%
20%
9%
66%
30%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(263)
(160)
(270)
(477)
(159)
(116)
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
62%
34%
4%
58%
37%
5%
65%
31%
4%
32%
62%
6%
52%
41%
7%
65%
32%
4%
74%
22%
4%
67%
30%
3%
37%
58%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(326)
(468)
(73)
(145)
(359)
(217)
(675)
(92)

3. Democratic Candidate Support

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
65%
21%
11%
2%
79%
15%
4%
1%
55%
33%
11%
1%
58%
23%
16%
3%
66%
19%
11%
4%
60%
19%
19%
2%
72%
25%
3%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(503)
(139)
(87)
(202)
(269)
(106)
(97)
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
65%
21%
11%
2%
69%
18%
10%
3%
62%
24%
12%
2%
60%
29%
9%
2%
67%
16%
14%
3%
73%
16%
9%
2%
67%
21%
11%
1%
56%
22%
11%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(201)
(301)
100%
(503)
(107)
(236)
(112)
(424)
(66)
(48)

4. Democratic Candidate Perception Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
67%
30%
3%
78%
21%
1%
66%
29%
6%
63%
35%
1%
67%
30%
3%
68%
30%
2%
71%
26%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(780)
(259)
(156)
(270)
(476)
(153)
(110)
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
67%
30%
3%
74%
24%
2%
62%
35%
3%
63%
34%
3%
57%
37%
6%
69%
29%
2%
72%
27%
1%
69%
29%
3%
64%
33%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(780)
(324)
(456)
(71)
(142)
(350)
(216)
(663)
(91)

5. Democratic Candidate Perception Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
46%
41%
13%
66%
26%
9%
46%
43%
11%
33%
52%
15%
52%
37%
10%
31%
52%
17%
42%
42%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(758)
(250)
(155)
(262)
(471)
(144)
(102)
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
41%
13%
57%
32%
11%
38%
48%
14%
70%
27%
3%
47%
39%
14%
44%
43%
13%
40%
45%
15%
45%
41%
14%
51%
43%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(758)
(311)
(447)
(65)
(141)
(348)
(204)
(643)
(90)

6. Democratic Candidate Ready Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
87%
8%
5%
91%
6%
3%
88%
5%
7%
88%
8%
5%
86%
9%
5%
92%
3%
5%
88%
7%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(775)
(262)
(157)
(261)
(465)
(154)
(115)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
87%
8%
5%
87%
9%
4%
86%
7%
6%
72%
18%
11%
80%
10%
10%
90%
7%
3%
91%
5%
3%
89%
6%
5%
74%
19%
7%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(775)
(323)
(452)
(70)
(143)
(352)
(211)
(661)
(89)

7. Democratic Candidate Ready Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
55%
28%
17%
69%
19%
11%
52%
31%
17%
46%
34%
19%
56%
28%
16%
44%
32%
24%
65%
22%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(749)
(246)
(155)
(255)
(462)
(144)
(103)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure
55%
28%
17%
60%
23%
16%
51%
31%
18%
82%
5%
12%
61%
27%
12%
53%
30%
17%
45%
31%
24%
53%
29%
18%
66%
22%
12%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(749)
(314)
(435)
(64)
(142)
(340)
(203)
(635)
(89)

8. Bernie Sanders Traits

Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
72%
9%
19%
78%
7%
15%
80%
6%
14%
65%
11%
24%
78%
8%
14%
54%
14%
32%
67%
8%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(785)
(261)
(160)
(270)
(475)
(155)
(113)
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
72%
9%
19%
78%
10%
12%
67%
9%
24%
79%
11%
10%
68%
13%
19%
67%
10%
23%
78%
6%
16%
70%
9%
21%
80%
9%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(785)
(321)
(464)
(71)
(144)
(355)
(215)
(667)
(92)

9. Hillary Clinton Traits

Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
63%
23%
14%
64%
24%
11%
61%
22%
17%
62%
20%
18%
60%
25%
15%
74%
12%
14%
66%
21%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(790)
(265)
(158)
(270)
(477)
(157)
(114)
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
63%
23%
14%
62%
22%
16%
64%
23%
13%
36%
45%
19%
51%
32%
17%
64%
21%
15%
78%
13%
9%
69%
18%
13%
29%
51%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(790)
(326)
(464)
(73)
(141)
(359)
(217)
(672)
(92)

10. Next President Policies

Should the next president...?
Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
46%
48%
6%
36%
62%
1%
39%
57%
5%
55%
37%
8%
37%
57%
6%
73%
19%
8%
49%
45%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(792)
(264)
(160)
(270)
(476)
(157)
(116)

Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
48%
6%
44%
50%
6%
48%
47%
6%
37%
61%
2%
40%
54%
5%
46%
46%
9%
54%
43%
3%
49%
46%
5%
27%
60%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(792)
(326)
(466)
(73)
(144)
(358)
(217)
(675)
(92)
10

11. Democrats Talking about the Past Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
55%
14%
31%
52%
16%
32%
50%
14%
35%
61%
12%
27%
53%
16%
31%
69%
7%
24%
46%
17%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(789)
(264)
(159)
(270)
(475)
(155)
(116)
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
55%
14%
31%
58%
17%
25%
53%
12%
35%
43%
22%
35%
53%
22%
25%
55%
12%
33%
60%
10%
30%
60%
11%
29%
30%
34%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(789)
(326)
(462)
(71)
(144)
(357)
(217)
(671)
(92)
11

12. Democrats Talking about the Past Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
54%
18%
28%
60%
15%
26%
57%
15%
28%
52%
21%
28%
59%
15%
26%
38%
30%
32%
52%
9%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(763)
(255)
(151)
(262)
(468)
(150)
(105)
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
54%
18%
28%
65%
17%
18%
46%
18%
36%
65%
4%
31%
55%
16%
28%
54%
17%
28%
49%
24%
27%
53%
19%
27%
60%
10%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(763)
(321)
(441)
(65)
(144)
(347)
(207)
(647)
(91)
12

13. Hillary Clinton Traits Is authentic

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
90%
10%
93%
7%
91%
9%
85%
15%
89%
11%
93%
7%
93%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(146)
(99)
(172)
(275)
(104)
(77)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
90%
10%
89%
11%
91%
9%
84%
16%
88%
12%
95%
5%
91%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(185)
(291)
100%
(476)
(73)
(227)
(154)
(439)
(23)
(34)
13

14. Hillary Clinton Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
49%
51%
45%
55%
53%
47%
49%
51%
49%
51%
40%
60%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(463)
(141)
(99)
(168)
(272)
(103)
(69)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
49%
51%
52%
48%
47%
53%
53%
47%
52%
48%
41%
59%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(181)
(281)
100%
(463)
(72)
(222)
(149)
(426)
(19)
(34)
14

15. Hillary Clinton Traits Has clear positions on issues

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
97%
3%
97%
3%
96%
4%
98%
2%
96%
4%
97%
3%
99%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(470)
(140)
(100)
(171)
(278)
(104)
(69)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
97%
3%
97%
3%
97%
3%
95%
5%
97%
3%
99%
1%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(186)
(283)
100%
(470)
(74)
(224)
(154)
(432)
(18)
(35)
15

16. Hillary Clinton Traits Can get their policies enacted

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
93%
7%
95%
5%
91%
9%
93%
7%
94%
6%
92%
8%
91%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(467)
(140)
(98)
(169)
(274)
(104)
(69)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
93%
7%
91%
9%
94%
6%
93%
7%
93%
7%
94%
6%
94%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(186)
(281)
100%
(467)
(74)
(223)
(151)
(430)
(20)
(34)
16

17. Hillary Clinton Traits Will look out for people like you
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
94%
6%
97%
3%
94%
6%
94%
6%
92%
8%
97%
3%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(472)
(142)
(100)
(171)
(278)
(107)
(69)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
94%
6%
93%
7%
95%
5%
91%
9%
95%
5%
98%
2%
96%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(189)
(283)
100%
(472)
(74)
(225)
(154)
(435)
(19)
(34)
17

18. Hillary Clinton Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
27%
73%
21%
79%
30%
70%
30%
70%
25%
75%
28%
72%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(466)
(141)
(99)
(170)
(273)
(104)
(69)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
27%
73%
34%
66%
23%
77%
38%
62%
26%
74%
18%
82%
26%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(182)
(283)
100%
(466)
(74)
(223)
(149)
(427)
(20)
(35)
18

19. Bernie Sanders Traits Is authentic

Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
99%
1%
100%
0%
100%
0%
96%
4%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(264)
(114)
(54)
(70)
(182)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
(27)
Age group
(33)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
99%
1%
97%
3%
100%
0%
96%
4%
100%
0%
99%
1%
99%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(142)
(60)
(110)
100%
(122)
100%
(264)
(198)
(53)
(46)
(48)
19

20. Bernie Sanders Traits Listens to big campaign donors

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
14%
86%
6%
94%
15%
85%
14%
86%
11%
89%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(261)
(114)
(52)
(69)
(179)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
(27)
Age group
(33)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
14%
86%
8%
92%
19%
81%
34%
66%
9%
91%
16%
84%
11%
89%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(140)
(60)
(109)
100%
(121)
100%
(261)
(196)
(53)
(44)
(47)
20

21. Bernie Sanders Traits Has clear positions on issues

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
97%
3%
100%
0%
96%
4%
97%
3%
95%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(263)
(112)
(52)
(73)
(180)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
(28)
Age group
(33)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
97%
3%
97%
3%
97%
3%
97%
3%
96%
4%
97%
3%
96%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(145)
(60)
(112)
100%
(118)
100%
(263)
(198)
(52)
(46)
(45)
21

22. Bernie Sanders Traits Can get their policies enacted

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
77%
23%
77%
23%
73%
27%
80%
20%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(260)
(113)
(51)
(70)
(179)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
(27)
Age group
(33)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
77%
23%
70%
30%
83%
17%
76%
24%
77%
23%
77%
23%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(139)
(60)
(107)
100%
(121)
100%
(260)
(195)
(52)
(45)
(48)
22

23. Bernie Sanders Traits Will look out for people like you
Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
97%
3%
98%
2%
93%
7%
98%
2%
99%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(264)
(114)
(54)
(70)
(182)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
(27)
Age group
(33)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
97%
3%
96%
4%
97%
3%
94%
6%
98%
2%
99%
1%
88%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(142)
(60)
(110)
100%
(122)
100%
(264)
(198)
(53)
(46)
(48)
23

24. Bernie Sanders Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others

Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
15%
85%
7%
93%
12%
88%
21%
79%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(262)
(114)
(53)
(69)
(180)
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
(27)
Age group
(33)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
15%
85%
9%
91%
19%
81%
27%
73%
8%
92%
18%
82%
5%
95%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(140)
(60)
(109)
100%
(122)
100%
(262)
(196)
(53)
(46)
(47)
24

25. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
39%
61%
42%
58%
42%
58%
35%
65%
43%
57%
21%
79%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(260)
(159)
(269)
(474)
(152)
(115)

Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
39%
61%
43%
57%
36%
64%
67%
33%
50%
50%
37%
63%
25%
75%
34%
66%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(321)
(461)
(71)
(142)
(356)
(214)
(666)
(91)
25

26. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Hispanic
16%
84%
9%
91%
10%
90%
18%
82%
13%
87%
19%
81%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(773)
(257)
(160)
(262)
(475)
(152)
(105)

Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
16%
84%
10%
90%
20%
80%
15%
85%
24%
76%
16%
84%
10%
90%
16%
84%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(773)
(322)
(451)
(67)
(141)
(350)
(215)
(656)
(92)
26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Florida, March 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Florida, March 2016

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1877 Registered Voters