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ROLES OF MODELS IN PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT

WHAT IS A MODEL ?
A model is an abstraction to some degree of the real life thing or process for which we
want to predict performance.
FEATURES OF MODELS
MODELS PROVIDE

a focus on relevant factors/variables

opportunity for experimentation without undue cost/hazard

prediction of real life phenomena

Prediction of real life phenomena

VARIETY OF MODELS
PHYSICAL
GRAPHICAL

Wind tunnel & blade planetarium, global, structure, architects model of building
design
Representation of variables in 2 or 3 dimensional space. (demand history,
population, food production, traffic intensity)

PICTORIAL
Visual pictures, Cartoons, Road signs
SCHEMATIC

Organization chart with authority relationships, information flow, current flow

MATHEMATICAL Symbols used to represent real world situation


SIMULATION

An approximation of the real world generally carried out with a high speed computer

MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING


Based on STRUCTURE
ICONIC

Scaled up or scaled down versions of reality


( e.g. templates in layout design)

ANALOGUE

Substitution of one property of interest by another


( e.g. Mechanical & Electrical analogues)

SYMBOLIC

Using Mathematical symbols to establish relations


e.g. LP, Queuing, Inventory

MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING


Based on PURPOSE
DESCRIPTIVE

Merely describe system

PRESCRIPTIVE or
NORMATIVE

(Tell What to do to maximize profit,minimize cost)


Hence a NORM or OBJECTIVE FUNCTION IS NEEDED

Based on ENVIRONMENT
DETERMINISTIC

Certainty assumed

PROBABILISTIC

Randomness assumed

EXAMPLES OF SYMBOLIC MODELS

where
d : annual demand
Co : Cost of ordering/ order
C : item cost
i : Inventory carrying cost rate
EOQ : Economic order quantity
(this minimises the total annual inventory related costs).

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