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Public Opinion Survey

Residents of Moldova
March 2016

Detailed Methodology

The survey was coordinated and analyzed by Dr. Rasa Aliauskien from public opinion and market research company
Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried
out by Magenta Consulting.

Data was collected throughout Moldova (except in Transnistria) between March 11-25, 2016 through face-to-face
interviews at respondents homes.

The main sample consisted of 1,500 permanent residents of Moldova older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote with an
oversample in the capital Chisinau. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and
size of the settlement.

Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondents selection
procedures.

Stage one: all districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups. All regions of Moldova were surveyed.
Stage two: selection of the settlements: cities and villages.
o Settlements were selected at random.
o The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular
type of the settlement in each region.
Stage three: primary sampling units were described.

The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.

Response rate was 50 percent.

Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

The survey was funded by the National Endowment for Democracy.

Overwhelming Dissatisfaction
with Status Quo

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going


in the right direction or wrong direction?
Right direction

Wrong direction

Don't know/No answer

90%

83%
79%

80%

73% 74%
66%

40%

40%

41%
38%

5%

5%

Jan-12

9%
Dec-11

14%
12% 11% 13%

Aug-11

17%

13% 11%

22% 21%

May-10

Jun-09

Nov-08

Apr-08

Apr-06

Mar-07

9%
Nov-04

14% 15% 14% 15%


10%

41%

38%

19%

Feb-10

10%

47%

33%
27%

20%

51%

37%

33% 32%

Nov-09

30%

53%
45%

42%

31%

0%

47%

42%

50%

30%

54%

51%

11% 12%

5%

8%
Mar-16

55%

Oct-15

54%

Sep-14

58%

Feb-11

57%

60%

Sep-10

61%

Jun-14

70%

*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal which resulted in nearly $1 billion missing from three state
banks.

What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at


the moment?
Nationwide
(Three spontaneous answers)
Unemployment

34%

Corruption

32%

Low income/Pensions

28%

Poverty

13%

Emigration

10%

Economic crisis

10%

Bad government

10%

High prices/Inflation

10%

Political crisis

7%

Government does not care about the people

5%

Roads

4%

Economic situation/Development/Stability

4%

Instability/Chaos in the country

4%

Thefts

3%

Expensive utilities/Housing

3%

The stolen billion

3%

Social assistance

3%

Low standard of living

2%

Publc indifference

2%

Oligarchy

2%
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at


the moment?
Chisinau
(Three spontaneous answers)
Corruption
Low income/Pensions
Unemployment
Economic crisis
Political crisis
Poverty
Emigration
High prices/Inflation
Bad government
Economic situation/Development/Stability
Government does not care about the people
Thefts
Social assistance
Roads
The stolen billion
Instability/Chaos in the country
Education problems
Public indifference
Expensive utilities/Housing
Oligarchy
Healthcare system
Low standard of living
Bad politicians
Justice reform

30%
26%
25%
15%
11%
11%
10%
9%
8%
7%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Is corruption a big problem in Moldova today?


It is a very big issue
It is not an issue at all

It is a big issue
Don't know/No answer

It is not a big issue

March 2016

87%

8% 1% 1% 3%

October 2015

87%

8% 1% 2% 2%

September 2014

73%

June 2014

18%

5% 1%3%

81%

January 2012

14% 1% 1%3%

73%

December 2011

21%

80%

August 2011

15% 2% 1% 2%

61%

February 2011

29%

59%

September 2010

61%

November 2008

62%

5%
26%

40%

8%

3% 5%
24%

60%

10%
2%

25%

72%

20%

4%1% 6%

25%

66%

0%

3% 5%

27%

64%

November 2004

4% 2% 3%

31%

60%

April 2006

4% 1% 5%

33%

November 2009

March 2007

4% 1% 7%

37%

58%

April 2008

3% 1%4%

31%

53%

February 2010

3% 1% 6%

33%

57%

May 2010

2% 3%

80%

2% 2%

100%
7

Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the


majority of people or the interest of some groups?
Majority of people

Moldova

Some groups

17%

Chisinau

78%

8%

0%

Don't know/No answer

5%

89%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

3%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%
8

Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view?


Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change)
Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system
Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order
Don't know/No answer

March 2016

74%

October 2015

12%

71%

6%

14%

9%

8%

6%

September 2014

58%

21%

11%

10%

June 2014

57%

24%

8%

11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today?


I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace
I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough
I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast
No change is taking place
Dont know/No answer

March 2016
3%
(Chisinau)

March 2016
(Nationwide)

4%

October 2015
(Nationwide)

1%

0%

30%

10%

31%

15%

30%

10%

20%

52%

46%

15%

30%

40%

5%

4%

50%

50%

60%

70%

4%

80%

90%

100%

10

Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority of the


Liberal Democratic Party, Democratic Party, Liberal Party and exCommunist Party MPs?
Strongly approve

Moldova

4%

Chisinau

2%

0%

Somewhat approve

10%

19%

12%

10%

Somewhat disapprove

Dont know/No answer

55%

22%

20%

Strongly disapprove

12%

55%

30%

40%

50%

60%

9%

70%

80%

90%

100%

11

Do you approve or disapprove of the new Filip government?


Strongly approve

Moldova

Somewhat approve

6%

Chisinau 3%

0%

17%

Somewhat disapprove

18%

20%

10%

Strongly disapprove

43%

22%

20%

30%

Dont know/No answer

16%

45%

40%

50%

60%

70%

10%

80%

90%

100%

12

What are the most important problems that the Filip government
must solve?
Nationwide
(Three spontaneous answers)

Job creation

26%

Wages/Pensions

25%

Tackling corruption

14%

Boosting the economy

12%

Utilities Prices

8%

Public order

6%

Consumer prices

6%

Recovering the stolen billion

5%

Living conditions

4%

Social assistance

3%

Roads

3%

Poverty

3%

Disconnect between the government and citizens

2%

Courts /Judicial reforms

2%

The dismissal of the bad lawmakers

2%

Emigration

2%

The need for concrete reforms

2%

Relation with Russia

2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%
13

What are the most important problems that the Filip government
must solve?
Chisinau
(Three spontaneous answers)

Wages/Pensions
Boosting the economy
Job creation
Tackling corruption
Utility prices
Recovering the stolen billion
Consumer prices
Social assistance
Living conditions
Courts/Judicial reforms
Public order
Roads
Political stability
Disconnect between the government and citizens
Fees/Taxes
The dismissal of the bad lawmakers
Plahotniuc's and Filat's role in politics
Emigration
Poverty
Develop agriculture
Healthcare/Hospitals
Education/Kindergartens

24%
21%
19%
19%
12%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%
14

What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?


Nationwide
Favorable

Unfavorable

Dont know/No answer

67%

Moldovan Orthodox Church

24%

59%
57%

Romanian Orthodox Church in Moldova


Army

29%

12%

30%

12%

55%

Moldovan mass media

37%

47%

Education system

43%

Local authorities

38%

Professional associations

Central Electoral Commission

25%

Central Bank

25%

Courts of justice

20%

Moldovan Government

19%

50%

7%
23%
24%
20%

63%

27%

Police authorities

10%

46%

31%

Healthcare system

43%

40%

34%

Trade unions

8%

39%

36%

International Monetary Fund

9%

6%

67%

6%

57%

18%

63%

12%

67%

13%

75%

6%

Political parties

17%

76%

7%

Presidents Office

17%

76%

7%

Moldovan Parliament

17%

77%

6%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%
15

What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?


Chisinau
Favorable

Unfavorable

Dont know/No answer

63%

Moldovan Orthodox Church


Army

60%

Romanian Orthodox Church in Moldova

59%

28%
30%
27%

57%

Moldovan mass media

Professional associations

Central Electoral Commission

29%

Police authorities

28%

3%

63%

5%

53%

17%
68%

4%

69%

23%

Courts of justice

11%

63%

25%

Central Bank

17%

50%

32%

Local authorities

16%

39%

34%

Healthcare system

4%
5%

37%

39%

Trade unions

14%

43%

47%
44%

International Monetary Fund

10%

39%

52%

Education system

9%

6%

70%

7%

Moldovan Government

18%

78%

4%

Presidents Office

18%

78%

4%

Political parties

14%

80%

5%

Moldovan Parliament

14%

82%

4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%
16

How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in


Moldova?
Very satisfied

Somewhat satisfied

March 2016 3%

11%

June 2014

December 2011 3%
August 2011

5%

May 2010

2%

27%

February 2010

4%

22%

April 2008

2%

March 2007

5%

April 2006

1%

November 2004

2%

March 2004

2%
0%

21%

41%

21%

37%

27%

37%

20%

41%

21%

25%
42%

17%

14%

44%

24%

44%
20%

40%

60%

8%
10%
10%

14%

16%

18%

43%

26%

10%

15%

24%
41%

25%

9%

17%
20%

41%
21%

9%

24%

40%

16%

11%
22%

36%

27%

9%

29%
39%

23%

November 2009 3%

2%

36%

29%

7%

16%
27%

25%

September 2010

November 2008

30%

23%

February 2011 3%

1%

26%

43%

5%

June 2009

3%

26%

41%
18%

6%

66%
31%

4%

Don't know/No answer

58%

23%

9%

January 2012 1%

Very dissatisfied

22%

October 2015 1% 7%
September 2014

Somewhat dissatisfied

15%
17%

14%

14%

17%

13%

80%

100%
17

If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to
you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy?
Democracy is definitely more important to me

Democracy is somewhat more important to me

Prosperity is somewhat more important to me

Prosperity is definitely more important to me

Dont know/No answer

March 2016

22%

October 2015

18%

0%

10%

13%

7%

20%

17%

40%

15%

30%

8%

53%

40%

50%

60%

70%

7%

80%

90%

100%

18

Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in


Moldova changed?
Improved a lot
Worsened somewhat
March 2016
October 2015

Improved somewhat
Worsened a lot

1% 6%

23%

4%

September 2014
June 2014

4%

January 2012

2%

December 2011

2%

August 2011

5%

5%

May 2010

2%

February 2010

20%

1% 9%

November 2008

2%

April 2008

2%

March 2007

4%

38%

34%

39%

22%

28%

30%
24%

32%

March 2004 3%
10%

27%
22%

37%
20%

30%

40%

25%
50%

6%

19%

5%

21%

4%

7%

60%

5%
5%

70%

6%
10%

27%
37%

23%

17%

20%

36%

26%

5%

15%

29%

24%

18%

20%

30%

13%

3%

10%

42%

20%

5%
0%

30%

24%

April 2006 3%
November 2004

26%

30%

3%
18%

22%

28%

2% 11%

June 2009

17%

27%

14%

4%

29%

34%

18%

6%

22%

31%

25%

7%

14%

28%

23%

2% 8%

19%
23%

31%

15%

4%

21%

33%

13%

2%

42%

24%

20%

November 2009

36%

34%
22%

February 2011 3%
September 2010

32%

16%

6%

Stayed the same


Don't know/No answer

5% 5%
6% 4%
9%

80%

4%

90%

3%
100%
19

Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your
household changed?
Improved a lot
Worsened somewhat
March 2016

1% 5%

October 2015

4%

September 2014

4%

June 2014

2%

32%

1% 13%

August 2011

4%

February 2011

1%

September 2010

4%
1% 8%

November 2009

1% 7%

June 2009

1% 9%

April 2008

1%

March 2007 3%
April 2006

2%

November 2004

4%

March 2004

2%
0%

28%

17%

2%

14%

3%

15%

3%

14%

4%

29%

36%

15%

36%

46%
39%

19%

17%
27%

37%

23%
22%

47%

16%
30%

40%

22%
50%

60%

70%

80%

5%
5% 1%

20%

48%
20%

9%
9%

44%

23%

4%

16%

41%

3%
5%

14%

25%

25%

4%

9%

36%

15%

2%

16%

34%

32%

10%

3%

29%

42%

2%

15%

31%

36%

2% 11%

9%

18%

34%

3%

29%
43%

1% 11%

February 2010

November 2008

39%

14%

15%
24%

41%

16%

4%

19%

45%

18%

2%

35%

38%

18%

December 2011

27%

33%

21%

2% 10%

Stayed the same


Don't know/No answer

33%

24%

January 2012

May 2010

Improved somewhat
Worsened a lot

5%1%
10% 1%
90%

100%
20

In your opinion, how will economic situation of Moldova change in


the next 12 months?

March 2016

2%

Improve a lot

Improve somewhat

Stay the same

Worsen somewhat

Worsen a lot

Don't know/No answer

14%

October 2015

1% 6%

September 2014

11%

June 2014

21%

21%

20%

29%

30%

40%

10%

32%

24%

24%

10%

19%

30%

27%

6%

0%

34%

50%

60%

10%

11%

12%

17%

7%

70%

80%

15%

17%

90%

100%

21

What are the most important problems your town/village is facing


at the moment?
Nationwide
(Three spontaneous answers)

40%

Roads

21%

Unemployment

14%

Cleanliness

10%
10%
8%
7%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%

Water supply/Drinking water


Insufficient street lighting
Transportation
Low income/Pensions
Expensive utilities/Housing
High prices/Inflation
Sanitation/Lack of sewerage

Corruption
Bad infrastructure
Bad mayor
Gas supply
Poverty
Lack of cultural centers/Activities
Lack of parking lots

No city hall/No mayor


Emigration
Traffic
Homeless dogs
Lack of parks
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

22

What are the most important problems your town/village is facing


at the moment?
Chisinau
(Three spontaneous answers)

41%

Roads

33%

Cleanliness

13%

Transportation issues

10%

Unemployment

8%
8%
7%
7%
5%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%

Lack of parking lots


Unauthorized buildings
Bad infrastructure
Corruption
Traffic
Expensive utilities/Housing
High prices/Inflation
Bad mayor
Ecological situation
Low income/Pensions
Public indifference
Lack of parks
Insufficient street lighting
Too many markets and stores
Homeless dogs
Criminality
No city hall/No mayor
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

23

What are the most important problems facing you and your
household?
Nationwide
(Three spontaneous answers)

Low incomes/Financial problems

54%

Unemployment

21%

Expensive utilities/Housing

13%

High prices/Inflation

11%

Expensive medicines/Poor medical services

5%

Poverty

5%

Emigration

4%

Poor social assistance

4%

Health problems

4%

Low living standard

2%
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%
24

What are the most important problems facing you and your
household?
Chisinau
(Three spontaneous answers)

Low incomes/Financial problems

56%

Expensive utilities/Housing

24%

High prices/Inflation

18%

Unemployment

14%

Health problems

6%

Poverty

5%

Expensive medicines/Poor medical services

4%

Shortage of living space

3%

Low living standard

2%

Poor social assistance

2%

Emigration

2%

No problems

2%
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%
25

Do you think the dissolution of the Soviet Union was a good or bad
thing?
Good thing

March 2016

Bad thing

Don't know/No answer

29%

October 2015

59%

32%

September 2014

35%

June 2014

36%

0%

10%

20%

12%

56%

11%

52%

13%

54%

30%

40%

50%

60%

10%

70%

80%

90%

100%

26

Looking to New Political Leaders

What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or


members of the Moldovan government?
Nationwide
Favorable

Unfavorable

Renato Usatii

Have not heard

Don't know/No answer

50%

Maia Sandu

45%

Igor Dodon

45%

Andrei Nastase

43%
41%
19%

19%

Valeriu Strelet

18%

Natalia Gherman

17%

Alexandru Tanase

17%

Marian Lupu

17%

Corina Fusu

11%

Eugen Carpov

10%

Dumitru Diacov

10%

Mihai Ghimpu

10%

7%

7%

10%

72%

6%

51%

19%

61%

11%

10%

41%

27%

45%

11%
15%

21%

17%

75%

13%

Nicolae Timofti

7%

57%

22%

Adrian Candu

3% 7%

58%

25%

Vladimir Voronin

11%

56%

28%

Pavel Filip

8%
1%5%

30%

34%

Dorin Chirtoaca

6%

49%

40%

Iurie Leanca

1% 6%

2% 6%

52%

23%

79%

12%

3% 7%

36%

42%
61%

12%
18%

82%

11%
2% 6%

Vlad Filat

7%

86%

1% 6%

Vlad Plahotniuc

6%

88%

1%5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%
28

What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or


members of the Moldovan government?
Chisinau
Favorable

Unfavorable

Maia Sandu

Have not heard

No answer

61%

Andrei Nastase

33%

57%

Iurie Leanca

21%

46%

3% 3%
13%

9%

49%

2% 3%

Renato Usatii

38%

58%

1% 3%

Igor Dodon

37%

59%

4%

36%

61%

1% 2%

Dorin Chirtoaca
Adrian Candu

26%

Pavel Filip

26%

Alexandru Tanase

24%

Valeriu Strelet

24%

Natalia Gherman

23%

Marian Lupu
Corina Fusu

16%

Eugen Carpov

15%

Dumitru Diacov

13%

Mihai Ghimpu

13%

Nicolae Timofti

12%

Vlad Filat

8%
5%

44%

15%

7%

41%

22%

8%
14%
1% 2%

79%
79%

4%

64%

13%

38%

37%
12%
84%

20%

30%

40%

7%
1%2%

81%

2% 5%

85%

4%

92%

10%

7%

10%

67%

5%

7%

17%

61%

10%

0%

12%

62%

18%
17%

Vladimir Voronin

Vlad Plahotniuc

54%

50%

3%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%
29

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?


Nationwide
(Spontaneous)
Renato Usatii

27%

Igor Dodon

24%

Maia Sandu

16%

Andrei Nastase

13%

Vladimir Voronin

8%

Marian Lupu

6%

Iurie Leanca

6%

Ion Sturza

3%

Zinaida Grecianii

3%

Oazu Nantoi

3%

Vlad Filat

2%

Dorin Chirtoaca

1%

Pavel Filip

1%

Mihai Ghimpu

1%

Other

9%

None

16%

Don't know/No answer

6%
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%
30

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?


Chisinau
(Spontaneous)
Maia Sandu

25%

Igor Dodon

20%

Andrei Nastase

19%

Renat Usatii

17%

Iurie Leanca

5%

Vladimir Voronin

5%

Marian Lupu

4%

Ion Sturza

4%

Oazu Nantoi

3%

Vlad Filat

3%

Mihai Ghimpu

3%

Dorin Chirtoaca

3%

Zinaida Grecianii

2%

Alexandru Tanase

1%

Natalia Morari

1%

Niolae Chirtoaca

1%

Other

9%

None

18%

Don't know/No answer

4%
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%
31

Which political party best represents your point of view?


(Spontaneous)
Nationwide

Chisinau

Our Party (Usatii)

17%

8%

Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

15%
11%

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)


Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

4%

6%

5%

Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)


2%

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)

17%

7%

4%

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

17%

7%

4%

2%
3%

European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca)

1%
2%

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

1%
1%

Other

22%

None

27%

9%
8%

Don't know/No answer


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%
32

How much interest do you have in politics?


Interested

Medium interest

March 2016

Not interested

31%

39%

October 2015

35%

September 2014

34%

June 2014

32%

August 2011
February 2011

November 2008
April 2008
March 2007

April 2006

29%

25%

November 2004

26%

23%

March 2004
0%

10%

30%

1%
1%

46%

1%

45%

2%
2%

46%

3%

48%
31%

20%

1%

49%

28%

27%

2%

35%

29%

21%

1%

39%

31%

25%

1%

36%

30%

22%

1%

41%

30%

34%

1%

41%

31%

30%

June 2009

2%

36%

29%

32%

November 2009

38%
40%

26%

28%

February 2010

1%

29%

32%

May 2010

39%
29%

30%

34%

September 2010

3%

33%

29%

2%

35%

29%

37%

1%

33%

28%

28%

December 2011

29%

30%

31%

January 2012

Don't know/No answer

40%

1%

41%
50%

60%

70%

80%

2%
90%

100%

33

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential


elections?
Very likely

Somewhat likely

Somewhat unlikely

Moldova

Very unlikely

Don't know/No answer

76%

Chisinau

18%

74%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

18%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2% 2%2%

4% 2%2%

90%

100%

*Due to a March 4, 2016 ruling of the Moldovan Constitutional Court, Moldovan citizens will directly elect the president on
October 30, 2016. This will be the first popular election of the president since 1996.

34

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential


elections?
Nationwide
Very likely

Somewhat likely

Somewhat unlikely

18-29 years old


(N=210)

Very unlikely

Don't know/No answer

83%

13% 1% 2%1%

30-49 years old


(N=406)

74%

20%

3% 2% 1%

50+ years old


(N=585)

75%

19%

2% 2% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%
35

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential


elections?
Chisinau
Very likely

Somewhat likely

Somewhat unlikely

18-29 years old


(N=159)

Very unlikely

Don't know/No answer

21%

74%

30-49 years old


(N=199)

20%

69%

50+ years old


(N=230)

10%

20%

30%

40%

5% 2% 3%

14% 3% 3% 1%

79%

0%

3% 2%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%
36

In a direct election for the President, for whom would you vote?
Nationwide

Chisinau

Renato Usatti

20%

11%

Igor Dodon

16%
12%

Andrei Nastase

17%

10%

Maia Sandu
Vladimir Voronin

16%

6%

3%

Marian Lupu

18%

5%

3%
3%

Iuria Leanca

3%

2%

Vlad Filat
Ion Sturza

1%

Oazu Nantoi

1%

Mihai Ghimpu

1%

3%

2%

3%
2%
3%

Other

3%
4%

Would not vote

5%
14%

Don't know/No answer

15%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%
37

Do you support the idea of early parliamentary elections?


Yes

No

March 2016

Don't know/No answer

70%

October 2015

66%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

18%

12%

25%

9%

80%

90%

100%

38

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?
Very likely

Somewhat likely

Somewhat unlikely

Moldova

Very unlikely

Don't know/No answer

75%

Chisinau

18%

72%

0%

10%

20%

30%

18%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

3% 2%1%

4% 3% 3%

90%

100%
39

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary


elections?
Nationwide
Very likely

Somewhat likely

Somewhat unlikely

18-29 years old


(N=210)

Very unlikely

Don't know/No answer

82%

13% 1% 2%2%

30-49 years old


(N=406)

74%

19%

3% 3% 1%

50+ years old


(N=585)

74%

20%

3% 2%1%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%
40

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary


elections?
Chisinau
Very likely

Somewhat likely

Somewhat unlikely

18-29 years old


(N=159)

Very unlikely

73%

Don't know/No answer

18%

4% 1%4%

30-49 years old


(N=199)

72%

17%

5% 3% 3%

50+ years old


(N=230)

72%

18%

4%4%2%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%
41

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the


following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
Nationwide

Chisinau

Our Party (Usatii)

21%

10%

Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

18%

Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)

12%

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)

12%

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

4%

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

3%
4%
3%

European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca)


2%

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)

2%

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

1%

Other

20%
20%

18%

6%

6%

3%
3%

2%
4%
3%
2%
2%

None
Will not vote

9%
10%

Don't know/No answer


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

42

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the


following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
Likely Voters
Nationwide (N=1125)

Chisinau (N=529)

Our Party (Usatii)

21%

11%

20%
19%

Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)


Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)

12%

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)

12%

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

3%

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

3%
4%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
1%

European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca)


Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)
Liberal Party (Ghimpu)
Other

2%

None

21%
19%

7%
6%

3%

1%
1%

Will not vote

9%
10%

Don't know/No answer


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25% 43

International Relations

How would you assess the current relations between Moldova and
Good

Neither good, nor bad

Romania

Bad

60%

European Union

17%

47%

Ukraine

0%

10%

20%

16%

26%

41%

40%

50%

4%

13%

20%

15%

30%

6%

20%

24%

45%

Russia

16%

21%

55%

USA

Don't know/No answer

9%

40%

60%

70%

80%

4%

90%

100%
45

Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest


economic partner, economic threat, political partner and political
threat for Moldova?
(Nationwide)
European Union

Russia

Romania

Ukraine

United States

None

Don't know/No answer

70%
64%
60%

59%

57%

55%

50%

40%

30%

38%

36%
30%

28% 29%

30%
26%

22%
20%

17%

22%

25%
22%

22%

19%

18%

12%

15%

14%14%

12%

15% 14%

10%
3%

3%

0%
Economic partner

Economic threat

Political partner

Political threat

46

Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest


economic partner, economic threat, political partner and political
threat for Moldova?
(Chisinau)
European Union

Russia

Romania

Ukraine

United States

None

Don't know/No answer

80%
70%
60%

68%

66%

59%
51%

49% 49%

50%
40%

39%

38%
33%34%

32%

30%

27%

20%

15%

18%
16%17%15%

14%

10%

9%

10%

6%

5%
1%

21%
18%
17%
15%

1%

0%
Economic partner

Economic threat

Political partner

Political threat

47

If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which


one should it be?
The European Union

The Customs Union/Eurasian Union

March 2016
(Chisinau)

Other

Dont know/No answer

56%

March 2016
(Nationwide)

32%

43%

October 2015
(Nationwide)

44%

38%

September 2014
(Nationwide)

10%

20%

4%

45%

46%

0%

5%

3%

42%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

9%

14%

1%

80%

7%

90%

11%

100%

48

If a referendum was held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would


you vote?
For Moldova joining NATO

March 2016
(Chisinau)

Against Moldova joining NATO

28%

March 2016
(Nationwide)

32%

16%

October 2015
(Nationwide)

0%

10%

30%

40%

20%

19%

31%

20%

21%

24%

35%

31%

Dont know/No answer

19%

40%

19%

September 2014
(Nationwide)

Would not vote

50%

27%

15%

60%

70%

23%

80%

90%

100%

49

What do you think the future of Transnistria should be?


Ordinary region of Moldova, without any autonomy
Independent
A part of Ukraine
March 2016

Autonomy within the Republic of Moldova


A part of the Russian Federation
Don't know/No answer

48%

October 2015

26%

56%

September 14

26%

60%
67%

January 2012

66%

December 2011

66%

August 2011

61%

February 2011

60%

8% 2%4%

16%

6%

16%

7%1% 3%

7% 7% <1%4%

17%

5% 6% 1% 4%

20%

65%

8% 2%3%

11%

8%

18%

May 2010

7% 1%5%

5%

15%

June 2014

September 2010

13%

8%

16%

72%

6% 1% 4%
5% <1% 9%

7% 3% 1% 8%
12%

8% 2%<1% 6%

February 2010

68%

June 2009

69%

18%

5% 2%1% 6%

November 2008

68%

19%

4%1%<1% 7%

April 2008

17%

65%

March 2007

21%

61%

April 2006

4%2% 1% 7%

21%

4% 3%

80%
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

5% 4% 1% 5%

11%

12% 2%1%4%
50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

50

Given the current Russian activities in Ukraine, do you consider


Russian troops in Transnistria to be a threat to Moldova?
They are a real threat to Moldova
They are maybe a threat to Moldova, depending on events in Ukraine
They are not a real threat to Moldova
Dont know/No answer

March 2016
(Chisinau)

36%

March 2016
(Nationwide)

28%

32%

October 2015
(Nationwide)

26%

36%

September 2014
(Nationwide)

10%

33%

20%

6%

27%

28%

30%

40%

4%

36%

46%

0%

32%

50%

60%

4%

21%

70%

80%

5%

90%

100%

51

Women and Youth in Moldova

If there are two candidates running for office and they have the
same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is
a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?
Would vote for the female candidate

Would vote for the male candidate

Makes no difference to me

Dont know/No answer

March 2016

17%

October 2015

44%

23%

0%

10%

31%

35%

20%

30%

40%

27%

50%

60%

70%

8%

14%

80%

90%

100%

53

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement:


Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women
Strongly agree

Somewhat agree

March 2016

Somewhat disagree

43%

October 2015

28%

32%

0%

10%

20%

Strongly disagree

29%

30%

40%

50%

10%

11%

60%

Dont know/No answer

70%

4%

5%

15%

23%

80%

90%

100%

54

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement:


Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people
Strongly agree

Somewhat agree

March 2016

Somewhat disagree

50%

October 2015

24%

35%

0%

10%

20%

Strongly disagree

28%

30%

40%

50%

9%

10%

60%

Dont know/No answer

70%

6%

80%

3%

14%

20%

90%

100%

55

Demographics

Demographics
GENDER

Nationwide

47%

Men

53%

Women

18%

AGE

18-29

34%

30-49

49%

50 and older

18%

EDUCATION

Primary/ Non-complete secondary

20%

General secondary

33%

Vocational secondary

28%

Higher/Non-complete higher

2%

ETHNICITY

Romanian

76%

Moldovan

6%

Russian
Ukrainian

8%

Other

8%
88%

RELIGION

Russian Orthodox

7%

Romanian Orthodox

3%

Other

2%

None

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

57

Demographics
Nationwide
2%

Manager/Director/Patron

6%

Specialist

1%

Technician

4%

White collar

9%
10%

Services/Trade

OCCUPATION

Blue collar

6%

Unqualified worker

1%

Farmer

4%

Student

29%

Retired (not working)

4%

Housewife

16%

Unemployed/Looking for a job

3%
3%
2%

Unemployed/Not looking for a job


Other

SETTLEMENT
TYPE
BASIC SOURCES OF LIVELIHOOD

No answer

39%

My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm

47%

The salary or income of some of the members of family

8%

Sale of products of the part-time farm

23%

Use of products of the part-time farm

36%

Social benefits

14%

The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods

1%
2%

Something elese
No answer

21%
22%

Chisinau
Mid-sized/Small town

57%

Rural area

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Demographics
GENDER

Chisinau

46%

Men

54%

Women

27%

AGE

18-29

34%

30-49

39%

50 and older

8%

EDUCATION

Primary/ Non-complete secondary

18%

General secondary

28%

Vocational secondary

45%

Higher/Non-complete higher

37%

ETHNICITY

Romanian

36%

Moldovan

19%

Russian

1%

Ukrainian

4%

Other

85%

RELIGION

Russian Orthodox

8%

Romanian Orthodox

3%

Other

4%

None

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

59

Demographics
Chisinau

3%

Manager/Director/Patron

11%

Specialist

3%

Technician

8%
10%
10%
7%

White collar
Services/Trade

OCCUPATION

Blue collar

Unqualified worker

0%

Farmer

7%

Student

23%

Retired (not working)

3%

Housewife

9%

Unemployed/Looking for a job

2%
2%
2%

Unemployed/Not looking for a job


Other

SETTLEMENT
TYPE
BASIC SOURCES OF LIVELIHOOD

No answer

50%

My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm

57%

The salary or income of some of the members of family

2%
3%

Sale of products of the part-time farm


Use of products of the part-time farm

34%

Social benefits

11%

The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods

2%
0%

Something elese
No answer

92%

Chisinau

0%

Mid-sized/Small town

8%

Rural area

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

60

Center for Insights in Survey Research


202.408.9450 | info@iri.org
www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls

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