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Contact:
Earl de Berge
Research Director
Jim Haynes
President/CEO
-2STATISTICAL DATA
EDITORS NOTE: This Rocky Mountain Poll - Arizona (2016-II-03), is based on 700 interviews with heads of household
statewide including 564 registered voters, conducted between April 4 and 11, 2016. Interviewing was conducted in English or
Spanish by professional interviewers of the Behavior Research Center on both land lines and cell phones. Where necessary,
figures for age, sex, and race were weighted to bring them into line with their actual proportion in the population. In a sample
of this size, one can say with a 95 percent certainty that the results have a statistical precision of plus or minus 3.8 percent of
what they would have been had the entire adult population been surveyed and 4.2 percent had the entire voter population been
surveyed. The Rocky Mountain Poll is conducted by the Behavior Research Center of Arizona and is an independent and nonpartisan research program sponsored by the Center.
This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
Further Note on Behavior Research Center
Nate Silver of the website fivethirtyeight.com rated BRC as one of the top 15 percent of political polling firms in the nation
for methodology and accuracy, giving BRC an A- rating. Mr. Silver and his website have correctly predicted national and state
election outcomes in recent election cycles by aggregating polling results from multiple research firms.
-3STATISTICAL DATA
Fair
Poor/
Very
Poor
Unsure
23%
32%
21%
24%
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
17
20
31
26
42
40
40
24
10
17
14
19
(-23)
(-4)
(+21)
Maricopa
Pima
Rural
26
17
20
28
38
39
23
19
14
23
26
27
(+3)
(-2)
(+6)
Men
Women
25
21
30
34
23
18
22
27
(+2)
(+3)
20
27
23
29
33
34
17
21
24
34
19
19
(+3)
(+6)
(-1)
18
27
20
33
27
42
22
22
21
27
24
17
(-4)
(+5)
(-1)
Excellent/
or Good
Statewide
April 2016
Net Pos
to Neg.
(+2)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
-4STATISTICAL DATA
Right
Direction
Seriously
Off Track
A Little of Both
or Not Sure
Statewide
37%
41%
22%
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
24
37
37
63
31
41
13
32
22
Maricopa
Pima
Rural
39
36
34
39
49
43
22
15
23
Men
Women
44
29
36
47
20
24
44
38
30
34
43
47
22
19
23
36
42
27
45
37
54
19
21
19
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~