BAB IV Probabilitas

16
BAB IV
PENGUMPULAN DAN PENGOLAHAN DATA
PERCOBAAN 1
A. Pelemparan Data Dadu
1. Berdasarkan Teori !
Mata Dadu
1
2
3
4
5
6
Diket
Jumlah
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
Peluang
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1
: M = (1,2,3)
N = (2,4,6)
O = (1,3,5)
Tentukan :
1. P(M)
S
1
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3) 2
3
= 1/6+1/6+1/6
= 3/6
= 0.5
S
2. P(N)
= P(2)+P(4)+P(6)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6
= 3/6
= 0.5
S
3. P(O)
= P(1)+P(3)+P(5)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6
2
4
6
1
3
5
17
= 3/6
= 0.5
S
1
4. P(MN)
= M(1,2,3) + N(2,4,6) 3
= P(2)
= 1/6
= 0.167
S
2
5. P(MO)
6. P(NO)
3
= P(1,2,3) +O (1,3,5)
= P(1,3)
= 2/6
= 0.333
= N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)
= P(-)
= 0/6
=0
7. P(MN)
4
6
= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6)
= P(MN) = (1,2,3,4,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(6)
S
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
1
= 0.83
2
8. P(MO)
5
3
= M(1,2,3) O(1,3,5)
= P(MO) = (1,2,3,5)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(5)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
= 0.67
18
S
1
3
5
9.P(NO)
10.P(MNO)
= N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)
= P(NO) = (1,2,3,4,5,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
= 1.00
= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)

= P(MNO)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
4
1
5
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
6 2
3
= 1.00
P(MNO)
PEMBUKTIAN:
P(MO)
P(MNO)
2
4
6
= P(M)+P(O)-P(MO)
= 0.5+0,5-0,333
= 0.67
19
B IV
PENGOLAHAN DATA
P(M)
P(N)
P(O)
20
P(MN)
P(MO)
P(NO)
P(MN)
P(MO)
21
P(NO)
22
23
24
19
2. Berdasarkan Praktek 55x

Mata Dadu
1
2
3
4
5
6
Diket
Jumlah
10
4
7
9
11
14
55
Peluang
10/55
4/55
7/55
9/55
11/55
14/55
1.00
: M = (1,2,3)
N = (2,4,6)
O = (1,3,5)
Tentukan :
S
1. P(M)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)
= 10/55+4/55+7/55
= 0.38
2. P(N)
= P(2)+P(4)+P(6)
= 4/55+9/55+14/55
= 0.49
3. P(O)
= P(1)+P(3)+P(5)
= 10/55+7/55+11/55
= 0.69
20
4. P(MN)
= M(1,2,3) + N(2,4,6)
= P(2)
= 0.07
s
1
3
5. P(MO)
6. P(NO)
7. P(MN)
= P(1,2,3) + O(1,3,5)
= P(1,3)
= 0.31
S
2
= N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)
= P(-)
= 0/55
=0
S
2
4
6
= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6)
= P(MN) = (1,2,3,4,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(6)
= 10/55+4/55+7/55+9/55+14/55
= 0.80
S
1
3
8. P(MO)
= M(1,2,3) O(1,3,5)
= P(MO) = (1,2,3,5)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(5)
= 10/55+4/55+7/55+11/55
= 0.58
S
1
21
1
2
9. P(NO)
= N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)
= P(NO) = (1,2,3,4,5,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
= 10/55+4/55+7/55+9/55+11/55+14/55
= 1.00
S
10.P(MNO)
= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)

= P(MNO)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
= 10/55+4/44+7/55+9/55+11/55+14/55
= 1.00
S
4
2
1
3
PEMBUKTIAN:
P(MO)
P(MNO)
= P(M)+P(O)-P(MO)
= 0.38+0.69-0.31
= 0.76
=
P(M)+P(N)+P(O)-P(MN)-P(MO)-P(NO)-P(MNO)
22
1
2
3
2
4
6
1
3
5
23
1
3
2
4
6
1
3
5
4
6
1
5
24
1
5
O)-P(MN)-P(MO)-P(NO)-P(MNO)
25
26
27
22
3. Berdasarkan Praktek 70x

Mata Dadu
1
2
3
4
5
6
Diket
Jumlah
15
12
10
14
9
10
70
Peluang
15/70
12/70
10/70
14/70
9/70
10/70
1.00
: M = (1,2,3)
N = (2,4,6)
O = (1,3,5)
Tentukan :
1. P(M)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)
= 15/70+12/70+10/70
= 0.53
2. P(N)
= P(2)+P(4)+P(6)
= 12/70+14/70+10/70
= 0.51
S
3. P(O)
= P(1)+P(3)+P(5)
= 15/70+10/70+9/70
= 0.44
2
4
6
1
3
5
23
4. P(MN)
= M(1,2,3) + N(2,4,6)
= P(2)
S
= 0.17
1
2
5. P(MO)
= P(1,2,3) + (1,3,5)
= P(1,3)
S
= 0.36
1
2
6. P(NO)
7. P(MN)
= N(2.4.6)O(1.3.5)
= P(-)
= 0/70
=0
S
2
4
6
= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6)
= P(MN) = (1,2,3,4,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(6)
= 15/70+12/70+10/70+14/70+10/70
= 0.87
S
1
3
4
2
24
8. P(MO)
= M(1,2,3) O(1,3,5)
= P(MO) = (1,2,3,5)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(5)
= 15/70+12/70+10/70+9/70
= 0.66
S
1
2
9. P(NO)
= N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)
= P(NO) = (1,2,3,4,5,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
= 15/70+12/70+10/70+14/70+9/70+10/70
= 1.00
S
10.P(MNO)
= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)

= P(MNO)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
= 15/70+12/70+10/70+14/70+9/70+10/70
= 1.00
S
4
2
6
PEMBUKTIAN:
P(MO)
= P(M)+P(O)-P(MO)
1
3
25
P(MNO)
= 0.53+0.44-0.36
= 0.61
= P(M)+P(N)+P(O)-P(MN)-P(MO)-P(NO)-P(MNO)
26
1
2
3
2
4
6
1
3
5
27
1
3
2
4
6
1
3
5
28
1
5
0/70+14/70+9/70+10/70
0/70+14/70+9/70+10/70
O)-P(MN)-P(MO)-P(NO)-P(MNO)
29
30
31
32
33
25
Perbandingan Pelemparan Mata Dadu berdasarkan teori dan praktek

PELUANG
TEORI
P(M)
P(N)
P(O)
P( N O)
P(M N )
P( M O)
P( N O)
P( M N O)
PRAKTEK
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.17
0.17
0.83
0.67
1
1
Diket : M = (1,2,3), N = (2,4,6), O = (1,3,5)
55 X
0.38
0.49
0.69
0.07
0.31
0.8
0.58
1
1
26
rkan teori dan praktek

PRAKTEK
70 X
0.53
0.51
0.44
0.17
0.36
0.87
0.66
1
1
26
Percobaan 2
B. Pelemparan Uang Logam
1. Berdasarkan Teori
Variasi
Jumlah
Peluang
AAAA
AAAG
AAGA
AGAA
GAAA
AAGG
AGGA
AGAG
GAGA
GAAG
GGAA
AGGG
GAGG
GGAG
GGGA
GGGG
Total
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
1/16
16/16
Keterangan :
M = Angka [coin 1]
N = Angka [coin 2]
O = Angka [coin 3]
P = Angka [coin 4]
1.
P(M)
M = Gambar [coin 1]
N = Gambar [coin 2]
O = Gambar [coin 3]
P = Gambar [coin 4]
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
27
2.
P(N)
=
=
=
=
3.
P(O)
=
=
=
=
4.
P(P)
=
=
=
=
5.
P(M')
=
=
=
=
6.
P(N')
=
=
=
=
7.
8.
P(O')
P(P')
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+
P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+
P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+
P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
=
=
=
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+
28
=
=
=
9.
P(M N )
P(M)
=
P(N)
P(M N ) =
=
=
=
10.
11.
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
8/16
0.5
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P( M O)
P(M)
P(O)
P( M O)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P(P)
P( M P)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P( M P)
P(M)
29
12.
13.
P( N O)
P(N)
P(O)
P( N O)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P(N)
P(P)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(GGAA)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
P( N P)
P( N P)
14.
P (O P )
P(O)
P(P)
P (O P )
30
=
=
15.
P(M N ' )
P(M)
P(N')
=
=
=
=
P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P( M O' )
P(M)
P(O')
P( M O' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P( M P' )
P(M)
P(P')
P( M P' )
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
P(M N ' )
16.
17.
4/16
0.25
31
P( M P' )
18.
19.
20.
=
=
=
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P(O')
P( N O' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P( N P' )
P(N)
P(P')
P( N P' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P(O)
P(P')
P( N O' )
P(N)
P (O P ' )
32
P (O P ' )
21.
22.
23.
=
=
=
=
P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P ( M ' N ' )
P(M')
P(N')
P ( M ' N ' )
=
=
=
=
P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P(M')
P(O')
P ( M 'O ' )
=
=
=
=
P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P ( M 'O ' )
P ( M ' P ' )
P(M')
33
24.
25.
26.
P(P')
P ( M ' P ' )
=
=
=
=
P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P ( N 'O ' )
P(N')
P(O')
P ( N 'O ' )
=
=
=
=
P(AGGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P ( N ' P ' )
P(N')
P(P')
P ( N ' P ' )
=
=
=
=
P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P (O ' P ' )
P(O')
34
27.
P(P')
P (O ' P ' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4/16
0.25
P( M N O P)
P(M)
=
P(N)
P(O)
P(P)
P( M N O P)
28.
=
=
=
P(AAAA)
1/16
0.063
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P(M')
=
P(N')
35
P(O')
P(P')
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )
29.
P(M N )
P(M)
P(GGGG)
1/16
0.063
P(N)
P(M N )
P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+
P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
30.
=
=
=
P( M O)
P(M)
P(O)
36
P( M O)
=
=
=
31.
P( M P)
P(M)
P(P)
P( M P)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
32.
P(GAAA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
P ( N O)
P(N)
37
P(O)
P( N O)
P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+
P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
33.
P( N P)
P(N)
P(P)
P( N P)
=
=
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
34.
P (O P )
P(O)
38
P(P)
P (O P )
P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGGA)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
35.
P(M N ' )
P(M)
P(N')
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
P( M N ' )
=
=
=
39
36.
P(M O' )
P(M)
P(O')
P( M O' )
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
37.
P( M P' )
P(M)
P(P')
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
P(M P' )
=
=
40
=
38.
P( N O' )
P(N)
P(O')
P( N O' )
P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
39.
0.75
P( N P' )
P(N)
P(P')
P( N P' )
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
41
=
=
40.
P (O P ' )
P(O)
P(P')
P (O P ' )
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
41.
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
P ( M ' N ' )
P(M')
P(N')
P ( M ' N ' )
P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
42
=
=
=
42.
P ( M 'O ' )
P(M')
P(O')
P ( M 'O ' )
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
43.
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
P ( M ' P ' )
P(M')
P(P')
43
P ( M ' P ' )
=
=
=
44.
P ( N 'O ' )
P(N')
P(O')
P ( N 'O ' )
P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
45.
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
P ( N ' P ' )
P(N')
P(P')
44
P ( N ' P ' )
=
=
=
46.
P (O ' P ' )
P(O')
P(P')
P (O ' P ' )
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
=
=
=
47.
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
12/16
0.75
P( M N O P)
P(M)
45
P(N)
P(O)
P(P)
P( M N O P)
=
=
=
=
48.
P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+
P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGGG)+
P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
15/16
0.94
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )
46
P(M')
P(N')
P(O')
P(P')
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

=
P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
=
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
=
15/16
=
0.94
49.
P(M|N)
=
50.
P(M|O)
=
=
51.
P(M|P)
=
=
52.
P(N|O)
=
=
P( N M ) 0,2 5
P( N )
0,5
0.5
P (O M )
0,25
P (O )
0,5
0.5
P( P M )
0,25
P( P)
0,5
0.5
P (O N ) 0,25
P (O )
0,5
0.5
47
53.
P(N|P)
=
=
54.
P(O|P)
=
=
55.
P(M|N')
=
=
56.
P(M|O')
=
=
57.
P(M|P')
=
=
58.
P(N|O')
=
=
59.
P(N|P')
=
=
60.
P(O|P')
=
=
61.
P(M'|N')
=
=
62.
P(M'|O')
P( P N )
0,25
P( P)
0,5
0.5
P( P O)
0,25
P( P)
0,5
0.5
P ( N ' M )
0,25
P( N ' )
0,5
0.5
P (O ' M )
0,25
P (O ' )
0,5
0.5
P ( P ' M ) 0,25
P( P' )
0,5
0.5
P (O ' N )
0,25
P (O ' )
0,5
0.5
P ( P ' N )
0,25
P( P' )
0,5
0.5
P ( P 'O )
0,25
P( P' )
0,5
0.5
P ( N ' M ' )
0,25
P( N ' )
0,5
0.5
P (O ' M ' )
0,25
P (O ' )
0,5
48
63.
P(M'|P')
=
=
64.
P(N'|O')
=
=
65.
P(N'|P')
=
=
66.
P(O'|P')
=
=
0.5
P ( P ' M ' )
0,25
P( P' )
0,5
0.5
P (O ' N ' )
0,25
P (O ' )
0,5
0.5
P ( P ' N ' )
0,25
P( P' )
0,5
0.5
P ( P 'O ' )
0,25
P( P' )
0,5
0.5
AAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
GGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
49
2. Berdasarkan Praktek 50 kali

Variasi
Jumlah Peluang
AAAA
AAAG
AAGG
AGGG
GGGG
GAAA
GGAA
GGGA
AAGA
AGGA
AGAA
AGAG
GAGA
GAAG
GAGG
GGAG
Total
4
2
1
3
5
2
3
2
4
2
5
3
3
4
2
5
50
Keterangan :
M = Angka [coin 1]
N = Angka [coin 2]
O = Angka [coin 3]
P = Angka [coin 4]
1.
P(M)
4/50
2/50
1/50
3/50
5/50
2/50
3/50
2/50
4/50
2/50
5/50
3/50
3/50
4/50
2/50
5/50
50/50
M = Gambar [coin 1]
N = Gambar [coin 2]
O = Gambar [coin 3]
P = Gambar [coin 4]
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(A
P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(A
4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+5/50
24/50
0.48
50
2.
P(N)
AAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+
AGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
=
=
=
=
AAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
AAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
3.
AGA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
AGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
4.
AGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+
GAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
5.
GGA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
6.
AGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+
AGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
7.
AGG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+
8.
P(O)
=
=
=
=
P(P)
=
=
=
=
P(M')
=
=
=
=
P(N')
=
=
=
=
P(O')
P(P')
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(G
P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(G
4/50+2/50+1/50+2/50+4/50+4/50+2/50
19/50
0.38
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(G
P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(G
4/40+2/50+2/50+3/50+5/50+3/50+4/50
28/50
0.58
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(G
P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGAA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+3/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+5/50
22/50
0.44
P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(G
P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
5/50+2/50+3/50+2/50+3/50+4/50+2/50
26/50
0.52
P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(G
P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
3/50+5/50+3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50+3/50
28/50
0.56
=
=
=
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(G
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
1/50+3/50+5/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+3/50
22/50
0.44
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(G
51
AGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
=
=
=
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(G
2/50+1/50+3/50+5/50+3/50+4/50+2/50
25/50
0.5
P(M N )
P(M)
P(N)
AAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)
P( M N )
=
=
=
=
4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50
10/50
0.2
9.
10.
P( M O)
P(M)
P(O)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+P(A
4/50+5/50+3/50+2/50
14/50
0.28
P(M P)
P(M)
P(P)
AGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)
P(M P)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(A
4/50+1/50+5/50+2/50
12/50
0.24
P( M O)
GAA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)
11.
52
12.
P( N O)
P(N)
P(O)
AAG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)
P( N O)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(A
4/50+3/50+3/50+2/50
12/50
0.24
=
=
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(G
4/50+4/50+2/50+3/50
13/50
0.26
=
=
P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(G
4/50+3/50+4/50+4/50
13.
P(P)
P( N P)
AGA)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)
GAA)+P(GAAA)+P(GGAA)
P( N P)
P(N)
14.
P (O P )
P(O)
P(P)
P (O P )
53
15.
=
=
15/50
0.30
P(M N ' )
P(M)
P(N')
=
=
=
=
P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(A
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50
13/50
0.26
P( M O' )
P(M)
P(O')
AGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)
P( M O' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(A
4/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
10/50
0.2
P( M P' )
P(M)
P(P')
AGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
P( M P' )
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(A
P(M N ' )
16.
17.
54
P( M P' )
18.
P( N O' )
P(N)
=
=
=
2/50+1/50+3/50+3/50
9/50
0.18
P(O')
AGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)
P( N O' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(G
4/50+1/50+3/50+2/50
10/50
0.2
P( N P' )
P(N)
P(P')
AGG)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
P( N P' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(GAAG)+P(G
2/50+1/50+4/50+2/50
9/50
0.18
19.
20.
P (O P ' )
P(O)
P(P')
55
P (O P ' )
GAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAG)
=
=
=
=
P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(G
2/50+3/50+4/50+5/50
14/50
0.28
P ( M ' N ' )
P(M')
P(N')
P ( M ' N ' )
=
=
=
=
P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
3/50+5/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
17/50
0.34
21.
22.
P ( M 'O ' )
P(M')
P(O')
P ( M 'O ' )
=
=
=
=
P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
12/50
0.24
23.
P ( M ' P ' )
P(M')
56
P(P')
P ( M ' P ' )
=
=
=
=
P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(G
4/50+2/50+5/50+5/50
16/50
0.32
P ( N 'O ' )
P(N')
P(O')
GGA)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
P ( N 'O ' )
=
=
=
=
P(AGGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GGGA)+P(G
3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
12/50
0.24
P ( N ' P ' )
P(N')
P(P')
GGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
P ( N ' P ' )
=
=
=
=
P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(G
3/50+3/50+5/50+5/50
16/50
0.32
24.
25.
26.
P (O ' P ' )
P(O')
57
P(P')
GGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGG)
P (O ' P ' )
=
=
=
=
P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(G
1/50+3/50+2/50+5/50
11/50
0.22
27.
P( M N O P)
P(M)
=
P(N)
P(O)
P(P)
P( M N O P)
28.
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P(M')
=
P(N')
58
P(O')
P(P')
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )
29.
P(M N )
P(M)
P(N)
P(M N )
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
2/50+3/50+4/50+2/50
35/50
0.7
GGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+
=
=
=
30.
P( M O)
P(M)
P(O)
P( M O)
59
P( M O)
=
=
=
31.
P(M P)
P(M)
P(P)
P( M P)
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+1/50
2/50+3/50+3/50+2/50
32/50
0.64
=
=
=
32.
P(GAAA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
2/50+4/50+3/50+5/50
38/50
0.76
P( N O)
P(N)
P(O)
60
P( N O)
AGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+
GAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
=
=
=
33.
P( N P)
P(N)
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GGAA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50
4/50+2/50+3/50+2/50
33/50
0.66
P(P)
P( N P)
GGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
=
=
=
34.
P (O P )
P(O)
P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50
5/50+3/50+3/50+5/50
38/50
0.76
61
P(P)
P (O P )
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+5/50+2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50
4/50+2/50+3/50+2/50
34/50
0.68
AAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+
GGA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGGA)
=
=
=
35.
P(M N ' )
P(M)
P(N')
P(M N ' )
P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
3/50+5/50+2/50+5/50
39/50
0.78
=
=
=
36.
P( M O' )
62
P( M O' )
P(M)
P(O')
P( M O' )
P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
36/50
0.72
=
=
=
37.
P( M P' )
P(M)
P(P')
P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
4/50+2/50+5/50+5/50
40/50
0.8
P( M P' )
=
=
=
63
38.
P( N O' )
P(N)
P(O')
P( N O' )
P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGA)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50
2/50+3/50+2/50+5/50
34/50
0.68
GGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
=
=
=
39.
P( N P' )
P(N)
P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(G
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50
3/50+3/50+5/50+5/50
GGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
P(P')
P( N P' )
64
40.
=
=
38/50
0.76
P(O)
P(P')
P (O P ' )
P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(G
4/50+2/50+5/50+2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50
1/50+3/50+2/50+5/50
39/50
0.78
P (O P ' )
AAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+
GGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGG)
=
=
=
41.
P ( M ' N ' )
P(M')
P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(A
P(N')
GAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
P ( M ' N ' )
65
=
=
=
42.
P ( M 'O ' )
P(M')
P(O')
P ( M 'O ' )
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(A
2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+5/50
4/50+1/50+2/50+4/50
39/50
0.78
AGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)
=
=
43.
2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+2/50
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50
39/50
0.78
P ( M ' P ' )
P(M')
P(P')
P ( M ' P ' )
66
P ( M ' P ' )
AGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
=
=
=
44.
P ( N 'O ' )
P(N')
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(G
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+3/50+5/50+2/50
4/50+1/50+3/50+2/50
38/50
0.76
P(O')
P ( N 'O ' )
AGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)
=
=
=
45.
P ( N ' P ' )
P(N')
P(P')
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(A
2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+5/50
2/50+1/50+3/50+3/50
37/50
0.74
67
P ( N ' P ' )
AGG)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
=
=
=
46.
P (O ' P ' )
P(O')
P(P')
P (O ' P ' )
P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(G
4/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+2/50+2/50
2/50+3/50+4/50+5/50
36/50
0.7
AGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
GAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAG)
=
=
=
47.
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(GAAG)+P(G
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+3/50+5/50+2/50
2/50+1/50+4/50+2/50
37/50
0.74
P( M N O P)
P(M)
68
P(N)
P(O)
P(P)
P( M N O P)
=
AGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+
AAG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGGG)+
=
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
=
=
48.
P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(A
P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(A
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+2/50+1/50+2/50
3/50+4/50+3/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+2/50
45/50
0.9
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P(M')
=
69
P(N')
P(O')
P(P')
P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

=
P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(A
P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(A
=
2/50+4/50+5/50+2/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
4/50+3/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+2/50+5/50
=
46/50
=
0.92
AGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+
AAG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGGG)+
+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
49.
P(M|N)
=
50.
P(M|O)
=
=
51.
52.
P(M|P)
P(N|O)
P( N M ) 0.2
P( N )
0.3 8
0.53
P (O M )
0.28
P (O )
0,58
0.48
P( P M )
0.24
P( P)
0.44
0.55
P ( P M ) 0.28
P( P)
0.58
0.55
70
53.
P(N|P)
= P ( P N ) 0.26
P( P)
0.44
=
0.59
54.
P(O|P)
=
=
55.
P(M|N')
P(M|O')
P(M|P')
=
=
58.
P(N|O')
P(N|P')
P(O|P')
61.
P(M'|N')
62.
P(M'|O')
P (O' M ' ) 0.24
P (O' )
0.56
0.64
0.45
= P ( P ' N ) 0.2
P( P' )
0.5
=
60.
0.45
= P (O ' N ) 0.2
P (O ' )
0.56
=
59.
0.46
= P (O ' M ) 0.2
P (O ' )
0.44
=
57.
0.68
= P ( N ' M ) 0,26
P( N ' )
0,56
=
56.
P( P O)
0,30
P( P)
0,44
0.36
= P ( P 'O ) 0.28
P( P' )
0.45
=
0.56
= P ( N ' M ' ) 0.34
P( N ' )
0.56
=
0.61
P (O' M ' ) 0.24
P (O' )
0.44
0.55
71
63.
P(M'|P')
= P ( P ' M ' )
P( P' )
=
64.
P(N'|O')
P(N'|P')
P(O'|P')
0.62
0.55
= P ( P ' N ' ) 0.32

P( P' )
0.5
=
66.
0.44
0.5
= P (O ' N ' ) 024

P (O ' )
0.44
=
65.
0.64
= P ( P 'O ' ) 0.22
P( P' )
0.44
0.44
72
M = Gambar [coin 1]
N = Gambar [coin 2]
O = Gambar [coin 3]
P = Gambar [coin 4]
4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+5/50+3/50
73
4/50+2/50+1/50+2/50+4/50+4/50+2/50
4/40+2/50+2/50+3/50+5/50+3/50+4/50+5/50
4/50+2/50+3/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+5/50
5/50+2/50+3/50+2/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+5/50
3/50+5/50+3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50+3/50+5/50
1/50+3/50+5/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+3/50+2/50
74
2/50+1/50+3/50+5/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+5/50
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)
4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50
P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)
4/50+5/50+3/50+2/50
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)
4/50+1/50+5/50+2/50
75
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)
4/50+3/50+3/50+2/50
P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)
4/50+4/50+2/50+3/50
P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(GGAA)
4/50+3/50+4/50+4/50
76
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50
4/50+1/50+2/50+3/50
77
2/50+1/50+3/50+3/50
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)
4/50+1/50+3/50+2/50
2/50+1/50+4/50+2/50
78
2/50+3/50+4/50+5/50
3/50+5/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
79
4/50+2/50+5/50+5/50
P(AGGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
3/50+3/50+5/50+5/50
80
1/50+3/50+2/50+5/50
=
=
=
P(AAAA)
4/50
0.08
81
=
=
=
P(GGGG)
5/50
0.1
P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+
2/50+3/50+4/50+2/50
82
P(GAAA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+
2/50+4/50+3/50+5/50
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+
2/50+3/50+3/50+2/50
83
P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+
5/50+3/50+3/50+5/50
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+
4/50+2/50+3/50+2/50
84
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGGA)
4/50+2/50+5/50+2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+5/50+
4/50+2/50+3/50+2/50
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+
3/50+5/50+2/50+5/50
85
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+
3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+
4/50+2/50+5/50+5/50
86
P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+
2/50+3/50+2/50+5/50
4/50+2/50+4/50+2/50+1/50+3/50+4/50+2/50+
3/50+3/50+5/50+5/50
87
4/50+2/50+5/50+2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+5/50+
1/50+3/50+2/50+5/50
88
2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+2/50+5/50+
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50
2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+5/50+4/50+
4/50+1/50+2/50+4/50
89
2/50+3/50+4/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+5/50+4/50+
2/50+1/50+3/50+3/50
P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+3/50+5/50+2/50+5/50+
4/50+1/50+3/50+2/50
90
5/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+3/50+5/50+2/50+5/50+
2/50+1/50+4/50+2/50
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
4/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+2/50+2/50+5/50+
2/50+3/50+4/50+5/50
91
4/50+2/50+4/50+5/50+2/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+
3/50+4/50+3/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+2/50
92
2/50+4/50+5/50+2/50+1/50+2/50+3/50+3/50+
4/50+3/50+3/50+2/50+5/50+2/50+5/50
P( N M ) 0.2
P( N )
0.3 8
P (O M )
0.28
P (O )
0,58
P( P M )
0.24
P( P)
0.44
P ( P M ) 0.28
P( P)
0.58
93
P( P N )
0.26
P( P)
0.44
P( P O)
0,30
P( P)
0,44
P ( N ' M )
0,26
P( N ' )
0,56
P (O ' M )
0. 2
P (O ' )
0.44
P (O' M ' ) 0.24
P (O' )
0.56
P (O ' N )
0.2
P (O ' )
0.56
P ( P ' N )
0.2
P( P' )
0 .5
P ( P 'O)
0.28
P( P' )
0.45
P ( N ' M ' )
0.34
P( N ' )
0.56
P (O' M ' ) 0.24
P (O' )
0.44
94
P ( P ' M ' )
0.44
P( P' )
0.5
P (O ' N ' )
024
P (O ' )
0.44
P ( P ' N ' )
0.32
P( P' )
0.5
P ( P 'O ' )
0.22
P( P' )
0.44
70
Perbandingan Pelemparan Uang Logam berdasarkan teori dan praktek

No.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
Berdasarkan Teori
P(M)
P(N)
P(O)
P(P)
P(M)
P(N)
P(O)
P(P)
P(MN)
P(MO)
P(MP)
P(NO)
P(NP)
P(OP)
P(MN)
P(MO)
P(MP)
P(NO)
P(NP)
P(OP)
P(MN)
P(MO)
P(MP)
P(NO)
P(NP)
P(OP)
P(MNOP)
P(MNOP)
P(MUN)
P(MUO)
P(MUP)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.63
0.63
0.75
0.75
0.75
70
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44.
45.
46.
47.
48.
49.
50.
51.
52.
53.
54.
55.
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
61.
62.
63.
64.
65.
66.
P(NUO)
P(NUP)
P(OUP)
P(MUN')
P(MUO')
P(MUP')
P(NUO')
P(NUP')
P(O'UP')
P(MUN')
P(MUO')
P(MUP')
P(NUO')
P(NUP')
P(OUP')
P(MUNUOUP)
P(MUN'UO'UP')
P(M|N)
P(M|O)
P(M|P)
P(N|O)
P(N|P)
P(O|P)
P(M|N)
P(M|O)
P(M|P)
P(N|O)
P(N|P)
P(O|P)
P(M|N)
P(M|P)
P(N|P)
P(N|O)
P(N|P)
P(O|P)
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.94
0.94
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
70
Keterangan :
M = Angka [coin 1]
N = Angka [coin 2]
O = Angka [coin 3]
P = Angka [coin 4]
M = Gambar [coin 1]
N = Gambar [coin 2]
O = Gambar [coin 3]
P = Gambar [coin 4]
70
Uang Logam berdasarkan teori dan praktek

Berdasarkan Praktek
(50X)
0, 48
0.38
0.58
0.44
0.52
0.56
0.44
0.5
0.2
0.28
0.24
0.24
0.26
0.3
0.26
0.2
0.18
0.2
0.18
0.28
0.34
0.24
0.32
0.24
0.32
0.22
0.08
0.1
0.7
0.76
0.64
70
0.76
0.66
0.68
0.78
0.72
0.8
0.68
0.76
0.78
0.78
0.78
0.74
0.76
0.74
0.7
0.9
0.92
0.53
0.48
0.55
0.55
0.59
0.68
0.46
0.45
0.64
0.45
0.36
0.56
0.61
0.55
0.62
0.55
0.64
0.44
70
71
C. Percobaan Pengambilan Kelereng

1. Berdasarkan Teori !
Kelereng
Merah
Kuning
Hijau
Total
T
2
2
3
7
TT
2
3
3
8
Jumlah
4
5
6
15
ket :
M
K
J
T
TT
= Merah
= Kuning
= Hijau
= Tanda
= Tidak Tanda
1. P(KM T)
P(TKM)
P(T)
=
=
(2/15)(7/15)
0.06
2. P(KK T)
P(TKK)
P(T)
=
=
(2/15)(7/15)
0.06
3. P(KH T)
P(TKH)
P(T)
=
=
(3/15)(7/15)
0.09
4. P(KM TT)
P(TTKM) =
P(TT)
=
(2/15)(8/15)
0.07
5. P(KK TT)
P(TTKK) =
P(TT)
=
(3/15)(8/15)
0.11
6. P(KH TT)
P(TTKH) =
P(TT)
=
(3/15)(8/15)
0.11
72

2. Berdasarkan Praktek !
Pengambilan Kelereng Sebanyak 25 x
Kelereng
Merah
Kuning
Hijau
Total
T
7
5
6
18
TT
3
2
2
7
Jumlah
10
7
8
25
ket :
M
K
J
T
TT
= Merah
= Kuning
= Hijau
= Tanda
= Tidak Tanda
1. P(KM T)
P(TKM)
P(T)
=
=
(7/25)(18/25)
0.20
2. P(KK T)
P(TKK)
P(T)
=
=
(5/25)(18/25)
0.14
3. P(KH T)
P(TKH)
P(T)
=
=
(6/25)(18/25)
0.17
4. P(KM TT)
P(TTKM) =
P(TT)
=
(3/25)(7/25)
0.03
5. P(KK TT)
P(TTKK) =
P(TT)
=
(2/25)(7/25)
0.02
6. P(KH TT)
P(TTKH) =
P(TT)
=
(2/25)(7/25)
0.02
73

2. Berdasarkan Praktek !
Pengambilan Kelereng Sebanyak 35 x
Kelereng
Merah
Kuning
Hijau
Total
T
5
8
5
18
TT
5
5
7
17
Jumlah
10
13
12
35
ket :
M
K
J
T
TT
= Merah
= Kuning
= Hijau
= Tanda
= Tidak Tanda
1. P(KM T)
P(TKM)
P(T)
=
=
(5/35)(18/35)
0.07
2. P(KK T)
P(TKK)
P(T)
=
=
(8/35)(18/35)
0.12
3. P(KH T)
P(TKH)
P(T)
=
=
(5/35)(18/35)
0.07
4. P(KM TT)
P(TTKM) =
P(TT)
=
(5/35)(17/35)
0.07
5. P(KK TT)
P(TTKK) =
P(TT)
=
(5/35)(17/35)
0.07
6. P(KH TT)
P(TTKH) =
P(TT)
=
(7/35)(17/35)
0.10
74
D. Pengembalian Kelereng Pada Kaidah Bayes

Bedasarkan Teori 30 x
Kelereng
30x
Peluang JK
T
5
8
4
17
Jumlah
TT
3
4
6
13
Merah
Kuning
Hijau
Total
1/3
1/3
1/3
1
8
12
10
30
1. P(KM)
1/3
0.33
2. P(KK)
1/3
0.33
3. P(KH)
1/3
0.33
4. P(T KM)
P(TKM) =
P(KM)
(5/30)(1/3)
0.06
5. P(T KK)
P(TKK)
P(KK)
(8/30)(1/3)
0.09
6. P(T KH)
P(TKH)
P(KH)
(4/30)(1/3)
0.04
7. P(TT KM)
P(TKM) =
P(KM)
(3/30)(1/3)
0.03
8. P(TT KK)
P(TKK)
P(KK)
(4/30)(1/3)
0.04
9. P(TT KH)
P(TKH)
(6/30)(1/3)
75
P(KH)
0.07
76
(2/15)(7/15)
(2/15)(7/15)
(3/15)(7/15)
(2/15)(8/15)
(3/15)(8/15)
(3/15)(8/15)
77
(7/25)(18/25)
(5/25)(18/25)
(6/25)(18/25)
(3/25)(7/25)
(2/25)(7/25)
(2/25)(7/25)
78
(5/35)(18/35)
(8/35)(18/35)
(5/35)(18/35)
(5/35)(17/35)
(5/35)(17/35)
(7/35)(17/35)
79
80
75
Perbandingan Pelemparan Kelereng berdasarkan teori dan praktek

BERDASARKAN
TEORI
P(KM|T)
0.26
P(KK|T)
0.286
P(KH | T)
0.43
P(KM | TT)
0.25
P(KK | TT)
0.38
P(KK | TT)
0.38
PRAKTEK
25X
0.2
0.14
0.17
0.03
0.02
0.02
Ket :
M
H
K
T
TT
MERAH
HIJAU
KUNING
TANDA
TIDAK TANDA
75
n Kelereng berdasarkan teori dan praktek

PRAKTEK
35X
0.07
0.12
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.1
76
4.Teori Pengambilan Kelereng Pada Kaidah Bayes

Kelereng
Merah
Kuning
Hijau
Total
Peluang
JK
1/3
1/3
1/3
1
30x
T
5
8
4
17
Ket :
M = Merah
H = Hijau
K = Kuning
T = Tanda
TT = Tidak Tanda
TT
3
4
6
13
Jumlah
8
12
10
30

BAB IV Probabilitas

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BAB IV Probabilitas

Загружено:

Авторское право:

Доступные форматы

16

= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)

2. Berdasarkan Praktek 55x

= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)

3. Berdasarkan Praktek 70x

= M(1,2,3) N(2,4,6) O(1,3,5)

Perbandingan Pelemparan Mata Dadu berdasarkan teori dan praktek

Diket : M = (1,2,3), N = (2,4,6), O = (1,3,5)

rkan teori dan praktek

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

2. Berdasarkan Praktek 50 kali

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P ( M ' N 'O ' P ' )

P (O' M ' ) 0.24

P (O' M ' ) 0.24

= P ( P ' N ' ) 0.32

= P (O ' N ' ) 024

= P ( P 'O ' ) 0.22

P (O' M ' ) 0.24

Perbandingan Pelemparan Uang Logam berdasarkan teori dan praktek

Uang Logam berdasarkan teori dan praktek

C. Percobaan Pengambilan Kelereng

C. Percobaan Pengambilan Kelereng

C. Percobaan Pengambilan Kelereng

D. Pengembalian Kelereng Pada Kaidah Bayes

Perbandingan Pelemparan Kelereng berdasarkan teori dan praktek

n Kelereng berdasarkan teori dan praktek

4.Teori Pengambilan Kelereng Pada Kaidah Bayes

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