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1-20
f(x)
x2
x1
a+b
E(X) =
2
2-20
(b - a) 2
Var(X)
2
Example
What is the probability of an outcome being between 15 and 25 for a random
variable that follows a continuous uniform distribution over the range of 12 to
28?
A. 0.509.
B. 0.625.
C. 1.000.
D. 1.600.
AnswerB
3-20
25 15
P 15 X 25
0.625
28 12
4-20
Expectation
Variance
p(1-p)
np
np(1-p)
A recent study indicated that 60% of all businesses have a fax machine.
Assuming a binomial probability distribution, what is the probability that exactly
four businesses will have a fax machine in a random selection of six businesses?
A. 0.138.
B. 0.276.
C. 0.311.
D. 0.324.
AnswerC
5-20
Poisson Distribution
Poisson random variable X refers to the number of successes per unit, the
parameter lambda () refers to the average or expected number of successes per
unit.
x e-
P(X = x) =
x!
An interesting feature of the Poisson distribution is that both its mean and
variance are equal to the parameter,
6-20
Answer: D
=3 2=6
x e- 65 e6
P(X = 5) =
16.06%
x!
5!
7-20
Normal Distribution
The shape of the density function
The normal curve is symmetrical
The two halves are identical
Theoretically, the
curve extends to -
Properties:
Theoretically, the
curve extends to +
X ~ N(, )
Symmetrical distribution: skewness=0; kurtosis=3
A linear combination of normally distributed random variables is also
normally distributed.
8-20
X ~ N( , )
-2.58
-1.65
-1.96
+1.65 +2.58
+1.96
90%
95%
99%
9-20
10-20
Z-table
Example:
X ~ N (709) , compute the probability of X 75.9
11-20
Z-Table
12-20
Answer: A
13-20
Lognormal Distribution
14-20
10
15-20
X N ( ,
16-20
t-distribution
Symmetrical
Degrees of freedom (df): n-1
Less peaked than a normal distribution (fatter tails)
As the degrees of freedom gets larger, the shape of t-distribution
approaches standard normal distribution
X-u
~ t(n-1)
s
17-20
Chi-Square Distribution
The chi-square test statistic, , with n-1 degrees of freedom, is computed as:
2
n21
(n 1) s 2
02
df=30
18-20
F-Distribution
The test statistic for the F-test is the ratio of the sample variances
s12
F= 2 ~ F(n1 -1),
s2
(n 2 -1)
19-20
FRM
20-20