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MoveOn PA Senate Trump Survey Results

Q1 If the election for U.S. Senate were held today,
and the candidates were Democrat Katie
McGinty and Republican Pat Toomey, who
would you vote for?
Katie McGinty ............................................... 42%
Pat Toomey .................................................. 45%
Not sure ....................................................... 12%

Q2 Pat Toomey recently said that he would
support Donald Trump as the Republican
nominee for President. Does hearing this make
you more likely or less likely to vote to re-elect
Pat Toomey, or does it not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 22%

Q4 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ........................................................ 53%
Man.............................................................. 47%

Q5 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3
.
Democrat ..................................................... 46%
Republican ................................................... 42%
Independent ................................................. 12%

Q6 If you are Hispanic or Latino, press 1. If white,
press 2. If African-American, press 3. If other,
press 4.

Less likely..................................................... 40%

Hispanic or Latino ......................................... 2%

Doesn't make a difference ............................ 34%

White ........................................................... 82%

Not sure ....................................................... 4%

African-American .......................................... 12%

Q3 Senator Mark Kirk after hearing about Trumps
racially biased comments against a judge of
Mexican heritage just unendorsed Donald
Trump. Do you think Senator Pat Toomey
should do the same?

Other............................................................ 4%

Q7 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,
press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45........................................................ 39%

Think Sen. Toomey should unendorse Trump 42%

46 to 65........................................................ 41%

Think he should not ...................................... 41%

Older than 65 ............................................... 20%

Not sure ....................................................... 18%

June 8-9, 2016
Survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

US Senate Vote
Katie
Pat
Base McGinty Toomey

US Senate Vote
Not
sure

US Senate Vote
Katie McGinty 42%
Pat Toomey 45%
Not sure 12%

100%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

Katie
Pat
Base McGinty Toomey
Toomey For Trump
More/Less Likely

100%

More likely 22%

3%

37%

30%

Less likely 40%

71%

16%

24%

Doesn't make a 34%
difference

22%

44%

38%

3%

2%

8%

Not sure

4%

US Senate Vote
Katie
Pat
Base McGinty Toomey

Not
sure

US Senate Vote
Not
sure

Toomey Unendorse
Trump

Katie
Pat
Base McGinty Toomey

Not
sure

Gender

Think Sen. Toomey 42%
should unendorse
Trump

76%

14%

27%

Think he should not 41%

11%

68%

42%

Not sure 17%

14%

18%

32%

Woman 53%

56%

49%

58%

Man 47%

44%

51%

42%

US Senate Vote
Katie
Pat
Base McGinty Toomey

US Senate Vote
Not
sure

Party

Katie
Pat
Base McGinty Toomey

Not
sure

Race
Democrat 46%

73%

20%

46%

2%

4%

1%

1%

Republican 42%

14%

71%

33%

White 82%

68%

96%

81%

Independent 12%

12%

9%

21%

African-American 12%

23%

1%

12%

5%

2%

6%

Hispanic or Latino

Other

June 8-9, 2016
survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Toomey For Trump More/Less
Likely

US Senate Vote
Katie
Pat
Base McGinty Toomey

Not
sure

Base

Age

More Less Doesn't make
likely likely a difference

Not
sure

US Senate Vote

18 to 45 39%

41%

36%

44%

46 to 65 41%

40%

43%

37%

Older than 65 20%

19%

21%

19%

Katie McGinty 42%

6%

75%

28%

41%

Pat Toomey 46%

77%

18%

59%

32%

Not sure 12%

16%

7%

13%

27%

Toomey For Trump More/Less Likely
Base

More
likely

Less Doesn't make
likely a difference

Toomey For Trump More/Less
Likely

Not
sure

Base

Toomey For Trump
More/Less Likely
More likely 22%

100%

-

-

-

Less likely 40%

-

100%

-

-

Doesn't make a 34%
difference

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

Not sure

4%

More Less Doesn't make
likely likely a difference

Think Sen. Toomey 42%
should unendorse
Trump

4%

Think he should not 41%
Not sure 18%

80%

24%

16%

93%

8%

48%

12%

4%

13%

28%

73%

Toomey For Trump More/Less
Likely

Not
sure

Gender

Not
sure

Toomey Unendorse
Trump

Toomey For Trump More/Less
Likely
Base

More Less Doesn't make
likely likely a difference

Base

More Less Doesn't make
likely likely a difference

Not
sure

Party
Woman 53%

48%

61%

47%

52%

Man 47%

52%

39%

53%

48%

June 8-9, 2016
survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

Democrat 47%

26%

67%

34%

62%

Republican 42%

64%

22%

55%

26%

Independent 11%

10%

12%

11%

12%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Toomey For Trump More/Less
Likely
Base

More Less Doesn't make
likely likely a difference

Toomey For Trump More/Less
Likely

Not
sure

Race

Base

More Less Doesn't make
likely likely a difference

Not
sure

Age
2%

1%

3%

1%

2%

18 to 45 39%

34%

37%

43%

44%

White 83%

90%

77%

86%

66%

46 to 65 41%

44%

43%

41%

13%

African-American 12%

7%

16%

10%

12%

Older than 65 20%

23%

20%

16%

43%

2%

3%

2%

20%

Hispanic or Latino

Other

3%

Toomey Unendorse Trump

Toomey Unendorse Trump
Think Sen. Toomey Think he
Base should unendorse Trump should not
US Senate Vote
Katie McGinty 42%

77%

11%

33%

Pat Toomey 46%

16%

77%

46%

Not sure 11%

7%

12%

Think Sen. Toomey Think he
Base should unendorse Trump should not

Not
sure

Toomey For Trump
More/Less Likely

21%

More likely 22%

2%

51%

5%

Less likely 40%

78%

8%

29%

Doesn't make a 34%
difference

19%

40%

53%

1%

1%

14%

Not sure

3%

Toomey Unendorse Trump

Toomey Unendorse Trump
Think Sen. Toomey Think he
Base should unendorse Trump should not

Not
sure

Gender

Think Sen. Toomey 42%
should unendorse
Trump

100%

-

Think he should not 41%

-

100%

-

Not sure 18%

-

-

100%

survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

Think Sen. Toomey Think he
Base should unendorse Trump should not

Not
sure

Toomey Unendorse
Trump

June 8-9, 2016

Not
sure

-

Woman 53%

60%

46%

52%

Man 47%

40%

54%

48%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Toomey Unendorse Trump

Toomey Unendorse Trump
Think Sen. Toomey Think he
Base should unendorse Trump should not

Not
sure

Party

Think Sen. Toomey Think he
Base should unendorse Trump should not

Not
sure

Race
Democrat 46%

66%

27%

44%

2%

1%

0%

7%

Republican 43%

23%

62%

42%

White 83%

74%

93%

84%

Independent 12%

11%

11%

14%

African-American 12%

23%

4%

6%

2%

3%

3%

Hispanic or Latino

Other

3%

Toomey Unendorse Trump

Gender

Think Sen. Toomey Think he
Base should unendorse Trump should not

Not
sure

Base Woman

Man

US Senate Vote

Age
18 to 45 37%

43%

32%

37%

46 to 65 42%

40%

47%

36%

Older than 65 21%

17%

21%

27%

Katie McGinty 42%

45%

40%

Pat Toomey 45%

42%

49%

Not sure 12%

13%

11%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Toomey For Trump
More/Less Likely

Base Woman

Man

Toomey Unendorse
Trump

More likely 22%

20%

24%

35%

46%

33%

Think Sen. Toomey 42%
should unendorse
Trump

47%

Less likely 40%
Doesn't make a 34%
difference

30%

39%

Think he should not 41%

36%

46%

Not sure 18%

18%

18%

Not sure

4%

4%

4%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Gender

Base Woman

Man

Party
Woman 53%
Man 47%

June 8-9, 2016
survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

100%

-

-

100%

Democrat 46%

52%

40%

Republican 42%

39%

45%

Independent 12%

9%

15%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Base Woman

Race

Man

Age
2%

2%

2%

18 to 45 39%

41%

38%

White 82%

79%

86%

46 to 65 41%

39%

43%

African-American 12%

16%

7%

Older than 65 20%

20%

19%

3%

4%

Hispanic or Latino

Other

4%

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent
US Senate Vote
Katie McGinty 42%

68%

14%

43%

Pat Toomey 45%

20%

76%

35%

Not sure 12%

12%

10%

Base Democrat Republican Independent
Toomey For Trump
More/Less Likely

22%

More likely 22%

12%

33%

20%

Less likely 40%

58%

20%

42%

Doesn't make a 34%
difference

25%

44%

33%

5%

2%

4%

Not sure

4%

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent
Toomey Unendorse
Trump
Think Sen. Toomey 42%
should unendorse
Trump

59%

23%

40%

Think he should not 41%

24%

59%

38%

Not sure 18%

17%

18%

22%

June 8-9, 2016
survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

Base Democrat Republican Independent
Gender
Woman 53%

59%

49%

41%

Man 47%

41%

51%

59%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent
Party

Base Democrat Republican Independent
Race

100%

-

Republican 42%

-

100%

-

Independent 12%

-

-

100%

Democrat 46%

-

2%

3%

1%

5%

White 82%

75%

91%

77%

African-American 12%

19%

6%

6%

3%

2%

12%

Hispanic or Latino

Other

4%

Party

Race

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Hispanic
AfricanBase or Latino White American Other

Age

US Senate Vote

18 to 45 39%

40%

36%

47%

46 to 65 41%

39%

42%

43%

Katie McGinty 42%

73%

35%

85%

58%

10%

Pat Toomey 45%

24%

53%

3%

21%

Not sure 12%

4%

12%

12%

21%

Older than 65 20%

21%

22%

Race

Race

Hispanic
AfricanBase or Latino White American Other
Toomey For Trump
More/Less Likely

Toomey Unendorse
Trump

More likely 22%

9%

24%

13%

14%

Less likely 40%

69%

38%

54%

38%

Doesn't make a 34%
difference

19%

35%

29%

25%

Not sure

Hispanic
AfricanBase or Latino White American Other

4%

4%

3%

4%

24%

Think Sen. Toomey 42%
should unendorse
Trump

19%

37%

79%

32%

Think he should not 41%

11%

45%

12%

45%

Not sure 18%

70%

18%

9%

23%

Race
Hispanic
AfricanBase or Latino White American Other
Gender
Woman 53%

55%

51%

71%

46%

Man 47%

45%

49%

29%

54%

June 8-9, 2016
survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Race

Race

Hispanic
Base or Latino

Hispanic
AfricanBase or Latino White American Other

AfricanWhite American

Other

Race

Party
Democrat 46%

56%

42%

73%

39%

100%

-

-

-

Republican 42%

20%

47%

20%

22%

White 82%

-

100%

-

-

38%

African-American 12%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

100%

Independent 12%

23%

11%

7%

Hispanic or Latino

Other

2%

4%

Age

Race
Hispanic
AfricanBase or Latino White American Other
Age

Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

US Senate Vote
18 to 45 39%

76%

37%

51%

31%

Katie McGinty 42%

45%

41%

40%

46 to 65 41%

12%

42%

30%

55%

Pat Toomey 45%

42%

48%

48%

Older than 65 20%

11%

21%

19%

14%

Not sure 12%

14%

11%

12%

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Toomey For Trump
More/Less Likely
19%

23%

25%

Less likely 40%

39%

42%

Doesn't make a 34%
difference

38%

34%

5%

1%

8%

June 8-9, 2016
survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Toomey Unendorse
Trump

More likely 22%

Not sure

Base

4%

48%

39%

34%

40%

Think Sen. Toomey 42%
should unendorse
Trump

27%

Think he should not 41%

35%

46%

42%

Not sure 18%

17%

15%

24%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Gender

Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Party
Woman 53%

55%

51%

54%

Democrat 46%

47%

44%

48%

Man 47%

45%

49%

46%

Republican 42%

38%

44%

46%

Independent 12%

14%

13%

6%

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Race

Base

18 to
45

46 to Older
65 than 65

Age
2%

5%

1%

1%

White 82%

78%

86%

African-American 12%

15%

9%

3%

5%

3%

Hispanic or Latino

Other

June 8-9, 2016
survey of 965 Pennsylvania voters

4%

18 to 45 39%

100%

-

85%

46 to 65 41%

-

100%

-

11%

Older than 65 20%

-

-

100%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

-