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Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll

June 19-June 22, 2016
598 Likely Democratic Primary Voters New York Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Q1. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Gender
Vote Choice

Right track
Wrong direction
Don't know/No opinion

Total
49%
35%
15%

M
47%
38%
15%

F
51%
34%
15%

Teachout
52%
30%
17%

Yandik
53%
35%
13%

Dutchess
/Ulster
49%
36%
14%

Region
Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
42%
56%
37%
32%
21%
12%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
46%
50%
41%
33%
13%
16%

Religion
Cath
45%
43%
13%

Prot
50%
38%
12%

Political View
Other
51%
32%
17%

Lib
54%
32%
15%

Mod
46%
36%
18%

I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name. [Q2-Q7 ROTATED]
Q2. Zephyr Teachout
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Age
Religion
Political View
Dutchess Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/ Under 55 and
Total
M
F
Teachout
Yandik
/Ulster
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
55
older
Cath
Prot
Other
Lib
Mod
Favorable
75%
75% 75%
95%
55%
78%
73%
73%
71%
76%
60%
76%
81%
82%
62%
Unfavorable
8%
9%
8%
1%
27%
7%
7%
12%
8%
8%
11%
8%
7%
6%
13%
Don't know/No opinion
17%
16% 17%
4%
18%
15%
20%
15%
20%
15%
28%
17%
12%
11%
24%
Q3. Will Yandik
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
45%
12%
43%

M
46%
13%
40%

F
43%
12%
45%

Vote Choice
Teachout
36%
17%
47%

Yandik
82%
6%
11%

Dutchess
/Ulster
38%
15%
47%

Region
Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
46%
55%
9%
11%
45%
34%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
40%
47%
22%
9%
39%
44%

Dutchess
/Ulster
92%
7%
2%

Region
Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
81%
93%
18%
7%
1%
0%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
90%
89%
8%
10%
1%
1%

Dutchess
/Ulster
81%
16%
2%

Region
Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
76%
82%
21%
18%
3%
1%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
74%
82%
24%
16%
2%
2%

Dutchess
/Ulster
5%
93%
2%

Region
Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
11%
6%
88%
94%
1%
0%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
7%
7%
92%
92%
1%
1%

Religion
Cath
38%
11%
51%

Prot
48%
10%
42%

Political View
Other
47%
14%
39%

Lib
47%
13%
40%

Mod
46%
10%
44%

Q4. Barack Obama
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
90%
9%
1%

M
88%
12%
0%

F
91%
7%
1%

Vote Choice
Teachout
92%
7%
1%

Yandik
88%
11%
1%

Religion
Cath
82%
18%
0%

Prot
87%
12%
1%

Political View
Other
94%
5%
1%

Lib
96%
3%
0%

Mod
83%
15%
3%

Q5. Hillary Clinton
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
80%
18%
2%

M
75%
23%
2%

F
84%
14%
2%

Vote Choice
Teachout
81%
16%
3%

Yandik
81%
19%
0%

Religion
Cath
76%
24%
0%

Prot
81%
16%
2%

Political View
Other
81%
16%
3%

Lib
85%
12%
3%

Mod
77%
23%
1%

Q6. Donald Trump
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
7%
92%
1%

M
9%
90%
1%

F
5%
94%
1%

Vote Choice
Teachout
3%
96%
1%

Yandik
11%
87%
2%

CD19DCrosstabs

Religion
Cath
19%
81%
1%

Prot
6%
91%
3%

Political View
Other
2%
97%
1%

Lib
2%
97%
1%

Mod
11%
88%
1%

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Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll
June 19-June 22, 2016
598 Likely Democratic Primary Voters New York Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Q7. Chris Gibson
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
47%
38%
15%

M
42%
46%
12%

F
51%
33%
16%

Vote Choice
Teachout
44%
43%
13%

Yandik
57%
35%
8%

Dutchess
/Ulster
46%
37%
17%

Region
Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
48%
48%
34%
45%
18%
7%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
43%
48%
42%
38%
14%
15%

Religion
Cath
50%
32%
19%

Q8. If the Democratic primary election for Member of Congress from the 19th Congressional District was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Region
Age
Dutchess Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/ Under 55 and
Total
M
F
/Ulster
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
55
older
Cath
Zephyr Teachout
62%
61% 62%
68%
58%
53%
59%
62%
48%
Will Yandik
23%
21% 25%
18%
25%
31%
26%
22%
26%
Don't know/No opinion
15%
18% 13%
14%
17%
16%
14%
16%
26%
Q9. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]?
Gender

Absolutely certain; there’s no chance I will
change my mind
Fairly certain; it’s unlikely I will change my
mind
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
Not certain at all; there’s a good chance I
will change my mind
Don't know/No opinion

Vote Choice

Region
Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie

Age
Under 55 and
55
older

Total

M

F

Teachout

Yandik

Dutchess
/Ulster

59%

64%

56%

63%

49%

61%

54%

60%

49%

31%

30%

33%

31%

32%

32%

34%

29%

7%

4%

10%

5%

15%

5%

11%

2%

3%

1%

1%

4%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Prot
61%
29%
9%

Political View
Other
40%
45%
15%

Religion
Prot
57%
29%
13%

Lib
42%
44%
13%

Mod
57%
28%
15%

Political View
Other
68%
20%
12%

Religion

Lib
69%
21%
10%

Mod
48%
31%
20%

Political View

Cath

Prot

Other

Lib

Mod

63%

47%

60%

64%

62%

54%

34%

30%

38%

34%

28%

30%

34%

8%

14%

5%

13%

2%

7%

6%

11%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

Q10. Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think has been waging the more NEGATIVE campaign? [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Dutchess Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Total
M
F
Teachout
Yandik
/Ulster
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
Zephyr Teachout
6%
5%
7%
2%
21%
6%
5%
8%
Will Yandik
12%
13% 11%
16%
3%
12%
14%
10%
Vol: Both
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
3%
Vol: Neither
38%
37% 38%
40%
48%
33%
41%
42%
Don't know/No opinion
43%
44% 43%
42%
27%
48%
40%
37%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
6%
7%
13%
12%
1%
1%
40%
37%
40%
44%

Q11. Regardless of who you intend to vote for, which of the two candidates do you think is most likely to win the primary on June 28th? [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Dutchess Broome/Delaware/ Columbia/Greene/Montgomery/
Total
M
F
Teachout
Yandik
/Ulster
Otsego/Sullivan
Rensselaer/Schoharie
Zephyr Teachout
62%
63% 60%
79%
39%
63%
64%
57%
Will Yandik
15%
14% 16%
4%
46%
13%
13%
20%
Don't know/No opinion
23%
23% 24%
16%
15%
24%
23%
24%

Age
Under 55 and
55
older
60%
62%
20%
13%
19%
25%

CD19DCrosstabs

Religion
Cath
9%
18%
3%
25%
45%

Prot
10%
14%
1%
38%
37%

Political View
Other
5%
9%
0%
43%
43%

Religion
Cath
52%
22%
26%

Prot
62%
17%
22%

Lib
5%
9%
1%
41%
45%

Mod
11%
21%
1%
32%
36%

Political View
Other
66%
11%
22%

Lib
64%
14%
22%

Mod
61%
17%
22%

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Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll
June 19-June 22, 2016
598 Likely Democratic Primary Voters New York Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%

Nature of the Sample
NY CD19 Registered Democrats (Likely Voters)
Political View
Liberal
Moderate
Region
Ulster/Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/Greene/
Columbia/Rensselaer
Religion
Catholic
Protestant
Other
Age
Under 55
55 and older
Gender
Male
Female

67%
24%
47%
24%
29%
22%
21%
54%
14%
85%
45%
56%

CD19DCrosstabs

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