Star-Advertiser/Hawaii News Now Hawaii Poll (Pt. 3)

Table 2

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -‐-‐ James "Duke" Aiona

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TOTAL ISLAND GENDER ETHNICITY AGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME USUALLY VOTE UNION MEMBR
===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
Oahu N.I. Male Fe-‐ Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-‐54 55+ <$50K $50K-‐ $100K Democ Repub Indep Yes No
male -‐sian -‐ese -‐pino -‐ian $99K + ratic lican endnt
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T)

Favorable 347 261 86 181 166 72 95 43 76 69 111 165 120 101 79 155 113 69 109 234
57% 61% 49% 60% 55% 49% 55% 54% 77% 68% 56% 55% 61% 50% 61% 44% 85% 67% 51% 61%
C FGH N PR P S

Unfavorable 189 135 54 94 96 56 62 24 14 23 66 100 50 76 44 158 6 23 86 99
31% 31% 31% 31% 32% 38% 36% 31% 15% 22% 33% 33% 26% 37% 34% 45% 5% 22% 40% 26%
I I I M QR Q T

Never heard 18 9 9 8 10 5 3 4 2 3 6 9 10 3 1 9 6 3 1 17
3% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 3% 1% 4%
O S

Heard of but don't know 50 25 24 21 29 14 13 8 7 7 16 26 15 21 6 29 8 8 17 31
enough 8% 6% 14% 7% 10% 10% 7% 10% 7% 7% 8% 9% 7% 11% 5% 8% 6% 8% 8% 8%
B O

BASE 604 430 174 304 300 147 173 80 99 102 198 301 195 202 130 351 134 104 214 380

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.0 ±4.7 ±7.4 ±5.6 ±5.7 ±8.1 ±7.4 ±11.0 ±9.8 ±9.7 ±7.0 ±5.6 ±7.0 ±6.9 ±8.6 ±5.2 ±8.5 ±9.6 ±6.7 ±5.0

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST
Independent T-‐Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-‐Test for Percentages
Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. -‐ 5520 :: Star-‐Advertiser/Hawaii News Now -‐ Hawai‘i Poll :: August 2010 ::

Table 8

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -‐-‐ Lyla Berg

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===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Favorable 95 68 27 47 49 29 25 11 18 8 34 54 26 31 28 59 23 11 35 59
16% 16% 16% 15% 16% 20% 14% 14% 18% 8% 17% 18% 13% 15% 22% 17% 17% 10% 16% 16%
J J

Unfavorable 105 73 31 54 51 10 37 13 20 18 30 56 25 38 30 61 29 13 39 66
17% 17% 18% 18% 17% 7% 21% 17% 20% 18% 15% 19% 13% 19% 23% 17% 22% 13% 18% 17%
F F F M

Never heard 308 221 87 159 149 81 80 47 47 64 100 142 113 98 56 176 62 62 103 197
51% 51% 50% 52% 50% 55% 46% 60% 47% 63% 51% 47% 58% 48% 43% 50% 47% 60% 48% 52%
L O

Heard of but don't know 96 68 28 45 52 27 31 7 15 12 34 49 31 35 16 55 19 17 38 58
enough 16% 16% 16% 15% 17% 18% 18% 9% 15% 12% 17% 16% 16% 18% 12% 16% 15% 17% 18% 15%

BASE 604 430 174 304 300 147 173 80 99 102 198 301 195 202 130 351 134 104 214 380

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.0 ±4.7 ±7.4 ±5.6 ±5.7 ±8.1 ±7.4 ±11.0 ±9.8 ±9.7 ±7.0 ±5.6 ±7.0 ±6.9 ±8.6 ±5.2 ±8.5 ±9.6 ±6.7 ±5.0


Table 11

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -‐-‐ Kirk Caldwell

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===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Favorable 197 197 -‐ 99 99 44 63 23 27 25 72 101 59 66 50 128 37 31 70 123
46% 46% 45% 47% 43% 50% 43% 42% 35% 49% 47% 46% 44% 49% 52% 35% 46% 46% 46%
Q

Unfavorable 84 84 -‐ 48 36 17 26 9 13 9 28 45 21 36 20 38 26 18 32 51
20% 20% 22% 17% 17% 21% 17% 20% 13% 20% 21% 16% 24% 20% 15% 25% 27% 21% 19%

Never heard 79 79 -‐ 45 35 23 13 15 13 26 21 33 32 24 15 46 25 4 25 55
18% 18% 20% 17% 23% 11% 28% 20% 37% 14% 16% 25% 16% 15% 19% 24% 6% 16% 20%
G G KL R R

Heard of but don't know 70 70 -‐ 29 40 17 22 7 11 10 24 33 18 25 17 35 17 14 26 41
enough 16% 16% 13% 19% 17% 18% 13% 17% 15% 17% 16% 14% 17% 16% 14% 16% 21% 17% 15%

BASE 430 430 -‐ 221 209 101 125 53 64 70 145 212 130 150 102 246 104 68 153 270

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.7 ±4.7 -‐ ±6.6 ±6.8 ±9.7 ±8.8 ±13.5 ±12.2 ±11.7 ±8.1 ±6.7 ±8.6 ±8.0 ±9.7 ±6.2 ±9.6 ±11.9 ±7.9 ±6.0


Table 12

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -‐-‐ Peter Carlisle

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===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Favorable 290 290 -‐ 148 142 56 97 37 45 27 108 153 82 102 77 163 68 50 107 180
67% 67% 67% 68% 56% 78% 70% 70% 39% 75% 72% 63% 68% 75% 66% 65% 73% 70% 67%
F J J

Unfavorable 66 66 -‐ 38 28 24 17 1 11 12 19 35 19 29 12 45 13 6 23 42
15% 15% 17% 13% 23% 13% 3% 17% 17% 13% 16% 15% 19% 12% 18% 12% 9% 15% 16%
H H H R

Never heard 36 36 -‐ 18 18 10 3 11 4 20 4 11 20 9 3 18 10 7 6 28
8% 8% 8% 9% 10% 2% 21% 6% 29% 3% 5% 15% 6% 3% 7% 10% 11% 4% 10%
G GI KL NO S

enough 9% 9% 8% 10% 11% 7% 6% 7% 15% 9% 6% 7% 7% 9% 8% 13% 7% 11% 7%

BASE 430 430 -‐ 221 209 101 125 53 64 70 145 212 130 150 102 246 104 68 153 270

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.7 ±4.7 -‐ ±6.6 ±6.8 ±9.7 ±8.8 ±13.5 ±12.2 ±11.7 ±8.1 ±6.7 ±8.6 ±8.0 ±9.7 ±6.2 ±9.6 ±11.9 ±7.9 ±6.0


Table 23

Q6. If the November General Election were held today, and the candidates for Governor were Mufi
Hannemann and James "Duke" Aiona, Jr., would you vote for:

===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

James "Duke" Aiona, Jr. 225 171 53 107 118 59 50 31 48 46 74 105 77 74 50 73 91 54 73 150
37% 40% 31% 35% 39% 40% 29% 39% 48% 45% 37% 35% 39% 37% 38% 21% 68% 51% 34% 39%
C G G PR P

Mufi Hannemann 324 216 107 175 149 78 104 41 48 48 109 166 101 111 74 252 34 34 116 201
54% 50% 62% 58% 49% 53% 60% 51% 48% 47% 55% 55% 52% 55% 57% 72% 25% 32% 54% 53%
B QR

Don't know/Refused 55 42 13 21 34 10 19 8 4 8 16 29 18 17 6 26 9 17 24 30
9% 10% 7% 7% 11% 7% 11% 10% 4% 8% 8% 10% 9% 8% 4% 7% 7% 16% 11% 8%
I PQ

BASE 604 430 174 304 300 147 173 80 99 102 198 301 195 202 130 351 134 104 214 380

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.0 ±4.7 ±7.4 ±5.6 ±5.7 ±8.1 ±7.4 ±11.0 ±9.8 ±9.7 ±7.0 ±5.6 ±7.0 ±6.9 ±8.6 ±5.2 ±8.5 ±9.6 ±6.7 ±5.0


Table 24

Q7. And if the November General Election were held today, and the candidates for Governor were Neil
Abercrombie and James "Duke" Aiona, Jr., would you vote for:

===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Neil Abercrombie 322 235 88 166 156 81 107 40 48 55 112 153 109 114 73 249 23 43 126 194
53% 55% 50% 55% 52% 55% 62% 50% 48% 54% 56% 51% 56% 56% 56% 71% 17% 41% 59% 51%
I QR Q

James "Duke" Aiona, Jr. 246 171 75 122 124 61 55 32 48 43 75 128 74 77 56 83 107 51 72 169
41% 40% 43% 40% 41% 42% 32% 40% 49% 42% 38% 43% 38% 38% 43% 24% 80% 49% 34% 44%
G PR P S

Don't know/Refused 36 25 11 16 20 5 11 8 3 4 11 20 12 11 2 19 3 10 16 17
6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 3% 6% 10% 3% 4% 6% 7% 6% 5% 1% 6% 2% 10% 8% 5%
O Q

BASE 604 430 174 304 300 147 173 80 99 102 198 301 195 202 130 351 134 104 214 380

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.0 ±4.7 ±7.4 ±5.6 ±5.7 ±8.1 ±7.4 ±11.0 ±9.8 ±9.7 ±7.0 ±5.6 ±7.0 ±6.9 ±8.6 ±5.2 ±8.5 ±9.6 ±6.7 ±5.0


Table 25

Q8. (FOR O‘AHU VOTERS ONLY) Now please think about the Mayor's race for City and County of
Honolulu. If the election were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE LIST AND READ), who
would you vote for?

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===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Kirk Caldwell 108 108 -‐ 52 56 28 37 9 10 11 32 65 30 41 24 78 16 14 40 67
25% 25% 24% 27% 28% 30% 17% 16% 16% 22% 31% 23% 27% 24% 32% 15% 21% 26% 25%
HI J Q

Peter Carlisle 209 209 -‐ 101 108 39 62 32 38 31 77 99 63 67 61 111 58 32 77 130
49% 49% 46% 52% 39% 49% 60% 60% 44% 53% 46% 48% 45% 60% 45% 56% 47% 50% 48%
F F N

Panos Prevedouros 47 47 -‐ 28 20 11 16 4 9 6 20 21 12 22 8 23 15 8 17 29
11% 11% 12% 9% 10% 13% 7% 14% 8% 14% 10% 9% 15% 8% 9% 15% 11% 11% 11%

Rod Tam 17 17 -‐ 15 1 5 1 4 1 9 5 3 9 3 2 10 1 5 3 13
4% 4% 7% 1% 5% *% 8% 2% 13% 3% 1% 7% 2% 2% 4% 1% 7% 2% 5%
E G L

Don't know/Refused 49 49 -‐ 25 24 19 9 4 5 13 12 24 16 17 6 23 13 9 15 31
11% 11% 11% 12% 19% 7% 8% 8% 18% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 10% 13% 14% 10% 11%
G

BASE 430 430 -‐ 221 209 101 125 53 64 70 145 212 130 150 102 246 104 68 153 270

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.7 ±4.7 -‐ ±6.6 ±6.8 ±9.7 ±8.8 ±13.5 ±12.2 ±11.7 ±8.1 ±6.7 ±8.6 ±8.0 ±9.7 ±6.2 ±9.6 ±11.9 ±7.9 ±6.0


Table 13

Q1. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -‐-‐ Panos Prevedouros

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===== =========== =========== ======================= ================= ================= ================= ===========
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐-‐-‐

Favorable 111 111 -‐ 60 51 23 38 12 18 8 44 59 32 39 25 59 29 20 34 74
26% 26% 27% 25% 23% 30% 22% 28% 11% 30% 28% 24% 26% 25% 24% 28% 30% 23% 28%
J J

Unfavorable 152 152 -‐ 80 72 26 54 19 18 19 52 79 38 57 45 94 32 24 72 79
35% 35% 36% 34% 26% 43% 36% 28% 27% 36% 37% 30% 38% 44% 38% 31% 35% 47% 29%
F M T

Never heard 114 114 -‐ 56 58 38 14 20 20 38 28 48 52 33 16 62 31 15 33 79
27% 27% 25% 28% 38% 12% 37% 32% 54% 19% 23% 40% 22% 15% 25% 30% 22% 22% 29%
G G G KL NO

enough 12% 12% 12% 13% 14% 15% 5% 13% 8% 15% 12% 6% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 8% 14%
H M M

BASE 430 430 -‐ 221 209 101 125 53 64 70 145 212 130 150 102 246 104 68 153 270

MARGIN OF ERROR (±) ±4.7 ±4.7 -‐ ±6.6 ±6.8 ±9.7 ±8.8 ±13.5 ±12.2 ±11.7 ±8.1 ±6.7 ±8.6 ±8.0 ±9.7 ±6.2 ±9.6 ±11.9 ±7.9 ±6.0


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