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1991
BY:
Group 5, Section B
• Nationality constraint
• Ownership of reforms
Revenue pattern of Central Government after
reforms
1990-95 1995-00 2000-04 2004-07 2007-08
Gross tax
revenue 10.3 9.0 8.8 10.4 12.5
1992-93 In 1997-98
Personal income tax slabs of 20, 30 and 40 per 10, 20 and 30 per cent
rates cent
*: State Governments' data for the year 2006-07 and 2007-08 relate to revised estimates and budget estimates, respectively.
RD: Revenue Deficit GFD: Gross Fiscal Deficit PD: Primary Deficit MD: Monetised Deficit
Avg.: Average RE: Revised Estimate
Source: Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy, 2006-7, RBI.
Broad View on the Outcome of
Fiscal Reforms..contd
• Outstanding Liabilities
• The high level of fiscal deficits both at the Centre and the
States led to debt accumulation over the period resulting in
a rise in the debt to GDP ratio.
• Contingent liabilities witnessed some decline in the recent
years
• under the FRBM Act, the annual increase in the stock of
contingent liabilities of the Central Government is limited
to a ceiling of 0.5 per cent of GDP.
Table 7: Outstanding Liabilities of Centre and States
(Per cent of GDP)
Item 1990-95 1995-00 2000-04 2004-06 2006-07 2007-08
(Avg.) (Avg.) (Avg.) (Avg.) RE BE
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Central
Government 54.2 50.8 60.5 63.2 61.2 58.5
State
Government
s 22.1 22.5 30.9 32.6 30.6 29.3
Combined 64.1 63.2 77.2 80.9 77.1 73.8
Avg.: Average RE: Revised Estimate BE: Budget Estimate
Source:
1. Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy, 2006-07, RBI.
2. State Finances - A Study of Budgets of 2007-08, RBI.
The Fiscal Responsibility and Budget
Management (FRBM) Act, 2003
• Targeting long term development by achieving sufficient revenue surplus
and removing fiscal impediments
• “The central government should take appropriate measures to reduce the
fiscal deficit and revenue deficit so as to eliminate revenue deficit by 31st
of March, 2008 and thereafter build up adequate revenue surplus”
• The revenue deficit as a ratio of GDP should be brought down by 0.5 per
cent every year and eliminated by 2007-08;
• The fiscal deficit as a ratio of GDP should be reduced by 0.3 per cent every
year and brought down to 3 per cent by 2007-08;
• The Union Government shall not give guarantee to loans raised by PSUs
and State governments for more than 0.5 per cent of GDP in the aggregate;
• The Union Government should place three documents along with the
budget, namely, the Macroeconomic Framework Statement, the Medium
Term Fiscal Policy Statement and the Fiscal Policy Strategy Statement
Recent Trends in Fiscal
Development (Since FRBM act)
Broad View on the Outcome of
Fiscal Reforms
• Deficit and Growth
– A high level of fiscal deficit tends to have a negative
impact on real GDP growth through ‘crowding out’
effects and/or rise in interest rates in the economy.