NC3 Final

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters
North Carolina 3rd CD Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's
Job Performance?
Q5 If the election for governor was today and the
Approve..............................36% Disapprove...........................59% Unsure................................5%
candidates were Democratic Governor Beverly Perdue or Republican Mayor Pat McCrory, who would you vote for? Beverly Perdue (D)...................33% Pat McCrory (R)......................44% Unsure...............................23%
Q2 If the presidential election was today and the
candidates were President Barack Obama or former Governor Mitt Romney, who would you vote for? Barack Obama.........................37% Mitt Romney..........................49% Unsure...............................14%
Q6 If the election for Senate was today and the
candidates were Democratic Senator Kay Hagan or Republican Congresswoman Renee Ellmers, who would you vote for? Kay Hagan (D)........................37% Renee Ellmers (R)....................40% Unsure...............................23%
Q3 If the presidential election was today and the
candidates were President Barack Obama or Governor Rick Perry, who would you vote for? Barack Obama.........................39% Rick Perry...........................49% Unsure...............................13%
Q7 Do you approve or disapprove of Congressman

Walter Jones' Job performance?
Approve..............................39% Disapprove...........................28% Unsure...............................33%
Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of Beverly Perdue's Q8 Do you think President Obama should be more
Job Performance?
liberal, more conservative, or about the same? If more liberal, press 1. If more conservative, press 2. If about the same, press 3. More liberal.........................18% More conservative....................53% About the same.......................29%
Approve..............................28% Disapprove...........................54% Unsure...............................18%
12550 Biscayne Blvd. Suite 304 North Miami, FL 33160 StochasticDemocracy@gmail.com (305)-778-9972
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Male.................................46% Female...............................54%
Q11 If you consider yourself White, press 1. If Black,
press 2. If you consider yourself something else, press 3. White................................80% Black................................17% Other.................................4%
Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45,
press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. 18-29................................19% 30-44................................26% 45-64................................35% 65+..................................20%
Q12 Would you describe yourself as Liberal,

Moderate, or Conservative? Liberal..............................16% Moderate.............................34% Conservative.........................51%
Obama Approval Base Approve Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 94% 3% 3%
Disapprove 3% 80% 17%
Unsure 37% 11% 52%
Obama Approval Base Approve Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 96% 3% 1%
Unsure 47% 20% 33%
Obama Approval Base Approve Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 52% 31% 17%
Unsure 24% 28% 48%
Obama Approval Base Approve Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 67% 10% 22%
Unsure 41% 9% 49%
Obama Approval Base Approve Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 75% 7% 18%
Unsure 48% 3% 49%
Obama Approval Base Approve Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 31% 31% 34%
Unsure 34% 9% 58%
Obama Approval Base Approve Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 24% 12% 63%
Unsure 25% 28% 47%
Obama Approval Base Approve Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 26% 42% 24%
Unsure 22% 44% 28%
Obama Approval Base Approve Gender Male Female 46% 54% 43% 57%
Disapprove 49% 51%
Unsure 23% 77%
Obama Approval Base Approve Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 54% 40% 6%
Unsure 68% 17% 15%
Obama Approval Base Approve Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ 19% 26% 35% 20% 21% 22% 39% 19%
Disapprove 17% 28% 34% 21%
Unsure 28% 37% 18% 18%
Obama Approval Base Approve PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 66% 10% 18%
Unsure 37% 14% 39%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 91% 4% 5%
Mitt Romney 2% 97% 1%
Unsure 7% 74% 19%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 98% 2% 0%
Unsure 11% 26% 63%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 52% 30% 19%
Unsure 15% 60% 25%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 71% 9% 20%
Unsure 12% 39% 48%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 76% 5% 18%
Unsure 10% 36% 54%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 31% 29% 36%
Unsure 38% 29% 33%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 24% 12% 62%
Unsure 17% 56% 19%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 56% 39% 5%
Unsure 85% 5% 9%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 25% 44% 23%
Unsure 15% 32% 48%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Gender Male Female 46% 54% 42% 58%
Mitt Romney 49% 51%
Unsure 42% 58%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 21% 24% 37%
Unsure 17% 26% 36%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 65% 9% 20%
Unsure 22% 32% 41%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 89% 5% 6%
Rick Perry 2% 96% 2%
Unsure 2% 85% 13%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 94% 2% 4%
Unsure 1% 30% 68%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 50% 30% 19%
Unsure 10% 64% 26%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 68% 9% 23%
Unsure 13% 42% 44%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 75% 6% 18%
Unsure 15% 34% 51%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 30% 30% 37%
Unsure 34% 34% 32%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 25% 12% 61%
Unsure 17% 60% 15%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 56% 38% 6%
Unsure 92% 4% 4%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 21% 23% 37%
Unsure 15% 29% 30%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 27% 42% 23%
Unsure 6% 31% 61%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Gender Male Female 46% 54% 41% 59%
Rick Perry 50% 50%
Unsure 44% 56%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 64% 9% 20%
Unsure 26% 30% 42%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 0 0% 66% 30% 4% 0%
Disapprove 21% 77% 3% 0%
Unsure 34% 52% 14% 0%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 69% 24% 7%
Unsure 39% 42% 19%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 70% 26% 4%
Unsure 42% 38% 18%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 82% 9% 9%
Unsure 23% 19% 57%
10
Obama Approval Base Approve Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 75% 7% 18%
Unsure 48% 3% 49%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 43% 28% 26%
Unsure 25% 11% 63%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 30% 24% 44%
Unsure 16% 48% 32%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 69% 25% 6%
Unsure 73% 21% 5%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 17% 22% 36%
Unsure 25% 28% 27%
11
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 58% 16% 22%
Unsure 32% 30% 31%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 25% 46% 24%
Unsure 15% 31% 46%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Gender Male Female 46% 54% 46% 54%
Disapprove 50% 50%
Unsure 33% 67%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 73% 20% 6%
Pat McCrory (R) 8% 91% 1%
Unsure 35% 54% 11%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 0 0% 79% 15% 5% 0%
Pat McCrory (R) 8% 79% 12% 0%
Unsure 33% 38% 29% 0%
12
Obama Approval Base Approve Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 96% 3% 1%
Unsure 47% 20% 33%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 70% 18% 12%
Unsure 11% 43% 45%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 76% 5% 18%
Unsure 10% 36% 54%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 40% 27% 30%
Unsure 20% 21% 58%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 32% 18% 49%
Unsure 15% 48% 32%
13
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 65% 32% 3%
Unsure 79% 15% 6%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 18% 24% 35%
Unsure 23% 30% 34%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 68% 10% 18%
Unsure 25% 32% 37%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 74% 20% 7%
Renee Ellmers (R) 6% 94% 0%
Unsure 27% 62% 11%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 26% 48% 21%
Unsure 16% 28% 49%
14
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Gender Male Female 46% 54% 41% 59%
Pat McCrory (R) 55% 45%
Unsure 34% 66%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 77% 18% 4%
Unsure 29% 39% 32%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 0 0% 98% 2% 0% 0%
Mitt Romney 2% 90% 8% 1%
Unsure 11% 26% 63% 0%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 53% 33% 14%
Unsure 14% 44% 41%
Unsure 13% 42% 44%
15
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 41% 26% 29%
Unsure 20% 20% 59%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 63% 33% 4%
Unsure 82% 13% 5%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 18% 21% 38%
Unsure 26% 32% 26%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 64% 13% 17%
Unsure 27% 31% 37%
Jones Approval Base Approve Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 29% 67% 4%
Unsure 38% 53% 9%
16
Obama Approval Base Approve Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 94% 3% 3%
Unsure 37% 11% 52%
Jones Approval Base Approve Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 30% 58% 11%
Unsure 44% 42% 13%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 25% 46% 24%
Unsure 12% 29% 52%
Hagan vs Ellmers Base Kay Hagan (D) Gender Male Female 46% 54% 43% 57%
Renee Ellmers (R) 57% 43%
Unsure 30% 70%
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 50% 30% 19%
Unsure 10% 64% 26%
17
Jones Approval Base Approve Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 0 0% 34% 54% 12% 0%
Disapprove 32% 50% 18% 0%
Unsure 31% 28% 41% 0%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 69% 18% 12%
Unsure 28% 19% 53%
Jones Approval Base Approve Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 18% 57% 23%
Unsure 19% 46% 32%
Jones Approval Base Approve Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 84% 15% 2%
Unsure 74% 21% 4%
Jones Approval Base Approve Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 11% 24% 40%
Unsure 27% 28% 29%
18
Obama Approval Base Approve PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 66% 10% 18%
Unsure 37% 14% 39%
Ideology Base More liberal Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 48% 45% 7%
More conservative 8% 89% 3%
About the same 79% 12% 8%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 100% 0% 0%
Unsure 0% 0% 100%
Ideology Base More liberal Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 55% 31% 12%
Ideology Base More liberal Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 48% 36% 16%
19
Jones Approval Base Approve Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 11% 36% 51%
Unsure 17% 29% 47%
Jones Approval Base Approve Gender Male Female 46% 54% 49% 51%
Disapprove 53% 47%
Unsure 36% 64%
Ideology Base More liberal Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 60% 19% 20%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 0 0% 80% 9% 10% 1%
Pat McCrory (R) 12% 76% 12% 0% More conservative 43% 27% 29%
Unsure 21% 16% 63% 0% About the same 31% 31% 36%
Base More liberal Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 39% 25% 34%
20
Obama Approval Base Approve Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 54% 40% 6%
Unsure 68% 17% 15%
Ideology Base More liberal Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 29% 19% 31%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 65% 9% 20%
Unsure 22% 32% 41%
Race Base White Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% Race Base White Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 26% 59% 15% 24% 71% 4%
Black 86% 9% 5%
Other 61% 18% 22%
Black 88% 8% 4%
Other 48% 16% 36%
21
Race Base White Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 27% 57% 14%
Black 88% 9% 3%
Other 61% 25% 14%
Race Base White Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 24% 59% 16%
Black 42% 35% 23%
Other 44% 29% 27%
Race Base White Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 27% 50% 23%
Black 64% 16% 20%
Other 29% 32% 39%
Ideology Base More liberal Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 59% 17% 22%
Ideology Base More liberal Gender Male Female 46% 54% 47% 53%
More conservative 47% 53%
About the same 45% 55%
22
Race Base White Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 40% 27% 30%
Black 34% 25% 41%
Other 19% 42% 39%
Race Base White Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 0 0% Race Base White Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 17% 25% 35% 18% 59% 21% 0%
Black 21% 16% 60% 0%
Other 6% 42% 52% 0%
Black 23% 29% 34%
Other 35% 33% 27%
Race Base White PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% Gender Base Male Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 34% 64% 3% 31% 42% 25%
Black 66% 8% 14%
Other 23% 16% 59%
Female 37% 55% 7%
Unsure #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
23
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 94% 2% 4%
Unsure 1% 30% 68%
Gender Base Male Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 35% 52% 12%
Female 42% 45% 13%
Gender Base Male Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 28% 58% 13%
Female 28% 50% 22%
Ideology Base Liberal Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% Ideology Base Liberal Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 61% 20% 18% 58% 17% 25%
Moderate 49% 32% 20%
Conservative 14% 62% 23%
24
Ideology Base Liberal Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 28% 32% 36%
Obama Approval Base Approve Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 24% 12% 63%
Unsure 25% 28% 47%
PartyId Base Democrat Gender Male Female 46% 54% 40% 60%
Independent 49% 51%
Republican 56% 44%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 56% 39% 5%
Unsure 85% 5% 9%
Perdue Job Approval Base Approve Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ 19% 26% 35% 20% 17% 22% 36% 25%
Disapprove 18% 28% 36% 17%
Unsure 25% 28% 27% 20%
25
Base PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Base #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Ideology Base Liberal Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 62% 31% 7%
Moderate 47% 46% 7%
Ideology Base Liberal Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% Ideology Base Liberal Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 70% 25% 5% 63% 24% 14%
26
Obama Approval Base Approve Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 52% 31% 17%
PartyId Base Democrat Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 64% 18% 17%
Independent 14% 66% 20%
Obama vs Romney Base Barack Obama Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 31% 29% 36% 0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Base Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29%
0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
27
Obama vs Perry Base Barack Obama Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 27% 42% 23%
Perdue vs McCrory Base Beverly Perdue (D) Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 65% 32% 3%
Base Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ 19% 26% 35% 20% Gender Base Male PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26%
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Female 32% 37% 30% #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 41% 33% 20%
Base #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
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Age Base 18-29 Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 39% 54% 8%
30-44 29% 63% 7%
45-64 40% 57% 3%
Age Base 18-29 Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% 41% 47% 12%
30-44 34% 52% 14%
45-64 39% 46% 14%
Age Base 18-29 Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 43% 44% 10%
30-44 34% 52% 14%
45-64 41% 48% 11%
Age Base 18-29 Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% Age Base 18-29 Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 32% 39% 28% 24% 52% 23%
30-44 24% 57% 19%
45-64 29% 56% 14%
30-44 30% 44% 26%
45-64 33% 44% 22%
29
Age Base 18-29 Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 35% 31% 31%
30-44 30% 42% 28%
45-64 40% 42% 17%
Age Base 18-29 Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% 23% 30% 45%
30-44 35% 29% 34%
45-64 44% 26% 27%
Age Base 18-29 Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 27% 46% 25%
30-44 13% 56% 31%
45-64 16% 50% 31%
Age Base 18-29 Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% Age Base 18-29 Gender Male Female 46% 54% 46% 54% 18% 23% 51%
30-44 14% 40% 45%
45-64 15% 31% 48%
30-44 45% 55%
45-64 47% 53%
30
Age Base 18-29 Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 0 0% Age Base 18-29 PartyId Democrat Independent Republican 38% 37% 26% 33% 43% 19% 73% 20% 7% 0%
30-44 77% 18% 5% 1%
45-64 81% 16% 3% 0%
30-44 29% 33% 34%
45-64 38% 35% 23%
PartyId Base Democrat Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 36% 59% 5% 65% 30% 5%
Republican 27% 65% 8%
PartyId Base Democrat Obama vs Romney Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 37% 49% 14% PartyId Base Democrat Obama vs Perry Barack Obama Rick Perry Unsure 39% 49% 13% 68% 23% 9% 66% 25% 8%
31
PartyId Base Democrat Perdue Job Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 28% 54% 18% 44% 40% 16%
PartyId Base Democrat Perdue vs McCrory Beverly Perdue (D) Pat McCrory (R) Unsure 33% 44% 23% 61% 23% 16%
PartyId Base Democrat Hagan vs Ellmers Kay Hagan (D) Renee Ellmers (R) Unsure 37% 40% 23% 64% 18% 17%
PartyId Base Democrat Jones Approval Approve Disapprove Unsure 39% 28% 33% PartyId Base Democrat Ideology More liberal More conservative About the same 18% 53% 29% 28% 27% 44% 42% 24% 30%
32
PartyId Base Democrat Race White Black Other 80% 17% 4% 67% 30% 2%
PartyId Base Democrat Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 16% 34% 51% 28% 38% 32%
PartyId Base Democrat Gender Male Female 46% 54% 40% 60%
Independent 49% 51%
Republican 56% 44%
PartyId Base Democrat Age 18-29 30-44 45-64 19% 26% 35% 17% 21% 36%
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October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

North Carolina 3rd CD Survey Results

Q5 If the election for governor was today and the

Approve..............................36% Disapprove...........................59% Unsure................................5%

Q2 If the presidential election was today and the

Q6 If the election for Senate was today and the

Q3 If the presidential election was today and the

Q7 Do you approve or disapprove of Congressman

Approve..............................39% Disapprove...........................28% Unsure...............................33%

Approve..............................28% Disapprove...........................54% Unsure...............................18%

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Q11 If you consider yourself White, press 1. If Black,

Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45,

Q12 Would you describe yourself as Liberal,

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

Disapprove 3% 80% 17%

Unsure 37% 11% 52%

Disapprove 3% 78% 18%

Unsure 47% 20% 33%

Disapprove 14% 70% 16%

Unsure 24% 28% 48%

Disapprove 11% 67% 21%

Unsure 41% 9% 49%

Disapprove 12% 63% 24%

Unsure 48% 3% 49%

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

Disapprove 43% 27% 29%

Unsure 34% 9% 58%

Disapprove 13% 77% 6%

Unsure 25% 28% 47%

Disapprove 8% 25% 65%

Unsure 22% 44% 28%

Disapprove 49% 51%

Unsure 23% 77%

Unsure 68% 17% 15%

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

Disapprove 17% 28% 34% 21%

Unsure 28% 37% 18% 18%

Disapprove 18% 52% 27%

Unsure 37% 14% 39%

Mitt Romney 2% 97% 1%

Unsure 7% 74% 19%

Mitt Romney 2% 90% 8%

Unsure 11% 26% 63%

Mitt Romney 13% 71% 15%

Unsure 15% 60% 25%

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

October 15-18, 2011 Survey of 750 Registered Voters

Mitt Romney 10% 71% 18%

Unsure 12% 39% 48%

Mitt Romney 14% 67% 18%

Unsure 10% 36% 54%

Mitt Romney 45% 25% 29%

Unsure 38% 29% 33%

Mitt Romney 13% 80% 5%

Unsure 17% 56% 19%

Mitt Romney 96% 3% 1%