Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Outline
1. StrategicOutlookforSoutheastAsia 2. CurrentNavalAc%vi%es 3. ProspectsforFutureNavalCoopera%on
StrategicOutlook
Globalnancialcrisis Chinasmilitarymoderniza%on U.S.steppedupengagement Increasedarmsprocurements
StrategicOutlook
ImportanceofMari%meDomain SalienceofTransna%onalIssues EverydaySecurityChallenges EvolvingSecurityArchitecure
CurrentNavalAc%vi%es
Chinas Yulin Naval Base Hainan
PLANNavalExercises
1. EarlyApril16warshipsfromNorth, EastandSouthSeaFleets 2. EarlyJuly10warshipsfromEastSea FleetinresponsetoUSROKexercise 3. LateJulylargestofitskind,most modernships,seniorcommanders 4. EarlyNovember100pla\orms+ marines
ChineseNavalDiplomacy
ChinaASEANStrategicPartnership2003 EnhancedStrategicRela%onswith ASEAN LongtermCoopera%veFramework Agreements,19992000
Defenceclause
JointPatrolsGulfofTonkinwith Vietnam
ChineseNavyPortVisits
PLANFrigateXiangfanMakesPortCallin DaNang,Vietnam,October2011
USS Michigan
U.S.ChinaDefenceRela%ons
U.S.NavalDiplomacy
Coopera%onandReadinessAoatTraining CARAT
7ASEANmembers
Mul%na%onalPlanningAssistanceTeam MPAT
30countriesglobally
NavalAc%vi%es/NavalExchangeAc%vi%es
DaNangport,Vietnam
RegionalNavalAc%vi%es
Philippinesforcemoderniza%on andterritorialdefence
U.S.CoastGuardWeatherEnduranceCu`er
RegionalTrends
IncreasedDefenceExpenditures Ac%onreac%ondynamics Submarineacquisi%ons Newmilitarytechnologies Newgenera%onofaerialandunderseadrones Tac%calmiscalcula%on Crowded,contestedandvulnerabletoarmed strife
IncidentsofPiracyintheSouth ChinaSea,20092011*
600 500 400 300 200 100 0 IMB IMO
*Figuresfor2011:IMBendJuly;IMOrstquarter
2009
2010
2011
CBMsinSouthChinaSea
Failuretonego%ateCodeofConduct Declara%ononConductofPar%es(DOC)
Marineenvironmentalprotec%on Marinescien%cresearch Safetofnaviga%onandcommunica%onat sea Searchandrescue Combattransna%onalcrime
DOCGuidelines2005&2011
ParFestotheDOCwill conFnuetopromote dialogueand consultaFons
Progressonagreedac%vi%es andprojectsunderDOCto bereportedannuallyto ASEANChinaMinisterial Mee%ng ASEANwillconFnueits currentpracFceof consulFngamong themselvesbeforemeeFng withChina
Coopera%onAmongRegionalNavies
Since2002DOCcondencebuilding measureshavebeenconspicuousby theirabsence 201011:renewedinterestinDOCand CodeofConduct
ASEANNavalCoopera%on
ASEANDefenceMinisters
ASEANNavyChiefsMee%ng 2ndmee%ng2013
ASEANDefenceMinistersPlus
ExpertWorkingGrouponMari%meSecurity TermsofReference2011 ReporttoASEANDefenceSOM
ASEANNavalCoopera%on
ASEANSeniorOcialsMee%ng
DrapCodeofConduct
ASEANMarineForum
ASEANMarineForumPlus
ASEANChinaWorkingGrouptoImplement theDOC
TomeetJanuary2012inChina
ARFNavalCoopera%on
ARFpromo%onofCBMs IntersessionalMee%ngonMari%meSecurity
WorkPlanonMari%meSecurity Informa%onsharing,capacitybuildingtraining Noprac%calCBMsrelatedtoSouthChinaSea
CodeofConductonSoutheastAsias Mari%meDomain
FocusonASEANChinaCOCSouthChinaSea misplaced COCwillnotsolvesovereigntydisputesover islandsandfeatures ASEANdividedintoclaimantsandnon claimants ButASEANmembershaveterritorialand mari%meboundarydisputes
PutASEANsHouseinOrderFirst
Aimtopromoteregionalautonomyand ASEAnscentralityinsecurityarchitecture ASEANCommunityby2015 EastAsiaSummitdiscussedmari%mesecurity issues
IfASEANfaltersexternalpowersmaytake upleadership
CodeofConductonSoutheastAsias Mari%meDomain
Frameworkforstatebehaviourpending se`lementofsovereigntydisputes Withoutprejudicetosovereigntyclaims SecurityinSoutheastAsiamari%me domainisindivisible Interna%onalLaw/UNCLOSapplies everywherenotjustSouthChinaSea
CodeofConductonSoutheastAsias Mari%meDomain
Areaofcoverage
ZoneofPeaceFreedomandNeutrality(1971) TreatyofAmityandCoopera%on(1976) SoutheastAsianNuclearWeaponsFreeZone (1995)
Mari%meSecurityandtheRoleofNaval DiplomacyintheSouthChinaSea
ProfessorCarlThayer MIMAConferenceontheSouthChinaSea KualaLumpur,December1213,2011