c



c





c



 

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

2535.4
2926.08
3029.83
3426.26
3760.77
4104.15
4667.84
6666.58
7194.17
8389.07
8421.14
8542.27
8429.08
9044.01
9593.7
10397.6
10618.7
11385.6
12377.9
14648.7
15700.5
18794.6
20018.5
21705.3
21789.2
22470.8
31709.7
31221.2

333568.65

22992
27891
31409
34839
39346
45282
55848
62655
68017
71865
73152
72936
75246
81387
87639
93420
97961
101604
103381
109628
115906
124632
130997
139754
149384
156893
164713
157755.8
 
2496532.8





14
13
13
7.5
13.5
19.8
24.6
18.55
15.1
15
13.25
8.3
9.15
5.7
9.75
9.8
8.8
9.7
5.6
5
6.5
4.75
5.75
5
6.5
7.25
7.25
8.25

290.35





 

-9377.77
-8987.09
-8883.34
-8486.91
-8152.4
-7809.02
-7245.33
-5246.59
-4719
-3524.1
-3492.03
-3370.9
-3484.09
-2869.16
-2319.47
-1515.57
-1294.47
-527.57
464.73
2735.53
3787.33
6881.43
8105.33
9792.13
9876.03
10557.63
19796.53
19308.03

-66169.89
-61270.89
-57752.89
-54322.89
-49815.89
-43879.89
-33313.89
-26506.89
-21144.89
-17296.89
-16009.89
-16225.89
-13915.89
-7774.89
-1522.89
4258.11
8799.11
12442.11
14219.11
20466.11
26744.11
35470.11
41835.11
50592.11
60222.11
67731.11
75551.11
68593.91




3.63
2.63
2.63
-2.87
3.13
9.43
14.23
8.18
4.73
4.63
2.88
-2.07
-1.22
-4.67
-0.62
-0.57
-1.57
-0.67
-4.77
-5.37
-3.87
-5.62
-4.62
-5.37
-3.87
-3.12
-3.12
-2.12

 
-240196.7007
-161142.4407
-151890.1007
155906.6943
-155923.7357
-413787.3627
-474056.6547
-216826.3602
-100015.3297
-80084.6007
-46108.4832
33587.5923
16977.3858
36308.7363
944.1918
-2427.1227
-13814.6027
-8336.2137
-67825.1547
-109903.0107
-103499.7057
-199342.0182
-193278.2082
-271679.6307
-233059.5657
-211321.0632
-235719.4632
-145419.0892
 
-3591932.017
 
1.2902E+13

= Y/n
X2 = X2 / n
X3 = X3 / n
=333568.65/28 X2=2496532.8/28 X3=290.35/28
=11913.17
X2=89161.89
X3=10.37

2=( x2y)( x3)-( x3y)( x2x3)/( x2)( x3)-( x2x3)

2=(8968079613)(673.9567)-(-655363)(-3591932.017)/(47942573415)(673.9567)-(1.2902E+13)
2=(6.044097E+12)-(2.35401E+12)/(3.231121E+13)-(1.2902E+13)
2=3.690087E+12)/1.940921E+13)
2=0.1901

3=( x2)( x3y)-( x2y)( x2x3)/( x2)( x3)-( x2x3)

3=(47942573415)(-655363)-(8968079613)(-3591932.017)/(47942573415)(673.9567)-(1.2902E+13)
3=(-3.14197E+16)-(-3.22127E+16)/(3.231121E+13)-(1.2902E+13)
3=7.93E+14)/(1.940921E+13)
3=40.86

 
620526009.3
550647002.8
513038557.9
461033478.4
406119061.6
342658938.6
241370126.6
139070784
99782735.91
60955970.05
55907016.18
54695852.6
48484213.19
22307403.39
3532297.668
-6453463.773
-11390183.92
-6564083.973
6608046.99
55985657.89
101288770.1
244085079.1
339087372.1
495404518.1
594755365
715079998.9
1495649816
1324413272
 
8968079613


-34041.31
-23636.05
-23363.18
24357.432
-25517.01
-73639.06
-103101
-42917.11
-22320.87
-16316.58
-10057.05
6977.763
4250.5898
13398.977
1438.0714
863.8749
2032.3179
353.4719
-2216.762
-14689.8
-14656.97
-38673.64
-37446.62
-52583.74
-38220.24
-32939.81
-61765.17
-40933.02

-655362.5

 
4378454343
3754121961
3335396303
2950976378
2481622896
1925444746
1109815267
702615217.5
447106373.1
299182403.7
256316577.8
263279506.3
193651994.5
60448914.51
2319193.952
18131500.77
77424336.79
154806101.3
202183089.2
418861658.5
715247419.7
1258128703
1750176429
2559561594
3626702533
4587503262
5707970222
4705124489
 
47942573415


13.1769
6.9169
6.9169
8.2369
9.7969
88.9249
202.4929
66.9124
22.3729
21.4369
8.2944
4.2849
1.4884
21.8089
0.3844
0.3249
2.4649
0.4489
22.7529
28.8369
14.9769
31.5844
21.3444
28.8369
14.9769
9.7344
9.7344
4.4944

673.9567



87942570.17
80767786.67
78913729.56
72027641.35
66461625.76
60980793.36
52494806.81
27526706.63
22268961
12419280.81
12194273.52
11362966.81
12138883.13
8232079.106
5379941.081
2296952.425
1675652.581
278330.1049
215973.9729
7483124.381
14343868.53
47354078.84
65696374.41
95885809.94
97535968.56
111463551.2
391902600
372800022.5

1820044353

1= -2X2-3X3
1=11913.17-(0.1901)(89161.89)-(40.86)(10.37)
1=11913.17-16949.68-423.72
1=-5460.23



Var (2)= x3 /( x2)( x3)-( x2x3)
Var (2)=(673.9567) (5679622.047)/(47942573415)(673.9567)-(1.2902E+13)
Var (2)=3827819332/(3.231121E+13)-(1.2902E+13)
Var (2)=3827819332/(1.940921E+13)
Var (2)=0.000197216
S.E(2)= 0.01404
Var (3)= x2 /( x2)( x3)-( x2x3)
Var (3)=(47942573415)(5679622.047)/(47942573415)(673.9567)-(1.2902E+13)
Var (3)=2.72296E+17/(1.940921E+13)
Var (3)=14029.22
S.E(3)= 118.45
= y-2 x2y-3 x3y/n-k
=1820044353-(0.1901)(8968079613)-(40.86)(-655363)/28-3
=1820044353-1704831934+26778132.18/25
=141990551.2/25
=5679622.047

R=2 x2y+3 x3y/ y

R=(0.1901)(8968079613)+(40.86)(-655363)/1820044353
R=1704831934+26778132.18/1820044353
R=1731610066/1820044353
R=0.9514


   
H : 2 = 3 = 0

Fcal = R/k-1/(1-R)/n-k
Fcal = 0.9514/3-1/(1-0.9514)/28-3
Fcal = 0.9514/2/0.0486/25
Fcal = 0.4757/0.001944
Fcal = 244.71
Ftab = F(5%,2,25) = 3.39
Fcal < Ftab don't reject H So,overall model is not insignificant