LEYECO 2 Forecasting

Forecasting
Leyte ii electric cooperative, inc.

(LEYECO II)
http://www.leyeco2.com.ph
HISTORICAL DATA
HISTORICAL PEAK DEMAND (kW)

TOTAL SYSTEM
CAMPETIC SUBSTATION (kW)
Month
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
January
20951
22504
24926
24059
24020
25584
27467
28350
33572
February
22229
22641
24202
24924
25373
26473
28044
28707
33398
March
20240
23760
25801
27452
26003
26996
28755
30072
35402
April
20933
25368
30289
25673
26786
27571
29692
31164
35839
May
22097
25616
26541
25843
26682
28984
28907
31416
37584
June
22244
25567
26766
28057
26891
29247
28497
33810
38281
July
22451
25927
26677
26917
27780
28984
28812
33789
37670
August
21982
25401
25921
26842
27311
31183
28749
33936
36449
September
25592
24514
27045
26378
26408
32122
29757
33768
36799
October
26375
25231
26413
26277
26892
28827
32080
33834
38629
November
23522
25052
28534
26687
27206
28984
28119
33285
38716
23735
25794
27362
26469
28985
29247
29589
32928
38194
December
HISTORICAL ENERGY PURCHASE (kWh)

TOTAL SYSTEM
TOTAL SYSTEM (kWh)
Month
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
January
10837465
11354335
11701800
11804844
12320012
13311761
13151586
14923419
February
10623937
11581955
11932768
12105107
12404340
13085729
14238294
15909072
March
10209725
11565963
9551299
11484258
11787139
12123615
13641413
15164541
April
12152356
13045501
12538660
13081588
13413162
14792799
15402576
16389807
May
12078542
12502120
13034500
12513128
13669644
13841205
15401148
17367063
June
12416458
13126796
14056235
13713103
14461222
14279664
16771713
18874989
July
11637953
12601939
12756070
13140654
14151799
14586621
16277016
17484978
August
12233079
12940547
13304716
13252264
14368317
14621124
17067372
18156222
September
12244273
13374424
12561860
13121867
14328298
14945595
17156774
18189045
October
11934626
12274796
12733620
12363027 13898878.6
14473515
16363019
10812611
November
11894622
13187276
12505137
13129616
13229449
14405959
16573284
17234091
December
11803298
12345500
11712357
11501229
13606606
14248059
15122226
17597244
2008
2009
2010
HISTORICAL ENERGY SALES (kWh)

TOTAL
TOTAL SALES (kWh)
Month
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
January
6847127
7736335
9506439
9647434
9869457
10197940
9837813
11966772
11674713 13443830
February
7450401
7235926
8955546
9896601
9620745 10503842
10557151
11683524 12022829 13539860
March
7270014
7574135
8745519
9455425
8141847
April
8267169
8920796 10020994
11016930 10108035
May
8881797
9229438
10097014
June
8540192
9980632
10752764 10993008
July
8299874
8831345
August
8547973
September
10332851 10985860
10735762 12098242
13791849
11142574
11239624
12813730 13328459
14641348
10273741 10801760 10933247
11721772
12532412 13502896
15318761
12666991
16759218
11683257
11524988
12649553
10581969
11280675
11546828
12282766 12918900 14308528 15938482
9719303
10542742 10744445
11827344
11485270 12699709
8636095
9505626
10331756
11252621
11123780
October
8883933
9322003
10131739
10834185 10887936
November
9191821
9551035
10158355 11402300 10825997
11184352 12087987 12484285 14843564
December
8673554
9581727
10017912
10867051
9829881
11195700
10173596
14814723
16120405
11454608
12614679 13052029 15008499
16210736
11025378
12692516 12904229
12765348
13110434
14975807
12724976
14574407 15382995
15430545
13695675 16045629

RESIDENTIAL
RESIDENTIAL (kWh)
Month
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
January
3138250
3486741
4320289
4405613
4446175
4445958
4301402
5261942
5066760
5589001
February
3264964
3490029
3865713
4203664
4221162
4516395
4601644
5000662
4950447
5357116
March
3110049
3217238
3823333
4072062
3729329
4370759
4791526
4465311
4822457
5321719
April
3651424
3998580
4344608
4761324
4352129
4940544
5059138
5567386
5725340
6008768
May
4054113
4071421
4452427
4624387
4767770
4878290
5195929
5408835
5531252
6270464
June
3676701
4642185
4781284
4877668
5285220
5136528
5757298
5487887
6083604
7137439
July
3665512
3946562
4274466
4623543
5042721
4992051
5354015
5347105
5673162
6473432
August
3830535
4374702
4819676
4583408
5123312
4952046
5532259
5655768
5875366
6584041
September
3617535
4159535
4476144
4915632
4909181
5049392
5430764
5548648
6177626
6561782
October
3900917
4136985
4416356
4804278
4733693
4674160
5623635
5472249
5715465
6298815
November
4155432
4299531
4429344
5252233
4720364
4965373
5203802
5398081
5889504
6322776
December
3999310
4540077
4333533
5064082
4421903
4705684
5747636
5385933
5248933
6470438

COMMERCIAL
COMMERCIAL (kWh)
Month
2001
2002
2007
2008
January
1332565
1246606
1509071
1510260
1716177
1627375
1552235
1970593
1918634
1970944
February
1445577
364804
1484334
1607911
1682162
1728604
1812695
1996380
1971665
2056447
March
1408269
1247487
1406626
1526971
1121044
1675324
1794153
1757257
1936146
2080740
April
1606619
1459713
1601771
1777776
1609333
1836316
1862789
2080423
2166066
2225835
May
1617395
1534462
1588664
1606685
1725469
1734520
1952261
2023313
2131871
2220536
June
1673707
1682602
1783234
1779698
1895505
1840018
2065355
2104044
2332229
2419610
July
1639539
1363355
1607216
1717634
1886757
1861119
2054034
2109861
2206100
2430619
August
1591594
1649324
1758091
1758709
1895533
1934198
2180921
2249747
2264427
2372140
September
1613768
1650814
1710425
1839372
1849151
1926364
2155095
2147100
2385274
2414135
October
1521227
1541896
1607776
1786634
1810057
1915205
2078049
2106958
2244112
2295445
November
1560417
1673270
1670032
1747994
1751029
1837962
2016525
2075957
2273285
2261258
December
1543683
1575585
1629489
2141313
1702786
2004970
2054813
2099840
2083260
2286235
2003
2004
2005
2006
2009
2010

INDUSTRIAL
INDUSTRIAL (kWh)
Month
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
January
2062277
2014229
2512264
2595957
2535746
2968811
2804383
3385004
3393396
4487887
February
2418139
2273836
2465681
2827741
2503286
2994320
2855091
3326600
3626691
4554164
March
2437072
2083068
2355162
2594834
2222338
2999726
3055760
3250055
3837555
4810104
April
2684637
2347758
2823849
3131984
2907928
3096428
3034240
3693816
3890937
4860769
May
2889891
2479574
2829355
2770967
3027246
3094700
3191392
3667939
4240168
5205193
June
2867235
2393966
2860192
2976773
3151699
3208257
3350636
3651960
4985116
5448270
July
2648043
2308819
2663973
2912466
2995931
3318411
3363928
3834070
4799711
5344587
August
2791005
2375052
2758866
2942584
3407697
3233318
3462136
3679096
5001823
5386439
September
2337617
2375052
2755307
3032603
3097862
3083090
3445060
3800693
4827501
5502184
October
2266316
2432172
2732680
2870209
3070749
3137181
3545214
3789125
4945337
5135002
November
2354248
2383848
2770442
3111372
3210316
3017526
3520868
3522153
5067819
5168646
December
2150335
2340200
2823093
2680499
2879420
2955872
3672491
3830284
4876044
5645545

PUBLIC BUILDING
PUBLIC BUILDING (kWh)
Month
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
January
43624
720799
894405
828057
853691
840245
867054
1001146
959138
1043888
February
49414
846572
867510
950640
895647
927577
976057
1026216
1133137
1242713
March
44120
768303
889893
957773
764908
966352
1033444
938173
1181715
1251613
April
50102
845810
976379
1042151
928523
955130
972069
1142861
1216870
1211476
May
49945
878907
956114
986877
968813
906457
1072330
1109607
1272670
1292474
June
51182
997507
1056686
1057535
1020118
1024375
1159050
1100009
1264275
1420687
July
74786
941518
1012232
1026782
1044838
1057335
1179251
1264895
1300894
1359898
August
61000
1055659
932270
1148455
1085793
1048589
1158042
1199666
1343586
1440569
September
784196
1055659
1106900
1159815
950608
1080210
1259037
1211146
1288469
1392890
October
887899
941000
1067354
1058768
959561
1004291
1122621
1207041
1336302
1312067
November
809698
925455
976512
982923
826115
1029840
1020696
1156012
1271794
1330106
December
669807
851773
921379
993128
853587
891147
973620
1078624
1145500
1295083

STREET LIGHT
STREET LIGHT (kWh)
Month
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
January
270410
267961
270410
307547
317668
315551
312740
348087
336785
352110
February
272308
260687
272308
306646
318488
336946
311663
333666
340889
329420
March
270505
258040
270505
303785
304227
320690
310976
324966
320369
327673
April
274387
268937
274387
303696
310122
314157
311388
329244
329246
334500
May
270454
265074
270454
284824
312462
319280
309860
322718
326935
330094
June
271368
264373
271368
301334
330715
315810
317214
323092
310583
333212
July
271995
271092
271995
301544
310428
317911
331538
362969
328661
329946
August
273839
264566
273839
311289
315008
317119
366350
326156
329520
337216
September
282979
264566
282979
305199
316978
315552
324723
344443
329629
339745
October
307573
269949
307573
314296
313875
294541
322997
328856
333191
341666
November
312026
268931
312026
307778
318173
333650
326096
332082
341162
347759
December
310419
274092
310419
316678
315901
309378
316788
330295
341938
348328
HISTORICAL NUMBER OF
CUSTOMERS
NUMBER OF CUSTOMERS
Customer Type
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
RESIDENTIAL
34400
35736
36855
38258
39353
41274
42908
45534
47846
50542
COMMERCIAL
4377
4328
4614
4735
5098
4843
4840
4957
5271
5420
INDUSTRIAL
665
672
728
741
728
681
691
721
783
820
PUBLIC
BUILDING
223
375
429
471
530
498
502
550
610
630
STREET LIGHT
46
44
47
50
63
63
77
105
132
169
39711
41156
42672
44255
45772
47360
49018
51867
54642
57581
TOTAL
18
METHODOLOGY
FORECASTING PROCESS
1. GATHER HISTORICAL DATA

2. REMOVE OUTLIERS / NORMALIZE DATA
3. CHOOSE BEST FIT MODEL for FORECASTING
- MAPE 3%
- for those data that dont fit any of the models even
after normalization, allocation may be made or
regression analysis using excel can be done
20
FORECAST DATA
FORECASTED PEAK DEMAND (kW)

TOTAL SYSTEM
TOTAL SYSTEM (kW)
Month
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
January
37260.1
41239.4
45218.6
49197.9
53177.2
57156.4
61135.7
65115
69094.3
February
37852.5
41831.7
45811
49790.3
53769.5
57748.8
61728.1
65707.4
69686.6
March
39099.9
43079.1
47058.4
51037.7
55017
58996.2
62975.5
66954.8
70934
April
39734.9
43714.2
47693.4
51672.7
55652
59631.3
63610.5
67589.8
71569.1
May
40382
44361.3
48340.5
52319.8
56299.1
60278.4
64257.6
68236.9
72216.2
June
41194.7
45173.9
49153.2
53132.5
57111.8
61091
65070.3
69049.6
73028.8
July
41217.1
45196.3
49175.6
53154.9
57134.2
61113.4
65092.7
69072
73051.2
August
41239.8
45219.1
49198.4
53177.6
57156.9
61136.2
65115.5
69094.7
73074
September
41836.9
45816.1
49795.4
53774.7
57754
61733.2
65712.5
69691.8
73671
October
42398.1
46377.4
50356.7
54336
58315.2
62294.5
66273.8
70253
74232.3
November
42032.5
46011.8
49991
53970.3
57949.6
61928.8
65908.1
69887.4
73866.7
42471.9
46451.2
50430.5
54409.7
58389
62368.3
66347.6
70326.8
74306.1
December
TOTAL SYSTEM PEAK

DEMAND (kW)
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
:
:
5.73%
6.98%
FORECASTED ENERGY PURCHASE

(kWh)
TOTAL SYSTEM
TOTAL SYSTEM (kWh)
Month
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
January
17045479
18625569
20205659
21785749
23365839
24945929
26526019
28106109
February
17448223
19028313
20608403
22188493
23768583
25348673
26928763
28508853
March
16986093
18566183
20146273
21726363
23306453
24886543
26466633
28046723
April
18676750
20256840
21836930
23417020
24997110
26577200
28157290
29737380
May
18705148
20285238
21865328
23445418
25025508
26605598
28185688
29765778
June
19615652
21195742
22775832
24355922
25936012
27516102
29096192
30676282
July
19116844
20696934
22277024
23857114
25437204
27017294
28597384
30177474
August
19589998
21170088
22750178
24330268
25910358
27490448
29070538
30650628
September
19650680
21230770
22810860
24390950
25971040
27551130
29131220
30711310
October
19170566
20750656
22330746
23910836
25490926
27071016
28651106
30231196
November
19295371
20875461
22455551
24035641
25615731
27195821
28775911
30356001
December
18857184
20437274
22017364
23597454
25177544
26757634
28337724
29917814
TOTAL SYSTEM ENERGY

PURCHASE (kWh)
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
:
:
4.78%
6.42%
FORECASTED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

TOTAL
TOTAL SALES (kWh)
Month
2011
2012
2014
2015
19665181
21224311
18253131
19812260
21371390 22930520 24489649 26048779 27607908 29167038
15081762 16640891 18200021
19759151
January
14987793
February
15134872 16694001
March
2013
16546922 18106052
17813103
21318280
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
22783441 24342570 25901700 27460829 29019959
22877410 24436539 25995669
April
16253973
19372232 20931362 22490491 24049621
May
16488713 18047843 19606972
21166102
June
17267340 18826470 20385599
21944729 23503858 25062988
July
16843301
18402431
August
17256581
18815710 20374840 21933970 23493099 25052229
September
17288046
October
17068070
November
17182675
December
17129712 18688842
27554799
29113928
25608751 27167880 28727010 30286139
22725231 24284361 25843491 27402620 28961750 30520879
26622118
28181247 29740377 31299506
19961560 21520690 23079819 24638949 26198079 27757208 29316338 30875467

29729618
31288747
18847175 20406305
21965434 23524564 25083693 26642823 28201953 29761082
31320212
18627199 20186329
21745458 23304588 24863718 26422847
18741805 20300934 21860064
20247971
21807101
26611358 28170488
27981977
29541106
31100236
23419194 24978323 26537453 28096582
29655712
31214842
23366231 24925360 26484490 28043619 29602749
31161878
TOTAL ENERGY SALES

(kWh)
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
:
:
6.47%
6.60%

RESIDENTIAL
RESIDENTIAL (kWh)
Month
2011
2012
2013
January
6188700
6639697
7090694
February
6140062
6591059
March
6072013
April
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
7541691
7992688
8443685
8894682
9345679
9796676
10247672
7042056
7493053
7944050
8395047
8846043
9297040
9748037
10199034
6523010
6974006
7425003
7876000
8326997
8777994
9228991
9679988
10130985
6587732
7038729
7489726
7940723
8391720
8842716
9293713
9744710
10195707 10646704
May
6689074
7140071
7591068
8042065
8493062
8944059
9395056
9846053 10297050 10748047
June
6918704
7369701
7820698
8271695
8722692
9173689
9624685 10075682
10526679
July
6767686
7218683
7669680
8120677
8571674
9022671
9473668
9924665
10375662 10826659
August
6949626
7400623
7851620
8302617
8753614
9204611
9655608 10106605
10557602 11008599
September
6888766
7339763
7790760
8241757
8692753
9143750
9594747 10045744
10496741
October
6828653
7279650
7730647
8181644
8632641
9083638
9534635
November
6902468
7353465
7804462
8255458
8706455
9157452
9608449 10059446
10510443 10961440
December
6908294
7359291
7810288
8261284
8712281
9163278
9614275 10065272
10516269 10967266
2014
10977676
10947738
9985631 10436628 10887625
RESIDENTIAL ENERGY
SALES (kWh)
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
:
:
5.59%
5.15%

COMMERCIAL
COMMERCIAL (kWh)
Month
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
January
2175012
2269842
2364672
2459502
2554331
2649161
2743991
2838821
2933650
3028480
February
2213295
2308124
2402954
2497784
2592614
2687443
2782273
2877103
2971933
3066762
March
2157977
2252806
2347636
2442466
2537296
2632125
2726955
2821785
2916615
3011444
April
2324603
2419433
2514262
2609092
2703922
2798752
2893581
2988411
3083241
3178070
May
2314747
2409577
2504407
2599237
2694066
2788896
2883726
2978556
3073385
3168215
June
2462241
2557070
2651900
2746730
2841560
2936389
3031219
3126049
3220878
3315708
July
2424877
2519707
2614537
2709366
2804196
2899026
2993856
3088685
3183515
3278345
August
2473971
2568800
2663630
2758460
2853290
2948119
3042949
3137779
3232608
3327438
September
2479634
2574464
2669293
2764123
2858953
2953783
3048612
3143442
3238272
3333102
October
2400003
2494832
2589662
2684492
2779322
2874151
2968981
3063811
3158640
3253470
November
2391429
2486259
2581089
2675918
2770748
2865578
2960408
3055237
3150067
3244897
December
2387508
2482338
2577167
2671997
2766827
2861657
2956486
3051316
3146146
3240976
COMMERCIAL ENERGY
SALES (kWh)
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
:
:
6.15%
3.38%
ALLOCATED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

INDUSTRIAL
INDUSTRIAL (kWh)
Month
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2017
2018
2019
2020
January
5073275
6029870
6986464
7943057
8899654
9856248 10812843
11769437
12726033
9099585
February
5169445
6126040
7082635
8039228
8995824
9952419 10909015
11865609 12822204
9309525
March
5231928
6188524
7145119
8101715
9058308 10014904
10971498
11928093 12884688
9455399
April
5695915
6652509
7609105
8565699
9522293 10478889
11435485 12392079 13348674
9424870
May
5803884
6760480
7717073
8673668
9630263 10586857
11543453 12500046
13456643
9469930
June
6167301
7123897
8080491
9037086
9993679 10950275
11906871 12863465 13820061
9640096
July
5894401
6850997
7807590
8764187
9720780
10677376
11633970
12590565
13547160
9546782
August
6056915
7013509
7970105
8926699
9883293 10839889
11796483
12753078
13709674
9545663
September
6155151
7111745
8068341
9024935
9981531
10938125
11894721
12851316
13807910
9694296
October
6111436
7068031
8024625
8981220
9937814
10894411
11851004
12807601
13764195
9673930
November
6193065
7149661
8106254
9062852 10019446 10976040
11932635 12889230 13845825
9641461
December
6225090
7181685
8138280
9094876
11964661
9582901
2016
10051471 11008065
12921255
13877849
ALLOCATED INDUSTRIAL
ENERGY SALES (kWh)
Allocated Industrial Sales (kWh)
16000000
14000000
12000000
10000000
Historical Data
8000000
Forecast Data
6000000
4000000
2000000
0
0
50
100
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
150
200
:
:
250
7.43%
4.20%
300

PUBLIC BUILDING
PUBLIC BUILDING (kWh)
Month
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
January
1201012
1245972
1290933
1335894
1380854
1425815
1470775
February
1266143
1311104
1356064
1401025
1445985
1490946
March
1281485
1326445
1371406
1416366
1461327
April
1302688
1347649
1392609
1437570
May
1341123
1386083
1431044
June
1377500
1422461
July
1406070
August
2019
2011
1515736
1560696
1201012
1535906
1580867
1625827
1266143
1506287
1551248
1596208
1641169
1281485
1482530
1527491
1572451
1617412
1662372
1302688
1476004
1520965
1565926
1610886
1655847
1700807
1341123
1467421
1512382
1557343
1602303
1647264
1692224
1737185
1377500
1451030
1495991
1540951
1585912
1630872
1675833
1720794
1765754
1406070
1424376
1469337
1514297
1559258
1604218
1649179
1694139
1739100
1784060
1424376
September
1413913
1458874
1503834
1548795
1593755
1638716
1683676
1728637
1773597
1413913
October
1377148
1422108
1467069
1512029
1556990
1601950
1646911
1691871
1736832
1377148
November
1336865
1381825
1426786
1471746
1516707
1561667
1606628
1651588
1696549
1336865
December
1252107
1297068
1342028
1386989
1431949
1476910
1521870
1566831
1611792
1252107
2018
PUBLIC BUILDING
ENERGY SALES (kWh)
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
:
:
4.31%
2.94%

STREET LIGHT
STREET LIGHT (kWh)
Month
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
January
349794
361541
373289
385037
396784
408532
420279
432027
443774
455522
February
345927
357674
369422
381170
392917
404665
416412
428160
439907
451655
March
338359
350106
361854
373601
385349
397097
408844
420592
432339
444087
April
343035
354783
366530
378278
390026
401773
413521
425268
437016
448763
May
339885
351632
363380
375128
386875
398623
410370
422118
433865
445613
June
341594
353341
365089
376836
388584
400332
412079
423827
435574
447322
July
350267
362014
373762
385509
397257
409004
420752
432499
444247
455995
August
351693
363441
375188
386936
398684
410431
422179
433926
445674
457421
September
350582
362329
374077
385824
397572
409319
421067
432814
444562
456310
October
350830
362578
374326
386073
397821
409568
421316
433063
444811
456558
November
358848
370595
382343
394090
405838
417586
429333
441081
452828
464576
December
356713
368460
380208
391955
403703
415450
427198
438945
450693
462441
STREET LIGHT ENERGY

SALES (kWh)
Growth Rate:
Historical
Forecast
:
:
1.90%
2.90%
FORECASTED NUMBER OF
CUSTOMERS
Customer Type
NUMBER OF CUSTOMERS
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
RESIDENTIAL
53283
56328
59589
63065
66756
70662
74784
79121
83674
88442
COMMERCIAL
5501
5667
5848
6047
6265
6507
6775
7074
7410
7790
INDUSTRIAL
766
777
787
797
808
819
829
840
851
863
PUBLIC
BUILDING
661
692
722
753
783
814
844
874
905
935
STREET LIGHT
95
101
108
114
120
127
133
139
145
152
60345
63560
66991
70638
74500
78578
82872
87381
92106
97046
TOTAL
Customer Type
Growth Rate (%)

Historical
Forecast
RESIDENTIAL
4.18%
5.47%
COMMERCIAL
2.28%
3.79%
INDUSTRIAL
2.20%
1.31%
PUBLIC BUILDING
9.92%
3.77%
STREET LIGHT
12.85%
5.05%
TOTAL
4.04%
5.14%
TOTAL NUMBER OF
CUSTOMERS
NO. OF RESIDENTIAL
CUSTOMERS
NO. OF COMMERCIAL
CUSTOMERS
NO. OF INDUSTRIAL
CUSTOMERS
NO. OF PUBLIC
BUILDING CUSTOMERS
NO. OF STREET LIGHT

CUSTOMERS
THANK YOU !!!

LEYECO 2 Forecasting

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Forecasting

Leyte ii electric cooperative, inc.

HISTORICAL PEAK DEMAND (kW)

HISTORICAL ENERGY PURCHASE (kWh)

HISTORICAL ENERGY SALES (kWh)

11683524 12022829 13539860

10273741 10801760 10933247

12282766 12918900 14308528 15938482

10158355 11402300 10825997

11184352 12087987 12484285 14843564

12614679 13052029 15008499

HISTORICAL ENERGY SALES (kWh)

HISTORICAL ENERGY SALES (kWh)

HISTORICAL ENERGY SALES (kWh)

HISTORICAL ENERGY SALES (kWh)

HISTORICAL ENERGY SALES (kWh)

1. GATHER HISTORICAL DATA

FORECASTED PEAK DEMAND (kW)

TOTAL SYSTEM PEAK

FORECASTED ENERGY PURCHASE

TOTAL SYSTEM ENERGY

FORECASTED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

21371390 22930520 24489649 26048779 27607908 29167038

15081762 16640891 18200021

22783441 24342570 25901700 27460829 29019959

22877410 24436539 25995669

19372232 20931362 22490491 24049621

16488713 18047843 19606972

17267340 18826470 20385599

21944729 23503858 25062988

18815710 20374840 21933970 23493099 25052229

25608751 27167880 28727010 30286139

22725231 24284361 25843491 27402620 28961750 30520879

28181247 29740377 31299506

19961560 21520690 23079819 24638949 26198079 27757208 29316338 30875467

21965434 23524564 25083693 26642823 28201953 29761082

21745458 23304588 24863718 26422847

18741805 20300934 21860064

23419194 24978323 26537453 28096582

23366231 24925360 26484490 28043619 29602749

TOTAL ENERGY SALES

FORECASTED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

9846053 10297050 10748047

9985631 10436628 10887625

FORECASTED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

ALLOCATED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

11435485 12392079 13348674

11906871 12863465 13820061

9062852 10019446 10976040

11932635 12889230 13845825

FORECASTED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

FORECASTED ENERGY SALES (kWh)

STREET LIGHT ENERGY

Growth Rate (%)

NO. OF STREET LIGHT

THANK YOU !!!

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