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Property Times

Citius altius fortius


7 2011

45,5
, 28 .
25 ,
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700 000 ( ).

2011

2012 ,
.

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2,6 . ,
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DTZ
+38 (0)44 220 30 60
marta.kostiuk@dtz.kiev.ua

,
,

+33 (0)1 49 64 49 54
magali.marton@dtz.com



+44 (0)20 3296 2159
hans.vrensen@dtz.com

1
2
6
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
17
18


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800 000
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30
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2011

4,5%. Oxford Economics
4,8% 2011 .

2012
5%.
Oxford Economics,
2012 5,9%.


- 2011
%

15,2%

13,7%

Oxford Economics
8,8% 2012 , 6,7% 2013
5,5% 2014-2020 .

8,6%

6,7%

20,4%



,
7,959
2011 7,9727
2011 .

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9,3%

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25%

2011
4,2% 2010 .
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: 10,573 2011
11,216 ,
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,
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,
.

80 000 150 000 .


,
- 2011
40% 46,7%
2010 . 2011

0,85.

99,7

107,8

:
* - 2011
2010

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, 2011

8,4-13%. , 2010
9,1%,
2009 12,3%.

, 2011
$4,52 ,
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2010 .

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2009
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15 70 ,
- 2011
8,2% 8,1%
2010 , 8,8% 2009 6,4% 2008 .
Oxford Economics
7,8%
2011 6,4% 2020 .


24
.
45,5 ,
28
.
68%
, ,
, 32%.

54%.
25 ,
(, , ,
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, (
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, 22
200 000 .
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760
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637
572
1 219
367
452
1 695

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: 11,5%
5,9% .

www.dtz.com



, - 2011
18,2%
2010
2 571 ( $322).
2011
8%
2010 .
,


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.
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2004-2008 ,

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40
30
20
10
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-10
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* - 2011
, Oxford Economics.


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120
100


- 2011
15,2%
5,1% 2010
16,2% - 2009 .

,
24,4% 2006 28,2% 2007 .
- 2011
.

2011

.


, ,


.

www.dtz.com

80
60
40
20

2003

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009





Q1

Q3

Q1

Q3

Q1

Q3

Q1

Q3

Q1

Q3

Q1

Q3

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Q3

Q1

Q3

0
Q1


GfK,
2011
2010 .

,

.

2010 2011

: GfK Ukraine


2010-2011 (The 20102011 Global Competitiveness Report),

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,
,
.
, 2011
,
2013 .


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2011 .


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( 9).
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. 2011

2,6 .
325 . 1 000 (
).

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,

,
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,

206 540 ..

,
1 000
379 .
,
215 . 1 000 .



,
.

.
fashion (factory) outlet
.
,
,

,
, ,
750 000 .
2011


75 080 ..
- Dream Town,
.
,
Novus
(inSilver,
, Victorio).
www.dtz.com

,
-
2011 ,
, City Mall ( 2)
, ( 2) ,

.
,
, ,
( ) -
( ). , Metro
Cash&Carry
.
8




. 1 000
900
750
600
450
300
150
0


2013 **
: DTZ Research
: ,
/ 5 000 ..
* , -
.
** 2011 .


*
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%

/


Fashion outlets
: DTZ Research
* 2011 .
** , .

2011
Ave Plaza ( 1)
, Fabrika ( 1) .
,
,
2012 . DTZ,
, - ( 1),

2011 , .

2010-2011


. ,

.


2011 ,
,
2012-2013 .

1
, 2011
2013

Q3, 2012
Q4, 2011- 2012
Q4, 2011- 2012
Q1, 2013
Q1-Q3, 2013
Q3-Q4, 2012
Q4, 2012
Q3-Q4, 2013
2012
Q1, 2012
Q2, 2012
2012
Q4, 2012
Q3-Q4, 2012
Q3-Q4, 2012
Q4, 2012
Q4, 2011-2012
2012
Q4, 2011

Ocean Plaza ( 1)
Fabrika ()

()
-


( 3)


City Centre

Auchan City Park ( 2)
(M26)
( 2)
Silver Breeze
Kiev E95 Outlet Centre
Cascade Plaza
Fashion Factory
Ave Plaza

GLA*
(.)
72 200
65 500
62 500
55 000
49 070
38 700
38 000
36 000
35 000
33 000
32 000
26 000
23 000
19 700
16 000
15 250
12 000
7 700
7 100

... / UDP



DeVision
Multi Development

Venford / GMG Development




Arricano Development
Arricano Development
Svitland Limited
EVO Land Development
Alef Estate
Aladdin Group
UNIQA Real Estate

: DTZ Research
* GLA (Gross Lettable Area)

3-5 50-250 .; 7-10 - (500-1 000 .)


10-15 .
, , .
) ,
, )
) .
.
(, Riviera
Shopping City, Sky Mall, , King Cross Leopolis ).
$2-8 . ,
.
$2-5 . , .
.
.
,
2-6 . .

: DTZ

www.dtz.com

2009

.

,
.

New Yorker Oysho



Sky Mall Rivera Shopping City
. ,
FiNN FLARE Centro.

,

200 000 700 000
.

(, , )

.

.

2011
100%
Brocard, Bonjour.

Dream Town ,
.

, 2009

, , ,
,
.
2010
2011 DTZ

,

.


.
2011

.


,

.

, 2010-2011


(Global Retail Development
Index (GRDI)).

A. T. Kearney, 30

-,
25

. , 2007
5 , 20082009 17 .
- 2011
. ,
Fiba Retail
GAP .
www.dtz.com

A.S. Watson Group 2006


65% ,

Asnova Holding, 2010 ,
100% . 2011
Watsons.
2011
PPF Group 100%
,
.
2009 , PPF Group 50%+1
.
2011 -

51% 100% .
2010 , 2011
.
, Dream Town

, -.
2011
, ,

i Riviera Shopping City .


Christian Dior 2011 .



.
DTZ,
H&M, C&A, Deichmann, Peek&Cloppenburg Debenhams
2012 2013 .
2011
big box,
,
,
,


.
Metro Cash&Carry,
.
8



,
Fozzy Group, Auchan, BT Invest
( Novus) ,
Comfy .

750 000 .


.



, 2010
2011

.

,

.

,


750 000 .

,


,

2011
2012 .
,
,
.
, DTZ,


,



.



,
2012-2013 , , .

10


*
$ / . /
250
200
150
100
50
0



: DTZ Research
* 2011
100-300 .


2011
DTZ

,

.
,

,
.

, ,
.
10 ,

2011 ,

.

,
,

, 2008 .
DTZ,

13,5% ,

14,5-16%.

,

.
,
.

www.dtz.com

,


2008-2009 , ,


.


,
, ,
.


,
, ,

, .

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,
,
, ,
, ,

750 000 .

-
.

,
2013
.
,

,
, ,
.


.

10

11

2011

1 001 400 . 359 . 1 000 (

).
,

.


,
71%
720 800 . .
29%
big box.
fashion outlet
.
2011
Dream Town,
. ,
Novus

, - inSilver ,
,

Victorio .

75 080 ..
2011
-
25 000 ..
,

. DTZ,
2012 .


2011 , ,
2012-2013 .
2011

345 000 . (GLA),
2012-2013 .
Ocean Plaza ( 1), ,
, ( 3),
, Silver Breeze,
Fashion Factory. 2012
Kiev E95 Outlet Centre, fashion outlet.

2012-2013
316 900 . (GLA),
32%.

,
.
www.dtz.com

.
300 000

.
1 500 000

250 000

1 250 000

200 000

1 000 000

150 000

750 000

100 000

500 000

50 000

250 000
0

: DTZ Research
*

12



100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%

/


Fashion outlets
: DTZ Research
*

,


.

2011
$70-90
.
100-300 . ,

$160-200 . .
,
2010 ,

. 2011


$180-230 .
, $350-400
. .
11

13


.
2011
370 560 .
366 . 1 000 .


,
79%.
21%
big box.
fashion outlet.

450 000

75 000

375 000

60 000

300 000

45 000

225 000

30 000

150 000

15 000

75 000

- 2011

49 350 .
.
2011
,
.
, ,
Marks&Spencer, GAP .

.
90 000

: DTZ Research
*

GLA (.)

:

76 200
2008/9
Karavan Group
,

25
290
2006
Alef Estate
.


Apollo

.
,
,
2011 278 000 ..
, DTZ,
2012-2013
.

,
,
.

,
.
DTZ,

, ,

,
,
-.

20 000

2009

17 670

2007

13 500

2005

13 500

2006

12 950

2011

Akselrod Estate

: DTZ Research




, . , ,
-
,


.


$70-95 .
. -

.


DTZ,
100-300 .

$60-80 . .
,
.
www.dtz.com

12


1

. ,
.
2011
382 250 .
469 . 1 000 .
2011

5 000 . ,
5 .

,
62%.
38%
big box.
fashion outlet.
Riviera Shopping City
65 000 .
.
2009
Argo Real Estate Opportunities Fund,
.
real,- OBI,

, .
, Riviera Shopping City
, ,
, real,- , OBI, IMAX, Inditex Group, New Yorker,
Marks&Spencer, LPP (House, Cropp Town, Reserved).
2011
199 200 .
2012-2014 .
DTZ,
2012
33 000 .
City Centre.
,
2013-2014 ,
, Europort Retail
Park Europort, ,
.
-

.


.

,
.
www.dtz.com

14

.
120 000

700 000

100 000

600 000
500 000

80 000

400 000

60 000

300 000

40 000

200 000

20 000

100 000

: DTZ Research
*

Riviera Shopping
City
6






5

GLA
(.)
65 000

2009

23 600
23 000
19 530
19 000
17 000
16 000
8 600
5 000

2009/10
2006
2005
2004
2006
2007
2005
2011

Argo Real Estate


Opportunities Fund


/Redstone
-
Forent

: DTZ Research




, .
,

, -,

,

.

-
$70-95 . ,
,
.

100-300 .
$65-85 . .
13



1,4
,
.
,

, ,
.

2012.

15


.
120 000

.
450 000

100 000

375 000

80 000

300 000

60 000

225 000

40 000

150 000

20 000

75 000

2011

310 650 . 215 . 1 000 .

.

,
61%.
39%
big box. ,
fashion outlet, .
2011

5 000 . ,
.
Ave Plaza
( 1),
23 130 ..
2011 ,
2011
2012

104 500 . .
,
2012 ,
.


34%
, 2008
( ,

).


.

,
.

www.dtz.com

: DTZ Research
*

GLA
(.)
57 050

2006/7/8

Karavan Group

56 070

2008

17 000

2005

: DTZ Research

DTZ,

,
.
,
75

, .


,
. , ,
-

.


$60-75 . .
-
,
.

100-300 .
$45-65 . .
14


1

,
,
.
,

2012.

,
.
2011
-
340 040 . 340 .
1 000 .

9 460 ., 2011 .


, 49%
, big box.
,
fashion outlet.
2011 , ,
2012-2013

39 000 . ,
11%.

16


.
150 000

.
420 000

125 000

350 000

100 000

280 000

75 000

210 000

50 000

140 000

25 000

70 000

: DTZ Research
*
: ,
-

GLA
(.)

34 460

2006/11

27 290

2006/7

23 500

2008

Auchan City Park


( 1)

22 500

2008

Immochan

,
2012-2013 , Auchan City Park
( 2) ,
Immochan. ,
Depot Development Group,
,
.

20 000

2004

Green Plaza

7100

2010

- ,

.


,
,


-.

: DTZ Research


,
.


,


.

.

.



$55-70 . .
-

.

,
Praktiker, Metro Cash&Carry, Auchan
-
( ).



100-300 .
$65-85 . .

www.dtz.com

15


,
,
.
760

,
.
,

2012 , ,
.

17


.
60 000

.
300 000

50 000

250 000

40 000

200 000

30 000

150 000

20 000

100 000

10 000

50 000

,

.
2011

296 500 . 272 . 1 000 .
2011
. ,
DTZ,

2013 , Multi
Development .

,
73%.
27%
,
Metro
Cash&Carry.
fashion outlet .
King Cross Leopolis
52 700 .
.
2008 2010
King Cross Leopolis
.
Auchan Praktiker.
King Cross Leopolis
, IMAX, Inditex
Group, Marks&Spencer, Mothercare .
-

.


: DTZ Research
*

GLA
(.)

King Cross
Leopolis

52 700

2008/10

King Cross Group /


10 000

2007

-2

6 950

2004/6

( 1)

6 500

2006

4 500

2003

1 830

2009

HT Property
Development

: DTZ Research



,
.
,

, -,

,

.

DTZ,

,
.



$85-100 . .
-

, .


,
.


100-300 .
$60-80 . .

www.dtz.com

16

340

.
.


.

2007 .
2011

80 970 . 238 . 1 000 .
DTZ,

2011 , /
52%
. Metro
Cash&Carry .
,

2012 , Arricano Development
.


,
.
- ,

.

100-300 .
$30-50 . .

18



.
60 000

.
150 000

50 000

125 000

40 000

100 000

30 000

75 000

20 000

50 000

10 000

25 000
0


: DTZ Research
*


GLA
(.)

FM

15 000

2007


( 1)

14 470

2009

Arricano Development

Sneha City

10 000

2008

9 000

2007

: DTZ Research


, / 5 000 ..
5 000 .,
( ).
.
Fashion (factory) outlet , ,
,
.
,
, , ,
.
(high street)
.

100-300 ., (prime high street
rent) (prime shopping centre rent). ,
.
www.dtz.com

17

+38 (0)44 220 30 80

nick.cotton@dtz.kiev.ua



+38 (0)44 220 30 75


+38 (0)44 220 30 64

victoria.goroulko@dtz.kiev.ua
geoff.hargreave@dtz.kiev.ua

+38 (0)44 220 30 94

nataliya.mykolaychuk@dtz.kiev.ua

+38 (0)44 220 30 60

fedor.arbuzov@dtz.kiev.ua

+38 (0)44 220 31 09

nataliya.stelmakh@dtz.kiev.ua

+38 (0)44 220 31 09


+38 (0)44 220 30 87

yana.lytvynchuk@dtz.kiev.ua
tatyana.kazakova@dtz.kiev.ua

+38 (0)44 220 30 84

marta.kostiuk@dtz.kiev.ua

+38 (0)44 220 30 79

DTZ

+38 (0)44 220 30 60

www.dtz.com

ben.hunt@dtz.kiev.ua

18



, ,
. , DTZ
,
, . ,
, ,
, DTZ.
DTZ
.
DTZ 2011

www.dtz.com

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