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The future of Air Transport

Alan Pardoe Head of Marketing Communications

Aviation is economically vital to our modern world

Share time with friends and family

Discover new horizons and cultures

Open new markets

Increase opportunities and business

Resolve global issues

8% of world GDP 32 Million Jobs Over 40% of international tourists travel by air

Source : ATAG The economic and social benefits of Air Transport

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Air travel remains a growth market


World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)
12
10 8 6 4 2
ICAO total traffic Airbus GMF 2011

20-year world annual traffic growth

4.8%

Air traffic has doubled every 15 years

0 1970

Air traffic will double in the next 15 years


1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

20-year demand for almost 27,900 new aircraft

19,170 single-aisle aircraft

6,910 twin-aisle aircraft

1,780 very large aircraft


20-year new deliveries of passenger and freight aircraft Market value of $3.5 trillion
Passenger aircraft ( 100 seats) Jet freight aircraft (>10 tons)
AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Average annual oil prices have rebounded


Average annual WTI oil price (US$ per bbl)
160 140 120
Oil price (Current US$)

History

Forecast

Average Annual Price Per Barrel >$120

100 80 60 40

20
0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Average annual oil prices have rebounded to 2008 values


Source: EIA, IHS Global Insight (August 2011), Airbus

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

New industry challenges


All forecasts predict an increase in oil price Fuel is the predominant cost item

Emissions Trading Scheme starts in 2012 Additional charges with emissions quota

New challenges require close monitoring

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation consistently reduces fuel burned


Relative Fuel Burn per seat
100%

80%

-70%
60%
40%

20%

0% 1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

Fuel burn reduced by 70% since the birth of the jet airliner

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Since 2000, air travel has grown 45%


Evolution of RPKs and jet fuel demand
150
140 130 120 (Base 100 in 2000)

Traffic growth

Traffic +45%

110
100 90 2000 2002 2004

Jet fuel demand

Fuel +3%

2006

2008

2010

the growth in fuel demand has remained relatively flat


Jet fuel demand data: CERA (millions of barrels of jet fuel), Source: ICAO, CERA, Airbus

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Precise performance with advanced Navaids


The aircraft Flight Management System manages the flight profile to match a Required timeof-arrival (RTA)allocated by ATC Continuous Descent Approach profile (CDA)

Required Navigation Performance (RNP) RNP Approach with shorter routing.

Advanced NavAids save fuel

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Next Gen Air Traffic Management


Minimum CO2 in Terminal Manoeuvring Area

MINT uses GPS, on-board Flight Management Systems, RNP, uplinked wind nowcasts and Continuous Descent Arrival.

21 Meters accuracy Within 8 Seconds 165 Kg Fuel saved


Airbus (Quo Vadis) working to improve operational efficiency

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Airbus alternative fuels policy

3rd
Timing 2010* 50% Biomass-toliquid blend approval

Generation renewable & sustainable (biowaste, algae, jatropha)


2013* 100% biofuel approval 2030 30% of all jet fuel biofuel

2011* 100% GTL or BTL blend approval

Aviation has no alternative the right fuel is needed at the right time
*Expected dates Projected target

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Airbus Biofuel testing


Airbus, Lufthansa and Neste Oil launch worlds first daily passenger flights using 50% blend of Hygrogenated Vegetable Oil & Jet A1
Using an A321 on daily Frankfurt Hamburg services

working together with airlines and bio-jet specialists to industrialise production & test in regular operation
AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Well-defined Airbus single-aisle product strategy


Efficiency

A320neo

Sharklets

Today

2012

2015

Building on proven values

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A320neo
Sharklets:
Fuel burn saving on long sectors Improved field performance

New engines:
Bypass ratio 11 to 12 Up to 81 inch fan diameter

Lower SFC
Lower noise levels

Low risk, minimum change aircraft 15% overall fuel burn reduction

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Open rotor engine technologyin another 25 years?

...NASA Ultra High Bypass (UHB) Research Program Director Chris Hughes rates open rotor engines as .. generations beyond what is flying today with an EIS in the 2030-2035 timeframe.

Ref: airinsight.wordpress.com Jan 31st 2011 podcast

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A320/A320neo compared
A320 A320neo

68

81

Efficient engines
CFM56-5B IAE V2500

More efficient engines


CFM LEAP-X PW1100G

Wing tip fences

Sharklets

A320neo: new engine option from 2015

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A320neo offers environmental benefits


Annual fuel savings of 15% equate to:
1.4 m litres of fuel: the consumption of 1000 mid size cars

3,600 tonnes of CO2


the CO2 absorption of 240,000 trees

NOx emissions 50% below CAEP/6 500nm more range


or 2 tonnes more payload

Aircraft noise up to 15dB below Stage IV


Significant environmental improvements

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A350 XWB

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

An Intelligent Airframe by design


Misc. 8% 19% Al/Al-Li

6%

Steel

53%
Composite

14% Titanium

Titanium High load frames Door surroundings Landing gear Pylons No corrosion tasks

CFRP
Wings Centre wing box and keel beam Tail cone (Section 19) Skin panels Frames, stringers and doublers Doors (Passenger & Cargo)

No corrosion & fatigue tasks

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A350 XWB 25% lower fuel burn

Lightweight material airframe Latest generation engines State of the art aerodynamic Highly Integrated systems

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A350 XWB in 2011 - Focus on Sub-assembly

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

New industry challenges


All forecasts predict an increase in oil price Fuel is the predominant cost item

Emissions Trading Scheme starts in 2012 Additional charges with emissions quota

Noise regulations will impose additional costs on airlines Future Chapter 5 regulations believed to be aiming for 5-10dB below Ch. 4 Increasing number of noise restricted airports

New challenges require close monitoring

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation consistently reduces its noise impact


Lateral Noise Level Corrected for Aircraft Thrust
Turbojets 1st generation turbofans

20dB airport noise reduction

2nd generation turbofans

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

Entry Into Service Date

Aircraft noise reduced by 75%

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Four years of success four years of full flights


25th October 2011 marks the fourth anniversary of the first commercial flight
The Singapore Airlines A380 has proven exceptionally popular with customers, with strong loads on all routes it serves. System-wide, more than 5 million customers have flown on Singapore Airlines' A380s [...] on more than 13,000 flights.
SIA News Release 1st July 2011

81%
Average Load Factor

76.5%
IATA Industry average l.f.*

77.9%
SIA average l.f.*

* - Source: IATA Carrier Tracker November 2007 to June 2011

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation megacities across the globe will drive future VLA demand
2030 top 20 airports in number of VLAs

4 LHR
19 SFO

5 JFK

6 CDG

14 FRA

2 PEK 1 DXB
8 DEL 13 BOM

20 ICN

9 PVG 15 SHA
17 CAN

11 NRT

10 LAX

3 HKG
12 BKK

7 SIN
18 GRU

16 SYD

87 Aviation Megacities by 2030


VLA = Very Large Aircraft

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Two-level access - faster, better, space efficient

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Passenger expectation and Seat product trend

First Class
An elite club, Private world, Service comes to me

Business Class
Increased comfort not compromising density

Premium Eco. Class Economy Class


Increased comfort / seat features and value for money Increased density with same feeling of comfort

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Revenue as driver for cabin product


Yield per passenger

Product-driven passengers

F I R S T

Business
Premium Economy

Price-driven passengers
Economy

n th passenger
Example: Full-service carrier

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Seat pitch

Seat pitch

Seat pitch is the habitual measure of seat comfort

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Slim-line economy seats

Knee clearance + 1 over previous seat Shin clearance + 0.85 over previous seat

Slim-line seats give more living space at a closer pitch

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A320 cabin innovation

Virgin America A320

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

In-seat Living Spaceseat pitch + seat width

Seat pitch

Humans exist in more than one dimension!

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A320 Comfort, efficiency & flexibility

7W

I D E R internal cabin

62 18 19

59 17 25

Wider seat

Wider aisle

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A380 - the widest seats for greater comfort

Singapore Airlines

Emirates

Qantas

Air France

Lufthansa

Korean Air

An all-new Economy Class seat, offering passengers enhanced levels of comfort during long haul travel.
Lesley Grant, Qantas Executive Manager Customer and Marketing

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A350 XWB: Economy Class

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Premium Economy More pitch & width

38 38

36

38

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Premium Economy service: main characteristics


Priority check-in Lounge access More pitch (38 average) and recline (9 average) Personal TV (and larger screen: ~12) PC plug Better catering than Economy (i.e preflight drink) Comfort kit (amenities) Priority boarding/disembarkment More miles gained More baggage allowance Priority baggage reclaim
Many features linked to pre/post flight services

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Types of business-class seats

Cradle

Lie-flat Cocoon

Full-flat Cocoon

Innovative Full-flat

Examples of Innovative full-flat arrangements

Herringbone

Staggered

Airline Specific

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Historical trend: business seat - space efficiency


+100%

+50% +33%

Datum -20%
-30% -50%

1980s

1990s

2000s

1st Gen

2nd Gen

Cradle

Lie flat to full flat Cocoon

Innovative

Over 70% full-flat within five years

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A350 XWB - Business Class

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

New Flight Entertainment is coming onto market


Centralised IFE

Light IFE (LIFE)

Handheld Devices

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Traditional In Flight Entertainment offer is changing

Passengers can now upload or download content


Example shown : SIA tourist class, A330

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Game Changing technology readiness


Innovative structure
Metallic technologies Composites Next Generation turbofan Nano technology

New engines

Advanced turbofan (Leap X and GTF)

Open rotor

Aerodynamics efficiency Alternative fuel

Sharklet

Laminar Flow & Smart wings

Biofuels

Fuel cell technology

Air Traffic Management

SESAR/Next Gen (ATM) Green trajectories

Innovative cockpit

2010 to 2020

Beyond 2025

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Airbus Concept plane

Curved fuselage to improve flight

Double doors for quicker and easier boarding

Mega-quiet blended engines for less fuel and emissions

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Airbus Concept plane


U-shaped tail shield for less ground noise

Ultra thin wings to better glide through the air

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Airbus Concept plane

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

The A380 effect is confirmed by the passengers


Passengers comments overall feedback:
www.lovea380.com

4% 4%

Positive Neutral

Negative

92%

The WOW factor remains undiminished


Source: Publicis. Sample: 3,000 comments

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and all information contained herein is the sole property of AIRBUS S.A.S. No intellectual property rights are granted by the delivery of this document or the disclosure of its content. This document shall not be reproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express written consent of AIRBUS S.A.S. This document and its content shall not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied. The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUS S.A.S. will be pleased to explain the basis thereof. AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registered trademarks.

AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

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