[li[xo'v ui$r.

-Av5

NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTHORITY MINISTRY OF COMMUNICATIONS GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN

CONSTRUCTION OF NEW BRIDGE OVER SATLEJ RIVER AT EMANAWALA

PC TII ft;

]"

Septernber ?0Og
NATIoNAI ENGINBERING SERVICEs
PAKISTAN (PVt'.; L'r'D.

,'rdI

I\ATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTHORITY

Construction_of a New Bridge Over Sutlei Rivqr at Emanawala

TABLE OF CONTENTS
PAGE NO.
A.
B.

Executive Summary
PC.1

(i)

- (iii)
01
01

1. 2. 3. .1. 5.
6.

Name of the Project

Location

Authorities
Pl:rn Provisiort
Pro.iect ()b.jectives

0l
0t

&

its

02

llcl:rtionship rvith Sector Objectives

Justifi cation, Description, Technical Par:rmeters and Technology Transfer Aspects
1 8.

02-07 07-08
08

Capital Cost Annual Operating and Maintenance Cost

After Completion of the Project

9. 10.

Demand and Supply Analysis

08-09
09

Financial Plan and Mode of Financing Project Benefits and Analysis

Im

l.

09-12
12

12.

plementation Sched ulc

tJ.

\lanagcnre rrl Structurc and N'litnpolver l{cquire

nre

t2-13

nts lnclutling Specializeql Skills

During Construction and Operational Phases

14.

Additional I'rojects/Decisions Required to

Maximize Socio-Economic Benefits from
the Proposed Project

15.

Certificate

I
Annexes
Location M.p

Typical Cross Sections

Traffic Studies

Transverse Section & Longitudinal

.
r

An,nex-V

Profile of the Bridge & Culverts 'fentative Engineer's Cost Estimates

Capaeity Analysis
Econornic Analysis

Annex-VI

NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTH ORITY

CONSTRUCTION OII A NEW BRIDGE OVER SUTLEJ

RIVER AT EMAI'.{AWALA

EXECUTIVE S(IMMARY

o
NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTHORITY
Construction of a New Bridge Ower Sutlej Riwer at Ernanawala

EXBCUTIVE SUMMARY
1.

BACKGROUND.
The construction of the bridge across River Satlej at Emanawala is a part of the

Multan Development Package. At present a jeep-able crossing is available. There is no road connection between Trinda Muhammad Panah (N-5) & Jalalpur, Shujabad and Multan. A temporary boat bridge did exist,'but it has been
dismantled. The river bed is almost 500m to 550m width with 4m - 5m high banks
un both sides.
2.

IlRO.IIrqI.
'['hr: sclrerne plovides fbr the cons[ruction of a Z-lane (8.5rn) 600 meters long bridge
rucross

the llivel Sutler at Emanawala.

It will have I Km long approach road on

either side. Construction of the bridge will provide the shortest route to the traffic

commuting between Multan

Highway N-70 & Karachi.

Muzaffargarh

/ other

places on the National

The objective of the project is to provide a connection between Jalalpur Piranwala

and UCH Sharif, which will be connected with the National Highway network.

The proposed facility rvill facilitate access to Multan

& other major cities

by

providing a relatively shorter route. It would as such be conducive to the reduction

in tht'tlavcl time zrnd operating c<-rst to the rnost economical and

3.

financial

sr,rstaintrble lcvi:1. & thtrs contribute Lolvalds the socio-econornic uplift of the area.

COST. The tentative project cost is Rs. 1.147 billion

14

O
Itemized details of the project cost are summarized as under:

Bill
No.
I

Description
EARTI{ WORK SUB-BASE & BASE
SURFACE COURSE & PAVEI\,TENT STRUCTURES (Bridge)
GLTIDE BANKS WITH RIP PROJECTION

Arnount
(Rs. Million)
45.L3 9.76 5.70 434.94 202.62 5.04 37.64

2
.t

4
5
t)

iJ

;\NCILI-\RY WORKS c l.rN1.l tL\L I't'taN,ls ttLE("t'Rlc,\t, w( ) Rlis CIVIL WORI( COST BASED ON CSR
PROPOSED PREMIUNT 2s% ON CSR
2OO8

r5.00
755.83
188.96

2OO8

TOTAL TENTATIVE CIVILWORKS COST NHA Establishment Charges@ 2% Contingencies Charges @ 3% Supervision Charges @ 3% Cost of Escalation Land Compensation & Relocation of Utilities Sports Facilities Cost Affbrestation .|OTAL TENTATIVE PROJECT COST

944.79 18.90 28.34 28.34 68.00 50.00 4.70 4.70 7.747.77

3.

FINANCIAL PHASING
The financial phasing of the project is given as under:
S.

No

Description

Amounts required in years (Rs. Million) 2008-09 2009-10 2010-l 1 Total

I Civil Works
2
U

236
7

378
12 7 12

331
9

945
28
19

Contingencies Charges Departmental Establishment Charges Construction Supervision Plice Escalation

l,a nd r\<:q uisr
t

o
7

tl

4
tr it

I
43

28 68 50

25 50

t)

ion. (-'ompe nsat ron, LTtilities

5
8

UTr-rlestation

Total Financial Cost

306

434

407

r,147 Billion

Say Rs. 1.147

D.

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS.
The economic analysis has yielded the results given below:-

Benefit Cost Ratio @ 12% I)iscount Rate:

Net Present Vaiue @ 12o/o Discount Rate:

2.93:1

Rs. 1,453.16 Million

27%

Internal Rate of Return:

Sensitivity Analysis:
Assurnptions
Base case

EIRR(Percent)
27 25 26

Sensiti

vitt"Iests
(10%, r'eclucticrn)

i. fJenefits ir.
('o-sts

* ( I0'Zr irrcleirse)

6.

PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION
The project is likely to be completed tn 22 months. The commencement of work has been fixed tentatively for February 2009, and the completion by November
201 1.

7.

CAPACITY ANALYSIS
The capacity analysis has revealed that the proposecl facility shall cater to the
traff ic at the fbllo$'ir-rs levels of service:-

Sr,No
I
2 J

Period
2012 2020 2032

Level of Service
B
C

- 19
31 36

ill

I{ATI OI{AL HI GHWAY AUTH O RITY

CONSTRUCTION OF A NEW BRIDGE OVER SUTLEJ

RIVER AT EMANAWALA

PC-I

PC.1 FORM
Code No. For Project

(To be filled in by the Planning Commission)

1. Name of the Project:

Construction of nerv bridge over Sutiej River at Emanawala.

2. l,ocation:

'l'he proicct is Lxritled in the Mr-rltan District of the Province

o{'Punjab.

Map showing the location of the proposed bridge map may

be seen at

Annex-I.

3. Authoi"ities
Responsible for:

i. ii. iii.

Sponsoring Execution

Ministry of Comrnunications
National Highway Authority
and

Operation

National Highvvav Authority

I\ I

Ilaintcnance (joncerned Federal

inistr'1'

o1'

Comrnunications

Ministry

4. Plan Provision: i. If the project is included in the current five year plan specify actual
allocation:

Nil

ii. If not included in the current plan,

how is it proposed to be accomrnodated.

iii. lf the project is proposed to be financed out of the

block provision for a program, indicate the details.

PC-l for the Constmction of Nerv Bridpe Over Sutlei River at Emanas'ala

I)r'oject objectives and its relationship with sector

objectives:

i.

Project Objectives.

Construction of the new bridge across the River Sutlej at

Emanawala upto Multan constitutes an integral part of the programme for the development of Southern Punjab. The overall objective of the project is to provide an adequate

road connection betu'een IJCH Sharif and Jalalpur l)ilnan'ula. 'fhis n,or-rld also facilitate & streamline
r:t.rrrrrr-rr.rnicartion

thxrugh a shor'ler distance trpto Multan and

'l'r'inda lVluharnmad Panah (on the National Highrvay N-5),

for the traffic commuting between Karachi & Lahore / Rawalpindi / NWFP through the proposed M-4. The
provision of the proposed new bridge over river Satlej at
Emanawala, would reduce considerably the travel time &

operating cost
flom l(arachi.

to the most economical and financially

sustainable level, for the traffic to Multan and further north

ii. Ilclationship with the

soctor objerrtives.

of the project is in keeping with the sector devt:lopn.rc'nt objectives which provides fbr the sustainable delivery of' a productive and efficient connection rvith
1-rr-rr'1-rose

'fhe

nationai highrvay system contributing to

transportation cost.

lower

6. Justification,
Description, Technical

parameters and technology transfer

aspects.

i. Justification

'fhe proposed nerv bi'idge ovel Sutlej river at Emanarvala

rvill conti'rbute towards the development of an environment, ivhereby the exiting traffic & the traffic in the years to

PC-l lbr the Constnrction of'Nen,Brrdee Ovr'r Sutlci Rit'el at Emanarvala

come, shall be catered for

at an adequate levei of

service.

This rvould restrlL in significant benefits to the economy. ('<rnst lr-rclion o1' t,he ne\\, bridge across River Satlej at
Llrnanau'ala constitutes a pzrrt of the Multan Development Package, which focuses primarily on adequate linkage of

& Trinda Muhammad Panah (on N-5) with N{ultan City (Southern Punjab) and the motorway
Uch Sharif
expressway network of Pakistan.
F

ollowing the construction of the new bridge over Sutlej

river at Emanawala all kinds of traffic of N-5 coming from Karachi towards Rawalpindi & the NWFP & vice versa, will
also use this road thereby reducing the traffic congestion

particularly of the heavy vehicular traffic on the Trinda NlLrhammzrd Pannah - Btrhawalpur - Lahore stretch of the
Nzrtional Highway N-5.

ii.

Description.

The scheme provides for the construction of a 600 meters

long bridge across river Sutlej at Emanawala.

Details of the technical inputs

pararneters, scope and

specifications of the project are given below:-

A.

TechnicalPaiameters.

Standards / Specifications:
Geometrics:Conslmction of'nerv bridge over Satlej river at Emanawala shall conlbrm to the fbllorving specifications
Bridge Length:
600m approx.

Bridge Carriagervay Width:

8.5 m, with 1.2 m waik

way and
Tentative span
Provision of pile
45m

concrete

barrier on both sides.

2m dia 02 Nos. under the piers

l'( | tl)r tlrc ( 0n\ltu(tt(,rl ol \crr

lJrrrlge

()\ct

SUtlct

lll\r,l itt

l.lr)]lrnitrr;rllr

For approach road (01 I(m either side)

Design

speed
rvidth

80 KPh
7.3 rn Paved

Carriageway width Shoulder

2.5 m treated

T1'pical

Transverse cross sections

of the bridge &

lhe

rrlrlrloach lriacls ur:t1' be seen at Annex-II. Codes ond Startd,ard,s: The fbllowing codes and standards have been considered for adoption in the design of the pr:oject road:-

Geometric Design:

AASHTO AASHTO _ ASTM

Material & Testing:

Pavement Design: Seismic Design:

AASHTO 2000 Policy

Uniform Building

Codes

(UBC) and seismic zone

Map of Pakistan
.AASHTO

and

The bridges and structures have beeu designed generally

according to the West Pakistan Highway Code of Practice

for bridges with the following additional conditions:-

AASHTO Specifications for Highway Bridges for Ioad thctors for various limit states and lateral force due to
earthquake.

Traffic: 'fraffic forecast based on the following has been carried out:-

i. ii.

Determinalion

of the Average Annual Daily Traffic

based on Punjab Highivay Department Counts

Calculation of Traf1ic grorvth rates based on Past five

)rear AADT available rvith Punjab Highway

Department for Jalalpur Pirwala cletermined

Loran road.

iii. Traffic pro.jection fbr tl're future

using growth rates

using

by considering the past trend &

PC-l tbr the Construction ot'Nerv Bridge Ove r Sutlej Rivel at Blnatrarvala

regression analysis.

A summary of the grolvth rates is given as under:

Vehicles / Years
M/Cvcles / Rickshaws Cars/Jeeos/Pick-Uos yVaqons / Buses

ACGR % 2008-1 3 201 3-1

9.46
10.93 6.4

2018-23 2023-28 2028-33 4.84

5.19

7.03
5.4

3.89 4.12
3.5

J.lo
3.41

Trucks

7.42 5.55

4.25
3.57

4.34

2.98 2.63

A summary of the traffic projection is given as under:

AADT Year 2003 2008 2013

Motorcycles &
Rickshaws
1

Car I

Jeeos
3s5

009

Buses & Flying Coaches 322

508
IZO

Trucks
157

Total
1

843

2121

944
1 586 2228

276 447 532 618 /UJ

3849 6006
81 65

2018 2023 2028

2033

4545 oYov
818'1

2870 3512
4154

945 1163

10322
12481
14638

1382
1600

Debails of the traffic analysis

& forecasts may be seen at

Annex-III.

B. Civil Works:
Details of the civil works ancl their scope are given below:-

Pavement Desisn of the Anproach Roads:

Design Lil'e:
10 Years

The pavement design of the approach roads connecting the

existing road network with Uch Sharif and Jalalpur

Piranwala, is given as under:Design CBR

Allowing for the soil classification and repr:esentative CBR tests a

design CBR value

Tentatiue Pauentent Thi.chness:

of 7% is

adopted at sub grade level.

'fhc' recomlnended pavement thiclcness for the

loads is given below:
Surf'acing

approach

Triple Surface Treatment (TST)

200 mm 200 mm

Water Bound Macadam

Sub Base
PC-l lbr the Constnrction ol'Nerv Bridge Over Sutlej River at Bnranarvala

l):rvt'nrent dcsign rvill be finalized af'ter detailed design.

Bridse:
Tentative Salient features of the bridge are given as under:-

. . . . .

Length Width of carriagervay

600 meters
2

- Iane

Width of Deck
Span

8.5 m

Foundation

45m Pile foundation with 60m

Iong piles of 2 m dia.

Tentative sections & longitr"rdinal profile of the structures

nral'be seen at Annex-IV.

C.

Acquisition of Land:
i

Land will also be acquired only for the approach roads

as

ii t

per the alignment. The approach roads will also be

connected with the existing road network on the Uch Sharif side and Jalalpur side.

D.

Climate of the Project Area:

Multan District.
Southern Punjab experiences a pleasant climate during
winter and extreme heat during the summer. The summer
season starts in lV1arch rvhen abrupt changes in temperature

are observed. These keep on rising and remain high until

October. May, June, and July are the hottest months of the

year while August and September are characterized by somehow lower temperatures and higher humidity \rnonsoon period). The avcrage mean maximum and
minimum temperatures during the summer are 43oC and
33oC, respectively.
ext.ends

The winter seasoh, rvhich is mild, fi'orn November to February. During winter the
nrzlxi

ilvel'ago ure,llr
PC-l tbr the Construction ol-Nerv Bride,e Ovcr Sutlet Rivel at

mtrrn ar-rcl minirnutn temperatures are

6

Emanarvala

I I I

il

fl

21"C and 1loC, respectively. Other striking features of the

il

area climate include lou' and unpredictable rainfall (about

BG

mrn per year) and low humidity (4oo/o to

600/o).

7.

('it;rital ('ost
listimatcs:
Date of Estimation of the Capital Cost.
Septernber. 2008.

il f,l

itl

iti

$l

i!

!ll
,

ll.

Basis of Estimation of the Capital Cost.

The cost has been estimated on the basis of the NHA

Cornposite Schedule of Rates 2008 on the CSR 2008 rates.

$ ri

'I

with a premium of 25o/o

it :i
t!

:i
,i

lll.

Capital Cost.
Runee

FEC

(Rs.

Million.) Total
r,147

t.\47
nder':

Iten-rized details of'the cost of the project are summarized as

r.r

Bill
No.

Description
EARTH WORK SUB.BASE & BASE SURFACE COURSE & PAVEMENT STRUCTURES (Bridee) GUIDE BANKS WITH RIP PROJECTION

Amouut
(Rs.

Million)
9.76 5.70

I
2

45.13

J
4 5 b
7

434,94

202.62 5.04
37.64 15.00
2OO8

ANCILI,ARY WORKS
GENERAL ITEMS

I'LECTRICAL WORKS CIVIL WORK COST BASED ON CSR

755.83
I

])ROPOSED PREX,4IUl\l 25% ON CSR 2OO8

88.96

TOTAL TENTATIVE CIVIL WORKS COST NHA Establishment Charges (4 29u

944.79
1E.90

Contingencies Charqes @) 39'i, Surrervision Charges @ 39i, Cost of Escalation Land Compensation & Relocation of Utilities Sports Facilities Cost

28.34 28.34

68.00 50.00 4.70 4.70 1,147.77

Afforestation TOTAL TENTATIVE PROJECT COST

Details of tentative engineer's cost estimates rnay be seen at

Annexl'( -l lbr tlre ( ()rlslruflr()n ot (cu llr rdlrc

( )r er Sutlct

V.
7

liivt'r irt l.lnrlrnirrvtrl:r

Phasing of Capital Cost

The financial phasing of the project is summarized as

under:J.I\
o

Frnou u ts req

u i red

u yqqrcl xs' lYlLLLlelll

2010-l
.JO

Description
Civil Works
Contingencies Charges Departrnental Estab[shment Charges

2008-09 236
7 t) I

2009-10 378

Total
945 28
19

TI

{l
:il $t
1l

2
i

t2
7

I I
.13

l
c
6

lonstnrciion SuPervision
Price Escalation Land Acquisition. Cotttpensation,

t2
25

28 68
bU

ti
it

DU

tlt ilit ies

it il
i:

Srolts F'acilit ies

s

Cosr 5

.\{forr'stal iort

Total Financial Cost

306

434

407

1,147

Say Rs. 1.147

Billion

8.

Annual Operating and Maintenance

Cost after completion of the project:

The annual maintenance cost rvill be 0.1% of the project cost

9.

Demand and Supply

r\nal1'sis:

il'he demand and supply has been considered from the stand
poir-rt of' the capacitv

for the Emanar,vaia Bridge with a

lane calriagewa)' to cater lbr the existing and projected traffic. The degree of adequacy at r,vhich the proposed upgraded facility would handle the commuting traffic, has been determined

in terms of the Levels of Service,

as

defined in the Highway Capacity Manual.of the American Transport Research Board. A capacity analysis based on the

said manual has accordingly been carried out for

determined by comparing the Service Flow Rate
(thror-rgh application of'

the

proposed upgraded road. The Levels of Service have been

in

both

directions for the prevailing roadrvay and traffic conditions

the relevant adjustment

factors)

rvith the Peak Honr Flolv (PHF) in both directions.

PC-l lbr the Construction of Nerv Bridse Over Sutlet Rivel at Btuanau'ala

Re9utt.
ltestrlt of the capzrcity analysis is given as under:

Sr;No

Period
20L2 2020 2032

Level of Service
B
C

I
2 ,i

r9 3r
36

Details of capacity analysis rnay be seen at Annex-VI.

10. Financial Plan and

NIode of Financing:

The project will be financed through the Public Sector

i

Development Programme (PSDP).

r!

f B t 'i

:I

II

I)roj ect

benefits

and analysis:

i. ii.

Financial
Economic

The economic viability of the project has been determined

within the framework of the efficiency criterion of public investment using the 'Discounted Cash Flow Technique'. Economic measures like the 'Net Present value (NP\D
'Benefit cost Ratio' and the Economic rate of return', have
been detelmined, in this regard. Broad parameters, inputs, crit,erion, assurnptions and the rnethodology adopted in the analysis are detailed below:

Broad Criteria
The following broad parameters have been adopted:

. . .

Lit'e: Discount Rate: Period of irnplementation:

Economic

2}Years
L2%

2009 to 2011

Costs The economic analysis has been carried out on the basis of
domestic prices. As no tradition items / material is involved

in ploject

construction herebl, SEF

of 1.1 has not

been

trsec{/a1.rplied.

'['he shadorv wage rates of the skilled and

PC-l lbr rhe Construction of Nes,Bridge Over Sutlej River at Emanarvala

unsl<illed labor have been taken as 0'9 and 0'75 resperctively. 'fhe shadow wage rate factor has been
est,irnated by comparing the average labor wage rate in the region and the project labor wage. taking into account the

existing r-rnernployment l'ate. In order to convert the financial costs into economic costs, a factor of 0.90 as been adopted. This factor ensures that eiements of indirect or hiclden part of all externalities, if present in the project cost
are removed.

The fbllowing costs have been taken into account:

i. ii.

Economic capital cost phased over

irnplementation.

the period

of

Annual routiue maiuteuance cost @ 0.I of the capita)

cost.

flenefits
There are trvo tangible benefits accruing to the project lvhich have been considered in
below:

the

analysis as detailed

r.

Reduction in the uehicle operating costs' 'Ihese savings will accrue from the improved sulface
conditions for the commuters using the proposed road as against the poor surfilce conditions of the existing road, as indicated by therir

IRI values. The

operating

costs of ther vehicles colrrrllrting on the existing road

(undcr pool sut'ftrce conclitions)

&

those traveling on

the improved road r,r,ith far better surface conditions, have been taken from the Pakistan Transport PIan

Study 2006, duly updated for the escalation in the

intervening period.
ii.

Sauings

in time due to the construction of new

bridge ouer riuer Satl'ei at Emanawala-

These benefits will accrue from the higher cornmuting speed of the vehicles traveling on the

proposed improved road (because

of

good level of

service), as against the lorv speed of vehicles traveling (ln the existing road with very poor traveling conditions.

Salvage Value:

'Ihe follou'ing salvage values (at the end of the design

life of the approach loads) have been allor,ved for at the
c,nd of the economic

life of the proposed road:-

Components
Right of Way / Land Earthwork Pavement Base Pavement Surface Structures
100% increase by the end of th,e

design

life.
90%
80%
0%

50%
50o/o

Overall a salvage value

of the cost has been adopted.

Result of the Economic Analvsis:

'l'lre resrrlts of the ar-ral-ysis are summafized as under: f]errr'tit Cost Ratio @ lz\u Discount, Rate: 2.93:1 Net Plesent Value @ 12% Discount Rate: Rs. I,453.16 Million

Intelnal Rate of Retuln:

27%

Sensitivity Analysis:
Assumptions
Base case

EIRR(Percent)
21 25 26

Sensitivity Tests

ii.

Benefits - (10% reduction) Costs + (10% increase)

Details of the economic Analvsis mav be seen at Annex VII. nl.

[,]

r,'iro nnre nta

'l'hc

lrnpact

Quality Standards (NEQS) dclinc the limits fbr pollutants in air, water and soil frorn
Nat,ic-nral [,in'n'ironment

various sorlrces. The Project shail have no irnpact on the air

or

rn'ater quality

of the project except during

the

construction phase.

All potentially

adverse impacts arising

during construction can be mitigated satisfactorily and the

PC-l tbr the Constmction of Nerv Bridge Over Sutlej River at Emanatvala

lesidtral irnpacts reduced to an acceptable level with the

inclusion of suitable environrnental protection clauses in the construction contract docurnent.

72. Implementation

The proposed

commencement

of the rvork has been

the

Schedule:

tentatively fixed for February 2009. The project is scheduled

to be completed rn 22 months. A schedule chart of

implementation may be seen at Annex-VIII.

l:i.

Management
s-h"ucture &

manpower

requirements

including specinlized

skills during conshuction &

operational phases:

a,

Manpower Requirements

NHA ESTABLISHMENT
Designation

No. of
Posts
)

BPS BS-20 BS o BS 7 BS 7 BS 7 BS- 6 BS- o BS- 6

No.

of

Months
30 30
30

Man Months
-10

:i
t!

:l

nclirl i\4anaecr' ( N4ultan l)ackaqc l)nricct l)ilccttrr ( l)irccttrr)

ie

i\ssisturrt [)ilcctor ( l--nel') i\ssistant [)ilcctor' ( Adnrin ) i\ssistlrrt I)ilector (,\ccounts lnspectol/ Suoelvisor Sulvevor' Accountant
Superintendant (Adrnin)

)
I

)
I

30 30 30 30 30

30 60 30 30 60 30 30 30 60 60
30

4ccount Assistant / Suoerintendtnl

itenotypist
Corrrputor Ooerator

z
2

BS. BS-

i0
30

BS. I

30
30 30 30 30 30
JU

Juanoonso l)atwari UDC DC

BS-09
2 2
5

BS-05 BS-07 BS-05

30 60 60

)river
N/Qasid
l-le

BS-04
BS-O I

r50 r80
6A

lpel

z
2

BS-01
BS-O
I

30

lhor.r'kidar

)rvecl)er

IJS-{J I

i0

30

60
60

PC-l lbr the Constnrction ol-Nerv Bridge Over Sut['j

Rivci'at Bnrana*.ala

l2

CONSULTANT'S STAFF
Designation
I(esidcrrt Engineer' Assistlrrt l{csiderrt Etrgineer (Structures) I t.tspectttr ( ll iehu,ays)
Irrspector' ( Structures
Surv
)

No. of
Posts

No. of

Months
30

Man Months
30 30

i0 l0
2 4
I
I

30
30

cvtlls

30 30
30

60

Sulveyor I lelpers Draltsnren Office Manaeer -onrDuter (Jpcrators

Peons

t20
JU

Drivers
nowKloars

2
2

30 30 30 30 30 30

30 30 60 60 60

14. Additional
projects/decisions

The following projects which also make up the Special

Developrnent Package for Multan,

i
:l ,i i!
h'

will also have to be taken

required maximize

to socio-

up for irnplernentation in addition to the project for the

li

llurnnau,ala bridce
I.

economic benefits from the proposed

project:

C'onstruction of Expressrvay from Faisalabad to Multan via Khanewal.

ll.

Dualization / Federalization of road from Multan to

Shujabad to Jalalpur peer Wala.

iii.

Dualization

of N-5 from Chowk

Kumharanwala to

Bahawalpur Chorvk along with service roads (8 Km)

I'C-l lbr

the Constntction ol'New Bridee ()\'er Sutlci

ll.ivel zrt Dmanas'ala

\/
I

15.

Certificate:-

I L.---

-- -'

_____).--- -

of instructions has been prepared on the basis certified that the proiect proposal

givenby..thePlanningCommissionforpreparationofthePc-Iforthe
Infrastructure Sector Projects'

Prepared bY:

NESPAK H & TE Division.

'v'iv^"v'v"

Reeast bY:

National HighwaY AuthoritY Islamabad

(Khurram Azad Khan) iroject Coordinator (PC-I)

{

\@

Checked br':

(Bashir Ahmed) General Manager (Planning) National Highway Authoritv (NHA)

lslamabad.

&^",>

\tra-

4VW_6.A,LatiV
Member (Planning)
National HighwaY AuthoritY (NHA) Islamabad.

Approved BY:

audhry)

Chairman'

National HighwaY AuthoritY lslarnabad.

(Saiful
SecretarY

h Sherwanee)

nications

Government of Pakistan Islamabad.

t4
Over Sutlej River at Emanarvala PCI for the Construction of Nerv Bridge

I I I

ANNEX-T
LOCATIOAT MAP

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TYPICAL CROSS SEC?IO^rSS

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-::=_.......-...-'

ANNEX-TII
TRAFFIC STUDItrS

Annex-III

NAL HI
Construction of New Briclge Over Sutlej River at Emanawala

Traffic'Stu'dies
1.

GENERAL
The proposed bridge when constrttcted q'ould provide a dependable link between Jalalpur piranwala and UCH Sharif for both light as r'vell as heavy traffic with a considerable shorter length. The proposed bridge

is 2-Iane, 8'5 meter wide, 600 meters long rvith approach roads of 01-krn either side on river Sutlej at
Flmanan,irla at conuect s'ith the existing load netlvork'

2.

'l'

Rr\I"l'l O Sl'Ul)I ES

The main objective of the traffic studies is to assess the present volumes and composition of traffic loads and to project the present volumes of traffic for the future years to judge the vehicles likely to use the proposed bridge in the next 20
years.
2.1

Traffic
Traffic likely to use the proposed bridge is given as utrcler:
Base Year

Traffic
(AADr)

Vehicles
Nl

rt,r'r:r'c li'*iRi,,k*j'r,irr*

_]."1:
1061

Cars/Jeeps

472 224 30
138

WaeonsfMinibuses Buses/Flying Coaches'*

Trucks/Tra ctors/Trailersx Total:

Source:

1925

Punjab Highway Departrnent Traffic Count Summary

Likely to divert due to bridse construction

generated With the proposecl construction, about 10% ler'v traffic is expected to be and use the bridge.
,. ,.

Future Traffic Growth Estirnates

bridge Future estimates of average daily traffic likely to operate at the proposed (Classified by vehicle type) past five years traffic data for Jalalpur Pirwala l,c,clhr.alr r.oacl has been obtained lrom Punjab Highwa5r Departtnent' lJasccl

il

$l Il i!I
:i it
ri

0n pasl clata, lr,rttrr'e traflic grorvth rates have been worked out using
(ACGR %)
Vehicles / Years
2008-13
20 13-18

$l

regression analysis and given as under:2018-23

2023-28 3.89 4.12

2028-33

M/Cycles/Ricksharvs Cars/Jeeps/TaxisiPickUps/ Wagons/Buses

9.46
10.93

6.40 7.03

4.84 5.19

3.26
3.41

7.42 5.55

5.40
4.34

4.25
6.O t

3.50 3.03

2.98 2.63

Trucks
2.:J

'l'r'a f fi c I.'orecasts

'l'hc traffic plojection baseci on the afbresztid annual conrpound growth rates may
be seen

in Table-l.

Annex-III
TabIe-I

NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTII ARITY

Construction of New Bridge Over Sutlej River at Emanawala
ANNUAL AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC (AADT)
Year
2003
20Q4

Motor Cycles & Rickshaws

1

Car / Jeeps
?qq

Buses & Coaches

322
?q?

Trucks
1E7
I

Total
{AADT)
1

009

843

1171
1

432

to

2131

2005 2006 2007

358

czJ
638 776

386

197

2466
2857

1576
1

423 464
508 546 s86 ozY
O r.O

220

828

246
275 291 307

3314
3848 4205 4596

2008
2009

2121

944
1047
1

2322 2541 2782 3045 3333

3546

2010
2011

161

1288

324

5024 5492
6006

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

2017

1429
1 1

342
377

585 697

IZO

/oo
807

6385 6789

JI IJ
401 5

1816 1944 2080 2227 2342

8s0
896

410 428 446 462 479

7219
7676
81 63

4272 4545 4765 4996

5237 5491 5757
5981

2018 2019 2020

945
985 1027
1

8555 8965 9395 9847

1

2464 .2592"

:2021
2022 2023 2024 2025

070
163

j496
513
JJZ

zt zo
zoo6
2986
31

ttto
1

0320

1204 1246
1

548
565

10719

oztJ
6455

09

11133
11564
1201',!

2026
2027

3237

290 335

582
599 617 634

o/uo
oYo /

JJ/U
3509

2028 2029
2030 2031

1382
1423
1

12475
12880 13297

7194 7429 ,7671 7921 8179 8446

8721

3629
3753
3881 401 3

465
509

650

667
685
7 n'1.

:13728
14173

2032
ZUJJ

1554
1 1 1

4150
4291

600 648 097

14632
15106
1

2034
2035 2036

721
74Q

4438 4589

5596

9005

1748

760

16102

ANI{EX-IV
DRAWIIVGS SHOWIIVG
TRAATSVtrRStr StrCTIOAl &

LONGITUD IIVAL PROFILE Otr

THE STRUCTURES

ANr{EX-V
TE IV TAT IVE E IV G I I{ EER'S

COST ESTIMATES

Annex-V
NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTHORITY
construction of New Bridge over sutlej River at Emanawala
Tentative Engineer's Cost Estimates Abstract of Cost
Bill
I

No.

Description

Amount
(Rs. Million)
45.13 9.76 5.70 434.94 202.62 5.04 37.64 15.00
$ li
i;

F}\lt'l'tl \\'()Rli

$l

s|u-ll,\slj & tsASU

SURFACE COURSE & PAVEMENT STRUCTURES (Bridge) GUIDE BANI{S WITH RIP PROJECTION

iil

$l

J
,_

ill
iI $
i[

,!l

2
lf,

ti

ll

ANCILLARY WORKS
GENERAL ITEMS ELECTRICAL WORKS

7 8

ii

f
2OO8

CIVIL WORK COST BASED ON CSR

PROPOSED PRE\4ILIN{ 25% ON CSR
2OO8

755.83 188.96

'r'o'r"\r-'fENl'A',nvlt clvll, woRlis cosT

NHA listablishment (,'harges Contingencies Chalges Supervision Charges
Cost of Escalation
/c) 3% (tt'

944.79 r8.90
28.34 28.34

!'ln

@ 3%

68.00 50.00 4.70

4.70

Land Compensation & Relocation of Utilities

Sports Facilities Cost

Afforestation

TOTAI, TBNTATIVE* PROJECT COST

*l)t,trriIt,d clt'sigrr trot vct uttcltlt'tal<etr

L,t47.77

CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE OVER SUILEJ RIVER AT EMANAWALA

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE

BILL NO. 1 EARTHWORK AND ALLIED ACTIVITIES
RATE 2008)

ITEM NO

DESCRIPTION

UNIT

QUANTITY

(csR

(Rs')
101

AMOUNT (Rs.)

Clearing and grubbing

SM

50,000.00

12.07

603,500.00

102a

Removal of trees 150 - 300 mm qtrth

Each

100.00

198.34

19,834.00

102b

Removal of trees 301 - 600 mm qrnh

Each

100.00

517.38

51,738.00

102c

Removal of trees 60'1 or over oirth

Each

50.00

2,069.52

103,476.00

103

Stripping

CM

5000.00

105.14

525,700.00

104

Comoaction of natural oround Formation of embankment from roadway excavation in common material Formation of embankment from borrow excavation in common material Sub-grade preparation in earth cul

SM

50,000.00

12.03

601,500.00

'108a

CM

2,000.00

204.16

408,320.00

08c

CM

200.000.00

212.43

42,486,000.00

09a

SM

10.000 00

330,600.00

Total

45,130,668.00

i{

lil

fl iil

tl

ft

CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE OVER SUTLEJ RIVER AT EMANAWALA

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE

BILL NO.2 SUB BASE AND BASE COURSES
RATE
I

(csR 2008)

Granular sub-base Course

4,730,824.00

$l

Water Bound Macadam Base Course (Class B)

1,173.43

5.022,280.40

frl ill itt tl

l,
]T

9,753,104.40

i{

it
lF

iI iI $

ii
il
$

ii
ii

ove n swt-El ntvrR Rr ruRrunwnm

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S GOST ESTIMATE
BILL NO. 3 SURFACE COURSES AND PAVEMENT

CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE

Double Surface Treatment

2,455,700.00

f,l $l

$l

Trrole Surface Treatment

14,700.00

3,237,234.00

ill
It

it

5,692,934.00
$

ii ii

{
ii

CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE OVER SUTLEJ RIVER AT EMANAWALA

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE

ailI Nrl

qTRIICTIIRFS IBRIDGE
DESCRIPTION Structural Excavation in Common Material Str,rcturat Excavation in common Material below water level Granular back fill Concrete class A'l i) Under ground
ri) On ground

ITEM NO
1A7a
1

UNIT
CM CM CM

OUANTITY
1,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00

KAItr (csR 2008)

(Rs.)
158.74 461.82 633.21

AMOUNT (Rs.) 158,740.00 923,640.00 1,266,420.00

07b

107d 4A1a

CM CM CM

200.00 200.00 1,000.00

5,935.89 6,251.20 6,88,|.82

1,187,'178.00

1,250,240.00 6,881,820.00

iii) Elevated 401a Concrete Class A3 i) Under ground

ii) On ground

CM CM CM CM CM

6,500.00 400.00 4,000.00 100.00 400.00 50.00 2,000.00 200.00 20.00 1,700,000.00 250.00
140.00

6,631.52 6,946.83 7,780.55 3,681.64 8,403.62 87,508.58

43,104,880.00 2,778,732.00

401d 401t 4019 404a

404b 405a 406a 406e 406h
NSI

Prestressed concrete class D1

Lean concrete

31j22,200.00
368,164.00 3,361,448.00 4,375,429.00 198.642.160.00 32,407,032.00 9,602.40 3,791,000.00 7,500,000.00 42,000.00 339,170,685.40

Precast concrete class A Reinforcement as per AASHTO M-31 grade 40 Rernforcement as per AASHTO M-31 grade 60 Prestessing ropes / strands Remolded joint filler 12 mm thick with bitumastic joint seal Electrometric bearing pads size (500 x 400 x 60mm) Expansion joints transflex or equivalent Mortar pad under electrometric bearing pad

Ton
Ton

99,32L0B
162,035.16
480.12

Ton
SM
UUIII

2.23 30,000.00 300.00

Each

Carried over

CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE OVER SUTLEJ RIVER AT EMANAWALA

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE

BILL NO.4
ITEM NO
S RUCTURES (BRIDGE

KAItr
UNIT QUANTITY

DESCRIPTION

(csR

2008)

lRs I
Brouqht forward Cast-in-place concrete piles (boring only) 600.00 0,000.00

AMOUNT (Rs')
339,170,685.40

407d

a) 1000 mm dia
b) 2000 mm dia

6,000,000.00

1,800.00

15,000.00

27.000.000.00

407k

Confirmatory boring

100.00

1,913.67

191,367.00

NSI

Test pils 1000 mm dia (including concrete and

steel rn normal soil) Permanent prle casing (10 mm thick 2000 mm inner dia) Pile load test twice the design load

60.00

25,000.00

1,500,000.00

NSI

1,000.00

45,000.00

45.000,000.00

NSI

Each

1.00

500,000.00

500,000.00

405b

launching of Girders

Ton

10,000.00

bd6.zb

6,882,600.00

606a

Concrete (bridge railing) Reinforcement as per AASHTO, M31 Grade 60 (bridge railing) Reinforcement as per AASHTO, M31 Grade 40 (bridge railing) Deck drainage

M3

400.00

1,000.00

4,400,000.00

606b

Ton

40.0c

85,000.00

3,400,000.00

606c

Ton

5.00

75,000.00

375,000.00

SP-31

LS

500,000.00

500,000.00
'18,000.00

SP-32

2 Coats of Bituminous material

M2

150.00

120.00

Total

434,937,652.40

CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE . . N SWIT.I RIVER AT EMANAWALA

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE

BILL NO.5 GUIDE BANKS WITH RIP PROJECTION
UNIT

ITEM NO

DESCRIPTION

OUANTITY

(csR

RATE 2008)

(Rs.)
1 ,1

AMOUNT (Rs.)

nl 509c

Riprap, Class C

CM

150,000 00

63.1 0

174,465,000.00

ill
li ii
$ l[

f1 509h Filter layer of granular material CM 5,000 00

71
1

.68

3,558,400.00

NSI

Formation of earthen guide bank

CM

200,000.00

120.00

24,000,000.00

$
1l

i;
B

NSI

Concrete chute

Each

150.00

4,000.00

600,000.00

Total

202,623,400.00

ovrn surlr.l ntvrn nr EURnnwnu

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE
I

BILL NO. 6 ANCILLARY WORKS

UNIT OUANTITY

ITEM NO

DESCRIPTION

(csR

RATE 2008)

(Rs.)
719.28

AMOUNT (Rs')
'1,438,560.00

il
Il !tl

601dii

Pre-cast kerb

2,000.00

604a

Metal guaro rail

1,000.00

1,963.73

1,963,730.00

$t
fi
]T

:,

604b

Metal guardrail end Pieces

Each

10.00

1.453.72

14,537.20

il iI

604d

Steel posts for guard rail

Each

50.0c

278,388.00

$ fi ;t

607a

Traffic road signs category

Each

20.0Q

8,529.77

170,595.40

607b

Traffic road srgns category 2

Each

10.00

11,048.52

110,485.20

607e

Traffrc road srgns categorY 3(c)

SM

40 00

i 0,845.16

433,806.40

608b2

Pavement marking with reflective CR oaint for lines of 15 cm width Reflectorized Pavement Stud (Raised Profile type
double)

6,300.00

51.75

326,025.00

609d

Each

600.00

J I O.O/-

226,092.00

NSI

Delineator

Each

250.00

300.00

75,000.00

Total

5,037,219.20

CONSTRUCTION QF BRIDGE
i

ovE[sutle.l

ntvER

nt EttllRrunwnln

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE

I

BILL NO
ITEM NO

G ENERAL ITEMS
DESCRIPTION UNIT

OUANTITY

RATE

(csR-2008)
(Rs.)
I

AMOUNT (Rs.) (Rs.)

701a
701 b

Provide Surveying & Allied Instruments Maintain Survey instruments and Provide teams for Survey Provide office accommodation (Rental Basis) for tht Employer/Engineer's Representative Furnish and Equip. the Employer/Engineer's Representative office & Residence Maintain Employer/ Engineer's Oftice & Residence Provide Material testing Project Laboratory Equip, and Furnish Material Testing Project Labora

P.S

2,500,000
22

irl
itl :!l fl

il

Month

25,000

550,000

fl
ii

702a

P.S

2,000,000

$ i|

I
ig

702b

P.S

3,000,000

ii ti $

702c 703 a 703 b 703 c 705 708a

Month H.5

zz

75,000

1,650,000 2,000,000

r.J
Month L.5
22

2,000,000
70,000 1,540,000

luuintain Material Testing Project Laboratory

I

lConstruction or Diversion Road

I I

Provide Employer's Transport

P.S P.S
1

l(i) Toyota Prado 4WD with A/C

l(ii) Suzuki Pickup Jeep 1000cc with tuC
I I

3,500,000 1,500,000

3,500,000

708b

Provide Engineer's Representative Transport

rouo,, Prado 4wD with tuc

l,,, (ii)Toyota Double Cabin 4WD with A/C
(iii) Toyota Single Cabin 4WD with A/C
(rv) Suzukr Pickup Jeep 1000cc with A/C 708cr

No. No. No. No.

1

3,500,000 3,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 70,000 70,000 18,000

,,uoo,ooo
2,000,000

t
88 22 150

,,ooo,ooo
6,160,000

Runnrng & Maintenance of Engineer's Transport Running & Maintenance of Employer's Transport

Month Month Month

708cii

',,uoo,ooo 2.700.000
37,640,000

Trainee Engineer's with Boarding and Lodging Total

CONSTRUCTION OF BRIDGE OVER SUTLEJ RTVER AT EMANAW

TENTATIVE ENGINEER'S COST ESTIMATE

BILL NO. 8 ELECTRICAL WORKS
UNIT

ITEM NO

DESCRIPTION

QUANTITY

(csR

RATE 2008)

AMOUNT

(Rs.)

(Rs.)

it

it

il

f
Electric poles, cable, connection for Wapda Lum Sum 15,000,000.00

li

Total

15,000,000.00

ANhTEX.VI
CAPACITY AI{ALYffS

Annex-VI

AL HIG
at Emanawala Construction of New Bridge Over Sutlej River CaPacitY AnalY'sis
stand point of the capacity for the The demancl and supply hzrs been considered from the for the existing and projected l.lrrrtrpiru,rrll llr.itlge u it['r ir 2 lape cetrriageu'a5' to cater would handle trallic. 'f he degrec of'acleclrtacy ttt n'hich the ploposed up-graded facility of sern'ice, as defined the commuting traffic, has been determined. in terms of the Levels in the Highway Capacity Manual of the American Transport Research Board. A capacity

{l itl
BI sl

$r
$
ti r!

analysis based on the said manual has accordingly been carried out for the proposed upgraded road. The Levels of Service have been determined by comparing the Service Flow Rate in both directions for the prevailing roadway and traffic conditions (through application of the relevant adjustment factors) rvith the Peak Hour Flow (PHF) in both
directions.

li
ti

Service Flow Rate.

Sf',

--

2.800 x (ry'c)i x fa x 1" x fnr

-

\V hcre:

Sl-i

Total service florv rate in both directions for prevailing roadrvay and traffic conditions, for levei of service i, in vph; ratio of flow rate to ideal capacity for level of selvice i; adjustment factor for directional distribution of traffic;
adjustment factor for narrow lanes and restricted shoulder rvidth; adjustment factor for the presence of heavy vehicles in the traffic stream,

(vic)1 =

fr= t-

fnv firr'

computed as;

1/[1+Pr(Er- 1) + Pn(En - 1) + Ps(Es Peak hour Flow l)t'lrl< lr,rrr r l'-iri:tor' . ,\'\D'l' / Pt:al< Hour F actor
=

1)]

Itesults of'the capacity' analy'sis ale given belorv:

It c str lt s.

'l'he trtrllic den'rand rvili be met by the fzrcilities envisaged tbr construction under the project against different levels of service, as indicated below:
Sr.No:

Period
2012 2020 20:t2

Level of Service
B
C

I
2
'J

19

- 31 - 36

Details may be seen in the following tables:

1: Table- 2:
Table-

Adjustment factors for heavy vehicles.

Level of Service

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AT{NtrX-VII
ECOA{O]UIIC

AIVALYffS

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I ii

Annex-VII

,i
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NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTHORITY

Construction of New a Bridge Over Sutlej River at Emanawala

Economic Analysis
1.
GENERAL
The objective of the project is to provide connection between Jalalpur Piranwala

and UCH Sharif through the construction of bridge with the proposed construction. UCH Sharif u'ill be connected with highways network and easy to
approach Multan and other major cities rvith a considerable shorter length.

It

would also contribute toward the socio-economic uplift of the rural area by reducing the travel time and operating cost of the commuting traffic to the most
economical and financial sustainable level.

llcononric justificatior-r o1'

the project has been established by showing

its

llrrrl)lrrllilit-t' itr terl'ttts ol'e.rcerss of'benefits to the economy over economic costs by using the discounted cash florv technique. All costs and benefits attributed to the project are expressed at a constant 2008 price levels. The projected stream of
economic benefits over the economic life of the project has been compared to the estirnated stream of economic costs by bringing the two to a uniform basis through

the process of discounting. The economic ind.icators such as Net Present Value (NP\D, Benefit Cost Ratio (B/C Ratio) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) have
been computed.

The economic justification has been substantiated by the following studies:

i)

Economic Analysis, covering

a) b) c) 2.

Quantification of project economic benefits

I)eter,nrir-ration of project economic costs Calcr-rlatiou of economic indicators such as NPV, B/C Ratio, EIRR

PROJECT BENEF'ITS
Tangibie benefits accruing frorn the implementation o{' any road/bridge project comprise of vehicle operating cost (VOC) savings as u,ell as travel time cost CyTT)
savings. Hor'vever, a major and important part of the benefits from the project

implementation is expected to accrue from VOC savings, therefore a sensitivity

analysis has been done by excluding travel time cost savings also.

.l
T

ri

;l
.t
rE

2.L Pararneters required for calculation of tangible benefits

Neccssar.,r.prrlarnetels consiclered {br calctrlation o{'tzrngible benefits are disctrssed
be l<-rlr,:

r
:I

t
3

2.1.1 Traffic likely to use the proposed Road

A summary of the traffic lil<ely to use the proposed bridge is detailed in traffic
study chapter.

fi

fi fi I I t

2.I.2 Average Operating

Speeds

Average operating speeds for various vehicles have been utilized vehicle operating costs. 'fhese are as given ttnder:

to

workout

t f, !
It
i
I

Vehicle Operating Speeds (I(m/h)

Description \\'it
hou

Motorcycle

Car

N{ini Bus/ Coaster

25

Bus

TruckTractors
20

l
55

30

2lt

Pr r-rject

With Project

70

60

60

50

2.L.3 Economic Prices usecl for calculating Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC) For working out VOC/I(m, prices of different vehicles such as Cars, wagons' Coasters, Buses and trucks and those of fuel, Iubricants and tyres have been expressed in economic prices by excluding duties and taxes from the financial/
market prices. These are given in Table-1.

2.1.4 VOC Per Kilometer

'l'e ar.r'ir,t: irt \'OC/tini. the plil'sical values of' ftte-l consutnption, engine oil
consumption. tyre lvear', maintenance cost, depreciation, interest and wages etc' at various speed.s as applicable to the rvithout and with project conditions are
required..

VOC have been based on a set of linear and cluadratic equations which

have been derived from the reports of JICA and NTRC. Using these Equations per

kiloneter vehicle operating costs for variolts vehicles against respective operating speeds have been calculated and given in Table-Z.

i!

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2.1.5 Travel Time Costs Per Kilometer

Parameters considered for working out travel time costs for passenger vehicles
are:

Average annual income per passenger

Annual working hours

Nr-rmber o1'occupants per vehicle

Ilased on thc abuve parameters. econon-]ic r.'alue of travel time expressed in Rs per

hotti' have been ivorked out for occupants of Car, Wagon/Mini Bus and Bus. Various assumptions regarding monthly income, working hours etc. made in this
regards are given in Table-3. Based on these assumptions per kilometer value of

travel time for passengers of various vehicles against different operating

have been estimated and shown in Table-4.

speeds

2.2 Quantification

of Project Benefits

2.2.1 Vehicle Operating Cost Savings

As stated earlier a major part of the economic benefits from the project implementation is expected to accrue from the VOC savings. It is, therefore,
irttpot'Lltut to havc u leliitbli: esLrnrate o1'r'ehicle operating costs per Km both under
n itlror.rt irnd

u'ith ploject cr.rnditior-rs.

Based on the quaclratic equations discussed above ancl economic prices, vehicle

operating cost per kilometer by type of vehicie under without project conditions
have already been worked out (refer to Table-1). To arrive at total annual vehicle operating costs (AVOC) both under without and with project conditions, VOC per

kilometer have been rnultiplied r.vith the AADT and distance travelled in a year. Annual vehicle operating costs worked out in respect of existing traffic both under

rvithout and with project conditions are given in Table-5 and are summarized
belorv:

\\:ith Project
Savings

[!]ua_tw"t

Qepc{p!io4

2012 *
:326
91

Million Rs.
2030 918 223 696

236

Ist year after construction

Total travel tirne cost savings including savings attributed to generated traffic are
as given under:

Savings due to Existine Traffic Generated Traffic Total: *' Ist year after construction 2.2.2 Annual Savings in Value of Travel Time

ll M illion Rs. 20t2 * 2030

236
239

696
8

704

Basic parameters required for valuing travel time for Car, Wagon, Coaster and Bus passengers have already' been detennined above. Value of travel time under
rvithoLrl and n,ith project conditions have been calcr.rlated by dividing value of tirne

pcl

hor.rr'

(ltel'er t,o1'able - :J) b1' the respective speeds.

Annual value of travel time (AVTT) is a function of VTT per km, ADT and annual
distance covered. Based on these parameters worked out earlier, annual AVTT in
respect of diverted traffrc are given in Table - 6 and are summarized below:

Descrirrtion Without Proiect

With Proiect
Savings

20L2 *
oo
DD

Million

Rs. 2030
130

10

29

23

r00

lst veat' after constructiorl

'l't.rtal vehicle operating cost sirvir-rgs including generated traffic savings are given under:
AS

Savings due to Existins Traffic Generated Traffic

Total:

2012 *
23
10

Mi ion Rs.
2030
100
2

24

102

Ist year after construction

2.2.3 Total Project Benefits Total project benefits including savings attributed to diverted plus generated traffic as detailed above are given in Table-7 and have been summarized as given
u

ll(t(,1':

Savings
VOC Savings

Mi ion Rs. 2030 201-2 *

239 24 703

VTT Savings
T'otal:

t02
8105

262

.\lpurrl stlt:ipr-r of'tot:tl ltlojgct benefits over the period of analysis is given in
'['able-8.
3.

PROJECT COSTS
The project costs include capital cost of construction, recurring costs and overlay
costs. These are discussed below:

3.1

Project Investment Costs

Total engineering estimates of the project costs have been estimated as Rs. 1,148

Million and are detaiied in Table-9

As stated earlier, economic analysis is to be undertaken on constant price leveis while estimating both the benefits and costs attributed to the project. The analysis lrirs thgr.gliryc bccn underttrlien using investment costs of Rs. 1,080 lVlillion (Total lnvt,stnrt,nt (}rsL of'Il.s. t,l.lB Ntillion less escalation of Rs. 68.00 Million during
constntction).

This cost (i.e Rs. 1,080 Nlitlion) has been expressed in economic terms as Rs' 972 Million by applying Standard Conversion Factor of 0.90 (as calculated in Tabiel0). Annual phasing of these costs is detailed in Table-9 and summary of the same
is given under:

Mi on Rs.
Year
I

Proi ect Inve stme4t !-gE!q

Financial
2

Economic
275 368 329 972

306 434

'ti,rio l'ot
3.2

:!q9-I 148

- --

Recurrent Costs Operating and Nlaintenance (O&M) costs work out as Rs. 1.148 Million. By
applying SCF of 0.90, the economic costs are estimated as Rs. 0.972 or say Rs. 1-00

Million.

it

3.3

Overlay Costs
Overlay cost estimated as Rs. 14.600 Nlillion occurring in the llth year after llro.icct irnlllernc'ntation has bc'en expressed in economic terrns as Rs. 13.l40

llillion.

4.

RBSULTS OI,"[HB ANALYSIS

The discounted cash flow of net benefits is given in Table-ll. The economic
indicators, thus cornputed are summ arrzed belorv:

Results of the Analvsi Economic Pararneters At

Present Worth of Benefit (Million
Rs.)

LLo/o

Discount

Rate
2,204.53 751.36
1.453.16 2.93 27

Present Wolth of Costs (Million

Rs.)

Net Present Value (Million Rs.) B/C Ratio EIRR (Percent)

'l'he lesr.rlts given above indicate that the proposed bridge is econornicaliy viable as

the calculated rate of return is well above 12 percent. The project is ,therefore,
recommended to be irnplemented as planned

5.

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS In order to examine the effect of a possible increase in project costs and or decrease in estimated economic benefits of the project, two alternate economic
analyses have been undertaken on the basis of a set of assumptions. The result of the sensitivity analysis are given below:

t
i. ii.

Assumptions

&,lg -"-a!s* :-Sensitivity Tests

Benefits - I0% Costs + I0%

EIRR (Percent)
27 25
26

- -----_---

The results of sensitivity analysis given above shorv that in all cases, the project is not sensitive to any of the above assumptions as the calculated EIRR is aII cases is

well above 12 percent.

l6

li rt
,a

:t .i

ii

TABLE- 1 (a)

VEHICLE PRICES

Sr. No.

ITEMS

Motor Cycle

Rickshaw

Car

Wagon/ Toyota Hiace

Mini Bus/ Coaster

Bus

z-axle

Trucks

I 3-axle I tl | |
37s0000

4-axle/ & above

osooooo

#### Financial / Market Price

*'-.' axes/uuues
I

?3950
9646 64304

30000 6957 3043

984000 483399 50060'l

2osoooolrtztooolrgooooolrrzuooo

Market PrLe
qdjestment Factor

leis

.*r^l*"*1l*.r*lr^r*
|
raezaoo
1.1

1 1

14014?2
1.1
1

Tarea & Duti"s

1.1

zeeorzo
1.1

zro+oec

2721335

,tr.* | rr**
I
1.1

3265602

Economic Price
Adj. Factor:-

IVTJJ

1.1 124348

.1

550661

541 564

2049152

2932732

't.1 1.1 2534470 2993469

1.1

3592163

As SCF has been calculated as 0.90 thereby all traded commodities are to be adjusted by a factorof

TABLE- 1 (b)

TYRE (TNCLUD|NG TUBE) PRTCES

Vehicle Type Financial Prices
TY RE &

Sales Tax

Eco. Price
(Market price less sales tax)

TUBE PRICEES
B6 117 365

Motor Cycle Rickshaw Car Wagon Mini Bus Bus

oou 900 2,800 3,800 7,000 20,000 22,500

574 783

2,435
3,304 6,087 17,391 19,565

496 913 2,609 2.935 3,652

? q1? 3,261

Truck
2-Axle 3-Axle 4-Axle & above 28,000
30,000 25,000

24,348
26,O87

Tractor

21.739

TABLE-

(c

FUEL PRICES

TABLEinqine oil Price

r (d)
(Rupees)
47.28 3.44 43.84
1.1

TABLE- 1 (e)

CNG PRICE
Market Price Taxes'/ Profit Margins Price less Sales Tax Adjustment Factor

ENGINE OIL PRICE

Enqine oil Price
vlarkel Price (Avg) Sales Tax )rice less Sales Tax \djustment Factor

(Rupees)
212.21 31.83 180.38
't .1

Economic Price

48.22

:conomic Price
TE: Ad,i.Factor;2008

198.41

July 2008 Prices

'

Sales Tax Elec./Gas, Advance lax etc.

All traded commodities are to be adiusted by 1.1 as SCF is -90

,!
:,
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il

TABLE.2
VEHICLE OPERATING COST PER KM

WTH PROJECT
Rs./KM

SPEEDS

MOTOR CYCLE

iICKSHA\A

CAR

WAGON VIINI-BUf

BUS

TRUCK

2.AXLE

3-AXLE

I annrrr
10

I o nxre

4.48 J-/O

6.96 5.85 5.22 4.82

20.39 16.48 4.83 13.95

1

)n qq
17.48

26.08
22. 15 19.94 18.47

42.68
71

57.85 49.28 42.72 37.35 32.89 ZJ.ZJ 26.30 24.08 22.55 21.69 21 .49 21.95 23.07 24.84 27.26 30.32 0.00

70.94 60.24 52.'tB 45.65 40.28

35.91

87.48 74.34 64.32 56.22 49.54

44.11

20
IJ

3.36 3.09
2.91
2.BO

t( 7a
14.57

33.24
30.91

JU

4.54 4.25
4.2'l
4.ZZ

13.48 13.24

t3.73
13.10

40 45
AN

2.73 2.70
2.71

't2.84
I

z.J6

12.07

t2.64 t2.30 t2.08

11.97

60 65
70

2.75 2.83 2.94 3.08

J. ZO

4.29 4.40

11.90
11.55 11.25 10.91
'10.81

t1.94
2.01

17.42 16.64 16.06 15.65 15.37 | 3.ZJ 15.20

15.28 15.46 15.75

29.28 28.15

zI.+z
27.O4

4.57 4.78
5.04 5.34 5.69 6.09

75 80
B5

3.46
J.bY
J. VO

10.68

10.70
10.77

90

z. to 2.39 2.70 3.09 3.56

26.98 27 22 27.74 28.54 29.60 qn o?

32.51
?, AE

32.46 29.89 28.17 27.29 27.23 27.98

39.82 36.62 34.48 33.38

33.31

34.25

to- tJ to.o 17.18

I

36.45

WITHOUT PROJECT Rs./KM

SPEEDS MOTOR CYCLE
R,ICKSHA\.A

CAR

WAGON

vllNl-BU:

BUS 2-AXLE

TRUCK

3-MLE I +-nxie

I aRn\/tr
102.69 87.12 75.67 66.55 59.18 48.80 45.58
4J.OZ

10
'15

5.18 4.45

8.15
7.O2

24.55 20.47 18.40 17.14

29.97 25.37 22.85 21.46 20.34

19.51 18.91

t(\
25 ?n

4.03
3.76 3.45 ??a

b.5/
5.67 5.48 5.33 5.35 5.43 5.57 5.75 5.99 6.28

37.10 31.64 zo.oo zo.t z

t6.30
|

zc.Jo
24.38 23.66 23.16 22.83 22.67 22.65 22.76 23.00 23.36 23.83 24.43 13. t5

35 40 45
50 55 60

5.71

3.42
3.51

65
70

3.64 3.80

75
80
B5

?ao
4.21

t5.29 t5.00 t4.79 t4.67 4.60 4.60 4.60 4.69

4.81

18.48 IB.1B
18.01

52.28 44.69 40.38 37.56 35.63 34.34 33.54 ?2 10 33.22 33.62 34.37 35.44 36.85 38.56 40.60 42.94 45.58

17.96

69.04 58.39 50.58 44.35 39.27 35.16 31.93 29.54 27.94 27.13 ?7.09
27.81

84.13 71.23 61.84

54.41

48.42 43.66
40.01 37.41

35.83
JC.ZJ
JC.O
I

42.89
43.37

o.oz
7.00 7.44

r8.00 t8.14 t8.37 r8.69

19.10

36.96

45.05

29.28 31.50 34.47

38.1 8

90

4.47 4.76

4.98 2.77

t9.60

0.00

TABLE

VALUE OITTRAVEL TIMIi

DESCRI P'TION

i\ro1'oR

cYcl.ll

RtcKslt.\\r'

CAR

\\"\co\
I I

il

t,\cu

co,\sTErv
Fl,\'rNG CO,\Cil

Btis

I8'!- ErJ!r!rE-\!!!XEpEX\-sS
:

Itr\C Elr-lQ{lqt iP.lNIs

li\rcrxgq Jng."r. of
I

l)asscrrgcr

1Rs./\lonrh) * Rs./Alnunr)

15.000
r

6.000

24.000 238.t)00

10,00c)

3.000

9_200 I 10,.100

l,\r.,,,u. l,,.nur. of

l)asscnrcr

80.000

t92.000

I20.000

56.000

Worling llours /,\nnurn

Rnlc of passcngcr Rs.,'l lour

2l9l
82.r5
t.00

2t9l
8

2t9l
r3 t..15

2t9l
54.77

2l9l
71.20 25.00
I

2t9l
50.39 40.00
r

7.63

No. of Occuparts

1.50

260
i4 r .76

t4.00
'766.77

Trntcl Tirre Valuc ofu:cupants---in fitrncial lcrnrs (Rs./l lour)

82 t5

ri

1.45

780.0

2015 52

'l'rrvcl 'Iilrc \rtluc of occupxnts---in tcrnrs {Rs./Ilour) 25'2,

ccononric

20.5J
0l
rD

32.86
Rfl\\'illpindi -J

85.{-t

19t.6.)

.f

{5.00

503.88

TAI}I,E

'rRi\\,t:,I,'ilIrr: \"\l-u!)
SPEIIDS

(Rs. per linr )

i\to foR cl'c Lli

RICKSIIN W

IIIA(

COASl'ER/ Ft,\,ING COACII

29_.67

llus
3i.s9
25.t9 t6.80 t2.60
I

t5

t0
30

l.l7 l.0i
0.68

2.19 t.64

t2.78
9.58 .t.79 3.83
3.

l0
50 60

Ll0
0.82 0.66 0.55

; "^
.
t9

22.25 t4.83

0.i
().1

i
|

tt.li
8
e-g

0.i4

7.42

0.08 8.40

NO

IE:-

'l-ltc vnlue of lravcl liDre itr a !!urnbcr of studics havc bcen cstimatcd ilt 259lo to i3'% ol'thc rvrllc ratc 'tluc to lack ofiufonnntion on thc splil ofuorli and norrrvork travcl anronr passcngcrs and llc

propotlion of nor-rvrgc cantcrs atnong passcngcrs.

TABLE.

ANNUAL STITEAN,I OF PIIOJEC-T I}ENEITITS

Million
YEAR
YDARS

Rs.

YEAR
AFTE,I{ PROJECT

OF

CONSTRUCTION

COMPLIlTION

BENEFITS

2008-09 2009-10

I
2
3

2
3

2010-l 2012
2013 2014 2015 2016

4
5

0.00 0.00 0.00 262.46 216.58 303.28 329.98

2
3

6 7
8

4
5

3s6.67
83.37 410.07 426.78
3

20t7
201
B

6
7
B

l0

2019
2020
2021

ll
t2 l3

443.49 460.19 476.90

493.61

l0

2022 2023

l4
l5

ll
t2
13

2024
2025 2426 2027

l6
17

535.66 571.70

14

l8
t9
20

l5 l6 t7 l8
19

619;t4
661.79 703.83 735.96 768.09 1359.12

2028
2029

2l
22
23

2030
2031

20*
TOTAL

Include Salvaqe value

I
TABLE . 9
PROPOSED PROJECT COST PHASING BRIDGE OVER RIVER SUTLEJ AT EMANAWALA
s. N
o
I
I

Description

Amounts required in years (Rs. Million) 2008-09 2009-1 0 2010-11 Total

236 378
12
a

CivilWorks
Contingencies Charges @
3o/o

331

945
28
19

7 o
a

Departmental Establishment Charges @ 2%

4
6
h

Construction Supervision @ 3% Price Escalation @ 6.5% Shifting of Utilities Sports Facilities Cost 0.5% of Construction Cost

12

28 68 50

25 50

43

I
B

5 5 5

Afforestation 0.5% of Construction Cost

Total Financial Cost

306

434

408

1,148

Economic Costs
Financial Less Price Escalation Applying SCF (0.90)
306 275 409 368 365 329 1,080

972

I
TABLE - 1O

DERIVATION OF STANDARD CONVERSION FACTOR

Rs.Million
Sr.No

Description

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

Average

Total lmports * Total Exports * lmport Duties * Sales Tax on lmports

*

634,630 560,947 47,817 83,309 6,263 1,097

714,372

897,825

1,223,079 1,649,657
854,088 117,243 117,767 962,399 136,982 148,344

1,023,913

652,294
68,835 97,569

709,036
89,900 109,550 14,700
2,OBB

747,753 92,155
111,308 14,779 2,560

4
5

Subsidies on lmports ** Export Duties *

a 5?? 4,054

19,700 2,050

23,700
3,510

Standard Conversion Factor =

M+X
(M+Tm) + (X-Tx)

1771665
1957789

SCF

0.90

M X

= CIF value of imports = FOB value of exports Tm = Net value of taxes on imports Tx = Net value of taxes on exports Economic Survey 2005-06 Ministrv of Finance lslamabad.

Annex-Vll
Table-11

NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTHORITY

Construction of a New Bridge Over Sutlej River at Emanawala

ECONOMIC
Sr.l' o

ANALYSIS
Ten (10%)

'
Cash Flow with 10% lncreased Costs
(Rs. Million)

.."

Yea r

Capital Cost (Rs. Mlllion)

Maintenance Cost (Rs. Million) 0 0

U

Benefits (Rs. Million)

Cash Flow (Rs. Million)

Increased Costs (Rs. Million)

Ten (10%) Reduced Benefits (Rs. Million)

Cash Flow with 10% Reduced Benefits (Rs. Million)

2008-09
2009-1 0
201 0-1
1

275.000 368.000 329.000

0 0 0

0 0
0

-275.000 -368.000 -329.000 261.460 275.580 302.280 328.980 382.370 409.070 425.780

302.500 404.800 361.900

1

0.000 0.000 0.000

zJo.z t4

-302.500 -404.800 -361.900 261.360 275.480 302.'t80 328.880 355.570 382.270 408.970 425.6B0

-275.000 -368.000 -329.000 235.214 247.922 271.952 295.982 320.003 344.033

JOO. UOJ

4 5 o
7

2012

1.00

zoz..tov 276.580
303.280 329.980
J3O.O
/.

.100

2013 2014 2015 2016

2017

1.00
1.00 1.00

1.100 1.100
1

248.922

zt z.vaz 296.982
321.003 345.033
JOY.UbJ

.100

1.00 1.00

1.100 1.100 1.100 '1.100 1.100 1 100

J6J.J

/U

10
11

2018
20'19

0
0

1.00 1.00

410.070 426.780 443.490

384.102
399.1 41

383.102
398.1 41

12 t.)

2020
2021

0
0 0 0 0

;
t3

100 100
13 14
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
'1.00

442.490 459 190

463 760 492 610 cJ4.bbu 576.700 618.740 660.790 702.830 734.960 767.090 1758.120

442.390
459.090 462.446 492.510 534.560 576.600 618.640 660.690 702.730 734.860 766.990 1798,020

460 190
476 900 493 6'10 535.660 577.700 619.740 661.790 703.830 735.960 768.090
1

414.171

413.171 416.07C

2022 2023 2024

14 454
1.100 1.100

429.210
444.249 482.094 519.930 557.766 595.611 633.447 ooz.Jb4
691 .281

443.249 481.094 518.930 556.766

594.6'l'1

lo
17 18
'19

2025 2026 2027 2028

2029

0 0 0 0 0 0

1.100
1.100 1.100

20
21

1 100
1.100
1.'100

632.447 661.364
690.281

22 ZJ

2030
2031

-400

359.1 20

-438.900

1223.208

1622.208 8922.603
1.232.71

NPV:

572.000 32.140 1058s.270 9981.130 664.554 9s26.743 9920.716 743.56 7.80 2,204.53 1,453.16 826.s0 1,984.08 't.378.03
2.93

Result of the Economic BenefiU Cost Ratio @ 12o/, Discount Rate: Net Present Value:@ 12Yo
Inlernal Rate of Return Ten (10%) Increased Costs Benefit / Cost Ratio Net Present Value: Internal Rate of Return Ten (10-%) in Benefits BenefiU Cost Ratio: Net Present Value: Internal Rate of Return:

Rs.

1,453.16 Million
27%

2.667

Rs.

1,378.03 Million
26%

2.64

Rs.

'1,232.71 Million
25%

NEX-VTII
IMPLEXIEIVTATIOAT

SCHtrDULtr/BAR CHART

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