I

From:

Casto, Chuck
Saturday, April 16, 2011 10:57 PM ET07 Hoc; HOO Hoc Moore, Scott; Zimmerman, Roy; Virgilio, Martin; Reynolds, Steven Final slides for the ET - please pass along JapenGlobalAssessmentFinalAprill5.pptx

Sent: To: Cc: Subject: Attachments:

Attached are the final slides I sent to the Ambassador's secretary. They will have them for the on-site briefing package. If SoS wants a few minutes we will give quick verbal. Otherwise Ast. Sec. Donohue (DOE) is traveling with her and will have these details. We've briefed him and his staff previously so he is up to speed. It is expected that she will at least say something to the NRC folks ...... The ambassador recommended to her that she discuss the NRC. Thanks chuck

(~ LU/&o

NRC INTERIM COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT of FUKUSHIMA EVENT

4/15/2011

- Sensitive Internal 'Only

Background
" Consortium of U.S. nuclear organizations
completed assessment
NRC; Department of Energy; Naval Reactors; Institute of Nuclear Power Operations; Electric Power Research Institute; General Electric " Collaborated to complete technical

assessments for safety issues for reactors and spent fuel pools " Finishing major technical assessments " Provided results to TEPCO and NISA
Off5se Only SensitiveInternal 4/15/2011 Inform 2

Assessment Conclusions
U.S. Protective Action decisions remain conservative through all scenarios
- Tokyo is not seriously threatened

* Unknown Ocean impacts * Active radiation releases ongoing e Accident conditions static but fragile * Mitigating features temporary and highly unconventional
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Assessment of Conditions
* Fuel Damage estimates: U-1 70%; U-2 30%; U-3 25% (est.) * Reliance on steam cooling for reactors * Time to react on a loss of injection is short - less than 10 hours for Unit 1 * Current situation results in a 1-10 to 1-100 probability of future energetic release * Probability driven by seismic events without diversity or redundancy of injection system * Can get 1-100,000 probability with training & preplanning of fire equipment and diverse & redundant injection system * Containment flooding remains primary suggestion especially for Units 1 & 3 * Flooding reduces consequences by one-to-two orders of magnitude
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Next Steps
" Steam cooling assessment recommends more
actions to mitigate additional events
Diversity and redundancy in feeding system Automation of Giraffes and feeding systems Additional feeding system injection points Additional venting system

" Stability requires more actions

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Completing actions to Phase 1 and Phase 2 stability

e For example - decay heat removal system

4/15/2011

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cial Us

ati

sitive Internal