Algeria Communications Projections

Report

Arab Advisors Group

Strategic Research Service
December 2007
Analyst: Mohammad Sabha
Arab Advisors Group
A member of the Arab Jordan Investment Bank Group

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Table of Contents
Section I: Executive Summary.......................................................................1
Section II: Projections ..................................................................................2
Section III: Regulatory Landscape and Investment Rules and Regulations ..3
Regulatory Bodies .....................................................................5
1. Autorit de Rgulation de la Poste et des Tlcommunications... 5
2. Agence Nationale des Frquences.......................................... 7
3. Ministre de la Poste et des Technologies de LInformation et
de la Communication ........................................................... 7
Licenses and Competition..........................................................9
Liberalization of the Telecom Sector .......................................10
Investment Rules and Regulations ..........................................12
Section IV: Algerias communications market .............................................15
Publicly

Switched

Telephone

Network

(PSTN)

and

Fixed

Services Market.......................................................................15
Algrie Telecom (AT)................................................................. 16
Consortium Algrien des Telecommunication (CAT)s profile............ 31
Algerias fixed market status ...................................................... 35
Algrie Tlcom and Lacoms fixed line rates comparison ............... 37
PSTN and Fixed services Growth and Revenues............................. 38
Cellular Communications Market .............................................40
Algrie Tlcom Mobile (Mobilis) ................................................. 40
Orascom Telecom Algrie (Djezzy) .............................................. 50
Wataniya Telecom Algrie (Nedjma)............................................ 68
Algerias Cellular Market Status .................................................. 82
Cellular Postpaid and Prepaid Breakeven Point .............................. 85
Cellular Growth and Revenues .................................................... 87
Section V: Voice over IP (VoIP) market ......................................................90
EEPAD TISP ............................................................................. 91
Smart Link Communication (SLC) ............................................... 93
Section VI: Brief country background..........................................................95
Political System........................................................................ 95
Geography .............................................................................. 96
Population & Employment .......................................................... 97
Education ................................................................................ 97

Economy ................................................................................. 98
Section VII: Appendix .................................................................................99
List of Exhibits
Exhibit 1: Laws Governing the Algerian Telecom Sector...........................4
Exhibit 2: Granted licenses, authorizations and declarations between 2000
and 2006................................................................................9
Exhibit 3: Algerias Market Liberalization Timeline.................................10
Exhibit 4: Comparison of PSTN Penetration Rates (2006) ......................15
Exhibit 5: Household Penetration (2002, September 2007) ...................16
Exhibit 6: Algrie Tlcom Organization chart........................................17
Exhibit 7: Algrie Tlcom investments in network................................18
Exhibit 8: Satellite stations and networks operated by Algrie Telecom
Satellite (ATS) by November 2007.......................................20
Exhibit 9: Algrie Tlcoms Telecommunication Networks 2007 ...........22
Exhibit 10: Vendors share of Algrie Telecoms Network equipment.....23
Exhibit 11: PSTN Value Added Services ..................................................28
Exhibit 12: Algrie Tlcom SWOT analysis............................................30
Exhibit 13: Lacom value added services .................................................33
Exhibit 14: Lacom SWOT analysis...........................................................34
Exhibit 15: Algerias fixed line market (2005-Q3 2007) .........................35
Exhibit 16: Algrie Telecom and Lacom market share ............................36
Exhibit 17: Algrie Tlcom and Lacom rate comparisons, October 200737
Exhibit 18: PSTN and fixed services subscribers, revenues, and ARPUs
(2002-2011) ........................................................................38
Exhibit 19: Mainlines Subscribers Growth and Penetration (2005-2011)38
Exhibit 20: PSTN and Fixed Services Revenues and ARPU, 2005-2011 ...39
Exhibit 21: Algrie Telecom Mobiles (Mobilis) investments in network
infrastructure ......................................................................41
Exhibit 22: Algrie Telecom Mobiles vendors by November 2007 ..........41
Exhibit 23: Mobiliss postpaid packages and services pricing .................45
Exhibit 24: Mobilis prepaid (MobilisCarte and Gosto) packages and services
pricing .................................................................................46
Exhibit 25: Mobilis MobiControl and Mobiposte packages and services ..47
Exhibit 26: Algrie Tlcom Mobile (Mobilis)s SWOT Analysis...............49
Exhibit 27: Shareholders of Orascom Telecom Algrie SPA (Djezzy) (2002-

2006)...................................................................................51
Exhibit 28: Shareholders of Orascom Telecom Algrie SPA (Djezzy) ......52
Exhibit 29: Orascom Telecom Algeria (Djezzy)s investments in network
infrastructure ......................................................................53
Exhibit 30: Orascom Telecom Algeria (Djezzy)s network vendors.........55
Exhibit 31: Djezzy postpaid packages and services ................................59
Exhibit 32: Djezzy prepaid packages and services..................................61
Exhibit 33: Djezzy business packages and services................................63
Exhibit 34: Djezzy VSAT packages and services......................................65
Exhibit 35: Orascom Telecom Algries (Djezzy) financial figures (2005September 2007) .................................................................66
Exhibit 36: Orascom Telecom Algries (Djezzy) revenues and EBIDTA
margin (2005- Q3 2007)......................................................66
Exhibit 37: Orascom Telecom Algries (Djezzy) SWOT Analysis ............67
Exhibit 38: Shareholders of Wataniya Telecom Algrie (Nedjma) before
March 2007 ..........................................................................68
Exhibit 39: Shareholders of Wataniya Telecom Algrie (Nedjma) as of March
2007 ....................................................................................69
Exhibit 40: Wataniya Telecom Algeria (Nedjma)s investments in network
infrastructure ......................................................................70
Exhibit 41: Vendors share of Wataniya Telecom Algries (Nedjma) network
equipment ...........................................................................70
Exhibit 42: L'abonnement Nedjma package and services .......................72
Exhibit 43: Le Forfait Nedjma and Le Forfait Partag package and services
............................................................................................73
Exhibit 44: Nedjmas prepaid packages and services .............................75
Exhibit 45: Nedjmas business packages and services............................76
Exhibit 46: Nedjmas multimedia packages and services........................77
Exhibit 47: Nedjmas Push-To-Talk packages and services.....................77
Exhibit 48: Nedjmas Promail packages and services .............................77
Exhibit 49: Wataniya Telecom Algries (Nedjma) financial figures (2005-Q3
2007)...................................................................................79
Exhibit 50: Wataniya Telecom Algries (Nedjma) revenues and EBIDTA
margin (2005-Q3 2007).......................................................79
Exhibit 51: Wataniya Telecom Algries SWOT Analysis .........................81

Exhibit 52: Algeria cellular market Growth (2004 Q3 2007)................82

Exhibit 53: Algerias cellular market shares, Q3 2007 ............................84
Exhibit 54: Cellular postpaid and prepaid breakeven point.....................85
Exhibit 55: Mobilis, Djezzy and Nedjma cellular rates by October 2007 .86
Exhibit 56: Mobilis, Djezzy and Nedjma packages benefits and billing
methods...............................................................................86
Exhibit 57: Cellular subscribers, revenues, and ARPUs (2002-2011) .....87
Exhibit 58: Cellular subscribers growth and penetration, 2002-2011.....88
Exhibit 59: Cellular Revenues and ARPU, 2002-2011 .............................89
Exhibit 60: Algeria VoIP operators by November 2007...........................90
Exhibit 61: EEPAD VoIP packages and services ......................................91
Exhibit 62: National call rates ................................................................92
Exhibit 63: International call rates.........................................................92
Exhibit 64: Smart Link Communication network (2007).........................93
Exhibit A1: Geographic Map of Algeria ...................................................99
Exhibit A2: List of VoIP authorizations granted by June 2007 ................99
Exhibit A3: List of Call Center authorizations granted by June 2007 ....100
Exhibit A4: List of Audiotex authorizations granted by June 2007 .......100
Exhibit A5: List of ISP authorizations by June 2007 .............................101
Exhibit A6: Algrie Telecom national fiber optics backbone ................. 102
Exhibit A7: Algrie Telecoms mainline Tariffs for Residential and Business
Use .................................................................................... 103
Exhibit A8: Algrie Tlcom rates of fixed (including WLL) National Calls103
Exhibit A9: Algrie Tlcom rates from fixed towards other networks .104
Exhibit A10: Algrie Tlcom rates of fixed National Calls (Manual
exploitation) ......................................................................104
Exhibit A11: Algrie Tlcom International rates (Automatic exploitation)
.......................................................................................... 105
Exhibit A12: Algrie Tlcom International rates (Manual exploitation)106
Exhibit A13: Algrie Tlcom prepaid fixed (Amal card) rates .............107
Exhibit A14: Algrie Tlcom fixed/WLL installation fees ....................107
Exhibit A15: Tariffs of Thuraya Services...............................................107
Exhibit A16: Tariffs of GMPCS Thuraya equipment ...............................108
Exhibit A17: Cost of Algrie Telecoms VSAT Symmetric Services ........108
Exhibit A18: Cost of Algrie Telecoms VSAT Asymmetric Services.......109

Exhibit A19: Cost of INMARSAT Services ..............................................109

Exhibit A20: Tariffs of Communication, Standard INMARSAT B ............109
Exhibit A21: Tariffs of Communication, Standard INMARSAT M............109
Exhibit A22: Tariffs of Communication, Standard INMARSAT mini-M....110
Exhibit A23: Periods of Reduction ........................................................ 110
Exhibit A24: Algrie Telecom Satellite DVB-RCS shared services .........110
Exhibit A25: Algrie Telecom Satellite DVB-RCS dedicated services ..... 111
Exhibit A26: Algrie Telecom Satellite SCPC permanent PAMA services111
Exhibit A27: Algrie Telecom Satellite SCPC permanent DAMA services111
Exhibit A28: Algrie Telecom Satellite SCPC communications rates .....112
Exhibit A29: Lacom line installation fees ..............................................112
Exhibit A30: Lacom fixed packages and rates.......................................112
Exhibit A31: Lacom Value added Services and rates.............................113
Exhibit A32: Lacom international call rates ..........................................113