Harvard Graduate School of Design New Geographies Seminars Spring 2010 & 2011 I m a g i n i n g
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C i t y - W o r l d
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C o s m o p o l i s 2010 Paola Aguirre Mais al-Azab Hessa Alsowaidan Allison Austin Constantine Bouras Jeffrey Butcher Christina Cho Ilana Cohen Chris de Vries Yao Dong Nathan Etherington Jaemin Ha Song He Hsiao Rou Huang Jian Huang Steve Huang Laura Janka Zires Nikolaos Katsikis Saehoon Kim Seong Seok Ko Daniel Kumnick Hungkai Liao Shuhan Liao Constantinos Louca Patricia Martin Del Guayo Ashley Merchant Victor Munoz Sanz Zhuorui Ouyang Shawn Yee Shiong Pang Pamela Ritchot Christopher Roach Pedro Santa-Rivera Jonathan Scelsa Ducksu Seo Zeltia Vega Santiago Rikako Wakabayashi A Studio Research Report of the Harvard Graduate School of Design Imagining a City-World Beyond Cosmopolis 2011 Ghazal Abbasy-Asbagh Sheryl Bassan Yarinda Bunnag Yenlin Cheng Dongjae Cho Jonathan Crisman Blair Cranston Nick Croft Robert de Miguel Aneesha Dharwadker Hana Disch Jill Doran Samaa Ellmam Hui Feng Amy Garlock Chelsea Garunay Michelle Ha Daniel Ibanez Mireille Kameni Mariusz Klemens Gavin Kroeber Brendan Kellogg Hee Seung Lee Somin Lee James Leng Yu-Ta Lin Elizabeth MacWillie Jonathan Linkus Ryan Madson Pilsoo Maing Fadi Masoud Ryan Maliszewski Paul Merrill Magdalena Naydekova Conor OShea Andre Passos Victoria Pineros Mark Pomarico William Quattlebaum Trude Renwick Li Sun Mary Grace Verges Clementina Vinals Tory Wolcott Ke Yu Xiong New Geographies Seminars 2010 - 2011 Copyright 2011, The President and Fellows of Harvard College. All rights are reserved. No part may be reproduced without permission. The Harvard University Graduate School of Design is a leading center for education, information, and technical expertise on the built environment. Its departments of Architecture, Landscape Architecture, and Urban Planning and Design offer masters and doctoral degree programs and also provide the foundation for Advanced Studies and Executive Education programs. TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword by Prof. Hashim Sarkis Course Description Esquisses 2010 Infrastructure Interregionality Megaforms New Geographies Esquisses 2011 World 1 - TITAN World 2 - Hydro States World 3 - The Efficient World World 4 - Post-Ecumenopolis World 5 - The New Real Conceptualizing Optimum Land Transformation Processes Saehoon Kim Managing Transition Nikolaos Katsikis Credits 1 8 48 84 88 97 1 Foreword by Prof. Hashim Sarkis The World According to Architecture Beyond Cosmopolis Why should the city be considered the ultimate spatial manifestation of globalization? 1 Much of the literature about urban development today presents the global city or cosmopolis as the spatial outcome of globalization with which we have to contend. World migration patterns, ecological and other collective risks, and unfathomable fows of capital are generating new patterns of social, economic, and political organization that specialists are still trying to identify and understand. They are all unprecedented, we are told, and if they could only be carefully modeled and well analyzed, and if some of their undesirable impact could be addressed, they could lead to more effective individual emancipation and better forms of collective life. When it comes to their spatial modeling, however, we are generally noticing the recurrence of centralized metropolitan patterns of urbanization. Granted, these settlements are rising at an unprecedented scale and pace and in new settings. We have also no doubt benefted enormously from two decades of rigorous documentation and analysis of new settlement conditions across the world, but this literature persists in describing the new phenomena through established gradients of density and centrality such as urban-suburban-rural, with conventional land-use categories and within the confnes of nation-states. Many radically different morphologies and typologies are being recorded but their collective impact remains the city, as big or fast-paced as it may have become. To be sure, and whether coming from within the disciplines of urbanism, landscape, geography, or ecology, we are witnessing an increasing number of new positions that try to respond to the complexity of the problem by proposing more complex interdisciplinary approaches, but these positions, as analytically rigorous as they may be, are ultimately so pre- occupied with the nature of their interdisciplinarity that they tend to forget the object of their inquiry. No matter how novel the combination of tools, these interdisciplinary propositions do not seem to offer better insight into the way that global economic and social changes have transformed the built environment. If one of the ambitions of architecture and urbanism is to make visible emerging social conditions, why are we not seeing the world as a possible scale of operation? If fnancial and demographic fows are challenging national boundaries, why is our imagination about space still bound to the city and city-region-state order? Can we fnd an equivalent to the scope of globalization in the space of the world, as one spatial entity? The City-World: A Brief History An age, Gilles Deleuze repeats after Michel Foucault, does not precede the visibilities that fll it. The image of a city- world predates the advent of globalization, but it has yet to come into consciousness as a representative visibility. The representation may be too literal, but the world conceived as one spatial entity corresponds to the scope of globalization, where national and natural borders do not set limits to the physical environment and to its perception. Early science- fction writers such as H.G Wells foretold of the whole world at war with itself ahead of a period of peace in which the unifed conception acquired during wartime is maintained. Led by technocrats, the world operates as one entity, as a city-world. Science fction has continued to re-imagine the world as a single entity, whether in the Asimovs Trantor or in more popular renditions such as Star Wars Coruscant and Death Star. Admittedly, these worlds differ considerably in their governance, social and spatial organization, density, and degree of urbanization, but they do anticipate and rehearse the yearning for a spatial totality at the scale of the world. Discerning such a yearning from a totalizing project such as that of empire or colonialism is as necessary as it is diffcult. In the context of imagining the world as one entity, we cannot overlook the grounds that such political aspirations cleared; as emphasized by the likes of Fredric Jameson and Bruno Latour, the necessity of the separation between the pursuit of totalities and of totalizing projects is important if we are to persist in developing clearer mappings or representations of the world. Jamesons reference to Kevin Lynchs cognitive mapping parallels Latours to the phenomenon of the nineteenth century panorama. 2 In architecture, the classical project, and, in related, ways that of the early Modernist universalism culminating in the International Style, have aspired to a certain sameness across national boundaries. This aspiration was driven more by a temporal understanding of the world than a spatial one. The world it imagined wanted to move in sync. Not that a spatial conception was lacking, but it was lagging. The aspiration for sameness of high Modernism emulated and expressed the aspiration for equality among human beings and states. The criticisms of this project are all too familiar and they have helped us discern the indelible ties between formal and political projects. Here again, however, we should not miss out on the outlooks of connectedness and continuity that Modern architecture effected across the world. As visibilities, they should be able to live past their political associations. From the 1930s onward, the qualities of connectedness, continuity, and sameness move from wish images to become projected outcomes of development. Jean Gottmans premonition featured a Megalopolis where cities grow and connect to create regional bands of urbanization enabled by increasing creation of communication and transport. This premonition was magnifed to the scale of the world and turned into an inevitability by Constantinos Doxiadis Victor Pimstein, Horizon 39, 2009. Oil on wood, 54.5 x 78 cm. 2 in his proposition for an Ecumenopolis, a city-world formed out of settlements around major routes of transportation. Slowly, all development is drawn to this infrastructural grid while clearing the rest of the planet for agriculture and preservation. Speed of movement and proximity of people to each other guided Doxiadis anticipatory and remedial approach to urban planning. His contemporaries and fellow world-warriors, such as Yona Friedman, Superstudio, ConstantNieuwenhuis, and Buckminster Fuller, all aspired to a worldly conception of their domain of operation that transcended locality and city. Friedman scaffolded a parallel city on top of the ground- bound and sequestered one we inhabit. In doing so, he accelerated spatial mobility and generated a new topography that diffused boundaries and multiplied uses and connections. For Superstudio, the connectivity of the worlds citizens to each other depended on the establishment of a fctive, smooth infrastructure that provided continuity and connectivity against the earths geographic hurdles and minimized the superstructure that is architecture to almost nothing. Fullers obsession with mapping the world in ways that could make its fnitude and fragility visible led him to invent such representational devices as his famous maps as well as the geoscope. Even though the scope of Unitary Urbanism continued to be the metropolis, the degree of diffusion of activities and land uses proposed by Nieuwenhuis clearly transgressed the centrist models of development toward more fuid continuities that heralded the global space of New Babylon. Not all of these attempts at representing and imagining the world stemmed from a need to shape the larger totality, but they all shared a dissatisfaction with the urban models of high Modernism. The overwhelming revocation of these models by postmodernist urban theories has in many ways consolidated the Modernist centralized understanding of the city. It has also ratifed it as the largest scope of the inhabited environment while detracting from the radical attributes of these late Modernist experiments in which the world as one entity was articulated in architectural terms. The renewed interest in this cast of renegade characters and creations has primarily stressed the systemic versus object-oriented approach to urbanism. Their environmental and democratic motivations no doubt make them all the more attractive and current, but even in the present reiteration of these visions, their rendering of the world as one entity has not been stressed. The global city has somehow eclipsed the city-world. The difference between the two models is important to stress even though city-world should not be seen as the opposite of the world-city (or of the global city or cosmopolis or whatever name will be applied to it in the coming years). The cityworld is the scope, spatial parameters, geometries, land-uses, and infrastructures that connect the world and make us actively take part in its description, its construction, and its perception as a totality. Worldliness Diffculties abound in thinking the world as one architectural entity, but these diffculties are being slowly, if inadvertently, overcome. We are venturing into a situation where the city-world becomes a necessity. The seeming immodesty of such a proposition and its imperial scope should be countered with the scale and scope of risks that contemporary society confronts, be they generated by environmental, nuclear, or public health concerns; the scope of action these risks generate requires a worldwide response, including the coordination of the worlds spatial resources. The capacity to understand and map the lived environment beyond the scope of the city, corresponding to new patterns of global mobility and demographic shifts, is now greatly enhanced by new technologies and modes of representation and communication that make us constantly aware of the world as one entity. The lack of corresponding governing authority that can help coordinate shaping the world remains a major impediment to thinking the world but this may weaken the totalizing dimension and mobilizes architects to think of ways in which the qualities of the forms they producetheir sameness, repetitiveness, connectedness to larger geographic attributes like the horizon or trans- regional phenomenacan mobilize the physical and aesthetic dimensions of form in more effective ways than a servile association with a political project. Most importantly, while the emancipatory dimensions of such a scope of imagination and operations, which predate the global city to as far back as Heraclites, have been unnecessarily bundled with the larger package of globalization, several social theorists and philosophers such as Jean Luc-Nancy, Kostas Axelos, and Michel Serres have recovered the project of being in the world from the suffocating impositions of globalization. Furthermore, and despite valid criticisms that have acompanied its resurgence, the discourse on cosmopolitanism has helped imagine the subject of the world as a positively nomadic stranger whose constant yearning for being here and there at the same time produces ways of describing and representing the world as the scope of individual imagination. The writings of Edward Said on worldiness and those of Anthony Appiah on strangeness are particularly poignant on this issue. World history, as an established feld of inquiry into the history of the world as a set of collective phenomena, has also helped generate historiographic and spatial models for this investigation. In this respect, the recent work on the history and historiography of the Mediterranean is compelling. The Mediterranean that is most relevant to the idea of the world is that of historian David Abulafa, who speaks of distant shores with a frequency of communication between them. Abulafa has argued that what most characterizes the Mediterranean is a geography of opposed but accessible shores with a frequency of exchange. In this conception, the edges of the Mediterranean consist of cities and towns that are loosely connected with their hinterland but are mostly connected via trading communities and businesses. The opposing shorelines could and should be taken at different and nested scale. What is most pertinent in Abulafas proposal is that the Mediterranean is a model that could be applied to the world. The increasing sameness within cities and between each city and the rest of the world points to the dissolution of place and to the acceleration of development to the point where we can anticipate a world moving in a real-estate development sync, especially after the last recession and the global risks it generated. These global risks include security and economic vulnerability that tie every citys patterns to those of the world and bring it sometimes to the point of brinkmanship and collapse, perhaps, as some argue, to speak to the world. We ought to think again about whether the sameness in the world is a sign of poverty of form or of an untapped richnessa new source of inspiration for urbanism and architecture. This sameness that I am 3 anticipating is not dull. It points to the fact that we are all worldly, that we work to link to the world from where we are, to achieve a sense of the totality and to anticipate a city-world before and beyond globalization that fows with Heraclitus River, where identities could be constantly constructed, and constructed in part by design. The World as an Architectural Question But will the world ever be placed at the doorstep of architects as an architectural question? Increasingly, architects and planners are being compelled to address and transform larger contexts and to give these contexts more legible and expressive form. New problems are being placed on designers agendas (e.g., infrastructure, urban systems, regional and rural questions). Problems that had been confned to the domains of engineering, ecology, or regional planning are now looking for articulation by design. This situation has opened up a range of technical and formal possibilities that had been out of reach for designers. The need to address these geographic aspects has also encouraged designers to reexamine their tools and develop means to link attributes that had been understood to be either separate or external to their disciplines. The importance of such questions as those of sustainability and risk are beginning to put measurable standards in front of architects so that they have to think about the world as a physical scope of impact, if not of operation. Yet engaging the geographic does not only mean a shift in scale. This has also come to affect the formal repertoire of architecture, even at a smaller scale, with more architects becoming interested in forms that refect the geographic connectedness of architecture, by its ability to bridge the very large and the very small (networks and frameworks) or to provide forms that embody geographic references (e.g., continuous surfaces, environmentally integrated buildings). Curiously, while most of the research around these various attributes has tended to be quite intense, the parallel tracks of inquiry have remained disconnected. For example, the discussion about continuous surfaces in architecture ignores the importance of continuity of ground in landscape ecology. Even if there is not a common cause driving these different geographic tendencies, a synthesis is possible, even necessary, to expand on the formal possibilities of architecture and its social role. This makes the need to articulate the geographic paradigm all the more urgent, because the role of synthesis that geography aspired to play between the physical, the economic, and the social is now being increasingly delegated to design. Even though the term geographic is used primarily in a metaphorical way to designate a connection to the physical context, the paradigm does overlap with the discipline of geography. Some clarifcation is necessary in this respect to beneft from the overlap while avoiding confusion. The history of geography is strongly linked to the history of discovery and colonization. The instruments for the discovery of territory were extended into its documentation and then, in turn, into its appropriation and transformation. And yet the discipline has evolved to become more diverse and broad, to become institutionalized around geographic societies; to split into human and physical geography producing very different approaches and even subject matters; then to disintegrate (as in the case of Harvard) and migrate into other disciplines (sociology, public health, information systems); and then to be revived around central contemporary issues such as globalization. The paradigmatic role of geography in our thinking about design in this proposition could be taken in the narrower sense of geographic as being an attempt to study the relationship between the social and the physical at a larger territorial scale, but also to attempt a synthesis along the lines of high geography by design. It may be an exaggeration to propose that something like a geographic attitude, in both method and content, is guiding different strands of design thinking today toward convergence, or that a geographic aesthetic dominates formal pursuits in the same way that the machine aesthetic inspired functionalism at the turn of the century, but it would be important to study the extent and potentials of such a tendency. As a way of pushing these formal possibilities, the question of human settlements should be cast at the scale of the world. Within this scale, the marks of the urban centralities would be diffused and we can identify new spatial patterns that transcend the limitations of cosmopolis and help us imagine a better city-world. Worldmaking According to Nelson Goodman, the way the world is is not predetermined. Moreover, it is not useful to draw an exact distinction between what is given (out there) and what is represented (mental or cognitive). To speak of the world means to speak of one of its representations or constructions. If two equally rigorous representations seem incompatible, this implies two incompatible but nevertheless possible worlds. Truth or rightness of rendering can only be determined instrumentally, within a construction and around the purpose for which it is constructed. Goodman has always called on philosophers to examine the way artists construct worlds through their media and techniques. Art anticipates and elucidates the idea of world-making. Goodmans proposition bridged between the logical and semiological approaches to the question of representation, but its emphasis on the world as the space in which a scope of operation is internally consistent (and therefore real) could be linked to the proposal of thinking the world as an entity. As per Latours conceptualization of the totality in his Reassembling the Social, we ought to take these panoramic representations seriously because they provide the only occasion to see the whole story as a whole. He goes on: Their totalizing views should not be despised as an act of professional megalomania, but they should be adding, like everything else, to the multiplicity of sites we want to deploy. Far from being the place where everything happens, as in their directors dreams, they are local sites to be added to as so many new places dotting the fattened landscape we try to map. But even after such a downsizing, their role may become central since they allow spectators, listeners, and readers to be equipped with a desire for wholeness and centrality. It is from those powerful stories that we get our metaphors for what binds us together, the passions we are supposed to share, the general outline of societys architecture, the master narratives with which we are disciplined. It is inside their narrow boundaries that we get our commonsensical idea that interactions occur in a wider context; that there is a up and a down; that there is a local nested inside a global; and that there might be a Zeitgeist the spirit of which has yet to be devised. 3 Along these lines, we should think of the ability of architects to construct new worlds and to encourage new forms of inhabitation, or habits, in these worlds. This constructionist 4 position in architecture could be expanded into the following main ideas: The idea that each building could be a world or part of a world, that it would start from an internal logic and that it would unwind outward to meet the edges of other worlds and transform them. That this transformation could also transgress the conventional boundaries between building and context so that a new spatial relationship could emerge, something like a new geography, to redescribe the terrain in which architecture operates. The idea that the functional dimension of architecture should remain important in this process, but that it should be addressed as habits of living, as inhabitation. In that sense, these habits of living should be interrogated and revised to allow for the formation and expression of new habits. This is the core of world-making la Goodman. The idea that we should inhabit these new contexts with new eyes, that the new habits of living encourage new habits of representation and seeing, which in turn help in achieving another level of signifcance to architecture. This signifcance is one that maintains a level of openness to the experiences of its inhabitants. They are acquired rather than imposed. The idea that the attributes of sameness, repetition, placelessness, scalelessness, and homogeneity that have so far been scaring us and compelling us to obsessively articulate and differentiate by architecture could be turned into a treasure of qualities waiting to be re-explored. The idea that architecture, by virtue of its ability to balance between internal worlds and external ones, should maintain a certain level of operative autonomy and behave more like an object than systemic thinkers (blinded by the utilitarian approaches of ecology or technology) would like. The possibility of a quasiobject, to borrow from Michel Serres, is also waiting to be explored. These ideas are not foreign to our palette of moves or to the history of our formal pre-occupations. Every building by Mies van der Rohe alternated between constructing an internal world and inscribing part of the horizon that links it to the world. Every other building by Enric Miralles wrapped a belt around the world but bled into it. Elias Torres uses geometry as the means of mediating between the particularities of the setting and larger orders that tie a locality to the world. The practice of an exaggerated silhouetting of buildings fattens an object into constructing skylines rather than being fxed into grounds. The quasi- object-like character of much of contemporary architecture is latently pointing to this direction and impatiently waiting to become conscious. Reprinted with permission from New Geographies 4. Edited by El Hadi Jazairy Notes 1. This essay is the outcome of research toward the course New Geographies that I have been teaching at the Graduate School of Design since 2006. I am grateful to the students who have participated in the class through its different iterations, particularly to those who took part in the last version on Imagining a City-World Beyond Cosmopolis and whose research and insights have helped clarify many arguments made here. Peder Anker, as usual, has helped in raising the bar on intellectual provocation. I am also very grateful to Neil Brenner for his insights and for pointing me in the direction of Stuart Elden and Kostas Axelos. 2. See, for example, Fredric Jamesons canonical essay on Ideology See also Bruno Latour, Reassembling the Social: An Introduction to Actor-Network-Theory (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 2005) 3. Bruno Latour, Reassembling the Social, 189. 5 COURSE DESCRIPTION This course invited the students to imagine better urban and architectural forms that overcome the limitations of the global city, or cosmopolis. Much of the literature about urban development today presents cosmopolis as the inevitable outcome of globalization with which we have to contend. World migration patterns towards the urban, collective ecological risks, and the global economy are generating intense but ultimately undesirable cities. We have benefted enormously from two decades of rigorous documentation and analysis of this condition, but this literature persists in describing these phenomena within the confnes of nation states, through gradients of density and centrality such as urban-suburban- rural and with conventional land-use categories that overlook many of the radically different morphologies and typologies that are emerging. Ultimately, many of these methodologies compromise the originality and potentials of emerging forms of settlement. Geography as Paradigm Increasingly designers are being compelled to address and transform larger contexts and to give these contexts more legible and expressive form. New problems are being placed on the tables of designers (e.g.: infrastructure, urban systems, regional and rural questions). Problems that had been confned to the domains of engineering, ecology, or regional planning are now looking for articulation by design. This situation has opened up a range of technical and formal possibilities that had been out of reach for designers. The need to address these geographic aspects has also encouraged designers to re-examine their tools and to develop means to link together attributes that had been understood to be either separate from each other or external to their disciplines. (For example, in the past decade, different versions of landscape urbanism have emerged in response to similar challenges). Yet engaging the geographic does not only mean a shift in scale. This has also come to affect the formal repertoire of architecture, even at a smaller scale, with more architects becoming interested in forms that refect the geographic connectedness of architecture, by its ability to bridge between the very large and the very small (networks and frameworks) or to provide forms that embody geographic references (e.g.: continuous surfaces, environmentally integrated buildings). Curiously, while most of the research around these different attributes has tended to be quite intense, the parallel tracks of inquiry have remained disconnected. For example, the discussion about continuous surfaces in architecture ignores the importance of continuity of ground in landscape ecology. The seminar does not propose that a common cause is driving these different geographic tendencies but it does insist that a synthesis is possible, even necessary, in order to expand on the formal possibilities of architecture and its social role. This makes the need to articulate the geographic paradigm all the more urgent because the role of synthesis that geography aspired to play between the physical, the economic, and the social is now being increasingly delegated to design. The aim of the course was to expose the workings of this latent paradigm and to help articulate and direct them towards a more productive synthesis. Even though the term geographic is used primarily in a metaphorical way to designate a connection to the physical context, the paradigm does overlap with the discipline of geography. Some clarifcation is necessary in this respect in order to beneft from the overlap while avoiding confusion. The history of geography is strongly linked to the history of discovery and colonization. The instruments for the discovery of territory were extended into its documentation and then, in turn, were extended into its appropriation and transformation. And yet the discipline has evolved to become more diverse and broad, to become institutionalized around geographic societies; to split into human and physical geography producing very different approaches and even subject matters; then to disintegrate (as in the case of Harvard) and migrate into other disciplines (sociology, public health, information systems); and then to be revived around central contemporary issues such as globalization. The paradigmatic role of geography in our thinking about design in this course could be taken in the narrower sense of geographic as being an attempt to study the relationship between the social and the physical at a larger territorial scale but also to attempt a synthesis along the lines of high geography by design. It may be an exaggeration to propose that something like a geographic attitude, both in method and in content, is guiding different strands of design thinking today towards convergence, or that a geographic aesthetic dominates formal pursuits in the same way that the machine aesthetic inspired functionalism at the turn of the century, but it would be important to study the extent and potentials of such a tendency. Proposal To be sure, we are seeing an increasing number of new interdisciplinary positions that try to adequately respond to the complexity of the problem, like landscape-now- ecological urbanism or post-metropolitan studies but these positions are ultimately too preoccupied with the nature of their inter-disciplinarity and not focused enough on the formal consequences of their undertaking. We are also seeing new design propositions that address these challenges quite provocatively but if we examine them carefully, as we will do during this semester, some of their more vivid visions turn out to be powerless premonitions.
As a way of pushing these formal possibilities to the hilt, the course proposes that we cast the question of human settlements at the scale of the world, we can identify new spatial patterns that transcend the limitations of cosmopolis and help us imagine a better city-world. The course focuses on the emerging geographies of urban regions, infrastructures, new urban conglomerations, mega-forms, and on the emergence of new geo-aesthetics. The city-world is not the opposite of the world-city or the global city or of cosmopolis. The city-world is the possibility of imagining the spatial parameters, geometries, land-uses, infrastructures that connect the world and make us actively take part in its description and construction as a totality. 6 Note: student participants from each course (2010 top, 2011 bottom) are listed alphabetically in the title page. ESQUISSES 2010 INFRASTRUCTURE Constantine Bouras Jian Huang Constantinos Louca Patricia Martin del Guayo Christopher Roach Rikako Wakabayashi 1000km N 1987 2005 66 33N 1992 2007 t o t a l m e lt a r e a [1 0 k m 2 ] 6 5 10 30 20 15 38 25 1978 1988 1993 2008 2003 1983 1998 greenland S 1 9 8 2 2 0 0 7 lake chad 1963 1973 1987 1997 2007 nigeria chad cameroon hamoun lakes [iran//afghanistan] lake chad [chad//nigeria//cameroon] lake nakuru [kenya] aral sea [kazakhstan//uzbekistan] dal lake [india] yangtze river basin [china] yellow river basin [china] tonle sap lake [cambodia] lake baikal [russia] dojran lake [greece//f.y.r.o.m.] lake chapala [mexico] great lakes [usa] mono lake [usa] lake owens [usa] constantine bouras // new geographies_the melting ice and shrinking lakes infrastructure sources: united nations environmental programme // www.unep.org nasa // www.nasa.gov 5.0 mm rise of sea level /annualy globalize before its too late la sf sd ut nv az ca barranca del cobre [mexico] cotahuasi canyon [peru] kali gandaki gorge [nepal] yarlung zangbo grand canyon [china] grand canyon [usa] 11 Image source: http://worldofweirdthings.com/ Image source: http://shiftboston.blogspot.com/ 2009/08/iphone-city.html Black hole Real-time communication through multiple mode; Reshuffling of physical connectivity; Virtual Reality De-materialization Virtual Reality The merge of space and time, physicality and virtuality; Communication protocols. Internet Global 3G/4G Network Connection at its geographical location Connection after the distortion i-frastructure Global iphone network iphone network Server network Totality New Connectivity GSD 3420: New Geography Jian Ming Huang 12 constantinos louca P A T R I C I A
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G U A Y O 14 $ APPEARANCE CULTURE PRODUCTION COMMERCE BABTERRITORY BABCITIZENSHIP BABECONOMY BABLANDSCAPE BABMETROPOLIS BAB LANDSIDE LANDSIDE AIRSIDE Modern architects are negligent. They have systemati- cally ignored the massive transformations of everyday life caused by the twin forces of globalization and rap- id urbanization. Their endless new urbanist schemes desperately provide token fragments of pseudo-nature to pacify ruthlessly exploited citizens. The modern city is a thinly disguised mechanism for extracting productivity out of its inhabitants, a huge machine that destroys the very life it is meant to foster. Such exploitative machinery will continue to grow until a single vast urban structure occupies the whole surface of the earth. Nature has already been replaced. Tech- nology has long been the new nature that must now be creatively transformed to support a new culture. The increasingly traumatized inhabitants have to take over the shaping of their own spaces to recover the pleasure of living. This reshaping will be come the dominant activity when information technology soon handles all forms of production. The airport will be hijacked as the medium for reshap- ing the city because of its connection to global mo- bility and its command over vast tracts of land. The airports continual absorption of all urban functions and its open-ended process of continual transforma- tion will be co-opted to transform the web of mobility infrastructure into a vast continuous interior. The relationship between the city and its infrastructure will be reversed. The increasingly localized produc- tive capacity of the city will be used to support the truly oiko-nomic activity of building and maintain- ing this global aviopolis. This global aviopolis is the New Babylon. Its citizens are not the generic laborers of the global service economy but are the new nomads of cultural production and ludic exchange. Passage to this Mediterranean of the air is gained not through proof of nationality or ones status as a consumer, but through the repudiation of material possessions in exchange for the true freedom of unhindered creativity. Citizenship and identity are constructed through the continu- ous artistic production of urban atmospheres, and the New Babylonians become anointed as angels; airborne, all-seeing, outside of time. Leisure time will be the only time. Work gives way to an endless collec- tive play in which all fantasies are acted out. The static constructions of archi- tects and urban plan- ners are thrown away. Everybody becomes an architect, practicing a never- -end- ing, all-embracing ecumen-urbanism. Nothing will be fxed. This new urbansim exists in time, it is the activation of the temporary, the emergent and transitory, the changeable, the volatile, the variable, the immedi- ately fulflling and satisfying. An intimate bonding of desire and space will produce a new kind of architec- ture for a new so- ciety: the avio- ecumenopolis. A New Baby- lon of t h e BAB NEW BABYLON GLOBAL AI RPORT CI T Y WORL D a medi t er r anean of t he ai r 15 1000km N 1987 2005 66 33N 1992 2007 t o t a l m e lt a r e a [1 0 k m 2 ] 6 5 10 30 20 15 38 25 1978 1988 1993 2008 2003 1983 1998 greenland S 1 9 8 2 2 0 0 7 lake chad 1963 1973 1987 1997 2007 nigeria chad cameroon hamoun lakes [iran//afghanistan] lake chad [chad//nigeria//cameroon] lake nakuru [kenya] aral sea [kazakhstan//uzbekistan] dal lake [india] yangtze river basin [china] yellow river basin [china] tonle sap lake [cambodia] lake baikal [russia] dojran lake [greece//f.y.r.o.m.] lake chapala [mexico] great lakes [usa] mono lake [usa] lake owens [usa] constantine bouras // new geographies_the melting ice and shrinking lakes infrastructure sources: united nations environmental programme // www.unep.org nasa // www.nasa.gov 5.0 mm rise of sea level /annualy globalize before its too late la sf sd ut nv az ca barranca del cobre [mexico] cotahuasi canyon [peru] kali gandaki gorge [nepal] yarlung zangbo grand canyon [china] grand canyon [usa] rikako wakabayashi INTERREGIONALITY Ilana Cohen Chris de Vries Jaemin Ha Seong Seok Ko Daniel Kumnick Pedro Santa-Rivera Zeltia Vega Santiago Jonathan Scelsa Ducksu Seo 19 20 NETROPOLIS High-tech Industries Municipal Government Financial & Trading Center Logistics Main Farmland Cluster Main Agricultural Cluster 51-809 hab/sqkm 810-2443 hab/sqkm 2444-4352 hab/sqkm 4353-17818 hab/sqkm 17819-26566 hab/sqkm Professionals Manufacturer Logistics Agriculture Port Shenzhen, China Jaemin Ha The development of Shenzhen is a process during which urban context gradually extends towards the waterfront areas and mountain areas. The reclaimed land, about 4% of the citys land area, is mainly used for housing, industry and highway constructions 21 Greater Seoul Metropolitan Region for The Unified Korea, 2050 New Geographies : Imagining a City - World Beyond Comsmopolis Seong Seok Ko Seoul Metropolitan, 2010 Now Seoul-Incheon Metropolitan Region
The Capital of Tadyas Korea and previous Dynasty 'Choseon' Setled 1394 AD.
Area Special City : 605.25 Metropolitan Area : 9,864
Density 17,288/
Populaton Special City : 10,464,051 Metropolitan Area : 24,472,063 Seoul-Kaesong Metropolitan, 2050 Near Futreu afer Establishment of The Unied Korea Seoul - Incheon - Kaesong Metropolitan Region
The Capital for The New Unied Korea afer Unicaton of South and North Korea S Area Special Cites (Seoul + Kaesong) : About 2,100 Metropolitan Area : About 11,500
Density About 11,000/
Populaton Special Cites (Seoul + Kaesong): About 17,000,000 Metropolitan Area : About 34,000,000 Kaesong City, 2010 Now Seoul-Incheon Metropolitan Region
The Capital of Korean Old Dynasty 'Corea' Setled 1394 AD.
Area 1,309 M
D
Populaton 308,440
Kaesong Yellow Sea Seoul 30km 60km Seoul Metropolitan Region Land Use (2010 Present) North Korea Yellow Sea D.M.Z. Mountain Range Expansion Expansion to The West Yellow Sea Kaesong Seoul 30km 60km Seoul - Kaesong Metropolitan Region Land Use (2050) Commercial Residence Industry Transportaton Satellite Res. 30km 60km Commercial Residence Industry Transportaton Satellite Res. 30km 60km 2010 2050 Yellow Sea Mountain Range Expansion Expansion to The North 22 23 24 25 Internally Displaced People Worldwide April 2010 composite map natural resources agricultural land green zone new settlements I N T E R R E G I O N A L I S M
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s a n t i a g o The proposal looks for providing settlement to African refugees between Sudan and Chad. The new settlements will be autonomous from existing cities and they will settle near natural resources in order to benefit from them and prosper. The main economic activity is focused on farming and agriculture but the new cities will have other facili- ties such as school, hospitals and markets which will also serve the exisiting cities A green zone will protect all settlements and their resources. 26 27 Humans han been familiar with binary thinking in dividing man and nature, culture and nature, rea- sonable and emotional, architecture and landscape architecture. Several critics and philosophers such as Jacques Derrida, Gilles Deleuze, and Alice Jardine argued that binary thinking can be identified as a strong medium to establish a controlling power in a hierarchical structure. The bi- nary thinking has led to ruthless industrialization and urban sprawl which have the most destruc- tive force against nature since it contains the highest concentration of human activity. The concept of the region mentioned by Mumford and McHarg implicated a new relationship between landscape and built environment. Mumford considered regional planning as a means of responding to the de- teriorating environment, and put more emphasis on coexistence of human and nature in it. McHarg strongly stressed the intrinsic suitability of lands for urban and regional planning, and argued that physical planning should be well mingled with natural conditions and values. Neo-regionality is to integrate natue and built environemnts. The critical components of natural system are con- nectivitiy and flow. The neo-regionality reestablish relationship with human and nature with inte- grative thinking. Neo-Regionality MEGAFORMS Hessa Alsowaidan Song He Huang Kai Liao Shuhan Liao Ashley Merchant Zhuorui Ouyang Shawn Yee Shiong Pang Victor Munoz Sanz 31 17% 7% 15% 5% 30% 8% 11% 4% 3% Energy Livestock Transportaton Argriculture Manufacture Other Industry Land Reclamaton Waste Management Daily Life 21% 18% 14% 12% 10% 7% 12% 4% 2% Energy Livestock Transportaton Argriculture Manufacture Other Industry Land Reclamaton Waste Management Daily Life Carbon Dioxide Emission Carbon Dioxide Circulaton Capture Carbon Dioxide and Energy Energy Consumpton Energy Lost 40% Input output 100% URBAN CANOPY CARBON DIOXIDE AND ENERGY CAPTURE SYSTEM Actvity Pool Rainy INTER - CITY SO LA R E N E R G Y PA N A L B U ILD IN G
B U ILD IN G
P U B LIC C IR C U LA T IO N
C E N T R A L T R A N SP O R TA T IO N
UNDERGROUND CENTRAL TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM solar energy panal weather control system INTER - REGION GLOBAL INTER - CITY INTER - REGION GLOBAL CENTRAL CONTROLED TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM Tallest Building = 190 oors _ Height = 700m = 2 x Empire State Building _ Total Footprint = 13,041,000 m2 = 50 x Empire State Building = provide 153,423 units of average 2 bedroom apartment (85m2/ unit) MEGA FORM - THE WORLD WITHOUT A DIFFERENCE LIAO, HUNG KAI all climate / geographical condition central underground transportation farming everywhere central transportation spine structure, street, public space buildings shells, protection, climate control TRANSPARENT METASTRUCTURE Ring of Fire_earthquakes 1980~2006 Invisible cloak Shu-han Liao 34 D U S T B R E A K 64 the walrus over-exIoifed fhe aralIe Iand lv oening fragiIe grassIands fo cuIfivafion and over-uming rivers and aquifers in fhe oases lordering fhe ancienf deserfs. The area of deserf fhus creafedis equivaIenf fomore fhanhaIf fhe farmIandinCanada. The soiI, once if is larren, is swef u lv fhe wind info dusf sforms, laffering fhe caifaI, Beijing, and fhen mov- ing on fo Korea and Iaan. The mosf massive of fhe veIIow cIouds of dusf make fheir wav across fhe Pacihc and reach Norfh America. The Ioss of recious fosoiI for Chinese agri- cuIfure ends u oIIufing lofh China's cifies and counfries haIfwav around fhe worId. The Norfh American "dusf lowI" of fhe :q:os forced fhree miIIion farmers fo alandon fheir Iand in fhe Mid- wesf and fhe Canadian rairies. Buf fhe Chinese exodus couId reach weII info fhe fens of miIIions. GovernmenfaI reIocafion rograms for ecoIogicaI refugees are aIreadv in fuII swing. Iromfheir choice vanfage oinf af a window seaf in fhe FO's uscaIe resfauranf, frain assengers can wifness anofher equaIIv secfacuIar sighf: evervwhere onfhe horizon, A he FO frain fhaf foIIows China's greaf norfhern sfees and fhe Iegendarv SiIk Road couId le dulled "fhe deserfihcafion frain." TraveIIing fromeasf fo wesf, fromBeijing fo Irumqi, if cufs fhrough :,:: kiIomefres of dusfv grassIands, dried-u riverleds, fhreafened oases, and deserfs lofh ancienf and new. A few hours affer fhe frain Ieaves Beijing, a Iunar lIack mounfain range weIcomes ass- engers info a vasf arid Iandscae. Deserfs cover :S ercenf of China fodav. Of fhose, S er- cenf are nafuraI, whiIe zz ercenf were creafed lv humans. AImosf aII of fhemIie aIong fhe FO's roufe fhrough fhe rovinces of Inner MongoIia, Ningxia, Gansu, and hnaIIv Xinjiang, af fhe edge of CenfraI Asia. LuIIed lv fhe rhvfhmic cIang of mefaI wheeIs on raiIs, for fwo davs assengers can wafch a dreamscae of sfees and deserfs go lv. Buf fhe view aIso reveaIs one of fhe greafesf environmenfaI disasfers of our fime: fhe Chinese Dusf BowI, rolalIv fhe Iargesf conversion of roducfive Iand info sand anvwhere in fhe worId. To dafe, Chinese farmers and herders have fransformed alouf oo,ooo square kiIomefres of croIand and verdanf rairie info newdeserfs. The sheherds have overgrazed fhe sfees, aIIowing fheir shee and goafs fo chewfhe grass aII fhe wav down fo ifs roofs. The farmers, for fheir arf, have fW][i ,(,)0;VgbZghbV`Zi]Z^glVn]dbZdc bdidgW^`Zhi]gdj\] i]Z Yjhi^c VYg^ZY"jegZhZgkd^g^c LjlZ^ dVh^h! <Vchj Egdk^cXZ# EaVhi^X abegd" iZXihbZadc hZZYa^c\h# WXel[06]ZgYZghiVcYhcZVg[gV\^aZheg^c\i^bZ\gVhh! l]ZgZ ]^h h]ZZe VgZ \gVo^c\ ^c i]Z V[iZgbVi] d[ V Yjhi hidgb ^c LjlZ^ dVh^h# FEA_Chinese_01_OCT07.indd 64 8/15/07 4:58:22 PM 35 water desalination energy generation food production living area gathering space hans hollein | transformations (1963 - 1968) | aircraft carrier city in landscape nl architects | virtual realities (2008) | cruise city, city cruise plug-out cities with rising water level, a network of cruise cities emerge along the coasts these cruise cities can carry pieces of the old cities and be pl ugged into anywhere around the world zhuorui ouyang these cruise cities can carry over 10,000 inhabitants Shawn Yee Shiong Pang PLATE TECTONICS a.k.a. Andinarchitecture Vctor Muoz Sanz After the impact of its incandescent surfaces on Buenos Aires, the Shopping Rock stands amidst a cloud from the evaporation of water of the lagoons a
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l a n d s bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa bbaa b b a a NEW GEOGRAPHIES Paola Aguirre Mais al Azab Jeffrey Butcher Christina Cho Nathan Etherington Hsiao Rou Huang Steve Huang Paola Aguirre 41 A r c h i t e c t u r e and The Surface of The World w a t e r d e s e r t p la te a u s m o u n ta in s p l a i n s / g r a s s la n d s m a n - m a d e
g e o m o r p h o lo g y Spatial Mosaic . Mais al Azab . March II The surface of the globe creates a natural landscape mosaic ; the new Architecture challenges the discontinuty of some of these surfaces and blurs the line between the architectonic spatial continuity and the surface of the world as a new form of coexistence . 42 THE OMPHALOS PROJECT Earth has reached a population and environmental tipping point. Urban growth has extended around the planet and the environment is suffering as a result. The thin atmosphere can not sustain life as it has in the past. As an end run, The Omphalos project is a first step in a process of galacticization and interplanetary exchange. The first, and closest source for primary resources and raw materials is our moon. The dusty soil on the moon has been studied since we first landed there on Apollo 13, some 250 years ago. The samples brought back have told us that the flour like soil, composed of iron, silica and oxygen are very nearly nanoparticulates. Therefore, the fusion of this mixture can happen at low temperatures and yield a very hard substance, as hard if not harder than steel. The process for farming this material is unique. NASA has developed large lunar tractors fitted with thermal microwave discs. These disks heat the surface material with 250 watts of microwaves - the same as a conven- tional microwave oven - congealing the soil to a depth of 1 meter. These new building materials are then shipped back to earth to be used in the construction of domes over much of the earths surface. Discussions of the creation of an ecumenopolis revolve around two issues. First, the density with which the planet is covered and the corresponding population required to maintain it. Second, the environmental or social reasons for creating a world city. Using Isaac Asimovs city world of Trantor as a starting point, the Omphalos examines these issues by using the moon as a resource for creating an ecumenopolis and galactic center here on earth. With President Obamas recent privitization of space travel the effect of decreasing the percieved distance between earth and space, between individual and universe is becoming more apparent. The Omphalos is an ancient religious stone artifact, or baetylus. In Greek, the word omphalos means "navel". According to the ancient Greeks, Zeus sent out two eagles to fly across the world to meet at its center, the "navel" of the world. Omphalos stones used to denote this point were erected in several areas surrounding the Mediterranean Sea; the most famous of those was at the oracle in Delphi. History when considered in relation- ship to such a project displays an interesting temporal effect. Once changes to the moon become visible from earth, we will have created a historic hinge point. A kind of referent point of no return, which distorts yet codi- fies the history of our civilization. Jeffrey Butcher PONTOON CITY locomotive, global post-disaster network CHRISTINA CHO GSD3421 NEW GEOGRAPHIES 1 1 3 3 3 Port-au-Prince EPICENTER Carrefour Gressier Gonaves Saint-Marc Logne Jacmel Miragone blue whale offshore platform cruise ship pontoon community pod 2480 ft 1100 ft 100ft 500 ft CONCERTED, GLOBAL RELIEF EFFORT Countries from around the world donate pods which then interlock and recongure exibly according to its the specicity of its destination. Floating infrastructure does not rely on an armature. Standardized pod size and parameters allow for asynchronous, globally-distributed construction. Iconicity of aggregated pods diverts the worlds collective gaze, heightening its anticipation of news on the disaster relief. POD MOVEMENT Pods are propelled through their own locomotive system. The pontoon pods oat on ballasts and hulls which integrate into the hydrologic energy generation infrastructure. EMERGENCY MEDICAL RELIEF Floating hospital pod is on-call and can be deployed within 24 hours. POD SHAPE Hexagonal shape aggregates to mediate curvaceous and re-entrant coastline geometries. The shape also allows for seamless agglomeration. Pods are not anchored to the ocean oor. ROADS NETWORK Pontoon pods link together such that the roads continue, allowing short circuits of existing highways which have shut down. Decrepit transport infrastructure further slows rebuilding effort. Immediate new infrastructure facilitates overall rebuilding. ENERGY PRODUCTION Less than 1.5% of Haitis tree cover remains intact. Lack of other energy sources has led to severe deforestation. Pod infrastructure makes possible the harnessing of hydroelectric & wind energy. Energy may power the pod or if exceeding energy demand, be sent back to grid to mainland. IMMEDIATE, TEMPORARY HOUSING Each pontoon pod can be a self-sufcient community with potential for self-expression. PROTECTION AGAINST SUBSEQUENT NATURAL DISASTERS Floating on the water, the pod benets from natural base isolation in face of aftershocks. 44 Te Aleph The Alephs diameter was probably little more than an inch, but all space was there, actual and undiminished. Each thing (a mirrors face, let us say) was infnite things, since I distinctly saw it from every angle of the universe; I saw the teeming sea; I saw daybreak and nightfall; I saw the multitude of America; I saw a silvery cobweb in the center of a black pyramid; I saw a splintered labyrinth (it was london); I saw, close up, unending eyes watching themselves in me in a mirror; I saw all the mirrors on earth and none of them refected me; Jorge Luis Borges Te Synchronic Tower Te Diachronic Tower Te Labrint 8.00m 50.00m 3.12m 300m 2000.036m 2000.000m 45 w o rld s h a rin g th e d iffe re n c e s
WORLD OF EQUITY MAUD Huang, Hsiao Rou w o r l d
s h a r i n g t h e
h o m o g e n e i t y Distribution of human settlements S o c ie t y :
C a p it a lis m
C lim ate: Various S o c ie t y : O n e
W o r ld
S t a te
C lim a te: Various S o c i e t y : O n e
W o r ld S t a t e C lim a te : h o m ogeneous S o c ie ty : O n e W o rld S ta te C lim a te : V a rio u s Settlement unit/ Composition In order to have a peace future, afer World War II, the world agreed to unify as a entty, called One World State. The world tried to reach the equity to avoid conicts. Therefore, citzens of one world state work for the whole society. Everyone shares everything in the world. People can move to wherever they want to stay. However, this caused the extremely unequal distributon of human setlements. What is the new model of the world of equity? Is the equity we pursue meaning having one same thing? Or it Is the equity that people can sharing the dierences?. SCALE TESTS Francois Blanciak proposes that form can be conceived a priori of site. But does a tea saucer still have social signicance when writ large as a city? The megafor- ms of Brazilia, Masdar, and Dongtan, according to Kenneth Frampton, can both unify the random character of the megalopolis and connect cities with the hori- zontality of the ground. Yet legibility from the aerial photo might not be cohesive at the human scale. GSD3421 STEPHEN HUANG city on the water - New Tea Saucer City 1 m 10 m tea saucers garden stairs oating dock structure infrastructural ties to mainland GGGGGGGSSSSSSSSDDDDDDD3333333444444422222221111111 SSSSSSSTTTTTTTTEEEEEEEEPPPPPPPPPHHHHHHHHHEEEEEEEENNNNNNNN HHHHHHHUUUUUUUUUAAAAAAAAAANNNNNNNNGGGGGGGG Francois Blanciaks experiments- from scaleless to scaled 1000 m at the human scale. 1 m t 47 ESQUISSES 2011 World One | TITAN Yenlin Cheng Dongjae Cho BLair Cranston Jonathan Crisman Hana Disch Brendan Kellogg Gavin Kroeber Ryan Madson Ryan Maliszewski Problematic As the virtual is increasing the milieu for easy social, commercial and political gathering, we are left with the irony that human interactions are fundamentally more effcient, intense, and meaningful when conducted in person. Currently the world seeks to address this issue by making the virtual means of communica- tion more robust without accepting the limit state that it cannot be, by its nature, ever equivalent. The rapid increase in world-wide fows of information and data transfers is far outstripping, and gradually replacing, the fows of people within the world. Proposition To create the world as a functioning totality we must create a dynamic equilibrium between the physical fow of people and the fow of information. If personal and group interac- tions are fundamentally more successful in the physical world we should seek to create a world that maximizes these interactions without rejecting globalization as a fact of life. Our current model of urbanization is not capable of dealing with this on a global scale as people remain tied to particular locales and a few large urban areas. We must allow for the fow of people in the same manner that we allow for the fow of information in order to maximize these fundamental interactions. Instead of a focus on a specifc place this world will construct itself around the creation of temporary events. This proposition will have dramatic ramifcations on notions of ownership and use rights, and we imagine that the only path forward will emerge from a paradigm of open source property and the provision of urban hardware and software that is freely useable by its citizens. World One | TITAN 51 52 53 54 55 World Two | Hydro States Yarinda Bunnag Daniel Ibanez Mireille Kameni Somin Lee Jonathan Linkus Fadi Masoud Robert de Miguel Conor OShea Andre Passos Problematic As the virtual is increasing the milieu for easy social, commercial and political gathering, we are left with the irony that human interactions are fundamentally more effcient, intense, and meaningful when conducted in person. Currently the world seeks to address this issue by making the virtual means of communica- tion more robust without accepting the limit state that it cannot be, by its nature, ever equivalent. The rapid increase in world-wide fows of information and data transfers is far outstripping, and gradually replacing, the fows of people within the world. Proposition To create the world as a functioning totality we must create a dynamic equilibrium between the physical fow of people and the fow of information. If personal and group interac- tions are fundamentally more successful in the physical world we should seek to create a world that maximizes these interactions without rejecting globalization as a fact of life. Our current model of urbanization is not capable of dealing with this on a global scale as people remain tied to particular locales and a few large urban areas. We must allow for the fow of people in the same manner that we allow for the fow of information in order to maximize these fundamental interactions. Instead of a focus on a specifc place this world will construct itself around the creation of temporary events. This proposition will have dramatic ramifcations on notions of ownership and use rights, and we imagine that the only path forward will emerge from a paradigm of open source property and the provision of urban hardware and software that is freely useable by its citizens. World Two | Hydro States watershed urban entity urban clusters hydro-world hydro-despotism temperate arid - desert tropical delta arctic new geographies Roads collectoRs collectoRs connections majoR hydRo couRtyaRds blocks public space open buildings eneRgy tRansit despotism is a form of government in which a single entity, called the despot, rules with absolute power. hydraulic civilization, according to the theories of the german- american historian karl Wittfogel, is defined by any culture having an agricultural system that is dependent upon large-scale central managed water works networks - productive, for irrigation, and protective for flood control. our new geography is based on a world where the city-state latches on the natural system and cycle to inform its structure of closed loops, resources, and urban systems. 57 58 SOLAR ENERGY RAIN WATER COLLECTION SYSTEM MAT COURTYARD COMPOUND OASIS DOME STRUCTURE FOR INSULATION AND RAIN WATER COLLECTION WIND ENERGY MIXTURE OF HIGH-RISE AND LOW-RISE BUILDINGS FRESH WATER SOURCE FLOATING STRUCTURES AQUACULTURE TERRACE AGRICULTURE 59 TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE TOPOGRAPHIC RING URBAN RING AGRICULTURE RING AGRICULTURE RING HYDRO COLLECTION RING HYDROLOGY FLOW ENERGY FIELDS DESERT DESERT ARCTIC ARCTIC TEMPERATE TEMPERATE TROPICAL ESTUARY TROPICAL ESTUARY INFRASTRUCTURE 60 TEMPERATE DESERT ARCTIC TROPICAL ESTUARY 61 World Three | Efficient World Ghazal Abbasy-Asbagh Sheryl Bassan Hui Feng Hee Seung Lee Pilsoo Maing Magdalena Naydekova Victoria Pineros Mark Pomarico Ke Yu Xiong Statement Our world seeks to increase world effciency through the redistribution of resources. Resources include water, energy, food, educa- tion, minerals, technology, and services. The model exaggerates present world conditions in hopes of improving total gross production, effciency, and fairness of distribution. In this restructured economy, the grid emerges as a megaform, the economy becomes the base of interregionality, and new infrastructures and geographies arise. Economic System The economy changes based on two layers of redistribution. First, there is the creation of new zones where resources are produced in the most geographically appropriate locations. Each zone is one economic region and is responsible for the production of one essential resource, which is then delivered to the rest of the world. For example, the Middle East will focus on oil production while North America will primarily be agricultural. In return for the participation in the global economy, each zone receives the resources, which it needs from other regions and from itself. Resource regions are distributed around the world as to minimize costs in transportation. For this reason, there are several agricultural zones dispersed throughout the globe. This type of resource collection and redistribution brings specialization to a new level and generates more resources than ever produced before on earth. The second layer of redistribution is the cre- ation of a universal welfare system. As more goods are generated throughout the world, some resources are redistributed so that each region receives a package of goods that is suffcient to meet the basic needs of all their population including a daily 2000-calories ration of food. The distribution is based on population density. To minimize corruption and human prejudices, the distribution is World Three | Efficient World automaticfacilitated by a universal data system that calculates how much resources each region requires through a global web of automatic sensors. There will no longer be world hunger or lack of drinking water. Be- cause everyones basic needs are met, people become even more productive and generate additional goods. Individuals have the capac- ity to earn more than just their basic ration of goods. In fact, individuals are incentivized to be as effcient and as productive as possible, because they can keep a portion of their extra earnings. Through these two layers of restructuring, the world will advance and become ever more effcient and productive. Social System Social systems are dictated by the economic function of the region. Each region and its residents hold highly specialized skills, live in a built environment shaped by the production of the regional resource, and, consequently, hold distinctive understandings of the world. For example, technological regions produce a different lifestyle from agricultural regions. In the former, software engineers partake in a complex urban society characterized by high population density and advanced communi- cation. In the latter, farmers are dwellers of agrarian society largely dependent on primary social ties. Economic specialization creates distinctively different ways of life in each region. Cross-regional migration is permitted and is facilitated by the market demand for labor and resources. Political System Current nationhoods and political systems can exist, but take a back seat to new regional networks of distribution. Nations and regions can opt out of the new world, but they will choose not to because of the interdependent nature of our world. 63
SHIPPING AIR RE-ZONING GROUND TELECOMMUNICATION - - ENERGY Solid Liquid Wired network Wireless network - - [resource distribution rethought] INFRASTRUCTURE In World 3, social, political, and geographical regions are re- defined and re-zoned as areas of specialized production of specified resources, and each zone is con- nected to the world networks of redistribution - grid - of those re- sources. A set of categories of prodution is defined. Each region is assigned with each category according to the abundance of existing re- source. Each resource is modfied on site into the easiest form to be trans- ported to and consumed in other gions. eg. fossil fuels can be made into electicity before being trans- ferred. Some raw material may be processed on site, but most may need to be shipped directly. Most liquid products, such as water, would be trasported through ex- tensive network of pipes. Infrastructure is the multiple grids of transporting those resources into other regions as well as within the region. The grid can take form of aerial and naval network, or ground connection such as pipes, or wireless nexus; the presence of those grids and their intersections, such as airports, would be intensi- fied. Each system of infrastructure will strongly reflect the characteristics of the resource each region is pro- ducing. For instance, infrastructure that supports region condensed with human resource, or technol- ogy, would take a vertical exten- sion of the horizontal grid in order to maximize the use of its land. Consequently, the tower would host a internal network of human resource, information and data while being connected to the wider network of resources. Power plant (Oil-Electricity) Multi-layered Transportation Oil reserves Oil-refinery Oil-extraction Human resource tower Multi layered Transportation Infrastructure [resource distribution rethought] MEGAFORM Megaform generation strategies Agricultural Region land parcelation system for ecient resource generation, management and distribution division into regularized parcels facilitates production plugin to global resource megagrid - data collection grid - human resource management - energy and materials distribution transportation networks and settlements bind each agri region creating a consistent pattern ow networks - roads - canals division of grid cells into inner production region and border settlemnt network
output product specication and labour intensity/density - low density settlements - ecient specialization grid variation according to topography and argricultural requirements
- mega agricultural plots - product transportation production megaform output plugin production megaform hight speed light train waste conveying center input & output center manufactorying center data collection resource distribution prodcut distribution input and recycling energy Megaform generation Production Region plug into the resource distribution megagrid system key points of region edge plug into the resource distribution megagrid - data collection - human resource management - energy and materials distribution plugin to global resource megagrid district grid variation according to topography and urban form fabric
- highspeed light rail - product transportation - waste transporting tunnel from local - heat and eletricity network for local production megaform voronoi as production mega formand region main arteries - receive energy and raw materials from globlal resource megagrid - distribution of goods from output center I Input resource plugin I I I I I I waste conveying system connected to residential grid
- manufactoring centre - waste conveying centre O output product plugin O O O O agricultural land - replies of a system of ecient parcelation agri resources production zones - each zone is responsible for a dierent set of crops/live stock products settlement zones - uniformly distibuted throughout region inbetween boundaries - ow networks for input/output parcel interior - production parcel boundary - human inhabitation 65 THE EFFICIENT WORLD: Interregionality Source: Shutterstock.com ECONOMIC SYSTEM: Resource distribution in economic regions. SOCIAL SYSTEM: Dierent economic regions= dierent social systems. POLITICAL SYSTEM: Existing national borders within economic regions. PR O D U C ED B Y A N A U TO D ESK ED U C A TIO N A L PR O D U C T P R O D U C E D B Y A N A U T O D E S K E D U C A T I O N A L P R O D U C T PR O D U C ED B Y A N A U TO D ESK ED U C A TIO N A L PR O D U C T PRODUCED BY AN AUTODESK EDUCATIONAL PRODUCT [resource distribution rethought] Natural Resources Minerals and Ores Agriculture Fossil Fuels Alternative Energy Tech & secondary production Population and Production Overlay Map Data Collection and Enforcement Grid Interregional Connectivity Map 66 [resource distribution rethought] NEW GEOGRAPHIES Technology Region Natural Resources Region The Collection and Distribution System Our world introduces a new economic system based on the redistribution of resources. While the current political system still exists, they take a back seat to the new system of checks and balances that the redistribution of resources creates between regions.The new resource distributional system is formed by a worldwide grid which serves as the mechanism of collection and distribution. The nodes and connecting segments plug into each other creating a megastructure which then plug into the other systems of resources creating our world's megaform. Our New Geographic is the collection and distributional system itself. The system's function produces its form and since the function remains consistent throughout, its pipeline formation becomes the constant state of being. Then each region's individual function ascribes the system a secondary condition to its form by changing the manner in which the system interacts with the earth. For example, Agricultural Regions will see the system at ground level. This allows for a more ecient transportation condition between the elds and distributional system. Technology Regions will see the system rising up to meet the level of the skyscraper. Cities in this region will become nodes with outlying areas plugging into the system. Fossil Fuel Regions will see the system dive under the surface, tapping directly into the source. In its default state, the system is raised 10 feet above ground. The aesthetics that go beyond the functional formation of the system varies and depends on the locality. Agriculture Region 67 World Four | Post Ecumenopolis Jill Doran Samaa Ellmam Amy Garlock Chelsea Garunay Michelle Ha James Leng Paul Merrill Li Sun Tory Wolcott Statement World Four emerges from Doxiadis conception of the world as ecumenopolis, after reaching its peak population of 20 billion in 2120. The world of the post-ecumenopolis posits a state of civilization where greater educational attainment, resource scarcity, environmental degradation eventually culminates in a decrease of population worldwide. The question of the post-ecumenopolis world is, what is to be done with all of the infrastructure, services, and built matter constructed to support the highest density of urban growth the planet has ever seen? Some infrastructures, such as those that underpin the digital domain, continue to be developed- -screens, consoles, and wires persist to be the vehicles through which we communicate and govern. As density deteriorates, people become further dispersed and isolated, but social and cultural alliances still survive through the digital. The only physical mobility is the transport of material goods, taking place underground in a system of high-speed tubes. The built environment that previously resembled a single web of density now crumbles in the center, as remaining citizens move to the edges of ecumenopolis clusters which provide best access to precious dwindling resources. Cities themselves are no longer - now stratifed into edge settlements, they encircle resource territories and take on the cooperative identity of a region. However, the culture of the past city still lingers, a messy artifact-strewn backyard, the salvage zone where digital richness and waste thrive together. All energies now concentrate on the ffciencies of resource extraction, and it is the pastoral arable lands that ironically become stage to the greatest achievements in architecture and technology. But everything built up must come down, and the regional decisions to repair, improve, or divest in these systems become blurry. Inevitable competition amongst the World Four | Post-Ecumenopolis ringed edges for the resources in the center introduces a period of negotiation and cooperation, or alternatively war and famine, either case ushering in an era of massive infrastructural destruction and rehabilitation for strategic use. Extraction components become bearing walls, building fragments become barriers, and the edges now fnd themselves fully divided and surrounding an edifce of self-protective, boundary-inducing infrastructure. It is now this central mass of built matter, of past transport, agriculture, countryside, and warfront with its tombstones of the past, that becomes a monument, a symbol that embodies all that has been lost and won on the path from de-densitifcation to stability. Inhabitants of post-ecumenopolis are constantly reminded with layers of social, political, and urban history, charged with connotations that are physically manifest in the debris of the archaeological ruin. The ruin presents a new networked geography that replaces the connective tissues of ecumenopolis -- and each ruin embodies a particular struggle representing the end of urbanization, the conquest of the machine age, and the neglected symbols of cultural identity. 69 POST-ECUMENOPOLIS: INFRASTRUCTURE DATA PEOPLE GOODS A system of tubes remaining from the time of the ecumenopolis are used to deliver all goods efciently across the world. The large aggregate tubes cross great distances. As they approach inhabitated areas, the tubes break down into dense networks of smaller tubes that service and deliver to individual dwellings. Human habitation occurs above the network of infrastructural tubes. Due to depopulation, humans live in dense clusters, separated by great distances. Because of the data networks, one is able to immerse ones self in a digital projection, and because of the tubes all goods are delivered to each housing unit. Mass-transit corridors attached to the earth no longer exist; all human travel, which is optional, is achieved through high-altitude, high-speed ight. 70 power regional power individual power global water ECUMENOPOLIS POST-ECUMENOPOLIS: INTERREGIONALITY DEPOPULATION POST-ECUMENOPOLIS ISOLATED DENSITIES R e g io n a l G o v e rn m e n t C u ltu ra l Id e n tity water Global Power is inherited from the Ecumenopolis model and controls trade and Post - Ecumenopolis resource allocation. Due to isolated personal identity, Regional Power is less about crafting a unified local political identy and more about a shift in scale of global government in order to control the allocation of resources. Due to the free flow of information through the digital realm, as well as the fact that energy is plentiful and no longer plays a significant role in the distrubtion of global power, the Individuals Power becomes the most prominent form of governance. 71 PHASE 01: ISOLATED DENSITIES PHASE 02: DETERIORATING INFRASTRUCTURE + DISSOLVED GOVERNANCE PHASE 03: DIVIDED GROUND, MIDDLE GROUND POST-ECUMENOPOLIS: THE MEGAFORM 01 Concentration of population in edges 02 Underground infrastructure for goods/materials 03 Arable agricultural center with deteriorating transport infrastructure 04 Personal isolation + dependence on digital 05 Loose governmental identication at inter- regional scale increasing individual power 06 Existing cultural ties through digital infra- structure within salvage areas SALVAGE ZONE WITH DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE 01 Population in edges, globally shrinking 02 Underground infrastructure for goods/materials 03 Increasingly deteriorating infrastructure 04 Individual isolation with increased dependence on digital 05 Almost no governance at regional scale increasing ties within the edges 06 Increased digital infrastructure in salvage areas serve to connect culturally, divide physically 01 Population in edges globally shrinking 02 Sustained underground infrastructure for physical goods/materials 03 Arable agricultural center with reappropriated transport infrastructure, strategically built up to create edge resource allocation boundaries 04 Complete personal isolation through digital 05 Amicable decision to dissolve interregional governance due to shrinking population + no need for larger central governing body, self-sustaining edges oversee resource distribution 72 Post-Ecumenopolis NEW GEOGRAPHIES AGRICULTURAL REUSE Shared agricultural resources Deteriorating transport infrastructure RESOURCE NEGOTATION Dissolved governance Evidence of struggle War lines or peaceful demarcation Strategic upgrading and movement SOLIDIFICATION OF DIVISIONS Political boundaries Renewed resource extraction Spectacle and monument NETWORK OF ARCHEOLOGICAL RUIN Symbol of power inequalities Collective memory Geology of war, peace, inhabitation 73 PRE-ECUMENOPOLIS ECUMENOPOLIS DEPOPULATION RESETTLEMENT POST-ECUMENOPOLIS POST-ECUMENOPOLIS: TIMELINE PHASE I: ISOLATED DENSITIES PHASE 2: INFRASTRUCTURE NETWORKS PHASE 3: RESOURCE NEGOTIATION PHASE 4: POST-ECUMENOPOLIS - Global depopulation leads to in inhabitation of the border between the structure of the crumbling ecumenopolis and the hinterlands - Cultural identity remains in the old city - Regional government dictates the distribution of the natural resources around which the edge cities accumulate - Advances in technology allow for mostly digital interaction leading to physical isolation - New infrastructure networks are constructed underground for the transport of goods and people - 21st century constructs of transportation are no longer useful because of the vastly diminished need for travel as well as the advent of new travel technologies - As natural and salvaged resources become more diminished, the need for clearly defined territories becomes paramount - Conflict breaks out where territorial borders are unclear - The crumbling transportation infrastructure of previous eras are broken down and reassembled to form barriers, more clearly defining resource allocation - As the disputes settle, the barrier takes on a symbolic value - The border cities increasingly rely on digital means of communication. To accommodate the increased digital communications, the now depopulated centers of the ecumenopolis are occupied by a dense web of digital infrastructure. - After long disputes over resources, the interregional governments are dissolved. This is largely due to the self-sustaining quality of the cities, as each is located within reach of all necessary resources - cities retain their cultural ties with other cities that share their digital core.
- cities that have adjacent natural resources maintain an antagonistic relationship R egional G overnm ent C ultural Identity 74 75 World Five | The New Real Nick Croft Aneesha Dharwadker Mariusz Klemens Yu-Ta Lin Elizabeth MacWillie William Quattlebaum Trude Renwick MaryGrace Verges Clementina Vinals 77 Statement Architecture is either a background for augmented reality or a preserved, pre-aug- mentation, artifact; the current fabric of the built world exists, but within emergent regions driven by artifcial intelligence (AI), archi- tecture transforms into a tectonically uniform version of itself. It is in these regions that design acquires meaning through non-material imagery. Augmented regions are fuid in natureper- petually redefning themselves and their boundaries as a result of a complex collective- AI feedback loopyet at any given moment, clearly defned boundaries demarcate the infuence of the augmented world on the physi- cal one. Artifcial intelligence, as an advanced stage in the evolution of the Internet, controls the technologies of augmented reality, facili- tates algorithmic forms of governance based on collective input, and aids in the increasingly effcient cycling of data. Certain aspects of the world become virtual, while others remain physical. The transporta- tion of people and goods occurs in real space, while events like voting, banking, shopping, and so forth, are anchored in the virtual realm. The processes through which humans go to acquire goods and services no longer require individual spatial displacement. The world undergoes physical spatial compression, but a virtual expansion occurs through user experiences. Through the digital augmentation of space, inhabitants can experience infnite depth. The individuals interaction with the world occurs through a personal interface, which allows the user to make choices about the visual composition of his or her environment. Connection to augmented reality is a choice, not an obligation but it determines the abil- ity of the user to access information and gain knowledge. As a result, physical proximity to AI centers allows for a faster exchange of World Five | The New Real information. Public spaces become servers, where individuals can collectively plug in to the increasing mass of data. The economy is thus run on memory both the memory of the individual, and his or her ownership of digital space. Bytes become currency, and are incor- porated into the public sphere, giving more power to classes without access to physical wealth. Corporations collaborate with the AI to govern the physical realm, providing generic hardware for servers, bandwidth, interfaces, and architecture. The differentiation of these objects occurs virtually, based solely on the choices of the user. 78 79 I N F R A S T R U C T U R E S THE NEW REAL [INFRASTRUCTURE] 80 AI CENTER NON DIGITAL DEVELOPMENT AI MIX ZONE AI MIX ZONE NON DIGITAL DEVELOPMENT MIXED REALITY ZONE MIXED REALITY ZONE NEW REALITY ZONE AI Center AI Mix Zone New Units of Development and New Reality Units: - New Development New Reality Units Development: - New Development AI Center AI Mix Zone New Units of Development with Mixed Reality within: - Existing buldings - New Development - New buildings New Units of Development and New Reality Units: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality New Reality Units Development: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality Old and New Units of Development: - Existing buldings - Existing infrastructure - New Development New Units of Development with Mixed Reality within: - Existing buldings - New Development - New buildings New Units of Development and New Reality Units: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality New Reality Units Development: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality Old and New Units of Development: - Existing buldings - Existing infrastructure - New Development New Units of Development with Mixed Reality within: - Existing buldings - New Development - New buildings New Units of Development and New Reality Units: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality New Reality Units Development: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality New Reality Units Development: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality New Units of Development and New Reality Units: - New Development - New Buildings - New Reality New Units of Development with Mixed Reality within: - Existing buildings - New Development - New buildings Old and New Units of Development: - Existing buildings - Existing infrastructure - New Development The New Real Fluid Megaform THE NEW REAL [NEW GEOGRAPHICS] preserved historical zone - no AR signal AR signal zones hybrid zones preserved historical zone augmented reality zone 82 - 83 Conceptualizing Optimum Land Transformation Processes Saehoon Kim, DDes 84 Outward expansion of urban territories in a developing region is associated with a dynamic transition of landscape and built forms in the urban fringe. With rising concerns on environmental issues, degradation of land resources, and increasing social costs of urbanization that often exceed the capacity of a city, how to link our knowledge of urban planning and landscape design with forms of practices has emerged as a way of conceiving the future of cities (Fried- mann, 1993). One immediate, and ultimate, task in the feld of urban design and planning would be to respond to the following question: what is a good city?, or if we refne the question, what makes good city-world forms in relation to the broader environment? This article is a preliminary exploration of conceptualizing this question by studying related literature. Carrying capacity of Spaceship Earth Imagining a boat, or a spaceship, that has a limited physical volume being isolated from its broader environmental re- sources has been associated with the inception of the notion carrying capacity1. A number of writers, biologists, and landscape architects were attracted by the disequilibrium point of view between growing population, or astronauts, and confned environmental settings that they belong to, or Spaceship Earth. More radical survival-or-not discourses emerged since the 1960s and 70s found in the works of Odum brothers, Richard Buckminster Fuller, or Paul Eh- rlich, or supporters of the Gaia Hypothesis. However, after the initial shock-effects posed by these earlier specula- tors, fundamental questions are left unanswered: which astronaut(s) is doing better than others, and how can we conceptualize and learn from their different performances? Prescriptive planning If we agree on the preposition that certain types of urban- ization affect the seemingly unsustainable trajectory of cities and urban regions, what is promising spatial descrip- tions and design prescriptions to fx the problem? One of the most infuential, and is still widely practiced, modes of thinking will be so-called suitability analysis concretized by Ian McHargs approach of valuing an intrinsic suitability of various land resources. Based on McHargs and other frst-generation landscape architects approaches, profound advances emerged in defning optimal uses of land by incorporating not only landscape and ecological features, but also social, economic, and institutional factors (Ndubisi, 2002). Nonetheless, the notion of measuring and quanti- fying values of various land resources for the purpose of managing, or healing, the nature has faced criticism. James Corner, for example, quoted the argument made by Neil Evernden in order to depict the reductionism imbedded in the works of conservationists or resourcists (Thompson & Steiner, 1997). In parallel with his criticism, he argued that it will be promising for landscape architects to accept ecology for its ideational, representational and material implications with respect to cultural process rather than for its descriptive and prescriptive aspects. This inspirational mode of thinking does enable a type of privilege of archi- tects and urban designers by motivating them to actively participate in the construction of socio-cultural meaning of city-world through various form-making processes. Accord- ingly, going back to the thesis of this article, the procedure of making good urban forms in relation to environment becomes much more sophisticated than simply a behavior of re-arranging pieces of land based on designated suitability status. Nonetheless, highlighting the creative contributions of designers hardly replace the core scientifc values of descriptive analyses and prescriptive modeling2. The inspi- rational, intuitive, and sometimes stochastic, relationship between nature and designed forms needs to be separated from a scientifc view on design. A fine-scale solution: land use and land cover change modeling Land use change modeling emerged over the past four decades as a science-based method of investigating the linkage between urban systems and landscape change. Modeling, especially land use modeling that deals with human dimensions, is often criticized for critically simplify- ing the complex interactions among multiple land uses and institutional actors. Also, a statistical approach embedded in the modeling that does not incorporate non-static and non-linear nature of dynamic land use transition fails to provide insightful policy and design implications. However, in spite of the potential pitfalls of modeling approaches, collective attempts to comprehensively understand past and future changes in land forms is increasing, due largely to the advancements of geographic technologies and growingly accessible satellite imagery that allows unprecedented perceptions across wide territorial dimensions. Identifying physical patterns of land cover within a region incorporates form-related consequences of urbanization and landscape changes, unlike land-use or zoning perspectives that study the effects of non-physical forces or human uses on physical patterns. Viewing actual land-urban forms leads us to a concrete understanding about actually materialized changes that have shaped the world, although some abstraction of physical entities will be unavoidable. This abstraction, nonetheless, is different from an intentional homogenization of nature or urban settings that is often found in the works of modern architects. While Yona Friedmans or Superstudios overarching infrastructure homogeneously spreads across the differences of cultural and territorial features, looking into actual physicality of land changes is a way of temporar- ily neutralizing our view in order to better interpret physical consequences caused by both non-physical and physical forces. Complexity and non-linearity in land use change More specifcally, modeling land use change raises several critical issues. The frst question, also raised above, is how to systematically identify the effects of complex driving forc- es on land use and cover change. Geographic constraints, biophysical aspects, socio-economic environs, neighbor- hood characteristics, spatial policies and uncertainties are widely-tested variables of land use change (Verburg et al., 2004). A group of researchers recently illuminated scale-dependent characteristics of the variables, arguing that social- or accessibility-related variables best explain land use change at farmland or local level, while climatic or macro-demographic variables are useful in understanding regional- to national-level land use variations (Veldkamp & Lambin, 2001). Nonetheless, the scale-dependence theory hardly dismantles the risk of generalizing unique patterns of spatial-temporal land use change. Spatial variables that have been proved to have high explanatory powers in a certain case or at a site might have less signifcance in understanding variations at different locations. Quantifying empirical observations The second issue is how to combine both direct and indirect (or proxy) driving factors for land use change and how to represent the outcome of land use modeling. Compared to Patrick Geddes Valley Section that depicted inherent conti- nuity of lands across human settlements and the specializa- 85 tion of uses according to the ways of extracting resources from land, a number of forces that divide the physical patterns of land are increasingly detached from ingrained natural qualities of the land itself. Obviously, understand- ing the past sheds light on seeing the future. Predicting forthcoming land patterns often starts with the assumption that an optimal set of prediction variables can be built by carefully examining past spatial-temporal trends. This so- called empirically-ftted model has been largely driven by two simulation methods: CA-Markov processes and statisti- cal regression (Brown et al., 2004). The CA-Markov chain model started from a simple Markov random process fu- ture land use status of one spatial unit (or a cell) is based on its current status and has evolved into an advanced model by incorporating neighborhood effects and non-stationary processes of land use change. The statistical regression model emanated from an empirical analysis in economet- rics. It fnds probabilities of the occurrence of a specifc land type out of another type by estimating a regression function based on multiple variables. More recently, land use analysts found out that the two methods are not mutu- ally exclusive. Combining these approaches into one model has spurred alternative models such as the artifcial neural network that deals with a non-linear and non-stationary relationship among variables at a number of different scales. To understand how a set of spatial model can interpret and predict future land use change, Wuxi Urban Districts in the Changjiang Delta Region was selected for further analysis. Under the national policy of building a harmonious socialist society, fnding an equilibrium between economic pursuits and long-term socio-environmental balance became an inte- gral part of Chinas regional development strategy. However, the complexity and uncertainty of reconfguring regions with highly agglomerated urban and rural land patterns has posed challenges for urban planners. Recent ecologi- cal breakdowns in the Taihu Lake basin, for example, have brought into question the carrying capacity in one of the nations wealthiest regions3. A number of cities in China responded to the continued demands for urbanization by rapidly converting their peripheral lands into urban uses in a consumptive manner, while another group of cities have absorbed the infux of population within fairly compact physical standards. Some scholars attributed ingrained environmental problems in the urban regions to the failure of large metropolises. However, arguably, the most land- consumptive and resource-oriented urban expansions are commonly observed around the peripheries of smaller cities and the vicinities of towns. Scenario-based probability modeling of land use change: CA-Markov and neural network analysis A prerequisite of this study will be to set up a methodol- ogy of replying to the seemingly contradictory question, how accurately, and how fexibly, can we predict future urban land patterns?. Early pioneers of Markov processes attempted to prove the validity of two assumptions 1) the land use of any unit area is dependent on its directly preceding use and 2) long-term stationarity and continuity is sustained in land use change (Bell, 1974; Bell & Hino- josa, 1977). Nonetheless, Markov analysis was intrinsically non-spatial, allowing limited understanding on the explicit spatial variations of land use transition. Thus, the develop- ment of self-modifying Cellular Automata (CA) backed up the Markov chain by accounting for various geographic information and by modifying non-stationary transition probabilities of each cell after each cycle. In spite of many advantages of the CA-Markov analysis, however, the model was defcient in the logic of determining parameter values of explanatory variables and transition rules (Batty et al, 1999; Yeh and Li, 2001; Li and Yeh, 2000). A number of non-linear ftting methods were proposed to fll the gap. Among the alternative modeling methods, artifcial neural networks provided a method of accounting for dynamic land use transition probabilities and its area matrix, as well as for various spatial-temporal proxy variables. Especially, a neural network tool was integrated with a remote-sensing software Land Change Modeler in IDRISI, providing a mod- eling package of structuring complex non-linear variables to a set of statistical probabilities by training multiple output neurons. Once infuential factors on land use change are selected, all direct and proxy variables can be embedded in the modeling processes, due to the iterative and non-static learning system of neural network. Several findings Two dominant spatial patterns of urban growth in Wuxi were predicted through the modeling. Again, the simula- tion outcome gives a view of land patterns with diverse land transition probabilities. First, existing core urban districts will expand with concentric ring-shaped patterns. In spite of the presence of coniferous forest hills and major waterways in proximity to the central districts, the peripheral lands will face substantial land cover change. This trend was partly materialized in the development of new industrial district to the east-south of Wuxi, a district that will accom- modate more than 1,200 industrial enterprises in the near future. Second, corridor-type development patterns are on the midway along the outwardly expanding road networks, coupled with the formation of decentralized agglomerations around each township sitting for further development. The second way of viewing the model is by measuring the quantity of the degradation of land resources. For example, about 20% of the cultivated land in 1990 is likely to be converted to urban built-up land by the year of 2020, based on the scenario that only those non-urban lands above 75% transition probability will be changed into urban land. Between p = 95% and 75%, the rate of cultivated land loss is not very steep, due to the clustering of agricultural lands away from built-up land blocks. Thus, land-use policy of confning urban development within those sites where non-urban to urban land conversions are highly probable will be helpful in preserving a large amount of productive agricultural land. Lastly, more conceptual view will be to account for the criteria of comparing and evaluating different urban growth patterns. Which spatial patterns will be optimum land transformation processes? Conversely, which formal consequences of probability-based urbanization will re- spond to the collective optimization of land uses in terms of aesthetics, geographic connotations, land values, amenities, landscape ecology and environmental performance? The synthesis of these normative questions into a form of design needs to incorporate social and political dimensions. A simplistic argument such as managing urban forms for the better performance of cities based on a simulation outcome will face criticism from operational perspectives. Concluding remarks and future research Prioritizing land use change based on theories of land use change and landscape ecology is a promising paradigm that urban policies and design practices can take immediate actions. This research is an attempt to explore theoreti- 86 cal terrains of urban planning, landscape modeling, and design issues. It raises a question about the selection of spatial models that optimize our understanding of the past and future land use change. CA-Markov neural network modeling is potentially a powerful method of incorporat- ing both explanatory and proxy forces of dynamic land use change. Notably, a linear classifer generalizes a regression line across different data spaces, so it achieves the goal of averaging an overall trend, while missing local varia- tions; cell-based learning processes can draw a complex regression through the cloud of observations, but infuential factors beyond certain bandwidths are ignored. Thus, the most promising capability of the CA-Markov neural network model beyond either an econometric or cell-based model is integrating both dynamic cell-state based and static empiri- cal modeling aspects by quantifying numerous parameters of spatial variables through iterative processes. However, several limitations do exist. A neural network model runs in a black box, thus the processes of iterative and dynamic training are hidden. Although the learning algorithm is robust from a computational perspective, land use planners and researchers have limited controls over the system. 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GeoJournal, 61(4), 309-324. 87 Managing Transition Nikolaos Katsikis, DDeS Inventing the chessboard Imagine that you have to invent the chessboard: A generic feld allowing and constraining the constant rearrangement of the chess pieces according to the rules controlling their movements. However, the chessboard cannot be designed without elaborating the rules of the game. At the same, time the rules of the game cannot be constructed without the chessboard defning their main aspects. The rules can be reduced to the repertoire of the pieces movements, which in turn depend on the operational feld defned by the board. Moreover the rules, the pieces and the chessboard are all defned and eventually bound together by the initial setup of the pieces on the board, just before the game starts. It is ob- vious that all of the above can only be constructed together in a process that leads to the crystallization of a solid inter- relation between them. Only then are the true dynamics of the game unveiled. The chessboard cannot be invented but only co-produced. How is then a chessboard constructed for a game that is not yet clearly known and whose rules will be coevolving together with their feld of operation? The broad interest of this research is to develop an understanding on how planning and design deals with this changing interrelation between the rules and actions and their operational feld. As a result, the built environment (and its construction) is not considered a fxed chessboard, but rather a complex adap- tive system, constantly redefning the synthesis between its physical and operational aspects. The question then is: How is this transition managed? 1. The chessboard as complex adaptive system. The increasing interest in complex adaptive systems that followed Second World War, focused according to Herbert Simon on tracing the mechanisms that sustain organized complexity 1 . This quest for the basic management principles behind complex systems was comprehensively structured through Norbert Wieners concept of cybernetics, which highlighted the notion of (negative) feedback as the main tool for achieving control, both in biological and in mechani- cal systems 2 . In the feld of architecture and urban planning, this ap- proach infuenced the conception both of the built environ- ment and of the design process in terms of complexity. Con- trasting the modernist conception of the city as a problem of simplicity, that is a simple cause and effect problem, the notion of the city as a problem of organized complexity sug- gested that it could and should be systematically analyzed on the basis of various interrelating variables. Moreover the conception of the built environment of the city as a complex adaptive system, offers a valuable framework for understanding how they manage transition, a framework largely adopted in this paper as an analytical tool. Based on H. Simon, the adaptation of complex systems to their environment can be achieved on the basis of three different mechanisms: First of all, the ability to predict future change and modify the design of the system accordingly, which would require a suffcient understanding of the parameters affecting the system and their interrelation. This concept introduces the idea of simulation, largely dependent on the input variables and the validity of the model interrelat- ing them. However, according to Simon few of the complex adaptive systems rely on predictive control, but rather mobilize mechanisms of homeostasis and feedback. Ho- meostasis, the second mechanism discussed by Simon, can be understood as the ability of a system to absorb change without changing, a resilience that in architecture is often sought in the vernacular. The third mechanism, feedback, as already discussed leads to an adaptation of the system through a dynamic response 3 . 2. Centrality in transition Now the question concerning can be reframed in terms of how urban environments, as complex adaptive systems re- spond, adapt, predict and in general manage transition. The notion of centrality is suggested as a meaningful platform to start investigating this question for two reasons: First, for relying highly on the combination of spatial and operational factors and second, for being both sensitive and resilient to technological change. However, the issue of tracing causali- ties between technological infrastructures and the urban condition is in itself extremely complex to be addressed in its totality. Issues of technological progress and determin- ism and their spatial expressions, better studied through the history and philosophy of technology, are blurred by the fact that often-critical forms of networked infrastructure, do not 88 seem to lead to spatial change but rather to spatial adoption. This indirect but crucial interrelation between networked infrastructures and their role in shaping the contemporary urban condition has been addressed by an increasing body of literature, borrowing mainly by the tradition of the social construction of technological systems. Yvonne Audirac offers a useful overview of this literature by framing it in two urban theorizing traditions 4 : On the one hand, the deconcentration school (Hall, Mitch- ell, Townsend) carries on the human ecology tradition in urban sociology and neoclassic economic approaches of lo- cational and land use theories, as well as insights obtained from the geography of transportation research. In explaining the structure and growth of cities, this literature conceptu- alizes technology as a form of organizational adaptation to environmental and resource constraints and the outward spread of cities as the result of innovations in transportation and telecommunications, which free society from place and distance constraints 5 . The restructuring school (Castells, Sassen, Graham and Marvin), on the other hand, devotes a great deal of attention to the political economy of cities and regions. It empha- sizes economic and spatial restructuring resulting from technological change reshaping and being reshaped by the (capitalist) mode of production and emphasizing on the role of urban political regimes and the entrepreneurial state in shaping the conditions for economic growth and urban expansion 6 . The proposed research intends to carefully revisit and combine concepts from both theoretical frameworks and elaborate them into revisiting crucial elements of the sug- gested new geographies. First of all, Graham and Marvin offer a simplifed but powerful framework for understanding the spatiotemporal relationship between cities and infra- structures (mostly networked mobility and communication infrastructures). In general, they consider both cities and networked infrastructures as structures that strive to chan- nel an interaction with space and time, distorting them in two discreet ways: On the one hand, cities aim to overcome time constrains by compressing spatial parameters while on the other hand, infrastructures, based on technological developments, aim to overcome spatial constrains by com- pressing temporal parameters. In this way, space and time become factors so interrelated within the urban experience as city and infrastructure. 3. New forms of Centrality This concept reveals the temporal character of networked mobility, communication and information infrastructures, which is easily linked to distance by the notion of velocity. However it also introduces a third factor, a third interval according to Virilio, which is neither time nor space: The notion of simultaneity. Virilio 7 and Kittler seem to agree on the importance of the notion of simultaneous interac- tion over distance, especially in the digital era. However, it is Manuel Castells who more lucidly traces the effects of simultaneity, by offering a synopsis of the network topology. According to Castells, the distance between two points is shorter if both points are nodes in a network, than if they do not belong to the same network. Thus, distance for a given point or position varies between zero (for any node in the same network) and infnite for any point external to the network 8 . In this way the new chessboard appears as a complex web of interactions, where however spatial distance is no longer as crucial for meaningful relationships as it used to be: Space-time no longer corresponds to Euclidean space. Distance is no longer the relevant variable in accessing accessibility. Connectivity (being in relation to) is added to, even imposed upon, contiguity (being next to) 9 . The detachment of physical proximity from simultaneity and interaction highly challenges the notion of centrality, largely dependant upon accessibility and connectivity, which ac- cording to Sassen tends to mutate and take additional forms, based on the network topology. As a result, the centrality of place as originally described by Christaller 10 , does not necessary mean a condition of centrality, a condition that becomes highly interdependent with networked infrastruc- ture. In this context new forms of centrality seem to mutate from geographic to programmatic entities, or to set it in broader terms from spatial to operational geographies. 4. Doxiadis and the changing geographies of centrality. In unfolding the transitional phenomena described above this paper will focus on some specifc aspects of the work of the Greek architect and urban planner C.A. Doxiadis. Doxiadis research and practice provides a valuable feld of revisiting notions of change management and analyz- ing them through the lens suggested above, as most of the mechanisms discussed (prediction, homeostasis, response) are not only mobilized but also restructured around notions of centrality, infrastructural networks and human scale. 4.1. Ekistics and the management of growth The rational, scientifc and systematic management of change was at the core of Doxiadis research on the develop- ment of human settlements. According to P. Pyla, since the mid-1940s, when he formulated Ekistics as an altogether new feld, the science of human settlements, Doxiadis aspired to expand the scientifc basis of architecture, urban design, and planning 11 . Derived from the Greek oikos, meaning house Doxiadis Ekistics aimed to respond to the totality of human needs across cultural, geographic, and socioeconomic differences. It held onto the modernist opti- mism for the architect-planner as an agent of socioeconomic reform, while simultaneously rejecting earlier modernisms excesses of individualism and rationalism. It also promised to accommodate the forces of industrialization and mod- ernization, while minimizing their dehumanizing impact by reclaiming physical qualities of past settlements that had achieved a balance between nature and society. Most interestingly it was accompanied by wide and inter- disciplinary discussions about technological impacts on urbanism by a wide range of theorists, urbanists and tech- nologists. This discourse was largely expressed through the World Society of Ekistics he organized and especially in a series of annual symposia which mainly took place in the Greek island of Delos for more than 10 years (1963-1976), as an attempt to bring together researchers and leading personalities from different disciplines related to urbanism. This discourse offers valuable insights not only for better understanding Doxiadis theoretical approach but also for critically evaluating the speculations about the impact of technological developments on urbanism 12 .
However, the focus of this paper will be on same specifc rather methodological aspects of Doxiadis approach to managing what he considered as the main problem of urban 89 settlements: The inability of their structure to effciently adapt to change and specifcally growth. Doxiadis, infu- enced by the eras increasing interest in complexity and sys- tems theory, conceived the problems of urban settlements as problems of organized complexity that could be addressed rationally and systematically. As it will be further discussed below, his methodological approach tried to develop an understanding and elaborate on both three aforementioned mechanisms of adaptation to change, that is prediction, homeostasis and responsive feedback. Actively engaging research in his practice, he launched two major different research projects to develop an understand- ing around these mechanisms and of course elaborate them in his planning and design proposals. The prediction of the future development of world settlements was researched through the City of the Future research project, which also investigated the structure of dynamically responsive ur- ban systems, while the quest for homeostasis and resilience in human settlements was conducted through the Ancient Greek City research project. Before further discussing how those three approaches addressed the notion of transition management, it will be shortly discussed which was the understanding of the forces behind this change. Navigating through Doxiadis vast theoretical work the main questions of interest will then be: How does change happen and were does it come from? How is change asking pressure on hu- man settlements? 4.2. Understanding change in settlements In conceiving human settlements as complex systems, Doxi- adis suggested that their understanding could be managed only through a holistic approach unveiling the changing interrelation between their basic variables, which he tried to categorize into fve basic elements: Our subject, the whole range of human settlements, is a very complex system of fve elements - nature, man, society, shells (that is, buildings), and networks. It is a system of natural, social, and man-made elements, which can be seen in many ways - economic, social, political, technological, and cultural. For this reason only the widest possible view can help us to understand it 13 . Moreover, Doxiadis extended his descriptive approach trying to clarify the basic principles through which the above elements, the fve basic Ekistic elements, engaged in the formation and mutation of human settlements. These principles in overview included: The maximization of the mans potential contacts with the four other elements [1], the minimization of the effort to achieve them [2], the optimiza- tion of these contacts [3] and mans protective space [4], and more importantly the optimum and balanced organization and synthesis of these elements in a coherent whole which would lead to an anthropocentric approach to the urban environment [5] 14 . Doxiadis certainly suggests an anthropocentric approach, in which considerations of changing human spatial needs leads to treating human behavior, be it patterns of movement, coordinated assembly, or mere co-presence, as spatial phe- nomena in their own right, which are linked to the physical form of shells and networks. The human needs pertaining to settlements are then expressed as forces affecting settlement form. The interplay of these forces is likened to a changing force (or mobile force), which comes to rest when settlement form and structure provide for a balance of intensities and directions. Where the force mobile does not limit the possible form of settlements, generic layouts come into play. However, the apparent form of a settlement should not be equated with its underlying structure. Thus, Doxiadis analysis suggests that in order to under- stand change in human settlements we must look at their manifest spatial morphology, the underlying spatial patterns associated with human activities and behavior, as well as the functional and organizational structure that joins the former to the latter, always bearing in mind that the rela- tionships involved are not simple cause and effect but rather statistical in nature. For Doxiadis, the inability to manage this constant socio- technical change in the interrelation between functions, structure, density, dimensions and urban patterns consti- tutes the main problem of the ever-changing settlements. And one of the more critical factors intensifying this change is growth. It could be argued here that growth can be seen as both a factor causing change and a type of change itself. In both cases, managing growth and its pressure on the elements of urban settlements appears as one of the most critical issues. And centrality plays a key role in the transi- tion to dynamically growing settlements. 4.3. Dynapolis In all settlements, argues Doxiadis, we can draw a distinc- tion between the central part, the homogeneous parts, which are mostly residential, the circulatory part, and the parts accommodating special functions. Ideal growth should allow for the stability of the homogeneous parts, the residential units that make up the settlement, while letting the center grow with the least disruption of existing form, structure and function. To achieve the combination of stable units and a dynamically growing center, Doxiadis proposes two complementary principles: First, the settlement should be based on the aggregation of relatively independent sectors corresponding to human com- munities. Second, the center should be able to grow linearly along a predetermined axis. While in radial growing settle- ments, the growth of the center is in confict with its periph- ery, the linear growth of the center in one direction, along a predetermined axis, is proposed for two main reasons: First, it implies the least destruction of the peripheral settlement fabric at any given point in time and second, it implies that the location of the new center gradually shifts away from the old center, thus assisting the preservation of the most important inheritance of the past. Of course, as the center is displaced, adjustments must be made to the system of major transportation routes, which have to respond to both the texture of the city, and the larger scale distribution of other cities and settlements. In the case of very large cities, linear axes of extension may themselves intersect to form more complex patterns, which reveal a strong infuence of the aforementioned Walter Christallers seminal work on centrality. According to Christallers Central Place theory, settlements distributed along hexagonal patterns can most effciently cover a uniform and plane feld, minimizing the distance of any particular location from the nearest settlement center. Within a region, hierarchies of settlements of increasing size, functional diversifcation and specialization can correspond to nested hierarchies of hexagonal lattices. 90 PREDICTION ADAPTATION INITIAL CONDITIONS THEORETICAL MODEL SIMULATION DISCRETE HOMEOSTASIS FEEDBACK PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS CONTINUOUS SHELLS NETWORKS CHANGE management SHELLS NETWORKS DYNAMIC STRUCTURES PERSISTENT STRUCTURES DYNAMETROPOLIS CITY OF THE FUTURE STATIC SECTOR 91 For Doxiadis however this model seems to be equivalent to a law of inertia rather than a law describing actual reality, providing the underlying structure which is in practice dis- torted through the effects of topography, history, geography or economy. If in this ideal Dynametropolis the center is constantly in a transitional state, the human communities comprising it largely remain static as they refect the stabil- ity of a global variable: Human scale. Doxiadis advocates that sectors would constitutive modules of large settlements that most closely correspond to the human scale and bal- ance the dynamic growth of the center and of special func- tions. Urban sectors correspond to communities served by basic urban functions. Interestingly, sectors have their own static centralities around buildings serving the community, which largely organize their structure. At the same time, their boundaries are highly solid, protecting them from transformations in other parts of the settlement and also from high-speed vehicular traffc, which is only peripheral. 4.4. Scalar and Infrastructural change Reviewing the Dynametropolis model two things become clear: First, while according to Doxiadis there is no opti- mum size for a city but rather an optimum speed of growth, there still seems to exist an optimum size of community, refected to the human sector. This static module organized around internal static centers is still based on classical no- tions of proximity closely related to human scale. This scale however does not only regard mans kinetic felds, but also his ability to perceive the totality of his habitat. On the other hand, central functions expanding along linear dynamic axis seem to relate more with the infrastructural transportation networks that support them, and less with the surrounding peripheries. They become operational and not geographic, although they depend largely on physical patterns of associated networks. In this way the choice to unlink the growing centers from the static communities adds fexibility but subtracts coherence, in a planning logic which is highly hierarchical and stratifed according to spe- cifc scales. Both change and centrality seem to be scalar issues, being addressed in different ways in scales ranging from the human to the global. As a result defning and researching these two extremes, proves highly crucial for the understanding of the dynamic change in the transitional scales and stages between them. To develop this understanding Doxiadis conducted exces- sive research on these two ends through the two different research projects already mentioned: The Ancient Greek City, investigating the formation of human communities and the stabilizing forces behind them, and the City of the Future, which investigated the shape and structure of human settlements in the far future. It could be argued that while the Dynametropolis project embodied a generic principal mechanism for managing growth, and balancing between the elements that were subject to change and these that remained static, these two projects complemented the understanding of the structure of the static sectors and the directions in which change was supposed to happen. In this understanding, the static sectors largely depended on homeostasis whose nature was sought in the ancient Greek cities of the past, the city of the future was predicted based on simulations and projections and the Dynametropo- lis offered a responsive mechanism that could accommodate this planned change towards this future global city. In this way predictive, responsive and homeostatic mechanisms were mobilized to manage change leading to adaptive hu- man settlements. 4.5. The ancient Greek city The research regarding the Ancient Greek City 15 , could then be characterized as a quest to reveal the elements behind the ideal form of human communities that allowed them to achieve optimum synthesis of the fve ekistic elements. In this quest the return to human scale was for Doxiadis crucial. As he notes: The ancient Greek city was built on human dimensions which gave it a human scale and unity. The city of the present has lost its human dimensions. There is an impera- tive need for human dimensions in the city of the present. The city of today also needs other dimensions suitable for the machine and, accordingly, a synthesis of two scales is required: the human scale and the scale of the machine. It is therefore absolutely necessary that we give back to the city its human dimensions, even though we have imposed on it the dimensions of the machine. It was a mistake to let the historic continuity of the human dimensions in the city to be lost. We must establish it again, in harmony with the evolution imposed on us by the new factors 16 . In this research that examined ancient cities mainly along the Greek peninsula but also in other parts of the Mediter- ranean, Doxiadis emphasized on the role of human kinetic felds on the formation, structure and dimensions of the ancient City State (fgure 06). Both the state and the city itself were organized according to proximity rules based on walking distances. The central position of the city within its periphery and the centrality, frst of the acropolis and then of the agora within the city itself, refected these rules not only in organically developed cities, but also in the Hippodameian planned cities. The result of according to Doxiadis was that: anyone could easily perceive the ancient city in all its extent as a synthesis. The outcome was that the city not only formed a community of people, but that this community was readily perceived by every inhabitant, who dominated over its entire area with all his physical capaci- ties. He could view it, he could hear its messages, he could walk over it very easily. The city belonged to the man; it was built on the human scale 17 . This call for a return to human scale clarifes the need of the sectors to remain static: If human scale is a fxed value, the corresponding community should be fxed too. However it could be argued that there is a second underlying notion regarding change: Sectors, based on human scale and on lessons learned from historical examples developed on experience, would be able to manage change by absorb- ing it, at least change that would occur in relevant scales. In this context, sectors could be thought of as homeostatic mechanisms, stable not only because they are protected from change, but also because they can infltrate it on certain levels. This search for the global variables that would enable to built dynamic cities out of static elements by revisiting past examples is evident in the following quote: We can face a world of changing dynamic cities by building them with constant physical units within which we can create quality - units meant for a certain purpose and containing a certain desirable mixture of residences, cultural facilities, industry, and commerce. We can design these small units if we understand the processes of synthesis and morphogenesis of the past and if we do not try to discover new patterns of life expressing nonexistent principles, just for the sake of chang- ing the traditional ones 18 . 92 4.6. Ecumenopolis or the City of the Future With the Ancient Greek City digging in the past to reinvent the elements that would equip the future, the City of the Future 19 research project tried to set the guidelines for this journey. However the aim of this study was not to remain speculative and utopian. According to Doxiadis: Utopian thoughts about the cities of the future have not led us very far - rather they have confused the issue of the city of the future for the uninformed reader by focusing on the small size of the dream place and the need to escape to it 20 . Against these escapist and idealistic tendencies, Doxiadis insisted on the need of a more grounded approach to the future that based on predicting the evolution of actual sociotechnical parameters could prove realistic: We have now reached the point where we must decide on the future road to follow. The question is: are we now capable of examining systematically the various practicable alternatives for the future, which are open to us? I believe we are 21 . Against imaginary and unrealizable Utopias, Doxiadis suggested the usefulness of a grounded Entopia 22 that could guide managing for change. As a result the fndings and proposals of the City of the Future project were not to remain on the theoretical sphere, but were also to provide a frame and guidelines for proper planning for any place and for any foreseeable time horizon 23 . The importance of it, at least in its initial conception, was not in creating a frozen frame of urbanization reference, but a perpetually revised frame, continuously updated, thus always valid 24 . This frame largely grew out of the belief that projections into the future and simulations of future scenarios would be both possible and meaningful for the guidance of short and long term planning. Moreover, it replied to the belief that population growth and increasing urbanization of the earths surface would be inevitable and thus should somehow be managed methodologically. This methodology used mainly three techniques in predict- ing future change: First of all, extrapolating the existing trends provided a starting point for estimates concerning the near future. Secondly, using assumptions which would pro- vide end points into the furthest future it rendered different urbanization scenarios, and fnally, connecting the starting point to all these end points sketched probability curves, well-defned lines at their beginning, turning into hazy zones as they approached the end points in the uncertain future scenarios. The above techniques were applied to a number of variables, which included population, resources (water, energy, food, minerals), habitable land rated accord- ing to development cost (climate, topography, drinkable water) and income. The information obtained through these techniques, in correlation with each other or independently, narrowed the width of the hazy zones. In this context it could be argued that the more variables considered and the better they were specifed, the sharper the image of the City of the Future would be. As the time horizon peaked in 2120 using thirty year variables for intermediate projections, space on the other hand offered a rather stable variable: Consider- ing space as a static and fnite resource, highly defned by the future habitable land according to quite predictable parameters (ruggedness, drinkable water, cost of develop- ment of hostile areas), offered a highly constrained envelop for urbanization. This constrained envelope together with the fnitude of natural resources on earth would sometime lead the population growth and constant urbanization to an end, leading to a global entity eventually saturating all the available habitable land. This global city was named Ecumenopolis 25 and represented a rather stable state of equilibrium between man and terres- trial space. According to Doxiadis: many things are going to change in Ecumenopolis, but not its size. This is one of the reasons why it has to be successfully built 26 . Besides the technocratic dimension of this project however, Doxiadis largely envisioned Ecumenoplis not only as a system of urbanization but also as the ultimate and symbolic Unique City of Man, as for the frst time in history man would have to inhabit and also conceive one single city rather than many cities belonging to different national, racial, religious, or local groups: Ecumenopolis, the unique city of man, will form a continu- ous, differentiated, but also unifed texture consisting of many cells, the human communities. Depending on how well man can understand that he belongs to all units of Ecu- menopolis, to himself, his family, his cell, his region, and to the whole, we can have a happy man or not. [...] unless everybody understands that he belongs to all scales, to the whole, [...] we cannot have a successful city of man 27 . 5. Change is inevitable and manageable This humanistic approach reveals a strong tendency to re- store the centrality of human scale in governing both ends: From the scale of the community, to the Ecumenopolis, built environment should facilitate interactions between man and the rest of the ekistic elements following an anthropocentric approach. Interestingly, both these states constitute states of ultimate stability that in a way frame the transition in between: On the one hand, sectors are validated through the corresponding historical research as elements that should and could be regarded as static in the process of their dy- namic aggregation. On the other hand, Ecumenopolis is also conceived as a fnal state of global urbanization and again a stable, homeostatic entity, that will be still able to facilitate change but without changing. However, these two extremes could be argued to inherit their stability through different processes: While for the static sector the stability comes from internal forces that have balanced in an optimum structure of interrelated organization, Ecumenopolis seems to settle down under the pressure of external forces constraining further develop- ment. In achieving the balance of these externalities, the whole urbanized and non-urbanized surface of the earth becomes at last a fxed chessboard, where not only its layout is defned, but also the rules of the game are set. It could be argued that for Doxiadis change management is not the fnal target but rather the medium to ensure that this inevitable stable stage of the future would be organized and construct- ed in the best possible way. Equipped with the feedback offered by projecting in this simulated future stable condition, the transitional states from Megalopolis, to Megalopolitan networks, urbanized regions, urbanized continents and fnally to Ecumenopolis are nothing more than expressions of the generative rules of dynametrapolis on the static sectors distorted by factors like, existing urban development, main transportation axes, and availability of habitable land. 93 In these transitional stages, stratifed centralities that seek to chanel change and constrain its overspilling in elements that are meant to remain stable, often seem to create geog- raphies of vertical disconnections, bound by hierarchical interelations, far away from the nature of networked iconog- raphy Doxiadis suggests. The lost coherence between scales and the effort to control change by disconnecting them, is largely evident in the two prevailing centralities Doxiadis suggests: The centrality of the sector, largely similar to this of a cell 28 , guarantying the stability of the local organization of the community, and the dynamic and changing linear centraliy of the Dynametropolis, that would lead eventualy to a condition of generalized networked centrality. This problem however of dealing with change in different scales, by enabling it where desirable and constraining it where harmfull, is largely refective of the contemporary discussions regarding changing infrastructural networks of globalization. The changing interelation between centres and peripheries mutated and often fragmented by networked infrastructures, as already discussed, disenchants the vi- sion of Ecumenopolis 29 . The problem of inventing the chess- board is still structured around the main question: How to conceptualize and manage, change which seems to come from differnt scales and forces, in achieving a functional coherence across scales, between the rules, the pieces and the chessboard? Is it possible that we are at the same time reinventing the chessboard and the rules, while already playing the game? Notes & References 1 Simon distinguishes three main explosions in the inter- est for complexity: The frst, right after the frst world war, dealing with the characteristics and the nature of complex systems, the second following world war two focusing on the mechanisms sustaining complexity and especially feedback, and a third one during the seventies researching the mecha- nisms creating complexity with an emphasis on the notion of emergence. Simon, H.A., 1996, The sciences of the artifcial, 3rd edn, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass. 2 Wiener, N., 1961, Cybernetics: or, Control and communi- cation in the animal and the machine, 2d edn, M.I.T. Press, New York. 3 Simon, H.A., 1996, The sciences of the artifcial, 3rd edn, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass. 4 Audirac, I, Information Technology and Urban Form, Journal of Planning Literature 2002; 17; 212 5 Seminal works in this direction include: Hall P., Cities of tomorrow: an intellectual history of urban planning and design in the twentieth century. Oxford: Blackwell, 2002. Mitchell, W. J., e-topia, Cambridge Ma: MIT Press, 1999. Mitchell, W. J., me++: The Cyborg Self and the Networked City, Cambridge Ma: MIT Press, 2003. 6 Seminal works in this direction include: Castells M., The Informational City. London: Blackwell, 1989. Castells M., The Information Age: Economy, Society and Culture I, The Rise of the Network Society. Oxford: Black- well, 1997. Graham S. and Marvin S., Splintering Urbanism. London: Routledge, 2001. Sassen, S., The Global City: New York, London, Tokyo. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1991. 7 Virilio introduces the term third interval to highlight the importance of simultaneity in relation to the frst inter- val (space) and the second interval (time). See Virilio, P. The Third Interval, in Rethinking Technology: A Reader in Architectural Theory, London: Routledge, 2004. 8 Castells M., The Information Age: Economy, Society and Culture I, The Rise of the Network Society. Oxford: Black- well, 1997, p. 472. 9 Offner, J. as cited in: Graham, S. / Marvin, S. (2001) Splintering Urbanism, London, Routledge, 172. 10 Christaller, W., Die Zentralen Orte in Suddeutschland, Jena, 1933. 11 Doxiadis, C.A.,1968, Ekistics : an introduction to the science of human settlements, Oxford University Press, New York. For a recent analysis of Ekistics as a discipline see: Pyla, P., Planetary Home and Garden: Ekistics and Environmental- Developmental Politics, in Grey Room 36, Summer 2009, pp. 635, and also: Pyla, P., Ekistics, Architecture and Environmental politics, 1945-1976: A prehistory of sustain- able development, PH.D. diss., MIT, 2002. 12 For an extensive discussion of the Delos symposia discourse, see the Journal Ekistics especially from 1975 to 1977. Also for an analysis of the importance of Delos Sym- posia in the discussion around networked infrastructure and network culture in design see: Wigley, M., Network Fever, in Grey Room 04, Summer 2001, pp. 82122. 13Doxiadis, C.A., Ekistics, the Science of Human Settle- ments, Science, v.170, no.3956, October 1970, p. 393-404 Online: http://www.doxiadis.org/fles/pdf/ecistics_the_sci- ence_of_human_settlements.pdf p.1 14 For Doxiadis the structure of human settlements is a quest for this optimum synthesis. As he notes: Man orga- nizes his settlements in an attempt to achieve an optimum synthesis of the other four principles, and this optimiza- tion is dependent on time and space, on actual conditions, and on mans ability to create a synthesis. Doxiadis, C.A., Ekistics, the Science of Human Settlements, Science, v.170, no.3956, October 1970, p. 393-404. 15 During the period 1963-1977, Doxiadis Associates in collaboration with the Athens Center of Ekistics, conducted a research which aimed at gathering data regarding the organization of space in ancient Greek cities and, subse- quently, to arrive at a new synthesis which would account for the newer fndings and hypotheses. The research would cover ekistic phenomena in the wider sense of the term, in order to deal with the development of settlement from its start, from the selection of the space for mans living, to its completion and artistic expression through buildings and monuments. Since August 1968, the research was organized more systematically under the supervision of the Athens Center of Ekistics and additional funding from the FORD Foundation and Doxiadis Associates. C.A. Doxiadis person- 94 ally supervised the research until the day of his death, June 28, 1975, in a project that involved the collaboration of prominent Greek archaeologists, historians, philologists and architects. Doxiadis was largely infuenced in this historical approach by the British historian Arnold Toynbee, who was also a member of the World Society of Ekistics. However it could be argued that the starting point for Doxiadis interest regarding space in ancient Greek cities was his Doctoral Dissertation on the production of space in ancient Greece. For a translation of the authors thesis, prepared at the Ber- lin Charlottenburg Technische Hochschule and published in 1937 under title: Raumordnung im griechischen Stdtebau, see: Doxiadis, C.A.,1972, Architectural space in Ancient Greece, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass For a research overview see the online resource: http://www.doxiadis.org/page/default.asp?la=1&id=16 For extensive publications of the outcomes of the research see: Dakaris, S. & A.K.O., 1971, Cassopaia and the Elean colo- nies, Athens Center of Ekistics, Athens. Lazaridis, D. & A.K.O., 1971, Thasos and its Peraia, Ath- ens Center of Ekistics, Athens. Sakellariou, M.V., Pharaklas, N. & A.K.O., 1971, Corinthia- Cleonaea, Athens Center of Ekistics, Athens,. Theocharis, D. & A.K.O. 1971, Prehistory of Eastern Mace- donia and Thrace, Athens Center of Ekistics, Athens,. Toynbee, A.J. & A.K.O. 1971, An ekistical study of the Hel- lenic city-state, Athens Center of Ekistics, Athens. 16 Doxiadis, C.A., The ancient Greek city and the city of the present Ekistics, v.18, no.108, November 1964, p. 346-364. 17 Doxiadis, C.A., The ancient Greek city and the city of the present Ekistics, v.18, no.108, November 1964, p. 346-364. 18 Doxiadis, C.A., Ekistics, the Science of Human Settle- ments, Science, v.170, no.3956, October 1970, p. 393-404 19 The City of the Future (COF) was the frst Research Project launched by C.A. Doxiadis in 1960. The idea for a research on the future of cities was already conceived as early as 1958. Its frst Project Manager was C. A. Doxiadis himself assisted by John G. Papaioannou, who in 1964 became its second Project Manager. The frst task of the initial COF team was to compile a research design, setting the goals and the time horizons of the study as well as speci- fying the necessary specialties, which would cover the large variety of topics involved. The number of scientists fnally participating rose to more than 100, working independently or in association with the project. For a research overview see the online resource: http://www.doxiadis.org/page/default.asp?la=1&id=18 For a more extensive discussion presentation of the research see: Doxiadis, C.A. & A.T.O., 1967, Ecumenopolis : the settle- ment of the future, Athens Technological Organization, Athens Center of Ekistics, Athens. Doxiadis, C.A., Papaioannou, J. G. & A.T.O., 1974, Ecu- menopolis : the inevitable city of the future, Norton, New York. 20 Doxiadis, C.A., Ecumenopolis: Tomorrows City, Brit- tanica Book of the year 1968, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Inc. Also online: http://www.doxiadis.org/page/default.asp?id=238, p. 9. 21 Doxiadis, C.A., The city(II): Ecumenopolis, world-city of tomorrow, Impact of Science on Society, v.19, no.2, April - June 1969, p. 179-193 22 Coined in 1965 by C.A. Doxiadis, from the Greek en topos (in place) as a term opposite to utopia (from u-topos, meaning non place), Entopia was meant to be a plausible reality for the future. 23 The COF fndings were used extensively while the project was still in progress, providing the wider frame for future development in many areas. Prominent examples include the Masterplan for Islamabad and the Great Lakes Megalopolis project. 24 According to Myrto Antonopoulou-Bogdanou, although the idea of an on-going project was never fully realized, the model and structure of the project allowed for updating at any moment and of any variable, even simply by making a cross section at a given date and comparing the sets of fgures, readjusting the relative points and curves. Networked resource reviewing the City of the Future research: http://www.doxiadis.org/fles/pdf/City%20of%20the%20 Future.pdf 25 After the Greek word Ecoumeni which refers to the whole world as an entity. In his term coined in 1961, Doxiadis defnes Ecumenopolis as: The coming city that, together with the corresponding open land which is indispensable for man, will cover the entire earth as a continuous system forming a universal settlement. For a glossary of terms see: Doxiadis, C.A., Ecumenopolis: Tomorrows City, Brit- tanica Book of the year 1968, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Inc. 26 Doxiadis, C.A., Ecumenopolis: Tomorrows City, Brit- tanica Book of the year 1968, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Inc. Also online: 27 Doxiadis, C.A., Ecumenopolis: Tomorrows City, Brit- tanica Book of the year 1968, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Inc. Also online: http://www.doxiadis.org/page/default.asp?id=238, p. 21. 28 See for example Doxiadis metaphor regarding human cells and their static morphology in our growing organisms. Doxiadis, C.A.,1968, Ekistics : an introduction to the sci- ence of human settlements, Oxford University Press, New York, p. 356. 29 For the splintering effect of networked infrastructures on the built environment see for example: Graham S. and Marvin S., Splintering Urbanism. London: Routledge, 2001. 95 CREDITS Professor Hashim Sarkis Guest Critics Peder Anker Pierre Belanger Felipe Correa Gareth Doherty Rania Ghosn Timothy Hyde El Hadi Jazairy Boris Jensen Ciro Najle Rafi Segal