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Treasury Operations
and
Risk Management
$/ ¥/£
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by
Trivedi & Hasan
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
I III
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
About
the
Authors
FOREWORD BY :
Phone :- 661 2890 Banking Operations published covering financial markets, risk
IV V
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
Contents
I Foreword XIII
II Preface XIV
VI VII
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
VIII IX
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
X XI
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
XII XIII
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
Williams’ %R 204
Moving Averages 204 The growth in the volume of international trade and finance has
been tremendous in the recent times. The world economy is
16. Correspondent Banking 211 getting closer and integrated. In the present environment various
Genesis 211 financial markets, viz . forex, money and security markets are
Historical perspective 211 also growing in depth and liquidity and getting integrated. U.S.A’s
Services Bag 212 Federal Reserve ‘s interest rate policy affects the behaviour of
Correspondent Banker and International Banking 212 Foreign Institutional Investors, attitude towards emerging share
Control Documents 213 markets like india, and certainly it effects the forward premium
Advent of Euro 213 and discount in forex markets.
Straight Through Processing (STP) 219 techniques is a must. The concept of value-at-risk and its
Message Referencing 219 measurement is important, inspite of its limitations.
BIC Codes 220
Some Do’s 220 The book by Shri A. K. Trivedi and Shri S.M.Hasan on Treasury
SWIFT in India 221 Operations and Risk Management exposes the reader to all
Why to eliminate the telex? 222 these areas with tremendous skill and experience of international
Input 223 banking.
Reporting System 223
Output 224
Dr. M. Thomas Paul
Reporting System 224
Professor of International Banking
Disaster Recovery Plan 225
National Institute of Bank Management
SIBOS 225
Pune - 411048
Global SWIFT Utilisation (Table ‘A’ to ‘J’) 226
Glossary 231
Bibiliography 253
XIV X V
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT
Preface
XVI XVII
TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 1
XVIII
2 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 3
currencies as balances with banks abroad. For instance, Indian (b) Unrestricted usage of gold by the holder.
Bank may maintain an account with Bank of New York, in which
(c) Unrestricted import and export of gold.
Dollar balances are held. In the earlier example, if ‘B’ pay the
equivalent Rupees to Indian Bank, it would arrange to pay ‘A’ at
2. The Gold Bullion Standard - Under the gold bullion standard
New York in Dollars from the Dollar balances held by it with
the money in circulation was either partly or entirely paper. Gold
Bank of New York.
served as a r e s e r v e a s s e t a n d p a p e r m o n e y c o u l d b e e x c h a n g e d
for gold at the bank of issue. It is fair to expect that the entire
Exchange Rate amount of paper money would not be converted into gold and
therefore the bank of issue need not hold full gold coverage.
The rate at which one currency is converted in to another currency Lower the coverage in gold the greater is the volume of money
is the rate of exchange between the currencies concerned. If in circulation and lower the rate of exchange in relation to other
Indian Bank exchanged US dollars for Indian Rupees at Rs currencies.
43.65 a dollar, the exchange rate between the rupee and dollar
can be expressed as US $ 1 = Rs 43.65.
Period From 1918 - 1939
Settlement of international trade using gold as reference gave World war which gave rise to the need for creating a free stable
rise to a system of fixed exchange rates whose parities were and multilateral monetary system. The American proposal accepted
set in relation to gold. There were two main forms of gold at the Bretton Woods conference in July 1944 was based on
the essential conditions were- permissible parity fluctuation was achieved by each member of
the IMF setting a parity for its currency relative to gold or the
(a) Central bank had to buy or sell gold in unrestricted amounts USD and undertaking to keep rate fluctuations within + or -
at a fixed price. 1% of parity, by central bank market operation. No change in
4 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 5
parity could take place without the FUNDS approval, which Lira came under such a heavy pressure , that the pound was
could not be withheld if the change did not exceed 10%. allowed to float and Italian Lira went on a two tier exchange
market - commercial dealings and financial dealings.
To tideover the problems of deficit in balance of payments, a
credit fund was established and the quota of drawing allowed In spite of, USA revaluing gold in Feb 1973 to USD 42.22 and
based on Gross national product (GNP), currency reserves, and Swiss Francs and Japanese Yen getting revalued by 12% and
fluctuations in external trade was fixed. The limit is denoted in 7.5 % respectively, the inflow of capital to these two countries
terms of Special Drawing Rights (SDR). continued unabated and the European countries suspended their
obligation to intervene in the market signaling the collapse of
The first cracks in the international monetary structure appeared Bretton Woods system with fixed parities and the phenomena of
at the end of 1958 when all Western European currencies had floating exchange rates in major currencies came into existence.
become externally convertible. U.S.A. also recorded a massive
balance of payment deficit of USD 11.2 billion (for the years
Euro Market
1958 to 1960), and this started a run on gold pushing the market
price per ounce above the parity of USD 35, for the first time
The origin of the Euromoney market dates back to the fifties
since 1951.
and it was born more out of fear than confidence.
II) Japan and European countries revalued their currencies by A Euro currency therefore is a currency in deposit or loan which
upto 7.66%. is held outside the country of origin of the currency. It is essential
to remember that the currency never leaves the country of
III) Intervention bands widened to + or - 2 1/4 % instead of origin, but is owned by a non-resident (Bank or Individual) of the
1%. country of the currency. The term “EURO” is associated with
these because of the origin of the market in Europe, and is
Collapse of Bretton Woods - 1973 not restricted in its operation to Europe alone. Thus we have
now Asian Dollars, Petro Dollars etc. The market has developed
Smithsonian agreement suffered on account of speculative in other currencies as well and we have Euro marks, Euro yen
movement of capital. First the British Pound and later the Italian etc,.
6 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 7
Euro – Yesterday, Today and Tommorrow fulfilled the criteria. Britain and Denmark have chosen to opt out
as of now.
to the U.S. dollar. December 31, 2001. However during this period the legacy
currencies will also exist simultaneously. Euro will become a
parallel unit of accounting. All the cashless payments can be
On the road to EMU made in Euro. The European Central bank ( ECB ) starts functioning
which will be the central decision making body responsible for
In 1957 the famous treaty of Rome was signed which set up the the monetary policy of the participating countries. On the completion
European Economic Community (EEC) and the European Atomic of this phase Euro in form of notes and coins will be introduced.
Energy Community (EURATOM) covering France, Germany, Italy, The currency changeover will occur in all sectors by July 1,
Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg. With the failure of 2002 at the latest. The national bank coins and notes will lose
the Bretton Woods system in 1973 the six member nations their legal tender but can still be exchanged for Euro.
decided to join the system. In 1979 all the member states
joined the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) except UK. Greece,
Exchange Rate Systems
Spain and Portugal joined in soon (1981-86). 1987 saw Europe
Project 92 being launched which approved free circulation of
Fixed Exchange Rates
people, goods, services and capital. Delors plan in 1989 described
the transition to the EMU in three phases.
It is a system, where the parity for a country’s currency is fixed
against another country’s or a group of countries’ currencies.
Phase I: From July 1990 to December 31, 1993 with an aim
The exchange rate does not change on a day to day basis.
to strengthen Economic and Monetary co-operation in Europe.
Generally the central bank or the monetary authority undertake
The Maastricht treaty was signed on February 7, 1992 and
to maintain the parity by effecting sale and purchase of the
came into force 1993 transforming the countries of European
currency at the fixed price. A typical example of this is the Gold
Economic Community (EEC) as European Union (EU). The treaty
Exchange Standard adopted in the Bretton Woods conference in
sets out the convergence criteria which the potential EMU
1944, where the parity of USD/Gold was fixed at $ 35 an ounce
participants must fulfil.
and that of other currencies relative to Gold or USD .
Managed / Dirty Float (d) To undertake trading in FX, securities, etc., on their own
account.
Central Banks - Functions are regulatory in nature. exposures. In today’s market major share of foreign exchange
dealings are by speculators and their speculative activities.
(a) They oversee the working of the FX market in the country.
(b) To manage the assets and liabilities in different currencies Nostro account is the account maintained by the bank concerned
with regard to deposits from customers, off shore lending, (in India) with the bank abroad. For example , State Bank of
deposits and placements with banks, borrowing on behalf India may maintain an account with Citibank, New York. Obviously,
of clients, etc. the account would be in US dollar. Similarly, it may have a Yen
account with Bank of Tokyo, Japan. While corresponding with
(c) To carryout central banks instructions from time to time. the foreign bank, State Bank of India would refer its account
1 0 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 11
with former as Nostro account, meaning ‘Ours account with Therefore, while in purchase transaction the bank acquires foreign
you ’. So, for the State Bank of India, Nostro account means currency and parts with home currency and in a sale transaction
the bank account it maintains abroad in foreign currency. All it parts with foreign currency and acquires home currency. In
foreign exchange transactions are routed through Nostro accounts. purchase transactions the bank acquires foreign currency and
parts with home currency. In sale transaction the bank parts
(2) Vostro Account with foreign currency and acquires home currency. Following
chart summarises the explanation given.
A foreign bank, say Citibank, New-York, may open Rupee account
with Bank of India. While corresponding with Citibank, New- Foreign Exchange Transaction
Õ
York, maintaining an account with it, the Bank of India may
Õ
refer to the account as V
‘ ostro account’ m e a n i n g Y
‘ our account
with us ’.
Purchase Sale
Õ
(3) Loro Account
Bank Bank
Õ
Õ
Bank of India is having an account with Citibank, New York.
Õ
When the Canara bank of India likes to refer to this account
w h i l e c o r r e s p o n d i n g w i t h C i t i b a n k , i t w o u l d r e f e r t o i t a s L‘ oro
Acquires Parts with Acquires Parts with
account ’ , meaning ‘Their account with you ’.
foreign hom home foreign
currency currency currency currency
Foreign Exchange Transactions
Õ
foreign exchange) purchases as well as sells its commodity- the
Õ
foreign currency. Two points need be constantly kept in mind
while talking of foreign exchange transactions:
Direct Indirect
l The transaction is always talked from banks point of view;
Õ
and
Variable unit Variable unit
l The item referred to is foreign currency.
Õ
Therefore, when we say a purchase, we imply that Home currency Foreign currency
may be noted that under direct quotation the number of units of units of foreign currency while selling. This principle is stated in
foreign currency is kept constant and any change in the exchange the form of a maxim : B
‘ uy High ; Sell Low ’.
rate will be made by changing the value in terms of rupees.
Indirect Quotation
Õ
Example - USD 1 = RS. 43.65
Õ
W i t h e f f e c t f r o m 2nd August. 1993, we have changed our system
Buy High SelfLow
of quoting exchange rates to Direct Quotation. By adopting this
Õ
system we have fallen in line with the International practice. It
has become more transparent for the Dealing public and it will Acquire more For a fixed Part with lesser
be easier for them to follow up the movement of exchange units of foreign Õ unit of home units of foreign
rates. currency currency currency
stated in the form of a maxim: ‘ Buy Low ; Sell High’. in the form of 1£ = USD 1.6500 $. In New York and other foreign
exchange market, including India, the direct quotation is mostly
used.
Direct Quotation
Õ
Õ
Buy low Sell high In the direct inter-bank market, which is the largest part of the
Õ
compensation for the cost incurred and normal profit on capital If the initial quotes was say DM/$ 2.0955-0965 he might move
invested in dealing function. it to 2.0965/0975 i.e. offer more marks per dollars sold to the
bank and change more marks per dollar bought from the bank.
- ask spread. But suppose during the course of trading a trader place by transfer of deposits between the two parties. The day
finds that he is being hit on one side of his quote much more on which transfer are effected is called settlement date or
often than other side i.e. from the above illustration it means value date . Depending upon the time elapsed between the
that he is either buying more pounds than he is selling and vice- transaction date and settlement date, foreign exchange transactions
versa. This leads to the trader building up a position. If he has can be categorized into spot, forward and swap transactions.
Table 1 : Shares of global foreign exchange market activity, Arbitraging Between Banks
a
April 1992 & April 1995
It is not true that all banks will have identical quotes for a given
Geographical location 1992 1995
pair of currencies at a given point of time. The rates will be
United Kingdom 27 30 close to each other but it may be possible for a corporate
United States 17 16 customer to save some money by shopping around. Let us see
Japan 11 10 the possible relationships between quotes offered by different
Singapore 7 7 banks.
Switzerland 6 5
Hong Kong 5 6
(1) Suppose banks A and B are quoting :
Germany 5 5
All Others 22 21
By Type of Transactions A B
Spots 47 $/£ : 1.5560/1.5570 $/£ : 1.5540/1.5550
Forwards 46
Outright Forwards 7
Swaps 39
This can be represented as :
Futures 1
b
Options 5
By Currency c n ——————————— n A
a
Notes: In Percent
One of the basic tenets of modern finance is that markets are
b
Includes both OTC and exchange traded options. efficient and such arbitrage opportunities will be quickly spotted
c
The total of currency traded is 200% representing the 2 way transaction and exploited by alert traders. The result will be, bank B will
have to raise its ask rate and/or A will have to lower its bid
Source BIS October 1993, & 1995
rates. The arbitrage opportunity will disappear very fast. In fact,
in the presence of profit- hungry arbitrageurs, such an opportunity
will rarely emerge in the first place.
1 8 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 1 9
(2) Now suppose the rates are as follows: dollar and the exchange rate between the pound and dollar. This
gives rise to the cross rates.
A B
$/£ : 1.5560/5570 $/£ : 1.5550/1.5560 In India, buying rates are calculated on the assumption that the
foreign exchange acquired is disposed of abroad in the international
bid £ ask £ market and the proceeds realised in the US dollars. The US
dollars thus acquired would be sold in the local interbank market
n ——————————— n A to realise the rupee. For example, if the bank purchased a DM
10,000 bill it is assumed that it will sell the DM at the Singapore
n ——————————— n B market and acquire US dollars there. The US dollars are then
sold in the interbank market against Indian rupee.
bid £ ask £
The bank would get the rate for US dollars in terms of Indian
Now there is no arbitrage opportunity as in (1). Thus the two
rupees in India. This would be the interbank rate for US dollars.
quotes must overlap by at least one point to prevent arbitrage.
It would also get the rate for US dollars in terms of Deutsche
However, now bank A will find that it is “being hit” on its bid side
marks at the Singapore market. The bank has to quote the rate
much more often while B will find that it is confronted largely
to the customer for Deutsche mark in terms of Indian rupee.
with buyers of pound sterling and few sellers.
First let us consider a person who wants to go from marks to indirect route. That is, for banks exchange rates to be effective
Rupee. In terms of the above figure this is shown by the dark, in attracting Deutschemark - Rupee business it must be such
rightward - pointing arrow along the base of the triangle between that
DM and RS. If a bank is to attract business by selling Rupee
S ( R S / D M ) 3S ( $ / D M ) • S ( R S / $ )
to Deutschemark, the exchange rate it offers directly between
the Deutschemark and Rupee must not be bad than that could
be achieved by going indirectly from the Deutschemark to dollar The exchange rates S(RS/DM) is a cross rate. More generally
and then from the dollars to the Rupee. In the above figure the cross rates are exchange rates directly between currencies when
indirect route involves travelling from Deutschemark to Rupee neither of the two currencies is the US dollars. From e. g.,
via dollars, that is, along the dark arrow from the Deutschemark S(Can$/£), S(Can$/DM), S(DM/SFr) are all cross rates.
to dollars, and then from dollars to Rupee.
What we have discussed above can be generalised for any
cross rates as:
$
S(i/j) = S(i/$) • S($/j)
S(RS/$)
Of course, since as $/j = 1/S(j/$), we can also compute the
S(DM/$)
cross rate S(i/j) from :
Exchange Margin bank has the discretion to charge exchange margin at any rate
within the range prescribed.
forward margin may be at a premium or discount. Premium is Nature of transaction where Bill Buying Rate is applied are : -
to be added to the spot rate and discount should be deducted
l Purchase/negotiation/discounting of export bills. (And other
from it. While making calculations, the bank will see that the
instruments)
period for which forward margin is loaded is beneficial to the
bank.
The formula for calculating the bill buying rate is given by :
Illustration: -
BILL BUYING RATES
PARTICULARS Rs.
Let the forward margin in respect of two currencies, French
Franc and Deutschemark, are as under: Dollar/Rupee market spot buying rate X
Add : - Forward Premium
French Franc Deutschemark (For Transit and usance: rounded off to lower month) X
If the bank buys a 60 days bill, the total of transit period (say, Principal Types Of Selling Rates
20 days) and usance period (60 days) involved is, 80 days. This
can be rounded of to 2 months or to 3 months. If the bank When a bank sells foreign exchange it receives Indian rupees
includes forward margin for 3 months into the rate, the base rate from the customer and parts with foreign currency. For all sales
for 60 days bill would be(Rs 6.33 - Rs. 0.15) Rs. 6.18 and for on ready/spot basis to the customer, the bank resorts to the
2 months would be Rs. 6.23. Of these two rates, the former is interbank market immediately and the base rate is the interbank
better for the bank as it pays lesser Indian rupees per unit of spot selling rate. However depending upon the work involved,
foreign currency. viz., whether the sale involves handling of documents by the
bank or not, two types of selling rates are quoted in India. They
In the case of Deutschemark, the forward margin is premium. are :
For 60 days bill, it can take forward margin for 3 months and
take the base rate at (Rs. 21.25 + RS. 0.12) RS. 21.37 and for (1) T. T. Selling Rates : This is the rate to be used for all
two months the base rate is Rs. 21.33 Of these two rates that transactions which do not involve handling of documents by the
of RS. 21.33 is beneficial to the bank. bank. Examples of sales for which this rate can be quoted are
issue of demand draft, mail transfers, telegraphic transfers, etc.
Now we can deduce the following rule: For calculating the bill
buying rate, if the forward margin is at discount round off the The T. T. selling rate is calculated on the basis of interbank
transit period and usance period to higher month and if the selling rate. The rate to the customer is calculated by adding
forward margin is at premium round off the transit and usance exchange margin to the interbank rate. The exchange margin
period to the lower month. allowed by FEDAI on T. T. selling rate is 0.125% to 0.150%.
2 6 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 2 7
Nature of transaction where TT Selling Rate is applied are : - The method used for calculating selling rates is :
l Outward remittance in foreign currency (TT, MT, PO, DD) SELLING RATES
(TT and Bills Selling)
l Cancellation of Purchase
PARTICULARS Rs.
l Bill Purchased earlier is returned unpaid
Dollar/Rupee market spot buying rate X
l Bill Purchased earlier is transferred to collection account. Add : - Exchange margin for TT selling rate X
TT Selling Rate * X X
l Inward remittance received earlier (converted into rupees) Add : - Exchange margin for Bills selling rate X
is refunded to the remitting bank. Bill Selling rate *
(rounded off to the nearest paise) X X
l Forward purchase contract cancelled
l Remittance relating to payment of import bills which are Calculation Of Ready Rates Based On Cross Rates:
directly received by the importer. The exchange rates for currencies other than the US$ are quoted
to customers based on the rates for the currency concerned
l Crystallisation of overdue export bills.
prevailing in the international foreign exchange market like London,
Singapore, and Hong-kong. These rates are available in terms
Note:- If the remitance is a clean remittance i.e. no
of US$. and they have to be converted into Rupee terms before
documents are to be handled by the banks. TT selling Rate
quoting to the customers.
will be applied.
payment against import bills. by the customer, the bank should first get this foreign currency
converted to US$ in the international market. In other words, it
has to buy dollars in the international market against foreign
The bill selling rates is calculated by adding exchange margin
currency. The bank can do so at the market selling rate for
to the TT selling rate. That means the exchange margin enters
dollar. Therefore the customer rate for the foreign currency would
into the bills selling rate twice, once on the interbank rate and
be calculated by crossing the dollar selling rate against the
then other on the TT selling rate. The rate of margin allowed by
foreign currency in the international market and the dollar buying
FEDAI on bills selling rates is 0.175% to 0.200%.
rate against Rupee in the interbank market. The method of
calculating the ready rates thus is tabulated below :
Nature of transaction where Bill Selling Rate is applied are : -
TT BUYING RATES
l Transaction involving remittance of proceeds of import bill PARTICULARS Rs.
(except bills received directly by the importer) Dollar/Rupee market spot buying rate X
Less: E x c h a n g e m a r g i n X
Note:- Even if the proceeds of the import bills are to be remitted TT buying rate for dollar (1) X X
in foreign currency by way of DD, MT, TT, PO rate to be applied Dollar/foreign Currency market spot selling rate (2) X
will be Bill Selling rate. ( F C ) *TT Buying rate for foreign currency = (1) / (2)
(rounded off to the nearest paise) X X
l Crystallisation of overdue importexport bills. * Foreign Currency
2 8 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 2 9
Dollar/Rupee market spot buying rate X Dollar/Rupee market spot selling rate X
Add : - Forward Premium Add: Exchange margin for TT selling X
(For Transit and usance:rounded off to lower month) X TT selling rate for dollar (1) X X
O R
Bill buying rate for foreign currency = (1) / (2) X business, works out the exchange rate for all the major currencies
(rounded to nearest paise) and for all types of transactions. This rate will be communicated
to all AD branches of the bank. This rate will be the indicative
rate and this rate will be applicable only for the transaction upto
* Foreign currency
the prescribed level in some banks case it is USD 5000 or
equivalent. ( It may change from bank to bank). After applying
(2) Selling Rates the card rates for the transactions below USD 5000, branches
are advised to report these transactions to the dealing Room if
the transactions value is more than USD 1000 (USD 1000 may
When the bank sells foreign exchange (other than dollars) to the
change from bank to bank). The rate advised by the Dealing
customer, it has to acquire the required foreign currency in the
Room for the information of the branches is known as CARD
international market by selling the equivalent US$. The bank
RATE. It will be in two decimals.
can sell US$ in the international market at the market buying
rate for US$ against the foreign currency concerned. US$ required
to effect this sale has to be acquired in the interbank market at FEDAI has also prescribed that the spread between the Bank’s
the market selling rate. Therefore, in calculating the merchant buying and selling rate should not exceed the minimum level.
selling rate for foreign currency the relevant rates are dollar For all the transactions exceeding the limit, USD 5000, branches
buying rate against the foreign currency concerned in the should contact the Dealing Room and cover the transaction.
international market and the dollar selling rate against Rupee in Only after covering the transaction the branch will quote firm
the interbank market. rate to the customers.
3 0 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 3 1
The spread is the difference between TT buying and TT selling 2. In case of bills/documents sent for collection; date of payment
rates. FEDAI has defined the spread as follows:- of rupees to the currency on realisation.
( (TT Selling – TT Buying) / (TT Selling + TT Buying) ) / 2 3. In case of retirement/crystallisation of import bills/documents;
the date of payment of retirement or crystallisation of liability,
FEDAI has suggested following minimum spread for the card
whichever is earlier.
rates for different currencies:-
Name of the Currency Spread limit by FEDAI Fixed and Option Forward Contracts
USD 1.00 % The forward contract under which the delivery of foreign exchange
s h o u l d t a k e p l a c e o n a s p e c i f i e d f u t u r e d a t e i s k n o w n a s ‘f i x e d
GBP, DEM< FFR, CHF, JPY 2.00 %
forward contract’ . In real situations, it is not possible for any
Other Currencies No Limit exporter to determine in advance the precise date on which he
will be tendering export documents. Besides internal factors
relating to production, many other external factors also decide
Authorised dealers are free to quote rates to customers which
the date on which he is able to complete shipment and present
are better than those warranted by the spread limits. The spreads
documents to the bank. At the most the exporter can only
are suggested and not mandatory.
estimate the probable date around which he would be able to
complete his commitment.
Forward Exchange Contracts
With a view to eliminating the difficulty in fixing the exact due
Forward exchange contract is a device, which can afford adequate date for delivery of foreign exchange, the customer may be
protection to an importer or an exporter against exchange risk. given a choice of delivering the foreign exchange during a given
Under a forward exchange contract a banker and a customer or period of days. An arrangement whereby the customer can sell
another banker enter into a contract to buy or sell a fixed or buy from the bank foreign exchange on any day during a
amount of foreign currency on a specified future date at a pre- given period of time at a predetermined rate of exchange is
determined rate of exchange. So the forward exchange rate is known as ‘Option Forward Contract’ . The rate at which the
the rate that is contracted today for the exchange of currencies deal takes place is the o p t i o n forward rate.
at a specified date in future.
Date of delivery under forward contract will be :- 1. Forward contracts can be booked for residents customers
who are exposed to exchange risk in respect of genuine
1. In case of bills/documents negotiated, purchased or transactions permitted under current regulations.
3 2 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 3 3
2. Before entering into a forward contract, it should be ensured FORWARD BUYING RATE
that the customer is, in fact, exposed to exchange risk in
PARTICULARS RS.
a permitted currency in the underlying transactions.
Dollar/Rupee market spot buying rate X
3. Forward contract facility is available for genuine forex Add : - Forward Premium X
exposure only. (For Forward period, Transit period and Usance period
rounded off to lower month)
4. Exchange brokers are not authorised to book forward contract O R
as they are not authorised to purchase or sell foreign
exchange. Less:- Forward Discount X
(For Forward period, Transit period and Usance period
rounded off to higher month)
5. Exporter and importer in India can book forward contract
X X
only with those banks who are authorised to deal in foreign
Less: Exchange margin X
exchange (Ads).
Forward Buying rate for dollar (1) X X
6. The bank should verify the underlying obligation contract
Dollar/Foreign currency market spot selling rate X (FC)*
as the forward contract is available for underlying commercial
Add : - Forward Premium X (FC)*
transactions which expose the merchants to exchange rate
(For Forward period, Transit period and Usance period
risks. The bank should ensure that the transactions for
rounded off to higher month)
which the forward contract is booked is a permissible one
under the Exchange Control Regulations India. O R
For selling rates, forward margins is not considered while calculating PARTICULARS RS.
ready rates. In the case of forward rates, the forward margin for Dollar/Rupee market spot buying rate X
the forward period will be included. In other respects, the calculation Add : - Forward Premium (for Forward period) X
is same as that of ready rates.
O R
Forward TT Selling rate for dollar (1) X X A swap deal is done in the market which is different from the
ordinary deals; In the ordinary deals the following factors enter
Add : Exchange Margin for selling rate X into the rates:
Forward bills selling rate for dollar (2) X X
1. The difference between the buying and selling rates; and
Dollar/Foreign currency market spot buying rate X (FC)*
2. The forward margin, i. e, the premium or discount.
Add : - Forward Premium (for Forward period) X (FC)*
Foreign Exchange Swap Deal In a swap deal the first factor is ignored and both buying and
selling are done at the same rate. Only the forward margin
A ‘swap deal’ is a transaction in which the bank buys and sells enters into the deals as the swap difference. T h e nature of a
the specified foreign currency simultaneously for different maturities. swap deal is explained below with an example.
2. The deal should have been concluded with the distinct Day-2 T-2 - 1,000,000 1mth. 0 2.0663
Forward
understanding between the banks that it is a swap deal.
3 6 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Fundamentals of Foreign Exchange 3 7
The currency position is square at the end of Day-1 because Leg 1 Sell USD against DEM @ 2.0623 value today
there was a simultaneous purchase and sale of USD/DEM.
Leg 2 Sell USD against DEM @ 2.0643 value tomorrow
DAY RECEIPT PAYMENT BALANCE Leg 2 Sell USD against DEM @ 2.0643 value spot
Spot 1, 000, 000 +1, 000, 000 This is called an TOM/NEXT or a T/N Swap
Leg 2 Sell USD against DEM @ 2.0643 value 6 months from the customer as extension charges. On 31/12/98, again
forward USD one million will be delivered at the original contracted rate
and balance 3 million extended. This will continue till all the
This is called a FORWARD /FORWARD SWAP repayments are made.
3 8 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Interbank Forex Operations 3 9
The forex market comprises all the forex trades who are connected
to each other throughout the world by means of Tele
communications network. They deal with each other through
4 0 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Interbank Forex Operations 4 1
telephone, telex, and other electronic devices, With the advent of correspondent and branches in the country concerned. While
of possible technology like Reuters 2000-2, it is possible to transacting foreign exchange business, banks should ensure
access any trader in any corner of the world within a few seconds. that balances are not accumulated in their Nostros, which are
Deals can also be struck through electronic systems allowing in excess of immediate needs of such payments towards imports
scope of bid and offer rates to be matched automatically. or maturing deliveries under forward contracts or other remittances
etc.
By managing and arbitrating and hedging of their own and
customers, positions within each country and between currencies, Maturity mismatches
they provide the market with continuity and depth. The central
banks sometimes- control the movement of the market-‘ maintaining
Banks normally avoid outright forward or swap transaction, which
an orderly market’ by trading with commercial banks or by trading
will result in maturity mismatches in excess of the aggregate
among themselves. In countries without full convertibility, the
gap limits.
central banks often take a larger role by controlling the movement
of funds.
Interbank sales and purchases
Corporate buy and sell foreign exchange with banks to facilitate
the movement of their goods and funds, and also to hedge their Banks can freely buy and sell, for both spot and forward deliveries,
risks and exposures. This retail side of the market is where the any permitted currency to be settled against home currency.
Position Bank may freely place and accept deposits in permitted currencies
with and from other banks at the market related rate of interest.
The open position of banks at the close of business each day Various types of dealings that take place in forex markets are:-
in each foreign currency should be within overnight position limit
prescribed for that currency by their management. Before laying
Merchant transaction
down open position limits, banks should get it approved from
regulatory authority if required.
The bank buy/sell foreign exchange from/to exporters/importers
other customers. These are known as merchant transaction.
Balances abroad These transactions can be undertaken only on account of exposure
of the customers and speculation is not encouraged. These
Banks do maintain with overseas branches and correspondents, merchants can book and cancel forward contracts with bank in
balance in foreign currencies at levels, which are commensurate respect to their foreign exchange exposures. However, many
with their normal business needs having regard to the number central banks hence liberalized further and allowed NRI’s /FII’s/
4 2 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Interbank Forex Operations 4 3
OCB’s to book forwards contracts for certain accounts /investment Liquidity and risk management
by them abroad.
In addition, the inter bank market aids liquidity and risk management
in a number of ways. A major function of inter bank funds is to
Inter bank transaction
enable banks to cope up with the lumpiness of wholesale –sized
deposits and loans and plug up holes in the balance sheet.
When one bank deals with another bank, i.e. buys/sells foreign
Unwanted deposits can be laid of to other banks. Funds, needed
exchange, it is known as inter bank dealing. The banks are
to support lending can be bid for inter bank. In this way, the
allowed to deal freely amongst themselves. Most of the banks
need for resources as such is largely obviated. Inter bank and
are not market makers and are rather market user/takers. There
related funds market give confidence that funds to meet balance
is not much liquidity and depth in the foreign exchange market
sheet contingencies will be available. This confidence under
in many developing countries and even the small demand or the
pins banks willingness to issued stand by credit lines in of
market notices supply. In the Indian scenario, after rupee joined
balance sheet business. Banks go to considerable length to
the freely floating currencies there are days when exchange
maintain a market presence and to keep open inter bank credit
rates in inter-bank markets had been very volatile and RBI
lines. For unlike formal stand by lines of credit inter bank
intervened in the market on various occasions during such periods.
borrowing in never assured –‘ the market lives on lunch time
Market is skewed in consideration to business booked by a few
gossip’ (clarke). Bank adopts the habit of re-depositing a practice,
banks.
which incidentally inflates the statistic of market size. Trading
on both sides of the inter bank market prevents a bank from
Overseas transactions being seen as a perpetual taker of funds, so enhancing its
repute it also enables reciprocal relationships with other banks
to be formed. Most banks immediately re-deposit with other
When a bank buys/sells foreign exchange in the overseas markets,
banks over 40 percent of funds obtained in the market.
it is called an overseas transaction for the originating bank. In
Indian scenario, RBI liberalized and permitted banks to initiate
position in cross currencies in the overseas markets. Breaking up of maturity transformation
Finally, the inter-bank market enables the risks of lending to be Functionality of liquidity transformation can be illustrated as
spread amongst many different institutions. Loans risks are follows: -
backed not just by the capital of the lending bank but also
1. If a bank has arranged to make a loan of USD 1 Mio for
indirectly by the capital of the banks, which agree to lend to it.
one year, it is most unlikely that his customers will of their
The risk is known to participating bank and finds reflection in
own accord come forward with the effect of deposits to
the practices of interest rate “tiers” and lending limits. Banks
that amount and with a maturity that he can accept as
are classified into interest rate tiers according to perceived risk.
matching the loan atleast he cannot rely on this happening
The margin levied by the lending bank is in effect a premium
within the next two or three days. Instead the banker turns
paid by the borrowing bank for “insurance” against the default
to the inter-bank market for the deposits he needs to support
risk shared. In normal times, the range of rates for most banks
the loan. The chances of success are many times greater
is around ¼ of 1percent. But at times some banks have paid as
than if he relies on his customers because all that is
much as 2 % over LOBOR to get funds. Nearly all banks set
required is that somewhere in the secondary banking system
overall and daily limits on interbank placements of funds. Factors
deposits shall have been placed with the banks that have
governing the size of limits are the size and profitability of the
no immediate business in prospect.
institution, quality of management, evidence of over-trading in
the market and its access to lender of the last resort funds in
The same is the case of deposits. They do not arrive in
its national market.
“marginal” amounts that can be turned away so they are
lent out to other banks.
Whereas inter-bank dealings can be looked upon as in past as
informal means of risk-bearing banks do seek to protect themselves
against loan risks in more formal ways. These include co-financing Examples of informal risks and maturity sharing
with official lending institutions, credit insurance home government arrangements.
guarantees with national export banks or agencies. But by far,
the most important risk-sharing device is the syndication of 1. Wholesale bank “A” receives larger deposits. It seeks out
large loans. some non-bank customers and lends on the rest to bank
“B” via the inter-bank market. Bank “B” in turn lends out
Sub-contracting lending risks some to non-bank customers and the rest to bank “C”.
Loan syndication transaction are a formal sub-contracting of 2. Wholesale bank “X” is approached for a medium-term loan
lending risks, precisely equivalent to co-insurance and re-insurance by a non-bank customer on a 6-month roll over basis. On
arrangements in international insurance markets. Their purpose the interbank funds borrowed, bank “X” may want to go as
is the same; they enable the individual institutions to spread the long as possible but beyond 3 months, it is difficult. It thus
risks, avoiding too many exposures to individual cases. Because bids for 3-months interbank funds. Bank “Y” supplies 3-
of the arrangements institutions both individual and collectively month interbank loan, itself accepting 1-monthmoney from
take on greater risk than would otherwise be the case. bank “Z” which has a call deposits from a customer.
Concludingly it is observed that with the vacuum between the Foreign exchange dealing operations though a profitable is a
cross-border diminishing, inter-dependence of countries on others high-risk activity. There are additional risks involved in this
is increasing, forex market is going to be more active and business that are not generally found in the routine banking
important. When the economies are on the way to further business. For a bank to be successful in forex operations the
liberalization, the gambit of banks has been expanded considerably. pre-requisite is a properly organized dealing room. It being a
The role of different banks is becoming more specific. Thus, highly specialized function has to be performed by well – trained
inter-bank business is of vital significance and an important personnel. Dealing department used to consist of dealers and
source of revenue to the banks. back office staff who is responsible for the follow-up of the
deals made by the dealers. With the passage of time, it is
understood and the need for effective control over the dealing
operations is envisaged as possibilities do exists for manipulation
of exchange rates, dealing positions, mismatches etc. the role
of mid – office has been in focus. As transactions relating to
forex are undertaken within the banks, on behalf of the bank in
the interbank market, in parallel markets, or with customers.
Segregation
Dealers have to be selected carefully. The qualities that go in obviously will be impossible for the dealer to alter.
fashion, he can be most efficient by following management Later he will monitor their progress, provide them with counsel
guidelines and code of ethics. and guidelines, and evaluate their performance. When
necessary he will recommend dismissal of those who fail
Chief dealer is totally responsible for everything that goes on in to maintain the proper standards. Such cases his authority
the dealing room. His job is to anticipate difficulties and find need to be given weight because of his ultimate responsibility
ways to solve them. His responsibilities do not disappear when for the overall performance of the dealing room.
he is away, before going on vacation or on a tour, he will take
all necessary proactive measures to ensure smooth functioning The dealer has to operate in the interbank market according to
of the room. the guidelines laid down by the management and the overall
control and supervision of chief dealer. Ideally dealers may
l Management provides the chief dealer with guidelines and confer before work starts, on the tend in the overnight markets
certain limits for the operation of the dealing room. He is in the light of the “newsbag” and the bank’s own business portfolio
expected, however to help management in reviewing and and arrive at tentative conclusions valid for the day. It is
refining such limits in line with market developments. essential that efficient communication channels be provided for
dealers to facilitate consolations with designate authorities in
addition to chief dealer.
l One of his most important functions consists of preparing
and monitoring a budget for the dealing room. This gives
management a better insight into the true profitability of his Roles and functions of the dealers.
operations. His input on current events is very important
to his superiors in providing them with an accurate picture l What makes a good dealer? Is there a standard answer to
of the markets. this question?. Besides the skills required for a successful
career are not taught in schools, because they are primarily
The keenness of his insights may be of valuable help in of a practical, rather than theoretical in nature.
determining new policies.
l There must thus exist an atmosphere of complete trust successful dealing, but it helps in developing strategies.
within a dealing room. The chief dealer is entrusted his News can be interpreted more easily, and decisions can be
team with his career, and must be confident that any problem reached in a better-rounded manner.
will be immediately brought to his attention. There can be
no effective way of operating if the chief dealer feels that l Among banks where foreign exchange is primarily a profit
his dealers are hiding something from him. Similarly, dealers center, dealers have two primary functions. The first is to
can only function effectively when they work in an environment, be able to manage currency positions by taking a view of
which allows them to concentrate fully on their work. They the market, and thereby to be profitable; the second is
cannot afford distractions, and problems not directly related to be able to make markets or prices on demand, in a
to their positions should be put off until such time as they manner which favourably reflects on their institution and
are not actively involved. which does not adversely affect them.
l One of the most difficult things for a dealer to learn is l The measure of success of a dealer is ultimately his
when to get out of a bad position. Even in the case of profitability. Whether he maintains a high or low profile and
experienced dealers, the desire to salvage something out how his colleagues in the market view him are secondary
of a bad position or the feeling that the rest of the market considerations. He is paid by his employers, who are best
is wrong, are difficult sentiments to fight. The fact remains able to judge his performance. A reliable level of profitability,
that dealers who were not willing to admit that their positions rather than an erratic performance, is most appreciated.
were wrong have incurred the great majority of all large
losses.
l The behavior of a dealer in the market place and the friends
he makes can also give him a good or bad reputation.
l Instinctive dealing can be defined as the ability to sense
Friends are of the most precious commodities in the business
the trends of the market. This important quality is the
– they will be glad to exchange information and express
result of experience, and is the best expressed by sensitivity
their views, and can provide valuable insights. After all,
to rate movements and to the liquidity of the markets, and
knowing what other market participants think helps in the
a flexibility of mind that allows a clear analysis of what is
knowledge of the market. On the other hand, behavior that
going on. Such experience is the result of a long presence
creates ill feelings is seldom profitable in the longer run.
in the - markets and learning from one’s mistakes. The
There is a little charity in the market, and few will help a
complexity of the markets always challenges the abilities
disliked dealer in trouble.
of the dealers, and it is impossible always to be right.
What is expected of dealers is that they will minimize
losses while maximizing profits. Dealing procedure :
l Theoretical knowledge of the foreign exchange markets is The dealers should have no accounting work of any kind to
powerful help for successful dealing, since it is as important perform. They should concentrate on the market by maintaining
to understand or predict basic trends as be aware of contact with other banks, brokers, as well as banks overseas.
day-to-day fluctuations. The two broad categories of theory Deals struck should be recorded on printed ‘deal slips’ free from
are background historical, geographical, political, economic all flaws. The deal slips should indicate the name of the broker
and financial understanding of countries whose currencies (if any), and the counterparty bank, currency, amount, time, rate
are dealt, and an awareness of how developments influence and due date, after authentication of the dealer. The deal slips
the markets. Knowledge does not necessarily guarantee a should be passed on without delay to the back office for further
correct understanding of the market nor are the key to processing.
5 4 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex Dealing Room - A Set-up 5 5
Experience reveals that recourse to taped conversation proves l Operation area a key revenue protector
invaluable to the speedy resolution of differences. It is therefore
desirable to introduce voice recorders in the dealing rooms.
Back office Management in practice:
The tapes may be preserved for the time as per bank’s policy
and where a dispute has been raised, until the issue is resolved. l Confirmation of contracts is obtained for all deals from
Access to the equipment and tapes should be subject to strict counterparty banks and duly verified for correctness and in
control. no case the dealers sign the confirmation, (in regard to
cash/tom/spot contracts, confirmations may not be insisted
Rotation of dealers : upon, if the amounts thereof have been received in the
nostro accounts)
Dealers should not be kept for too long on dealing duties, a l Discrepancies noticed are rectified on the same day.
period of three to five years being considered reasonable for
effecting a change. Further a system of an annual compulsory l In respect of computer generated deal confirmations slips,
two-week break is suggested to be introduced so that no dealer which are not signed, banks issuing such confirmation
remains at the job continuously. execute a stamped agreement in favour of the counterparty
banks assuming responsibilities for errors/omissions.
Code of Conduct : l The evaluation of foreign exchange profits and loses are
undertaken at periodic intervals as per bank’s policy.
Dealers should furnish an undertaking to conform to the code of Trading profit and loss to be undertaken on the same day
conduct prescribed in Indian scenario by Foreign Exchange Dealers basis.
Association of India (FEDAI).
l A statement of true currency position is submitted to the
management after reckoning the effect of all transactions
Back Office : in the pipeline. The position and funds register are continually
updated on the basis of deal slips and there reports of
The back office should ensure increase control and improve business flowing from the branches, to assist the efficient
performance and productivity by implementing world class transmission of information to the dealing room and the
management techniques. management.
l Enhance the speed and efficiency of control, processing l Rate-scan reports are prepared quick regular intervals say
and settlement activities at least thrice a day (at opening hours, afternoon and closing
hours) and deals at wide variance with the on-going market
l Identify and evaluate new derivatives products and minimize rates if at all are questioned.
their inherent risks
l Implement effective accounting, reporting and MIS Exchange brokers have a predominant role to play in forex
operations. However, as per exchange control, ethics and FEDAI
l Compare ‘best practice’ middle office operations
guidelines exchange brokers being intermediaries, are not to
act as principals and maintaining positions in foreign currencies.
Middle office Management Largely Practice: They should therefore refrain from doing anything which may
l The Middle office functions as a part of overall risk control result in the brokers taking over the function of the dealers.
l Structure
Deals Through Brokers – Confirmation :
l Reporting lines
l Responsibilities After the deal is concluded the broker record it and send a
broker’s note to the Bank. Brokers’ notes should be received
l The data control
promptly before the close of business on the day on which the
l P & L reconciliation deals are concluded and exceptionally and in no case after the
opening hours of the succeeding day. These should be checked
l The central control
meticulously and reconciled the same day.
l Portfolio controls
Middle Office and Expense Control Nomination of brokers for deals is not required and deals done
through their medium is not allowed.
l Pre-emptive
equipped with ideal infrastructure e.g., Reuters, screen, telex, any, in the panel of brokers are also to be indicated in the
fax, telephone, hotline to banks, voice recorder etc. and report.
professional, competitive quotes, financial analysis i.e. net worth,
and centres where located. It is to be ensured that none of the Malpractices by Brokers :
broker recommended for panel suffers any disciplinary action
from any regulatory authorities. As a general rule, authorized
To ensure good practice , complaints relating to malpractice’s
dealers should not discriminate between recognized brokers and
by brokers, if any required to be brought to the notice of the
others for business offered at competitive terms.
Foreign Exchange Dealers Association of India and the Exchange
Control Department of Reserve Bank of India, Central Office,
The panel should be revised/reviewed at periodic intervals, taking
Mumbai without any loss of time.
into account the nature and volume of business done through
the brokers, their market reputation, credit worthiness etc.
Threat to Brokers
Complaints :
Automation has made it possible to deal on the systems directly,
eliminating the traditional role of the brokers. Recently, Reuters
Complaint from any source against dealers is required to be
Dealing 2000-2 Electronic (Automated) Deal Matching System
promptly investigated and reviewed to higher authorities.
was launched, the wide use of it will virtually eliminate the
brokers role. As an intermediary because the deal with ones
Serious complaints alleging acceptance by the dealers of gifts own bid/offer rates would be matched automatically. Brokers
and other favours (or any other gratification) should be put up need to brush up their skills and display acumen to outbid such
to appropriate authorities for necessary action. All such cases challenges to their survival.
are required to be reported to Reserve Bank of India, Exchange
Control Department and the Department of Banking Operations
and Development, Central Office Mumbai.
Brokerage Statements :
Chapter
5
Risks in forex
Forex business, however, place risks: the management of which l Merchant sales and purchases are not likely to match and
requires understanding and appreciation of controls separate the consequent over in the market may not be immediately
from those applicable to domestic operations. As these risks taken up.
arise as a consequence of certain unique features forex business
l Market participants deal in standard lots and it may not be
has given birth to various aspects:
worth while going for cover of small amounts.
l Operations are transnational –obviously subject to controls,
restriction, monetary and fiscal policies. l Transactions entered into by the branches effects the
exchange position but may come to the notice of the dealing
l Involve dealing in currencies whose value is volatile due room later.
to a variety of factors.
l Open position may be built up and held deliberately to the
l Operations are integrated with a vast global market spread advantage of prospective rate movements.
in all time zones.
Control over position risk generally is through currency wise
l Quick decentralized decision taking involving large values
limit on the size of the exposure (i.e. The mismatch between
without losing sight of the main theme of profits of earnings
assets and liabilities in that currency). The limit would generally
at acceptable risks levels.
be fixed on the following considerations:
The RBI has evolved a set of guideline for internal control on Overnight Limit.
forex transactions. The guideline are in no way unique to banks
in India while the RBI has, through its circulars and inspections, The Overnight Limit should necessarily be smaller, since the
endeavored to ensure compliance with these guidelines, it is exposure allowed is prone to a greater risk as it remains
imperative that the banks appreciate and understand the purpose unattended till the next trading day.
behind the controls and observe them truly as internal controls
rather than transform them into reserve bank requirements. RBI has permitted individual banks to have an open position at
the close of the day subject to approved by the board of the
Position or Rate Risk respective Banks. With the implementation of the Sodhani
committee, it is to be decided by the banks individually.
There are inherent risks involved in forex business. Dealing Consequently overnight limits should be conservatively set.
in forex involves acquisition of assets and liabilities denominated While fixing the overnight limit it is advisable to consider the
in foreigncurrencies whose values against the domestic currency impact of small value transactions effected at the branches-
change, the bank is exposed to a rate risk . A total quantitative the whole report will be received at the dealing room only after
match between assets and liabilities denominated in one currency the day is closed. Such transactions though individually small
is normally not practicable because of the following facts: could collectively distort the closing position of the bank. It is
6 4 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex Dealing Operations and Risk Management 6 5
hence suggested that banks periodically estimate the volume When so translating it, it is also essential to relate it to the size
of such small value transactions and their impact on the of the exposure. For instance, if a permissible amount of loss
exchange position. This would not only enable banks to review translates to a 50 point movement on the rate on a position of
the limits set for the branches to report transactions by telex/ US$ 1 million the cut loss should operate when 25 point movement
fax/phone but also give the dealer an indication of the extent affects a position of US$ 2 million.
of possible distortion so that the overnight exposure could
be managed to offset such distortion. Bank generally have the practice of consolidating the balance
in the different position accounts and tallying the net position
Day Light Limit with the closing position of the dealer. This is an operational
procedure to ensure no transaction has been omitted either
by the dealer or the accounting section .
Day Light Limit should allow for greater exposure constantly
and undertake market operation to maximize its returns on the
exchange position. Generally the exposure limit is fixed currency An attempt is also sometimes made to convert this position in
wise. Banks - also fix an overall exposure limit expressed in all the accounts and of all currencies into a single exposure
terms of a single currency, say US$ in Indian perspectives. against the local currency. This does not serve any purpose as
This limit functions as an over-ride to ensure that the exposure an exposure control device and only is an expression of the
is lower than the sum of all the currencywise limits. When bank’s exposure to the home currency.
cross currency positions are built, arguments are often advanced,
that is monitoring limits complementary position should be Credit risk
measured as an exposure only in currency, since the correction
of the position in the currency automatically squared the
Credit risk is a contingent risk which arises when the counterparty
complementary position. While there is substance in the argument
in a foreign exchange transaction fails to honor the commitment.
, it is preferable for easy monitoring , to have individual currency
exposure measured and limited. Complementary positions beyond
the limits. After all limits are not absolute bans on their Contract risk
transgression but are only meant to identify such transgression
for supervisory scrutiny. Where the failure of the counterparty is known prior to the
performance of bank’s commitment in the contract; the contract
has to be treated as cancelled and the risk is to the extent
Cut Loss Limit
of loss resulting from an adverse movement in exchange rates
while covering the transaction on going market rates.
The limit serves to restrict the quantum of loss a bank is willing
to risk on its open position during the day. The limit operates
within the exposure limit, i.e. The daylight limit, and is a function
Clean risk at settlement
of the exposure size as also the extent to which rates have
moved adversely. The moment the rates move adversely to Thought currencies are exchanged at settlement on the same
translate into a loss equivalent to the limit, the position has to value date, the time zone difference between different centers
be liquidated and the loss booked. This serves to avoid holding would result in one currency being paid before the other is
on to a position in anticipation of reversal of movement of rates. received. If the failure of the counterparty occurs after you
While the quantum of loss should be explicit, for easy monitoring have settled your portion of the commitment, it would result
it is better to translate it into the number of points on the in the loss of the entire value of the contract. The case of
exchange rate before an adverse movement can be accepted. bank herstatt in Germany, which failed in 1974 in the afternoon
6 6 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex Dealing Operations and Risk Management 6 7
after receiving Deutschemark funds but before delivering Mismatched Maturates or Gap Risk
counter value dollar funds, is a classic example of the clean
risk at settlement of funds. Control over credit risk is
Guided by asset liability management principles, we are inclined
exercised by fixing limits on aggregate value of outstanding
to know and find that the assets and liabilities constituting the
commitments for merchants as also inter bank counterparties.
exchange position would generally have different maturates and
The limits are constantly monitored and the dealing room suitable
mismatches in cash flows would also result. If uncorrected this
advised if the limits are closed to being branched. Limits are
would translate into problems of overdrafts or idle surpluses.
fixed on the aggregate outstanding commitments and separately
The deal situation would be a matching of assets and liabilities
for the amount of funds to be settled on a single day. The latter
not only in quantum but also in maturity. Despite these efforts
limit would be smaller and is intended to control the clean risk
it does not materialize because:
at settlement.
l Uncertainty attendant with merchant transaction. Option
periods available under forward contracts as also early/
The threat of settlement risk has haunted the global foreign
delayed receipt of export payments.
exchange industry since the 1974 collapse of Bank Herstatt.
But launch of continued Link Settlement Service ( CLS ) looks l Non-availability of matching forward cover in the market.
set to finally lay this spectre to rest.
l Even in inter bank contracts the buyer bank has option of
pick-up within the period of the contract.
In the Indian context, prior to computerization of the foreign
exchange operations not much attention was paid to credit risk l Deliberate attempt to hold gaps and covers them subsequently
and its control. to minimize swap costs or to earn swap gains.
This was perhaps due to the difficulty in monitoring the limits The risk the bank runs in carrying the gap is that when the
by a manual system and also a complacency that the possibility gap has to be covered by a suitable swap the forward differential
of any-participant in the Indian forex market failing is rather could go against the bank and costs more than provided for,
remote. In the interest of developing comprehensive control and could result. The Indian derivative market handles mainly forwards,
also computerization of dealing operations on ‘on-line’ basis swap and for options, it is quite thin and can move very sharply.
such complacency is not warranted. In the overseas market forex as well as money markets are
integrated and the swap differentials -
Sovereign Risk reflect interest rate differentials. Uniquely in the Indian context
forward margins are driven purely by demand and supply for
forward cover which could change quite dramatically and observed
Sovereign risk is the political side of the credit risk when a
that annualized 6 months premium for US$/rupee went up
country suspends or imposes restriction on payments . Thus,
approximately by 26 per cent also. This enhances the risk of
even if the counterparty is willing and able to honor commitments,
maintaining mismatches. RBI has thus placed restrictions on
sovereign action could frustrate the contract. This risk is present
banks maintaining mismatches.
not merely in dealing room activity but also the entire volume
of assets is prone to such a risk. The exposure limits for
different countries should take into consideration factors such Control of gap is exercised at monthly intervals by segregating
as political stability, health of the economy , possibility of state assets and liabilities maturity wise and quantifying the net
interference, availability of infrastructure for legal recourse, etc. inflow or out flow for each period. Banks thereafter take the
6 8 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex Dealing Operations and Risk Management 6 9
cumulative effects of these period wise mismatches to quantify up of the deal slip, the brokers note (where one is relevant) and
the cumulative inflow and outflow, on the quantum of which contract confirmations. In several cases mistakes in understanding
limits are placed. of any essential detail of the contract came to light so much
later that their correction become very painful. The guidelines
This is the way the net outflow or inflow is measured and do require banks to follow-up unconfirmed outstanding contracts.
subject to an individual mismatch or gap limit. For all the This aspect has been taken care of largely where dealing operations
periods, instead of the concept of cumulative outflow or inflow, are put on the dealing screen.
the individual gaps are grossed without set of and subject to
an aggregate limit. The rationale behind computing the Control Over Settlement of Local and Foreign
aggregate gap limit in the manner suggested in the guidelines Funds
is often questioned, since what is really relevant is cumulative
effect of inflows and outflows. However, RBI’s intent in fixing
A dealing decision can be totally frustrating if the funds are
the aggregate limit as above , seems to be not only risk control
not settled appropriately and marginal profits on exchange
but also to avoid excessive trading.
are likely to be more than loss by way of interest on delayed
settlement of funds. While executing funds transfer instructions
Operational Risk are to be prompt, the bank requires to be equally vigilant and
quick in locating and rectifying any delays in settlement of
Operational risk arise out of a wide variety of situation ranging funds.
from human errors to administrative inadequacies, provisions’
flaws in system and procedures, etc. It is essential that we Branch Reports and Pipeline Transactions
recognize them early and ensure that they are controlled and
corrected. We can identify some major areas of operations and
One of the major areas of operational difficulties is managing
the probable nature of operational errors that could occur.
of exchange cover for forex transactions committed at a large
number of branches. These transactions affect the bank’s position
Segregation of Dealing and Accounting Functions immediately notwithstanding the fact that they are advised by
the branch much later. Such an exposure has to be maintained
It is essential that the dealing decision and its execution be under control and any significant delay in a branch reporting
separated and performed by different functionaries. This ensures a transaction has to be followed-up.
that a check is maintained on the dealer’s activities and the
dealer of course cannot execute a dealing decision without Overdues Bills and Contracts
involving the accounts section. In some cases in India and
abroad huge dealing losses erupted from-concealed exchange
Export bills and forward contract have to be monitored to ensure
position, the situation largely arose because of the lack of functional
that they are delivered as per their tenor. Failing this the bank
segregation.
is likely to incur considerable swap costs in maintaining these
items in position.
Follow-up of Deal Slips and Contract Confirmations
Nostro Reconciliation
A dealing decision is taken orally by telephone or through
unauthenticated messages. It is essential to have this follow-up The Nostro account is the logical end of any forex transaction.
by written/authenticated confirmations. This requires the follow- When a transaction is ultimately transferred to the mirror account
7 0 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex Dealing Operations and Risk Management 7 1
in the books of the bank, it must find a corresponding entry in entry has to be responded promptly and where the customer
the statement of account sent by the correspondent bank. is not available the bank absorbs the charge.
Reconciliation of the entries and balances has to be done
periodically to identify and follow-up the outstanding items. Keeping l Set-off of unreconciled debits and unreconciled credits has
in mind a, b, c control reconciliation is required to be taken by to be totally avoided since while apparently reducing the
staff other than those who operate the accounts to avoid unreconciled items they will render reconciliation into further
possibilities of any cover up of errors or fraudulent transactions. disarray.
The problem often lies in situations considering the exercise
complete on reconciling the balance. The fact is that the job The RBI has required banks to have a vigorous follow-up of
begins with identification of the unreconciled entries which have reconciliation and submit periodical statements on the volume
to be followed-up with the concerned branches, counterparties of unreconciled items. While follow-up of unreconciled items
or the correspondents. Management are often lulled into could be quite laborious, it must be borne in mind that what is
complacency by considerations like: now difficult is only likely to become impossible, if postponed
further. Control over operational errors and failures would be
l Unreconciled debits and credits are in aggregate more or exercised through a system of record and follow-up of such
less equal and their reconciliation process will not result errors supported by concurrent or periodic audits. Periodic reports
in net outflows. need to be submitted to the management who could then review
the system in operation.
The difference between the buying and selling rate is the SWAP
MARGIN. Since the buying and selling is done simultaneously,
the determining factor is the forward margin.
7 4 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT De-Mystified Derivatives and Funds Management 7 5
A Swap price is quoted as a margin (difference) over spot or Let us represent the above transaction in a flow chart -
any forward rate and when the transaction is done, it is confirmed
with respect to the spot price. Example Value spot 25/7/99 Value forward 28/8/99
Sell $ / Buy DEM Buy $ / Sell DEM
If ABC bank quotes 1 m $ /DEM swap as 20 30 and the
counterbank does a deal whereby they b u y a n d s e l l U S D / D E M USD USD
a t 2 0 ; and the $/ DEM spot rate is 1.6710/20, ABC bank would
confirm the deal as follows- - 1 mio ———- Sell USD Buy $ ——— + 1 mio
O.K. ABC bank sells and buys $ /DEM + 1 mio ——— Borrow $ Repay $ —— - (1mio + Iusd)
28th August buys $ (swap) — repays borrowing So we see that in an ideal situation the swap cost or the
difference in the exchange rate between spot & forward is offset
by the interest differential in the two currencies.
25th July. receives DEM——
deposit for 3m—— Therefore a bank which has requirements to fund assets in a
foreign currency say USD, would consider the following
28th August deposit matures——sells DEM(swap)
alternatives—
We observe from the above that swap operation links foreign The choice between the above modes of finance will be based
exchange with money market operations. on the net cost of funds.
7 6 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT De-Mystified Derivatives and Funds Management 7 7
II) Amount of one currency should be the same for both purchase a mismatch in the cash flows between the two value dates.
and sale; Further while under taking a swap deal, a cost is also involved.
This cost is known as ‘swap cost’ and this cost depends upon
III) Maturity dates should be different. on the swap rate. Swap rate is not an exchange rate, but it is
an exchange rate differential. It is the difference which buyer
and seller has to concede for swapping spot against forward or
Types of Swaps
near forward against forward depending upon the forward margins
for currencies. Forward rates depend on the currency being in
Banks may enter into swaps directly or through the medium of premium or discount against the other in the forward market. A
brokers. Where a broker arranges a swap, the counterparty bank currency is set to be ‘at par’ against the other if forward rate is
need not be the same for both the legs of the swaps. If the the same as spot rate. It occurs rarely. More often the forward
counterparty for both the legs of the swaps are different, then rates may be costlier or cheaper than the spot rate. The difference
such a swap is called “structured swap” or “engineered swap”. between the forward rate and the spot rate is known as ‘forward
If the counterparty to both the legs is one and the same, then margin’.
the swap is called “pure swap”.
We may say that forward rate- spot rate = margin (+) discount
Swaps can also be classified into two types depending upon the (–) premium.
delivery periods of the swap. They are:
For the purpose of payment of brokerage, swaps are classified The factors that determines the Swap differentials:
into two types : (a) short swap and (b) long swap. Short swap
is one on which both the legs of the transaction falls within the 1) Supply and demand for the currency for the settlement
spot period and long swap is one in which one leg of the transaction date. If there are more buyer for a particular date than
falls beyond the spot date. For example purchase of cash and seller, the forward point will be at a premium. If there are
sale of spot is a short swap and purchase of spot and sale of more sellers than buyers, the forward point will be at a
2 months is a long swap. discount.
7 8 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT De-Mystified Derivatives and Funds Management 7 9
2) Market expectations about the development in interest Derivatives – FRA, IRS, Futures, Options
differentials and exchange rates of the currencies on account
of various factors.
Uncertainty and volatility in foreign exchange rates, interest
rates and other financial markets had subjected banks and
3) Interest rate differentials between the currencies exchanged. corporations to risk. The need was felt to manage such uncertain
In fact,this is the only factor which affects the forward financial risks, such risk management efforts have given rise to
differentials provided capital flows are free from restrictions several instruments with different underlyings which popularly
came to be known as “derivatives”.
Using Swaps : What Managers Must Know The widely used derivatives are Forward rate agreements, Interest
rate swaps, Currency swaps, Cross Currency swaps, Futures
Why do managers need to understand about swaps and how and Options.
they work? Recognizing that most day-to-day decision involving
swaps will remain within the jurisdiction of corporate financial Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs)
operating Staff, what kind of specialized training and control
systems should banks be prepared to put in place ?.
Forward rate agreements They were introduced by the London
merchant banks as a new customer service designed to hedge
How should C.E.O. think about disclosures of their swap positions interest rate risks in a simple manner.
to control shareholders and directors? Obvious question by C.E.O.
how much can I actually delegate? An effort to address such FRAs and interest rate futures are both contracts on a rate of
a question is initiated based on practice in western world where interest f o r a loan, deposit or investment to apply from some
such operations are in volume and for a long time. Financial future date. They can be used by borrowers, lenders and investors
risk management is not just a theoretical nicety; it is practical to hedge their exposure to interest rate movements.
necessity. Used properly swaps don’t create surprises; they do
help minimize them. The current debate over the corporate use
An FRA is a contract between two parties and fixes a specific
of swaps needs to be put back on the track by focussing on the
rate of interest on a notional amount of principal for an agreed
strategic opportunities afforded by swaps. Going a step ahead
future lending period (3,6 or 9 months) starting from a agreed
we find that a simple rule can help managers distinguish hedging
settlement date. Therefore the contract must specify -
from speculation employ swaps to transfer risk, but never succumb
to the temptation to trade in risk-for its own sake. Manager do 1. The amount of notional principal
not need to become number crunchers but they do need to
under stand how swaps relate to the bank’s objectives structure 2. The date from which interest rate is to be fixed
and culture manager have to be caution about how they delegate
responsibility – the greater their concern about the effects of 3. The term for which it is fixed
swap the less discretion they should give operation personnel.
Concludingly it is interesting but pertinent to note when defining 4. The interest rate on the principal amount
Since an FRA locks in today ( the contract date ), an interest Selling an FRA would involve receipt of a fixed interest rate
rate to apply from a future start date ( settlement date), it can against payment of variable rate. Therefore FRAs can be sold
be used to fix the rate of interest on a future borrowing or to fix the interest income on variable rate lending or investments.
investment for either - It is therefore a hedge against a decrease in the market interest
rate between the contract date and the start of the time period
l A borrower who is paying floating interest rate on a loan, to which the FRA applies.
or
l An investor who is earning variable rate interest income . Example - If a company wishes to fix the income on its investment
which is placed on variable rate term with six- monthly fixing
FRA removes the borrower’s or lender’s exposure to the risk dates, and is due for roll-over in two month’s time then it can
from an adverse movement in interest rates between the FRA sell a 2 x 8 FRA and receive a fixed interest rate . If in two
contract date and the date of the future borrowing or investment. month’s time on the settlement date if the market interest rate
or reference interest rate (Libor) is lower, then the company
Banks use FRA for hedging short-term interest rate exposures would receive from the counter party to whom it sold the FRA,
for periods upto 2 years. a compensation which will be equal to the difference between
the contracted rate and the reference rate. It will continue to get
Notional Principal - An FRA guarantees an interest rate for a the variable rate on its direct investments thereby making the
borrower or investor on a specified sum of money and it is NOT total return equal to the contracted rate on the FRA.
an agreement to borrow or lend that amount of capital. No loan
principal is advanced or received under the terms of the
agreement. Calculation of compensatory payment —
The formula for calculating compensatory payment is- 2) Bank ABC hedges its borrowing cost for a loan by buying
a 3 x 6 FRA at a rate of 5.5% . On the settlement date
If L > R the LIBOR for three months is 6.5%.the notional amount of
principal is US$ 5 Mio. Calculate the compensatory amount
( L – R ) x D x A payable by the counter bank.
( D x L ) + ( B x 100 )
( R – L ) x D x A
( L – R ) x D x A
( D x L ) + ( B x 100 )
(D x L) + (B x 100)
Whereas
( 6.5 – 5.5 ) x 90 x 5000000
90 x 6.5 + 360 x 100
A is Notional Amount
1) Your bank bought sterling 25 million 6.50% ,(25,000000 3/ An agreement between two parties to exchange stated interest
9 FRA) LIBOR on fixing date is 6.75%. The term of FRA obligations for a certain period in respect of a notional principal
is 181 days. How much amount payable or receivable on amount.
settlement date.
IRS are dealt for a variety of maturities ranging from one year
Solution : or less through to twenty-five years or more. The longer maturities
tend to be only available to the most credit-worthy counterparties,
LIBOR ( 6.75% ) on fixing date is more than contract rate as credit naturally becomes more of a concern with the longer
6.50%, your bank as a buyer of FRA will receive an amount i.e., dated transactions.
Alternately, it can be termed as “credit rating swaps”, with one As can be seen from the diagram below, the 8.00% payments
party using its credit rating to access a source of funding on net out, in effect leaving B with its desired floating rate borrowing
attractive terms to the mutual benefit of all concerned. - at a rate of LIBOR flat, a saving of 25 b.p. (0.25% p.a.) on
the rate it would have paid if it had borrowed directly on this
There are two main types of Interest Rate Swaps : basis.
2) Floating rate exchanged for floating rate with both different LIBOR + 50 bps 8.00 %
References; e.g. 90 days T-bills exchanged for 3 Months
LIBOR rate.
example :
LIBOR LIBOR
Company A can borrow :
Company A Intermediary Company B
Floating : 6 month floating rate at LIBOR + 0.50 bps
8.10 % 8.00 %
Fixed : 5 year fixed rate at 8.75%.
It would like a fixed rate borrowing, but at cheaper rates. Net Cost 8.60 % Net 10 bps Net Cost LIBOR
Saving 15 bps Saving 25 bps
Company B can borrow :
In reality, there are normally far larger differences between the A “ Currency Swap” generally applies to transactions in which
rates that different credits will pay in medium or long term fixed two different counterparties exchange their long dated liabilities
rate borrowing than at short term. Therefore B should, borrow at that are denominated in two different currencies.
the fixed rate, in which it has the greatest comparative advantage,
even though it wishes to borrow at a floating rate. Currency swaps are generally used by Transnational Corporation
who need a different currency for financing assets but can raise
It thus borrows at 8.00% fixed and, independently of this process, resources in a different currency , in a different market at a
enters into an IRS paying LIBOR in exchange for receiving more competitive rates, these is because of a company might
8.00% fixed. be better know in its domestic market.
8 6 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT De-Mystified Derivatives and Funds Management 8 7
Main features of Currency Swaps are; 2. Energy futures - NYMEX offers contracts in crude oil ,
heating oil, leaded,gasoline and propane .
1) Exchange of equivalent amounts of different currencies.
Buying an option protects against downside risk, but still gives The rate at which the buyer of the option has the right to buy,
upside potential. You establish the worst possible rate at which or sell, is the “strike” price. An option which can be “exercised”
you will buy/sell a commodity, but still have the possibility of at any time before it expires is described as an “American” style
improving on this rate. option. One which can only be exercised on the “expiry date”,
a “European” style option.
This is the most common underlying reason for using options,
an example of which follows: Another major difference to other instruments is the manner in
which they are priced. Supply and demand and the current
A US company is exporting to Germany and will be receiving levels of exchange and/or interest rates are only part of the
deutsche marks in six months’ time. It purchases an option picture.
giving it the right to sell those marks for dollars at a rate of
1.50. The mathematics used in the pricing of options is, by most
people’s standards, relatively complex. Unlike, for example, the
If the market rate at the time of receipt is better - say, 1.45 - formula for calculating interest on a deposit, they do not represent
than the rate to which it is entitled under the option (1.50), it certainty, but are based on probability theories. They are, in
simply discards the option, losing only the premium, and deals fact, research derived models.
in the market at 1.45. But if the market moves against it - to
1.70, 2.00 or even 10.00, it takes up (“exercises”) its rights There is no guarantee that the results obtained will be correct,
under the option and sells the marks at 1.50. although experience has shown that - within their limitations -
the most commonly used models appear to work the majority of
From this, you will appreciate that the party selling (“writing”) the time, in the majority of circumstances.
the option is in a very different position:
The degree of uncertainty involved can be easily appreciated
The buyer has a maximum possible loss - the amount of the from the fact that possibly the single most important factor is
premium - and a virtually unlimited possible profit (viewing the itself a prediction of future events.
option transaction in isolation).
Chapter
7
Genesis
1. It is not one market but a collection of markets for several Treasury Securities (Gilts)
distinct and different instruments, and the close interrelationships
that link these markets. To finance the national debt the treasury issues several types
2. It has numerous and varied cast of participants. Borrowers of securities. Those with maturity at issue of less than one year
include domestic and foreign banks, central bank, treasury, are known as Treasury bills. Treasury bills also known as T-bills
corporations of all types, dealers in money market instruments or just bills, they are a direct obligation of the government,
and many states and municipalities. The lenders include issued at maturity of three, six, twelve months period. They are
almost all the above and in addition the insurance companies, generally sold at auction, weekly or monthly and bear no interest.
pension funds and various other financial institutions. Treasury bills trade on a discount basis. An investor in bills
pays less than face value, and at maturity the treasury redeems
A money market may be defined as centre in which financial them at face value. This increase in value of the bill over a
institutions congregate for the purpose of dealing impersonally period of time provides the yield, usually called the rate of
in monetary assets. This serves to emphasise three essential return. Sometimes treasury bills are relatively unattractive compared
characteristics of such markets: to other short-term instruments on the basis of both the yield
curve and price improvement potential. But, there are many
1. The group of markets collectively described as ‘money markets’ occasions when it is possible to improve the rate of return on
is concerned to deal in particular type of asset, the chief the - treasury bill investments. The general factors that influence
characteristic of which is its relative liquidity (i.e. readiness the treasury bill market are the level of interest rates, new
with which it can be converted to cash without significant supply of treasury bills, expectations of future developments,
loss). unique position of these bills creating a fixed demand and the
operations of the central bank.
2. Such activities tend to be concentrated in some centre (or
centres) which serves (or serve) a region or area, the width
The treasury so issues interest bearing notes. These securities
of such area may vary considerably - some money markets
are issued at or very near face value and redeemed at face
like London or New York have become world financial centres,
value. Notes have original maturity of 1 to 10 years. Interest on
or atleast international in their scope.
treasury notes may be paid semi-annually or on an annual basis.
3. On a very strict definition, the relationships that characterise Notes like bills are also generally sold through auctions held by
a money market should be impersonal in character so that the central bank. In addition to the notes the treasury also may
competition will be relatively pure (in other words, dealings issue interest bearing negotiable bonds that have a maturity at
between parties should not be governed or influenced wholly issue of 10 years or more. The only difference between the
or in part by personal considerations) treasury bonds and notes is that the bonds are issued for longer
maturiries.
The above is too ‘pure’ a view. Even when money markets in
the real world are highly competitive, it is not unreasonable to Banks, other financial institutions, insurance companies, pension
expect that regularity of business, the amount of business and funds, and corporations are all important investors in the treasury
the trust in the individuals with whom one is dealing may give securities. The market for the government securities is largely
rise to a certain amount of discrimination in the matter of interest a wholesale market, and especially at the short end. Due to the
rate structures or the credit conditions. Certain other preconditions high volume of treasury debt outstanding generally, the market
relate to the kind of economy that a money market can be for treasury bills and short term government securities is most
expected to serve. active and most carefully watched sector of the money market.
9 4 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Money Market Operations 9 5
The treasury securities market offer the investors several pay the beneficial holder or bearer the face value amount plus
advantages: interest at maturity. They are marketable as well as negotiable.
The CD’s may have maturities ranging from 14 days to 7 years.
The securities are generally constantly traded in the secondary The quantity of CD’s that the banks have outstanding depends
market in large volume and at narrow spreads between bid and on the loan demand. CD’s with variable rate are also being
ask prices (the spreads may differ from country to country, but are issued with roll-over of 30 days or six months. To facilitate
generally narrow), they are highly liquid. Repo’s on CDs, Discount CDs are also issued. In currencies
which are eurocurrency’s, than, other than the domestic CDs,
Eurocurrency CDs can also be issued. These CDs resemble the
Governments are considered free from credit risk.
domestic CDs except that, instead of the liability of a domestic
bank, they are the liability of a bank situated offshore. Another
Interest income from government securities is normally exempt
variety of a CD is the Yankee CD. Yankee as opposed to
from state taxation. Because of these advantages, treasury securities
domestic CDs are issued in the domestic market by the foreign
trade at yields below those of other money market instruments.
borrowers. They expose the investors to the extra risk of the
foreign name and are also generally less liquid than the domestic
Financial Futures and Options market CDs.
The market for the securities can be a cash market, i.e. the Commercial Paper (CP.)
market in which existing securities are traded for the same or
nest day delivery, or the futures market wherein the various
One of the source to the corporates to borrow is the loans from
money market instruments are traded for delivery at a future
the banks, but for large firms with good credit ratings an alternative
date. Futures market for financial instruments have grown at an
source of funds which is cheaper, is the commercial paper.
astonishing rate over the years.
Commercial paper is an unsecured promissory note issued for
a specific amount and maturing on a specific day. CPs are
Government agencies securities generally negotiable and have a short maturity period. They are
generally rolled over on maturity.
These securities are traded by the government securities dealers.
Positions vary in size, but the market in most of the larger Bankers Acceptances (B.A’s)
issues is active and liquid. Issues of short maturity may be
bought and sold in sizeable quantities. These securities are
An acceptance is a draft that the drawee bank has promised to
issued as a matter of policy to control as well as provide credit
honour at maturity. It constitutes an irrevocable obligation of the
to various sectors of the economy. Agencies are set up to
bank. Acceptances should be created to finance only real
provide credit to various sectors as per requirements.
transactions in - specific commodities or to facilitate exchange
transactions with foreign banks. The drawer of the draft and
Certificates of Deposit (C.D.) those who endorse the draft without qualification as well as the
accepting bank remain liable to the investor for the payment at
There are many corporations and other large investors that have maturity. The market for Bankers’ acceptances is capable of
huge sums of money that they could invest in bank time deposits. absorbing large amounts of selling in relation to the volume of
However by doing so they lose liquidity, this led the banks to items outstanding. Bankers’ acceptances closely resemble
invent the Negotiable certificate of deposits or just CD. Negotiable commercial paper in form. They are short-term non-interest bearing
certificate of deposit are the obligations of the issuing bank to notes sold at a discount and redeemed by the accepting bank
9 6 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Money Market Operations 9 7
at maturity for the face value. The major difference is that the transaction is called depends upon who initiates it. Typically, if
payment on the commercial paper is guaranteed only by the a dealer hunting money does it is a RP, if a dealer hunting
issuing company. In contrast, bankers’ acceptances, in addition securities does it is a reverse.
to carrying the issuer’s pledge to pay, are backed by the
underlying goods being financed and also carry the guarantee of Municipal notes
the accepting bank.
Chapter
8
Genesis
effect the spoiler. It trades away from the spot by just enough assets, liabilities, or income flows are not uncertain. Risk also
to exactly capture in interest rates between the domestic and exists if there is uncertainty in the prices of what people buy,
foreign currencies. so called inflation risk, due to uncertainty in the buying power
of given amounts of money).
4
}
that must be absent for the covered interest parity condition to w h e r e r$ is the annualised US$ interest rate, and division by 4
hold. The frictions that must be absent include restrictions on gives the 3 month return. Suppose the firm considers investing
the movement of capital, transaction cost and taxes. in a rupees denominated bank deposit and that the spot dollar/
rupee exchange rate is S($/Rs), i.e. for each dollar the firm will
The approach to deriving the covered interest parity conditions obtain 1/ S($/Rs) in rupees, assuming that there are no transaction
begins by explaining how to make short-term investment and costs and full mobility of capital. If the annualised interest rate
borrowing decisions in the international context. Then it is shown o n 3 m o n t h r u p e e b a n k d e p o s i t s i s rRs t h e n f o r e v e r y d o l l a r t h e
how shopping around for the highest investment and borrowing firm will receive after 3 months:
decisions in the international context are made.
/ Rs)
{ 1 +
rRs
4
}
investment yield or lowest borrowing cost pushes yields and
cost in different currencies towards equality, thereby resulting in If at the time of buying the 3 month rupees denominated deposit,
the covered interest parity condition. Currency of denomination the firm sells forward the amount of rupees to be received
introduces foreign exchange risk while country of issue introduces at maturity (that is the amount derived from the above equation),
political risk, and for most countries and time periods, foreign the number of dollars that it will obtain is set by the forward
exchange risk is far larger concern than political risk. contract. Assuming the 3 month forward rate at the time of
investment to be F1/4 ( $ / R s ) , then the dollars itwillobtainwill be:
Short-term borrowing and investment take place in the money
market. This is the market in which short-term securities such
as
there
treasury
are
bills
actively
and
traded
commercial
forward
paper
contracts
are
with
traded.
relatively
Because
short-
$
F¼ ($ / Rs)
S($ / Rs)
{ 1 +
rRs
4
}
term money market maturities, the money market deserves special
treatment. Forward contracts allow the money market borrowers It is now simple matter to express the rule for deciding the
and investors to avoid foreign exchange risk and exposure. currency in which to invest. The investor should choose a 3
month US$ deposit, rather than rupees deposit, whenever,
4
} >
F¼ ($ / Rs)
S($ / Rs)
{ 1 +
rRs
4
}
102 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex and Money Market - Integration Approach 103
The investor should select the rupees deposit than the US$ t i m e ‘n ’ forward; then they can buy rupees forward for less than
deposit whenever the reverse inequality holds, i.e. they expect to be able to sell them. This will force up the
f o r w a r d r a t e , F1 / 4($/Rs), until it is no longer less than the expected
future spot rate. Similarly, if S* n < F 1/4 ($/Rs) holds speculators
{ 1 +
r$
4
} >
F¼ ($ / Rs)
S($ / Rs)
{ 1 +
rRs
4
} w i l l s e l l r u p e e s f o r t i m e ‘n’ forward; they can sell forward rupees
for more than they expect to be able to buy them when they
honour their forward contract. Selling rupees forward pushes the
When, forward rate down until it is no longer more than the expected
future spot rate.
{ 1 +
r$
4
} >
F¼ ($ / Rs)
S($ / Rs)
{ 1 +
rRs
4
} Thus, to a close approximation, the uncovered interest parity
should hold in the form:
holds the investor is indifferent. If we allow the interest to compound
the indifference equation will be n n
n
n { 1 + r$
} >
S* n ($ / Rs)
S($ / Rs)
{ 1 + r Rs }
{ 1 + r$
} >
Fn ($ / Rs)
S($ / Rs)
{ 1 + r Rs }
This is only an approximate condition because uncovered interest
When the above equation holds good, no covered interest arbitrage parity involves risk. We have assumedS* n ($/Rs) = F 1/4 ($/Rs),
is profitable. The equation is the covered interest parity condition . this assumption is invalid if there is risk premium in the forward
When this condition holds there is no advantage to covered market.
borrowing or investing in any particular currency or from covered
interest arbitrage.
When put differently the above uncovered interest parity equation
y i e l d s rRs - r$ = S* i.e. the interest differential should approximately
The covered interest parity condition is the financial-market
equal the expected rate of change in the spot exchange rate.
equivalent of the law of one price, from the commodity market,
and follows from financial-market efficiency.
In reality, interest parity holds very closely (in efficient markets),
The equation above is the condition for hedged or covered interest but not precisely. The failure to achieve exact covered interest
parity because it involves the use of the forward market. it can parity could occur because in actual financial markets there are:
be argued that a very similar unhedged interest parity condition
should also hold. This follows because speculation will make l Transaction cost
the forward exchange rate approximately equal to the expected
future spot rate. If we define the expected spot exchange rate l Political risks
between the dollar and rupees in time ‘n’ as S* n ($/Rs) then it
follows that to a close approximation : l Potential tax advantages to foreign exchange gains versus
interest earnings
S* n ($/Rs) = F¼ ($/Rs)
l Liquidity differences between foreign securities and domestic
If S* n ($/Rs) > F 1/4 ($/Rs) holds, speculators will buy rupees for securities.
104 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex and Money Market - Integration Approach 105
Decomposition Of The Interest Differentials equation, and the risk premium the second term in the equation
is the uncovered interest differential, or the expected difference
in rates across countries
It is well known that the elimination of barriers to the movement
of capital across national boundaries as reflected in covered
interest differentials is not enough to equalise interest rates
across countries.
Thus it is still a controversy as to which factor plays a more
important or dominant role as far as interest differentials are
concerned.
So, the mathematical proof of the equations mentioned above the following prices-are available:-
are as follows:-
1 month USD 5.00 % p. a.
Now, let us see the integration of Forex and Money markets l After 1 month get the US dollars from the customer. Use
with the help of Illustration. this USD to repay the 1 month borrowing + interest. The
DEM that we will get from the maturing deposit along with
the interest be given to the customer.
ILLUSTRATION
Let us assume that the USD/DEM spot exchange rate is quoted l In order not to make any profit or loss on the trade, the
in the market at 1.4700. The bid-and-offered form is for the time rate for 1 month forward could then be worked out by
being left out of the discussion. Likewise in the money market dividing the DEM amount received by USD amount payable.
108 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex and Money Market - Integration Approach 109
The above transactions can be shown in a diagramatically as As a consequence, we will be getting two forward prices and not
under. one. These will be the bid and offered prices for the forward
USD/DEM.
l The term i.e. the period in future for which the price is
(a) We had assumed that there is no bid-and-offered price for calculated.
spot USD/DEM. In real situation we have a bid-and-offered
price.
Thus, the forward price is no indicator of the future trend
of a currency.
(b) We had assumed that there is no bid-and-offered price on
the money market quotes. Here also in real life we will That the forward price depends purely on interest rate differential
have bid and offered price. can also be seen in the context of the above example. Let us
110 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex and Money Market - Integration Approach 111
assume that the forward price is same as the spot price. In equation from the base and offered currency angle. Consider,
other words we have the following market scenario. for example the following price,
A & B
Spot USD/DEM 1.4700
1 Month forward USD/DEM 1.4700 Here, A is the base currency and B is the offered currency. We
will have three possible scenarios in terms of the interest rates
1 Month deposit rates (USD) 5.00 % for the currencies A & B for a given term. These are,
Everyone in the market will do the arbitrage and then one or all However, the forward will be different in 1st possibility than the
of the following things can happen. forward rate in 2nd possibility. This is because the direction of
interest rate differential will be different.
l Spot USD/DEM rate will move in the direction of stronger
since everyone will be buying USD. The rate will move in We can also look at it from a different angle. In the 1st possibility
the direction of 1. 4710, 1. 4720. . . . above, if we are selling the currency A at the spot against B,
then for the period from spot date to the forward value date the
l There will be more people placing USD in deposits. So the
interest rate differential will be against us. The forward rate will
interest rates on USD will come down i.e. in the direction
have to be such as to compensate us for this loss.
of 4. 75, 4. 50. . . . . .
l There will be more people borrowing DEM and the interest While in the 2nd possibility, if we are selling the currency A
rates for DEM will firm up i.e. move in the direction of 3. spot, then for the period from spot date to the forward value
50, 3. 75. . . . . . date the interest rate-differential will be in our favour. The forward
rate will have to be such as will make us sacrifice for this gain.
l There will be more people selling 1 month forward USD so
the USD/DEM rate will move in the direction of a weaker
This compensation and sacrifice for the interest rate differential
USD i. e. 1.4690, 1.4680.... .
being paid or received, is called the premium and discount in
the forex market terminology. The terms have the same meaning
At some stage the market will come to an equilibrium and then as in the ordinary commercial sense.
it will no more be possible to make risk-free profit. This equilibrium
level will be the same level as calculated earlier based on A currency having higher rate of interest is said to be at a
interest rate differentials. We have thus that the forward rate will discount i n f o r w a r d r e l a t i v e t o t h e c u r r e n c y w i t h a lower rate
be an arithmetic function foreign the interest rate differential. of interest. Conversely, a currency having lower rate of interest
is said to be at a premium i n f o r w a r d r e l a t i v e t o t h e c u r r e n c y
It will be very useful at the stage if we look at the currency with a higher rate of interest.
112 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex and Money Market - Integration Approach 113
A potential confusing situation can be avoided if we consider and not one. The forward rate is, therefore, always a combination
the fact that the premium and discount are different terms describing of the spot rate and the forward points. In an equation form this
the same situation but from a different angle. To achieve this, can be written as under:
we continue to stick to the spot market practice of talking in
terms of offered currency terms . For a given currency pair, Forward rate = Spot rate + Forward points
therefore, the premium or discount will be the premium or
discount of the offered currency. T h e premium of the offered
Treasury Integration – An Essence
currency is to be subtracted from the spot rate for arriving at the
forward rate. Likewise, discount of the offered currency is to be
added to the spot rate to arrive at the forward rate.One very “Indian rupees sharp fall triggers dollar selling”, “Indian call steady
important point that must be remembered here concerns the in early trade, bonds quiet”, “Rupee came under pressure”, “With
period for which interest rates are being considered. If one is the increase in volatility, bid/ offer spread have also widened,
talking of a premium or discount for 1 week, then the rates of forward premia have softened”.
treasury are arrived at. Role clarity throws light on need for Integrated Treasury – a definition
integration of treasury . An organizational structure to fulfill the
roles in suggested in fig; “ A” This is followed by elaboration on The scope of defination is restricted to a banking company
infrastructural needs. The last section puts forth a plan for engaged in intermediation of investments and credit. It takes
phased implementation of the integrated process , where things into consideration a banking structure that is widely in place
are not likely to flow in a single go. and gaining increasing acceptance in the largest credit market,
the U.S. The latter is due to the dilution of the Glass–Steagall
Act that separated investment banking and commercial banking.
The integrated treasury is expected to serve a universal bank
ROLE TREASURY that encompasses both.
FCNR SWAP
policy inputs to strategic planing group on medium–term basis
PROPRIETORY SLR
TRADING MANAGEMENT INVESTMENTS with respect to the following aspect: funding mix (currency ,tenor
and cost), yield expected on credit and investment (yield and
classes of investment).
OVERSEAS
CORPORATE NON-SLR
FX TRADING
BORROWINGS
INVESTMENTS
Of the three roles identified under an integrated treasury viz.
INVESTMENT
Autonomous Forex, Autonomous Money and Integrated Role,
the last one gains pre-eminence in an era of liberalization.
GOVT. Specifically, this refers to freedom to corporate and banks to
DERIVATIVES SECURITIES structure multi–currency balance sheets and to take advantage
( NON-INR ) ARBITRAGE
TRADING
DEALING of strategic positioning. The expert Committee report on Capital
NON-GOVT.
Account Convertibility (CAC) dwelt at length on phase liberalization
INR
DERIVATIVES EQUITIES INV. on this count The report’s recommendation goes beyond the
DEALING AND TRADING
corporate sector to retail sector too. The relevance of integrated
Cost of capital
to borrow up to 15% of tier 1 capital of the bank over and convertibility. At the long-end, bank choice of currencies in its
above FCNR funds, at the short end. Thus depending on call liabilities can be decided based on demand from customers. As
rates and swap rates at the short –end, it would be possible FCNR rates are fully freed by the Central bank, banks will have
for banks to save significantly- to hedge themselves against a floating LIBOR, in the absence
of interest –risk free landing opportunities.
FUNDING
Return on investment
Interest rates swaps call for counter parties with USD and INR
Fig ‘B’ TERM MONEY
liabilities. As and when FIIs and FDIs are allowed to operate in
Forward markets, more such matches could emerge. Bank could
earn fee-based income by intermediating such deals. As money
to meet short –term liquidity needs. These arbitrate opportunities and forex market integrate INR yield curve could mature and
may dwindle in quantum and exist for shorter period of time trigger of a wave of USD/INR forex and debt derivatives products.
but would continue to exist even beyond capital account Making a market in these products to bank and customers
118 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Forex and Money Market - Integration Approach 119
would be made possible through an integrated treasury in a Some of the measures set out by the committee on CAC have
better way. been implemented in a phased manner.
Expert committee on Capital Account Convertibility headed by To achieve the objective Organizational chart is found to be as
S. S. Tarapore recommended towards Risk Management as per fig ‘C’.
under:
l The RBI should prescribe prudential norms for mismatches Treasury head
i n the rupee books of the banks and FIs and prescribe a
l From MIS on micro level branch assets and liability
reporting system for monitoring mismatches .
statements representing liquidity position.
l The bank and FIs should be progressively to a 100
percent mark to market investment portfolio by the year l From Credit department on business projections for medium
2000. term.
l The best practices of risk management as outlined in the l From mid-office on Value At Risk and adherence by dealers
Report of the Expert Group on Forex Markets (Chairmain: to internal and external guidelines.
O. P.Sodhani) may be adopted by the entities including
l To Forex branch heads on currency market and money
corporates this will require strong internal control systems
market developments.
to identify, measure, monitor and manage all types of risks.
TOP MANAGEMENT
Upgrading of skills
Mid-office
Communication lines
Business Structure Each of these “banks” has unique characteristics that influence
the structure of its ASSET LIABILITY position.
A non-exogenous factor that the A.L. manager has to take into Consumer Bank Coml. Bank (Domest) Intl Coml. Bank Invest (Mer) Bank
account is the bank’s own business structure. How the bank is
Capital -capital Capital requirement Capital requirement H i g h capital
structured determines largely: requirement depends depends on credit benefits from better requirement due to
on mix of consumer quality of customer diversification & may securities underwriting
finance and mortgage base and bank’s credit suffer from country risk a c t i v i t i e s and
l The scope, accuracy and speed that is required for ASSET loans m a n a g e m e n t inter alia m u l t i f a c e t e d
LIABILITY positioning and decision-making. capability. counterparty risks.
l The scope, speed and quality of internal and external risk only in case of concern due to domestic c o m m e r c i a l turns over rapidly (not
confidence crisis; relatively rapid turnover bank at each national only transaction
information that thebank can provide to position ASSET Balance sheet turns of balance sheet level; better diversified; a c c o u n t s ) ;
LIABILITY , the bank’s “natural” positions and its over slowly need to preserve liquiditydepend on
bank’s liquidity i n marketability of
ability (often “size”) to conduct profitable treasury operations Eurocurrency market Inventory & availability
(positions, arbitrage). of borrowing facilities
IRR -Very vulnerable to -dueto high proportion -IRRM similar to -Interest rate risk
To understand it in depth the following classification is used: interest rate volatility; of low interest/interest- d o m e s t i c b a n k a t e a c h integral part of day-to-
especially mortgage free transaction national level day trading and
banks with t h e i r balances, tendency to c o m b i n e d with positioning activities;
l Consumer Banking (savings, consumer credit, mortgage tendency to negative develop positive (over m i s m a t c h aspects o f no natural positions
sensitivity (overlent) of borrowed) sensitivity of international treasury
lending, retail checking accounts, small time deposits/CDs) NII to interest rates. NII to interest rates trading activities.
of their international commercial bank with the risk management Multi-Currency Balance Sheet
needs and deposit base of their retail bank. A “universal” bank
would combine all four types.
When asset and liabilities are evaluated and held in more than
one currency, it is a case of multi-currency presentation of
International banks have different business mixes abroad than accounts. Local currency is converted into foreign currency.
they have in their home country, and problems in a given country Conversion rate would be the exchange rate ruling on the date
are often the result of an unfavourable business mix from an of evaluation of asset and liabilities. Many international banks
ASSET LIABILITY point of view (especially taking into account are presenting their Assets and Liabilities in multi currency. The
the regulatory/competitive profile of that market) that should be concept is yet to crystalise to usage in many countries including
addressed in a wider strategic context. India.
Guided by the business structure of an international banks, the Capital and Regulation
structure and compositions of asset and liabilities can be presented
in the balance sheet as follows:-
Capital is a central ingredient in the regulatory and supervisory
Amount in $ Mio process. It is the ultimate function and responsibility of bank
supervision to ensure that the business of banks is conducted
in a generally prudent manner and that depositors’ money is not
LIABILITIES Amount ASSETS Amount
put to unacceptable risk. Capital is essentially about a bank’s
ability to deal with risk. The maintenance of adequate capital is
Share Capital Fixed assets
a major part of the supervisory process. To elaborate specifically
Authorised Goodwill
we find that the Bank of England adopts a general approach
Issued Building
almost similar to that of the Comptroller of the Currency in the
Machinery
U.S. where the capital requirement is placed in a broader prudential
perspective known as the CAMELl system:
Reserves and Surplus Investment
l the adequacy of a bank’s capital;
P/L Account
General Reserve l the structure and quality of its assets;
which are in tune with recent time happenings and incidents. risk weights for calculation of capital adequacy, provisioning
Basle Committee on Banking Supervision - banking supervisory norms, exposure norms to be implemented over a period of time
authorities established by the central bank Governors. The stating from 31/3/99 to 31/3/2003. Thus, the bank has given a
committee is represented by senior functionaries from countries clear indication of the prudential norms for the future years also
viz. USA, UK, Japan, Germany, Canada, Bulgaria, France, Sweden, and advised the banks to gear up for implementing the measures
Switzerland, Netherlands Italy, Belgium and Luxembourg. A paper announced.
on Management of interest risk and measurement of banks
exposure to interest rate risk (IRR) is also submitted by the said Measures effective from 31/3/2000 and after as follows:-
committee.
EXISTING REVISED
l To emphasize that risk management practices are essential Investment in other approved securities Risk Weight 0 % 2.5 % Risk Weight
to prudent operation of banks. guaranteed by central/state government w.e.f. 31/3/2000
system. The initial focus of the ALM function was to enforce Risk Weight for government guaranteed Risk Weight 0 % Govt. Gua. 20 %
the risk management discipline viz. Managing business and advances Risk Weight State
assessing the risks involved simultaneously. gua. 100 % Risk
Weight after 31/3/
2001
Indian Scenario
Reduction in time frame of sub-standard An asset is 31/0/99 - 50 5 Risk
assets classified as sub- W e i g h t
The Central bank of India has issued revised/changed guidelines standard if it has 31/3/2002 -
to all the banks on prudential norms. The measures announced been as NPA for a balance 50 %
period not Risk Weight
by the bank gave an indication that RBI directed implementing
exceeding two
the Narsimhan committee recommendations on banking sector years
reforms. The Central Bank has announced various measures on
130 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 131
Exchange Traded
Asset/ liability and international banking operations
Futures
Options Purchased
Asset liability management is crucial to both domestic and
Options written international banking. The basic objective is to ensure that the
bank’s profitability is not unduly exposed to changes in interest
Over the counter rates, which is a subject of importance to asset and liabilities
Spot and forward in home currency as well as in foreign currencies. The interest
Swaps rate exposure arises because the maturity patterns of the asset
Options Purchased and liabilities differ, they need to be priced at different points of
time, and therefore, changes in interests rates affect the cost
Options written
of liabilities and yields on assets and hence profitability. In
international banking, the major impact of asset liability management
Other Derivative Products
was felt in the pricing of the medium term loans, specific currency
denominated deposits i.e. foreign currency non-resident deposits
Exchange Traded
as in India, schemes.
Off-balance Sheet risks placed on the gaps in the rupee book - whether by the supervisor
or by bank management. The major problem here is the mismatch
between relatively - shorter-term liabilities and the longer maturity
The final, though controversial, area to consider relates to Off-
assets held, particularly in the SLR proportion of a bank portfolio.
balance sheet risks. A bank is primarily in the business of
Since the latter still forms a significant proportion of banks’
financial intermediation: issuing assets and liabilities with different
assets and is increasingly requirement to be marked to market,
characteristics. This is reflected in the balance sheet. But the
the banking system runs a significant interest rate risk. The
bank is also exposed to risks for activities that do not count as
Reserve Bank of India should consider to evolve minimum standards
a definite asset on the balance sheet. In fact, Off-balance sheet
for securities settlement system and also reasonably enforceable
business has grown substantially in the 1980s and 1990s partly
systems especially relevant to emerging markets. It should cover
because of banks’ capital constraints. If business can be developed
broadly equity/equity related instrument/ Corporate bonds/govt.
without creating assets on the balance sheet, then profits rise
securities etc. It would indeed be a good initiative on the part
relative to capital and assets, and less capital is needed.
of regulators to plug the gap in control mechanism.
Chapter
10
Management Risk
Framework
- Retrospect and Prospect
Genesis
Enterprise Risk Management management learned of the losses, they attempted to hide them
from the US regulators. Ultimately, Daiwa was forced to cease
its US operations and was $340 million in a plea agreement with
All organizations are in business of placing capital at risk in
the US prosecutors.
pursuit of ventures that are uncertain. This includes financial
institutions, governmental bodies, corporations and non-profit
organization. They all have goals, and they allocate resources l Sumitomo Corporation (June 1996)
to pursue them. Because all organizations face uncertainly in
achieving their goals, they all face risk. Enterprise risk management Sumitomo’s head copper trader, Yasuo Hamanaka, disguised
is about optimizing the process with which risks are taken.It losses totaling $ 1.8 billion over a ten year period. During that
became a critical issue for the 1990’s because organizations time, Hamanaka performed as much as $20 billion of unauthorized
have started suffering spectacular losses—often from risks they trades a years. He was able to hide his activities because he
never should have taken in the first place. headed his section and had trade confirmations sent directly to
him, bypassing the back office.
Examples include :
In recent years, numerous organizations have suffered staggering
l Orange County (November 1994) losses such as these. These four, however are some of the
most significant. They illustrate two common characteristics.
Orange County’s Investment Pool lost $ 1.7 billion from structured Each one :
notes and leveraged reposition. The treasurer, Robert Citron,
l Was directly caused by the actions of a single individual.
took the positions with oversight from the county’s five-person
board of supervisors. The risking of the pool’s investments was l Could easily have been prevented through appropriate
publicly discussed when Citron ran for, and won, reelection in oversight.
1994. Members of the board of supervisors claim that they did
not receive critical information, which have indicated the risks Losses such as these never used to occur. In the past,
that Citron wads taking. organizations might go bankrupt or suffer losses, but the forces
that caused them were macroscopic – competition,
l Barings Bank (February 1995) mismanagement or adverse conditions would bleed an
organization’s vitality. Today, an individual can pick up a phone
Barings Plc lost $ 1.5 billion because a Singapore-based trader, and deal with billions of dollars. This is new.
Nick Leeson, took unauthorized futures and options positions
liked to the Nikkei 225 and Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs). The risk does not come from derivative instrument alone. It
At the height of his activities, Leeson controlled 49% of the arises from the many sources of leverage, which are available
open interest in Nikkei 225 March 1995 contract. Despite having today. These include derivatives, repos, and securities lending
to finance margin call as the bank lost money, the Baring’s and structured notes. Such tools have increased liquidity in the
board and management claim to have been unaware of Leeson’s markets and enable institutions to efficiently manage many of
activities. their risk exposures. In the wrong hands, however, they can
devastate an organization.
l Daiwa Bank (September 1996)
The problem is not the financial tools, but the people who use
One of the Bank’s US-based bond traders, Toshihide lguchi, them. While many financial tools are new, the problem of people
concealed $1.1 billion losses over a ten-year period. When acting fraudulently, or just irresponsibly, has always existed. In
138 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 139
the past, risk were unleveraged, so trading losses were limited. needs of an organization. Each will, however, be important in
They might cost a few individuals their careers, but they would some sense or another.
rarely make it to the newspapers. Today, people take the same
types of risks, but they leverage them, and the losses burgeon. Culture
Leverage doesn’t only magnify market risk. As margins of error In the example of institutions that suffered dramatic losses,
contract, other risk increases, including credit risk liquidity risks, while the immediate cause for each loss was adverse market
operations risk and legal risk. Organizations are focussing on all moves, the fundamental problem was cultural. Each institution
these. Through enterprise risk management, they seek had a corporate culture that was incapable of confronting
comprehensive solutions – not because the problem is new, but irresponsible behavior.
because the consequences have become enormous.
Also, every organization should have procedures for changing on technology, there is always a risk of technology becoming
procedures. Because procedures become outdated over time, it the focus of risk management.
is easy for organizations to change how they operate without
formally recognizing that the change is taking place. Informal More staged approach starts off by recognizing that risk
practices evolve out of habit, instead of a deliberate process. management is primarily about people- how they think and how
Because they may be adopted out of necessity or convenience they interact with one another. Technology is just a tool. In the
– without considering how they impact organizational risk – they wrong hands, it is worse than useless, but applied appropriately,
too, are a source of risk. it can transform an organization.
Often, periods first develop procedures for regulatory purposes. A good approach to implementing an enterprise risk management
Their regulators require them to implement certain procedures initiative is:
and so they do. As regulators are well aware, this can be a two-
edged sword.
l Initially allocate minimal funding for the initiative, but ensure
that board members, senior management or other supervisor
On the negative side, regulatory procedures are primarily intended are involved in the process.
to minimize risk, which is different from optimizing risk. Their
main purpose is to protect third parties or to control systemic l Start by planning a risk management strategy that involves
risk. no technology at all. This can be an empowering exercise.
It focuses participants on the procedural and cultural issues
Every organization should supplement regulatory with their own of risk management. Ultimately, it is these that determine
procedures that embrace a process of risk optimization. Indeed, the success of an initiative.
the more proactive an organization is in developing its own
procedures, the more effective that organization will be risk l Once you have decided on a strategy for managing risk,
management. then determine where technology needs to be incorporated
or where it can enhance the strategy.
Through such a process, an organization will not only implement
procedures that are in rune with its goals, it will also be
implementing procedures for the right reason. A useful analogy Data Aggregation
for this is drivers stopping their care whenever they see a red
light They may do so because they ear being caught running a Information is essential to enterprise risk management. However,
red light. A better situation, however, is if they stop out of before it can be processed, analyzed or acted upon, it must be
concern for their own safety. The best procedures are those that made available to the systems and individuals that needs it.
an organization wants to implement and promote.
In the examples of institutional losses – Orange County, Barings
Technology In Perspective Brothers, Daiwa Bank a Sumitomo Corporation - each could
have been prevented if decision- makers had the right information.
For many institutions, such as banks, investment management Three of these four cases involved fraudulent falsification of
firms or insurance organizations, technology will be a critical information.
component of any risk management initiative. For other
organizations, especially those that do not manage assets internally Accordingly, institutions should manage their information flows
technology is less important. For institutions that rely heavily with the assumption that individuals will attempt to corrupt or
144 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 145
undermine the process. Automation can play a valuable role by manage specific risks for which he or she was best qualified,
confirmations, reporting and funds transfers. This, however, is individuals were called upon to be generalists. Each would manage
just one benefit of automated data management. multiple risks. In this environment, each desk would be given
its own credit risk limit for each counterparty and its own market
Even without fraud or human error, data management has always risk trading limits.
been a bottleneck for enterprise risk management. Managing
such risks as an organization’s total yield curve exposure, or its Today, technology makes it possible to effectively communicate
total credit exposure to counterparty is impossible without information – across desks, across departments, around the
comprehensive information about those exposures. globe and in real time. That technology solution is data aggregation.
Credit exposure poses similar problem. Exposures to a single As the trading environment captured as it is generated – both
counterparty can arise throughout an institution. Lending, streamlining the process and avoiding errors or fraud. As data
underwriting, the derivatives desk, the foreign exchange desk – is captured, it can be posted to a central data repository. From
almost every functional unit may create exposures to a counterparty. there, all system, all desks and all departments that need it can
Those exposures can be highly varied and complex. access it.
Before an organization can attempt to manage risk on an enterprise This solves the communication problem. The need for human
– wide basis, it must first collect and communicate all necessary intervention – phones calls, memos, and meetings – is eliminated.
information relating to those risks. In the past, organization As information is generated, it is automatically posted. When
have had limited ability to do this. They have faced too many another desk or department needs that information, it is
different and complex risks – and professionals have had no automatically retrieved. Each desk and department needs just
convenient means of communicating exposures across an one line of communication – one with the data repository.
organization.
Data aggregation is not a new concept. Corporations have been
Consider the simple case of a bank, which has just two trading trying to aggregate data since the time when they installed the
desks. For these desks to co-operate in managing risks there first mainframe computers. Today, however, it is an achievable
would need to be just one line of communication. goal enterprise wide.
Suppose, however, that bank had not two desks, but ten. In this
case, the lines of communication would grow from one to as
Risk Analysis
forty-five. Trying to manage risk across these forty-five lines
would become a monumental task. For traders, communicating “How much risk are we taking?” the question is so simple – and
with other desks could become a full time job. Add to this the yet profound. In one form or another, it underlies enterprise risk
differing conventions that might exist on each desk, the need to management. In the past, organizations would look to their profit
the back office, credit department, sales risk management – the and loss statement to answer the question. Volatile profits meant
problem become insurmountable. high risk. You couldn’t ague with that.
In the past, this problem prevented organizations from managing A problem, however, is that profit and loss is a retrospective
risk on an enterprise-wide basis. Instead, each desk or department measure of risk. We all know that Barings Bank was taking a
would be given broad authority to manage those risks, which lot of risk in February of 1995. That brutally accurate fact,
arose from its own operations. Instead of having each professional however, arrived too late to avoid catastrophe.
146 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 147
Indeed, for many risks, the profit and loss statement may reveal Statistical measures for credit exposure is similar. Based upon
little or no information – even retrospectively. A credit loss the existing portfolio of contracts with a counterparty, they
might impact profit and loss years after an exposure is first summarize the potential credit exposure, taking into account all
taken. The profit and loss statement may provide no indication market volatilities and correlations.
whatsoever of liquidity risk. That risk tends to strike infrequently,
but with devastating effect. The first time a liquidity crisis impacts A shortcoming risk statistical risk measures is the fact that they
the profit and loss statement is often the last. can be extremely computer intensive. For this reason, institutions
are turning to ever more powerful computer systems to support
In order to manage risks, organizations need to be able to their risk analysis. Distributed systems, which parallel a simulation
measure those risks prospectively. They need to know based and run it simultaneously on multiple computers, offer much
on their positions today, how much risk they are actually taking. potential. When these are used in combination with the latest
This is a difficult question to answer. simulation techniques, many sophisticated forms of statistical
risk analysis can be performed in real time or near-real time.
Data aggregation does not solve this problem. It brings all the
necessary data together, but a list of contracts or catalogue of Automated Oversight
counterparties can not tell you where your risks lie. Somehow,
that wealth of data must be processed and converted into a With statistical risk measures, and the ability to assign a precise
measure of risk. number to risks, oversight can be automated. The process starts
by assigning each department, each desk and each trader explicit
Organizations are addressing this challenge with statistical risk authority to take specific risks. This authority is articulated as
measures. For market risk, they are using value at risk (VAR). risk limits.
For credit exposure, they are using expected exposure or maximum
exposure. Such risk measures are powerful because they can For example, a foreign exchange trader who trader’s three different
summarize a complete risk with a single number. currencies might be given a risk limits for each currency. Those
limits would be expressed in terms of value at risk. The risk
For example, value at risk incorporates all of a portfolio’s holdings management system would track the trader’s value at risk arising
as well as the volatilities and correlations of applicable risk from exposure to each of the currencies to ensure that they
factors. remained below the respective limits. The trader would also
have a total value at risk limit. This would cap the total risk he
was allowed to take, irrespective of source.
It then synthesizes this wealth of information to produce a
single number represents the upper bound on a confidence interval
In addition to trader-specific limits, there would be overall limits
for how much the portfolio could lose over a specified horizon.
for each desk and total limits for the entire trading operation.
Because value at risk is based on a portfolio’s current holdings, When a limit structure is supported by risk measurement technology,
it is a prospective measure of risk. It tells you how much you which can be precisely, measure utilization under each limit;
are taking now – not how much risk you trading risk oversight becomes automated. If a trader exceeds
a limit, it is immediately caught. The system then informs the
Were taking last week or a month ago. Furthermore, because it risk management unit, appropriate managers, the trader and the
takes into account market volatilities and correlations, it captures trader’s colleagues in the trading floor. In this way, a clear
all hedging and diversification effects. standard is set for appropriate behavior, and everyone knows if
148 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 149
someone violates the standard. The system becomes self-policing Risk management means the establishment of an organizational
because everything happens out in the open. framework for handling risks. All the processes, instruments,
resources and responsibilities needed to assure a systematic
and efficient risk management are to be clearly defined and
From overcoming risks to systematic risk
anchored into this framework.
management
A structured and systematic risk management replaces an adhoc
The assumption and handling of risks are an inseparable of problem solving with composed considerations. This also lends
banking. Against the background of competitive pressures, the support to the day-to-day business operations.
effective and efficient management of risk is a core competency
of the successful bank. Optimal risk management is a strategically
decisive factor in banking. Risk management as a closed circle
Spectacular cases of losses have the regulatory authorities The introduction and operation of a risk management system
worldwide to increase the demands they place on the bank’s form a circle. Risks are identified, measured and controlled.
risk management. The optimal integration of the regulatory They are monitored regularly to as certain whether the risks are
authorities in the bank’s internal risk management assures the still within the prescribed limits. If not, the circle starts again:
bank’s regulatory authorities in the bank’s internal risk management the excessive risks and their causes are identified, measured
Risk strategy
During the past decade, the banking industry worldwide has
made enormous efforts regarding risk management and has Within a bank’s risk management, the Board of directors and
achieved progress. At the same time, the regulatory requirements the senior management are responsible for the definition of the
have been extended and tightened both at the national and the objectives, priorities, principles and strategies. It is up to the
international level. The development of the best practice in risk Board of directors to approve the risk policy and thus the overall
management and also of the respective regulatory standards is framework of the bank’s risk management and to supervise its
placing in increasing demands on risk management. implementation.
The development of risk management has so far been isolated It is the responsibility of the Board and the senior management
in the individual business areas of banks and has therefore to ensure that structures and processes are implemented which
been relatively uncoordinated. The quick availability of solutions guarantee a systematic, efficient and effective risk management.
for limited areas was given priority. Systematic and structured They are also responsible for the establishment of an appropriately
overall concepts were, in comparison, given only secondary organized, properly staffed, technically equipped and methodical
attention. infrastructure.
Today’s efforts aim to embed a bank’s risk management into a Finally, the Board of directors and the senior management are
structures overall concept. A clear reference framework and a responsible for the supervision and the control of risk management,
solid and uniform basis need to be brought into line with each for the adherence to its principles and the global risk limits.
other and anchored within the organization. The relevant regulatory They must further ensure that the bank’s risk management is
standards also require an approach. being properly supervised and functions adequately.
150 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 151
It is, on the other hand, basically not the responsibility of the For a given objective, efficient risk management means that the
Board and the senior management to identify, measure / assess, bank will tailors entire risk management system strictly to that
steer and control the risks at the operational level. Direct interference objective. Good solutions fulfill the objectives defined by the
in these risk processes by the Board and senior management bank. Not more, but not less. The conception and realization of
should occur only exceptional cases. successful risk management are therefore based on clearly defined
and concrete objectives.
In practice, we see a certain tendency to concentrate the discussion
of risk management on technical and methodical aspects. High- Determining the objectives of the risk management is a decision
risk consciousness and adequate training of all persons involved of strategic importance. They have an ongoing influence on the
in risk management are, inspite of the advances at the system competitive of the bank. Therefore, setting the risk management
level, indispensable to successful risk management. Organizational objectives is part of the central responsibilities of the board of
aspects of risk nagement may also not be ignored: due attention directors and the top management. The senior bodies are
is to be given to the segregation of duties in particular. specifically responsible for the bank’s risk policy.
Efficient risk management as a means to an end The banks risk policy: systematic framework and
and not an end in itself communication instrument
be aggregated to give the overall risk of the bank. appropriate levels and is adhered to in day-today operations.
Under no circumstances may the policy deteriorate to an overloaded,
The cost also increases with the increasingly ambitious objectives: abstract document with an alibi function and possibly simply
For example, if the bank not only wishes to limit risks but also disappear into a drawer. The risk policy is both the frame of
wants to optimize the potential for gains, then it will have to reference for the entire risk management and the basis for its
allocate and define the income and expense as well. continuing review and its systematic future development.
In general: the more ambitions the objective, the higher the The contradictory demands on the risk policy for comprehensive
necessary investments for the risk management system of a presentation on the one hand and easy accessibility and adaptability
bank. on the other can be achieved through a process-oriented structure
152 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 153
and through modular build-up. The resulting transparent structure risks. Risk identification is not a one-time exercise. On-going
of the risk policy simplifies not only communicate within the attention must be given to the possibility of new risks arising.
bank but also - reporting to third parties such as to regulatory
bodies, external auditors, owners and other interested parties. Efficient risk management means setting priorities
Risk Identification
The extent of the human resources, the tools used and the
technical resources must be appropriate to the importance of
Risk identification means first of all that the bank systematically the individual risks. This principle applies not only to the risks
recognizes its risks, classifies them and assigns them to areas involved with the bank’s compliance with the regulatory requirements
of responsibility or to products/markets. This also includes the established for the protection of the creditors and the banking
operational definition of the risks. To this extent, risk identification system. In particular, where core areas concerned, risk
means sorting the risks, according to a certain structure. management’s purpose is not only to avoid acute danger: optimal
risk management also provides decisive assistance for strategic
The following factors have shown to be decisive in determining orientation. For this reason, smaller banks too may not dispense
the quality of risk identification : with the investments in risk management, which are necessary
to assure their future. Even a small bank has to control its risks
l Knowledge of the products, business areas and markets,
in the core areas effectively in order to survive.
the inherent in these areas and their causes
l A practical, appropriate and consistent order The real challenge the bank faces, however, is to find solutions,
which are geared to its individual requirements, characteristics
l Clear and operational definitions and possibilities. Risk management proves itself once again to
be a non-standardisable product.
If risk identification is incomplete, danger looms that the banks
will not cover unidentified risks risk management. There is the Significant improvements in managing a bank’s risks are often
further danger that the reduction of identified risks is accompanied achieved already by pragmatic measures and instruments. A
by the increase of unidentified risks. Such a shift of the risks bank is well advised to follow the adage: review what we have,
obviously does not reduce the overall risk position of the bank. retain what has proven practicable and close specific gaps.
Risk management systems improved in this pragmatic way usually
A further important point must be considered in identifying the show quick results and justify the effort.
154 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 155
l What changes in the risk factors must be reckoned with in l Bank should have a risk management function with clearly
the future? defined duties that reports risk exposures directly to senior
management and the board of directors and are sufficiently
In the recent years and decades, research and practice have independent from the business line of the bank. Larger
made great strides in both these areas. complex banks should have units responsible for the design
and administration of the bank’s interest rate risk
As to the valuation methods, the problem in practice is how the management system.
newly developed theoretical methodologies can be so simplified
that an adequate of accuracy can be achieved at a reasonable
cost. The sensitivity measures used in practice, such as the Policies and procedures
duration are a result of such efforts at simplification. Decisive
for measurement quality is the appropriateness of the measure l It is essential that bank’s interest rate risk policies and
for each single risk position and for the desired degree of accuracy. procedures be clearly defined and consistent with the nature
The evaluation of the most appropriate method of valuation of and complexity of their activities. These policies should
classic banking transactions which contain implicit options. This address the bank’s exposures on a consolidated basis and
applies especially to variable rate mortgages and saving deposits. as appropriate, also at the level of individual affiliates.
In determining the change in the risk factors, two methods in l It is important that the banks identify the risks inherent in
particular have established themselves in practice: probability- new products and activities and ensure these are subject
based methods and scenario-based methods. of adequate procedures and controls before being introduced
or undertaken. Major hedging or risk management initiatives
should be approved in advance by the board or its appropriate
MANAGEMENT OF INTEREST RATE RISK
delegated committee.
l Bank must establish and enforce operating limits and other and off - balance sheet instruments:
practices that maintain exposures within levels consistent
l Appropriate boards and senior management oversight
with their internal policies.
l Banks should periodically conduct an independent review The board of directors has the ultimate responsibility for
of the adequacy and integrity of their risk management understanding the nature and the level of interest rate taken
processes. Such review should be available to relevant by the bank. The board should approve board business
supervisory authorities. strategies and significant policies that govern or influence
the interest rate risk of the bank. It should review the
overall objectives of the bank with regard to interest rate
Information for supervisory authorities
risk and should ensure the provision of clear guidance
regarding the level of interest rate risk acceptable to the
The banks need to furnish sufficient and timely information with
bank. The board should also approve policies and procedures
which to evaluate their level of interest rate risk. This information
that identify lines of authority and responsibility for managing
should take appropriate account of the range of maturities and
interest rate risk exposures.
currencies in each bank’s portfolio, as well as other relevant
factors, such as the distinction between trading and non-trading
Accordingly the board of directors is responsible for approving
activities.
the overall policies of the bank with respect to interest rate
risk and for ensuring that management takes the steps
Sound interest rate risk management practices necessary to identify, measure, monitor and control these
risks. The board or a specific committee of the timeliness
Sound interest rate risk management practices the application to allow it to understand and assess the performance of
of four basic elements in the management of assets, liabilities management in monitoring and controlling these risks in
158 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 159
compliance with the bank’s board approved policies, Such aggregate information as well as sufficient supporting management
reviews should periodically re-evaluate significant interest to assess the sensitivity of the institution to changes in market
rate risk policies and procedures as well as overall business conditions and other important risk factors.
strategies that affect the interest rate risk exposure of the
bank. Senior management should also review periodically the
organization’s interest rate risk management policies and
The board of directors should encourage discussions between procedures to ensure that they remain appropriate and sound.
its members and senior management—as well as between Senior management should also encourage and participate in
senior management and others in the bank—regarding the discussions with the members of the board and where appropriate
bank’s rate risk exposures and management process. Board risk measurement, reporting and management procedures.
member need nor have detailed technical knowledge of
complex financial instruments, legal issues, or of sophisticated Management should ensure that analysis and risk management
risk management techniques. They have the responsibility; activities related to interest rate risk are conducted by competent
however, to have risks incurred by the bank and that the staff with technical knowledge and experience consistent with
bank has personnel available who have the necessary the nature and scope of the bank’s activities and to accommodate
technical skills to control these risks. the temporary absence key personnel.
In order to carry out its responsibilities, the board of directors Senior management must ensure that the structure of the bank’s
in a bank should approve interest rate risk management business and the level of interest rate it assumes are effectively
policies and procedures, and should be informed regularly managed, that appropriate policies and available for evaluating
of the interest rate risk exposures of the bank. and controlling interest rate risk.
l Senior management Banks should establish a risk management function for monitoring
their interest rate risk. This function should provide reasonable
assurance that all activities and all aspects of interest rate risk
Senior management is responsible for ensuring that the
are covered by a bank’s risk management system. It should be
bank has adequate policies and procedures for managing
separated from and sufficiently independent of the business
interest rate risk on both a long-term and day-to–day basis
lines to avoid conflicts of interest and ensure adequate separation
and that maintains clear lines of authority and responsibility
of duties. The risk management function may be part of a more
for managing and controlling this risk.
general operation, audit, compliance, risk management or treasury
unit. Moreover, it should report risk exposures directly to both
Management is also responsible for maintaining:
senior level management and the board of directors. The personnel
charged with measuring and monitoring interest rate risk faced
l
l Appropriate limits on risks taking
throughout the bank. Compensation policies for these individuals
l
l Adequate systems and standards for measuring risks should be adequate to attract and retain personnel qualified to
assess the risk.
l
l A comprehensive interest rate risk reporting and interest
risk management review process Larger or more complex banks should have a unit for designing
and administering a bank’s interest rate risk management system.
l
l Effective internal controls The size and scope of such a unit should be in accordance with
the size and the structure of the bank and the complexity of its
Interest rate risk reports to senior management should provide transactions and commitments
160 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Asset - Liability Management 161
Banks should have a risk management function with clearly Interest rate risk monitoring and reporting :
defined duties that reports risk exposures directly to senior
management and the board of directors and is sufficiently
An accurate, informative and timely management information
independent from the business lines of the bank. Larger or more
system is essential for managing interest rate mix exposure,
complex banks should have units responsible for the design and
both to inform management and to support compliance with
administration of the bank’s interest rate management system.
board policy. Reporting of risk measures should be regular and
should clearly compare current exposures to policy limits. In
Banks should have clearly defined policies and procedures for
addition, past forecasts or risk estimates should compare with
limiting and controlling interest rate risk. These policies should
actual results to identify any modeling shortcomings.
address the bank’s exposures not only on a consolidated basis
but also, appropriate, at specific affiliates or other units of the
The board on regular basis should review reports detailing the
bank.
interest rate risk exposure of the bank. While the types off
reports prepared for the board and for various levels of management
Such policies and procedures should delineate lines of responsibility
will vary based on the interest rate risk profile, they should at
and accountability over interest rate risk management decisions
a minimum include the following :
and should clearly define authorized instruments, hedging strategies
and position- taking opportunities. Interest rate risk policies should l
l Summaries of the bank’s aggregate exposure.
also identify quantitative parameters that define that level of
interest rate risk policies should also identify quantitative l
l Reports demonstrating the bank’s compliance with policies
parameters that define the level of interest rate risk exposure. and limits.
Individual and / or committees responsible for interest rate risk
l
l Summaries of the findings of review of interest rate risk
management decisions should be clearly identified. In addition,
policies, procedures and the adequacy of the interest rate
management should define the specific procedures and approvals
risk- measurement system, including any findings of internal
necessary for exceptions to policies, limits and authorizations.
and external auditors and retained consultants.
of the bank’s board or top management. Under the going concern remains a significant disadvantage: volume limits cannot be
premise, this may under no circumstances exceed the bank’s aggregated to a risk limit for the entire bank.
risk capacity.
Where the link between the bank’s capacity to bear risk and the
The definition of risk appetite will only to a limited extent be limit system is not complete, the systems of limits can only
based on objective criteria. partially fulfill its objective. The aim must therefore be to make
possible the transition from volume to risk limits. This represents
a decisive step towards improving the limitation of risks.
Limit system should be critically examined as to
completeness and consistency
Effective risk monitoring starts with reporting and leads to measures
Once the bank has determined how much total risk it can bear,
Monitoring determines to what extent risk management goals
it faces the job of allocating this total to the individual risks,
have been attained and initiates necessary actions.
business areas and customers. The result is a limit system. Its
purpose is to assure that risk the bank engages in do not at nay
point in time exceed the bank’s defined risk appetite. Such As with every other kind of management reporting, reporting on
allocation requires that all risks are quantified appropriately and the risk situation will be appropriately tailored to the management
can be limited to set levels. level addressed. Only in this way can the bank make sure that
the information is, firstly, relevant for the proposed action, and
However, in practice not all risks can be quantified, or the secondly, that the information in fact reaches the persons
expense of quantifying them cannot be justified. Take the operating concerned.
risks, for example; they can be very significant in extent, but
can hardly be quantified. Therefore, non-quantifiable risks cannot Indispensable elements of risk, reporting are summarized data
be limited in amount and cannot be built directly into the limit comparing actual and plan, a brief analysis of the reasons for
system. The limitation of risk achieved with the risk limit system the variance and a list of problems. Optimal reporting requires
is therefore incomplete. that the reporting objectives be defined in advance as requirements.
One must define who must know what and when and who must
As a consequence, the limit for the bank as a whole must be deliver this information.One often observes in practice that the
set at an appropriate lower level. Otherwise, there is a danger senior supervisory body is burdened with information related to
that the risk appetite will be exceeded because of the non- daily business and is thereby induced to intervene directly. Direct
quantifiable risks. intervention by the bank’s top body should, however, be limited
to exceptional cases. Its primary concern should lie elsewhere,
The bank should encourage increased awareness of the assumption namely to review and ensure the correct functioning of the risk
of these risks among its employees. A clear segregation of management system.
responsibilities and duties is called for.
A further difficulty lies in the fact that problem are detected but
Limitation by means of a risk total for the bank a whole further do not induce the necessary reactions. The reason for this often
requires that the various risks be uniformly measured and limited. lies in that - the decision-makers underestimate the possible
Most limits systems are inconsistent in themselves. They often measures available to them. For example, the view is widespread
represent a combination of volume and risk limits. Even where that one can hardly do anything to remedy an unsatisfactorily
the volume limits are closely related to the inherent risk, there credit portfolio.
164 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Settlement Risk and Continued Linked Settlement (CLS) 165
forward and foreign exchange swap contracts is US$1,230 billion. (irrevocable and unconditional). In the given background and
Since each trade could involve two or more payments, daily developments thereafter do we find a sense behind the Continued
settlement flows are likely to amount, in aggregate, to a multiple Linked Service as a pragmatic solution provider and viable to
of this figure especially on standard expiration dates. Even plug gaps in settlement risk.
more frightening, a report prepared by the Committee on Payment
and Settlement Systems (CPSS) of the central banks of the G- Retrospect
10 countries maintains that a bank’s maximum foreign exchange
settlement exposure could equal, or even surpass, the amount
Continuous Linked Settlement (CLS) : The continuos linked
receivable for three days’ worth of trades, so that at any point
settlement (CLS) project was initiated to eliminate foreign exchange
in time, the amount at risk to even a single counterparty could
settlement risk in participating currencies. It will initially focus
exceed a bank’s capital.
on five currencies – US dollar, Euro, Sterling, Swiss franc,
Canadian dollar, to be followed by the Japanese yen and the
Bankhaus Herstatt : - Failure
Australian dollar. The project hopes to pretty much eliminate the
systemic risks posed by forex settlement activities. But perhaps
The most well-known example of settlement risk is the failure
more significantly, CLS also represents a completely new way
of a small German bank, Bankhaus Herstatt in 1974. On 26 t h
of doing business, since its payment-versus-payment mechanism
June 1974, the firm’s banking license was withdrawn, and it was
ensures that payments for each leg of a forex trade settle
ordered into liquidation during the banking day; but after the
simultaneously through a bilateral arrangement between two
close of the German interbank payments system (3:30pm local
settlement members of the service. This replaces existing practice
time). Some of Herstatt Bank’s counterparties had irrevocably
where each leg settles separately, often in different time zones
paid Deutschemarks to the bank during the day but before the
and through multiple correspondent banking relationships.
banking license was withdrawn. They had done so in good faith,
believing they would receive US dollars later in the same day
in New York. But it was only 10:30 am in New York when CLS – Testing
Herstatt’s banking business was terminated. Herstatt’s New York
correspondent bank suspended all outgoing US dollar payments In gestation since the formation of CLS Services (CLSS) in July
from Herstatt’s account, leaving its counterparties fully exposed 1997, CLS Bank is finally approaching crunch time it is currently
to the value of the Deutschemarks they had paid the German undergoing integration testing at our CLSs shareholders level :
bank earlier on in the day. This type of settlement risk, in which Barclays Bank, HSBC, UBS and JP Morgan. Operational trials
one party in a foreign exchange trade pays out the currency it since begun in March 2000 involving 16 shareholders. The system
sold but does not receive the currency it bought, is sometimes is scheduled to finally go live in October 2000. CLSs anticipates
called Herstatt risk. It is however an inappropriate term since it that by the end of 2001, a further 44 or more participants will
has materialised in other cases and under differing circumstances. be ready to go.
The collapse of US investment bank Drexel Burnham Lambert
in 1990, Bank of Credit and Commerce International the following CLS –16 shareholding Banks
year and Barings in 1995 are all excellent case study material
for ‘Herstatt’ risk. The more appropriate name for ‘Herstatt’ risk The 16 shareholding banks aiming to be involved in the system’s
is foreign exchange settlement or cross-currency settlement launch are : ABN Amro Bank, Bank of America, Bank of New
risk. The amount at risk equals the full amount of currency York, Bank of Tokyo – Mitsubishi, Bank One, Barclays Bank,
purchased and lasts from the time that a payment instruction Chase Manhattan Bank, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce,
(for the currency sold) can no longer be cancelled unilaterally Citibank, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, Hypovereinsbank, JP Morgan,
until the time the currency purchased is received with finality Morgan Stanley, Paribas and UBS.
168 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Settlement Risk and Continued Linked Settlement (CLS) 169
Going deep in the mechanism obvious question would be what challenges for financial institutions. The CLS mechanism demands
to achieve in critical mass ? a whole range of new systems and operational changes if
participants are to meet its strict processing requirement s and
CLS’s success or failure will hinge on whether the system attracts tight deadlines. Human resources will also be significantly affected.
a critical mass of forex transactions. Lack of volume led to the
demise of Echo, and earlier industry initiative at reducing settlement CLS promises other benefits aside from the near-elimination of
risk by using multilateral netting techniques. Consequently, CLS settlement risk. According to Bank of New York (BoNY) CLS
has been designed to attract significant proportion of transaction will simplify the liquidity management process associated with
volumes as quickly as possible. If all CLS’s shareholders used forex settlement activities. Their service will also lead to greater
the service to process all their forex trades in participating efficiency in the use of credit limits for forex dealing, since
currencies, more than 30 % of daily global forex volume would settlement members will effectively underwrite transactions
be achieved. processed on behalf of user members or third parties.
At present, CLS’s shareholders comprise some 63 financial CLS’s net funding mechanism will also reduce the number of
institutions in 14 countries. CLS Bank will have three primary payment risk, enhancing payment efficiency and lowering
classes of participation : settlement members will hold a single transaction processing costs. Monitoring of forex settlement
multi-currency accounts and will be able to provide settlement exposures will also be improved, since the bank will provide a
service to both other classes. Transactions authorised by a single source of near real-time information on such exposures.
settlement members will be treated as that member’s own
obligations to CLS Bank, whether conducted on its own or on
CLS – Timing of fundamental criteria
another’s behalf.
However, everything may not be rosy in CLS garden. Though Settlement and user members may have to extend the working
CLS brings benefits in terms of reducing forex settlement risk, day to support messaging, funding and settlement activities
easing liquidity, management and lowering transaction processing during the early part of the CLS settlement day. “Because the
costs, getting the system up and running involves considerable payment schedule is published at midnight, operational staff
170 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Settlement Risk and Continued Linked Settlement (CLS) 171
must be present to deal with any discrepancies or problems.” settlement members or user members. Third parties will also
need confirm transactions with their counterparties.
l Credit risk
l Market risk
l Investing in a security of an issuer through bank’s treasury agencies as well as reputed international financial magazines
l The economic region to which the bank belongs country, as the parameter. For the purpose of this exercise the
country rating assigned by the reputed agency “Thomas Bankwatch”
l The specific country rating of its home currency can also be considered and adopted.
176 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Exposure Management 177
wherever available. In case of banks rated by Standard & Poor of foreign exchange dealing operations as the value at risk on
the financial strength rating can be adopted. a daily settlement basis which can be limited to the maximum
possible fluctuation in the exchange rate. While fluctuation would
normally be within 5% levels on any single day, a weight double
Total Capital
that figure of 5% can be assigned as a matter of abundant
caution. Simultaneously, it would ensure smooth functioning of
Globally banks build the absolute quantum of the correspondent
a bank’s foreign exchange dealing operations as well as its
exposure limits as a weighted fraction of the counter-party’s
expected growth in the year to come.
audited networth as on date. In the exercise we can adopt the
total capital of the correspondent bank which includes the sum
of shareholder’s equity and supplement capital. Supplement capital Taking a hypothetical case for e.g. Barclays bank
includes revaluation reserves, Long-term subordinated debt,
Region - Western Europe
subordinated capital debt ( dated & Perpetual ) and other supplement
capital, such as Capital certificates, participation- certificates Country - U.K.
and limited life preferred stock. The data can be culled out from
the published annual reports/financials. Country rating - AAA
A A 0.75
A 0.50
B B 0.15
Every financial corporation who trades in foreign exchange,
securities and derivatives are always exposed to the financial
Thus the exposure shown on above example will transform itself risk of the traded underlying. Financial risk can be defined as
into the following amounts if the bank currently enjoys any of the possible loss due to changes in the market rate of the
the ratings: underlying. Managing of such risks becomes even more important
when trading becomes corporations’ major source of revenue
Limit Rating Applicable Actual MPE MPE earner, if not managed prudently, it can have the potential of
15% of Assumed Multiplier Limit Forex Trade systemic risk which can break down the entire market.
Total Dealing 50% Finance
Capital Of sub-limit Weight
On a Weight 100% Taking it such into consideration, world over regulators have
Of 10% prescribed several tools for managing market rate risks such as
capital adequacy norms for charging margins. The quantifying
2,719 AAA 1 2,719 13,600 1,360 and managing such risks came to be known as “Value at Risk”.
2,719 BBB 0.25 680 3,400 340 Value at Risk can be defined as the expected maximum loss or
the worst loss given:
2,719 B B 0.15 408 2,040 204
VaR’s popularly aggregates several components of market risk credit risk and operational risks. Some even suppose that all
into a single number. the risks of an organization should be summarized with a single
risk measure.
Value at risk (VaR.) is a statistical measure which is used
extensively for measuring the market risk of portfolios of assets
Limitations
or liabilities. Value at risk in numerical terms can be defined as
follows:
It is, however, only a tool. Like all tools, it has limitations—
limitations that must be fully understood by any organization
The amount of money such that a portfolio is expected to lose
that might use VaR, actually estimating correct Value at Risk
less than that amount of money 99 days out of 100.
can be a challenge, but with the advent of Information Technology
such challenges have been greatly reduced.
The above definition is for 1-day value at risk measured at the
99% confidence level. Other horizons or confidence levels may
be used in practice. For example, if a portfolio’s 1-week, 95% Critics suggest that VaR may be ineffective for assessing risks
value at risk is $2MM, then the portfolio would be expected to other than market risk or that it fails even with market risk.
lose less than $2MM over 95 weeks out of 100. Such an estimate Others have noted disturbing inconsistencies between risk estimates
would be based upon the portfolio’s current composition and produced by different implementations of VaR.
Various methods are used, to calculate VaR including: Risk is exposure to uncertainty.
VaR : A Global Acceptance Let’s try to quantify our risk in this example. To characterize the
risk, we need to describe the uncertainty as well as our exposure
Value-at-Risk (VaR) is becoming somewhat of a revolution. Around to that uncertainty. Obviously, our exposure is $100. That is the
the globe, organizations are racing to implement the new amount we stand to lose. But what is our uncertainty—what is
technology. Experts propose extending VaR to other risks, including the probability that we will lose $100?
182 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Value at Risk 183
If we say it is one chance in six, I am sorry. We are wrong. day a trader takes on a sizable long position in the Japanese
Whenever we try to quantify risk, we are describing our own yen—exceeding his/her risk limit. He knows the markets and
understanding of a situation. Often, there will be aspects of a is aware of a combination of market factors—perhaps central
situation that we are simply unaware of. It is one thing to not banks are intervening in the markets—that are going to drive
know the answer to a question. It is another matter to not even the yen up in the short-term. He considers the position appropriate.
know the question exists. His risk manager disagrees. He doesn’t know about central
bank intervention—and he calls him on it.
Returning to our example, we still don’t know our probability of
losing $100. It is not one in ten. We are aware of the possibility, Reviewing the VaR number that indicates his limit violation, the
but it is difficult to place a number on that risk. Risk is subjective. trader retorts:
So what does this mean if we want to measure the financial “The model is wrong. I know the markets. I know what the
risks of an organization? To find out, let’s look at how risks are central banks are doing. I’m on the phone with FX professionals
quantified. It is a four step process: all day long. This VaR model is just a bunch of formulas. It
doesn’t know the yen is going up, but I do. There is zero risk
l
l Define the risk to be measured in my long position because any other market position, under
these circumstances, would be ridiculous.”
l
l Agree on a model for that risk
l
l Specify a risk measure that is compatible with that model Who is right, and who is wrong? The trader knows the markets.
It’s his job. By the same token, what is the point in having a
l
l Estimate the value of that measure implied by the model
risk manager who is going to be overruled by every trader with
a market view?
For example, the process might be as follows:
1) Risk: market risk of a specified portfolio Some might perceive that the answer is to build a better VaR
model—one that somehow captures the trader’s intuitive
2) Risk model: market variables are assumed to be jointly understanding of central bank intervention. Others may cling to
normally distributed with specified volatilities and correlations the existing VaR model, claiming that efficient markets and no
arbitrage conditions ensure its ultimate validity.
3) Risk measure: one-day 90% VaR
We cannot manage market risk by having a risk manager forming— VaR - Check and Balances
and then enforcing—his own subjective opinions about the risking
of a trader’s position. This would be unfair to the trader, and it
Finally, VaR should be viewed as a necessary but not sufficient
would reduce the risk manager to being, in effect, just another
procedure for controlling risk. It must be supported by limits and
trader.
controls, by an independent risk management functions.
l
l That of the model
l
l That of the traders
The question is: How can we use the objective VaR model to
manage the risk taking process, but not place arbitrary—or even
dangerous—restrictions upon the activities of traders? The answer
is risk limits. These represent explicit authority for traders to
take positions that differ from the model’s perception of the
markets. Risk limits enable an organization to manage risk
by limiting traders to taking positions within a specified range.
The role of the VaR model is to objectively define what that
range is. The trader’s role is to select the optimal position within
the range. In this context, VaR is just a tool for delimiting a set
of acceptable portfolios. We can call it a “risk measure” if we
like, but we don’t have to.
186 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Role of Audit in Forex Operation 187
Chapter
14
Role of Audit
in
Forex Operation
Internal audit :
The officers drafted for internal audit are expected to have the
requisite level of understanding of the subject, expertise, knowledge
and experience before taking up audit function.
Concurrent audit :
System audit :
Chapter
Special audit of the Treasury and the systems in operation 15
has to be conducted at periodic intervals by an officer well
experienced and with requisite level of expertise in the subject.
The areas tested during this audit should include:
Technical Analysis
In Dealing room procedures to ensure that all deals executed
are promptly captured by the accounting system.
- A Tool to Forecasting
I. Reconciliation of foreign exchange positions between the
dealers’ records and the accounting system.
II. Review of incoming deal confirmations Market movement result from a complex web of fact, emotion
and money. Fact speaks. Emotion speak money speaks. The
III. Full scrutiny of sample deals . key is to determine how to get one’s arms around all these
factors, which are no longer of a local, but a global in nature.
Compliance with the requisite requirements is to be checked An effort is made in this chapter to study the technical analysis
at irregular, appropriate intervals by the system auditors. The of currencies, its impact and different methods.
main audit areas listed below should be subjected to a risk-
oriented audit at least once a year.
Introduction
l Exposure limit system
Technical analysis is the study of historical patterns of price
l Determination and reconciliation of position and results. behaviour and volume of trading that takes place on the forex
market. The input to the technical analysis is the sum of total
l Change in the EDP systems, if any.
of statistical information produced by the market, most of which
l Completeness, correctness and timeliness of the internal is in terms of volume of forex market transaction and level of
reporting system. quotes over a historical period.
l Functional separation
Technical analysis has to branches ; charting and trend analysis
the first, charting involves examining the history of price and
l Degree to which transactions are in line with market conditions.
volume movement in an attempt to discover pattern of movement
l Confirmations and counter confirmations. that will be repated in the future. Trend analysis is the mathematical
analysis of the historical price and volume data, in an attempt
l Stop loss triggered. to determine the under lying trends, which may be hidden by
more superficial price volatility.
l Skill of dealers to operate in a highly volatile market and
or managing intervention process by the Central bank.
Technical analysis is based on three fundamental premises;-
time. The collective impact of all factors is known, however, forward market through the currency trading department of major
via the price mechanism. international banks.
l Prices move in one of three trends, upward, downward or Technical analysis is done from four point of view:-
sideways. Technical analysis tries to trend, so that one
can join the trend and profit from it.
1. Exchange Rate — c h a n g e i n e x c h a n g e r a t e reflect changes
in dealers attitude and demand for and supply of securities.
l History repeats itsself time and time again. Efficient markets
and random- walk theory suggest that there is no correlation 2. Time — the degree of movement in exchange rate is a
between the past and present. Beliver in technical analysis function of time. The longer it takes for a revesal in trend,
think otherwise. the greater the changes in exchange rate would follow.
From a speculative point of view, there are only six currencies compareed with corporate and government entities.
that are actively traded out side the bank market; Canadian and
Australian dollars, British pounds, Swiss franc, German mark Forecasting is not a science.It is an art. A short list of popular
and Japanese yen all six are listed on the International Monetary inputs to the process follows:-
Market (IMM) in chicago and the last four also listed on the
l observed support and resistance levels
London International Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE) in the
United Kingdom.
l relevant economic releases
These and other currencies can also be bought or sole in the l interest rates and forecast of future interest rates.
192 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Technical Analysis - A Tool to Forecasting 193
l pending deals hand, since relatively little trade is transacted between the united
states & switzerland, the changes in the swiss franc would have
l political events, politics and statements only a marginal effect on a TW index. TW indexes are constructed
by several institutions, including Morgan guarantee bank, bank
Market sentiments of england, and the ferderal reserve.
l elections, budgets,statements
Another technique which has proved useful in analysing the
l taxation overall technical structure of a currency is to compare its TW
index with an advance decline (AD) line. the comparison between
l fiscal policy AD line and TW index is useful because the two series do not
always move togather. when they are moving in concert the
Economic fundamentals prevailing trend is reaffirmed, but when they move in opposite
direction or one does’nt confirms the other, a warning of a
l economic activity probable reversal in trend is given.
l balance of payments
The discussion has so far be limited to U.S. dollar, but there is
l inflation nothing to preclude the construction of similar indicators for the
other currencies. indeed, it is useful to chart the TW indexes of
Others the major currencies as an important starting point for their
analysis.
l development in other market such as bond
the cash market and short in the futures ( i.e., you would have any calculations. Each candlestick represents one period (e.g.,
a hedge ). however, because the sterling money market instrument day) of data. The Figure displays the elements of a candle.
would be paying 15%, you would earn additional 6.5% om your
money. there is a catch, however: other people have thought of Candlestick charts dramatically illustrate changes in the underlying
the same idea and the sterling you sell for 1 year future delivery supply/demand lines,because candlesticks display the relationship
is priced 6.5% below sterling for spot or cash delivery. In other between the open, high, low, and closing prices, they cannot be
words, a discount is built into the price of the currency to displayed on underlying that only have closing prices, nor were
compensate for the interest rate differential. they intended to be displayed on underlying that lack opening
prices. If you want to display a candlestick chart on a security
This market pricing mechanism can be turned to the advantage that does not have opening prices, We suggest that you use the
of the technician, for it a normal spot cross crrency relationship previous day’s closing prices in place of opening prices. This
is look ing strong technically and the interest - rate differential technique can create candlestick lines and patterns .
is also positive, the possibilities of a profitable trade or investment
are substantially increased. Highest price (upper shadow)
The importance of this market pricing mechanisim from a Opening or closing price which ever is
technical aspects is that if you can isolate a trend reversal is higher
unadjusted cross crrency rate and there is a significsnt interest
rate differential, you can achieve a form of build in insurance “real body” filled – in if the close is lower
against whipsaws. & vice- versa
The major problems occurs when if you are leveraged and the Opening or closing price which ever is
interest rate differntial gets substantially wider as the positions lower
goes against you in that situation the currency itself declines,
and because the differential widens, the discount for delivery
Lowest price (lower shadow)
also widens.
Now, let us study some of the selective technical analysis tools The interpretation of candlestick charts is based primarily on
and Indicators. patterns. The most popular patterns are explained below.
Japanese Candlestick
Bullish Patterns
Overview
A couple of centuries back, the Japanese developed a method Long white (empty) line . This is a
of technical analysis to analyze the price of agriculture contracts. bullish line. It occurs when prices open
This technique is called candlestick charting. near the low and close significantly
higher near the period’s high.
Candlestick charts display the open, high, low, and closing prices
in a format similar to a modern-day bar-chart. Candlestick charts
are simply a new way of looking at prices, they don’t involve
196 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Technical Analysis - A Tool to Forecasting 197
Reversal Patterns
Bearish engulfing lines (tsutsuni). T h i s
pattern is strongly bearish if it occurs
after asignificant up-trend (i.e., it acts
as a reversal pattern). It occurs when Long-legged doji. This line often
a small bullish (empty) line is engulfed signifies a turning point. It occurs when
by a large bearish (filled-in) line. the open and close are the same, and
the range between the high and low is
relatively large.
Shooting star. This pattern suggests Star. Stars indicate reversals. A star
a minor reversal when it appears after is a line with a small real body that
a rally. The star’s body must appear occurs after a line with a much larger
near the low price and the line should real body, where the real bodies do not
have a long upper shadow. overlap. The shadows may overlap.
200 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Technical Analysis - A Tool to Forecasting 201
Spinning tops . T h e s e a r e n e u t r a l l i n e s .
They occur when the distance between Indicators
the high and low, and the distance
between the open and close, are Relative Strength Index (RSI)
relatively small.
Definition :
One interpretation is that buy signals are triggered when RSI is stochastics. When calculating fast stochastics, the raw value of
in an oversold (20-30) area, potentially meaning that the stock %K is the point at which the current price lies within the historical
is about to reach its low for this trend, and sell signals are price range of its given period, and the value of %D is the
triggered when RSI is in an overbought (70-80) area, potentially moving average of %K over a given number of periods.
signaling a market top.
When calculating slow stochastics, the value of %K slow is the
A second mode of interpretation is to look for support and %D-period moving average of the point at which the current
resistance lines or common chart formations such as a head price lies within the historical price range of its given period (or
and shoulders in the RSI itself, indicating potential reversals raw %K), and the value of %D slow is the moving average of
that the stock chart may not. the %K slow over a given number of periods.
A third mode of interpretation is to recognize divergences in the An oscillator refers to a momentum or rate-of-change indicator
RSI, such as when the price is moving up when the RSI is that is usually valued from 2 to +1 or 0 percent to 100 percent.
moving down, or vice versa. This can mean that the price is
going to “correct” and move in the direction of the RSI.
Interpretation :
A fourth mode of interpretation for the RSI is to view it as a
bullish or bearish signal when it crosses 50. When the RSI There are several major interpretations for stochastics, which
crosses above 50 it can be considered bullish, and when it may be more beneficial when combined with other indicators
crosses below 50 it can be considered bearish. that discern whether a market is in a trending or cyclical rotation
mode.
Stochastics
One interpretation (and the one Dr. Lane believes to be most
Definition : important) is to look for a divergence between %D and the
price. An overbought market occurs when %D makes a series
of lower highs while the price makes a series of higher highs.
The Stochastics oscillator, a popular and dynamic indicator
An oversold market occurs when the price makes a series of
developed by Dr. George Lane, is based on the premise that
lower lows while %D makes a series of higher lows.
during an upward trading market, prices tend to close near their
high, and during a downward trading market, prices tend to
close near their low. Stochastics measures at what point the A second interpretation is to receive signals based on a crossover
price of a security is within the entire price range of the security of the two lines. When the %K line rises above the %D line it
over a given period. is considered bullish, and when the %K line falls below the %D
line, it is considered bearish. You can eliminate some false
The stochastics indicator is plotted as two lines, %K and %D. signals by using only the signals that correspond to the direction
The range of the stochastics is between 0 and 100. With a price of the intermediate- to long-term trends.
range of 10 to 20, 10 would be given a 0 designation, 15 would
be at 50, and a price of 20 would be at the 100th percentile. The A third interpretation is that a buy signal is generated when
values of the stochastics calculations are dependent on the either line dips below and then rises above 20, and a bearish
parameters given to %K and %D. signal is generated when either line rises above and then dips
below 80. Many investors combine several of these interpretations
There are two types of stochastics: fast stochastics and slow as a major criterion used for making trading decisions. d i c a t o r s
204 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Technical Analysis - A Tool to Forecasting 205
While Williams’ %R is a very powerful indicator used by many underlying’s price with the underlying’s price itself. A buy signal
market technicians, the following should be noted when using is generated when the underlying’s price rises above its moving
this indicator. Williams’ %R does have some tendencies to be average and a sell signal is generated when the underlying’s
a leading indicator (in other words, to bottom out or peak before price falls below its moving average.
the price does). But some suggest that one might not consider
buying in an oversold market until the price actually begins to This type of moving average trading system is not intended to
turn upward, or sell in an overbought market until the price get you in at the exact bottom nor out at the exact top. Rather,
actually begins to turn downward. This is due to potentially it is designed to keep you in line with the underlying’s price
prolonged overbought/oversold periods. It suggests that %R should trend by buying shortly after the underlying’s price bottoms and
be confirmed with other indicators that may be able to selling shortly after it tops.
distinguish between the two circumstances.
The critical element in a moving average is the number of time
The optimal period for %R is the cycle length of the underlying, periods used in calculating the average. The key is to find a
although periods of 10 and 20 are also commonly used. moving average that will be consistently profitable. The most
popular moving average is the 39-week (or 200-day) moving
average. This moving average has an excellent track record in
Moving Averages
timing the long-term market cycles.
Introduction
The length of a moving average should fit the market cycle you
A Moving Average is an indicator that shows the average value wish to follow. For example if you determine that a underlying
of a underlying’s price over a period of time. When calculating has a 40-day peak to peak cycle, the ideal moving average
a moving average, a mathematical analysis of the underlying’s length would be 21 days calculated using the following formula:
206 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Technical Analysis - A Tool to Forecasting 207
Long Term 100-200 days For example, to calculate a 21-day moving average of USD/
INR: First, you would add USD/INR ‘s closing prices for the
most recent 21 days. Next, you would divide that sum by 21;
You can convert a daily moving average quantity into a weekly
this would give you the average price of USD/INR over the
moving average quantity by dividing the number of days by 5
preceding 21 days. You would plot this average price on the
(e.g., a 200-day moving average is almost identical to a 40-
chart. You would perform the same calculation tomorrow: add up
week moving average). To convert a daily moving average quantity
the previous 21 days’ closing prices, divide by 21, and plot the
into a monthly quantity, divide the number of days by 21 (e.g.,
resulting figure on the chart.
a 200-day moving average is very similar to a 9-month moving
average, because there are approximately 21 trading days in a
month). Exponential
One thing to keep in mind is the shorter the time period, the Because most analyst feel more comfortable working with time
more reactionary a moving average becomes. A 10-day moving periods, rather than with percentages, the exponential percentage
average is much more sensitive to moves than a 50-day moving can be converted into an approximate number of days. For
average. However, a shorter period also means that you may example, a 9% moving average is equal to a 21.2 time period
have a greater number of false moves within an existing trend, (rounded to 21) exponential moving average.
what is considered “market noise” or a “whipsaw.”
Formula :
Calculation
The formula for an exponential moving average is as follows:
The following sections explain how to calculate moving averages
of a underlying’s price using the various calculation techniques. Exponential Percentage = 2/Time Period + 1
208 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Technical Analysis - A Tool to Forecasting 209
Therefore, a 50-day EMA will have a 3.9 percent exponential more sensitive the smoothing constant used in the moving average
average. .039 = 2/50 + 1 This means that the most recent day calculation. Sensitivity is increased by giving more weight given
will be weighted 3.9 percent of the value of the EMA. For a 50- to the current data.
day simple moving average, each day has precisely a 2-percent
weight.
Most moving average calculation methods are unable to
compensate for trading range versus trending markets. During
Triangular trading ranges (when prices move sideways in a narrow range)
shorter term moving averages tend to produce numerous false
Triangular moving averages place the majority of the weight on signals. In trending markets (when prices move up or down over
the middle portion of the price series. They are actually double- an extended period) longer term moving averages are slow to
smoothed simple moving averages. The periods used in the react to reversals in trend. By automatically adjusting the
simple moving averages varies depending on if you specify an smoothing constant, a variable moving average is able to adjust
odd or even number of time periods. its sensitivity, allowing it to perform better in both types of
markets.
2 2 * 24.00 = 48.00
5. Again using the value from Step #3 (i.e., 7) calculate a
simple moving average of the moving average calculated
3 3 * 29.00 = 87.00
in Step #4 (i.e., a moving average of a moving average).
4 4 * 28.00 = 112.00
Variable
5 5 * 32.00 = 160.00
A variable moving average is an exponential moving average
that automatically adjusts the smoothing percentage based on
the volatility of the data series. The more volatile the data, the Totals : 15 134.00 = 449.00 /15 = 29.93
210 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Correspondent Banking 211
Interpretation:
Chapter
There are two major ways moving averages are used. 16
First, the moving average can be compared to the price. If the
price rises above the moving average it can be considered a
bullish signal, and if the price dips below the moving average it Correspondent
can be considered a bearish signal. This “crossover” or “penetration”
will not be at the top or bottom, but normally shortly after the
Banking
price bottoms out or tops out.
Historical perspective
Correspondent banking services include: Swift authenticated keys and Bilateral keys or Telex Testing
keys and other control documents are exchanged between the
- Clearing house functions. two banks including agency arrangement. For such services
banks quote strategic pricing and tactical pricing depending on
- Payments and collections. the business ties, volume and relationship.
- Credit services – loans and placements. With the advent of the Euro there has been a dramatic effect
on correspondent b a n k i n g , a s a f t e r 1st January 1999, banks are
- Foreign exchange services. able to offer a service whereby non-European banks can open
a single account in Europe to clear all their transactions
- Travel services.
denominated in the Euro. Banks will have fewer counterparts
and they will choose only the best based on service standards,
- Cash management facilities.
activity service cost and other relationship factors.
- Automated balance reporting .
- Securities facilities.
- Insurance trust.
Correspondent banks are not only customers but in the main are
an essential cornerstone in the provision of international banking
services for all other customers of the bank. It is essential
therefore to maintain an efficient and cordial working relationship.
The relationship can be :
l Account based.
l Non-account based.
214 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT SWIFT Operations 215
Chapter
17
SWIFT
Operations
Background
About 239 banks from Europe, North America and Asia came
together and decided to form a non-profit co-operative society
named Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication
(SWIFT) in May 1973 at Brussels (Belgium) mainly with the
clear objectives to standardise the funds transfer, delivery of
payment instructions, enhance the security level of such
transactions, cut down the cost of message transmission Payment/
Settlement System round the clock, seven days a week and
216 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT SWIFT Operations 217
fifty two weeks a year. In fact SWIFT also advises its users to Of these Message Categories 1,2,4,7 and 9 are in formatting
follow the same in response in 1977 and by the end of the year while sending messages from designated branches. Except
15 founder countries with 586 banks were live on the SWIFT Category - 9 messages, all other Categories used by the designated
system. Over the years, the society evolved to meet the rapid branches (1,2,4 and 7) require authentication On the other hand
changes well within the international financial environment. SWIFT all messages of these categories viz., 1,2,4 and 7 received
has not only added new dimensions as under but also provided through SWIFT network are authentic and need not be separately
the forum within which institutions around the world met in order tested. Messages in these categories can be sent to only those
to resolve international financial issues relating to the activity banks with which there was a bilateral agreement to that effect
and to ensure that trade and finance is conducted troublesfree known as Bilateral Key Exchange (BKE). Category 9 messages
and swiftly. require no authentication and can be sent/received to/by any
SWIFT member (blue-inked codes in Bank Identifier Code Directory).
SWIFT provides Bank Identifier Code (BIC) directory is supplied by SWIFT.
5 Securities
Category 4
6 Precious Metals & Syndications
MT 400 - Advice of Payment
7 Documentary Credits & Guarantees
MT 705 - Pre-Advice of a Documentary Credit are automated and require minimal manual intervention. STP is
one where there is no need to handle the messages manually
MT 707 - Amendment to a Documentary Credit and thereby ensures faster processing and reduction in costs.
Using BIC codes wherever possible (instead of typing the full
MT 730 - Acknowledgement address of the banks in the fields 57D/56D); usage of Field 72
only with allowed code words etc., will help in STP.
MT 734 - Advice of Refusal
MT 756 - Advice of Reimbursement related reference of our reply (Field 21) should contain the
transaction reference of the received message (Field 20 of other
MT 760 - Guarantee bank), so that messages can be identified easily and passed on
to the respective desks. In automated systems usage of these
fields helps in data message matching.
Category 9
(Mis) Use of Field 72 (Sender to Receiver Information)
MT 986 - Status Report
Common Group Messages In remittances (MT 100,202,203) this field when used should
always be adhered to the correct coding rules.
n92- Request for Cancellation
Most Commonly used words are l Ensure ‘ACK’ Copy of each message sent which is the
proof of the message that has been transmitted. ‘NAK’
/ b e n /- instruction to beneficiary
represents that the network has not accepted the message
/ a c c /- instruction to the account with institution sent because of improper formatting, and the message
again needs to be sent after proper formatting. Since ‘NAK’ed
/int/ - instruction to the intermediary bank etc.
messages are extra charged users to avoid ‘NAK’s as far
as possible.
(For elaborations/details reference to message standards is
suggested)
l Pass on the messages to the respective branches directly,
in case they have been sent to the wrong addressee (using
BIC Codes wrong SWIFT Code e.g. VYSAINBBNPT in place of
VYSAINBBMDV)
Bank Identifier Code (BIC) is an eight or eleven-digit code assigned
to each SWIFT registered financial institution. The first four l See that your Overseas Correspondent Banks use your
letters of the code represent the name of the bank, next two correct and full SWIFT Code, so the addressee can directly
letters the country code and the next two location code. Last receive those messages. For it banks can include in their
three letters in an eleven digit BIC represent the branch code, letterhead their exclusive SWIFT code.
as well.
SWIFT in India
Utilizing BIC Directory is useful not only for referring SWIFT
Codes, but also for the Cut Off times of each country, Country
Turning the pages of history we find that the Indian Bank’s
Codes etc. It is updated quarterly by the SWIFT.
Association (IBA)/Reserve Bank of India, CMC and Mahanagar
Telephone Nigam Ltd. and member banks took the initiative in
Some Do’s 1982. To start SWIFT in India it took more than ten years to
translate dreams to reality when SWIFT was formally inaugurated
l Ensure that the queues RTSQ, TBVQ, TBAQ, REJQ are on 2 nd December 1991 as a result of persistent efforts by IBA.
empty before shutting your system down so that no message Mr.Richard Frohlich the then Chairman of Board of Directors,
is left in the queue inadvertently. SWIFT made himself available to Banking Industry in India.
222 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT SWIFT Operations 223
Remarks.
Increasingly, institutions are under pressure to reduce costs,
better manage risk and improve service. One of the most attractive
SWIFT charges that have to be debited to branches are arrived
solutions is to be able to process messages straight through
at from this table.
(STP) from one end of the transaction chain to the other.
Periodical Register, showing charges levied on branches for Inspite of elaborate disaster recovery plans something may still
transmitting their messages. Register also gives details regarding fail to work. The purpose of every disaster recovery plan is to
the total number of messages sent during the period under minimize impact of the most unavoidable disaster. A bank may
consideration and type of messages sent. be forced to give value dates on a particular day. There could
be many reasons for this and some could be beyond control of
the bank such as war, general power failure, strikes etc. However
General: -
it is suggested that the banks do make disaster recovery plans
wherever it is within their control. Some of the situations can
SWIFT Center LogBook: - Registering the time the Center was be: (I) Electric power/Air conditioning, (ii) Hardware (iii) Systems
opened and closed each day. and application software (iv) Telecom equipment and lines dedicated
leased or dial up (v) Personnel. It is admitted that if something
is to go wrong, it will go wrong and at the most inopportune
System Log Book: - Gives details for Upgradation Software
time. Such events can be remedied with a little pro-active disaster
loaded date and also Backup taken date and period for which
planning to reduce the impact.
taken.
REPORTING SYSTEM : How the banks will really balance the issues of round-the-clock
performance with round-the-world security.
1.ELC Register showing the following details: -
Glossary
Actuals
All or Nothings
Accreting Swap
Arbitrage
Matching the amounts of assets and liabilities by term and Barrier Options
interest rate type. Financial institutions carry out asset-liability
management when they match the maturity of their deposits These options operate in the same way as standard options,
with the length of their loan commitments to keep from being except that payout or receipt only occurs if certain thresholds
adversely affected by rapid changes in interest rates. in the related reference rate or index are or are not exceeded
during the exercise period. Barrier options include Knock-in options
and Knock-out options.
At-the-Market
At-the-Money
Benchmarking
An option whose exercise price is equal to the market price of
Comparing information of one entity to like information of another
the underlying stock, index or other security.
entity or composite group for the purpose of determining areas
for potential improvement and to identify the best practices.
Average-Style (or Asian) Options
Black-Scholes Formula
The payoff of Average-Style options is based on the average
price of the underlying interest over a period relative to the An option valuation formula based on the principle that an option
strike price. This contrasts with American and European style can be priced by combining it with its underlying asset into a
options which pay off based on a prices as at a single date riskless hedge portfolio.
relative to the strike price.
Call Option
Backwardation
The buyer of a call option has the right to buy an underlying
A market situation where the spot price trades at a premium to instrument at a predetermined price during a determined period.
the forward price. Opposite of contango. The seller of a call option has the obligation to sell, if the option
is exercised.
Bankers Acceptances
Cap
A time or sight draft drawn on a commercial bank by a borrower,
usually in connection with a commercial transaction. The borrower A contract between a borrower and a lender where the borrower
is liable for payment, as is the bank, which is the primary is assured that he will not have to pay more than some maximum
obligor, to pay the draft at its face amount on the maturity date. interest rate on borrowed funds.
The risk that a counterparty, which owes your institution money, The process of identifying and/or estimating all known future
234 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Glossary 235
cash receipts and obligations, and calculating cash balances for Convexity Risk
each future date in order to cover shortfalls and invest surpluses.
The risk of adverse changes in the price of a position due to
changes in the yield.
Cash Settlement
A way of settling some futures and options contracts. The seller Correlation
pays the buyer the cash value of the underlying interest.
A measure of the degree to which returns on two risky assets
Commodity Swap The risk that the actual correlation between two risk assets is
not equal to the estimated or expected correlation.
Commodity swaps can either swap a fixed and a floating price
for the underlying commodity, or can swap two different
Costless Collar
commodities.
A condition in a futures market where the more distant delivery Credit Risk
months trade at a premium to the near term delivery months.
The risk of loss from a counterparty who is unwilling or unable
to settle its side of a transaction.
Convergence criteria
Entry criteria which an EU member country must meet in order Credit Support Providers
to participate in EMU. The five criteria are: price stability, budgetary
discipline (budget deficit and public debt), low interest rates, Are typically party to swap agreements where one of the
currency stability and a central bank independent of the government counterparties is a member of a corporate group in which other
members of the group are stronger credits.
Convexity
Currency Swap
The rate of change in price of a position for a given change in
yield. An exchange of equal initial principal amounts of two currencies
236 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Glossary 237
at the spot exchange rate. Over the term of the agreement, the ECOFIN
counterparties exchange fixed or floating rate interest payments
in - their swapped currencies. At maturity, the principal amount is the Council of Economics and Finance Ministers of the fifteen
is reswapped at a predetermined exchange rate so that the EU countries. This Council also meets if decisions need to be
parties end up with their original currencies. taken concerning an excessive deficit within the parameters of
the planned stability pact
Current Exposure
ECU
Represents the current replacement cost of financial instrument
transactions, that is, their market value. The ECU is the European accounting and currency unit in use
until the start of monetary union. It is based on a currency
basket in which the weighted currencies of the EU member
Customs union
countries are integrated.The ECU is a key component of the
European Monetary System. It serves as a basis and reference
A customs union is a merger of several customs zones into one
with which deviations among the EU currencies can be calculated
single customs zone. Customs between the member states are
abolished. The members of a customs union have common
customs duties towards non-member countries. A customs union ECU Banking Association
was introduced in the EC in 1968 example, it is EAF (Elektronische
Abrechnung Frankfurt) and in France TBF (Transfer Banque de The ECU Banking Association (EBA) is a private company which
Duration
Embedded Options
A measure of the sensitivity of the price of an interest rate
instrument to a change in interest rates. Securities, which contain call or put features. For example, a
238 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Glossary 239
“callable bond” contains provisions that allow the issuer to buy European Economic Community
back the bond at a predetermined price at specified times in the
future. A “putable bond” contains provision that allow the holder The European Economic Community (EEC) was established under
to demand early redemption at a predetermined price at specified the Treaties of Rome (1957) and its name was changed to
times in the future. European Community (EC) under the Treaty on European Union
(Maastricht treaty)
Equity Swap
European Monetary Institute
A contract between two counterparties to exchange two different
The Frankfurt-based European Monetary Institute (EMI) is
cash flows over time. During the life of the swap one party
responsible for the transition to the third stage of economic and
agrees to pay the rate of return on an equity or the equity index
monetary union.This includes supporting and monitoring the
while the other party agrees to pay a floating or fixed rate of
economic convergence of the countries involved as well as
interest.
promoting and facilitating use of the single currency. In addition,
the EMI is preparing the tasks of the European Central Bank
(ECB)
European Style Option
An option that can be exercised only on the expiration date. If European Monetary System
investors do not want to wait until the expiration date, they can
close the position with an offsetting trade. The European Monetary System (EMS) was created in 1979 as
a reaction to major fluctuations between the currencies of the
EC member states in the 1970s. The aim is to prevent the
Euro process of European integration from failing. The EMS has two
main features: the exchange rate mechanism and the ECU. The
Name of the new European currency which is available as book exchange rate mechanism is a system of fixed but adjustable
money as of January 1, 1999 and as cash as of January 1, exchange rates. A key rate is defined for each community currency.
2002. The official abbreviation is EUR, and the ISO code is 978 The result is bilateral key rates for the community currencies,
from which the exchange rates may deviate within certain
bandwidths and which may- be changed only with the unanimous
EUR
approval of the member countries. If the exchange rates reach
the upper or lower intervention point, the central banks involved
The official abbreviation for Euro, the ISO code is 978
must intervene on the currency market (by buying and selling
currencies). At first the bandwidths were +/- 2.25% for most
European Central Bank countries participating in EMS. In August 1993 the bandwidths
were set at +/- 15% so that the current exchange rates are de
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the European System of facto flexible ones
Central Banks will take up their work with the launch of economic
and monetary union. Monetary policy will be determined by the euroSIC
Governing Council of the ECB, comprising the national central
bank governors and the Executive Board of the ECB. The European euroSIC is a system currently being established to settle euro
Central Bank is completely independent of directives issued by payments in Switzerland. It is based on the Swiss clearing
governments or other centralized bodies system SIC, which is being expanded to include the functions
240 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Glossary 241
Exercise Price
Forward Pricing
(see Strike Price)
The pricing of financial instruments for a value date in the
future.
Exotic Derivatives
Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs)
Generic term for the more sophisticated derivative strategy which
has features over and above the basic contracts. FRAs are over the counter contracts on forward interest rates
typically for periods of less than two years.
Expiration Date
Futures Contracts
The day the option contract expires and becomes worthless.
Floor
Gamma
An aspect of a floating rate debt contract that specifies a minimum-
interest rate for an investor. Measures the change in the delta for a given change in the
242 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Glossary 243
price of the underlying. is above the strike price of the option. For a put, it is when the
market prices of the underlying interest is below the strike price
of the option.
Gap position Monitoring
To estimate volatility empirically, prices are observed at fixed The economic value of an option if it is exercised immediately.
time intervals and used to calculate volatility for that period. The intrinsic value cannot be less than zero.
Knock-out Option
Implied Volatility
Begins life as a standard option but is “killed off” if an underlying
The volatility implied by the option price observed in the variable touches a pre-determined level.
marketplace.
Limits
Market Risk
Arbitrary price and/or quantity barriers imposed on traders or
The risk of loss resulting from changes to foreign exchange
positions.
rates, interest rates, commodity prices, or equity prices or indices.
Liquidity Risk
Market Value
The risk of a company’s working capital becoming insufficient
The value of an asset based on current market prices.
to meet near term financial demands.
The payout is based on the lowest in the case of a put, or A financial intermediary which will provide both bid and offer
highest, in the case of a call, level reached by the underlying prices.
instrument during the exercise period.
Calculating the total exposure to a counterparty by offsetting Are exchange traded option which give the holder the right, but
the receivables and payables, in the same currency, for the not the obligation, to enter into a long or short futures position.
same dates. This exposure is less than if a gross total calculation
is used. Out-of-the-money Option
These options (“up and in”, “down and out”, etc.) only become
Open Interest effective if the value of the underlying interest moves above or
below specified “trigger” points.
The number of outstanding long or short positions for a given
exchange-traded futures or option contract. A measure of the
Performance Measurement
liquidity of the contract.
Option
Potential Credit Risk
An option provides the holder with the right, but not the obligation,
to buy or sell an underlying bond, equity, currency or commodity, Is in addition to the current risk exposure amount calculated,
or to receive a payment based on the movement of such underlying and reflects the risk that the contract may move further “into the
interest. The holder of the option pays a premium for this right. money”, increasing the credit exposure.
248 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Glossary 249
An estimate of the future replacement cost of these transactions. The risk that interest rates will decrease as investments or
bond coupons come due.
Premium
Rho
The cost which the buyer of an options pays to the writer of
The sensitivity of the option price to a change in the interest
seller of the option; normally only a very small fraction of the
rate.
notional value of the underlying product commodity.
RTGS
Price Risk
(Real-Time Gross Settlement) Under this system, each payment
The risk of adverse movements in prices. order is entered individually and irrevocably on a real time basis,
i.e. the account at the instructing bank is debited at the same
Puts Option time as the account at the beneficiary bank is credited, as long
as the instructing bank has sufficient cover. This represents a
An option that gives the right to the buyer to deliver to the seller considerable improvement in risk management, especially versus
the underlying instrument at a predetermined price within a specified other, older net settlement systems
period. The seller of a put option has the obligation to accept
delivery if the option is exercised. Segregation of Duties
Structured notes are debt securities in which the repayment of monetary policy
Swap Spread
Time Value
The number of basis points to be added to the appropriate
market bond yield. The time value is equal to the difference between the premium
of an option and its intrinsic value. This portion of the premium
(S o c i e t y for Wo r l d w i d e Interbank Fi n a n c i a l Te l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n ) An accounting or financial reporting risk. It is the risk that the
SWIFT is a supplier of an exclusive network. It also offers consolidated earnings of a company will be negatively impacted
products in the form of standardized messages in the areas of due to the method of accounting for foreign operations.
252 TR E A S U RY O PERAT I O N S AND R I S K M ANAGEMENT Bibiliography 253
Value of a Basis Point iv) The Banker’s Handbook edited by William H. Baughn and
Charles E. Walker
Methodology which calculates the change in present value of a
financial instrument or portfolio of instruments due to a one v) EMU, EURO and India by Deptt. Of Economic Analysis &
basis point change in interest rates. Policy by the Reserve Bank of India