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November 30, 2012

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The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from ValuEngine.com. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com!

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

Week Open
13008.45 2961.02 805.31 1409.15

Thurs. Close
13021.8 3012.03 823.2 1415.95

Change
13.35 51.01 17.89 6.8

% Change
0.10% 1.72% 2.22% 0.48%

YTD
6.58% 15.62% 11.11% 12.59%

Summary of VE Stock Universe


Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 60.03% 39.97% 24.59% 13.85%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
0.95% 1.50% 1.17% 0.70% 1.11% 0.45% 1.30% 0.15% 0.63% 0.76% 1.15% 0.62% 1.09% 0.58% 0.44% 0.91%

MTD
-0.36% 5.65% -2.47% 0.03% 0.80% 1.62% 0.70% 1.99% 0.26% 0.09% 0.99% -2.34% -2.18% 3.58% 0.01% -2.92%

YTD
3.69% 6.11% 3.73% 7.78% 5.92% 107.35% 15.10% 20.00% 30.72% 9.12% 25.77% 10.00% -9.23% 24.00% 11.99% 1.95%

Valuation
3.24% overvalued 3.93% undervalued 4.31% undervalued 3.54% overvalued 3.23% overvalued 14.56% overvalued 1.77% undervalued 14.41% overvalued 8.61% overvalued 6.57% overvalued 7.97% overvalued 6.91% undervalued 4.17% undervalued 7.68% overvalued 6.87% overvalued 3.82% overvalued

Last 12MReturn
4.14% 11.55% -16.20% 11.30% 4.12% 37.44% 12.93% 11.53% 19.19% 7.37% 12.20% 11.91% -9.71% 22.06% 5.87% 4.41%

P/E Ratio
15.15 12.85 32.11 23.84 43.7 45.21 28.81 23.03 18.49 24.37 32.75 14.3 34.86 25.67 24.67 17.93

Sector TalkHealth Care


Below, we present the latest data on leading Health Care stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns


Ticker
ELN WCRX AMRN SCLN PTIE

Name
ELAN CP PLC ADR WARNER CHIL PLC AMARIN CORP PLC SCICLONE PHARMA PAIN THERAPEUT

Mkt Price
10.11 11.56 11.99 4.32 3.13

Valuation(%)
-51.13 -42.85 -53.36 -24.79 -48.64

Last 12-M Retn(%)


-1.46 0.09 70.8 -0.46 -12.32

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns


Ticker
WCRX AMRN ELN UNH VRX

Name
WARNER CHIL PLC AMARIN CORP PLC ELAN CP PLC ADR UNITEDHEALTH GP VALEANT PHARMA

Mkt Price
11.56 11.99 10.11 54.36 55.4

Valuation(%)
-42.85 -53.36 -51.13 -16.91 0.17

Last 12-M Retn(%)


0.09 70.8 -1.46 20.16 26.48

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Composite Score


Ticker
LLY UNH SKH WCRX TEVA

Name
LILLY ELI & CO UNITEDHEALTH GP SKILLED HLTHCR WARNER CHIL PLC TEVA PHARM ADR

Mkt Price
48.58 54.36 6.75 11.56 40.22

Valuation(%)
-17.76 -16.91 -30.72 -42.85 -21.59

Last 12-M Retn(%)


40.73 20.16 72.19 0.09 7.22

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued


Ticker
HWAY THLD EBS TEAR INSM

Name
HEALTHWAYS INC THRESHOLD PHARM EMERGENT BIOSOL TEARLAB CORP INSMED INC

Mkt Price
10.64 4.52 15.78 4.54 7.59

Valuation(%)
300 300 300 300 300

Last 12-M Retn(%)


78.22 209.59 -0.5 291.38 170.11

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know, ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools. If you are reading this you should sign up for ValuEngine's award-winning To Sign Up for a stock valuation and forecast FREE TRIAL, service at the low price of Please Click $19.95/month! HERE NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAY FREE TRIAL!

Free Download for Readers


This week's free download is our report on TEVA Pharmaceuticals USA (TEVA). TEVA Pharmaceuticals USA, the business is to develop, manufacture, and market generic pharmaceuticals. Teva USA sells its products to chains, wholesalers, distributors, hospitals, managed care entities, and government agencies. The company markets a variety of dosage forms, including both extended and immediate release tablets and capsules, creams, ointments, solutions, and suspensions. Key therapeutic areas are the analgesic, anti-infective, cardiovascular, CNS, dermatological and anti-inflammatory categories. Free Weekly Newsletter Subscribers can download a FREE Detailed Valuation Report on TEVA HERE. If you have not subscribed and want to be able to receive a FREE $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Report, you can subscribe to our Free Weekly Newsletter HERE

Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year--(1.620) Daily, weekly, semiannual, quarterly and annual value levels are 1.709, 1.749,1.853, 2.109 and 2.502 with monthly and semiannual risky levels at 1.452 and 1.389. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 1.685% and 1.763%.

Commodities and Forex Comex Gold ($1725.7) Semiannual, weekly, monthly and annual value levels are $1702.5, $1692.1,$1643.3, $1639.8 and $1575.8 with daily and quarterly risky levels at $1754.4,$1844.9 and $1881.4. Set a 2012 high at $1798.1 on October 5. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $1740.3 and $1665.8. Nymex Crude Oil ($87.79) Weekly, monthly and semiannual value levels are $83.93, $76.96 and $76.71 with daily, annual and quarterly risky levels at $88.78, $103.58 and $107.63. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $88.69 and $93.88. The Euro (1.2971) My monthly value level is 1.2289 with semiannual and weekly pivot at 1.2917 and 1.2967, and quarterly, daily and annual risky levels at 1.3048, 1.3086 and 1.4239. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 1.2902 and 1.2795. Major Indices Daily Dow(13,022) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 12,764, 12,312 and 10,738 with monthly, daily and annual and quarterly risky levels at 13,143, 13,257, 14,032 and 14,192. The QE3 high is 13,661.87 on October 5 with the October 2007 high at 14,198.10. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 13,209 and 12,995. S&P 500 (1416.0) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 1393.5, 1383.1, 1281.6, 1363.2, and 1059.7 with monthly, daily, quarterly and annual risky levels at 1418.7, 1445.0, 1513.3 and 1562.9. The QE3 high is 1474.51 on September 14 with the October 2007 high at 1576.09. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 1422.5 and 1384.4. NASDAQ (3012) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 2850, 2698 and 2527 with monthly, daily, annual and semiannual value levels are 3028, 3077, 3232 and 3295. The QE3 high is 3196.93 on September 21 is well above the November 2007 high at 2861.51. The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are 3027 and 2987. NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2680) Annual, weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 2603, 2519, 2300 and 2239, with monthly, daily and quarterly risky levels at 2739, 2743 and 2950. The QE3 high is 2878.38 on September 21 is well above the November 2007 high at 2239.23. The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are 2704 and 2669.

Dow Transports (5145) Semiannual value levels are 4449 and 4129 with a monthly pivot at 5053, and weekly, daily, quarterly and annual risky levels at 5185, 5238, 5541 and 5861. The QE3 high is 5231.15 on September 14 with the all time high at 5627.85 set on July 7, 2011. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 5032 and 5113. Russell 2000 (823.20) Weekly and semiannual value levels are 784.85 and 686.25 with a monthly pivot at 807.70 and annual and daily risky levels at 836.15 and 839.04. The QE3 high is 868.50 on September 14 with the all time high at 868.57 set on May 2, 2011. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 821.42 and 806.11. The SOX (374.83) Weekly, monthly and semiannual value levels are 355.17, 354.06, 342.27 and 326.30 with daily and quarterly risky levels at 381.90 and 439.97. The QE3 high is 410.82 on September 14 with the July 2007 high at 549.39. The 50-day and 200day simple moving averages are 374.31 and 391.73.

Stock of the Day One of the more popular features of Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing for investors is his stock of the day. In every issue, Suttmeier highlights one stock and provides VE data as well as his own proprietary technical data. Here is today's stock of the day from Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing Newsletter. American Express (AXP) ($55.92) has a Buy rating according to ValuEngine with fair value at $62.07, which makes the stock 10.6% undervalued. The ValuEngine one-year price target is $59.22. ValuEngine Profile American Express Company is primarily engaged in the business of providing travel related services, financial advisory services and international banking services throughout the world. American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. provides a variety of products and services, including, global network services, the American Express Card, the Optima Card and other consumer and corporate lending products, stored value products, and several others.

Analysis The daily chart for AXP shows rising momentum with the stock above its 21day simple moving average at $55.57, but below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages at $56.68 and $56.77, which is a death cross. My semiannual value level is $46.82 with a weekly pivot at $56.23 and annual risky level at $57.33.

Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing, you get daily analysis of US Treasury Yields, Gold, Crude Oil, and Currency Exchange Rates--Dollar, Yen, Pound, and Euro-as well as key technical indicators.

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ValuEngine.com Tools and Services


We provide a variety of means for accessing ValuEngine market analysis and other content. You can find us on some of the leading financial media websites as well as the more popular social media services. While our own website ValuEngine.com provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up to receive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download PDF reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web. =Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd. In most cases, you can receive notification of VE content posting by Suttmeier and Hach by following the ValuEngine feed on twitter @ValuEngine. Links for this content are provided below, you may also find these links on our website HERE Intelligent Investing with Richard Suttmeier Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Newsletters, Articles and Other Research Pieces Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Get short, timely messages from ValuEngine Inc Daily Bulletin PDFs, Weekly Newsletter PDFs, and PDF Research Reports

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